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CASH ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT
Cash is the life blood of every business because
 without it, a business would not run
Cash gives more liquidity than securities- thus the
 reason business people don't take all their cash
 and invest it in interest-bearing securities
Thus determining how much cash has been
 generated in every bottom line year in critical
Is should be noted that there are transaction
 items that hit the balance sheet which don't hit
 the P &L and vice versa
                        SAN LIO                    1
These items are captured by the cash flow
 statement accordingly
A cash flow layout is identified as follows:




                       SAN LIO                  2
IAS 7

STANDARD LAYOUT OF THE CASH FLOW STATEMENT


     Net cash flow from operating activities
                 ▼                      PLUS OR MINUS
        Investing Activities
                 ▼
              Financing
                 ▼                       EQUALS
INCREASE OR DECREASE IN CASH OVER THE PERIOD

                           SAN LIO                      3
NET CASH FLOW FROM OPRATING
             ACTIVITIES
 DIRECT METHOD
Cash from sales*                            xxxx
Less Cash paid for purchases *            (xxxx)
Less cash paid for admin expenses         (xxx)
Less cash paid for distribution expenses (xxx)
LESS TAXATION                           (xxx)
Net cash flow from operating activities xxxx
*CASH FROM SALES= Sales +opening debtors –closing
  debtors
*CASH PURCHASES= Purchases+ open creditors- closing
  creditors

                         SAN LIO                      4
INDIRECT METHOD-NOTE ONE
Operating profit                            xxxx
ADD: Depreciation                            xxx
ADD: loss on sale of fixed assets            xxx
LESS: Profit on sale of fixed assets        (xxx)
INCREASES IN STOCKS                      (XXX)
DECREASE IN STOCKS                        XXX
INCREASE IN DEBTORS                      (XXX)
DECREASE IN DEBTORS                       XXX
INCREASE IN CREDITORS                     XXX
DECREASE IN CREDITORS                    (XXX)
LESS TAXATION                              (XXX)

                               SAN LIO              5
=NET cash flow from operating activities
  XXXX
NOTE TWO OF CASH FLOW
Usually changes in cash- BANK balance and
  OD
MAY TAKE AN ILLUSTRATION



                     SAN LIO                 6
Cashflow statement when used with other
  corporate reports will help bankers and other
  users of F/I assess:
 Coy’s ability to generate future net cashflow
 Whether a coy is able to meet its financial
  obligations e.g. payment of dividends, interest
  etc
 The effect on the coy’s financial position of
  investments undertaken during the accounting
  period
                        SAN LIO                     7
The reasons for differences between profits
 and cashflows arising from normal operating
 activity
The value of a business since the statement
 provides a useful information for business
 valuation models based on estimates of likely
 future cashflows


                      SAN LIO                    8
SOURCES Of CASH
INTERNAL SOURCES
 Business operations-basically NOTE 1
 Reducing investment in business assets- reduce
  stocks for example
 Retained earnings
 Loans from directors
EXTERNAL SOURCES- DEPENDS ON
 The nature of the business
 The size of the business
 Directors involved
                       SAN LIO                     9
Economic factors etc
THE SOURCES INCLUDE
Loans- short-term, medium-term, long-term
Shares –various types
Debentures- basically loan agreement
Government- grants
Bonds
Friends and family members

                    SAN LIO                  10
IAS 7-CAH FLOW STATEMENT
The objective of IAS 7 is to require the
 presentation of information about the
 historical changes in cash and cash equivalents
 of an enterprise by means of a statement of
 cash flows, which classifies cash flows during
 the period according to operating, investing,
 and financing activities



                      SAN LIO                  11
RELEVANT CASH FLOWS
 operating activities are the main revenue-producing
  activities of the enterprise that are not investing or
  financing activities, so operating cash flows include
  cash received from customers and cash paid to
  suppliers and employees –WILL SEE MORE IN WC
  management
 investing activities are the acquisition and disposal of
  long-term assets and other investments that are not
  considered to be cash equivalents
 Management of liquid resources- short-term
  investments –usually within a year –e.g. stocks assets

                            SAN LIO                          12
Financing- these include:
SHARES NAMELY
 Going public- advantages
Owners can diversify-growth
Increases liquidity
Facilitates raising new corporate cash
Establishes a value for the firm
Sets up merger negotiations
Increases potential markets

                        SAN LIO           13
 Going public-disadvantages
Cost of reporting
Disclosures
Self-dealings-???
Inactive market/low price- fight for a market
  share
Control- voting rights
LOANS AND DEBENTURES
 These are interest bearing funds and could be
Short-term
                        SAN LIO                   14
Medium-term
Long-term
 NOTE
The way these are arranged is important.
Managers don't want to finance for example
  long-term investments with short-term loans.
  This is a recipe for corporate failure
In fact it is important to WATCH for any short-
  term loans . Can the firm pay these as they fall
  due in the short-term

                         SAN LIO                     15
Long-term loans are preferred

UNBALANCED FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS
Its top management’s job to maintain an
 appropriate balance between:
Long-term
Medium-term
Short-term finance

                     SAN LIO               16
And, within the first category an acceptable
  relationship must exist between:
 Share capital and
 Loan capital
It should be noted that once expansion occurs,
  additional long-term finance is needed to cover
  the cost of fixed assets and working capital
  requirements; while a reduction in the scale of a
  company’s operations may permit the repayment
  of certain sources of finance
                        SAN LIO                   17
These issues require proper planning- as
 management often fail to achieve a balanced
 financial structure either because it does not
 plan, ahead or because unexpected events
 occur.
There are two main aspects of unbalanced
 financial development namely:
Over-trading
Over-capitalization
                      SAN LIO                     18
OVER-TRADING
This is a situation which will occur when the
 volume of business activity is excessive in relation
 to the finance provided by the shareholders
A situation like this will lead to the company to
 start going for external finance in the form of
 loan capital, bank overdrafts, and trade credit
In essence management has attempted to
 undertake too much too quickly meaning the
 company is left with insufficient resources to
 meet its currently maturing liabilities
                         SAN LIO                    19
 The company would therefore find it difficult to pay wages
  due to employees, debts due to suppliers, tax payable to
  the government, etc
 The signs of over-trading should be looked for in the
  balance sheet and they include:
 A decline in the ratios of debtors /creditors and current
  assets/current liabilities
 A low figure of working capital
 A high ratio of fixed assets to working capital
 A severe shortage of cash
 Bankers are particularly interested in this scenario (over-
  trading) because it is common cause of business failure

                             SAN LIO                            20
OVER-CAPILIZATION
Occurs when management is unable to make full
  use of the capital available.
In this case, it may be prudent for management
  to return capital to the members either by
  purchasing or redeeming some of its shares or by
  canceling shares not unrepresented by assets.
SOLUTIONS?
Return part of the capital by:
 Purchasing shares/redemption of shares
 Repayment of loan capital

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CASH OPERATING CYCLE
Defined as the gap that exists between the time it
 takes for payments for goods or raw materials
 received into stock AND the collection cash from
 customers following their sale
During this period, the goods acquired together
 with the value added in the case of
 manufacturers must be financed by the coy
NOTE the shorter the length of time between the
 initial outlay and the ultimate collection of cash
 the smaller is the value of W/C
                        SAN LIO                   22
WORKING CAPITAL to be financed
CALCULATION
 Calculate the time which the product spends in
  each stage of its progression from acquisition to
  sale and actual cash receipt
 LESS the period of credit received from suppliers
Elements in the calculation include:
 Stocks-held for a time then used or sold. These
  would include:

                        SAN LIO                       23
Raw materials- held in stock and then
 transferred to production
Work in progress- actual processing of raw
 materials
Finished goods-transferred from factory to
 ware house
Debtors – the average age of debts should be
 found from the values of debtors and sales

                     SAN LIO                    24
Creditors- these finance the production and
 selling cycle from the time raw
 materials/goods are received into stock until
 they are paid for. The period is found from the
 values of creditors and purchases
Liquidity check may be used alongside W/C
 management


                      SAN LIO                  25
Liquidity (quick) ratio = current assets-inven
                        Current Liabilities
Purpose is to examine solvency. Concentrates
 attention more directly on a coy’s prospect of
 paying its debts as they fall due by excluding
 current assets which will not be converted
 into cash within the next couple of months.
Called the acid test of solvency

                      SAN LIO                     26
EXAMPLE OF COMPUTATION
 Raw material stock= raw materials stocks
                       raw materials consumed
+production period= Work in progres
                     COG manufactured
+finished goods stocks= finished goods
                          COG Sold
+credit to customers = debtors
                        Sales
LESS Credit from suppliers=Creditors
                         Purchases of raw
=CASH OPERATING CYCLE IN DAYS


                           SAN LIO              27
Good to take an example at this stage on COC




                     SAN LIO                    28
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Need to observe the relationship between the
  cash operating cycle and working capital by
  looking at our example and identifying whether
  or not WORKING CAPITAL HAS INCREASED
This done by analysing movement in:
 Stocks
 Debtors
 Creditors
For the two years 2009 and 2008


                       SAN LIO                     29
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Defined as the excess of current assets over
 current liabilities
Shed more light on the short-term solvency of
 the coy i.e. its ability to pay debts as they fall
 due
The gist of the matter is to determine the rate
 at which current assets are converted into
 cash and how quickly current liabilities are
 paid

                        SAN LIO                   30
This is certainly unique to every industry e.g. a
 retailer who sells goods for cash may operate
 with a much lower ratio than a manufacturer
 who sells goods on credit. This is because for the
 manufacturer, goods sold are ‘tied up’ as debts
 before cash becomes available.
On the same vain, the period for which stocks are
 held varies from industry to industry e.g. a small
 metal manufacturer may convert raw materials
 into finished goods much faster than a
 construction company

                        SAN LIO                   31
It should be noted the recommended Working
 Capital ratio is 2:1.
The working capital ratio = Current assets
                               Current Liabilities
And the result is given as a ratio
The above arguments guide on what should be an
 acceptable ratio (and not just a conclusion of an
 ideal 2:1)
Again this is closely linked to the cash operating
 cycle

                       SAN LIO                    32
EFFICIENCY RATIOS
THE INVENTORY CONVERSION PERIOD
= Inventory * 365 (IN DAYS
   Sales
 Tells us how long it takes to convert raw materials
   raw materials into finished goods
RECEIVABLE COLLECTION PERIOD
= Receivables *365 (In days)
    Sales
 Tells us how long it takes to convert receivables
   after a sale into Cash.
                         SAN LIO                    33
CREDIT POLICY
 Credit period- what is the length of time buyers are
  given to pay for their purchases?
 Discounts given- usually given for early settlement of
  accounts. If payment not done within the discount
  period, then FULL amounts are paid
 Credit standards- means the required financial strength
  of acceptable credit customers. Lower credit standards
  boost sales BUT also increase the possibility of bad
  debts
 Collection policy- usually gauged by its efficiency in-
  terms of collecting slow-paying accounts

                          SAN LIO                       34
PAYABLE S DEFERRAL PERIOD
= Payables*365 ( IN DAYS)
  Purchases
OR
= Payables *365
  Cost of goods sold
 This basically the average length of time between
  the purchase of materials and labor and
  subsequent cash payment for these

                        SAN LIO                   35
TAXATION EFFECTS
IAS 12 particularly deals with the management of
  income tax
DEFINES THE FOLLOWING
 Temporary difference: A difference between the
  carrying amount of an asset or liability and its tax
  base.
 Taxable temporary difference: A temporary
  difference that will result in taxable amounts in
  the future when the carrying amount of the asset
  is recovered or the liability is settled
                         SAN LIO                     36
 Deductible temporary difference: A temporary
  difference that will result in amounts that are tax
  deductible in the future when the carrying
  amount of the asset is recovered or the liability is
  settled
 CURRENT TAX-Current tax for the current and
  prior periods should be recognised as a liability to
  the extent that it has not yet been settled, and as
  an asset to the extent that the amounts already
  paid exceed the amount due.

                         SAN LIO                     37
 Current tax assets and liabilities should be
  measured at the amount expected to be paid to
  (recovered from) taxation authorities, using the
  rates/laws that have been enacted or
  substantively enacted by the balance sheet date
TREATMENT/EFFECT
 Accrued items go the balance sheet
 CASH ITEMS go to the CASH FLOW statement
 CASH ITEMS are itemized in Cash budget/cash
  forecast

                        SAN LIO                      38
VALUE ADDED TAX
Tax charged at every stage ‘VALUE’ is added to a
 product
Organizations subjected to VAT receive cash net
 of VAT deductions and therefore this effect must
 be taken into account
There is a further cash effect when the VAT
 collected called the output tax less any tax paid
 on purchases (input VAT) is charged
If the input tax exceeds the output tax,
 reimbursement of the difference is made to the
 company
                        SAN LIO                      39
VAT transactions should be carefully analyzed for
  cash budget purposes
EXAMPLE
Maarifa Limited had a credit balance payable in
  January 2010 on its VAT account of KSH 16,000 on
  December 2009. During the first three months of
  2010 the organization made cash purchases net
  of VAT of KSH 250,000 and cash sales including
  VAT of KSH 425,500. Assume rate of VAT of 15%
REQUIRED
                       SAN LIO                   40
1. Prepare the company’s VAT account for the
   first three months of 2010, showing the
   balance due at 31 March 2010
2. Prepare a schedule showing the appropriate
   numbers relating to purchases and sales
a) In the cash account
b) In the trading account
SOLUTION
                     SAN LIO                    41
VALUE ADDED TAX ACCOUNT
Jan 2010 -VAT paid 16,000 Jan 1 2010 B/F 16000
VAT on purchases * 37,500 VAT Sales *      55,500
March 31 2010 C/D 18,000                         0
                     71,500                 71,500
*Purchases ksh 250,000*15%= Ksh 37,500
*Sales 115% = 425,500
 ? 100% = 425,500*100/115= 370,000
Thus: VAT = 425,500-370,000= Ksh 55,500


                         SAN LIO                     42
CASH ACCOUNT
DR Sales cash Ksh 425,500
CR Purchases cash Ksh 287,500
TRADING ACCOUNT
DR Purchases (net of VAT)= Ksh 250,000
CR Sales (net of VAT) Ksh 370,000
NOTE
When sales made on credit the company’s
  liability to pay VAT arises once the invoice is
  issued.
                          SAN LIO                   43
This may mean that VAT is actually paid out to
 the government before the cash is received
 from customers
On the other hand VAT on credit purchases
 may be set off against output VAT as soon as
 liability is entered into the books and before
 payments to the creditors are made. ( it is not
 necessary to wait until the debt is settled)

                      SAN LIO                  44
PROJECTS WITH UNEQUAL LIVES
 when choosing between mutually exclusive projects,
   we must first determine if they can be repeated, and if
   so, we must take this into account when we estimate
   the projects’ profitability.
 If a company is choosing between two mutually
   exclusive alternatives with significantly different lives,
   an adjustment may be necessary
ILLUSTRATION
 We may illustrate this by assuming a company that
   wishes to invest in TWO mutually exclusive projects


                             SAN LIO                        45
 Lets call these projects A and B as follows
 PROJECT A is a SIX year period project
CASH FLOWS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
YR0                     KSH -40,000
YR1                     KSH 8,000
YR2                     KSH 14,000
YR3                     KSH 13,000
YR4                     KSH 12,000
YR5                     KSH 11,000
YR6                     KSH 10,000

                            SAN LIO             46
PROJECT B is a THREE year project
CASH FLOWS ARE AS FOLLOWS
YR0                   KSH-20,000
YR1                   KSH 7,000
YR2                   KSH 13,000
YR3                   KSH 12,000
The COST of capital of the company is 12%
IF we were to do the NPV of the two projects, we
  can conclude as follows:
                       SAN LIO                  47
NPV PROJECTS A AND B
YR           CF                DF        PV
YR0        KSH -40,000        1        -40,000
YR1        KSH 8,000         0.8929       7,143.20
YR2        KSH 14,000        0.7972      11,160.80
YR3        KSH 13,000        0.7118        9,253.40
YR4        KSH 12,000        0.6355       7,626.00
YR5        KSH 11,000         0.5674       6,241.40
YR6        KSH 10,00         0.5066       5,066.00
 NPV (A)                                 6,490.80

                         SAN LIO                      48
B
YR          CF                DF         PV(KSH)
YR0       KSH-20,000         1          -20,000
YR1        KSH 7,000         0.8929        6,250.30
YR2        KSH 13,000        0.7972       10,363.60
YR3        KSH 12,000        0.7118       8,541.60
NPV (B)                                   5,155.50
Thus from this analysis the company will choose
  project A since it has the higher NPV
IRR of A =17.5% AND of B = 25.2%
                       SAN LIO                    49
BUT
Although the analysis suggests that Project A
 should be selected, this analysis is incomplete,
 and the decision to choose Project A is actually
 incorrect.
If we choose Project B, we will have an
 opportunity to make a similar investment in three
 years, and if cost and revenue conditions remain
 at the SAME, this second investment will also be
 profitable.
However, if we choose Project A, we will not have
 this second investment opportunity.

                       SAN LIO                   50
THE COMMON LIFE APPROACH
Therefore, to make a proper comparison of
 Projects A and B, we could apply the
 replacement chain (common life) approach
This involves finding the NPV of Project B over
 a six-year period, and then comparing this
 extended NPV with the NPV of Project C over
 the same six years.
The NPV for Project A as calculated is already
 over the six-year common life.

                      SAN LIO                  51
For Project B, however, we must add in a second
  project to extend the overall life of the combined
  projects to six years.
Here we assume
 (1) that Project B’s costs and annual cash inflows
  will not change if the project is repeated in three
  years and
 (2) that the COY’s cost of capital will remain at
  12%
 THUS YRS 4-5 &6 = CFs Ksh 7,000, 13,000 and
  12,000 respectively
                         SAN LIO                    52
NPV OF B ON COMMON LIFE
YR0       KSH-20,000        1       -20,000
YR1        KSH 7,000        0.8929     6,250.30
YR2        KSH 13,000       0.7972    10,363.60
YR3        KSH -8,000*       0.7118  -5,694.40
YR4        KSH 7,000        0.6355    4,448.50
YR5        KSH 13,000       0.5674     7,376.20
YR6        KSH 12,000       0.5066    6,079.20
NPV(B-COMMON LIFE APPROACH) 8,823.40
* (12,000-20,000). B is selected.

                      SAN LIO                 53
EXPANSION AND STRATEGIC OPTIONS
 Strategic management is the formal and structured
  process by which an organization establishes a position
  of strategic leadership.
 Strategic leadership is about the achievement of
  sustained comparative advantage over the competition
 Thus strategy is knowing the business you propose to
  carry out
 Kenneth Andrew (1971) defined strategy as the pattern
  of major objectives; purposes or goals and essential
  policies or plans for achieving those goals, stated in
  such a way as to define what business the company is
  in or is to be in and the kind of company it is or is to be

                            SAN LIO                         54
 Kenichi Ohmae (1983) defined strategy as the way in which
  a corporation endeavours to differentiate itself positively
  from its competitors, using its relative strengths to better
  satisfy customer needs.
 I define strategy as being different!. Your talents are
  unique, and they indeed can be implemented in a unique
  way.
 SO, how does a business move from here?
 Capital budgeting-identify projects
 SOURCES of capital-capital structure decisions
 Cash flow management- CASH is CRITICAL
 Strategy management- stay ahead

                             SAN LIO                         55
CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF A FIRM
Defined as the proportionate re-alignment of a
 company's different funding sources, including
 debt, equity and other hybrid instruments such
 as convertible bonds. Capital structure can fairly
 easily be measured by the ratio of long-term debt
 to total capital.
At the beginning of trade, a coy should have a
 balanced capital structure
This means assets should be financed/funded by
 the appropriate types of finance
                        SAN LIO                   56
NOTE: Balance sheet shows assets and how
 they are financed- IAS 1 guides on full
 disclosure
Long-term sources of finance e.g. equity
 capital and debentures should cover all
 investment in fixed assets
But with sufficient excess to make a significant
 contribution towards funding current assets

                       SAN LIO                  57
This so in order that we can achieve the ideal
 WORKING CAPITAL RATIO of 2:1 i.e. half the
 value of current assets should be financed by
 long-term capital and the remainder by short
 term sources e.g. creditors
Even within the long-term sources of funds, a
 satisfactory relationship should be created
 between various types available- whether it is
 shares or loans

                      SAN LIO                 58
The optimum structure depends on such factors
 as the nature of the trade undertaken, the likely
 stability of profits (product lines, markets etc)
Lets assume this ideal structure is established as
 at the beginning of trade
On day one of trade, the financial structure
 established at the outset begins to be affected by
 the results of trading as well as passage of time
 namely:
                        SAN LIO                   59
The initial investment increased by the
 amounts of profits earned and retained in the
 business and is reduced by losses
Passage of time means long-term loans being
 paid gets closer to the end of their term and
 may be classified as current liabilities
 The rate at which debtors pay and creditors
 are paid affect the balance between current
 assets and current liabilities

                      SAN LIO                60
Credit purchases of additional stock needed to
 expand a successful coy and credit sales also
 affect the balance between current assets and
 current liabilities
In the long-run, success may encourage the
 acquisition of extra production capacity which
 must be funded by appropriate type of
 finance to maintain the structure

                      SAN LIO                 61
Flows of resources take place with trading,
 and these have an impact on the enterprise
The impact may be beneficial or detrimental
 i.e. may lead to success or failure
Managers are paid to manage this structure
 and desirable balance of financing business
 activities


                     SAN LIO                   62
PRACTICAL ASPECTS
The value of a firm is the present value of its
  expected future cash flows (FCFs) discounted at
  its Weighted Average Cost of Capital(WACC)
WACC depend on such factors as :
 The percentage of debt and equity (Wd and We)
 The cost of debt (rd)
 The cost of stock(rs)
 The corporate tax rate(T)
THIS MEANS
WACC= Wd(1-T)rd+ We*rs
                       SAN LIO                      63
The implication of this is that the only way any
  DECESION can change a firm’s value is by
  affecting its:
 Free cash flows
 The cost of capital
WHY?
Because:
V(Value of the firm)=         ∑ FCFt
                              (1+WACC)t

                        SAN LIO                     64
Debt increases the cost of stock rs- this is because
 the fixed claim of debt-holders makes the
 residual claim of stockholders become less
 certain, hence increasing the cost of stock
Debt reduces the taxes a company will pay- this
 because companies deduct interest expenses
 when calculating taxable income. Notice the
 sharing of the company’s ‘spoils’ is between the
 debt-holders, investors and the government. This
 reduction in taxes reduces the after-tax cost of
 DEBT

                        SAN LIO                    65
 The risk of bankruptcy increases the cost of debt rd-
  this is because with higher bankruptcy risk, debt-
  holders will insist on a higher expected return- and this
  effectively increases pre-tax cost of debt
 The risk of bankruptcy REDUCES Free Cash Flow- this is
  because :
 as risk of bankruptcy increases, some customers will
  certainly opt to buy from another more stable
  company –which reduces sales. This scenario
  effectively DECREASES Net Operating Profit after Tax
  (NOPAT)-thereby reducing FCF

                           SAN LIO                        66
 Bankruptcy threat also negatively affects the
  productivity of workers and managers and this
  again reduces NOPAT and FCF
 Bankruptcy threat also makes suppliers tighten
  their credit levels –which reduces payables
  causing net operating working capital to increase
  and therefore reducing FCF. These events
  effectively reduces the value of the firm
Bankruptcy threat AFFECTS agency costs- this is
  because:


                        SAN LIO                       67
 When business is performing well, managers may
  waste cash flow on unnecessary expenditures e.g.
  expensive cars. This is purely an agency cost (CALLED
  THE AGENCY PROBLEM). Threat of bankruptcy and
  possible take-over bids reduces this wasteful spending
  and this INCREASES FCF
 The other effect is that in times of threats, managers
  may reject risky but would be profitable projects
  because to the manager- the company is his only
  investment BUT shareholders may be well diversified
  and therefore willing to take on risk projects which
  promise higher returns (CALLED THE
  UNDERINVESTMENT PROBLEM)
                          SAN LIO                          68
BUSINESS AND FINACIAL RISK
 Business risk is the risk a firm’s common shareholders
  would encounter if the firm had no debt. Note that the
  greater the use of debt, the greater the concentration
  of risk on the stockholders, and the higher the cost of
  common equity.
 Business risk arises from uncertainty in projections of
  an entity’s cash flows- which simply means uncertainty
  about the entity’s operating profit as well as its capital
  (investment)requirements
 The return on INVESTED capital (ROIC) puts these two
  aspects together to measure business risk

                            SAN LIO                        69
ROIC= NOPAT = EBIT(1-T)
           Capital          Capital
= Net Income to common stockholders + After tax interest payments
                                  Capital
NOTE :CAPITAL= FIRM’S DEBT + EQUITY
And it means the required amount of
  operating capital accordingly

                                  SAN LIO                           70
 Business risk depends on the following factors:
 Demand variability- the more stable the demand is, the
  lower the firm’s business risk
 Sales price variability- the more reliable output prices
  are, the lower the firm’s business risk
 Input cost variability- the more stable the input costs
  the lower the business risk
 Ability to change output prices when output costs
  changes- the greater the ability to adjust and match
  output prices with input costs the lower the business
  risk


                           SAN LIO                       71
 Ability to develop new products in a cost effective
  and timely fashion- the faster the possibilities to
  develop new products as older ones become
  obsolete the lower the business risk
 Foreign risk exposure- if a firm engages in the
  production of overseas products, it is subject to
  exchange rate fluctuations. The faster the
  fluctuations the higher the business risk
 Political and economic stability- the less the
  stability, the higher the business risk
                        SAN LIO                     72
The extent to which costs are fixed- the harder
 it is for the firm to vary its costs (they are
 fixed) the higher the business risk.
NOTE: This scenario is known as OPERATING
 LEVERAGE




                      SAN LIO                  73
FINANCIAL RISK
This is the additional risk that the common
 stockholders have to content with because of a
 decision to FINANCE USING DEBT
Note that normally, stockholders would be
 exposed to a risk inherent in the firm’s
 operations- this is basically the business risk
 being the uncertainty inherent in the projections
 of future ROIC (ROCE)
Where an entity uses debt (financial leverage),
 this increases risk to the common stockholders
Financial experts call this risk CONCENTRATION-
                        SAN LIO                      74
CALLED SO because the debt-holders who receive
 a fixed interest payments BEAR NONE of the
 business risk
In CONCLUSION- financing with debt increases
 the common stock-holders expected rate of
 return on an investment project
Debt also increases the common stockholder’s
 risk in an investment project accordingly
But typically, FINANCIAL LEVERAGE increases
 expected ROE (Return On Equity) but also
 INCREASES RISK
                      SAN LIO                 75
It is important to appreciate how a trade-off
 between the two should be managed since
 they affect the VALUE of the firm.




                      SAN LIO                    76
OPERATING LEVERAGE
This term is used in business to mean-that- other
 things constant, a relatively small change in sales
 results in a large change in EBIT (Earnings Before
 Interest and Tax)
The higher a firm’s fixed costs, the higher is its
 operating leverage
Note that other things constant, the higher the
 firm’s operating leverage, the higher is its
 business risk- simply because the said firm can
 not vary its costs as DEMAND changes.
                        SAN LIO                    77
 Operating leverage aspect can be use well illustrated by
  break-even analysis
REVENUE
                            +VE EBIT


          -VE EBIT


                                            SALES
                        BREAK-EVEN EBIT=0
                           SAN LIO                      78
High operating leverage     Low operating
leverage




                    SAN LIO                   79
MODIGLIANI AND MILLER-NO TAXES
 Assumptions of the theory of these two gentlemen
 There are no brokerage costs
 There are no taxes
 There are bankruptcy costs
 Investors can borrow at the same rate as corporations
 All investors have the same information as
  management about the firm’s investment
  opportunities
 EBIT is not affected by the use of debt


                          SAN LIO                         80
The argument of this theory is that if all these
  assumptions hold: then a firm’s VALUE is not
  affected by its CAPITAL STRUCTURE
THUS
VL= VU=SL+D
WHERE
VL= The value of a levered firm
VU= The value of an identical but unlevered firm
SL= The value of the levered firm’s stock
D= The value the levered firm’s Debt
                        SAN LIO                     81
Thus if MM CAPITAL STRUCTURE THEORY
 assumptions are correct- then it would not
 matter how a firm finances its operations and
 therefore CAPITAL STRUCTURE DECISIONS would
 be irrelevant.
The moral of this theory therefore is the fact that-
 it tells us when capital decisions would be
 irrelevant and thus helps financial experts deal
 with what is required for capital structure
 decisions to remain relevant and hence
 determining a firm’s VALUE

                        SAN LIO                     82
MM THE EFFECT OF CORPORATE TAXES
 This followed a relaxation of the assumption-no taxes
  and means corporations will factor in taxation
 Interest payments are expenses deductible (DIVIDEND
  IS NOT)and therefore interest payment reduces the
  amount of taxes paid by a corporation
 This subsequently means that if corporations pay less
  taxes to the government, then more of its cash flow is
  made available to its investors (i.e. the tax deductibility
  of the interest payments shield a firm’s pre-tax income)



                            SAN LIO                         83
THUS
MM tax shield formula
VL= VU + PV OF TAX SHIELD
According to MM, the PV of the tax shield =
  Corporation tax T*the amount of debt D
THUS
VL= VU+TD
WHERE
VL=Value of the levered firm
VU=Value of the unlevered firm

                       SAN LIO                 84
MILLER: CORPORATE & PERSONAL
               TAXES
This theory of Miller, without Modigliani, brings
   in the aspects of personal taxes
He separated income as follows:
 Income from bonds- which is basically interest
   and which is taxed at rates (Td)
 Income from stocks which is basically dividends
   as well as capital gains- and that CAPITAL gains
   are taxed at a LOWER effective rate (Ts) than
   returns on debt (dividend tax is withheld in
   Kenya)
(IF stock is held until the owner dies no taxes paid)
                         SAN LIO                    85
He argued that due to these tax implications:
 Investors are willing to accept comparatively low
  BEFORE tax returns on stocks relative to the
  BEFORE tax returns on bonds (WHY?)
 Remember risk- and how it affects required rate
  of return
The point is:
 The more favourable tax treatment of income
  from stock lowers the required rate of return on
  stocks and therefore favouring equity financing

                        SAN LIO                       86
The deductibility of interest on the other hand
  favors the use of debt financing
According to Miller, the net impact of both
  corporate and personal taxes can be
  measured by the equation:
VL=VU + 1- (1-Tc)(1-Ts) *D
               (1-Td)


                      SAN LIO                  87
WHERE
Tc= Corporate Tax rate
Ts= personal tax on income from stocks
Td= tax rate on income from debt accordingly
NOTE
Miller’s argument is that the marginal tax rates
  on stock and debt balance out such that the
  entire bracket portion of the equation equals
  ZERO
Thus
VL=VU

                        SAN LIO                     88
However, experts still believe that there is a
   tax advantage to debt
EXAMPLE
If we assume a Tc 40%, Td=30% and Ts=12%
Then the advantage of debt financing is
VL= VU+ 1 – (1-0.4)(1-0.12) *D
                 (1-0.30)
        VL = VU+0.25D

                       SAN LIO                    89
THE TRADE-OFF THEORY
MM theory assumes no bankruptcy costs
The truth is that bankruptcy can be quite costly
 because this exercise leads to extremely high
 legal and other accounting expenses
Customers , suppliers and employees are also lost
Entities may also be forced to realise assets for
 less than they would be worth in normal business
 operations
It should noted that most fixed assets are illiquid
 as they are made to meet the specific company’s
 needs
                        SAN LIO                    90
When there is huge debt in the capital structure
 bankruptcy gets more complicated- particularly if
 debt is utilised to purchase fixed assets which
 would otherwise not sell in bankruptcy
It is these developments that led to the
 development of the so called TRADE-OFF THEROY
 LEVERAGE
Entities simply trade-off the benefits of DEBT
 FINANCING (favourable corporate tax treatment)
 AGAINST the higher interest rates and bankruptcy
 costs

                       SAN LIO                   91
Thus according to this theory,
VL= VU + Value of any side effects which
 include:
The tax shied
The expected costs due to bankruptcy and
 financial distress



                     SAN LIO                92
THE SIGNALING THEORY
 MM assumed symmetric information i.e. investors
  have the same information about a firm’s prospects as
  its managers
 But the truth is that managers have better information
  about the firm than the firm’s investors
 This is what is known as Asymmetric information and it
  does in fact affect the optimal capital structure
 SUMMARY
 A firm with positive prospects would AVOID selling
  stock/shares and GO FOR DEBT FINANCE to avoid EPS
  dilution
                          SAN LIO                      93
 Thus debt offering is taken as a positive SIGNAL
 On the other hand- a firm with negative
  prospects would go for stock/shares sell- which
  would mean bringing in new investors to share
  the losses
 Thus the announcement of stock offering is taken
  as a SIGNAL that the firm’s prospects as seen by
  its management are not good
WHATS UP WITH STOCK?
 We are looking at future prospects of a firm

                       SAN LIO                   94
A firm with better prospects would not sell
 shares- because it wants to avoid EPS dilution-
 hence it will go for debt financing- and make
 the ‘kill’ for its existing shareholders
A firm with poor future prospects on the other
 hand will sell stocks-and avoid debt- since it
 may not even repay the debt in the future-
 and thus invites others to share in the losses
IN SUMMARY

                      SAN LIO                  95
Since issuing stock sends the wrong signals,
 and thereby depressing the stock price even
 when the company’s prospects are bright,
A firm should maintain a BORROWIN
 CAPACITY that can be used when good
 investment opportunities come along
This simply means in normal circumstances,
 firms should use MORE EQUITY and LESS DEBT

                     SAN LIO                96
ASYMMETRIC SITUATION
This drives an entity to raise capital in a
 PECKING ORDER thus:
Raise capital internally by reinvesting its net
 income as well as selling its short-term
 marketable securities
Issue debt- is a good signal
Issue preferred stock- is a good signal
Only as a last resort will the managers issue
 common stock
                       SAN LIO                     97
SUMMARY
Estimating the optimal capital structure of a firm
  should involve the following STEPS namely:
 Estimate the interest rate the entity will pay
 Estimate the cost of equity
 Estimate the weighted average cost of capital
 Estimate the free cash flows and their present
  value, which basically is the value of the firm
 Deduct the value of the debt to find the
  shareholders wealth- which is MAXIMIZED

                        SAN LIO                       98
GENERALLY-FIRMS CONSIDER:
 Sales stability- stable sales will allow for taking more
  debt
 Asset structure- assets that are suitable as security for
  debt encourage firms to heavily go for debt
 Operational leverage- firms with less operating
  leverage can employ financial leverage since it will
  have less business risk
 Growth- encourages reliance on external capital
  sources
 Profitability- the higher the return on investment, the
  less the debt
                            SAN LIO                           99
 Taxes- the higher the firm’s taxes, the greater the
  advantage for debt finance
 Control- debt may be a better option where control is a
  factor
 Management attitudes- this is about management
  judgement on capital structure. Conservative managers
  use less debt
 Lender and rating agency attitudes- these will influence
  capital structure accordingly
 Market conditions- stock & bond market conditions,
  when they cant sell, debt becomes the choice
                           SAN LIO                      100
The firm’s internal conditions- a firm with
 better future prospects would rather go for
 debt finance until the higher expected
 earnings are realised- BECAUSE THESE MAKE
 THE STOCK PRICE BETTER
Financial flexibility- the more the profitable
 investment opportunities, the more it is likely
 to have a flexible capital structure
WHILE MAKING CAPITAL DECISIONS.

                       SAN LIO                 101

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Cash analysis & management

  • 1. CASH ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT Cash is the life blood of every business because without it, a business would not run Cash gives more liquidity than securities- thus the reason business people don't take all their cash and invest it in interest-bearing securities Thus determining how much cash has been generated in every bottom line year in critical Is should be noted that there are transaction items that hit the balance sheet which don't hit the P &L and vice versa SAN LIO 1
  • 2. These items are captured by the cash flow statement accordingly A cash flow layout is identified as follows: SAN LIO 2
  • 3. IAS 7 STANDARD LAYOUT OF THE CASH FLOW STATEMENT Net cash flow from operating activities ▼ PLUS OR MINUS Investing Activities ▼ Financing ▼ EQUALS INCREASE OR DECREASE IN CASH OVER THE PERIOD SAN LIO 3
  • 4. NET CASH FLOW FROM OPRATING ACTIVITIES  DIRECT METHOD Cash from sales* xxxx Less Cash paid for purchases * (xxxx) Less cash paid for admin expenses (xxx) Less cash paid for distribution expenses (xxx) LESS TAXATION (xxx) Net cash flow from operating activities xxxx *CASH FROM SALES= Sales +opening debtors –closing debtors *CASH PURCHASES= Purchases+ open creditors- closing creditors SAN LIO 4
  • 5. INDIRECT METHOD-NOTE ONE Operating profit xxxx ADD: Depreciation xxx ADD: loss on sale of fixed assets xxx LESS: Profit on sale of fixed assets (xxx) INCREASES IN STOCKS (XXX) DECREASE IN STOCKS XXX INCREASE IN DEBTORS (XXX) DECREASE IN DEBTORS XXX INCREASE IN CREDITORS XXX DECREASE IN CREDITORS (XXX) LESS TAXATION (XXX) SAN LIO 5
  • 6. =NET cash flow from operating activities XXXX NOTE TWO OF CASH FLOW Usually changes in cash- BANK balance and OD MAY TAKE AN ILLUSTRATION SAN LIO 6
  • 7. Cashflow statement when used with other corporate reports will help bankers and other users of F/I assess:  Coy’s ability to generate future net cashflow  Whether a coy is able to meet its financial obligations e.g. payment of dividends, interest etc  The effect on the coy’s financial position of investments undertaken during the accounting period SAN LIO 7
  • 8. The reasons for differences between profits and cashflows arising from normal operating activity The value of a business since the statement provides a useful information for business valuation models based on estimates of likely future cashflows SAN LIO 8
  • 9. SOURCES Of CASH INTERNAL SOURCES  Business operations-basically NOTE 1  Reducing investment in business assets- reduce stocks for example  Retained earnings  Loans from directors EXTERNAL SOURCES- DEPENDS ON  The nature of the business  The size of the business  Directors involved SAN LIO 9
  • 10. Economic factors etc THE SOURCES INCLUDE Loans- short-term, medium-term, long-term Shares –various types Debentures- basically loan agreement Government- grants Bonds Friends and family members SAN LIO 10
  • 11. IAS 7-CAH FLOW STATEMENT The objective of IAS 7 is to require the presentation of information about the historical changes in cash and cash equivalents of an enterprise by means of a statement of cash flows, which classifies cash flows during the period according to operating, investing, and financing activities SAN LIO 11
  • 12. RELEVANT CASH FLOWS  operating activities are the main revenue-producing activities of the enterprise that are not investing or financing activities, so operating cash flows include cash received from customers and cash paid to suppliers and employees –WILL SEE MORE IN WC management  investing activities are the acquisition and disposal of long-term assets and other investments that are not considered to be cash equivalents  Management of liquid resources- short-term investments –usually within a year –e.g. stocks assets SAN LIO 12
  • 13. Financing- these include: SHARES NAMELY  Going public- advantages Owners can diversify-growth Increases liquidity Facilitates raising new corporate cash Establishes a value for the firm Sets up merger negotiations Increases potential markets SAN LIO 13
  • 14.  Going public-disadvantages Cost of reporting Disclosures Self-dealings-??? Inactive market/low price- fight for a market share Control- voting rights LOANS AND DEBENTURES  These are interest bearing funds and could be Short-term SAN LIO 14
  • 15. Medium-term Long-term  NOTE The way these are arranged is important. Managers don't want to finance for example long-term investments with short-term loans. This is a recipe for corporate failure In fact it is important to WATCH for any short- term loans . Can the firm pay these as they fall due in the short-term SAN LIO 15
  • 16. Long-term loans are preferred UNBALANCED FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS Its top management’s job to maintain an appropriate balance between: Long-term Medium-term Short-term finance SAN LIO 16
  • 17. And, within the first category an acceptable relationship must exist between:  Share capital and  Loan capital It should be noted that once expansion occurs, additional long-term finance is needed to cover the cost of fixed assets and working capital requirements; while a reduction in the scale of a company’s operations may permit the repayment of certain sources of finance SAN LIO 17
  • 18. These issues require proper planning- as management often fail to achieve a balanced financial structure either because it does not plan, ahead or because unexpected events occur. There are two main aspects of unbalanced financial development namely: Over-trading Over-capitalization SAN LIO 18
  • 19. OVER-TRADING This is a situation which will occur when the volume of business activity is excessive in relation to the finance provided by the shareholders A situation like this will lead to the company to start going for external finance in the form of loan capital, bank overdrafts, and trade credit In essence management has attempted to undertake too much too quickly meaning the company is left with insufficient resources to meet its currently maturing liabilities SAN LIO 19
  • 20.  The company would therefore find it difficult to pay wages due to employees, debts due to suppliers, tax payable to the government, etc  The signs of over-trading should be looked for in the balance sheet and they include:  A decline in the ratios of debtors /creditors and current assets/current liabilities  A low figure of working capital  A high ratio of fixed assets to working capital  A severe shortage of cash  Bankers are particularly interested in this scenario (over- trading) because it is common cause of business failure SAN LIO 20
  • 21. OVER-CAPILIZATION Occurs when management is unable to make full use of the capital available. In this case, it may be prudent for management to return capital to the members either by purchasing or redeeming some of its shares or by canceling shares not unrepresented by assets. SOLUTIONS? Return part of the capital by:  Purchasing shares/redemption of shares  Repayment of loan capital SAN LIO 21
  • 22. CASH OPERATING CYCLE Defined as the gap that exists between the time it takes for payments for goods or raw materials received into stock AND the collection cash from customers following their sale During this period, the goods acquired together with the value added in the case of manufacturers must be financed by the coy NOTE the shorter the length of time between the initial outlay and the ultimate collection of cash the smaller is the value of W/C SAN LIO 22
  • 23. WORKING CAPITAL to be financed CALCULATION  Calculate the time which the product spends in each stage of its progression from acquisition to sale and actual cash receipt  LESS the period of credit received from suppliers Elements in the calculation include:  Stocks-held for a time then used or sold. These would include: SAN LIO 23
  • 24. Raw materials- held in stock and then transferred to production Work in progress- actual processing of raw materials Finished goods-transferred from factory to ware house Debtors – the average age of debts should be found from the values of debtors and sales SAN LIO 24
  • 25. Creditors- these finance the production and selling cycle from the time raw materials/goods are received into stock until they are paid for. The period is found from the values of creditors and purchases Liquidity check may be used alongside W/C management SAN LIO 25
  • 26. Liquidity (quick) ratio = current assets-inven Current Liabilities Purpose is to examine solvency. Concentrates attention more directly on a coy’s prospect of paying its debts as they fall due by excluding current assets which will not be converted into cash within the next couple of months. Called the acid test of solvency SAN LIO 26
  • 27. EXAMPLE OF COMPUTATION  Raw material stock= raw materials stocks raw materials consumed +production period= Work in progres COG manufactured +finished goods stocks= finished goods COG Sold +credit to customers = debtors Sales LESS Credit from suppliers=Creditors Purchases of raw =CASH OPERATING CYCLE IN DAYS SAN LIO 27
  • 28. Good to take an example at this stage on COC SAN LIO 28
  • 29. WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Need to observe the relationship between the cash operating cycle and working capital by looking at our example and identifying whether or not WORKING CAPITAL HAS INCREASED This done by analysing movement in:  Stocks  Debtors  Creditors For the two years 2009 and 2008 SAN LIO 29
  • 30. WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Defined as the excess of current assets over current liabilities Shed more light on the short-term solvency of the coy i.e. its ability to pay debts as they fall due The gist of the matter is to determine the rate at which current assets are converted into cash and how quickly current liabilities are paid SAN LIO 30
  • 31. This is certainly unique to every industry e.g. a retailer who sells goods for cash may operate with a much lower ratio than a manufacturer who sells goods on credit. This is because for the manufacturer, goods sold are ‘tied up’ as debts before cash becomes available. On the same vain, the period for which stocks are held varies from industry to industry e.g. a small metal manufacturer may convert raw materials into finished goods much faster than a construction company SAN LIO 31
  • 32. It should be noted the recommended Working Capital ratio is 2:1. The working capital ratio = Current assets Current Liabilities And the result is given as a ratio The above arguments guide on what should be an acceptable ratio (and not just a conclusion of an ideal 2:1) Again this is closely linked to the cash operating cycle SAN LIO 32
  • 33. EFFICIENCY RATIOS THE INVENTORY CONVERSION PERIOD = Inventory * 365 (IN DAYS Sales  Tells us how long it takes to convert raw materials raw materials into finished goods RECEIVABLE COLLECTION PERIOD = Receivables *365 (In days) Sales  Tells us how long it takes to convert receivables after a sale into Cash. SAN LIO 33
  • 34. CREDIT POLICY  Credit period- what is the length of time buyers are given to pay for their purchases?  Discounts given- usually given for early settlement of accounts. If payment not done within the discount period, then FULL amounts are paid  Credit standards- means the required financial strength of acceptable credit customers. Lower credit standards boost sales BUT also increase the possibility of bad debts  Collection policy- usually gauged by its efficiency in- terms of collecting slow-paying accounts SAN LIO 34
  • 35. PAYABLE S DEFERRAL PERIOD = Payables*365 ( IN DAYS) Purchases OR = Payables *365 Cost of goods sold  This basically the average length of time between the purchase of materials and labor and subsequent cash payment for these SAN LIO 35
  • 36. TAXATION EFFECTS IAS 12 particularly deals with the management of income tax DEFINES THE FOLLOWING  Temporary difference: A difference between the carrying amount of an asset or liability and its tax base.  Taxable temporary difference: A temporary difference that will result in taxable amounts in the future when the carrying amount of the asset is recovered or the liability is settled SAN LIO 36
  • 37.  Deductible temporary difference: A temporary difference that will result in amounts that are tax deductible in the future when the carrying amount of the asset is recovered or the liability is settled  CURRENT TAX-Current tax for the current and prior periods should be recognised as a liability to the extent that it has not yet been settled, and as an asset to the extent that the amounts already paid exceed the amount due. SAN LIO 37
  • 38.  Current tax assets and liabilities should be measured at the amount expected to be paid to (recovered from) taxation authorities, using the rates/laws that have been enacted or substantively enacted by the balance sheet date TREATMENT/EFFECT  Accrued items go the balance sheet  CASH ITEMS go to the CASH FLOW statement  CASH ITEMS are itemized in Cash budget/cash forecast SAN LIO 38
  • 39. VALUE ADDED TAX Tax charged at every stage ‘VALUE’ is added to a product Organizations subjected to VAT receive cash net of VAT deductions and therefore this effect must be taken into account There is a further cash effect when the VAT collected called the output tax less any tax paid on purchases (input VAT) is charged If the input tax exceeds the output tax, reimbursement of the difference is made to the company SAN LIO 39
  • 40. VAT transactions should be carefully analyzed for cash budget purposes EXAMPLE Maarifa Limited had a credit balance payable in January 2010 on its VAT account of KSH 16,000 on December 2009. During the first three months of 2010 the organization made cash purchases net of VAT of KSH 250,000 and cash sales including VAT of KSH 425,500. Assume rate of VAT of 15% REQUIRED SAN LIO 40
  • 41. 1. Prepare the company’s VAT account for the first three months of 2010, showing the balance due at 31 March 2010 2. Prepare a schedule showing the appropriate numbers relating to purchases and sales a) In the cash account b) In the trading account SOLUTION SAN LIO 41
  • 42. VALUE ADDED TAX ACCOUNT Jan 2010 -VAT paid 16,000 Jan 1 2010 B/F 16000 VAT on purchases * 37,500 VAT Sales * 55,500 March 31 2010 C/D 18,000 0 71,500 71,500 *Purchases ksh 250,000*15%= Ksh 37,500 *Sales 115% = 425,500 ? 100% = 425,500*100/115= 370,000 Thus: VAT = 425,500-370,000= Ksh 55,500 SAN LIO 42
  • 43. CASH ACCOUNT DR Sales cash Ksh 425,500 CR Purchases cash Ksh 287,500 TRADING ACCOUNT DR Purchases (net of VAT)= Ksh 250,000 CR Sales (net of VAT) Ksh 370,000 NOTE When sales made on credit the company’s liability to pay VAT arises once the invoice is issued. SAN LIO 43
  • 44. This may mean that VAT is actually paid out to the government before the cash is received from customers On the other hand VAT on credit purchases may be set off against output VAT as soon as liability is entered into the books and before payments to the creditors are made. ( it is not necessary to wait until the debt is settled) SAN LIO 44
  • 45. PROJECTS WITH UNEQUAL LIVES  when choosing between mutually exclusive projects, we must first determine if they can be repeated, and if so, we must take this into account when we estimate the projects’ profitability.  If a company is choosing between two mutually exclusive alternatives with significantly different lives, an adjustment may be necessary ILLUSTRATION  We may illustrate this by assuming a company that wishes to invest in TWO mutually exclusive projects SAN LIO 45
  • 46.  Lets call these projects A and B as follows  PROJECT A is a SIX year period project CASH FLOWS ARE AS FOLLOWS: YR0 KSH -40,000 YR1 KSH 8,000 YR2 KSH 14,000 YR3 KSH 13,000 YR4 KSH 12,000 YR5 KSH 11,000 YR6 KSH 10,000 SAN LIO 46
  • 47. PROJECT B is a THREE year project CASH FLOWS ARE AS FOLLOWS YR0 KSH-20,000 YR1 KSH 7,000 YR2 KSH 13,000 YR3 KSH 12,000 The COST of capital of the company is 12% IF we were to do the NPV of the two projects, we can conclude as follows: SAN LIO 47
  • 48. NPV PROJECTS A AND B YR CF DF PV YR0 KSH -40,000 1 -40,000 YR1 KSH 8,000 0.8929 7,143.20 YR2 KSH 14,000 0.7972 11,160.80 YR3 KSH 13,000 0.7118 9,253.40 YR4 KSH 12,000 0.6355 7,626.00 YR5 KSH 11,000 0.5674 6,241.40 YR6 KSH 10,00 0.5066 5,066.00 NPV (A) 6,490.80 SAN LIO 48
  • 49. B YR CF DF PV(KSH) YR0 KSH-20,000 1 -20,000 YR1 KSH 7,000 0.8929 6,250.30 YR2 KSH 13,000 0.7972 10,363.60 YR3 KSH 12,000 0.7118 8,541.60 NPV (B) 5,155.50 Thus from this analysis the company will choose project A since it has the higher NPV IRR of A =17.5% AND of B = 25.2% SAN LIO 49
  • 50. BUT Although the analysis suggests that Project A should be selected, this analysis is incomplete, and the decision to choose Project A is actually incorrect. If we choose Project B, we will have an opportunity to make a similar investment in three years, and if cost and revenue conditions remain at the SAME, this second investment will also be profitable. However, if we choose Project A, we will not have this second investment opportunity. SAN LIO 50
  • 51. THE COMMON LIFE APPROACH Therefore, to make a proper comparison of Projects A and B, we could apply the replacement chain (common life) approach This involves finding the NPV of Project B over a six-year period, and then comparing this extended NPV with the NPV of Project C over the same six years. The NPV for Project A as calculated is already over the six-year common life. SAN LIO 51
  • 52. For Project B, however, we must add in a second project to extend the overall life of the combined projects to six years. Here we assume  (1) that Project B’s costs and annual cash inflows will not change if the project is repeated in three years and  (2) that the COY’s cost of capital will remain at 12%  THUS YRS 4-5 &6 = CFs Ksh 7,000, 13,000 and 12,000 respectively SAN LIO 52
  • 53. NPV OF B ON COMMON LIFE YR0 KSH-20,000 1 -20,000 YR1 KSH 7,000 0.8929 6,250.30 YR2 KSH 13,000 0.7972 10,363.60 YR3 KSH -8,000* 0.7118 -5,694.40 YR4 KSH 7,000 0.6355 4,448.50 YR5 KSH 13,000 0.5674 7,376.20 YR6 KSH 12,000 0.5066 6,079.20 NPV(B-COMMON LIFE APPROACH) 8,823.40 * (12,000-20,000). B is selected. SAN LIO 53
  • 54. EXPANSION AND STRATEGIC OPTIONS  Strategic management is the formal and structured process by which an organization establishes a position of strategic leadership.  Strategic leadership is about the achievement of sustained comparative advantage over the competition  Thus strategy is knowing the business you propose to carry out  Kenneth Andrew (1971) defined strategy as the pattern of major objectives; purposes or goals and essential policies or plans for achieving those goals, stated in such a way as to define what business the company is in or is to be in and the kind of company it is or is to be SAN LIO 54
  • 55.  Kenichi Ohmae (1983) defined strategy as the way in which a corporation endeavours to differentiate itself positively from its competitors, using its relative strengths to better satisfy customer needs.  I define strategy as being different!. Your talents are unique, and they indeed can be implemented in a unique way.  SO, how does a business move from here?  Capital budgeting-identify projects  SOURCES of capital-capital structure decisions  Cash flow management- CASH is CRITICAL  Strategy management- stay ahead SAN LIO 55
  • 56. CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF A FIRM Defined as the proportionate re-alignment of a company's different funding sources, including debt, equity and other hybrid instruments such as convertible bonds. Capital structure can fairly easily be measured by the ratio of long-term debt to total capital. At the beginning of trade, a coy should have a balanced capital structure This means assets should be financed/funded by the appropriate types of finance SAN LIO 56
  • 57. NOTE: Balance sheet shows assets and how they are financed- IAS 1 guides on full disclosure Long-term sources of finance e.g. equity capital and debentures should cover all investment in fixed assets But with sufficient excess to make a significant contribution towards funding current assets SAN LIO 57
  • 58. This so in order that we can achieve the ideal WORKING CAPITAL RATIO of 2:1 i.e. half the value of current assets should be financed by long-term capital and the remainder by short term sources e.g. creditors Even within the long-term sources of funds, a satisfactory relationship should be created between various types available- whether it is shares or loans SAN LIO 58
  • 59. The optimum structure depends on such factors as the nature of the trade undertaken, the likely stability of profits (product lines, markets etc) Lets assume this ideal structure is established as at the beginning of trade On day one of trade, the financial structure established at the outset begins to be affected by the results of trading as well as passage of time namely: SAN LIO 59
  • 60. The initial investment increased by the amounts of profits earned and retained in the business and is reduced by losses Passage of time means long-term loans being paid gets closer to the end of their term and may be classified as current liabilities  The rate at which debtors pay and creditors are paid affect the balance between current assets and current liabilities SAN LIO 60
  • 61. Credit purchases of additional stock needed to expand a successful coy and credit sales also affect the balance between current assets and current liabilities In the long-run, success may encourage the acquisition of extra production capacity which must be funded by appropriate type of finance to maintain the structure SAN LIO 61
  • 62. Flows of resources take place with trading, and these have an impact on the enterprise The impact may be beneficial or detrimental i.e. may lead to success or failure Managers are paid to manage this structure and desirable balance of financing business activities SAN LIO 62
  • 63. PRACTICAL ASPECTS The value of a firm is the present value of its expected future cash flows (FCFs) discounted at its Weighted Average Cost of Capital(WACC) WACC depend on such factors as :  The percentage of debt and equity (Wd and We)  The cost of debt (rd)  The cost of stock(rs)  The corporate tax rate(T) THIS MEANS WACC= Wd(1-T)rd+ We*rs SAN LIO 63
  • 64. The implication of this is that the only way any DECESION can change a firm’s value is by affecting its:  Free cash flows  The cost of capital WHY? Because: V(Value of the firm)= ∑ FCFt (1+WACC)t SAN LIO 64
  • 65. Debt increases the cost of stock rs- this is because the fixed claim of debt-holders makes the residual claim of stockholders become less certain, hence increasing the cost of stock Debt reduces the taxes a company will pay- this because companies deduct interest expenses when calculating taxable income. Notice the sharing of the company’s ‘spoils’ is between the debt-holders, investors and the government. This reduction in taxes reduces the after-tax cost of DEBT SAN LIO 65
  • 66.  The risk of bankruptcy increases the cost of debt rd- this is because with higher bankruptcy risk, debt- holders will insist on a higher expected return- and this effectively increases pre-tax cost of debt  The risk of bankruptcy REDUCES Free Cash Flow- this is because :  as risk of bankruptcy increases, some customers will certainly opt to buy from another more stable company –which reduces sales. This scenario effectively DECREASES Net Operating Profit after Tax (NOPAT)-thereby reducing FCF SAN LIO 66
  • 67.  Bankruptcy threat also negatively affects the productivity of workers and managers and this again reduces NOPAT and FCF  Bankruptcy threat also makes suppliers tighten their credit levels –which reduces payables causing net operating working capital to increase and therefore reducing FCF. These events effectively reduces the value of the firm Bankruptcy threat AFFECTS agency costs- this is because: SAN LIO 67
  • 68.  When business is performing well, managers may waste cash flow on unnecessary expenditures e.g. expensive cars. This is purely an agency cost (CALLED THE AGENCY PROBLEM). Threat of bankruptcy and possible take-over bids reduces this wasteful spending and this INCREASES FCF  The other effect is that in times of threats, managers may reject risky but would be profitable projects because to the manager- the company is his only investment BUT shareholders may be well diversified and therefore willing to take on risk projects which promise higher returns (CALLED THE UNDERINVESTMENT PROBLEM) SAN LIO 68
  • 69. BUSINESS AND FINACIAL RISK  Business risk is the risk a firm’s common shareholders would encounter if the firm had no debt. Note that the greater the use of debt, the greater the concentration of risk on the stockholders, and the higher the cost of common equity.  Business risk arises from uncertainty in projections of an entity’s cash flows- which simply means uncertainty about the entity’s operating profit as well as its capital (investment)requirements  The return on INVESTED capital (ROIC) puts these two aspects together to measure business risk SAN LIO 69
  • 70. ROIC= NOPAT = EBIT(1-T) Capital Capital = Net Income to common stockholders + After tax interest payments Capital NOTE :CAPITAL= FIRM’S DEBT + EQUITY And it means the required amount of operating capital accordingly SAN LIO 70
  • 71.  Business risk depends on the following factors:  Demand variability- the more stable the demand is, the lower the firm’s business risk  Sales price variability- the more reliable output prices are, the lower the firm’s business risk  Input cost variability- the more stable the input costs the lower the business risk  Ability to change output prices when output costs changes- the greater the ability to adjust and match output prices with input costs the lower the business risk SAN LIO 71
  • 72.  Ability to develop new products in a cost effective and timely fashion- the faster the possibilities to develop new products as older ones become obsolete the lower the business risk  Foreign risk exposure- if a firm engages in the production of overseas products, it is subject to exchange rate fluctuations. The faster the fluctuations the higher the business risk  Political and economic stability- the less the stability, the higher the business risk SAN LIO 72
  • 73. The extent to which costs are fixed- the harder it is for the firm to vary its costs (they are fixed) the higher the business risk. NOTE: This scenario is known as OPERATING LEVERAGE SAN LIO 73
  • 74. FINANCIAL RISK This is the additional risk that the common stockholders have to content with because of a decision to FINANCE USING DEBT Note that normally, stockholders would be exposed to a risk inherent in the firm’s operations- this is basically the business risk being the uncertainty inherent in the projections of future ROIC (ROCE) Where an entity uses debt (financial leverage), this increases risk to the common stockholders Financial experts call this risk CONCENTRATION- SAN LIO 74
  • 75. CALLED SO because the debt-holders who receive a fixed interest payments BEAR NONE of the business risk In CONCLUSION- financing with debt increases the common stock-holders expected rate of return on an investment project Debt also increases the common stockholder’s risk in an investment project accordingly But typically, FINANCIAL LEVERAGE increases expected ROE (Return On Equity) but also INCREASES RISK SAN LIO 75
  • 76. It is important to appreciate how a trade-off between the two should be managed since they affect the VALUE of the firm. SAN LIO 76
  • 77. OPERATING LEVERAGE This term is used in business to mean-that- other things constant, a relatively small change in sales results in a large change in EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Tax) The higher a firm’s fixed costs, the higher is its operating leverage Note that other things constant, the higher the firm’s operating leverage, the higher is its business risk- simply because the said firm can not vary its costs as DEMAND changes. SAN LIO 77
  • 78.  Operating leverage aspect can be use well illustrated by break-even analysis REVENUE +VE EBIT -VE EBIT SALES BREAK-EVEN EBIT=0 SAN LIO 78
  • 79. High operating leverage Low operating leverage SAN LIO 79
  • 80. MODIGLIANI AND MILLER-NO TAXES  Assumptions of the theory of these two gentlemen  There are no brokerage costs  There are no taxes  There are bankruptcy costs  Investors can borrow at the same rate as corporations  All investors have the same information as management about the firm’s investment opportunities  EBIT is not affected by the use of debt SAN LIO 80
  • 81. The argument of this theory is that if all these assumptions hold: then a firm’s VALUE is not affected by its CAPITAL STRUCTURE THUS VL= VU=SL+D WHERE VL= The value of a levered firm VU= The value of an identical but unlevered firm SL= The value of the levered firm’s stock D= The value the levered firm’s Debt SAN LIO 81
  • 82. Thus if MM CAPITAL STRUCTURE THEORY assumptions are correct- then it would not matter how a firm finances its operations and therefore CAPITAL STRUCTURE DECISIONS would be irrelevant. The moral of this theory therefore is the fact that- it tells us when capital decisions would be irrelevant and thus helps financial experts deal with what is required for capital structure decisions to remain relevant and hence determining a firm’s VALUE SAN LIO 82
  • 83. MM THE EFFECT OF CORPORATE TAXES  This followed a relaxation of the assumption-no taxes and means corporations will factor in taxation  Interest payments are expenses deductible (DIVIDEND IS NOT)and therefore interest payment reduces the amount of taxes paid by a corporation  This subsequently means that if corporations pay less taxes to the government, then more of its cash flow is made available to its investors (i.e. the tax deductibility of the interest payments shield a firm’s pre-tax income) SAN LIO 83
  • 84. THUS MM tax shield formula VL= VU + PV OF TAX SHIELD According to MM, the PV of the tax shield = Corporation tax T*the amount of debt D THUS VL= VU+TD WHERE VL=Value of the levered firm VU=Value of the unlevered firm SAN LIO 84
  • 85. MILLER: CORPORATE & PERSONAL TAXES This theory of Miller, without Modigliani, brings in the aspects of personal taxes He separated income as follows:  Income from bonds- which is basically interest and which is taxed at rates (Td)  Income from stocks which is basically dividends as well as capital gains- and that CAPITAL gains are taxed at a LOWER effective rate (Ts) than returns on debt (dividend tax is withheld in Kenya) (IF stock is held until the owner dies no taxes paid) SAN LIO 85
  • 86. He argued that due to these tax implications:  Investors are willing to accept comparatively low BEFORE tax returns on stocks relative to the BEFORE tax returns on bonds (WHY?)  Remember risk- and how it affects required rate of return The point is:  The more favourable tax treatment of income from stock lowers the required rate of return on stocks and therefore favouring equity financing SAN LIO 86
  • 87. The deductibility of interest on the other hand favors the use of debt financing According to Miller, the net impact of both corporate and personal taxes can be measured by the equation: VL=VU + 1- (1-Tc)(1-Ts) *D (1-Td) SAN LIO 87
  • 88. WHERE Tc= Corporate Tax rate Ts= personal tax on income from stocks Td= tax rate on income from debt accordingly NOTE Miller’s argument is that the marginal tax rates on stock and debt balance out such that the entire bracket portion of the equation equals ZERO Thus VL=VU SAN LIO 88
  • 89. However, experts still believe that there is a tax advantage to debt EXAMPLE If we assume a Tc 40%, Td=30% and Ts=12% Then the advantage of debt financing is VL= VU+ 1 – (1-0.4)(1-0.12) *D (1-0.30) VL = VU+0.25D SAN LIO 89
  • 90. THE TRADE-OFF THEORY MM theory assumes no bankruptcy costs The truth is that bankruptcy can be quite costly because this exercise leads to extremely high legal and other accounting expenses Customers , suppliers and employees are also lost Entities may also be forced to realise assets for less than they would be worth in normal business operations It should noted that most fixed assets are illiquid as they are made to meet the specific company’s needs SAN LIO 90
  • 91. When there is huge debt in the capital structure bankruptcy gets more complicated- particularly if debt is utilised to purchase fixed assets which would otherwise not sell in bankruptcy It is these developments that led to the development of the so called TRADE-OFF THEROY LEVERAGE Entities simply trade-off the benefits of DEBT FINANCING (favourable corporate tax treatment) AGAINST the higher interest rates and bankruptcy costs SAN LIO 91
  • 92. Thus according to this theory, VL= VU + Value of any side effects which include: The tax shied The expected costs due to bankruptcy and financial distress SAN LIO 92
  • 93. THE SIGNALING THEORY  MM assumed symmetric information i.e. investors have the same information about a firm’s prospects as its managers  But the truth is that managers have better information about the firm than the firm’s investors  This is what is known as Asymmetric information and it does in fact affect the optimal capital structure  SUMMARY  A firm with positive prospects would AVOID selling stock/shares and GO FOR DEBT FINANCE to avoid EPS dilution SAN LIO 93
  • 94.  Thus debt offering is taken as a positive SIGNAL  On the other hand- a firm with negative prospects would go for stock/shares sell- which would mean bringing in new investors to share the losses  Thus the announcement of stock offering is taken as a SIGNAL that the firm’s prospects as seen by its management are not good WHATS UP WITH STOCK?  We are looking at future prospects of a firm SAN LIO 94
  • 95. A firm with better prospects would not sell shares- because it wants to avoid EPS dilution- hence it will go for debt financing- and make the ‘kill’ for its existing shareholders A firm with poor future prospects on the other hand will sell stocks-and avoid debt- since it may not even repay the debt in the future- and thus invites others to share in the losses IN SUMMARY SAN LIO 95
  • 96. Since issuing stock sends the wrong signals, and thereby depressing the stock price even when the company’s prospects are bright, A firm should maintain a BORROWIN CAPACITY that can be used when good investment opportunities come along This simply means in normal circumstances, firms should use MORE EQUITY and LESS DEBT SAN LIO 96
  • 97. ASYMMETRIC SITUATION This drives an entity to raise capital in a PECKING ORDER thus: Raise capital internally by reinvesting its net income as well as selling its short-term marketable securities Issue debt- is a good signal Issue preferred stock- is a good signal Only as a last resort will the managers issue common stock SAN LIO 97
  • 98. SUMMARY Estimating the optimal capital structure of a firm should involve the following STEPS namely:  Estimate the interest rate the entity will pay  Estimate the cost of equity  Estimate the weighted average cost of capital  Estimate the free cash flows and their present value, which basically is the value of the firm  Deduct the value of the debt to find the shareholders wealth- which is MAXIMIZED SAN LIO 98
  • 99. GENERALLY-FIRMS CONSIDER:  Sales stability- stable sales will allow for taking more debt  Asset structure- assets that are suitable as security for debt encourage firms to heavily go for debt  Operational leverage- firms with less operating leverage can employ financial leverage since it will have less business risk  Growth- encourages reliance on external capital sources  Profitability- the higher the return on investment, the less the debt SAN LIO 99
  • 100.  Taxes- the higher the firm’s taxes, the greater the advantage for debt finance  Control- debt may be a better option where control is a factor  Management attitudes- this is about management judgement on capital structure. Conservative managers use less debt  Lender and rating agency attitudes- these will influence capital structure accordingly  Market conditions- stock & bond market conditions, when they cant sell, debt becomes the choice SAN LIO 100
  • 101. The firm’s internal conditions- a firm with better future prospects would rather go for debt finance until the higher expected earnings are realised- BECAUSE THESE MAKE THE STOCK PRICE BETTER Financial flexibility- the more the profitable investment opportunities, the more it is likely to have a flexible capital structure WHILE MAKING CAPITAL DECISIONS. SAN LIO 101