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How Our Cities Can Plan
for Driverless Cars
September 2015
The state of autonomous vehicle technology seems
likely to advance with or without legislative and
agency actions at the federal level. However, the
manner in which autonomous vehicle technologies
progress and will eventually be implemented depends
heavily on these efforts. Intelligent planning,
meaningful vision, and regulatory action and reform
are required.
“Preparing a Nation for Autonomous Vehicles: Opportunities, Barriers,
and Policy Recommendations”
- Eno Center for Transportation
They’re coming …
• Autonomous Vehicles (AV) 101
• Our AV Future
• Current Status of Government
with AV
• Proposed Actions for State and
Local Governments Regarding
AV
Discussion Topics
Autonomous Vehicles (AV) 101
NHTSA defines “Full Self-Driving Automation” as:
“designed to perform all safety-critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for
an entire trip. Such a design anticipates that the driver will provide destination or navigation
input, but is not expected to be available for control at any time during the trip.”
AV Definition
Source: http://www.internationaltransportforum.org/Pub/pdf/15CPB_AutonomousDriving.pdf
Level 4 (Full Self-Driving Automation)
The vehicle is designed to perform all safety-critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for an entire trip. Such a design
anticipates that the driver will provide destination or navigation input, but is not expected to be available for control at any time
during the trip.
Level 3 (Limited Self-Driving Automation)
Automation enables the driver to cede full control of all safety-critical functions under certain traffic or environmental conditions. The
driver is expected to be available for occasional control, but with sufficiently comfortable transition time.
Level 2 (Combined Function Automation)
Automation of at least two primary control functions designed to work in unison to relieve the driver of control of
those functions.
Level 1 (Function-Specific Automation)
Automation at this level involves one or more specific control functions.
Level 0 (Non-Automation)
The driver is in complete and sole control of the primary vehicle controls – brake, steering, throttle, and motive power
– at all times.
NHTSA’s Definition of Vehicle Automation
Definitions:
Autonomous vs Connected Vehicles
Autonomous
Vehicles
(AV)
Connected
Vehicles
(CV)
Automated Vehicles
Best of Both
Worlds!
• Safety improvements
• Improved mobility for youth,
elderly, and disabled
• Improved traffic circulation
• Reduced need for parking
• Improved travel time reliability
• Reduced GHG emissions
• Reduced need for private car
ownership and private auto
insurance
Potential Impact of AVs on Society
Positive Negative
• Increased “VMT”
• Insurance policy disruption
• Increased urban sprawl
• Job loss
AV Adoption Timeline
Source: Morgan Stanley
• Technology development
continues to be the main
focus; however, other
considerations are being
researched as well
• Governments around the
world are developing
partnerships and
conducting research to
determine how they
should regulate the
industry in order to
ensure public safety
AV Today
Industry
Standards
Text here
Society
Integration
Human
Factors
Technology
Privacy &
Security
Infrastructure
Requirements
Insurance
Our AV Future
Influencers
Level of vehicle sharing
Level of ride sharing
Level of AV proliferation
Number of people able to “drive”
Land use
Fuel economy of vehicles
Mobility options and pricing
Impacts
VMT
Number of vehicles
Level of throughput
Our Mobility Future
Level of Vehicle and Ride Sharing
Scenario 1:
AV Nightmare
0% of Society 100% of Society
Scenario 2:
AV Utopia
Potential Future Scenarios
Changes from Today’s Society
AV Nightmare AV Utopia
Safety
VMT
GHG Emissions
Urban Sprawl
Parking Req’ts No Change
Roadway
Maintenance Req’ts
Low Income Mobility
Current Status of Government
with AV
Federal
• Established classification system for various levels of automation of
cars
• Research and funding focused on connected vehicles (minimal
autonomous)
• Rule making is delegated to state level
State
• State roles vary significantly. Some have enacted legislation allowing
testing and, in some cases, requiring licensing or safety guidance
Local
• Some cities, transit agencies, and other local government organizations
are partnering with technology developers to support testing
Current Role of U.S. Government
U.S. States AV Legislative Update
As of August 2015, California, Michigan, Florida, Nevada, Tennessee, and Washington D.C.
have enacted legislation allowing autonomous vehicle testing on public roadways.
Source: http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/wiki/index.php/Automated_Driving:_Legislative_and_Regulatory_Action
AV Test Sites Involving Local Government
(Sampling)
Proposed Actions for State and
Local Governments Regarding AV
Update, Establish
and Enforce Policies
and Regulations
Safety
Privacy/Data Sharing
Cyber Security
Establish and
Enforce Standards
Manufacturing
Vehicle Design
Infrastructure
Data/Communications
Proposed Government Role in AV
Update, Establish, and
Enforce Policies and
Plans
Mobility
Infrastructure
Transit
Financial
Federal Role State and Local Role
Support testing
activities
Stay educated on AV
progress
Establish
communications
and/or coalition with
AV stakeholders
Establish policies and
plans with
consideration for the
future
Encourage open data
sharing
Local Government Recommendations
What can be done now?
Local Government Recommendations
Planning
Update travel demand model
Evaluate road capacity needs
Assess transit requirements
Forecast financial implications
Infrastructure Modifications
Certify roads for AV usage
Update traffic signs and markings
Reduce lane width
Alter speed limits
Adjust traffic signal locations and
timing
Eliminate/reduce parking and add
more “drop-off/pick-up” locations
Develop new predictive models for
pavement maintenance
Miscellaneous
Update enforcement function within
the government
Update incident management
function within the government
Update government workforce to
match needs
What can be done in the medium (1-2 years) to long-term (3-5 years)?
Update roadway policies
and infrastructure to
manage the VMT impact
Adjust land use policies
to reduce urban sprawl
Adjust the tax/fee
structure to dis-
incentivize car
ownership and/or
parking
Alter parking policies to
reduce the need for
private parking
Change transit pricing
Local Government Recommendations
What policy changes can be made by local governments to influence
potential AV impacts in our cities?
STAY TUNED…
Local Government Response to
Driverless Cars Planning Guide
Is UNDER DEVELOPMENT
• Email: isaac@pbworld.com
• Phone: 415-815-8200
• Blog: www.drivingtowardsdriverless.com
• Twitter: @DriverlessLau
Contact Lauren
Blog:
Twitter:

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How Our Cities Can Plan for Driverless Cars

  • 1. How Our Cities Can Plan for Driverless Cars September 2015
  • 2. The state of autonomous vehicle technology seems likely to advance with or without legislative and agency actions at the federal level. However, the manner in which autonomous vehicle technologies progress and will eventually be implemented depends heavily on these efforts. Intelligent planning, meaningful vision, and regulatory action and reform are required. “Preparing a Nation for Autonomous Vehicles: Opportunities, Barriers, and Policy Recommendations” - Eno Center for Transportation They’re coming …
  • 3. • Autonomous Vehicles (AV) 101 • Our AV Future • Current Status of Government with AV • Proposed Actions for State and Local Governments Regarding AV Discussion Topics
  • 5. NHTSA defines “Full Self-Driving Automation” as: “designed to perform all safety-critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for an entire trip. Such a design anticipates that the driver will provide destination or navigation input, but is not expected to be available for control at any time during the trip.” AV Definition Source: http://www.internationaltransportforum.org/Pub/pdf/15CPB_AutonomousDriving.pdf
  • 6. Level 4 (Full Self-Driving Automation) The vehicle is designed to perform all safety-critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for an entire trip. Such a design anticipates that the driver will provide destination or navigation input, but is not expected to be available for control at any time during the trip. Level 3 (Limited Self-Driving Automation) Automation enables the driver to cede full control of all safety-critical functions under certain traffic or environmental conditions. The driver is expected to be available for occasional control, but with sufficiently comfortable transition time. Level 2 (Combined Function Automation) Automation of at least two primary control functions designed to work in unison to relieve the driver of control of those functions. Level 1 (Function-Specific Automation) Automation at this level involves one or more specific control functions. Level 0 (Non-Automation) The driver is in complete and sole control of the primary vehicle controls – brake, steering, throttle, and motive power – at all times. NHTSA’s Definition of Vehicle Automation
  • 7. Definitions: Autonomous vs Connected Vehicles Autonomous Vehicles (AV) Connected Vehicles (CV) Automated Vehicles Best of Both Worlds!
  • 8. • Safety improvements • Improved mobility for youth, elderly, and disabled • Improved traffic circulation • Reduced need for parking • Improved travel time reliability • Reduced GHG emissions • Reduced need for private car ownership and private auto insurance Potential Impact of AVs on Society Positive Negative • Increased “VMT” • Insurance policy disruption • Increased urban sprawl • Job loss
  • 10. • Technology development continues to be the main focus; however, other considerations are being researched as well • Governments around the world are developing partnerships and conducting research to determine how they should regulate the industry in order to ensure public safety AV Today Industry Standards Text here Society Integration Human Factors Technology Privacy & Security Infrastructure Requirements Insurance
  • 12. Influencers Level of vehicle sharing Level of ride sharing Level of AV proliferation Number of people able to “drive” Land use Fuel economy of vehicles Mobility options and pricing Impacts VMT Number of vehicles Level of throughput Our Mobility Future
  • 13. Level of Vehicle and Ride Sharing Scenario 1: AV Nightmare 0% of Society 100% of Society Scenario 2: AV Utopia Potential Future Scenarios
  • 14. Changes from Today’s Society AV Nightmare AV Utopia Safety VMT GHG Emissions Urban Sprawl Parking Req’ts No Change Roadway Maintenance Req’ts Low Income Mobility
  • 15. Current Status of Government with AV
  • 16. Federal • Established classification system for various levels of automation of cars • Research and funding focused on connected vehicles (minimal autonomous) • Rule making is delegated to state level State • State roles vary significantly. Some have enacted legislation allowing testing and, in some cases, requiring licensing or safety guidance Local • Some cities, transit agencies, and other local government organizations are partnering with technology developers to support testing Current Role of U.S. Government
  • 17. U.S. States AV Legislative Update As of August 2015, California, Michigan, Florida, Nevada, Tennessee, and Washington D.C. have enacted legislation allowing autonomous vehicle testing on public roadways. Source: http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/wiki/index.php/Automated_Driving:_Legislative_and_Regulatory_Action
  • 18. AV Test Sites Involving Local Government (Sampling)
  • 19. Proposed Actions for State and Local Governments Regarding AV
  • 20. Update, Establish and Enforce Policies and Regulations Safety Privacy/Data Sharing Cyber Security Establish and Enforce Standards Manufacturing Vehicle Design Infrastructure Data/Communications Proposed Government Role in AV Update, Establish, and Enforce Policies and Plans Mobility Infrastructure Transit Financial Federal Role State and Local Role
  • 21. Support testing activities Stay educated on AV progress Establish communications and/or coalition with AV stakeholders Establish policies and plans with consideration for the future Encourage open data sharing Local Government Recommendations What can be done now?
  • 22. Local Government Recommendations Planning Update travel demand model Evaluate road capacity needs Assess transit requirements Forecast financial implications Infrastructure Modifications Certify roads for AV usage Update traffic signs and markings Reduce lane width Alter speed limits Adjust traffic signal locations and timing Eliminate/reduce parking and add more “drop-off/pick-up” locations Develop new predictive models for pavement maintenance Miscellaneous Update enforcement function within the government Update incident management function within the government Update government workforce to match needs What can be done in the medium (1-2 years) to long-term (3-5 years)?
  • 23. Update roadway policies and infrastructure to manage the VMT impact Adjust land use policies to reduce urban sprawl Adjust the tax/fee structure to dis- incentivize car ownership and/or parking Alter parking policies to reduce the need for private parking Change transit pricing Local Government Recommendations What policy changes can be made by local governments to influence potential AV impacts in our cities?
  • 24. STAY TUNED… Local Government Response to Driverless Cars Planning Guide Is UNDER DEVELOPMENT
  • 25. • Email: isaac@pbworld.com • Phone: 415-815-8200 • Blog: www.drivingtowardsdriverless.com • Twitter: @DriverlessLau Contact Lauren Blog: Twitter: