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Radio's Future II:
The 2010 American Youth Study
Sponsored by:
Recommendations to Radio from the
2000 "American Youth Study"
Send stations after these demos or watch
them fade away
Co-opt Internet audio or lose it
Just like Cable TV to Broadcast
Explore co-branded side channels
Consider industry advertising
a la "Got Milk"
Recruit young people -- we can't just depend
on them showing up any longer
How the 2010 Survey Was Conducted:
A sequel to Edison Research's survey from 2000,
"Radio's Future: Today's 12 to 24 year-olds"
1533 interviews nationwide
875 interviews age 12-24 (demo)
888 interviews age 22-34 (cohort)
Online survey of respondents ages 12 to 34
employing "KnowledgePanel" from Knowledge
Networks
Interviews conducted 9/8 - 9/13, 2010
Data matched to national age and sex demographics
What you will see today:
The impact of an incredible decade of
media transformation
The extraordinary resilience of radio
And -- the challenges radio faces
27%
37%
27%
6%
3%
"Which best describes your spending over the past twelve months on
discretionary expenses, such as entertainment, recreation, or leisure items?"
Have significantly
cut back
Have cut back a little
Have not changed spending on
discretionary expenses
Spending a little more
Spending significantly more
Base: Age 12-24
Remember the halcyon days of the
Internet Bubble leading into 2000?
They aren't here anymore
The Cell Phone:
The most influential
driver of changed habits
Yes
81%
No
19%
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Yes
29%
No
71%
"Do you have your own cell phone?"
The cell phone goes from
somewhat rare device to must-have
among 12-24s in ten years time
Yes
43%
No
52%
Don't know
5%
"Is your cell phone also a smart phone?
(It has advanced capabilities beyond a typical mobile phone — such as the ability to send and receive
email, access the Internet, listen to audio and watch video, and download apps)"
Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone
More than four-in-ten 12-24s
who carry cell phones say
theirs is a 'Smart Phone'
"Do you ever (item) on your cell phone?"
92
51
50
45
40
37
18
16
0 20 40 60 80 100
% ever doing each activity
Send or receive text messages
Browse the Internet
Play games
Use social networking sites such as
Facebook or Twitter
Listen to music you have
transferred/downloaded onto the phone
Watch video
Listen to Internet-only radio
such as Pandora
Listen to the stream of any
FM or AM radio stations
Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone
12-24 year old cell users engage in a
broad variety of behaviors on phones;
'Radio' streams narrowly trail Pandora
"Do you have your own...?"
81
56
46
35
7
3
2
0 20 40 60 80 100
% owning device
Laptop computer
Apple iPod
Portable MP3 player
other than Apple iPod
Apple iPhone
Apple iPad
Portable hand-held book reader
such as Amazon Kindle
Cell phone
Base: Age 12-24
Today's 12-24s own a broad
variety of devices -- most of
which did not even exist in 2000
Radio:
Good News and Bad News
hours:minutes
"In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?"
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
On the Internet
Watching television
Listening to the radio
Playing video games
Talking on the telephone
Reading magazines
Reading newspapers
2000: 12-24s
0:59
2:37
1:44
0:24
0:17
2:43
0:42
In 2000, 12-24s self-reported one hour
per day on Internet; 2:43 on radio
hours:minutes
"In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?"
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
On the Internet
Watching television
Listening to the radio
Playing video games
Talking on the telephone
Reading magazines
Reading newspapers
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
2:52
1:24
0:08
2:47
0:11
1:10
1:04
0:59
2:37
1:44
0:24
0:17
2:43
0:42
Ten years later, teens and young
adults report nearly three hours per
day on Internet and much less radio
"Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time...?"
2
2
7
16
4
22
27
40
12
14
35
22
30
23
23
17
17
28
36
44
43
35
45
45
46
33
40
48
18
27
19
28
10
10
9
20
On the Internet
Watching television
Listening to the radio
Playing video games
Talking on the telephone
Reading magazines
Reading newspapers
Going to concerts
Going to movies
0 20 40 60 80 100
LessMore Same
Don't Know/
NA
Base: Age 12-24
Radio is one of only three options with a
'net more' among 12-24s; along with
Internet and surprisingly, telephone
Almost every day
4%
Regularly, but not daily
10%
Sometimes
28%
Almost never
58%
"How often do you read a printed newspaper?"
Base: Age 12-24
If 'Schadenfreude' helps:
Hey, you could be working in
the Newspaper Industry!
38
45
42
39
46
45
40
27
51
46
31
23
18
17
16
14
88
90
72
62
65
62
56
42
0 20 40 60 80 100
% finding out about new music from (item)
Listening to the radio
Friends
YouTube
Music video channels
Music featured on television shows
Appearances by artists on television
Social networking Web sites
Internet radio stations like
Pandora, Last.fm or Yahoo Music
page 1
Base: Age 12-24
Frequently Sometimes"How often do you learn
about new music by...?"
Radio remains the leading source
for learning about new music
22
26
34
27
32
23
18
11
11
10
9
8
8
3
34
36
43
36
40
31
20
0 20 40 60 80 100
% finding out about new music from (item)Base: Age 12-24
Frequently Sometimes
Looking through friends’ libraries
using Limewire or a similar service
Recommendations from online music
stores like iTunes or Amazon.com
Songs featured in video games
Streaming AM/FM radio stations online
Concerts or other live performances
Web sites/blogs that
discuss new music
Music magazines such as
Rolling Stone, Spin or Vibe
page 2
"How often do you learn
about new music by...?"
Radio streams are referenced
by more than one-third of 12-24s
as a source for new music
5
8
10
11
10
17
21
31
15
20
24
31
37
36
40
37
53
52
49
45
33
37
31
25
27
20
17
13
20
9
8
8
0 20 40 60 80 100
You listen to AM/FM radio in order to
hear your favorite songs
You listen to AM/FM radio in order
to learn about new songs
You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find out
what the popular songs are
You only ever listen to AM/FM radio in the car
You enjoy hearing personalities and
DJs along with the music
You regularly use AM/FM radio for news updates
Agree
Strongly
You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find out
about things going on in your community
You regularly listen to talk radio/sports talk
radio hosts on AM/FM radio
Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to AM/FM radio
Agree Disagree
Disagree
Strongly
"Do you agree or disagree...?"
Radio's strengths: Hits, New Music,
to know what's popular; and a
majority do want personality
None
64%
One
15%
Two
9%
Three or more
12%
"Approximately how many concerts have you attended in the last year?"
None
43%
One
20%
Two
13%
Three or more
24%
Mean: 0.9 concerts attendedMean: 2.1 concerts attended
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Also the concert industry -- once
seen as the great hope of music --
has been whacked by the economy
From friends, family or coworkers
43%
Heard on AM/FM radio station
17%
Social network site
10%
Music artist/group Web site
8%
Ticket Web site
7%Email from the concert venue
3%
AM/FM radio station Web site
1%
Other
4%
Don't know
7%
"Of those concerts you attended, where did you most often first hear about them?"
Base: Age 12-24 and have attended at least one concert in last year
Radio tops social media as
source for concert information
Average number of music CDs
purchased in last 12 months
"Approximately how many music CDs have you bought in the last 12 months --
that is, the physical or packaged disk?"
11.3
3.4
11.3
4.3
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
2000: 12-24s
2010: 22-34s
12-24s report vastly fewer physical
CDs purchased; even the 'cohort'
members have dropped by 62%
785 770
680 655 667
615 595
500
427
380
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Digital album sales
Physical album sales
Album sales in millionsSource: Soundscan
Soundscan, tracking all ages, shows
the dramatic drops in album sales
Yes
65%
No
35%
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Yes
31%
No
69%
"Have you ever downloaded MP3s or other digital music files from the Internet?"
With the advent of devices, 'stores'
and broadband, way more
12-24s now download music
"How often do you obtain music by...?"
16
12
9
8
6
5
4
3
6
7
4
4
4
3
2
2
23
19
13
12
10
8
6
5
0 10 20 30
Purchasing digital music files
online from iTunes
Downloading for free from peer-to-peer or
BitTorrent apps like Limewire
Receiving digital music files from a friend via
e-mail/IM/Internet/sharing a flash drive
Downloading music for free from an
artist/record label Web site
Downloading music for free
from an MP3 blog
Downloading files online fr. music sub. services
w/ monthly fee for unlimited downloads
Once per week
or more
Once per month or more
(but less than once per week)
Purchasing through a direct link from an online
music service such as Pandora or Shazam
Purchasing digital music files
online from Amazon.com
Base: Age 12-24
Many of our young
respondents were happy to
report their 'illegal' downloads
% saying "yes"
"In the morning, do you regularly...?"
49
42
42
41
8
62
38
16
74
29
Listen to music other than the radio
Watch TV
Use the Internet
Listen to the radio
Read a newspaper
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
In the last decade, Radio has lost its
edge as the most prevalent activity
in the morning for young people
% saying "yes"
"In the morning, do you regularly...?"
35
45
47
53
14
62
38
16
74
29
Listen to music other than the radio
Watch TV
Use the Internet
Listen to the radio
Read a newspaper
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 22-34s
Radio remains the top choice for
22-34s, but Internet and TV have
nearly eliminated the gap
Watch TV
24%
Listen to radio
22%
Read newspaper
2%
Music other than radio
18%
Use Internet
21%None/Don't know
14%
"Which do you do most in the morning?"
2000: 12-24s
Watch TV
18%
Listen to radio
44%
Read newspaper
6%
Music other than radio
21%
Use Internet
4%
None/Don't know
6%
2010: 12-24s
Television has passed Radio as the
'most used' in the morning among 12-24s
Watch TV
25%
Listen to radio
29%
Read newspaper
3%
Music other than radio
9%
Use Internet
23%
None/Don't know
11%
"Which do you do most in the morning?"
2010: 22-34s
Watch TV
18%
Listen to radio
44%
Read newspaper
6%
Music other than radio
21%
Use Internet
4%
None/Don't know
6%
2000: 12-24s
Over ten years, this cohort still
uses Radio most in the mornings
but Internet and TV grow
74
73
62
45
39
75
74
63
47
25
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
AM/FM radio stations play too many commercials
"Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?"
% saying "yes" this is a reason they
do not listen to AM/FM radio more
You would rather listen to your own music instead,
such as on your iPod/mp3 player or CDs*
*2000 wording: "CDs and cassettes"
page 1
AM/FM radio stations have too much talk
You prefer to watch television instead
You prefer to play video games instead
Biggest reason they don't listen
more hasn't changed one bit:
Too Many Commercials
37
36
30
26
16
43
51
44
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
You don’t hear the music you like on AM/FM radio
"Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?"
You just don’t think to listen to
AM/FM radio more often
page 2
You don’t have enough time to listen
You prefer Internet-only radio such as Pandora
DJs and personalities that you
like are no longer on the air
% saying "yes" this is a reason they
do not listen to AM/FM radio more
Interestingly, today's 12-24s are less
likely to say that they aren't hearing
the music the like on the radio
64
60
59
36
25
66
71
31
29
0 20 40 60 80 100
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
The radio stations in your local area
do a good job of playing all the
kinds of music you want to hear
Being a radio station DJ seems like
it would be a really cool job
% agreeing with statement
You would be very disappointed if the AM/FM radio
stations you listen to no longer existed
In the future, no one your age will
listen to the radio because
everything will be on the Internet
In the future, no one your age
will watch television because
everything will be on the Internet
In these job-challenged days --
why do so few young people think
Radio DJ sounds like a cool job?
They like us, they
really ike us!
Social Networking:
An Entire New Form
of Media Emerges
8
4
16
28
17
61
17
2
2
18
3
8
18
19
8
12
55
4
MySpace
Facebook
Twitter
0 20 40 60 80 100
Unfamiliar
Actively
Use
Occasionally
Use
Have
acct./profile,
do not use
Had
acct./profile,
deleted it
Familiar
with, but
never used
Base: Age 12-24
Three-quarters of 12-24s use
Facebook at least occasionally;
MySpace struggles
"Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time using...?"
9
3
14
59
17
34
22
30
28
10
51
24
MySpace
Facebook
Twitter
0 20 40 60 80 100
LessMore Same
Don't
Know
Base: Age 12-24 and have ever used (social network)
Facebook appears unstoppable
22
8
8
7
2
Phone
Text message
Facebook
Email
Twitter
0 10 20 30 40
"Have you ever communicated with an AM/FM radio station or one of its DJs or personalities by...?"
% saying "yes"
Communication between listener
and radio station via modern
means is still in development stage
Music Trends:
Some things change;
One thing stays exactly
the same
"Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?"
22
18
10
8 8 8
5 4
1 1
23
10
20
6
12
5
2
8
3
1
H
ip-H
op
and
R
apTop
40
H
itM
usicA
lternative
R
ock
C
ountry
R
&
B
C
lassic
R
ock
C
ont.C
hristian
H
ard
R
ock/H
eavy
M
etal
SoftR
ock
C
lassical
0
10
20
30
2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s
Top 40 is ascendent in the
last decade while both
Contemporary Rock formats are halved
"Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?"
13
16
12 11
9
7
5
3
2 3
23
10
20
6
12
5
2
8
3
1
H
ip-H
op
and
R
apTop
40
H
itM
usicA
lternative
R
ock
C
ountry
R
&
B
C
lassic
R
ock
C
ont.C
hristian
H
ard
R
ock/H
eavy
M
etal
SoftR
ock
C
lassical
0
10
20
30
2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s
Today's 22-34s have grown
away from Rap and Rock; into
Top 40, Country and Christian
2000 2010
1. Eminem 1. Eminem
2. 'N Sync 2. Lady Gaga
3. Limp Bizkit 3. Lil Wayne
4. Britney Spears 4. Taylor Swift
5. Korn 5. Drake
6. Backstreet Boys 6. Rihanna
7. DMX 7. Beatles
8. Dr. Dre 8. Katy Perry
9. Metallica 9. T.I.
10. Blink-182 10. Green Day
What are your five favorite
musical artists or group?
(most mentions)
Base: Age 12-24
The Big Threat:
Yes
33%
No
67%
"Have you ever listened to the Internet-only radio station called Pandora?"
Base: Age 12-24
One-in-three 12-24s have tried Pandora
8
5
20
1311
6
Last Month Last Week
0
10
20
30
40
AM/FM online streams Pandora Other Internet-only streams (not Pandora)
% listening to each type of online radioBase: Age 12-24
Pandora has a self-reported 13%
weekly cume, more than all other
Internet and AM/FM streams combined
55
52
46
46
42
39
29
8
0 20 40 60 80
You like the ability to create ‘radio stations’
based on your favorite songs or artists
You like the ability to skip songs
Pandora is easy to use
Pandora seems to play a wider selection of
songs than AM/FM radio stations
Pandora has fewer commercials
than AM/FM radio
Pandora learns about your personal music tastes
and continues to adapt the music it selects
Pandora has no personalities or DJs
Pandora would be better if it had personalities or
DJs who talk about the music
Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to Pandora
"Do you agree or disagree you
listen to Pandora because...?"
% agreeing "strongly"
Pandora's most 'non-radio' aspects
(create stations and skip songs)
are its most 'killer apps'
Our Next Steps:
Radio Innovations
Listen a lot more
11%
Listen a little more
23%
No effect
35%
Do not have cell phone
19%
Don't know
12%
"If your cell phone had an FM radio tuner, would it lead you to listen to FM radio a lot more than you do
now, a little more than you do now or would it have no effect on your radio listening?"
Base: Age 12-24
One-third of 12-24s say that putting
an FM tuner on their cell phones
would lead to more listening
Very interested
28%
Somewhat interested
39%
Not very interested
23%
Not at all interested
3%
Don't know
7%
"Suppose the vehicle you are in the most had a radio with the ability to pause, rewind
and fast forward live AM/FM broadcasts, similar to a television DVR.
It would also be able to record AM/FM shows on demand.
How interested would you be in your vehicle having a radio with these features?"
Base: Age 12-24
There is significant interest in a
Radio TiVo type of radio application
% saying "yes"
42
46
42
61
2000: 12-24s
2010: 12-24s
2000: 12-24s
2010: 22-34s
0 20 40 60 80 100
"Have you ever visited a radio station's Web site?"
Today's 12-24s are only slightly more
likely to have visited a Radio Station site;
the 'cohort' does show increased usage
Yes
42%
No
58%
"Have you ever heard of HD Radio?"
Base: Age 12-24
After all these years and all the radio
commercials, only four-in-ten 12-24s
have even heard of HD Radio
Recommendations to Radio from the
2010 "American Youth Study"
Send more stations after these demos or
watch them fade away -- the consumer and
the advertisers still see radio as a youth
medium -- why don't the owners?
Claim Internet audio or lose it
It can't just be your over-the-air product
Must be a font of innovation -- learn from what is
driving Pandora
Find ways to work together as an industry
Standardization and co-ordination can create
multiplier effects
Recruit young people -- Radio's biggest
challenges are HR challenges
Edison research american_youth_study_radios_future

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Edison research american_youth_study_radios_future

  • 1. Radio's Future II: The 2010 American Youth Study Sponsored by:
  • 2. Recommendations to Radio from the 2000 "American Youth Study" Send stations after these demos or watch them fade away Co-opt Internet audio or lose it Just like Cable TV to Broadcast Explore co-branded side channels Consider industry advertising a la "Got Milk" Recruit young people -- we can't just depend on them showing up any longer
  • 3. How the 2010 Survey Was Conducted: A sequel to Edison Research's survey from 2000, "Radio's Future: Today's 12 to 24 year-olds" 1533 interviews nationwide 875 interviews age 12-24 (demo) 888 interviews age 22-34 (cohort) Online survey of respondents ages 12 to 34 employing "KnowledgePanel" from Knowledge Networks Interviews conducted 9/8 - 9/13, 2010 Data matched to national age and sex demographics
  • 4. What you will see today: The impact of an incredible decade of media transformation The extraordinary resilience of radio And -- the challenges radio faces
  • 5. 27% 37% 27% 6% 3% "Which best describes your spending over the past twelve months on discretionary expenses, such as entertainment, recreation, or leisure items?" Have significantly cut back Have cut back a little Have not changed spending on discretionary expenses Spending a little more Spending significantly more Base: Age 12-24 Remember the halcyon days of the Internet Bubble leading into 2000? They aren't here anymore
  • 6. The Cell Phone: The most influential driver of changed habits
  • 7. Yes 81% No 19% 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s Yes 29% No 71% "Do you have your own cell phone?" The cell phone goes from somewhat rare device to must-have among 12-24s in ten years time
  • 8. Yes 43% No 52% Don't know 5% "Is your cell phone also a smart phone? (It has advanced capabilities beyond a typical mobile phone — such as the ability to send and receive email, access the Internet, listen to audio and watch video, and download apps)" Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone More than four-in-ten 12-24s who carry cell phones say theirs is a 'Smart Phone'
  • 9. "Do you ever (item) on your cell phone?" 92 51 50 45 40 37 18 16 0 20 40 60 80 100 % ever doing each activity Send or receive text messages Browse the Internet Play games Use social networking sites such as Facebook or Twitter Listen to music you have transferred/downloaded onto the phone Watch video Listen to Internet-only radio such as Pandora Listen to the stream of any FM or AM radio stations Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone 12-24 year old cell users engage in a broad variety of behaviors on phones; 'Radio' streams narrowly trail Pandora
  • 10. "Do you have your own...?" 81 56 46 35 7 3 2 0 20 40 60 80 100 % owning device Laptop computer Apple iPod Portable MP3 player other than Apple iPod Apple iPhone Apple iPad Portable hand-held book reader such as Amazon Kindle Cell phone Base: Age 12-24 Today's 12-24s own a broad variety of devices -- most of which did not even exist in 2000
  • 12. hours:minutes "In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?" 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 On the Internet Watching television Listening to the radio Playing video games Talking on the telephone Reading magazines Reading newspapers 2000: 12-24s 0:59 2:37 1:44 0:24 0:17 2:43 0:42 In 2000, 12-24s self-reported one hour per day on Internet; 2:43 on radio
  • 13. hours:minutes "In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?" 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 On the Internet Watching television Listening to the radio Playing video games Talking on the telephone Reading magazines Reading newspapers 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s 2:52 1:24 0:08 2:47 0:11 1:10 1:04 0:59 2:37 1:44 0:24 0:17 2:43 0:42 Ten years later, teens and young adults report nearly three hours per day on Internet and much less radio
  • 14. "Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time...?" 2 2 7 16 4 22 27 40 12 14 35 22 30 23 23 17 17 28 36 44 43 35 45 45 46 33 40 48 18 27 19 28 10 10 9 20 On the Internet Watching television Listening to the radio Playing video games Talking on the telephone Reading magazines Reading newspapers Going to concerts Going to movies 0 20 40 60 80 100 LessMore Same Don't Know/ NA Base: Age 12-24 Radio is one of only three options with a 'net more' among 12-24s; along with Internet and surprisingly, telephone
  • 15. Almost every day 4% Regularly, but not daily 10% Sometimes 28% Almost never 58% "How often do you read a printed newspaper?" Base: Age 12-24 If 'Schadenfreude' helps: Hey, you could be working in the Newspaper Industry!
  • 16. 38 45 42 39 46 45 40 27 51 46 31 23 18 17 16 14 88 90 72 62 65 62 56 42 0 20 40 60 80 100 % finding out about new music from (item) Listening to the radio Friends YouTube Music video channels Music featured on television shows Appearances by artists on television Social networking Web sites Internet radio stations like Pandora, Last.fm or Yahoo Music page 1 Base: Age 12-24 Frequently Sometimes"How often do you learn about new music by...?" Radio remains the leading source for learning about new music
  • 17. 22 26 34 27 32 23 18 11 11 10 9 8 8 3 34 36 43 36 40 31 20 0 20 40 60 80 100 % finding out about new music from (item)Base: Age 12-24 Frequently Sometimes Looking through friends’ libraries using Limewire or a similar service Recommendations from online music stores like iTunes or Amazon.com Songs featured in video games Streaming AM/FM radio stations online Concerts or other live performances Web sites/blogs that discuss new music Music magazines such as Rolling Stone, Spin or Vibe page 2 "How often do you learn about new music by...?" Radio streams are referenced by more than one-third of 12-24s as a source for new music
  • 18. 5 8 10 11 10 17 21 31 15 20 24 31 37 36 40 37 53 52 49 45 33 37 31 25 27 20 17 13 20 9 8 8 0 20 40 60 80 100 You listen to AM/FM radio in order to hear your favorite songs You listen to AM/FM radio in order to learn about new songs You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find out what the popular songs are You only ever listen to AM/FM radio in the car You enjoy hearing personalities and DJs along with the music You regularly use AM/FM radio for news updates Agree Strongly You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find out about things going on in your community You regularly listen to talk radio/sports talk radio hosts on AM/FM radio Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to AM/FM radio Agree Disagree Disagree Strongly "Do you agree or disagree...?" Radio's strengths: Hits, New Music, to know what's popular; and a majority do want personality
  • 19. None 64% One 15% Two 9% Three or more 12% "Approximately how many concerts have you attended in the last year?" None 43% One 20% Two 13% Three or more 24% Mean: 0.9 concerts attendedMean: 2.1 concerts attended 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s Also the concert industry -- once seen as the great hope of music -- has been whacked by the economy
  • 20. From friends, family or coworkers 43% Heard on AM/FM radio station 17% Social network site 10% Music artist/group Web site 8% Ticket Web site 7%Email from the concert venue 3% AM/FM radio station Web site 1% Other 4% Don't know 7% "Of those concerts you attended, where did you most often first hear about them?" Base: Age 12-24 and have attended at least one concert in last year Radio tops social media as source for concert information
  • 21. Average number of music CDs purchased in last 12 months "Approximately how many music CDs have you bought in the last 12 months -- that is, the physical or packaged disk?" 11.3 3.4 11.3 4.3 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s 2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s 12-24s report vastly fewer physical CDs purchased; even the 'cohort' members have dropped by 62%
  • 22. 785 770 680 655 667 615 595 500 427 380 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Digital album sales Physical album sales Album sales in millionsSource: Soundscan Soundscan, tracking all ages, shows the dramatic drops in album sales
  • 23. Yes 65% No 35% 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s Yes 31% No 69% "Have you ever downloaded MP3s or other digital music files from the Internet?" With the advent of devices, 'stores' and broadband, way more 12-24s now download music
  • 24. "How often do you obtain music by...?" 16 12 9 8 6 5 4 3 6 7 4 4 4 3 2 2 23 19 13 12 10 8 6 5 0 10 20 30 Purchasing digital music files online from iTunes Downloading for free from peer-to-peer or BitTorrent apps like Limewire Receiving digital music files from a friend via e-mail/IM/Internet/sharing a flash drive Downloading music for free from an artist/record label Web site Downloading music for free from an MP3 blog Downloading files online fr. music sub. services w/ monthly fee for unlimited downloads Once per week or more Once per month or more (but less than once per week) Purchasing through a direct link from an online music service such as Pandora or Shazam Purchasing digital music files online from Amazon.com Base: Age 12-24 Many of our young respondents were happy to report their 'illegal' downloads
  • 25. % saying "yes" "In the morning, do you regularly...?" 49 42 42 41 8 62 38 16 74 29 Listen to music other than the radio Watch TV Use the Internet Listen to the radio Read a newspaper 0 20 40 60 80 100 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s In the last decade, Radio has lost its edge as the most prevalent activity in the morning for young people
  • 26. % saying "yes" "In the morning, do you regularly...?" 35 45 47 53 14 62 38 16 74 29 Listen to music other than the radio Watch TV Use the Internet Listen to the radio Read a newspaper 0 20 40 60 80 100 2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s Radio remains the top choice for 22-34s, but Internet and TV have nearly eliminated the gap
  • 27. Watch TV 24% Listen to radio 22% Read newspaper 2% Music other than radio 18% Use Internet 21%None/Don't know 14% "Which do you do most in the morning?" 2000: 12-24s Watch TV 18% Listen to radio 44% Read newspaper 6% Music other than radio 21% Use Internet 4% None/Don't know 6% 2010: 12-24s Television has passed Radio as the 'most used' in the morning among 12-24s
  • 28. Watch TV 25% Listen to radio 29% Read newspaper 3% Music other than radio 9% Use Internet 23% None/Don't know 11% "Which do you do most in the morning?" 2010: 22-34s Watch TV 18% Listen to radio 44% Read newspaper 6% Music other than radio 21% Use Internet 4% None/Don't know 6% 2000: 12-24s Over ten years, this cohort still uses Radio most in the mornings but Internet and TV grow
  • 29. 74 73 62 45 39 75 74 63 47 25 0 20 40 60 80 100 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s AM/FM radio stations play too many commercials "Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?" % saying "yes" this is a reason they do not listen to AM/FM radio more You would rather listen to your own music instead, such as on your iPod/mp3 player or CDs* *2000 wording: "CDs and cassettes" page 1 AM/FM radio stations have too much talk You prefer to watch television instead You prefer to play video games instead Biggest reason they don't listen more hasn't changed one bit: Too Many Commercials
  • 30. 37 36 30 26 16 43 51 44 0 20 40 60 80 100 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s You don’t hear the music you like on AM/FM radio "Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?" You just don’t think to listen to AM/FM radio more often page 2 You don’t have enough time to listen You prefer Internet-only radio such as Pandora DJs and personalities that you like are no longer on the air % saying "yes" this is a reason they do not listen to AM/FM radio more Interestingly, today's 12-24s are less likely to say that they aren't hearing the music the like on the radio
  • 31. 64 60 59 36 25 66 71 31 29 0 20 40 60 80 100 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s The radio stations in your local area do a good job of playing all the kinds of music you want to hear Being a radio station DJ seems like it would be a really cool job % agreeing with statement You would be very disappointed if the AM/FM radio stations you listen to no longer existed In the future, no one your age will listen to the radio because everything will be on the Internet In the future, no one your age will watch television because everything will be on the Internet In these job-challenged days -- why do so few young people think Radio DJ sounds like a cool job? They like us, they really ike us!
  • 32. Social Networking: An Entire New Form of Media Emerges
  • 33. 8 4 16 28 17 61 17 2 2 18 3 8 18 19 8 12 55 4 MySpace Facebook Twitter 0 20 40 60 80 100 Unfamiliar Actively Use Occasionally Use Have acct./profile, do not use Had acct./profile, deleted it Familiar with, but never used Base: Age 12-24 Three-quarters of 12-24s use Facebook at least occasionally; MySpace struggles
  • 34. "Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time using...?" 9 3 14 59 17 34 22 30 28 10 51 24 MySpace Facebook Twitter 0 20 40 60 80 100 LessMore Same Don't Know Base: Age 12-24 and have ever used (social network) Facebook appears unstoppable
  • 35. 22 8 8 7 2 Phone Text message Facebook Email Twitter 0 10 20 30 40 "Have you ever communicated with an AM/FM radio station or one of its DJs or personalities by...?" % saying "yes" Communication between listener and radio station via modern means is still in development stage
  • 36. Music Trends: Some things change; One thing stays exactly the same
  • 37. "Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?" 22 18 10 8 8 8 5 4 1 1 23 10 20 6 12 5 2 8 3 1 H ip-H op and R apTop 40 H itM usicA lternative R ock C ountry R & B C lassic R ock C ont.C hristian H ard R ock/H eavy M etal SoftR ock C lassical 0 10 20 30 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s Top 40 is ascendent in the last decade while both Contemporary Rock formats are halved
  • 38. "Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?" 13 16 12 11 9 7 5 3 2 3 23 10 20 6 12 5 2 8 3 1 H ip-H op and R apTop 40 H itM usicA lternative R ock C ountry R & B C lassic R ock C ont.C hristian H ard R ock/H eavy M etal SoftR ock C lassical 0 10 20 30 2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s Today's 22-34s have grown away from Rap and Rock; into Top 40, Country and Christian
  • 39. 2000 2010 1. Eminem 1. Eminem 2. 'N Sync 2. Lady Gaga 3. Limp Bizkit 3. Lil Wayne 4. Britney Spears 4. Taylor Swift 5. Korn 5. Drake 6. Backstreet Boys 6. Rihanna 7. DMX 7. Beatles 8. Dr. Dre 8. Katy Perry 9. Metallica 9. T.I. 10. Blink-182 10. Green Day What are your five favorite musical artists or group? (most mentions) Base: Age 12-24
  • 41. Yes 33% No 67% "Have you ever listened to the Internet-only radio station called Pandora?" Base: Age 12-24 One-in-three 12-24s have tried Pandora
  • 42. 8 5 20 1311 6 Last Month Last Week 0 10 20 30 40 AM/FM online streams Pandora Other Internet-only streams (not Pandora) % listening to each type of online radioBase: Age 12-24 Pandora has a self-reported 13% weekly cume, more than all other Internet and AM/FM streams combined
  • 43. 55 52 46 46 42 39 29 8 0 20 40 60 80 You like the ability to create ‘radio stations’ based on your favorite songs or artists You like the ability to skip songs Pandora is easy to use Pandora seems to play a wider selection of songs than AM/FM radio stations Pandora has fewer commercials than AM/FM radio Pandora learns about your personal music tastes and continues to adapt the music it selects Pandora has no personalities or DJs Pandora would be better if it had personalities or DJs who talk about the music Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to Pandora "Do you agree or disagree you listen to Pandora because...?" % agreeing "strongly" Pandora's most 'non-radio' aspects (create stations and skip songs) are its most 'killer apps'
  • 44. Our Next Steps: Radio Innovations
  • 45. Listen a lot more 11% Listen a little more 23% No effect 35% Do not have cell phone 19% Don't know 12% "If your cell phone had an FM radio tuner, would it lead you to listen to FM radio a lot more than you do now, a little more than you do now or would it have no effect on your radio listening?" Base: Age 12-24 One-third of 12-24s say that putting an FM tuner on their cell phones would lead to more listening
  • 46. Very interested 28% Somewhat interested 39% Not very interested 23% Not at all interested 3% Don't know 7% "Suppose the vehicle you are in the most had a radio with the ability to pause, rewind and fast forward live AM/FM broadcasts, similar to a television DVR. It would also be able to record AM/FM shows on demand. How interested would you be in your vehicle having a radio with these features?" Base: Age 12-24 There is significant interest in a Radio TiVo type of radio application
  • 47. % saying "yes" 42 46 42 61 2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s 2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s 0 20 40 60 80 100 "Have you ever visited a radio station's Web site?" Today's 12-24s are only slightly more likely to have visited a Radio Station site; the 'cohort' does show increased usage
  • 48. Yes 42% No 58% "Have you ever heard of HD Radio?" Base: Age 12-24 After all these years and all the radio commercials, only four-in-ten 12-24s have even heard of HD Radio
  • 49. Recommendations to Radio from the 2010 "American Youth Study" Send more stations after these demos or watch them fade away -- the consumer and the advertisers still see radio as a youth medium -- why don't the owners? Claim Internet audio or lose it It can't just be your over-the-air product Must be a font of innovation -- learn from what is driving Pandora Find ways to work together as an industry Standardization and co-ordination can create multiplier effects Recruit young people -- Radio's biggest challenges are HR challenges