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Webrazzi Mobil 2013 –
“What Works In Mobile, and Why?”

Ali Dagli
April 2012




                                   1
I. CONSUMERS CONSUME



    “Yes, I am a consumer”
          I consume!


And I will continue to consume…
      When I have the means



                                         2
II. MOBILE TO BECOME DOMINANT CONSUMPTION PLATFORM



»    With me at all times
»    Connected to the world out there
»    Seamless payments back-end
»    Social integration, apps, messages…
»    Million products available instantly
»    More and more


Fact, not a hypothesis, that mobile:
»    Optimal & superior consumption platform
»    To become dominant consumption platform


                                                              3
III. NOT MOBILE-ONLY,
                           BUT MOBILE-FIRST, THEN CROSS-PLATFORM




Service Provider        IP-Based Platforms         Consumers

                       Mobile Internet (first)

                               Web

                         Social Networks
        Distribution
          Partner       IP-Based TV/Roku

                           Steam/Ouya

                       Google Glass (mobile)


                          TV / Traditional




                                                                  4
IV. DELIVERING HAPPINESS CREATES CONSUMPTION
                                                         Offline <-> Online                                     3rd Party


                                                                                                               Platform - Unity
                                                          eCommerce – Gilt                                   Enabler – Pozitron




                                                                                                                                                     VALUE/ROI
                                                           Banking - BoFA                                  Cloud Dev – StackMob




                                                                                         TRANSACTIONS
                                                         Travel – FlightTrack                             Code Collobration - GitHub
                                                        Food – YemekSepeti                                    Analytics – Flurry
                                                          Dining-Opentable                                 Acquisition –Chartboost
               Entertaining Escape                     Transportation - UBER                              Retention – Urban Airship
                                                       Lodging – Hotel Tonight                                Payments - Zong
                                                        Dating - Howaboutwe


                                                                                                           Daily Routine
                  Games - Supercell
                                          ENGAGEMENT

                  Videos - YouTube
                    Music - Spotify
                  Photos – Camera+
                    Books - Kindle                                                                          Mail - Mailbox




                                                                                                                                   PERCEIVED VALUE
                                                           Social/Messaging
                     News – Pulse                                                                       Business - Quickoffice
                 Reference - Wikipedia                                                                     Files - Dropbox
                                                               Facebook
                                                                                                          Notes – Evernote
                                                               Instagram
                                                                                                            Maps – Waze
                                                                 Twitter
                                                                                                            Calls – Skype
                                                                LinkedIn
                                                                                                           To Dos - Things
                                                                Pinterest
                                                                  Path           SCALE                   Calendar – Tempo
Consumption                                                                                               Contacts - Smatr
                                                                 Fancy
                                                              GoodReads
Monetization                                                  WhatsApp
                                                                                                                                                            5
V. CO-EXISTING VS
                        LEVERAGING EXISTING ASSETS AND DISRUPTING
              FEATURE                      EXAMPLES


»   Disrupt

»   Disrupt

»   Disrupt

»   Improve

»   Improve

»   Re-innovate

»   Re-innovate

»   Re-innovate

»   Target

»   Target
                                                                6
VI. CREATEING AN OUTSTANDING SERVICE,
                                                                                         AND MAKE IT A BIG ‘IP’

                                    TYPE                                                         DIRECTION


 1
            PLATFORM A                     PLATFORM B                                  Traditional / Offline Platforms

              Packaged                          Packaged
               Product                           Product

                    IP                             IP



            Unit Sales ($)                 Unit Sales ($)                         Emerging Internet-based (Low Margin)


  2
                                                                                  Emerging Internet-based (Low Margin)

                    Product /
                     Service               IP




Merchandising ($)                                       Micro Transactions ($)
    Sales ($)                    Cross-                    Advertising ($)       Traditional / Offline (100% or High Margin)
Subscriptions ($)               platform                       VOD ($)




                                                                                                                               7
VII. TAKING EVERY CONSUMER STEP SERIOUSLY



                                                    Love/                       Buy/
                Know         Use            Like               Re-use
                                                   Engage                       Ads
   F2P




                                                    Love/
                Know         Use
                             Buy            Like
                                                   Engage
                                                               Re-use           Buy
  PAID




            »    Soft launch                       »   <50mb or >50mb
            »    Platform strategy                 »   Game Mechanics
IMPORTANT
            »    Server based/social               »   Monetization Mechanics
 FACTORS
            »    Publisher / No Publisher          »   F2P/Paid
            »    User Acquisition                  »   Advertising



                                                                                       8
VIII. BUYERS AND INVESTORS GO FOR…

                COMPANY NAME              VALUATION




                                    »   ~$800m
  PROFITABLE                        »   $215m
 CONSUMPTION
                                    »   $$$



                                    »   $1bn

                                    »   $119m
GOOD PRODUCTS
                                    »   $200m



                                    »   $90m
  DISRUPTIVE
PRODUCTS WITH                       »   $30m
     HYPE
                                    »   $100m



                                                         9
IX. RECENT DEALS DEMONSTRATE NEED FOR IMPROVEMENT


       CONSUMERS NEED BETTER EFFICIENCY/EXPERIENCE              RECENT DEALS



»   Content overload                                               /
»   Limited time                                                   /
»   Too much noise                                                 /
»   Highly fragmented
                                                     ?            /
                                                         (News overload)
»   Less tendency for “average” user
    interface/ lean-back experience
                                                                   /
»   More personalization                                 (Email overload)


»   Better integration
                                                     ?      /
                                                         (Video overload)
»   Between push and pull
                                                     ?     /
                                                         (Calendar overload)
                                                                               10
GP BULLHOUND SNAPSHOT

                                                                          STRONG PRESENCE IN US WITH ACCESS TO ASIA
»   Long track record of success
       ›   Founded in 1999, completed over 130 transactions                                                                           Boston
                                                                                 Seoul
       ›   Closed 21 transactions in 2012                                                     Tokyo           San
                                                                                                           Francisco          New York
»   A premier corporate finance advisory firm                             Hong Kong
                                                                                                           Los Angeles

       ›   Strategic Advisory
                                                              Singapore
       ›   Capital Raising
       ›   Mergers & Acquisitions
                                                                   LOCAL EUROPEAN OFFICES IN TECHNOLOGY HOTSPOTS
»   Deep domain expertise across the Technology sector
       ›   Online Gaming and Consumer Internet
                                                                                                       Stockholm         Helsinki
       ›   Online Advertising and eCommerce                                                     Oslo

                                                                                              Copenhagen
       ›   Mobile & Communications
                                                                                                                                    Moscow
       ›   Digital Home and Digital Lifestyle                               London             Hamburg
                                                                                      Amsterdam
       ›   Clean Technology                                                                                 Berlin
»   Focus on top-tier emerging growth companies                                       Paris       Munich

»   Strong cross-border capabilities                                                          Milan

       ›   Offices in London, San Francisco, Stockholm and                Barcelona
                                                                                                                           Istanbul

           Berlin
       ›   Deep, broad relationship network
                                                                                                                                               11
GP BULLHOUND TEAM = GLOBAL FOOTPRINT


                                                                                   SIMON NICHOLLS
HUGH CAMPBELL      CHRISTIAN LAGERLING     MANISH MADHVANI    PER ROMAN
                                                                                   Partner
Managing Partner   Managing Partner        Managing Partner   Managing Partner


                                                                                   JULIAN RIEDLBAUER
GRAEME BAYLEY      GUILLAUME BONNETON      ALEC DAFFERNER     LORD CLIVE HOLLICK
                                                                                   Partner
Partner            Partner                 Partner            Partner



ANDRE SHORTELL     ALI DAGLI               MATT ROGERS        ANTONY NORTHROP      CECILIA ROMAN
Partner            Director                Senior Advisor     Senior Advisor       Director



ALEXIS SCORER      CLAUDIO ALVAREZ         CARL BERGHOLTZ     MARK KLIMMEK         PER LINDTORP
Vice President     Vice President          Vice President     Vice President       Vice President



SASHA AFANASIEVA   ALISTAIR MALINS         DAVID RAABE        CHRISTOPH AMELS      STIRLING ADELHELM
Vice President     Vice President          Vice President     Associate            Associate



MALCOLM FERGUSON   CARL WESSBERG           ALESSANDRO         FLORENT ROULET       PHILIPPE GREMILLET
                                           CASARTELLI
Associate          Associate                                  Associate            Analyst
                                           Associate



LILJANA XHEKA      MALCOLM HORNER          DANIEL HERTER      ANTHONY AUGUSTIN     OLOF RUSTNER
Analyst            Analyst                 Analyst            Analyst              Analyst




                                                                                                       12
HQ: LONDON OFFICE
                                                                                                                                                                              SAN FRANCISCO OFFICE
       52 JERMYN STREET, LONDON SW1Y 6LX
       SAN FRANCISCO 7560                                                                                                                         ONE MARITIME PLAZA, SUITE 1620, SAN +1(415) 986 7480
       TEL +44(0)207 101OFFICE           HQ: LONDON OFFICE                                                                               STOCKHOLM OFFICE               BERLIN OFFICE
       ONE +44(0)207 101 7561 SUITE 1620                                                                                                                                          FAX +1(415) 986 0180
       FAX MARITIME PLAZA,               52 JERMYN STREET, LONDON SW1Y 6LX                                                               BIRGER JARLSGATAN 5            OBERWALLSTR 20
       SAN FRANCISCO, REGULATED BY THE FSA +44(0)207 101 7560                                                                                                    MEMBER OF FINRAFRANCISCO, CA 94111
       AUTHORISED ANDCA 94111            TEL                                                                                             111 45 STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN       10117 BERLIN, GERMANY
       TEL +1(415) 986 0191                                                                                                              TEL +46(0)8 545 074 14         TEL +49 30 610 80 600      TEL
                                         FAX +44(0)207 101 7561
       FAX +1(415) 986 0180              AUTHORISED AND REGULATED BY THE FSA                                                             FAX: +46(0)8 545 071 01        FAX: +49 30610806029
       MEMBER OF FINRA



Disclaimer: Information contained in this slide deck does not constitute an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. This document is made available for general information purposes only
and is intended for institutional investors who have a high degree of financial sophistication and knowledge. This document and any of the products and information contained herein are not intended for the use of private
investors in the UK. Although all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information contained in this document is accurate and current, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by GP Bullhound
LLP. as to its accuracy, completeness and currency. This slide deck contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ significantly from the results described in the forward-
looking statements. In particular, but without limiting the preceding sentences, you should be aware that statements of fact or opinion made, may not be up-to-date or may not represent the current opinion (whether public or
confidential) of GP Bullhound LLP. In addition, opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. This slide deck does not constitute a specific investment recommendation or advice upon which you should rely based
upon, or irrespective of, your personal circumstances. Use of this slide deck is not a substitute for obtaining proper investment advice from an authorized investment professional. Potential private investors are therefore urged
to consult their own authorized investment professional before entering into any investment agreement. Past performance of securities is not necessarily a guide to future performance and the value of securities may fall as well
as rise. In particular, investments in the technology sector can involve a high degree of risk and investors may not get back the full amount invested.
GP Bullhound LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and is registered in England No. OC 352 636
Registered office 52 Jermyn Street, London SW1Y 6LX




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         13

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Mobilde Ne Çalışır ve Neden? [Mobil 13]

  • 1. Webrazzi Mobil 2013 – “What Works In Mobile, and Why?” Ali Dagli April 2012 1
  • 2. I. CONSUMERS CONSUME “Yes, I am a consumer” I consume! And I will continue to consume… When I have the means 2
  • 3. II. MOBILE TO BECOME DOMINANT CONSUMPTION PLATFORM » With me at all times » Connected to the world out there » Seamless payments back-end » Social integration, apps, messages… » Million products available instantly » More and more Fact, not a hypothesis, that mobile: » Optimal & superior consumption platform » To become dominant consumption platform 3
  • 4. III. NOT MOBILE-ONLY, BUT MOBILE-FIRST, THEN CROSS-PLATFORM Service Provider IP-Based Platforms Consumers Mobile Internet (first) Web Social Networks Distribution Partner IP-Based TV/Roku Steam/Ouya Google Glass (mobile) TV / Traditional 4
  • 5. IV. DELIVERING HAPPINESS CREATES CONSUMPTION Offline <-> Online 3rd Party Platform - Unity eCommerce – Gilt Enabler – Pozitron VALUE/ROI Banking - BoFA Cloud Dev – StackMob TRANSACTIONS Travel – FlightTrack Code Collobration - GitHub Food – YemekSepeti Analytics – Flurry Dining-Opentable Acquisition –Chartboost Entertaining Escape Transportation - UBER Retention – Urban Airship Lodging – Hotel Tonight Payments - Zong Dating - Howaboutwe Daily Routine Games - Supercell ENGAGEMENT Videos - YouTube Music - Spotify Photos – Camera+ Books - Kindle Mail - Mailbox PERCEIVED VALUE Social/Messaging News – Pulse Business - Quickoffice Reference - Wikipedia Files - Dropbox Facebook Notes – Evernote Instagram Maps – Waze Twitter Calls – Skype LinkedIn To Dos - Things Pinterest Path SCALE Calendar – Tempo Consumption Contacts - Smatr Fancy GoodReads Monetization WhatsApp 5
  • 6. V. CO-EXISTING VS LEVERAGING EXISTING ASSETS AND DISRUPTING FEATURE EXAMPLES » Disrupt » Disrupt » Disrupt » Improve » Improve » Re-innovate » Re-innovate » Re-innovate » Target » Target 6
  • 7. VI. CREATEING AN OUTSTANDING SERVICE, AND MAKE IT A BIG ‘IP’ TYPE DIRECTION 1 PLATFORM A PLATFORM B Traditional / Offline Platforms Packaged Packaged Product Product IP IP Unit Sales ($) Unit Sales ($) Emerging Internet-based (Low Margin) 2 Emerging Internet-based (Low Margin) Product / Service IP Merchandising ($) Micro Transactions ($) Sales ($) Cross- Advertising ($) Traditional / Offline (100% or High Margin) Subscriptions ($) platform VOD ($) 7
  • 8. VII. TAKING EVERY CONSUMER STEP SERIOUSLY Love/ Buy/ Know Use Like Re-use Engage Ads F2P Love/ Know Use Buy Like Engage Re-use Buy PAID » Soft launch » <50mb or >50mb » Platform strategy » Game Mechanics IMPORTANT » Server based/social » Monetization Mechanics FACTORS » Publisher / No Publisher » F2P/Paid » User Acquisition » Advertising 8
  • 9. VIII. BUYERS AND INVESTORS GO FOR… COMPANY NAME VALUATION » ~$800m PROFITABLE » $215m CONSUMPTION » $$$ » $1bn » $119m GOOD PRODUCTS » $200m » $90m DISRUPTIVE PRODUCTS WITH » $30m HYPE » $100m 9
  • 10. IX. RECENT DEALS DEMONSTRATE NEED FOR IMPROVEMENT CONSUMERS NEED BETTER EFFICIENCY/EXPERIENCE RECENT DEALS » Content overload / » Limited time / » Too much noise / » Highly fragmented ? / (News overload) » Less tendency for “average” user interface/ lean-back experience / » More personalization (Email overload) » Better integration ? / (Video overload) » Between push and pull ? / (Calendar overload) 10
  • 11. GP BULLHOUND SNAPSHOT STRONG PRESENCE IN US WITH ACCESS TO ASIA » Long track record of success › Founded in 1999, completed over 130 transactions Boston Seoul › Closed 21 transactions in 2012 Tokyo San Francisco New York » A premier corporate finance advisory firm Hong Kong Los Angeles › Strategic Advisory Singapore › Capital Raising › Mergers & Acquisitions LOCAL EUROPEAN OFFICES IN TECHNOLOGY HOTSPOTS » Deep domain expertise across the Technology sector › Online Gaming and Consumer Internet Stockholm Helsinki › Online Advertising and eCommerce Oslo Copenhagen › Mobile & Communications Moscow › Digital Home and Digital Lifestyle London Hamburg Amsterdam › Clean Technology Berlin » Focus on top-tier emerging growth companies Paris Munich » Strong cross-border capabilities Milan › Offices in London, San Francisco, Stockholm and Barcelona Istanbul Berlin › Deep, broad relationship network 11
  • 12. GP BULLHOUND TEAM = GLOBAL FOOTPRINT SIMON NICHOLLS HUGH CAMPBELL CHRISTIAN LAGERLING MANISH MADHVANI PER ROMAN Partner Managing Partner Managing Partner Managing Partner Managing Partner JULIAN RIEDLBAUER GRAEME BAYLEY GUILLAUME BONNETON ALEC DAFFERNER LORD CLIVE HOLLICK Partner Partner Partner Partner Partner ANDRE SHORTELL ALI DAGLI MATT ROGERS ANTONY NORTHROP CECILIA ROMAN Partner Director Senior Advisor Senior Advisor Director ALEXIS SCORER CLAUDIO ALVAREZ CARL BERGHOLTZ MARK KLIMMEK PER LINDTORP Vice President Vice President Vice President Vice President Vice President SASHA AFANASIEVA ALISTAIR MALINS DAVID RAABE CHRISTOPH AMELS STIRLING ADELHELM Vice President Vice President Vice President Associate Associate MALCOLM FERGUSON CARL WESSBERG ALESSANDRO FLORENT ROULET PHILIPPE GREMILLET CASARTELLI Associate Associate Associate Analyst Associate LILJANA XHEKA MALCOLM HORNER DANIEL HERTER ANTHONY AUGUSTIN OLOF RUSTNER Analyst Analyst Analyst Analyst Analyst 12
  • 13. HQ: LONDON OFFICE SAN FRANCISCO OFFICE 52 JERMYN STREET, LONDON SW1Y 6LX SAN FRANCISCO 7560 ONE MARITIME PLAZA, SUITE 1620, SAN +1(415) 986 7480 TEL +44(0)207 101OFFICE HQ: LONDON OFFICE STOCKHOLM OFFICE BERLIN OFFICE ONE +44(0)207 101 7561 SUITE 1620 FAX +1(415) 986 0180 FAX MARITIME PLAZA, 52 JERMYN STREET, LONDON SW1Y 6LX BIRGER JARLSGATAN 5 OBERWALLSTR 20 SAN FRANCISCO, REGULATED BY THE FSA +44(0)207 101 7560 MEMBER OF FINRAFRANCISCO, CA 94111 AUTHORISED ANDCA 94111 TEL 111 45 STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN 10117 BERLIN, GERMANY TEL +1(415) 986 0191 TEL +46(0)8 545 074 14 TEL +49 30 610 80 600 TEL FAX +44(0)207 101 7561 FAX +1(415) 986 0180 AUTHORISED AND REGULATED BY THE FSA FAX: +46(0)8 545 071 01 FAX: +49 30610806029 MEMBER OF FINRA Disclaimer: Information contained in this slide deck does not constitute an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. This document is made available for general information purposes only and is intended for institutional investors who have a high degree of financial sophistication and knowledge. This document and any of the products and information contained herein are not intended for the use of private investors in the UK. Although all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information contained in this document is accurate and current, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by GP Bullhound LLP. as to its accuracy, completeness and currency. This slide deck contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ significantly from the results described in the forward- looking statements. In particular, but without limiting the preceding sentences, you should be aware that statements of fact or opinion made, may not be up-to-date or may not represent the current opinion (whether public or confidential) of GP Bullhound LLP. In addition, opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. This slide deck does not constitute a specific investment recommendation or advice upon which you should rely based upon, or irrespective of, your personal circumstances. Use of this slide deck is not a substitute for obtaining proper investment advice from an authorized investment professional. Potential private investors are therefore urged to consult their own authorized investment professional before entering into any investment agreement. Past performance of securities is not necessarily a guide to future performance and the value of securities may fall as well as rise. In particular, investments in the technology sector can involve a high degree of risk and investors may not get back the full amount invested. GP Bullhound LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and is registered in England No. OC 352 636 Registered office 52 Jermyn Street, London SW1Y 6LX 13

Editor's Notes

  1. Anektod: tumay, I am a consumers.
  2. Works for all sectorsI remember working doing this analysis with michaelgilroy[nintendo example]
  3. Works for all sectorsI remember working doing this analysis with michaelgilroy[nintendo example]
  4. Works for all sectorsI remember working doing this analysis with michaelgilroy[nintendo example]
  5. FlirtationDid this analysis last Thursday with my colleague Daniel MagsMedian size is 29MBs, 81% is less then68% freeMedian was 4.5 stars and, 81% is more than 4 stars83% are games
  6. FlirtationDid this analysis last Thursday with my colleague Daniel MagsMedian size is 29MBs, 81% is less then68% freeMedian was 4.5 stars and, 81% is more than 4 stars83% are games
  7. Anthony with Rvis