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technologies increasing impact on the fitness & wellness industry Bryan K. O’Rourke, MBA www.bryankorourke.com
 
progress
“ impossible without change”
“ those who cannot change their minds cannot change anything” George Bernard Shaw
tremendous change
future so many possibilities
“ The further backward you look, the further forward you can see.” - Winston Churchill
“ The future ain’t what it  used to be” -Yogi Berra
<3>
future - convergence
context
impact
<1> technology
define it
what is  technology ?
etymology   “ technologia” systematic treatment of an art or skill
“ a capability given by the practical application of knowledge.”
invented after we were born doesn’t quite work yet or
1829 Cambridge
1 st
 
 
“ unintended consequences”
 
 
 
human application of nature’s principals
 
really radical change
amazing 5,000 days ago
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
for free whenever
100 million clicks per day 55 trillion links 8 terabytes of data per second of traffic 2 billion location nodes 2 million emails per second 1.5 million IM’s per second
reaching the capacity of 1 human brain
> doubling capacity every 2 years
 
the next 5,000 days? much greater change
we think linear technology is exponential
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 ………. 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256…….
overestimate  what can be achieved in the very near  underestimate  what happens in the long run we are in the “knee of the curve”
 
 
content & experience digitized - mobilized
late 70’s walkman & treadmill fitness industry
institutions – cloud infrastructure
we are in the “knee of the curve” historically the rate of change is accelerating – years since adoption
we are in the “knee of the curve” We are witnessing the exponential shift – years since adoption
we are in the “knee of the curve” size of machines shrinking processing power increasing patents increasing Internet hosts increasing technical knowledge increasing cost of mips decreasing Internet bandwidth increasing wireless price performance increasing mass use of inventions increasing investment in education increasing global poverty decreasing
now
connectivity 24/7 delivering content driven by users creating impactful immersion
very inexpensively
 
we are teaching the machine the semantic web – web 3.0
<2> culture
it’s all about people
 
patterns of human behavior
the age of transcendence  <3> contributing factors culture shifting objective base to a subjective base
mature adult majority diversity  ubiquity of the information
in 1989 majority of US adults were 40 years or older most population growth for years to come will be in +60
authenticity determined individually
increased rejection of prior values
meaningful experience
diversity = acceptance, openness, empathy
ubiquity of information via the Internet content, “experience” the “Prosumer”
 
the Prosumer (all customers) have increasing power they have access to &/or create the information
they seek authentic experience “ meaning”
 
<3> institutions
 
institutions / organizations overwhelmed
order thoughts and expectation;  impose  consistent behaviors; reinforce shared beliefs and impose rules; both constrain and enable behavior; participants realize value “buying-in”
disconnect
 
 
designed around command & control
centralization not able to keep up with change
highly inefficient fails at embracing change
“ The greatest obstacle to  progress  is not ignorance. It is the illusion of knowledge” -Daniel Boorstin
collaboration - orchestration
open – open systems transparent flexible learning understand your role
 
 
 
lifecycle timeframe shrinking
drive to commoditization
movie theaters arcades record stores failed to embrace change
drive fixed cost out transparent - authentic technology customer centric collaborative
unexpected emergence
 
unexpected “competition”
alternatives - disruptive
understandable
recap - rapid change great opportunity & risk
implications to the fitness & wellness industry ? depends…….
‘ 01 to ‘07 estimated US facility growth 70% growth
< 16% exercise regularly
impact varies economics conservation
tech impact <2> institutions - customers
<1> institutions/organizations:  understand your unique position adopt  orchestration  strategy
unique position orchestrate program partners
partner for programming
partner to create meaningful experiences
expensive equipment is not always the solution invest in authentic experience limit cap-ex & adopt orchestration host of new equipment  technology innovations
customer relationship conservation Web 2.0
embrace web 2.0 strategies
embrace web 2.0 strategies
 
seek alliances leverage globalization outsource expertise e-lance
 
<2> consumer macro
obesity will bankrupt us all 20% of children obese
2007 Market Size in Billions
2007 Market Size in Billions
disconnect Dr. Jennifer Smith Maguire 2007 Fit for Consumption: Sociology and the Business of Fitness
 
opportunity – outcome reimbursement the market will grow by hundreds of billions in the next decade wellness
4 ways technology impacts wellness direct to consumer engagement through gaming outcomes
 
 
streaming content & mobility integrate into daily life
 
monitor technology
engagement motivation – via the cloud
 
 
direct  without physical place
new business models that incorporate facilities in a different manner
summing it all up what is the impact ?
things will be vastly different how is largely up to us…..
“ those who cannot change their minds cannot  change  anything” George Bernard Shaw
progress people
& think differently think of our mission
 

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