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In 2013, Tesla Motors was a 4500-person company on
track to set history. It had created two cars that most
people agreed were remarkable. It had posted its !rst
quarterly pro!t in 2013, and had repaid its government
loans ahead of the major auto conglomerates. Most im-
portantly, it looked like it might survive. Perhaps even
thrive. This was astonishing as there had been no other
successful auto manufacturing start up in the U.S. since
the 1920s.
The road leading up to Tesla’s position in 2013 had
not always been smooth, and there were many doubts
that still lingered. Tesla had bene!ted from the enthu-
siasm of the “eco-wealthy”—a rather narrow portion of
the market. How would Tesla fare when it was in direct
competition with General Motors, Ford, and Nissan for
the mass market? Would it be able to turn a sustainable
pro!t on its automaking operations? Furthermore, some
questioned whether Tesla’s goals to sell to the mass
market even made sense. In the niche market, it had a
privileged position with customers that were relatively
price-insensitive and were seeking a stylish, high per-
formance car that made an environmental statement. To
compete for the mass market, the car would have to pro-
vide good value for the money (involving trade-offs that
might con"ict with Chairman Elon Musk’s ideals), and
the obstacles to charging would have to be overcome.
HISTORY OF TESLA
In the year 2003, an engineer named Martin Eberhard
was looking for his next big project. A tall, slim man
with a mop of gray hair, Eberhard was a serial entrepre-
neur who had launched a number of start-ups, including
a company called NuvoMedia, which he sold to Gemstar
in a $187 million deal. Eberhard was also looking for a
sports car that would be environmentally friendly—he
had concerns about global warming and U.S. depen-
dence on the Middle East for oil. When he didn’t !nd
the car of his dreams on the market he began contem-
plating building one himself, even though he had zero
experience in the auto industry. Eberhard noticed that
many of the driveways that had a Toyota Prius hybrid
electric vehicle (or “dork mobile” as he called it) also
had expensive sports cars in them—making Eberhard
speculate that there could be a market for a high per-
formance environmentally friendly car. As explained by
Eberhard, “It was clear that people weren’t buying a
Prius to save money on gas—gas was selling close to
in"ation-adjusted all-time lows. They were buying them
to make a statement about the environment.”i
Eberhard began to consider a range of alternative fuel
options for his car: hydrogen fuel cells, natural gas, die-
sel. However he soon concluded the highest ef!ciency
and performance would come from a pure electric ve-
hicle. Luckily for Eberhard, Al Cocconi (founder of AC
Propulsion and one of the original engineers for GM’s
ill-fated EV-1) had concluded the same thing, and had
produced a car called the tzero. The tzero could go from
zero to 60 miles per hour in 4.1 seconds, but it was pow-
ered with extremely heavy lead-acid batteries, limiting
its range to about 60 miles between charges. Eberhard
approached Cocconi with the idea of using the lighter
lithium ion batteries, which offered six times more en-
ergy per pound. Cocconi was eager to try out the idea (he
had, in fact, been experimenting with lithium ion batter-
ies himself), and the resulting lithium ion based tzero
accelerated to 60 miles per hour in 3.6 seconds, and
could travel more than 300 miles. Eberhard licensed the
electric-drive-train technology from AC Propulsion, and
Case 14
Tesla Motors
Melissa A. Schilling
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Figure 1a
Tesla Roadster
began to get intimately involved in decisions about the
car’s design and the operation of the company. Soon
Musk and Eberhard were at odds over decisions such
as the body panels (Eberhard preferred to stick with the
!berglass panels used in the original Elise; Musk wanted
to use the lighter, stronger—and more expensive—carbon
!ber), marketing (Eberhard had approved the hiring of
PR professionals to build publicity for the car before its
launch; Musk !red them, believing his own involvement
and the car itself would generate enough publicity), and
even the chassis (Eberhard wanted to reap the cost sav-
ings of sticking with the Elise’s original crash-tested,
off-the-rack chassis; Musk wanted to lower the door-
sills by two inches to make the car easier to enter and
exit). Musk also wanted to redesign the headlights and
door latches, and replace the Elise’s seats with more
comfortable—and expensive—custom seats.vi
In each case, Musk’s preference prevailed. As Musk
insisted, “you can’t sell a $100,000 car that looks like
crap,” and Musk’s views were hard to ignore given that
he was putting more and more of his personal wealth into
the company. By 2007 he had put in $55 million of his
own money into the company, and had also raised money
from his other wealthy entrepreneur friends (that in-
cluded eBay’s second employee, Jeff Skoll, and Google
founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page).
Musk’s insistence on the best materials and parts,
however, combined with Eberhard’s inexperience as the
manager of a major !rm, resulted in delays and runaway
costs. At a staff meeting in June 2007, Tom Colson, head
of manufacturing, revealed a cost analysis suggesting
founded his company, Tesla Motors (named after Nikola
Tesla, a late 19th century and early 20th century inven-
tor who developed, among other things, the AC electrical
systems used in the U.S. today).ii
Meanwhile, there was another entrepreneur—one
with much deeper pockets—also interested in developing
electric vehicles based on the tzero: Elon Musk. In 2002,
Elon Musk was a 31-year-old South African living in
California, who had founded a company that ultimately
became PayPal. After selling PayPal to eBay in 2002
for $1.5 billion, he started a company called SpaceX
with the ambitious goal of developing cheap, consumer
space travel. (SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft ultimately
made history in May of 2012 by becoming the !rst com-
mercial vehicle to launch and dock at the International
Space Station.iii) Musk was also the chairman of a high
pro!le clean tech venture in Northern California called
Solar City. Musk’s glamorous and assertive style, and his
astonishing record of high-tech entrepreneurship, made
him one of the inspirations for the Tony Stark character
in Jon Favreau’s Iron Man movies.
Like Eberhard, Musk thought electric cars were the
key to the U.S. achieving energy independence, and he
approached Cocconi about buying the tzero. Tom Gage,
who was then AC Propulsion’s CEO, suggested that
Musk collaborate with Eberhard. After a two hour meet-
ing in February of 2004, Musk agreed to fund Eberhard’s
plan with $6.3 million. He would be the company’s
chairman and Eberhard would serve as CEO.
The !rst Tesla prototype, named the Roadster, was
based on the $45,000 Lotus Elise, a fast and light sports
car that seemed perfect for the creation of Eberhard and
Musk’s grand idea (see Figure 1a). The car would have
400 volts of electric potential, liquid-cooled lithium ion
batteries, and a series of silicon transistors that would
give the car acceleration so powerful the driver would be
pressed back against their seat.iv It would be about as fast
as a Porsche 911 Turbo, would not create a single emis-
sion, and would get about 220 miles on a single charge
from the kind of outlet you would use to power a wash-
ing machine.v
While the men at !rst worked well together, person-
ality clashes soon began to emerge. Both were techni-
cally savvy and vigorously addressed problems within
the company. As described by Laurie Yoler, Eberhard
was “just brilliant, and he has this tenacity that is unbe-
lievable . . . He is the guy you want around in those early
days when you have naysayers all around.” However,
Eberhard could also be abrasive and critical. Musk, in turn,
was not content to just !nancially back the company—he
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Case 14 Tesla Motors C-203
that the average cost of the cars would be over $100,000
for the !rst 50, and would decline only slightly with in-
creased volume. Eberhard could not answer the !nancial
questions of the venture capitalists on Tesla’s board, and
their con!dence in him was eroded even further by his
defense of “In any other company it’s the CFO that pro-
vides those numbers . . . I’m an engineer, not a !nance
guy.” In August of 2007, the board removed him as CEO
and demoted him to president of technology. Then in
October of 2007, Musk arranged for Eberhard to be
ousted from the company entirely. Furious, Eberhard
started a blog detailing what he called the “Stealth
Bloodbath” going on at Tesla, and he would later sue
Musk for libel, slander, and breach of contract.vii
Meanwhile, Eberhard’s temporary replacement was
Michael Marks, former CEO of Flextronics. Marks im-
mediately created a priority list that identi!ed items with
potential to delay the car. He mothballed any plans for
side projects and focused the entire business on stream-
lining costs and getting the Roadster out. Despite his
efforts, the Roadster missed its deadline for beginning
production at the Lotus facility, triggering a penalty built
into the manufacturing contract Eberhard had signed
with Lotus: a $4 million fee.
By the beginning of 2008 morale was at an all-time
low. In March, however, production began on the Road-
ster, and by July of 2008, most of the production prob-
lems had been forgotten as the !rst seven Roadsters
(the “Founder’s Series”) hit the road. Enthusiasm for
the cars was astonishing—the cars boasted an all-star
list of celebrities with reservations to buy a car, and
everywhere the Roadster drove, people (albeit mostly
men) stopped to stare.viii
Musk’s ambitions did not stop at a niche high-end
car, however. He wanted to build a major U.S. auto
company—a feat that had not been successfully accom-
plished since the 1920s. To do so, he knew he needed to
introduce a less expensive car that could attract a higher
volume of sales, if not quite the mass market. In June
of 2008, Tesla announced the Model S—a high per-
formance all-electric sedan that would sell for a price
ranging from $57,400 to $77,400, and compete against
cars like the BMW 5-series (see Figure 1b). The car
would have an all-aluminum body, and a range of up to
300 miles per charge.ix The Model S cost $500 million to
develop,x however offsetting that cost was a $465 million
loan Tesla received from the U.S. government to build
the car, as part of the U.S. government’s initiative to pro-
mote the development of technologies that would help
the U.S. to achieve energy independence.
By May of 2012 Tesla reported that it already had
10,000 reservations for customers hoping to buy the
Model S, and Musk con!dently claimed the company
would soon be producing—and selling—20,000 Model S
cars a year. Musk also noted that after ramping up pro-
duction, he expected to see “at least 10,000 units a year
from demand in Europe and at least 5,000 in Asia.”xi The
production of the Model S went more smoothly than that
of the Roadster, and by June of 2012 the !rst Model S
cars were rolling off the factory "oor. The very !rst went
to Jeff Skoll, eBay’s !rst president, and a major inves-
tor in Tesla. On the day of the launch, Skoll talked with
Musk about whether it was harder to build a rocket or a
car (referring to Musk’s SpaceX company): “We decided
it was a car. There isn’t a lot of competition in space.”xii
To build the car, Tesla bought a recently closed au-
tomobile factory in Fremont California that had been
used for the New United Motor Manufacturing Inc.
(NUMMI) venture between Toyota and General Motors.
The factory, which was far bigger than Tesla’s immediate
needs, would give the company room to grow. Further-
more, though the plant and the land it was on had been
appraised at around $1 billion before NUMMI was shut
down, Tesla was able to snap up the idled factory for
$42 million.xiii Tesla also used the factory to produce
battery packs for Toyota’s RAV4, and a charger for a
subcompact Daimler AG electric vehicle. These projects
would supplement Tesla’s income while also helping it
to build scale and learning curve ef!ciencies in its tech-
nologies. Musk also had plans to produce a sport utility
vehicle, the Model X, which would cost $250 million to
develop and would go into production in late 2013.
Figure 1b
Tesla Model S
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C-204 Case 14 Tesla Motors
drivers might appreciate, such as restaurants or coffee
shops. There were, however, only six Tesla Supercharg-
ing stations in the world at the beginning of 2013.xv DC
Fast Chargers and Tesla’s Supercharging stations were
expensive to purchase and install—up to $250,000 de-
pending on the location—and they needed to be close to
heavy-duty electricity transformers.
COMPETITION IN
THE ELECTRIC
VEHICLE MARKET
Hybrid electric vehicles (HEV, such as the Toyota Prius)
made their appearance in the U.S. auto market in 2000.
These vehicles were readily adopted by consumers be-
cause they require no change in typical consumer usage
habits—they are !lled with gasoline and will automati-
cally switch between electric miles and gasoline miles.
Most such HEVs, however, have extremely limited elec-
tric range. For many, ten miles of electric driving before
switching over to gas is the norm. This limits their ability
to reduce carbon emissions or to in"uence energy usage.
All-electric vehicles (also called Plug-in Electric vehi-
cles, known alternatively as AEV or PEV) get all of their
energy from electricity. They are thus considered true
zero-emission vehicles. Plug-in Hybrid Electric vehicles
(PHEV) such as the Chevy Volt plugged in to charge, but
could also use gas.
A number of automakers were introducing electric ve-
hicles by 2013—in large part due to California’s CARB
standards that mandated that for automobiles to be sold
in California, a certain portion of an automaker’s "eet had
to be emission free. As a result, some automakers were
willing to produce all-electric vehicles at a loss in order
to be able to also sell more lucrative internal combustion
models. (It was these California’s zero-emissions man-
dates that had spurred a "urry of introductions of electric
vehicles in the early 1990s. The subsequent downscaling
of California’s zero-emission mandate in the late 1990s
led GM, Toyota, Honda, and Ford to shut down their loss-
making EV programs, including most notoriously, GM’s
EV-1s, which were literally torn from their owners and
crushed, as shown in the !lm “Who Killed the Electric
Car?”) Other automakers opted to buy zero-emission
credits from those companies that sold more than their
required proportion of zero-emission vehicles. Tesla was
OBSTACLES TO
THE ADOPTION OF
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
There were a number of obstacles slowing the adoption of
electric vehicles. The !rst was the price: Electric vehicles
were, typically, signi!cantly more expensive than com-
parable internal combustion models. Complicating mat-
ters still further, most consumers had a very dif!cult time
estimating how much their cost of ownership for an elec-
tric car would be: How much would they pay to charge
at home? How much would they pay to charge away
from home? What would the maintenance and repairs
of an electric vehicle cost? How long would the battery
and/or car last? Would it have resale value? To lessen these
concerns, Elon Musk set out to make the cost of owning
a Tesla as certain as possible. First, he created a “Super-
charger” network that Model S owners could use for free,
for the life of the car. As noted by Musk, “The clearest
way to convey the message that electric cars are actually
better than gasoline cars is to say charging is free.”xiv The
hitch was that a user had to be within range of one of the
Supercharger stations. Second, Musk announced an un-
precedented price protection guarantee that permitted a
Model S owner to trade in their car for a designated re-
sidual value anytime within the !rst three years of the cars
life. Musk also announced plans to offer free repairs, and
a free replacement car while a customer’s car was being
repaired. Needless to say, analysts were scratching their
heads at the potential costs of these promises.
The second major obstacle to the adoption of electric
vehicles was their limited range and associated “range
anxiety” (people’s concerns about driving in places where
they were not sure they would be able to charge their cars).
These concerns were not so much of an issue for the Tesla
cars due to their exceptionally long range. The other
“mass market” electric vehicles faced tougher hurdles.
For example, though a Nissan Leaf could be charged at
an ordinary 110 household outlet, a full charge by this
method could take eight hours. Level 2 charging with a
220-volt outlet could shorten that time to four hours, but
this was still completely impractical for recharging dur-
ing a trip. DC Fast Chargers and Tesla’s “Superchargers”
promised to fully charge a vehicle in 30 minutes or less.
While this is still signi!cantly longer than the typical
6-minute gasoline !ll-up, it meant that charging could
be feasible if it were colocated with other services that
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Case 14 Tesla Motors C-205
one such automaker who had surplus credits (since it pro-
duced no internal combustion vehicles), and as a result
Tesla earned roughly $68 million selling its ZEV credits
in the !rst quarter of 2013.
Several companies had attempted to enter the all-
electric vehicle market, but run out of cash and ceased
operations. These included Fisker, Coda, Azure Dynam-
ics, Bright Automotive, and others. The more serious
competition was coming from established automak-
ers who had deeper pockets to withstand the losses of
building the electric vehicle market. Among these, there
were a few competing cars that had sold signi!cant
(though still small) numbers of cars into the market. The
Nissan Leaf, for example, retailed for about $35,000,
and had a range of about 90-100 miles per charge. It had
sold 25,000 units in the U.S. and 50,000 worldwide by
June of 2013. The Chevy Volt was a plug-in hybrid that
could travel about 40 all-electric miles per charge, and
an additional 340 miles on gasoline (making it a good
solution for individuals that primarily made short com-
mutes, but also wanted to be able to drive the car long
distances without “range anxiety”). It also retailed for
about $35,000, and had sold over 20,000 units in the
U.S. by June of 2013 (see Figure 2).
Company June 2013 June 2012 % Change YTD 2013 YTD 2012
% Change
Ford 7736 1354 471.34 46197 8992 413.76
Ford C-Max Hybrid 2889 0 – 17858 0 –
Ford C-Max Energi PHEV 455 0 – 2482 0 –
Ford Escape Hybrid 0 17 – 0 1281 –
Ford Focus Electric 177 89 98.88 900 97 827.84
Ford Fusion Hybrid 3057 797 283.56 20283 4988 306.64
Ford Fusion Energi PHEV 390 0 – 1584 0 –
Lincoln MKZ Hybrid 768 451 70.29 3090 2626 17.67
GM 2831 1927 46.91 10660 10020 6.39
Chevy Volt 2698 1760 53.30 9855 8817 11.77
Other hybrids 133 167 !20.36 805 1203 !33.06
Honda 1758 1566 12.26 9302 10712 !13.16
Honda Civic Hybrid 568 548 3.65 3141 4118 !23.73
Honda CR-Z 393 409 !3.91 2415 2404 0.46
Honda Insight 384 494 !22.27 2362 4041 !41.55
Honda Fit EV 208 0 – 291 0 –
Honda Accord PHEV 42 0 – 200 0 –
Acura ILX Hybrid 163 115 41.74 893 149 499.33
Mitsubishi
Mitsubishi i 39 33 18.18 882 333 164.86
Figure 2 U.S. Electric Vehicle Sales
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C-206 Case 14 Tesla Motors
Company June 2013 June 2012 % Change YTD 2013 YTD 2012
% Change
Nissan
Nissan Leaf 2225 535 315.89 9839 3148 212.55
Porsche 66 67 !1.49 372 909 !59.08
Porsche Cayenne S Hybrid 62 42 47.62 294 669 !56.05
Porsche Panamera Hybrid 4 25 !84.00 78 240 !67.50
Toyota 30663 25776 18.96 176506 169113 4.37
Toyota Prius Liftback 14066 11514 22.16 76809 83205 !7.69
Toyota Prius C 3442 3657 !5.88 20575 16251 26.61
Toyota Prius V 2987 3284 !9.04 18616 22851 !18.53
Toyota Prius PHEV 584 695 !15.97 4214 4347 !3.06
Toyota Camry Hybrid 3878 3459 12.11 23834 23538 1.26
Toyota Highlander Hybrid 550 496 10.89 2960 3051 !2.98
Toyota Avalon Hybrid 1394 0 – 8348 0 –
Toyota RAV4 EV 44 0 – 408 0 –
Lexus Hybrids 3718 2671 39.20 20742 15870 30.70
Volkswagen
Volkswagen Jetta Hybrid 438 0 – 2219 0 –
Total 100% Electrics 2693 657 309.89 12320 3578 244.33
Total PHEVs 4169 2455 69.82 18335 13164 39.28
Total Conv. Hybrids 38894 28146 38.19 225322 186485 20.83
TOTAL 45756 31258 46.38 255977 203227 25.96
Source: EVObsession, June Electric Vehicle Sales, Published
July 4, 2013 at http://evobsession.com/electric-vehicles-sales-
update-june-2013-sales/
june-electric-vehicle-sales/
TESLA’S STRATEGIES
Automated Manufacturing
In 2013, all of Tesla’s manufacturing was performed at
its Fremont plant. Its manufacturing process was highly
automated, with extensive use of eight-to ten-foot-tall
red robots, reminiscent of Iron Man. Each robot had a
single multi-jointed arm. While typical auto factory
robots perform only one function, Tesla’s robots per-
form up to four tasks: welding, riveting, bonding, and
installing a component. Eight robots might work on a
single car at each station of the assembling line in a cho-
reographed pattern like ballet. The robots produce up to
83 cars a day, and can be reprogrammed to produce the
Model X on the same assembly line.xvi
Distribution
Musk saw the franchise-dealership arrangements that U.S.
car companies use to sell cars as an expensive, margin-
killing model. He chose instead to own and operate Tesla
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Case 14 Tesla Motors C-207
dealerships himself (a controversial move that has provoked
the ire of dealership networks). Furthermore, Tesla dealer-
ships are more like “stores” in upscale shopping malls
(in 2013 the company had 35 stores across the U.S., Europe,
and Asia). Salespeople answer customer questions without
using high-pressure sales tactics. The company also sells
direct to consumers on the internet.
Marketing
Tesla spends no money on advertising, nor does it have
any plans to hire advertising agencies or run ads in the
future. Its in-house marketing team had only seven staff
people, and an internal team runs the website. Nissan, by
contrast, spent $25 million advertising the Leaf in 2012.
According to Alexis Georgeson, Tesla spokesperson,
“Right now, the stores are our advertising. We’re very
con!dent we can sell 20,000-plus cars a year without
paid advertising . . . It may be something we’ll do years
down the road. But it’s certainly not something we feel
is crucial for sales right now.”xvii
LOOKING TO
THE FUTURE . . .
In the !rst quarter of 2013, Tesla announced its !rst
quarterly pro!t. The company had taken in $562 million
in revenues, and reported an $11.2 million pro!t.
Then more good news came: the Model S had earned
Consumer Reports’ highest rating, and had outsold
similarly priced BMW and Mercedes models in the
!rst quarter.xviii In May of 2013, the company raised
$1 billion by issuing new shares, and then surprised
investors by announcing that it had paid back its gov-
ernment loan. After repaying the loan, Tesla had about
$679 million in cash. Musk had announced con!dently
that he felt it was his obligation to pay back taxpayer
money as soon as possible, and that the company had
suf!cient funds now to develop its next generation of
automobiles without the loan, and without issuing fur-
ther shares.xix
Tesla’s success was surprising and inspiring. The
company had survived its infancy, appeared to be sol-
vent, and was meeting its sales objectives even though
serious obstacles remained for electric vehicles. It was
also competing against companies with far greater
scale. As noted by O’Dell, a senior editor at auto in-
formation sites Edmunds.com, on Tesla’s success, “A
lot of people have been very, very skeptical . . . when
you want to be an automaker, you are competing with
multibillion-dollar conglomerates . . . It’s entrepreneur-
ism on steroids . . . They had a huge learning curve but
they’ve powered through it.” Theo O’Neill, an analyst
at Wunderlich Securities adds that “It’s going to prove
everybody in Detroit wrong . . . They all say what Tesla
is doing isn’t possible.”xx
However, some investment analysts were more
skeptical. The 2013 pro!ts had included a one-time
$10.7 million DOE stock warrant pro!t, and $68 million
in ZEV credit sales.xxi The warrant revenues would
not be repeated, and nobody knew what the yearly
demand for ZEV credits would be and whether such
revenues were sustainable. Competition from the major
automakers was also increasing steadily. Furthermore,
what was the true market size for electric vehicles, and
what portion of that market would pay the higher price
of a Tesla? On top of this, Tesla’s stock had risen mete-
orically and many investors were concerned that Tesla’s
stock price was an overin"ated bubble (see Figure 3).
In June of 2013 Tesla’s market capitalization was
$11 billion—more than Fiat’s and roughly a quarter
of General Motors. While Tesla’s success surely war-
ranted praise and enthusiasm, it was dif!cult for many
people to reconcile such a large market capitalization
with Tesla’s sales. Furthermore, if the stock was over-
valued and began to drop precipitously, it could under-
mine people’s faith in the company. In short, Tesla was
not out of the woods yet.
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C-208 Case 14 Tesla Motors
March 2013 2012 2011 2010
Revenues
Automotive sales 555,203 385,699 148,568 97,078
Development services 6,589 27,557 55,674 19,666
Total revenues 561,792 413,256 204,242 116,744
Cost of revenues
Automotive sales 461,818 371,658 115,482 79,982
Development services 3,654 11,531 27,165 6,031
Total cost of revenues (1) 465,472 383,189 142,647 86,013
Gross pro"t 96,320 30,067 61,595 30,731
Exhibit 1 Tesla Financials, in Thousand US$
Figure 3
Tesla Stock Chart
Source: Nasdaq.com
(continued )
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Case 14 Tesla Motors C-209
NOTES
i. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol.
158, issue 2, pg. 82–94.
ii. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol.
158, issue 2, pg. 82–94.
iii. Boudreau. J. 2012. In a Silicon Valley milestone, Tesla
Motors begins delivering Model S electric cars. Oakland
Tribune, June 24: Breaking News Section.
iv. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol.
158, issue 2, pg. 82–94.
v. Williams, A. 2009. Taking a Tesla for a status check in
New York. New York Times, July 19, ST.7.
vi. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol.
158, issue 2, pg. 82–94.
vii. Garthwaite, J. 2011. Tesla sues “Top Gear,” New York
Times, April 3, AU.2.
viii. Williams, A. 2009. Taking a Tesla for a status check in
New York. New York Times, July 19, ST.7.
ix. Ramsey, M. 2011. Tesla sets 300-mile range for second
electric car. Wall Street Journal (Online), March 7: n/a.
x. Aggregated from Tesla’s !rst quarter 2013 10Q and
2012 10K.
xi. Sweet, C. 2013. Tesla posts its !rst quarterly pro!t. Wall
Street Journal (Online), May 9: n/a.
xii. Boudreau. J. 2012. In a Silicon Valley milestone, Tesla
Motors begins delivering Model S electric cars. Oakland
Tribune, June 24: Breaking News Section.
xiii. Anonymous. 2010. Idle Fremont plant gears up for Tesla.
Wall Street Journal (Online), October 20: n/a.
xiv. Woody, T. 2012. Billionaire car wars. Forbes, December
10: pg. 90–98.
xv. Woody, T. 2012. Billionaire car wars. Forbes, December
10: pg. 90–98.
xvi. Markoff, J. 2012. Skilled work, without the worker.
New York Times, August 19:A.1.
xvii. McCarthy, M. 2013. Tesla generates small sales, huge
buzz without paid ads. Advertising Age, June 10:pg. 9.
xviii. Levi, M. 2013. How Tesla pulled ahead of the electric-
car pack. Wall Street Journal, June 21:A.11.
xix. White, J.B. 2013. Corporate News: Electric car startup
Tesla repays U.S. loan. Wall Street Journal, May 23:B.3.
xx. Boudreau. J. 2012. In a Silicon Valley milestone, Tesla
Motors begins delivering Model S electric cars. Oakland
Tribune, June 24: Breaking News Section.
xxi. Tesla 10-Q, May 2013.
March 2013 2012 2011 2010
Operating expenses
Research and develop-
ment (1)
54,859 273,978 208,981 92,996
Selling, general and
administrative (1)
47,045 150,372 104,102 84,573
Total operating expenses 101,904 424,350 313,083 177,569
Income/Loss from
operations
!5,584 !394,283 !251,488 !146,833
Interest income 10 288 255 258
Interest expense !118 !254 !43 !992
Other income (expense),
net (2)
17,091 !1,828 !2,646 !6,583
Income (loss) before
income taxes
11,399 !396,077 !253,922 !154,155
Provision for (bene"t from)
income taxes
151 136 489 173
Net income (loss) 11,248 !396,213 !254,411 !154,328
Net income (loss) per
common share, basic (3)
0.1 (3.69) (2.53) (3.04)
84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 209 22/10/13 4:58
PM

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In 2013, Tesla Motors was a 4500-person company on track to .docx

  • 1. In 2013, Tesla Motors was a 4500-person company on track to set history. It had created two cars that most people agreed were remarkable. It had posted its !rst quarterly pro!t in 2013, and had repaid its government loans ahead of the major auto conglomerates. Most im- portantly, it looked like it might survive. Perhaps even thrive. This was astonishing as there had been no other successful auto manufacturing start up in the U.S. since the 1920s. The road leading up to Tesla’s position in 2013 had not always been smooth, and there were many doubts that still lingered. Tesla had bene!ted from the enthu- siasm of the “eco-wealthy”—a rather narrow portion of the market. How would Tesla fare when it was in direct competition with General Motors, Ford, and Nissan for the mass market? Would it be able to turn a sustainable pro!t on its automaking operations? Furthermore, some questioned whether Tesla’s goals to sell to the mass market even made sense. In the niche market, it had a privileged position with customers that were relatively price-insensitive and were seeking a stylish, high per- formance car that made an environmental statement. To compete for the mass market, the car would have to pro- vide good value for the money (involving trade-offs that might con"ict with Chairman Elon Musk’s ideals), and the obstacles to charging would have to be overcome. HISTORY OF TESLA In the year 2003, an engineer named Martin Eberhard was looking for his next big project. A tall, slim man with a mop of gray hair, Eberhard was a serial entrepre-
  • 2. neur who had launched a number of start-ups, including a company called NuvoMedia, which he sold to Gemstar in a $187 million deal. Eberhard was also looking for a sports car that would be environmentally friendly—he had concerns about global warming and U.S. depen- dence on the Middle East for oil. When he didn’t !nd the car of his dreams on the market he began contem- plating building one himself, even though he had zero experience in the auto industry. Eberhard noticed that many of the driveways that had a Toyota Prius hybrid electric vehicle (or “dork mobile” as he called it) also had expensive sports cars in them—making Eberhard speculate that there could be a market for a high per- formance environmentally friendly car. As explained by Eberhard, “It was clear that people weren’t buying a Prius to save money on gas—gas was selling close to in"ation-adjusted all-time lows. They were buying them to make a statement about the environment.”i Eberhard began to consider a range of alternative fuel options for his car: hydrogen fuel cells, natural gas, die- sel. However he soon concluded the highest ef!ciency and performance would come from a pure electric ve- hicle. Luckily for Eberhard, Al Cocconi (founder of AC Propulsion and one of the original engineers for GM’s ill-fated EV-1) had concluded the same thing, and had produced a car called the tzero. The tzero could go from zero to 60 miles per hour in 4.1 seconds, but it was pow- ered with extremely heavy lead-acid batteries, limiting its range to about 60 miles between charges. Eberhard approached Cocconi with the idea of using the lighter lithium ion batteries, which offered six times more en- ergy per pound. Cocconi was eager to try out the idea (he had, in fact, been experimenting with lithium ion batter- ies himself), and the resulting lithium ion based tzero
  • 3. accelerated to 60 miles per hour in 3.6 seconds, and could travel more than 300 miles. Eberhard licensed the electric-drive-train technology from AC Propulsion, and Case 14 Tesla Motors Melissa A. Schilling C-201 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 201 22/10/13 4:58 PM C-202 Case 14 Tesla Motors Figure 1a Tesla Roadster began to get intimately involved in decisions about the car’s design and the operation of the company. Soon Musk and Eberhard were at odds over decisions such as the body panels (Eberhard preferred to stick with the !berglass panels used in the original Elise; Musk wanted to use the lighter, stronger—and more expensive—carbon !ber), marketing (Eberhard had approved the hiring of PR professionals to build publicity for the car before its launch; Musk !red them, believing his own involvement and the car itself would generate enough publicity), and even the chassis (Eberhard wanted to reap the cost sav- ings of sticking with the Elise’s original crash-tested, off-the-rack chassis; Musk wanted to lower the door- sills by two inches to make the car easier to enter and exit). Musk also wanted to redesign the headlights and door latches, and replace the Elise’s seats with more
  • 4. comfortable—and expensive—custom seats.vi In each case, Musk’s preference prevailed. As Musk insisted, “you can’t sell a $100,000 car that looks like crap,” and Musk’s views were hard to ignore given that he was putting more and more of his personal wealth into the company. By 2007 he had put in $55 million of his own money into the company, and had also raised money from his other wealthy entrepreneur friends (that in- cluded eBay’s second employee, Jeff Skoll, and Google founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page). Musk’s insistence on the best materials and parts, however, combined with Eberhard’s inexperience as the manager of a major !rm, resulted in delays and runaway costs. At a staff meeting in June 2007, Tom Colson, head of manufacturing, revealed a cost analysis suggesting founded his company, Tesla Motors (named after Nikola Tesla, a late 19th century and early 20th century inven- tor who developed, among other things, the AC electrical systems used in the U.S. today).ii Meanwhile, there was another entrepreneur—one with much deeper pockets—also interested in developing electric vehicles based on the tzero: Elon Musk. In 2002, Elon Musk was a 31-year-old South African living in California, who had founded a company that ultimately became PayPal. After selling PayPal to eBay in 2002 for $1.5 billion, he started a company called SpaceX with the ambitious goal of developing cheap, consumer space travel. (SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft ultimately made history in May of 2012 by becoming the !rst com- mercial vehicle to launch and dock at the International Space Station.iii) Musk was also the chairman of a high pro!le clean tech venture in Northern California called
  • 5. Solar City. Musk’s glamorous and assertive style, and his astonishing record of high-tech entrepreneurship, made him one of the inspirations for the Tony Stark character in Jon Favreau’s Iron Man movies. Like Eberhard, Musk thought electric cars were the key to the U.S. achieving energy independence, and he approached Cocconi about buying the tzero. Tom Gage, who was then AC Propulsion’s CEO, suggested that Musk collaborate with Eberhard. After a two hour meet- ing in February of 2004, Musk agreed to fund Eberhard’s plan with $6.3 million. He would be the company’s chairman and Eberhard would serve as CEO. The !rst Tesla prototype, named the Roadster, was based on the $45,000 Lotus Elise, a fast and light sports car that seemed perfect for the creation of Eberhard and Musk’s grand idea (see Figure 1a). The car would have 400 volts of electric potential, liquid-cooled lithium ion batteries, and a series of silicon transistors that would give the car acceleration so powerful the driver would be pressed back against their seat.iv It would be about as fast as a Porsche 911 Turbo, would not create a single emis- sion, and would get about 220 miles on a single charge from the kind of outlet you would use to power a wash- ing machine.v While the men at !rst worked well together, person- ality clashes soon began to emerge. Both were techni- cally savvy and vigorously addressed problems within the company. As described by Laurie Yoler, Eberhard was “just brilliant, and he has this tenacity that is unbe- lievable . . . He is the guy you want around in those early days when you have naysayers all around.” However, Eberhard could also be abrasive and critical. Musk, in turn, was not content to just !nancially back the company—he
  • 6. © D ar re n Br od e/ Sh ut te rs to ck .c om 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 202 22/10/13 4:58 PM Case 14 Tesla Motors C-203 that the average cost of the cars would be over $100,000 for the !rst 50, and would decline only slightly with in- creased volume. Eberhard could not answer the !nancial questions of the venture capitalists on Tesla’s board, and
  • 7. their con!dence in him was eroded even further by his defense of “In any other company it’s the CFO that pro- vides those numbers . . . I’m an engineer, not a !nance guy.” In August of 2007, the board removed him as CEO and demoted him to president of technology. Then in October of 2007, Musk arranged for Eberhard to be ousted from the company entirely. Furious, Eberhard started a blog detailing what he called the “Stealth Bloodbath” going on at Tesla, and he would later sue Musk for libel, slander, and breach of contract.vii Meanwhile, Eberhard’s temporary replacement was Michael Marks, former CEO of Flextronics. Marks im- mediately created a priority list that identi!ed items with potential to delay the car. He mothballed any plans for side projects and focused the entire business on stream- lining costs and getting the Roadster out. Despite his efforts, the Roadster missed its deadline for beginning production at the Lotus facility, triggering a penalty built into the manufacturing contract Eberhard had signed with Lotus: a $4 million fee. By the beginning of 2008 morale was at an all-time low. In March, however, production began on the Road- ster, and by July of 2008, most of the production prob- lems had been forgotten as the !rst seven Roadsters (the “Founder’s Series”) hit the road. Enthusiasm for the cars was astonishing—the cars boasted an all-star list of celebrities with reservations to buy a car, and everywhere the Roadster drove, people (albeit mostly men) stopped to stare.viii Musk’s ambitions did not stop at a niche high-end car, however. He wanted to build a major U.S. auto company—a feat that had not been successfully accom- plished since the 1920s. To do so, he knew he needed to
  • 8. introduce a less expensive car that could attract a higher volume of sales, if not quite the mass market. In June of 2008, Tesla announced the Model S—a high per- formance all-electric sedan that would sell for a price ranging from $57,400 to $77,400, and compete against cars like the BMW 5-series (see Figure 1b). The car would have an all-aluminum body, and a range of up to 300 miles per charge.ix The Model S cost $500 million to develop,x however offsetting that cost was a $465 million loan Tesla received from the U.S. government to build the car, as part of the U.S. government’s initiative to pro- mote the development of technologies that would help the U.S. to achieve energy independence. By May of 2012 Tesla reported that it already had 10,000 reservations for customers hoping to buy the Model S, and Musk con!dently claimed the company would soon be producing—and selling—20,000 Model S cars a year. Musk also noted that after ramping up pro- duction, he expected to see “at least 10,000 units a year from demand in Europe and at least 5,000 in Asia.”xi The production of the Model S went more smoothly than that of the Roadster, and by June of 2012 the !rst Model S cars were rolling off the factory "oor. The very !rst went to Jeff Skoll, eBay’s !rst president, and a major inves- tor in Tesla. On the day of the launch, Skoll talked with Musk about whether it was harder to build a rocket or a car (referring to Musk’s SpaceX company): “We decided it was a car. There isn’t a lot of competition in space.”xii To build the car, Tesla bought a recently closed au- tomobile factory in Fremont California that had been used for the New United Motor Manufacturing Inc. (NUMMI) venture between Toyota and General Motors. The factory, which was far bigger than Tesla’s immediate needs, would give the company room to grow. Further-
  • 9. more, though the plant and the land it was on had been appraised at around $1 billion before NUMMI was shut down, Tesla was able to snap up the idled factory for $42 million.xiii Tesla also used the factory to produce battery packs for Toyota’s RAV4, and a charger for a subcompact Daimler AG electric vehicle. These projects would supplement Tesla’s income while also helping it to build scale and learning curve ef!ciencies in its tech- nologies. Musk also had plans to produce a sport utility vehicle, the Model X, which would cost $250 million to develop and would go into production in late 2013. Figure 1b Tesla Model S M ar k Vo n H ol de n/ W ire Im ag e/
  • 10. G et ty Im ag es 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 203 22/10/13 4:58 PM C-204 Case 14 Tesla Motors drivers might appreciate, such as restaurants or coffee shops. There were, however, only six Tesla Supercharg- ing stations in the world at the beginning of 2013.xv DC Fast Chargers and Tesla’s Supercharging stations were expensive to purchase and install—up to $250,000 de- pending on the location—and they needed to be close to heavy-duty electricity transformers. COMPETITION IN THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET Hybrid electric vehicles (HEV, such as the Toyota Prius) made their appearance in the U.S. auto market in 2000. These vehicles were readily adopted by consumers be- cause they require no change in typical consumer usage habits—they are !lled with gasoline and will automati- cally switch between electric miles and gasoline miles. Most such HEVs, however, have extremely limited elec- tric range. For many, ten miles of electric driving before switching over to gas is the norm. This limits their ability
  • 11. to reduce carbon emissions or to in"uence energy usage. All-electric vehicles (also called Plug-in Electric vehi- cles, known alternatively as AEV or PEV) get all of their energy from electricity. They are thus considered true zero-emission vehicles. Plug-in Hybrid Electric vehicles (PHEV) such as the Chevy Volt plugged in to charge, but could also use gas. A number of automakers were introducing electric ve- hicles by 2013—in large part due to California’s CARB standards that mandated that for automobiles to be sold in California, a certain portion of an automaker’s "eet had to be emission free. As a result, some automakers were willing to produce all-electric vehicles at a loss in order to be able to also sell more lucrative internal combustion models. (It was these California’s zero-emissions man- dates that had spurred a "urry of introductions of electric vehicles in the early 1990s. The subsequent downscaling of California’s zero-emission mandate in the late 1990s led GM, Toyota, Honda, and Ford to shut down their loss- making EV programs, including most notoriously, GM’s EV-1s, which were literally torn from their owners and crushed, as shown in the !lm “Who Killed the Electric Car?”) Other automakers opted to buy zero-emission credits from those companies that sold more than their required proportion of zero-emission vehicles. Tesla was OBSTACLES TO THE ADOPTION OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES There were a number of obstacles slowing the adoption of electric vehicles. The !rst was the price: Electric vehicles were, typically, signi!cantly more expensive than com- parable internal combustion models. Complicating mat- ters still further, most consumers had a very dif!cult time estimating how much their cost of ownership for an elec-
  • 12. tric car would be: How much would they pay to charge at home? How much would they pay to charge away from home? What would the maintenance and repairs of an electric vehicle cost? How long would the battery and/or car last? Would it have resale value? To lessen these concerns, Elon Musk set out to make the cost of owning a Tesla as certain as possible. First, he created a “Super- charger” network that Model S owners could use for free, for the life of the car. As noted by Musk, “The clearest way to convey the message that electric cars are actually better than gasoline cars is to say charging is free.”xiv The hitch was that a user had to be within range of one of the Supercharger stations. Second, Musk announced an un- precedented price protection guarantee that permitted a Model S owner to trade in their car for a designated re- sidual value anytime within the !rst three years of the cars life. Musk also announced plans to offer free repairs, and a free replacement car while a customer’s car was being repaired. Needless to say, analysts were scratching their heads at the potential costs of these promises. The second major obstacle to the adoption of electric vehicles was their limited range and associated “range anxiety” (people’s concerns about driving in places where they were not sure they would be able to charge their cars). These concerns were not so much of an issue for the Tesla cars due to their exceptionally long range. The other “mass market” electric vehicles faced tougher hurdles. For example, though a Nissan Leaf could be charged at an ordinary 110 household outlet, a full charge by this method could take eight hours. Level 2 charging with a 220-volt outlet could shorten that time to four hours, but this was still completely impractical for recharging dur- ing a trip. DC Fast Chargers and Tesla’s “Superchargers” promised to fully charge a vehicle in 30 minutes or less. While this is still signi!cantly longer than the typical
  • 13. 6-minute gasoline !ll-up, it meant that charging could be feasible if it were colocated with other services that 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 204 22/10/13 4:58 PM Case 14 Tesla Motors C-205 one such automaker who had surplus credits (since it pro- duced no internal combustion vehicles), and as a result Tesla earned roughly $68 million selling its ZEV credits in the !rst quarter of 2013. Several companies had attempted to enter the all- electric vehicle market, but run out of cash and ceased operations. These included Fisker, Coda, Azure Dynam- ics, Bright Automotive, and others. The more serious competition was coming from established automak- ers who had deeper pockets to withstand the losses of building the electric vehicle market. Among these, there were a few competing cars that had sold signi!cant (though still small) numbers of cars into the market. The Nissan Leaf, for example, retailed for about $35,000, and had a range of about 90-100 miles per charge. It had sold 25,000 units in the U.S. and 50,000 worldwide by June of 2013. The Chevy Volt was a plug-in hybrid that could travel about 40 all-electric miles per charge, and an additional 340 miles on gasoline (making it a good solution for individuals that primarily made short com- mutes, but also wanted to be able to drive the car long distances without “range anxiety”). It also retailed for about $35,000, and had sold over 20,000 units in the U.S. by June of 2013 (see Figure 2).
  • 14. Company June 2013 June 2012 % Change YTD 2013 YTD 2012 % Change Ford 7736 1354 471.34 46197 8992 413.76 Ford C-Max Hybrid 2889 0 – 17858 0 – Ford C-Max Energi PHEV 455 0 – 2482 0 – Ford Escape Hybrid 0 17 – 0 1281 – Ford Focus Electric 177 89 98.88 900 97 827.84 Ford Fusion Hybrid 3057 797 283.56 20283 4988 306.64 Ford Fusion Energi PHEV 390 0 – 1584 0 – Lincoln MKZ Hybrid 768 451 70.29 3090 2626 17.67 GM 2831 1927 46.91 10660 10020 6.39 Chevy Volt 2698 1760 53.30 9855 8817 11.77 Other hybrids 133 167 !20.36 805 1203 !33.06 Honda 1758 1566 12.26 9302 10712 !13.16 Honda Civic Hybrid 568 548 3.65 3141 4118 !23.73 Honda CR-Z 393 409 !3.91 2415 2404 0.46 Honda Insight 384 494 !22.27 2362 4041 !41.55 Honda Fit EV 208 0 – 291 0 –
  • 15. Honda Accord PHEV 42 0 – 200 0 – Acura ILX Hybrid 163 115 41.74 893 149 499.33 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi i 39 33 18.18 882 333 164.86 Figure 2 U.S. Electric Vehicle Sales 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 205 22/10/13 4:58 PM C-206 Case 14 Tesla Motors Company June 2013 June 2012 % Change YTD 2013 YTD 2012 % Change Nissan Nissan Leaf 2225 535 315.89 9839 3148 212.55 Porsche 66 67 !1.49 372 909 !59.08 Porsche Cayenne S Hybrid 62 42 47.62 294 669 !56.05 Porsche Panamera Hybrid 4 25 !84.00 78 240 !67.50 Toyota 30663 25776 18.96 176506 169113 4.37 Toyota Prius Liftback 14066 11514 22.16 76809 83205 !7.69 Toyota Prius C 3442 3657 !5.88 20575 16251 26.61
  • 16. Toyota Prius V 2987 3284 !9.04 18616 22851 !18.53 Toyota Prius PHEV 584 695 !15.97 4214 4347 !3.06 Toyota Camry Hybrid 3878 3459 12.11 23834 23538 1.26 Toyota Highlander Hybrid 550 496 10.89 2960 3051 !2.98 Toyota Avalon Hybrid 1394 0 – 8348 0 – Toyota RAV4 EV 44 0 – 408 0 – Lexus Hybrids 3718 2671 39.20 20742 15870 30.70 Volkswagen Volkswagen Jetta Hybrid 438 0 – 2219 0 – Total 100% Electrics 2693 657 309.89 12320 3578 244.33 Total PHEVs 4169 2455 69.82 18335 13164 39.28 Total Conv. Hybrids 38894 28146 38.19 225322 186485 20.83 TOTAL 45756 31258 46.38 255977 203227 25.96 Source: EVObsession, June Electric Vehicle Sales, Published July 4, 2013 at http://evobsession.com/electric-vehicles-sales- update-june-2013-sales/ june-electric-vehicle-sales/ TESLA’S STRATEGIES Automated Manufacturing In 2013, all of Tesla’s manufacturing was performed at its Fremont plant. Its manufacturing process was highly automated, with extensive use of eight-to ten-foot-tall
  • 17. red robots, reminiscent of Iron Man. Each robot had a single multi-jointed arm. While typical auto factory robots perform only one function, Tesla’s robots per- form up to four tasks: welding, riveting, bonding, and installing a component. Eight robots might work on a single car at each station of the assembling line in a cho- reographed pattern like ballet. The robots produce up to 83 cars a day, and can be reprogrammed to produce the Model X on the same assembly line.xvi Distribution Musk saw the franchise-dealership arrangements that U.S. car companies use to sell cars as an expensive, margin- killing model. He chose instead to own and operate Tesla 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 206 22/10/13 4:58 PM Case 14 Tesla Motors C-207 dealerships himself (a controversial move that has provoked the ire of dealership networks). Furthermore, Tesla dealer- ships are more like “stores” in upscale shopping malls (in 2013 the company had 35 stores across the U.S., Europe, and Asia). Salespeople answer customer questions without using high-pressure sales tactics. The company also sells direct to consumers on the internet. Marketing Tesla spends no money on advertising, nor does it have any plans to hire advertising agencies or run ads in the future. Its in-house marketing team had only seven staff people, and an internal team runs the website. Nissan, by
  • 18. contrast, spent $25 million advertising the Leaf in 2012. According to Alexis Georgeson, Tesla spokesperson, “Right now, the stores are our advertising. We’re very con!dent we can sell 20,000-plus cars a year without paid advertising . . . It may be something we’ll do years down the road. But it’s certainly not something we feel is crucial for sales right now.”xvii LOOKING TO THE FUTURE . . . In the !rst quarter of 2013, Tesla announced its !rst quarterly pro!t. The company had taken in $562 million in revenues, and reported an $11.2 million pro!t. Then more good news came: the Model S had earned Consumer Reports’ highest rating, and had outsold similarly priced BMW and Mercedes models in the !rst quarter.xviii In May of 2013, the company raised $1 billion by issuing new shares, and then surprised investors by announcing that it had paid back its gov- ernment loan. After repaying the loan, Tesla had about $679 million in cash. Musk had announced con!dently that he felt it was his obligation to pay back taxpayer money as soon as possible, and that the company had suf!cient funds now to develop its next generation of automobiles without the loan, and without issuing fur- ther shares.xix Tesla’s success was surprising and inspiring. The company had survived its infancy, appeared to be sol- vent, and was meeting its sales objectives even though serious obstacles remained for electric vehicles. It was also competing against companies with far greater scale. As noted by O’Dell, a senior editor at auto in- formation sites Edmunds.com, on Tesla’s success, “A lot of people have been very, very skeptical . . . when
  • 19. you want to be an automaker, you are competing with multibillion-dollar conglomerates . . . It’s entrepreneur- ism on steroids . . . They had a huge learning curve but they’ve powered through it.” Theo O’Neill, an analyst at Wunderlich Securities adds that “It’s going to prove everybody in Detroit wrong . . . They all say what Tesla is doing isn’t possible.”xx However, some investment analysts were more skeptical. The 2013 pro!ts had included a one-time $10.7 million DOE stock warrant pro!t, and $68 million in ZEV credit sales.xxi The warrant revenues would not be repeated, and nobody knew what the yearly demand for ZEV credits would be and whether such revenues were sustainable. Competition from the major automakers was also increasing steadily. Furthermore, what was the true market size for electric vehicles, and what portion of that market would pay the higher price of a Tesla? On top of this, Tesla’s stock had risen mete- orically and many investors were concerned that Tesla’s stock price was an overin"ated bubble (see Figure 3). In June of 2013 Tesla’s market capitalization was $11 billion—more than Fiat’s and roughly a quarter of General Motors. While Tesla’s success surely war- ranted praise and enthusiasm, it was dif!cult for many people to reconcile such a large market capitalization with Tesla’s sales. Furthermore, if the stock was over- valued and began to drop precipitously, it could under- mine people’s faith in the company. In short, Tesla was not out of the woods yet. 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 207 22/10/13 4:58 PM
  • 20. C-208 Case 14 Tesla Motors March 2013 2012 2011 2010 Revenues Automotive sales 555,203 385,699 148,568 97,078 Development services 6,589 27,557 55,674 19,666 Total revenues 561,792 413,256 204,242 116,744 Cost of revenues Automotive sales 461,818 371,658 115,482 79,982 Development services 3,654 11,531 27,165 6,031 Total cost of revenues (1) 465,472 383,189 142,647 86,013 Gross pro"t 96,320 30,067 61,595 30,731 Exhibit 1 Tesla Financials, in Thousand US$ Figure 3 Tesla Stock Chart Source: Nasdaq.com (continued ) 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 208 22/10/13 4:58 PM
  • 21. Case 14 Tesla Motors C-209 NOTES i. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol. 158, issue 2, pg. 82–94. ii. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol. 158, issue 2, pg. 82–94. iii. Boudreau. J. 2012. In a Silicon Valley milestone, Tesla Motors begins delivering Model S electric cars. Oakland Tribune, June 24: Breaking News Section. iv. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol. 158, issue 2, pg. 82–94. v. Williams, A. 2009. Taking a Tesla for a status check in New York. New York Times, July 19, ST.7. vi. Copeland, M.V. 2008. Tesla’s wild ride. Fortune, Vol. 158, issue 2, pg. 82–94. vii. Garthwaite, J. 2011. Tesla sues “Top Gear,” New York Times, April 3, AU.2. viii. Williams, A. 2009. Taking a Tesla for a status check in New York. New York Times, July 19, ST.7. ix. Ramsey, M. 2011. Tesla sets 300-mile range for second electric car. Wall Street Journal (Online), March 7: n/a. x. Aggregated from Tesla’s !rst quarter 2013 10Q and 2012 10K. xi. Sweet, C. 2013. Tesla posts its !rst quarterly pro!t. Wall
  • 22. Street Journal (Online), May 9: n/a. xii. Boudreau. J. 2012. In a Silicon Valley milestone, Tesla Motors begins delivering Model S electric cars. Oakland Tribune, June 24: Breaking News Section. xiii. Anonymous. 2010. Idle Fremont plant gears up for Tesla. Wall Street Journal (Online), October 20: n/a. xiv. Woody, T. 2012. Billionaire car wars. Forbes, December 10: pg. 90–98. xv. Woody, T. 2012. Billionaire car wars. Forbes, December 10: pg. 90–98. xvi. Markoff, J. 2012. Skilled work, without the worker. New York Times, August 19:A.1. xvii. McCarthy, M. 2013. Tesla generates small sales, huge buzz without paid ads. Advertising Age, June 10:pg. 9. xviii. Levi, M. 2013. How Tesla pulled ahead of the electric- car pack. Wall Street Journal, June 21:A.11. xix. White, J.B. 2013. Corporate News: Electric car startup Tesla repays U.S. loan. Wall Street Journal, May 23:B.3. xx. Boudreau. J. 2012. In a Silicon Valley milestone, Tesla Motors begins delivering Model S electric cars. Oakland Tribune, June 24: Breaking News Section. xxi. Tesla 10-Q, May 2013. March 2013 2012 2011 2010 Operating expenses
  • 23. Research and develop- ment (1) 54,859 273,978 208,981 92,996 Selling, general and administrative (1) 47,045 150,372 104,102 84,573 Total operating expenses 101,904 424,350 313,083 177,569 Income/Loss from operations !5,584 !394,283 !251,488 !146,833 Interest income 10 288 255 258 Interest expense !118 !254 !43 !992 Other income (expense), net (2) 17,091 !1,828 !2,646 !6,583 Income (loss) before income taxes 11,399 !396,077 !253,922 !154,155 Provision for (bene"t from) income taxes 151 136 489 173
  • 24. Net income (loss) 11,248 !396,213 !254,411 !154,328 Net income (loss) per common share, basic (3) 0.1 (3.69) (2.53) (3.04) 84487_case-14_ptg01_hr_C201-C209.indd 209 22/10/13 4:58 PM