Measuring a Nation's Total Income and Spending

© 2009 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning, all rights reserved
C H A P T E
R
Measuring a Nation’s IncomeMeasuring a Nation’s Income
Economics
P R I N C I P L E S O FP R I N C I P L E S O F
N. Gregory MankiwN. Gregory Mankiw
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by Ron Cronovich
10

In this chapter,In this chapter,
look for the answers to these questions:look for the answers to these questions:
 What is Gross Domestic Product (GDP)?
 How is GDP related to a nation’s total income and
spending?
 What are the components of GDP?
 How is GDP corrected for inflation?
 Does GDP measure society’s well-being?
2

©2009South-WesternPrinciplesofMacroeconomics,.
ECON1002 C/D (2011) Chapter 10: MEASURING A NATION’S INCOME 3
Micro vs. Macro
 Microeconomics:
The study of how individual households and
firms make decisions, interact with one another
in markets.
 Macroeconomics:
The study of the economy as a whole.
 We begin our study of macroeconomics with the
country’s total income and expenditure.

Macroeconomics studies the structure of aggregate
economies and the impact of policies on their
performance.
• What determines economic fluctuations? (business
cycle)
• Why some countries grow faster than others ?
(economic growth)
•What causes unemployment ?
•What drives prices changes? (inflation)
•What is the role of economic policies and the
government? (monetary and fiscal policies)
•How being part of a global economic system affects the
economy of a country?

(1) Income and Expenditure
 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures
total income of everyone in the economy. [later: more
formal definition]
 GDP also measures total expenditure on the economy’s
output of goods and services (g&s).
For the economy as a whole,
income equals expenditureincome equals expenditure
because every dollar a buyer spends
is a dollar of income for the seller.
For the economy as a whole,
income equals expenditureincome equals expenditure
because every dollar a buyer spends
is a dollar of income for the seller.

The Circular-Flow Diagram
 a simple depiction of the macroeconomy
 illustrates GDP as spending, revenue,
factor payments, and income
 Preliminaries:
 Factors of production are inputs like labor,
land, capital, and natural resources.
 Factor payments are payments to the factors
of production (e.g., wages, rent).

Households:
 own the factors of production,
sell/rent them to firms for income
 buy and consume goods & services
Households:
 own the factors of production,
sell/rent them to firms for income
 buy and consume goods & services
HouseholdsFirms
Firms:
 buy/hire factors of production,
use them to produce goods
and services
 sell goods & services
Firms:
 buy/hire factors of production,
use them to produce goods
and services
 sell goods & services

Markets for
Factors of
Production
HouseholdsFirms
Income (=GDP)Wages, rent,
profit (=GDP)
Factors of
production
Labor, land,
capital
Spending (=GDP)
G & S
bought
G & S
sold
Revenue (=GDP)
Markets for
Goods &
Services

What This Diagram Omits
 The government
 collects taxes, buys g&s
 The financial system
 matches savers’ supply of funds with
borrowers’ demand for loans
 The foreign sector
 trades g&s, financial assets, and currencies
with the country’s residents

(2) Gross Domestic Product
One very important (may be most important)
concept: Gross domestic product (GDP)
Paul Samuelson and William Nordhaus: “GDP …
among the great inventions of the twentieth century”
(cited in Survey of Current Business, Jan 2000, 6-14)
http://www.bea.gov/scb/pdf/BEAWIDE/2000/0100od.pdf
To understand macroeconomic issues, we
first need information (data).

Gross Domestic Product
Data
USA: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Department of
Commerce
http://www.bea.gov/
(http://www.bea.gov/national/xls/gdplev.xls)
Iran: Central Bank
http://www.cbi.ir
(http://www.cbi.ir/simplelist/4454.aspx)
releases the information every quarter ?!!!

Gross Domestic Product
Iran
nominal GDP (2007/1389): Rials 4,304,264
billions (US$ 391 billion)
GDP per capita: Rials 59.8 million
(US$ 5,435)
USA
nominal GDP (2007): US$14,077.6 billions
population (est.): 301,290,332 (US Census Bureau)
GDP per capita: US$ 46,724
nominal GDP: measured at current prices

…the market value of all final goods &
services produced within a country
in a given period of time.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Is…
Goods are valued at their market prices, so:
 All goods measured in the same units
(e.g., Hong Kong dollars, U.S. dollars)
 Things that don’t have a market value are
excluded, e.g., housework you do for yourself.

Final goods: intended for the end user
Intermediate goods: used as components or ingredients in
the production of other goods
GDP only includes final goods – they already embody the
value of the intermediate goods used in their production.
e.g., General Motors (GM) does not produce tires for its
cars; it buys them from tire companies (such as Goodyear)
Tire: intermediate good; GM car: final good
Prevent double counting

GDP includes tangible goods
(like DVDs, mountain bikes, beer)
and intangible services
(dry cleaning, concerts, mobile phone service).

GDP includes currently produced goods,
not goods produced in the past.
e.g. If you bought a Toyota Prius on January 2005, the
purchase (say, at $200,000) was included in GDP (of 2005).
If you sold it on December 2010, that transaction was not
included in GDP (of 2010). Why?

GDP measures the value of production that occurs
within the borders of a country (an economy),
whether done by its own citizens or by foreigners
located there.

Usually a year or a quarter (3 months)

(3) The Components of GDP
 Recall: GDP is total spending.
 Four components:
 Consumption (C)
 Investment (I)
 Government Purchases (G)
 Net Exports (NX)
 These components add up to GDP (denoted Y):
Y = C + I + G + NXY = C + I + G + NX

Consumption (C)
 is total spending by households on g&s.
 Note on housing costs:
 For renters,
consumption includes rent payments.
 For homeowners,
consumption includes the imputed rental value
of the house, but not the purchase price or
mortgage payments.

Investment (I)
 is total spending on goods that will be used in the
future to produce more goods.
 includes spending on
 capital equipment (e.g., machines, tools)
 structures (factories, office buildings, houses)
 inventories (goods produced but not yet sold)
Note: “Investment”“Investment” does not
mean the purchase of financial
assets like stocks and bonds.
Note: “Investment”“Investment” does not
mean the purchase of financial
assets like stocks and bonds.

Government Purchases (G)
 is all spending on the g&s purchased by govt.
at the federal, state, and local levels.
 G excludes transfer payments, such as
Social Security or unemployment insurance
benefits.
They are not purchases of g&s.

Net Exports (NX)
 NX = exports – imports
 Exports represent foreign spending on the
economy’s g&s.
 Imports are the portions of C, I, and G
that are spent on g&s produced abroad.
 If HK consumers buy $10 million worth of
watches made in Switzerland, that spending is
included in consumption expenditure. However,
the imports do not represent domestic production.
Thus, the value of these imports is subtracted
from GDP (see the next equation).

GDP and Its Components
 Adding up all the components of GDP gives:
Y = C + I + G + NXY = C + I + G + NX

In each of the following cases, determine how much GDP
and each of its components is affected (if at all).
A. Debbie spends $200 to buy her husband dinner
at the finest restaurant in the Central.
B. Sarah spends $1800 on a new laptop to use in her
publishing business. The laptop was built in Japan.
C. Jane spends $1200 on a computer to use in her
editing business. She got last year’s model on sale
for a great price from a local manufacturer.
D. A car company builds $500 million worth of cars,
but consumers only buy $470 million worth of them.
A C T I V E L E A R N I N GA C T I V E L E A R N I N G 11
GDP and its componentsGDP and its components

A. Debbie spends $200 to buy her husband dinner
at the finest restaurant in the Central.
Consumption and GDP rise by $200.
B. Sarah spends $1800 on a new laptop to use in
her publishing business. The laptop was built in
Japan.
Investment rises by $1800, net exports fall
by $1800, GDP is unchanged.
AnswersAnswers
26

C. Jane spends $1200 on a computer to use in her
editing business. She got last year’s model on
sale for a great price from a local manufacturer.
Current GDP and investment do not change,
because the computer was built last year.
D. A car company builds $500 million worth of cars,
but consumers only buy $470 million of them.
Consumption rises by $470 million,
inventory investment rises by $30 million,
and GDP rises by $500 million.
AnswersAnswers
27

U.S. GDP and Its Components, 2007
–2,344
8,905
7,037
32,228
$45,825
per capita
–5.1
19.4
15.4
70.3
100.0
% of GDP
–708
2,690
2,125
9,734
$13,841
billions
NX
G
I
C
Y

Iran GDP and Its Components, 1389
Consumption = 1767 Trillion Rial (41%)
Investment = 1785 T Rial (41%)
- Gross domestic fixed
capital formation
= 1146 T Rial
- Changes in inventories = 639 T Rial
Government consumption = 481 T Rial (11%)
Exports = 1194 T Rial
Imports = 896 T Rial
GDP = C + I + G + (X - M) = 4333 T Rial (100%)

GDP and Its Components
USA vs. Iran (2007)
• Consumption: 70.3% in USA; 41% in Iran.
• Investment: 15.4% in USA; 41% in Iran.
• Government purchases: 19.4% in USA; 11% in Iran.
• Net exports: negative in USA; positive in Iran (7%).

(4) Real versus Nominal GDP
 Inflation can distort economic variables like GDP,
so we have two versions of GDP:
One is corrected for inflation, the other is not.
 Nominal GDP values output using current prices.
It is not corrected for inflation.
 Real GDP values output using the prices of
a base year. Real GDP is corrected for inflation.

Real versus Nominal GDP
Nominal GDP of Iran, 1388 and 1389
Consumption 1540 Trillion Rial 1767 Trillion Rial
Investment 1424 T Rial 1785 T Rial
- Gross domestic fixed
capital formation
949 T Rial 1146 T Rial
- Changes in inventories 475 T Rial 639 T Rial
Government consumption 445 T Rial 481 T Rial
Exports 923 T Rial 1194 T Rial
Imports 756 T Rial 896 T Rial
GDP = C + I + G + (X -
M)
3577 T Rial
(2006)
4333 T Rial (1389)

When GDP increases from one year (1388) to the next
(1389) by 21%, can we conclude that the quantity of
production increases by 21%?
Because GDP is measured in value terms, it can be
changed by changes in prices, not quantities. We should
be careful about interpreting changes over time.
To separate price changes from quantity changes, we
introduce a concept called real GDP.
Reason for Introducing Real GDP

Nominal GDP The value of final goods and
services evaluated at current-year prices.
= P1Q1+ P2Q2+…+PnQn
Calculating Real GDP
Real GDP The value of final goods and services
evaluated at base-year prices.
n
b
n
bb
QPQPQP +++= ...2211

EXAMPLE:
Compute nominal GDP in each year:
2005: $10 x 400 + $2 x 1000 = $6,000
2006: $11 x 500 + $2.50 x 1100 = $8,250
2007: $12 x 600 + $3 x 1200 = $10,800
Pizza Latte
year P Q P Q
2005 $10 400 $2.00 1000
2006 $11 500 $2.50 1100
2007 $12 600 $3.00 1200
37.5%
Increase:
30.9%

EXAMPLE:
Compute real GDP in each year,
using 2005 as the base year:
Pizza Latte
year P Q P Q
2005 $10 400 $2.00 1000
2006 $11 500 $2.50 1100
2007 $12 600 $3.00 1200
20.0%
Increase:
16.7%
$10 $2.00
2005: $10 x 400 + $2 x 1000 = $6,000
2006: $10 x 500 + $2 x 1100 = $7,200
2007: $10 x 600 + $2 x 1200 = $8,400

EXAMPLE:
In each year,
 nominal GDP is measured using the (then)
current prices.
 real GDP is measured using constant prices from
the base year (2005 in this example).
year
Nominal
GDP
Real
GDP
2005 $6000 $6000
2006 $8250 $7200
2007 $10,800 $8400

EXAMPLE:
 The change in nominal GDP reflects both prices
and quantities.
year
Nominal
GDP
Real
GDP
2005 $6000 $6000
2006 $8250 $7200
2007 $10,800 $8400
20.0%
16.7
%
37.5%
30.9%
 The change in real GDP is the amount that
GDP would change if prices were constant
(i.e., if zero inflation).
Hence, real GDP is corrected for inflation.

Nominal and Real GDP in the U.S.,
1965-2007
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Billions
Real GDP
(base year
2000)
Nominal
GDP
39

Which measure of GDP represents changes strictly
in the quantity of goods and services produced in
the economy, not the prices?
a. Nominal GDP.
b. Real GDP.
c. The GDP measure that sums up the value of
goods and services evaluated at current year
prices.
d. None of the above.

The GDP Deflator
 One by-product of real GDP calculation is to
compute the general price level.
 The GDP deflator is a measure of the overall
level of prices.
 Definition:
 One way to measure the economy’s inflation
rate is to compute the percentage increase in
the GDP deflator from one year to the next.
GDP deflator = 100 xGDP deflator = 100 x
nominal GDP
real GDP

EXAMPLE:
Compute the GDP deflator in each year:
year
Nominal
GDP
Real
GDP
GDP
Deflator
2005 $6000 $6000
2006 $8250 $7200
2007 $10,800 $8400
2005: 100 x (6000/6000) = 100.0
100.0
2006: 100 x (8250/7200) = 114.6
114.6
2007: 100 x (10,800/8400) = 128.6
128.6
14.6%
12.2%

Computing GDPComputing GDP
44
Use the above data to solve these problems:
A. Compute nominal GDP in 2007.
B. Compute real GDP in 2008.
C. Compute the GDP deflator in 2009.
2007 (base yr) 2008 2009
P Q P Q P Q
Good A $30 900 $31 1,000 $36 1050
Good B $100 192 $102 200 $100 205

AnswersAnswers
45
A. Compute nominal GDP in 2007.
$30 x 900 + $100 x 192 = $46,200
B. Compute real GDP in 2008.
$30 x 1000 + $100 x 200 = $50,000
2007 (base yr) 2008 2009
P Q P Q P Q
Good A $30 900 $31 1,000 $36 1050
Good B $100 192 $102 200 $100 205

AnswersAnswers
46
C. Compute the GDP deflator in 2009.
Nom GDP = $36 x 1050 + $100 x 205 = $58,300
Real GDP = $30 x 1050 + $100 x 205 = $52,000
GDP deflator = 100 x (Nom GDP)/(Real GDP)
= 100 x ($58,300)/($52,000) = 112.1
2007 (base yr) 2008 2009
P Q P Q P Q
Good A $30 900 $31 1,000 $36 1050
Good B $100 192 $102 200 $100 205

(5) GDP and Economic Well-Being
 Real GDP per capita is the main indicator of
the average person’s standard of living.
 But GDP is not a perfect measure of
well-being.
 Robert Kennedy issued a very eloquent
yet harsh criticism of GDP:

Gross Domestic Product…
“… does not allow for the health of our
children, the quality of their education,
or the joy of their play. It does not
include the beauty of our poetry or
the strength of our marriages, the
intelligence of our public debate or
the integrity of our public officials.
It measures neither our courage, nor our wisdom,
nor our devotion to our country. It measures everything,
in short, except that which makes life worthwhile, and it
can tell us everything about America except why we are
proud that we are Americans.”
- Senator Robert Kennedy, 1968 48

GDP Does Not Value:
 the quality of the environment
 leisure time
 non-market activity, such as the child care
a parent provides his or her child at home
 an equitable distribution of income

Then Why Do We Care About GDP?
 Having a large GDP enables a country to afford
better schools, a cleaner environment,
health care, etc.
 Many indicators of the quality of life are
positively correlated with GDP. For example…

GDP and Life Expectancy in 12 countries
51
Lifeexpectancy(years)
Real GDP per capita
U.S.
Germany
Japan
Mexico
Russia
Brazil
China
India
Indonesia
Pakistan
Bangladesh
Nigeria

GDP and Literacy in 12 countries
52
AdultLiteracy
(%ofpopulation)
Real GDP per capita
U.S.
Germany Japan
Mexico
Russia
Brazil
China
India
Indonesia
Nigeria
Pakistan
Bangladesh

GDP and Internet Usage in 12 countries
53
InternetUsage
(%ofpopulation)
Real GDP per capita
U.S.
Germany
Japan
Mexico
Russia
Brazil
China
India
Indonesia
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Pakista
n

CHAPTER SUMMARYCHAPTER SUMMARY
 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures a
country’s total income and expenditure.
 The four spending components of GDP include:
Consumption, Investment, Government Purchases,
and Net Exports.
 Nominal GDP is measured using current prices.
Real GDP is measured using the prices of a
constant base year and is corrected for inflation.
 GDP is the main indicator of a country’s economic
well-being, even though it is not perfect. 54

Iran GDP (current prices)

Iran GDP (fixed prices, 1376)

Iran Economic Growth

Measuring a Nation's Total Income and Spending

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