Min presentation vid Vetenskapsfestivalen i Göteborg 2013.

1. Terminator, Tintin och Teleportering
Per Olof Arnäs
Chalmers
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
Per Olof Arnäs @Dr_PO

2. Per Olof Arnäs

3. Om 30 år
...hur kommer
världen att se ut?
bo?
arbeta?
...hur transportera?
kommer vi konsumera?
att hålla oss friska?
utbildas?
utvecklas?
Per Olof Arnäs /ponder by hobvias sudoneighm on Flickr

4. EU:s vitbok 2011
Per Olof Arnäs

5. EU:s vitbok 2011
”European transport is at a
crossroads. Old challenges
remain but new have come.”
”The transport system is
not sustainable. Looking
40 years ahead, it is clear
40 years ahead, it is clear that transport cannot develop
that transport cannot
along the same path.
develop along the same
path.”
Per Olof Arnäs

6. ra
N åg Globala trender
Klimatförändring Hållbarhetsfokus
Befolkningsökning Urbanisering
Energibrist Effektivitetsfokus
Blue Marble (Planet Earth) by woodleywonderworks on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs

7. Transport-
branschen
3 saker:
Per Olof Arnäs Carbon-free transport by Stéfan on Flickr

8. …fysisk
Per Olof Arnäs 3d boxes by crystaljingsr on Flickr

9. …publik
Per Olof Arnäs Traffic Jam by Giorgio Minguzzi on Flickr

10. …analog
Per Olof Arnäs 542 miles by Jason on Flickr

11. Per Olof Arnäs

12. Transporter har utvecklats
mer eller mindre linjärt
de senaste 5500 åren...
Per Olof Arnäs Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr

13. i bö rjan av
Vi befinner oss mitt i en gigantisk
exponentiell utvecklingskurva
Per Olof Arnäs

14. Ett nytt globalt ekosysystem där nya
typer av, kunskapsbaserade, industrier
konkurrerar med traditionella
Per Olof Arnäs

15. Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation

16. Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Startups compete with airlines by
inventing videoconferencing.
Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation

17. e r påv
Tre
re n dsom kommer att erk
andra t a
logistik och transport
1: Terminator - Homo Digitalis
2: Tintin - Prosumerism
3: Teleportering - The Matrix
[clueless] by RHiNO NEAL on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs

18. Homo Digitalis
Dante Cyborg by Roberto Rizzato on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs

19. Även om den skapade världen runt
omkring oss utvecklas snabbt...
...så gäller inte samma sak för människoarten.
I alla fall inte utan verktyg...
Per Olof Arnäs Evolution by Ryan Woon on Flickr

20. People will still want the same things
Lo que el viento se llevo / Gone with the wind by J. Carlos Fernández on Flickr
Get laid
Get paid
Get made
Per Olof Arnäs Quote from Dave McClure

21. Augmented (hyper)Reality: Domestic Robocop by Keiichi Matsuda: https://vimeo.com/8569187
The Aeon Project: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UjnbiaY1JCE
Apple iLens concept by AppleiLens: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rsdImcPj5SM
Project Glass: One day... by Google: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9c6W4CCU9M4
Per Olof Arnäs Augmented Reality Navigation – Interface Demo by Hannes Fritz: https://vimeo.com/10401397

22. Per Olof Arnäs

23. Vi blir uppkopplade mot allt
som finns runt omkring oss
From Minority Report
Per Olof Arnäs

24. Homo Economicus
The Economic Man
Per Olof Arnäs things i believe by Martin Sharman on Flickr

25. Homo Digitalis Economicus
Well-informed
The Well-equipped Economic Man
Well-connected
data
Med höga optimering
förväntningar på interaktion
Per Olof Arnäs things i believe by Martin Sharman on Flickr

26. Prosumerism
Per Olof Arnäs

27. 3D printing demo -- ball bearings! by dehurt: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7h09dTVkdw
CES 2012: Cubed 3D Home Printer by AMussey: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iB5i5SA6rKQ
uPrint SE 3D Printer Creates Wrench with Moving Parts Already Assembled by stratasysfdm: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rn1hxd-MeuI
Per Olof Arnäs 3D Printer Makes Nearly Anything by PigMine3: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsgORCjf7oU

28. 3D-printing kommer att ske i
hemmet och i lokala/regionala ”fabs”
Ökade globala
http://mocoloco.com/upload/2012/03/rp_guitar_by_de/rp_guitar_derek_manson_3b.php
flöden av råmaterial
Minskade flöden
av produkter
Per Olof Arnäs

29. Per Olof Arnäs Image: Nike

30. Enter the Matrix
Per Olof Arnäs Blue pill or the red pill by Sarah Fagg on Flickr

31. Per Olof Arnäs

32. O
- Functions int pen
bi erf
ac co Da
as l sy llec ta
s iona k e
Goods d
oo ect rlin
G ir e
A
ord dvanc
(o stemtion
pe s
Vehicle
d yp er h e n)
W
h s and d
Software
eb UI
e ling
od
ba
c Pl
ar
ma cisio ted
at
se
B
Sim sy bas for
kin n
d
de tribu
p st ed m
g
han le ord em
P la
Computers
s
dlin er
en ei y
t
s
Di
m fr all
t s gh
too
g
cu ted ic
do ra ron
nin
tag D-
s
ne ct
I
col tems y)
RF
g B
(pr
ge Ele
Ha ente
Dat tion
sys rietar
M sn
ed
ori
Performa ss
lec
op
Manual
goo rt
on u
co
rdw d
ds
ased acc
as
a
Sma
ito mp
rb
r f tio
are
pe
ed
ue n
Pa
Ph pe
-
as
l
Pa
on rs
rb
nce
e
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pe
Pa
Version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
A
na oo
ce Ba an
Com h vehic
E-m
gn d
acces d
si oa
data e
lo ls
The s
s
wit
t
se
m
s
b
gu
R
ail
Pro
Perfor
mun
e
web
sys
TM ms
ocial
S
Ex
icat s
te
S-
D
ce
R
le
l
sy utin ic
Fax
ion
tio r
ro am
ga o
n
ste g
vi S f
ms
n
pl Rou
na GP
s
Dy
co
Mu up
E-
da iple
an te
Op ctiv
nn
inv
sh
ni
es
so ta
ng
lt
e
en ity
Ma
oic
urc
g
e
W lin ms
e l
In bo b ba To ste l
ok se es ua
Business
pr teg
og ra
no ted
in d
g
Route
se rvic c
Web h traf fi
sy
d
id
iv ting ion
In rou at
Infra-
si wit ata
structure
m
s optimisat d or
processes Ex ion f
c in
ha eptio n ing
nd
lin ns too
Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com g Pla CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

33. Enkelt
Kuponger
Svårt
”Kuponger”
?
Per Olof Arnäs

34. O
- Functions int pen
bi erf
ac co Da
as l sy llec ta
s iona k e
Goods d
oo ect rlin
G ir e
A
ord dvanc
(o stemtion
pe s
Vehicle
d yp er h e n)
W
h s and d
Software
eb UI
e ling
od
ba
c Pl
ar
ma cisio ted
at
se
B
Sim sy bas for
kin n
d
de tribu
p st ed m
g
han le ord em
P la
Computers
s
dlin er
en ei y
t
s
Di
m fr all
t s gh
too
g
cu ted ic
do ra ron
nin
tag D-
s
ne ct
I
col tems y)
RF
g B
(pr
ge Ele
Ha ente
Dat tion
sys rietar
M sn
ed
ori
Performa ss
lec
op
Manual
goo rt
on u
co
rdw d
ds
ased acc
as
a
Sma
ito mp
rb
r f tio
are
pe
ed
ue n
Pa
Ph pe
-
as
l
Pa
on rs
rb
nce
e
e
pe
Pa
Version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
A
na oo
ce Ba an
Com h vehic
E-m
gn d
acces d
si oa
data e
lo ls
The s
s
wit
t
se
m
s
b
gu
R
ail
Pro
Perfor
mun
e
web
sys
TM ms
ocial
S
Ex
icat s
te
S-
D
ce
R
le
l
sy utin ic
Fax
ion
tio r
ro am
ga o
n
ste g
vi S f
ms
n
pl Rou
na GP
s
Dy
co
Mu up
E-
da iple
an te
Op ctiv
nn
inv
sh
ni
es
so ta
ng
lt
e
en ity
Ma
oic
urc
g
e
W lin ms
e l
In bo b ba To ste l
ok se es ua
Business
pr teg
og ra
no ted
in d
g
Route
se rvic c
Web h traf fi
sy
d
id
iv ting ion
In rou at
Infra-
si wit ata
structure
m
s optimisat d or
processes Ex ion f
c in
ha eptio n ing
nd
lin ns too
Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com g Pla CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

35. Kan
man
ett
Tel
e
maila
a por
ter
am a
Be
Dig i
talis
era kylskåp
Per Olof Arnäs 3D Character and Question Mark by crystaljingsr on Flickr

36. Ja!
Per Olof Arnäs Bokeh Remote by Bart on Flickr

37. Våra styrsystem är digitala
modeller av verkligheten
Remote by Kevin T. Houle on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs

38. Per Olof Arnäs

39. Per Olof Arnäs

40. Våra styrsystem är
instrumentpaneler
Per Olof Arnäs F430 dashboard by Carlos de Paz on Flickr

41. Och de blir bättre
och bättre!
Per Olof Arnäs F430 dashboard by Carlos de Paz on Flickr

42. Om 30 år
...hur kommer
världen att se ut?
bo?
arbeta?
...hur transportera?
kommer vi konsumera?
att hålla oss friska?
utbildas?
utvecklas?
Per Olof Arnäs /ponder by hobvias sudoneighm on Flickr

43. Per Olof Arnäs /ponder
by
hobvias

44. Tack!
Per Olof Arnäs
Chalmers
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
about.me/perolofarnas
@Dr_PO
Slides
finns
på
slideshare.net/poar
Bilder
CC-­‐licensierade
Per Olof Arnäs /ponder
by
hobvias