The document summarizes a presentation on monitoring and evaluation of the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) in West Africa. It discusses the transition from the Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (SAKSS) to the Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (ReSAKSS), CAADP's basic targets and principles, ReSAKSS' role in supporting CAADP implementation, modeling of agriculture in the region, the CAADP M&E framework, findings from the first comprehensive CAADP M&E report, and prospects for the future.

1. CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK AND MODELING IN
WEST AFRICA
By Mbaye Yade Sub Coordinator ReSAKSS WA
R4D Week 2010: Mini-Symposium on
Outcomes and Impact Assessments
-----------------------------------
IBADAN, NIGERIA, 24 NOVEMBER 2010
1

2. OUTLINE
• SAKSS TO RESAKSS
• CAADP BASIC TARGETS AND PRINCIPLES
• ReSAKSS => CAADP
• COUNTRY CAAPD CYCLE
• MODELING AGRICULTURE
• CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
• 1ST COMPREHENSIVE M&E REPORT
• PROSPECTS
2

3. FROM SAKSS TO ReSAKSS
• SAKSS:
– INITIATIVE FROM CG-SYSTEM
– FOCUS ON STRATEGIC ANALYSIS AND SOME COUNTRIES
– SUPPLY DRIVEN
• FROM 2006/07 FOCUSED ON CAADP IMPLEMENTATION =>
ReSAKSS:
– GREATER LINK TO REC’S
– 3 NODES COVERING 3 REC’S WITH CONTINENT WIDE
COORDINATION
– TAKE ADVANTAGE OF EXISTING NETWORKS AND
CAPACITIES
– BROADER COVERAGE
3

4. Some basic Targets and Principles of
CAADP
• CAADP as a strategic framework by which to
guide country development efforts and
partnerships in the agricultural sector:
• agriculture led growth for poverty
reduction;
• increased funding of agriculture (10%)
and
• at least 6% agriculture growth – all
targeted at achieving MGD1 and other
welfare targets
4

5. Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP
• Greater efficiency and consistency in the
planning and execution of sector policies and
programmes
• Increased effectiveness in translating
government expenditures into public goods
and services, and
• Expertise and mechanisms to regularly and
transparently measure performance against
targets and keep policies and programmes on
track.
5

6. ReSAKSS AS SUPPORT OF CAADP
IMPLEMENTATION
• 3 Regional ReSAKSS nodes to:
– Facilitate access by the RECs and their member
states to policy-relevant analyses of the highest
quality  improve policymaking,
– Track progress, document success, and derive
lessons that can feed into the review and
learning processes associated with the
implementation of the CAADP agenda
6

7. ReSAKSS AS SUPPORT OF CAADP
IMPLEMENTATION

– (1) mobilize existing expertise , capacities and
knowledge => design, implementation, and
evaluation of CAADP programs.
– (2) provide assistance to countries in the
establishment of national knowledge system nodes
to support CAADP implementation
7

8. ReSAKSS AS SUPPORT OF CAADP
IMPLEMENTATION
• Work with the national nodes to provide relevant and
timely information to guide:
– Mutual review at the continental level to review overall
progress in the implementation of CAADP
– Peer review at the regional level to promote dialogue
and mutual learning around the review of progress and
performance
– Progress review at the national level to ensure that
country level policies and programs are aligned with
CAADP principles and on track to meet the country-
specific targets and objectives
8

9. THE COUNTRY CAADP CYCLE
9

10. CAADP MODELING
• PAST PERFORMANCE AND OUTLOOK FOR AGRICULTURAL
GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION
– Examine recent agricultural growth performance and future
growth and poverty outcomes based on observed trends;
– Compare trends with the targets established for the sector
under the ECOWP/CAADP agenda and with MDG1
– Measuring the prospects of meeting these targets and
analyzing the implications for future sector growth and
poverty-reduction strategies;
– Estimating the long term funding needs to accelerate
agricultural growth and achieve the poverty MDG.
10

11. CAADP MODELING
Contribution of agricultural growth to poverty reduction
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
BENIN BURKINA CAPE GAMBIE GHANA GUINEE LIBERIA MALI NIGER NIGERIA SENEGAL TOGO
FASO VERT CONAKRY
Agriculture Non Agriculture sectors

12. CAADP MODELING
Long term contributions (=> 2015) of 1% agricultural growth to
increases of agricultural GDP and poverty reduction
450 35
400
Ag GDP (Millions US$)
30
Poverty reduction (%)
350
25
300
250 20
200 15
150
10
100
5
50
0 0
Benin Burkina Cape Verde The Gambia Ghana Guinea Liberia Mali Niger Senegal Togo
Faso
Growth in Agricultural GDP Reduction in national poverty rate

13. CAADP MODELING
Strategic ag sub sectors for ag growth and poverty reduction
BENIN Food crops (Roots and Tuber)*
BURKINA FASO Cattle and Sorghum/millet
CAPE VERDE Food crops
GAMBIA Cereals (millet/Sorghum)* and livestock
GHANA Root crops and fisheries
GUINEA Rice
LIBERIA Food crops
MALI Food crops (Rice; Millet/Sorghum)*
NIGER Livestock
NIGERIA Cassava, Rice
SENEGAL Livestock and food crops (millet/sorghum; Rice)*
SIERRA LEONE Cassava
TOGO Food crops
* For countries where a disaggregated SAM did not exist, results were taken from the IFPRI multi-market model

14. CAADP MODELING
Expected agricultural growth rate by 2015* under
different scenarios
16.0 16.0
14.0 14.0
12.0 12.0
10.0 10.0
8.0 8.0
6.0 6.0
4.0 4.0
2.0 2.0
0.0 0.0
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bau national strategies CAADP
*For Nigeria, the time horizon was extended to 2017 when the country is expected to halve the poverty rate compared to its 1996 level.

15. CAADP MODELING
Expected poverty reduction by 2015 under different scenarios
bau national strategies CAADP MDG1
40.0
20.0
0.0
-20.0
-40.0
-60.0
-80.0
-100.0
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16. CAADP MODELING
Current share of agricultural spending Required agricultural funding
in total spending (%) growth rate to achieve 6 %
agricultural growth (CAADP)
16

17. CAADP MODELING
Current responsiveness of agricultural growth
to agricultural funding
17

18. CAADP M&E Framework
• Request from AU/NEPAD addressed to ReSAKSS
• Validation of the Framework March 2010
• SMART: Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Realistic
and Timely
• Main Questions addressed:
– What are the projected impacts if policies and
investments proceed as currently planned?
– Have expectations in terms of achieving the growth and
poverty- and hunger-reduction targets been met so far?
18

19. CAADP M&E Framework
• Main Questions addressed:
– What factors have shaped the level of impact that has
been achieved?
– Are these projected impacts compatible with the growth
and poverty- and hunger-reduction goals?
– Could greater or better distributed outcomes and impacts
be obtained by reconfiguring the policies and investment
portfolio?
– What are the different policies and types of investments
that can lead to greater and more sustainable growth as
well as greater and better distributed outcomes and
impacts?
– Etc.
19

20. CAADP M&E Framework
• ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
• CAADP COUNTRY IMPLEMENTATION
PROCESS
• COMMITMENTS AND FINANCING
• AGRICULTURAL SECTOR PERFORMANCE
• CAADP GOALS/MDG1
20

21. CAADP M&E Framework
• ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
– POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE
– POLICIES FOR PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
• CAADP COUNTRY IMPLEMENTATION
PROCESS
– STAGE IN COUNTRY ROUNDTABLE PROCESS AND
QUALITY OF PARTICIPATION
21

22. CAADP M&E Framework
• COMMITMENTS AND FINANCING
– DONOR COMMITMENTS AND DISBURSEMENTS
– GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND INVESTMENT IN
AGRICULTURE
– PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENTS
22

23. CAADP M&E Framework
• AGRICULTURAL SECTOR PERFORMANCE
– CAPACITY
– AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AND SOURCES OF
GROWTH
– AGRICULTURAL TRADE
• CAADP GOALS/MDG1
– POVERTY
– HUNGER AND FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY
23

24. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• NO OR LIMITED PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION
• CHALLENGES:
• ACCESS TO DATA
• DATA QUALITY
• CONTINUITY
• DATA FORMAT COMPATIBILITY
• SUSTAINABILITY
24

25. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• TEAM: CORE COUNTRY ACTORS
– Planning and statistics unit of MINAGRI (PSU) as coordinator
– National Institute of Statistics (poverty unit, national
accounting unit)
– Budget unit in Ministries of Finance
– Professional think tanks
– Market information systems
– M&E units in other relevant ministries such as livestock,
environment, fisheries, trade, etc
– NARS including Universities
– Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP) unit
25

26. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• TEAM: REGIONAL
– ReSAKSS WA EXPERTS
– LEAD EXPERTS FOR EACH COMPONENT:
• FUNDING,
• MACRO PERFORMANCE,
• AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE,
• LIVELIHOODS
26

27. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• ACTIVITIES: REGIONAL
– Drafting of terms of reference: list and specification of
indicators, rationale, definitions, computation, sources
and links to policy targets; profile of collaborators
– Methodology workshops , quality review, technical
backstopping
– Regional synthesis of each component by ReSAKSS in
collaboration with lead experts
– Regional validation and dissemination workshop
– Finalization of regional trends and outlook report
27

28. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• ACTIVITIES AT NATIONAL LEVEL
– PSU as coordinator develops operational plan and monitors
execution
– Data collection and analysis by different subgroups following
the components
– Subgroup reports submitted to the planning unit with data
sheets as annexes
– Planning unit consolidates subgroup reports and submits to
ReSAKSS with all data sheets for review
– Technical meetings and national validation workshops
– Finalization of national trends and outlook report
28

29. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Evolution of public agricultural expenditure (in million of $ US in 2008)
4096
2048 Bénin
1024 Burkina Faso
512 Cote d'Ivoire
256
Gambia
128
Ghana
64
Liberia
32
Mali
16
Niger
8
Nigeria
4
Sénégal
2
1 Sierra Leone
1993
2003
1990
1991
1992
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Togo
29

30. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Evolution of the agriculture share in the total public expenditure
0.5
Burkina Faso
0.45
Cote d'Ivoire
0.4
Gambie
0.35 Ghana
0.3 Liberia
Mali
0.25
Niger
0.2
Nigeria
0.15
Sénégal
0.1
Sierra Leone
0.05 Togo
0 Cible
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
30

31. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
MAPUTO DECLARATION MONITORING
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
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Mea n 2000-2004 Mea n 2005-2008 Ta rget

32. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Breakdown of agricultural expenditure by economic use (average 2003-2007)
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Burkina Niger Mali Sénégal Nigeria Bénin Ghana Côte Togo
Faso d'Ivoire
Investment Recurrent
32

33. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Breakdown of agricultural expenditure by source of funding (average 2003-2007
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Niger Burkina Mali Togo Bénin Sénégal Côte Ghana
Faso d'Ivoire
Sha re of i nterna l res ources Sha re of externa l Res ources
33

34. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Distribution of agricultural expenditure by type (average 2004-2008)
100%
8.7
90% 17.7
17.5 0.0
80%
14.1 46.2
70% 56.1
64.6
6.5 Non desagregé
22.7 0.0
60% Autres
0.9 Intrants et equipements
50%
Vulgarisation
13.5
40% 7.8 Recherche et developpement
1.6 Irrigation
30% 12.0 12.7 61.7
53.0 Admistration
20%
33.9
21.9 24.8
10%
0% 2.1
Ghana Benin Togo Burkina Faso Mali
34

35. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Agricultural growth in 2008 and 2003-2007
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
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-10.0%
2008 2003-2007 Ta rget
35

36. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Contribution of different sub sectors in ag growth in 2008
100%
80%
60%
40% Peche, foresterie
Elevage
20% Production végétale
0%
Benin Burkina Faso Côte d'Ivoire Niger Nigeria Senegal Togo
-20%
-40%
36

37. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Distribution of agricultural exports by country 2000-2007
1.5% 0.6%
0.1% 0.1%
2.9% 1.7%
3.3% Côte d'Ivoire
4.2% Ghana
Senegal
5.0%
Mali
Nigeria
7.4% Benin
Burkina Faso
53.2%
Niger
Togo
Guinea
20.0%
Gambia
Cape Verde
37

38. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Distribution of agricultural exports by product in the region (2000-2005)
1.7% 1.1%
1.3% Cocoa
1.8%
1.8%
2.7% Cotton
5.6% Wood and Timber
Fish and other aquatic
Products
Coffe
11.3% 42.5%
Cashew Nut
Live Animals
Banana
Tobacco and Derivates
15.0%
Palm Oil
38

39. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Structure of food imports (2003-2007)
3%
5%
Rice
6% 22%
Wheat
Fish
7%
Milk Products
Edible Oils
Sugar and sweets
11%
Derivatives from Cereals and Milk
17%
Meat
13%
39

40. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Evolution of the agricultural trade balance
400%
350%
300%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
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2003-2007 2008 Ta rget
40

41. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Trend in food trade balance
120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
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2003-2007 2008 Ta rget
41

42. FIRST CAADP M&E REPORT
• Changes in Welfare Indicators In West Africa (1990s – 2000s)
40
35
% Increase % Decrease
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
P o verty P er capita GDP P o verty gap Share o f Underweight Stunted Undernourished GHI
Incidence ratio poo rest quintile children Children populatio n
42

43. PROSPECTS
• Second phase of “consolidation and
repositioning of ReSAKSS as the leading
knowledge platform for agricultural policy
planning and implementation in Africa, ... full
operationalization at country level of CAADP
M&E for African agricultural development by
setting up operational country networks..”
• Hand over to REC’s
43

44. MERCI DE VOTRE
AIMABLE ATTENTION
44