Untethered Engineering and the Fifth IT Wave

CAD and
the Fifth IT Wave
How the augmentation technologies of
Cloud, Analytics, Mobile, and Social
are transforming engineering and design
Randall S. Newton
Consilia Vektor
October 2014
Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Then and Now
1992: The Internet sees censorship as damage,
and routes around it.
2014: The Internet sees the physical world and
human relationships as data, and incorporates
it.

Five IT Waves

Five IT Waves
MAINFRAME
Centralized
1960-1976
100K units

Five IT Waves
MAINFRAME
Centralized
1960-1976
100K units
MINICOMPUTER
Departmental
1976-1992
10M units

Five IT Waves
MAINFRAME
Centralized
1960-1976
100K units
MINICOMPUTER
Departmental
1976-1992
10M units
PERSONAL COMPUTER
LAN/WAN connected
1992-2001
100M units

Five IT Waves
MAINFRAME
Centralized
1960-1976
100K units
MINICOMPUTER
Departmental
1976-1992
10M units
PERSONAL COMPUTER
LAN/WAN connected
1992-2001
100M units
PERSONAL COMPUTER
Internet Protocol
2002-2012
1B units

Five IT Waves
MAINFRAME
Centralized
1960-1976
100K units
MINICOMPUTER
Departmental
1976-1992
10M units
PERSONAL COMPUTER
LAN/WAN connected
1992-2001
100M units
PERSONAL COMPUTER
Internet Protocol
2002-2012
1B units
AUGMENTATION
PCs + CAMS
2012 - ?
100B units?

Four Pillars of
Augmentation
C
LOUD
ANALYTICS
MOBILE
SOCIAL

Augmentation
On Demand

Augmentation
On Demand
CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage
ANALYTICS: On-demand insight
MOBILE: On-demand access
SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration

Augmentation
On Demand
More collaborative
More connected
Real-time
Productive

Augmentation
On Demand
The Goal
More collaborative
More connected
Real-time
Productive

How Mobile CAD Fits
in the Fifth Wave
Extends digital workflow to new participants
Keeps the process digital (more efficient)
Access to data not limited by location

New Technologies Will
Extend Mobile
Ad hoc networks
like FireChat
Near Field
Communications
Internet of Things

Turning Information
into Actionable Data
WHO: Social
WHAT: Analytics
WHEN: Cloud
WHERE: Mobile

Untethered Engineering
Untethered Engineering is
the ability to do any
design task, from any
screen, in any location,
at any time, with
resources on demand,
as part of a collaborative
team.

Open Engineering
The use of augmentation technologies such as cloud, analytics, social,
and mobile to accelerate design, manufacturing, and construction
processes. Ideas and production are no longer kept exclusively in-house,
knowledge is shared, connections extended, and optimum
solutions bloom from collaborative efforts involving talented sources
across nations.
Web-based design communities
New web-based tools for analysis, simulation, and rendering
Shared knowledge
Crowdsourcing
Real-time interaction for the entire team
Visualization as an upfront technology, not as a one-off
Customers are collaborators, clients as partners

The Goal
Integrate the digital into every step
of the design/engineer/build/deploy
construction or manufacturing process.

Using Social Networks

Thank You for Your Time
Randall
Keeper of the car keys
Randall Newton (randall@consiliavektor.com)
Principal Analyst, Consilia Vektor (www.consiliavektor.com)
Twitter: @RSNatWork
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/randallnewton
Director, Ukrainian
Relations
His Kenya village
needs fresh
water; you can
help:
www.gofundme.com/
791ecw
Treasurer

About Consilia Vektor
Consilia Vektor is a research and consulting service for the technical
software industry and related disciplines. Founder and Principal
Analyst Randall S. Newton has more than 25 years of experience in
computer-aided design technology as a programmer, marketing
consultant, author, journalist, and business analyst.
From our base in the American Pacific Northwest we roam the world
virtually and physically to track and describe the trends
shaping the Digital Epoch.
Consilia Vektor
+1.509.720.8833
PO Box 1647
Tonasket, WA 98855 USA
www.consiliavektor.com
randall@consiliavektor.com

Extra notes
to accompany printed version
Design and engineering status quo is rooted in desktop processes, central storage, hierarchical
workflows and data access.
Existing changes have done little to reinvent design processes. It is a case of paper on glass:
processes originally done at a desk on paper are now done at a desk on a computer.
Cloud offers virtualization, which re-allocates computer resources so that many servers run one
task, or one server runs many tasks in parallel. The result is delivery of custom computing
experiences on-demand. The expense of owning and operating a high-performance computing
environment can become an occasional rental. Computation and storage become utilities,
available for use on demand.
In the new on-demand (CAMS) computing era, analytics means data moves from being in a vault
to being a river. Data is mobile and fluid, increasing its utility.
Mobile technology challenges the notion of hierarchical workflow based on serial tasks and local
computation and storage.
Social technology turns informal information into usable data. Conversations become a strategic
asset.
The centralization of human and computer resources is a vestigial artifact of a bygone era.
Untethered design transforms a closed process into an open one. The benefits include rapid
iteration, access to talent, lower development costs, increased quality, and greater insight into
processes.

Untethered Engineering and the Fifth IT Wave

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