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Task 3: Tourism Macroeconomics and the French State
The answer………………………(In 07 fig terms)


The French State spent just   85m Euros….directly on Tourism
Surprised????

Let’s consider the implications of this figure:-

1. 85m Euros ‘buys’ 95,000,000,000 Euros of tourist expenditure….
   1x government Euro returns 1117 Euros of expenditure. That represents a 1117x
   direct and immediate return on investment. Often, by virtue of the multiplier
   effect of direct + indirect + induced expenditure, this 95,000,000,000 can easily
   DOUBLE... producing a return of nearer 2000x!!

2. 85m Euros ‘buys’ and ‘keeps’ 1,800,000 jobs in the French Tourism
   Industry…… 47 Euros per job, per year. If those jobs were not there, 47 Euros
   would keep someone Unemployed for just ONE SINGLE DAY in terms of state
   unemployment benefit! Again the multiplier applies to jobs – people employed in
   Tourism have an income, which they spend on goods this creating and sustaining
   jobs in other sectors and so on. Tourism employment multipliers can be in the
   region of 1.5x , suggesting the real employment figure sustained by tourism
   expenditure is perhaps as high as 2,500,000. If the SMIC is 12000€ per annum
   and creating and keeping a Tourism job costs only 37€ to 47€................ then (on
   this somewhat crude measure admittedly) it is 250x cheaper to invest in/ protect
   long term/permanent jobs in Tourism than it is to keep a person UN-
   employed for a single year!

3. 85m Euros represents 0.0003% of government expenditure, yet it produces
   6.3% GDP (PBI). Ie the proportion Tourism contributes to GDP is 21000x
   greater than the proportion of total government expenditure it represents.

4. 85m Euros represents just 1.1 Euros per each and every international visitor
   to France. Of course, not all of that budget is spent on attracting international
   visitors, and a lot of this money is inevitably wasted on trying to attract visitors
   who choose NOT to come to France ...... so this statistic is clearly saying that the
   state spends less than ONE € per international visitor attracted.... when such
   visitors tend to spend between 400€ and 500€ per head in the country! Another
   measure with a 500x rate of return to the country.

5. What about the direct and indirect taxation return to the State itself..... the
   2,500,000 directly and indirectly employed do not need state unemployment
   benefits and they do pay tax? What of the companies and enterprises that pay tax
   on their profits? ... And the VAT/TVA payable to the state on the things Tourists
   purchase from travel tickets to souveniers and food & drink? I don’t know of a
   formal statistic that breaks this down to this level, but if one assumed the
   2,500,000 people employed directly and indirectly in Tourism paid just 1000€
   tax each, that alone would represent 2,500,000,000€ i.e. a 30x return on the
   85,000,000€ outlay. (And that is without VAT/TVA and corporation tax!!)

Looking at the above measures, crude as they are, they range from a 30x return to
a 21000x return in one year for the French state whereas the best we can get at
the bank is 3-5% (ie just 1/20th of 1x... we would double our investment only in 20
yrs!).

There are other strong arguments in favour of Tourism too: such as the extent to
which it directly supports:

    •   The countryside: where it is difficult to attract other forms of jobs / industry
        and where agriculture is becoming increasingly capital rather than labour
        intensive, Tourism can be a prime or vital supplementary/second income for
        small businesses (Chambres d’Hôtes, for example) which can maintain the
        fabric of local communities.
    •   Agriculture / Viticulture: the sheer volume of domestic and international
        tourists in France enable particularly smaller producers to find a local and
        regional market that will pay reasonable prices for their produce (as opposed
        to having to sell in bulk at lower prices to larger retailers). This is again good
        for the local economy. The tourist buyer is there anyway, so this is good in
        sustainability terms if he buys and takes with him rather than necessitating an
        additional delivery to his home.
    •   Heritage, the Arts and Culture: many of our important events, festivals and
        historical monuments are significant Tourist attractions in themselves and the
        Tourist income saves the state from having to subsidise them to a much more
        significant degree. Often high-price Tourism entry fees enable local people to
        pay less or even to be able to enjoy facilities and events which would
        otherwise not take place at all.

So.... if you were the Tourism industry (as you soon will be) facing such
competition in a declining European portion of the global market share, what would
you be thinking about these figures and these positive returns to Tourism?

    •   Are these ‘good’ figures?
    •   Can other industries measure up to Tourism on these terms?
    •   Is there a case for investing more political and financial capital in Tourism?


If you are a little surprised that with these figures there is not more aggressive support
for this gigantic and effective industry coming from the government.... what might
this be do you think........................................................?


Might it have something to do with:

•   Candyfloss image
•   Lack of image
•   Lack of unionisation and concentration
•   Lack of coordination
•   Lack of voice / power
•   Government tendency to support ailing industries rather than the growth ones
•   Political priorities being elsewhere
•   Complacency with No1 status possibly
•   Destinations sell themselves – what need of state intervention



What do YOU think should be done, knowing what you know now?

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Tm Macro French State Ws 3b

  • 1. Task 3: Tourism Macroeconomics and the French State The answer………………………(In 07 fig terms) The French State spent just 85m Euros….directly on Tourism Surprised???? Let’s consider the implications of this figure:- 1. 85m Euros ‘buys’ 95,000,000,000 Euros of tourist expenditure…. 1x government Euro returns 1117 Euros of expenditure. That represents a 1117x direct and immediate return on investment. Often, by virtue of the multiplier effect of direct + indirect + induced expenditure, this 95,000,000,000 can easily DOUBLE... producing a return of nearer 2000x!! 2. 85m Euros ‘buys’ and ‘keeps’ 1,800,000 jobs in the French Tourism Industry…… 47 Euros per job, per year. If those jobs were not there, 47 Euros would keep someone Unemployed for just ONE SINGLE DAY in terms of state unemployment benefit! Again the multiplier applies to jobs – people employed in Tourism have an income, which they spend on goods this creating and sustaining jobs in other sectors and so on. Tourism employment multipliers can be in the region of 1.5x , suggesting the real employment figure sustained by tourism expenditure is perhaps as high as 2,500,000. If the SMIC is 12000€ per annum and creating and keeping a Tourism job costs only 37€ to 47€................ then (on this somewhat crude measure admittedly) it is 250x cheaper to invest in/ protect long term/permanent jobs in Tourism than it is to keep a person UN- employed for a single year! 3. 85m Euros represents 0.0003% of government expenditure, yet it produces 6.3% GDP (PBI). Ie the proportion Tourism contributes to GDP is 21000x greater than the proportion of total government expenditure it represents. 4. 85m Euros represents just 1.1 Euros per each and every international visitor to France. Of course, not all of that budget is spent on attracting international visitors, and a lot of this money is inevitably wasted on trying to attract visitors who choose NOT to come to France ...... so this statistic is clearly saying that the state spends less than ONE € per international visitor attracted.... when such visitors tend to spend between 400€ and 500€ per head in the country! Another measure with a 500x rate of return to the country. 5. What about the direct and indirect taxation return to the State itself..... the 2,500,000 directly and indirectly employed do not need state unemployment benefits and they do pay tax? What of the companies and enterprises that pay tax on their profits? ... And the VAT/TVA payable to the state on the things Tourists purchase from travel tickets to souveniers and food & drink? I don’t know of a formal statistic that breaks this down to this level, but if one assumed the 2,500,000 people employed directly and indirectly in Tourism paid just 1000€ tax each, that alone would represent 2,500,000,000€ i.e. a 30x return on the 85,000,000€ outlay. (And that is without VAT/TVA and corporation tax!!) Looking at the above measures, crude as they are, they range from a 30x return to a 21000x return in one year for the French state whereas the best we can get at
  • 2. the bank is 3-5% (ie just 1/20th of 1x... we would double our investment only in 20 yrs!). There are other strong arguments in favour of Tourism too: such as the extent to which it directly supports: • The countryside: where it is difficult to attract other forms of jobs / industry and where agriculture is becoming increasingly capital rather than labour intensive, Tourism can be a prime or vital supplementary/second income for small businesses (Chambres d’Hôtes, for example) which can maintain the fabric of local communities. • Agriculture / Viticulture: the sheer volume of domestic and international tourists in France enable particularly smaller producers to find a local and regional market that will pay reasonable prices for their produce (as opposed to having to sell in bulk at lower prices to larger retailers). This is again good for the local economy. The tourist buyer is there anyway, so this is good in sustainability terms if he buys and takes with him rather than necessitating an additional delivery to his home. • Heritage, the Arts and Culture: many of our important events, festivals and historical monuments are significant Tourist attractions in themselves and the Tourist income saves the state from having to subsidise them to a much more significant degree. Often high-price Tourism entry fees enable local people to pay less or even to be able to enjoy facilities and events which would otherwise not take place at all. So.... if you were the Tourism industry (as you soon will be) facing such competition in a declining European portion of the global market share, what would you be thinking about these figures and these positive returns to Tourism? • Are these ‘good’ figures? • Can other industries measure up to Tourism on these terms? • Is there a case for investing more political and financial capital in Tourism? If you are a little surprised that with these figures there is not more aggressive support for this gigantic and effective industry coming from the government.... what might this be do you think........................................................? Might it have something to do with: • Candyfloss image • Lack of image • Lack of unionisation and concentration • Lack of coordination • Lack of voice / power • Government tendency to support ailing industries rather than the growth ones • Political priorities being elsewhere • Complacency with No1 status possibly • Destinations sell themselves – what need of state intervention What do YOU think should be done, knowing what you know now?