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The future role of educationin the developed world(short version) Frederic De Meyer Institute for Future Insights
China and India are producing more scientific and engineering graduates than the developed countries taken together; In Europe, the percentage of the working population aged between 15 and 64 will decline from 67.2% in 2007 to 57% by 2050;By 2025 1.8 Billion people will live in areas with absolute water scarcety, causing new migration waves to water-rich regions; BRIC countries are already accounting for 11% of the Forbes top 2000 leading companies, new competition for business in the developed world... What is the role of education in dealing with these challenges?
Which forces are at play for developed countries’ education system? Global mobility Ageing population Climate change (brain drain, war for talent, ...) Consumerization of IT (water shortage; lost crops; draught, ...) New waves of New culture (im)migration Digital divide GenY (gap rich-poor widening) Education Social Rising middle class in Entrepreneurship emerging New skills New competitors Global Grid (crowdsourcing, open Globalization 3.0 New business tools innovation, Alternatives desintermediation, ...) (gamification, virtual (social learning, e-learning, company, shared value, open ...) source, ...)Frederic De Meyer
How new migration patterns will change the focus of education sector in the developed world Global warming Increasing emigration to North Global mobility: GenY to will likely move to growing countries? increase water shortage and wasted harvests (amongst other) Brain drain from West to East Brain drain and ageing population will make developed countries Digital devide will lead to new look for skills globally, economic migrations selective immegration Pressure on education system to: - offer inclusive education for new migrants; - adapt education curriculum for better understanding of new cultures, promote multiculurality to avoid frictions; - adapt curriculum to retain young talents; - focus on key skills where shortage might occur.Frederic De Meyer
A cultural shift in society needs to be translated into new educational standards Crowdsourcing, Open innovation, Cloud Computing, Social Virtualization entrepreneurship, ... Consumerization of IT: people Ageing population will be GenY requires different working (especially GenY) will required to work longer... But will environment (permanent increasingly want to use they work differently or do feedback; flexibility; open personal technologies in their different work? communication; ...) professional environment Pressure on education system Pressure on education system Pressure on education to focus on reconversion of to adapt to GenY students system to use personal elderly workers. aspirations and needs. technologies in learning methods Teach Use Introducing new tools and New Collaboration tools VVVVV VVVVV technologies Social networks VVV VVVV in the Cloud Computing VVVV educational environment: Augmented reality VVVFrederic De Meyer
Education will need to focus on teaching new skills Developed economies will Business trends I: loose global weight in future: - Gamification; Competitiveness will - Crowdsourcing; be determined by: Business trends II: - Open innovation; - Ability to innovate; - Shared Value; - Open sourcing; - Efficiency gains; - Cradle to cradle; - Mass customization - Ease of multicultural - Corporate citizenship; collaboration; - Social innovation - New business models; - Open sourcing. Sustainable/ social China business practices Brazil 5% India 2% 3% Russia driven by:BRIC Countries 1% - Public opinion;now account for -GenY (employees), Warmore than 10% for Talent;of Forbes 2000 - Conscious buying;global leading - Climate change effects;companies - Self interest (cost, risk). Rest 89% Some examples: Pressure on education system to teach new skills: ° Entrepreneurship ° Open innovation ° Innovation (doing good as a core business or using ° Collaboration ° Open sourcing ° Business modeling its core business) ° Multiculturaility ° Virtualization ° ... Frederic De Meyer
Western education meets new competitors Universities in emerging countries Most popular universities: represent 3-6% of Top 200 4icu.org universities, but 15% of most Mexico 4 / 193 China 8 / 10 / 12 / 13 / 16 / popular universities 23 / 25 / 72 / 187 / 188 / 189 200 best universities, emerging countries with ranking Brazil 29 / 64 / 102 / 106 / 137 As from 2002 China and Sources: Times higher Education University-list Topuniversities India 24 / 28 / 33 / 181 Indonesia 32 India produced more China 37 / 49 / 58 / 120 / 49 / 52 / 103 / 153 / 47 / 54 / 105 / 151 / Hungary 35 science graduates than 171 154 / 168 154 / 177 Turkey Russia 38 / 40 / 41 131 India 0 163 / 181 187 the developed world Russia 0 168 93 Chile Argentina 158 166 together ! Others 147 / 183 138 / 180 / 190 0 Thailand 198 / 200 TOTAL # 7 12 8 TOTAL # 32 Currently scientific papers still come mainly from US, Europe and Japan, but this could (Map distorted by # scientific chang quickly ! papers in country of residence) Pressure on education system to: New ways of learning: - Form new partnerships; ° e-learning - innovate learning provision ° social learning - Attract and retain top students ° gaming ° virtual worlds ° question value !Frederic De Meyer
frederic de meyerfounderthe institute for future insights -helping you anticipate the future-Keynote speech at the start of your strategic planning session - or your industry event;Eye opening workshops for internal planning purposes;Discussions on ways to innovate for the future;Contact:firstname.lastname@example.org(BE)+32 471 63 95 35www.fredericdemeyer.comtwitter: @fdemeyerget in touch on Linkedin