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This	
  lecture	
  presenta/on	
  complements	
  Khan’s	
  tutorials.	
  
1	
  
In	
  this	
  lecture	
  we	
  will	
  discuss	
  the	
  different	
  methods	
  to	
  measure	
  central	
  tendency	
  and	
  
dispersion	
  in	
  a	
  sta/s/cal	
  sample.	
  
2	
  
Central	
  tendency	
  is	
  just	
  a	
  technical	
  way	
  of	
  saying,	
  what’s	
  typical	
  of	
  this	
  sample?	
  For	
  
example,	
  out	
  of	
  all	
  Carlow	
  students,	
  which	
  gender	
  is	
  the	
  more	
  typical	
  one?	
  Male	
  or	
  
female?	
  Out	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  products	
  listed	
  on	
  Amazon,	
  which	
  is	
  the	
  best	
  seller?	
  And	
  out	
  of	
  
all	
  the	
  eBay	
  lis/ngs	
  of	
  “Tickle	
  Me	
  Elmo,”	
  which	
  price	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  common	
  one?	
  
3	
  
These	
  three	
  different	
  measures	
  are	
  discussed	
  in	
  detail	
  by	
  Khan	
  Academy.	
  Here	
  are	
  
some	
  brief	
  summaries.	
  
We	
  will	
  discuss	
  normal	
  distribu/on.	
  
One	
  key	
  idea	
  is	
  this:	
  
If	
  the	
  sample	
  is	
  normally	
  distributed,	
  meaning	
  it	
  looks	
  like	
  a	
  symmetrical	
  bell	
  curve,	
  
then	
  mean,	
  median	
  and	
  mode	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  same	
  number.	
  
However,	
  if	
  the	
  sample	
  is	
  skewed	
  either	
  to	
  the	
  leS	
  or	
  to	
  the	
  right,	
  then	
  these	
  three	
  
numbers	
  would	
  take	
  on	
  different	
  values.	
  
4	
  
Concepts	
  like	
  “mean”	
  and	
  “standard	
  devia/on”	
  are	
  really	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  theory	
  of	
  
normal	
  curve.	
  
Note	
  it’s	
  a	
  theory,	
  a	
  conceptualiza/on	
  of	
  how	
  data	
  should	
  be	
  distributed	
  in	
  an	
  ideal	
  
world.	
  
In	
  reality,	
  oSen	
  /mes	
  distribu/ons	
  are	
  not	
  perfectly	
  normal.	
  
Next	
  slide	
  is	
  an	
  example.	
  
Note	
  that	
  the	
  “mean”	
  =	
  the	
  50th	
  percen/le.	
  
5	
  
Look	
  at	
  this	
  distribu/on	
  of	
  salary	
  data.	
  
It’s	
  heavy	
  on	
  the	
  leS	
  side,	
  with	
  a	
  long	
  skinny	
  tail	
  on	
  the	
  right.	
  
Definitely	
  not	
  symmetrical.	
  
6	
  
When	
  we	
  impose	
  the	
  normal	
  curve	
  on	
  top	
  of	
  the	
  salary	
  distribu/on,	
  we	
  see	
  that	
  the	
  
normal	
  curve	
  only	
  captures	
  the	
  right	
  tail	
  well.	
  
For	
  the	
  leS	
  tail,	
  the	
  normal	
  curve	
  doesn’t	
  describe	
  the	
  actual	
  distribu/on	
  very	
  well.	
  
This	
  is	
  because	
  the	
  salary	
  data	
  is	
  posi%vely	
  skewed.	
  
In	
  skewed	
  data,	
  “mode”	
  and	
  “median”	
  describe	
  the	
  central	
  tendency	
  be]er	
  than	
  the	
  
“mean”.	
  
7	
  
In	
  addi/on	
  to	
  central	
  tendency,	
  we	
  also	
  need	
  a	
  way	
  to	
  describe	
  how	
  spread	
  out	
  the	
  
distribu/on	
  is,	
  and	
  how	
  weird	
  a	
  case	
  is	
  (rela/ve	
  to	
  the	
  mean).	
  
When	
  a	
  case	
  is	
  very	
  close	
  to	
  the	
  mean,	
  we	
  have	
  an	
  average	
  joe.	
  
When	
  a	
  case	
  is	
  far	
  off	
  from	
  the	
  mean	
  on	
  the	
  /p	
  of	
  a	
  long	
  tail,	
  we	
  have	
  a	
  weirdo!	
  
In	
  real	
  life,	
  we	
  oSen	
  discuss	
  dispersion	
  without	
  realizing	
  it.	
  For	
  example:	
  
In	
  which	
  percen/le	
  is	
  my	
  child’s	
  height?	
  
How	
  many	
  people	
  in	
  this	
  class	
  will	
  get	
  an	
  A?	
  
Is	
  the	
  customer’s	
  credit	
  score	
  above	
  or	
  below	
  average?	
  By	
  how	
  much?	
  
Is	
  a	
  dona/on	
  of	
  $30,000	
  pre]y	
  common	
  or	
  very	
  rare?	
  How	
  rare	
  is	
  it?	
  
This	
  slide	
  illustrates	
  the	
  distribu/on	
  of	
  total	
  purchase	
  aSer	
  a	
  customer	
  clicks	
  on	
  a	
  link.	
  
Look	
  at	
  the	
  data,	
  the	
  mean,	
  the	
  distribu/on,	
  and	
  reflect	
  on	
  the	
  following	
  ques/ons:	
  
How	
  likely	
  would	
  an	
  average	
  customer	
  spend	
  $200	
  per	
  order?	
  
 Very	
  unlikely	
  –	
  it’s	
  at	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  curve	
  –	
  in	
  a	
  tail.	
  
How	
  about	
  $35?	
  
	
  Much	
  more	
  likely	
  –	
  it’s	
  the	
  average	
  order.	
  
In	
  what	
  percenEle	
  is	
  a	
  $67	
  order?	
  
 The	
  84th	
  -­‐	
  we	
  know	
  because	
  it’s	
  one	
  standard	
  deviaEon	
  (34%)	
  above	
  the	
  mean	
  
(50%).	
  
The	
  next	
  slide	
  explains	
  what	
  a	
  standard	
  deviaEon	
  is.	
  
8	
  
Standard	
  devia/on	
  is	
  a	
  standardized	
  measure	
  of	
  dispersion.	
  
It	
  tells	
  you	
  whether	
  the	
  distribu/on	
  is	
  short	
  and	
  fat	
  (with	
  a	
  big	
  standard	
  distribu/on)	
  
or	
  tall	
  and	
  skinny	
  (with	
  a	
  small	
  standard	
  distribu/on).	
  
The	
  calcula/on	
  is	
  explained	
  well	
  by	
  Khan	
  (see	
  Khan’s	
  Academy	
  video	
  clips	
  linked	
  in	
  
this	
  session).	
  
The	
  basic	
  idea	
  to	
  take	
  away	
  is:	
  
The	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  tells	
  you,	
  on	
  average,	
  how	
  far	
  away	
  the	
  data	
  points	
  are	
  from	
  
the	
  mean.	
  
For	
  example,	
  let’s	
  say	
  that	
  the	
  Steelers	
  have	
  an	
  average	
  score	
  of	
  25	
  per	
  game,	
  and	
  the	
  
standard	
  devia/on	
  is	
  1.	
  Let’s	
  also	
  say	
  that	
  the	
  Greenbay	
  Packers	
  have	
  an	
  average	
  
score	
  of	
  25	
  per	
  game,	
  and	
  a	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  of	
  7.	
  
In	
  this	
  example,	
  both	
  teams	
  are	
  comparable	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  average	
  scores,	
  but	
  the	
  
Steelers	
  have	
  a	
  much	
  smaller	
  standard	
  devia/on.	
  This	
  means	
  the	
  Steelers’	
  
performance	
  is	
  pre]y	
  consistent	
  over	
  /me,	
  their	
  scores	
  may	
  be	
  above	
  or	
  below	
  25,	
  
but	
  only	
  by	
  1-­‐2	
  points	
  on	
  average.	
  If	
  you	
  plot	
  their	
  scores	
  on	
  a	
  chart,	
  you	
  would	
  see	
  
that	
  most	
  of	
  them	
  pack	
  around	
  25,	
  with	
  a	
  nice	
  narrow	
  distribu/on	
  that	
  peaks	
  around	
  
25.	
  
In	
  contrast,	
  the	
  Packers	
  may	
  average	
  around	
  25,	
  but	
  their	
  performance	
  varies	
  widely	
  
from	
  game	
  to	
  game.	
  One	
  day	
  they	
  may	
  score	
  18	
  (25-­‐7)	
  and	
  the	
  next	
  day	
  they	
  may	
  
score	
  32	
  (25+7)	
  If	
  you	
  plot	
  their	
  widely	
  varied	
  scores	
  on	
  a	
  chart,	
  you	
  would	
  get	
  a	
  short	
  
and	
  fat	
  distribu/on.	
  
(Go	
  Steelers	
  Go!)	
  
9	
  
What	
  are	
  prac/cal	
  ways	
  to	
  use	
  the	
  standard	
  devia/on?	
  
With	
  a	
  normal	
  distribu/on,	
  the	
  mean	
  divides	
  it	
  up	
  evenly	
  in	
  the	
  middle.	
  The	
  por/on	
  
below	
  the	
  mean	
  covers	
  50%	
  of	
  the	
  popula/on,	
  whereas	
  the	
  por/on	
  above	
  the	
  mean	
  
also	
  covers	
  50%	
  of	
  the	
  popula/on.	
  
The	
  first	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  away	
  from	
  the	
  mean	
  covers	
  34%	
  of	
  the	
  distribu/on.	
  	
  
In	
  other	
  words,	
  1	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  above	
  the	
  mean	
  =	
  50%	
  +	
  34%	
  =	
  84%	
  =	
  84th	
  
percen/le	
  
Let’s	
  say	
  that	
  the	
  average	
  weight	
  for	
  a	
  one	
  year	
  old	
  is	
  25	
  lbs,	
  with	
  a	
  standard	
  
devia/on	
  of	
  2	
  lbs.	
  
Connor	
  is	
  23	
  lbs.	
  That’s	
  1	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  below	
  the	
  mean.	
  In	
  other	
  words	
  he	
  is	
  
50%-­‐34%	
  or	
  in	
  the16th	
  percen/le	
  of	
  the	
  popula/on	
  
Nardia	
  is	
  27	
  lbs.	
  That’s	
  1	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  above	
  the	
  mean.	
  In	
  other	
  words	
  she	
  is	
  
50%+34%	
  or	
  in	
  the	
  84th	
  percen/le	
  of	
  the	
  popula/on	
  
The	
  en/re	
  distribu/on	
  is	
  covered	
  by	
  roughly	
  6	
  standard	
  devia/ons	
  –	
  3	
  above	
  the	
  
mean	
  and	
  3	
  below	
  the	
  mean	
  
Hence	
  the	
  name	
  of	
  the	
  quality	
  management	
  program	
  “Six	
  Sigma”	
  
10	
  
More	
  examples:	
  
Given	
  a	
  mean	
  and	
  a	
  standard	
  devia/on	
  score,	
  you	
  have	
  a	
  pre]y	
  good	
  idea	
  of	
  what	
  
the	
  distribu/on	
  is	
  like	
  –	
  is	
  it	
  fat	
  and	
  short,	
  or	
  tall	
  and	
  skinny?	
  
We	
  can	
  then	
  map	
  out	
  individual	
  scores	
  on	
  the	
  distribu/on	
  and	
  tell	
  the	
  average	
  joes	
  
from	
  the	
  weirdos!	
  	
  
11	
  
The	
  Z	
  score	
  is	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  standard	
  devia/ons	
  from	
  the	
  mean.	
  	
  
With	
  our	
  previous	
  example,	
  Connor	
  would	
  have	
  a	
  Z	
  score	
  of	
  nega/ve	
  1	
  (that	
  is	
  1	
  
standard	
  devia/on	
  below	
  the	
  mean),	
  while	
  Nardia	
  has	
  a	
  Z	
  score	
  of	
  1	
  (that	
  is	
  1	
  
standard	
  devia/on	
  above	
  the	
  mean).	
  
The	
  average	
  joes	
  would	
  have	
  close	
  to	
  zero	
  z	
  scores	
  (e.g.,	
  0.0006,	
  -­‐.0029)	
  
Whereas	
  the	
  weirdos	
  have	
  extremely	
  large	
  or	
  small	
  z	
  scores	
  (e.g.,	
  3.07,	
  -­‐2.99)	
  
Again	
  -­‐	
  
The	
  z	
  score	
  is	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  standard	
  devia/ons	
  that	
  a	
  data	
  point	
  is	
  away	
  from	
  the	
  
mean.	
  
Let's	
  say	
  that	
  the	
  average	
  weight	
  for	
  all	
  American	
  women	
  is	
  150	
  lbs,	
  and	
  the	
  standard	
  
devia/on	
  is	
  20	
  lbs.	
  
If	
  your	
  weight	
  is	
  130,	
  then	
  your	
  z	
  score	
  is	
  	
  -­‐1,	
  because	
  you're	
  exactly	
  1	
  standard	
  
devia/on	
  below	
  the	
  mean.	
  
If	
  Peggy's	
  weight	
  is	
  170,	
  then	
  her	
  z	
  score	
  is	
  1,	
  because	
  she	
  is	
  exactly	
  1	
  standard	
  
devia/on	
  above	
  the	
  mean.	
  
12	
  
Ques/ons?	
  Schedule	
  a	
  chat/phone	
  mee/ng	
  with	
  the	
  instructor	
  for	
  more	
  assistance	
  
13	
  

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Introduction to Descriptive Statistics-Central Tendency & Dispersion-FA2013

  • 1. This  lecture  presenta/on  complements  Khan’s  tutorials.   1  
  • 2. In  this  lecture  we  will  discuss  the  different  methods  to  measure  central  tendency  and   dispersion  in  a  sta/s/cal  sample.   2  
  • 3. Central  tendency  is  just  a  technical  way  of  saying,  what’s  typical  of  this  sample?  For   example,  out  of  all  Carlow  students,  which  gender  is  the  more  typical  one?  Male  or   female?  Out  of  all  the  products  listed  on  Amazon,  which  is  the  best  seller?  And  out  of   all  the  eBay  lis/ngs  of  “Tickle  Me  Elmo,”  which  price  is  the  most  common  one?   3  
  • 4. These  three  different  measures  are  discussed  in  detail  by  Khan  Academy.  Here  are   some  brief  summaries.   We  will  discuss  normal  distribu/on.   One  key  idea  is  this:   If  the  sample  is  normally  distributed,  meaning  it  looks  like  a  symmetrical  bell  curve,   then  mean,  median  and  mode  will  be  the  same  number.   However,  if  the  sample  is  skewed  either  to  the  leS  or  to  the  right,  then  these  three   numbers  would  take  on  different  values.   4  
  • 5. Concepts  like  “mean”  and  “standard  devia/on”  are  really  based  on  the  theory  of   normal  curve.   Note  it’s  a  theory,  a  conceptualiza/on  of  how  data  should  be  distributed  in  an  ideal   world.   In  reality,  oSen  /mes  distribu/ons  are  not  perfectly  normal.   Next  slide  is  an  example.   Note  that  the  “mean”  =  the  50th  percen/le.   5  
  • 6. Look  at  this  distribu/on  of  salary  data.   It’s  heavy  on  the  leS  side,  with  a  long  skinny  tail  on  the  right.   Definitely  not  symmetrical.   6  
  • 7. When  we  impose  the  normal  curve  on  top  of  the  salary  distribu/on,  we  see  that  the   normal  curve  only  captures  the  right  tail  well.   For  the  leS  tail,  the  normal  curve  doesn’t  describe  the  actual  distribu/on  very  well.   This  is  because  the  salary  data  is  posi%vely  skewed.   In  skewed  data,  “mode”  and  “median”  describe  the  central  tendency  be]er  than  the   “mean”.   7  
  • 8. In  addi/on  to  central  tendency,  we  also  need  a  way  to  describe  how  spread  out  the   distribu/on  is,  and  how  weird  a  case  is  (rela/ve  to  the  mean).   When  a  case  is  very  close  to  the  mean,  we  have  an  average  joe.   When  a  case  is  far  off  from  the  mean  on  the  /p  of  a  long  tail,  we  have  a  weirdo!   In  real  life,  we  oSen  discuss  dispersion  without  realizing  it.  For  example:   In  which  percen/le  is  my  child’s  height?   How  many  people  in  this  class  will  get  an  A?   Is  the  customer’s  credit  score  above  or  below  average?  By  how  much?   Is  a  dona/on  of  $30,000  pre]y  common  or  very  rare?  How  rare  is  it?   This  slide  illustrates  the  distribu/on  of  total  purchase  aSer  a  customer  clicks  on  a  link.   Look  at  the  data,  the  mean,  the  distribu/on,  and  reflect  on  the  following  ques/ons:   How  likely  would  an  average  customer  spend  $200  per  order?    Very  unlikely  –  it’s  at  the  end  of  the  curve  –  in  a  tail.   How  about  $35?     Much  more  likely  –  it’s  the  average  order.   In  what  percenEle  is  a  $67  order?    The  84th  -­‐  we  know  because  it’s  one  standard  deviaEon  (34%)  above  the  mean   (50%).   The  next  slide  explains  what  a  standard  deviaEon  is.   8  
  • 9. Standard  devia/on  is  a  standardized  measure  of  dispersion.   It  tells  you  whether  the  distribu/on  is  short  and  fat  (with  a  big  standard  distribu/on)   or  tall  and  skinny  (with  a  small  standard  distribu/on).   The  calcula/on  is  explained  well  by  Khan  (see  Khan’s  Academy  video  clips  linked  in   this  session).   The  basic  idea  to  take  away  is:   The  standard  devia/on  tells  you,  on  average,  how  far  away  the  data  points  are  from   the  mean.   For  example,  let’s  say  that  the  Steelers  have  an  average  score  of  25  per  game,  and  the   standard  devia/on  is  1.  Let’s  also  say  that  the  Greenbay  Packers  have  an  average   score  of  25  per  game,  and  a  standard  devia/on  of  7.   In  this  example,  both  teams  are  comparable  in  terms  of  average  scores,  but  the   Steelers  have  a  much  smaller  standard  devia/on.  This  means  the  Steelers’   performance  is  pre]y  consistent  over  /me,  their  scores  may  be  above  or  below  25,   but  only  by  1-­‐2  points  on  average.  If  you  plot  their  scores  on  a  chart,  you  would  see   that  most  of  them  pack  around  25,  with  a  nice  narrow  distribu/on  that  peaks  around   25.   In  contrast,  the  Packers  may  average  around  25,  but  their  performance  varies  widely   from  game  to  game.  One  day  they  may  score  18  (25-­‐7)  and  the  next  day  they  may   score  32  (25+7)  If  you  plot  their  widely  varied  scores  on  a  chart,  you  would  get  a  short   and  fat  distribu/on.   (Go  Steelers  Go!)   9  
  • 10. What  are  prac/cal  ways  to  use  the  standard  devia/on?   With  a  normal  distribu/on,  the  mean  divides  it  up  evenly  in  the  middle.  The  por/on   below  the  mean  covers  50%  of  the  popula/on,  whereas  the  por/on  above  the  mean   also  covers  50%  of  the  popula/on.   The  first  standard  devia/on  away  from  the  mean  covers  34%  of  the  distribu/on.     In  other  words,  1  standard  devia/on  above  the  mean  =  50%  +  34%  =  84%  =  84th   percen/le   Let’s  say  that  the  average  weight  for  a  one  year  old  is  25  lbs,  with  a  standard   devia/on  of  2  lbs.   Connor  is  23  lbs.  That’s  1  standard  devia/on  below  the  mean.  In  other  words  he  is   50%-­‐34%  or  in  the16th  percen/le  of  the  popula/on   Nardia  is  27  lbs.  That’s  1  standard  devia/on  above  the  mean.  In  other  words  she  is   50%+34%  or  in  the  84th  percen/le  of  the  popula/on   The  en/re  distribu/on  is  covered  by  roughly  6  standard  devia/ons  –  3  above  the   mean  and  3  below  the  mean   Hence  the  name  of  the  quality  management  program  “Six  Sigma”   10  
  • 11. More  examples:   Given  a  mean  and  a  standard  devia/on  score,  you  have  a  pre]y  good  idea  of  what   the  distribu/on  is  like  –  is  it  fat  and  short,  or  tall  and  skinny?   We  can  then  map  out  individual  scores  on  the  distribu/on  and  tell  the  average  joes   from  the  weirdos!     11  
  • 12. The  Z  score  is  the  number  of  standard  devia/ons  from  the  mean.     With  our  previous  example,  Connor  would  have  a  Z  score  of  nega/ve  1  (that  is  1   standard  devia/on  below  the  mean),  while  Nardia  has  a  Z  score  of  1  (that  is  1   standard  devia/on  above  the  mean).   The  average  joes  would  have  close  to  zero  z  scores  (e.g.,  0.0006,  -­‐.0029)   Whereas  the  weirdos  have  extremely  large  or  small  z  scores  (e.g.,  3.07,  -­‐2.99)   Again  -­‐   The  z  score  is  the  number  of  standard  devia/ons  that  a  data  point  is  away  from  the   mean.   Let's  say  that  the  average  weight  for  all  American  women  is  150  lbs,  and  the  standard   devia/on  is  20  lbs.   If  your  weight  is  130,  then  your  z  score  is    -­‐1,  because  you're  exactly  1  standard   devia/on  below  the  mean.   If  Peggy's  weight  is  170,  then  her  z  score  is  1,  because  she  is  exactly  1  standard   devia/on  above  the  mean.   12  
  • 13. Ques/ons?  Schedule  a  chat/phone  mee/ng  with  the  instructor  for  more  assistance   13