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Conceptual challenges
in big data practices
Federica Russo
Philosophy & ILLC | Amsterdam
russofederica.wordpress.com |
@federicarusso
Are there causes in big data?
How to identify them?
The homework that was assigned to
me
(big data) practices
Investigation into scientific practices
A general approach, on the rise in philosophy of science
Philosophical issues as they arise in the practice of
science, rather than in theory
Conceptual challenges
Not about practical aspects of research
But about the foundations
What do we want from big data?
The promise
‘true correlations’, theory not needed anymore
‘true correlations’, enough for prediction
‘true correlations’ = causation?
What’s causation, then?!
A crash course on
traditional philosophy of
causality
Fill in your favourite …
X causes Y if, and only if
…
The probability raises
such and such …
There is a mechanism
…
There is a continuous
process …
X has the power to …
Bad news: all these strategies fail.
No way we get to understand what causality is.
A crash course on
causal pluralism
Causality cannot be reduced to one single
concept
but has to be analysed using many concepts
How to choose?
First, pick your question.
Then, pick your concept(s).
5 philosophical questions
Metaphysics
What is causality? What kind of
things are causes and effects?
Semantics
What does it mean that C causes
E?
Epistemology
What notions guide causal
reasoning? How can we use C to
explain E?
Methodology
How to establish whether C causes
E? Or how much of C causes E?
Use
What to do once we know that C
causes E?
5 scientific problems
Inference
Does C cause E? To what extent?
Prediction
What to expect if C does (not)
cause E?
Explanation
How does C cause or prevent E?
Control
What factors to hold fixed to study
the relation between C and E?
Reasoning
What considerations enter in
establishing whether / how / to
what extent C causes E?
Inference, Prediction, Explanation,
Control, Reasoning
Causal Mosaic
Metaphysics, Semantics,
Epistemology, Methodology, Use
Necessary
and
sufficient Levels
Evidence
Probabilistic
causality
Counterfact
uals
Manipulation
Invariance
Exogeneity
Simpson’s
Paradox
Process
Mechanism
Information
Dispositions
Regularity
Variation
Action
Inference
Validity
Truth
Conceptual challenge
has not changed
in big data
What is causality??
Conceptual challenges
in big data practices
opportunities
A “Bradford Hill strategy”
We can claim that X causes Y when
Data
Technological equipment
Algorithm design
Background theory / knowledge
Previous studies
Measured / constructed variables
Known / hypothesised mechanisms
is/are
such and such
Viewpoints!
Not criteria
What opportunity is it?!
Emphasise the role of the modeller / scientist /
epidemiologist
Understand causality primarily as an epistemic
construct, based on evidence, data etc.
Account for validity of causal results also in non-
experimental contexts
Allow for revision/update of results
Any pay-off?
Make viewpoints explicit without turning
them into a rigid check-list
We find causes in big data
We resist scientism
We skew technocracy
We defend science
Conceptual opportunities
in big data practices
Federica Russo
Philosophy & ILLC | Amsterdam
russofederica.wordpress.com |
@federicarusso
Thank you!

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Conceptual Challenges in Big Data Practices

  • 1. Conceptual challenges in big data practices Federica Russo Philosophy & ILLC | Amsterdam russofederica.wordpress.com | @federicarusso
  • 2. Are there causes in big data? How to identify them? The homework that was assigned to me
  • 3. (big data) practices Investigation into scientific practices A general approach, on the rise in philosophy of science Philosophical issues as they arise in the practice of science, rather than in theory
  • 4. Conceptual challenges Not about practical aspects of research But about the foundations What do we want from big data? The promise ‘true correlations’, theory not needed anymore ‘true correlations’, enough for prediction ‘true correlations’ = causation? What’s causation, then?!
  • 5. A crash course on traditional philosophy of causality
  • 6. Fill in your favourite … X causes Y if, and only if … The probability raises such and such … There is a mechanism … There is a continuous process … X has the power to … Bad news: all these strategies fail. No way we get to understand what causality is.
  • 7. A crash course on causal pluralism Causality cannot be reduced to one single concept but has to be analysed using many concepts
  • 8. How to choose? First, pick your question. Then, pick your concept(s).
  • 9. 5 philosophical questions Metaphysics What is causality? What kind of things are causes and effects? Semantics What does it mean that C causes E? Epistemology What notions guide causal reasoning? How can we use C to explain E? Methodology How to establish whether C causes E? Or how much of C causes E? Use What to do once we know that C causes E? 5 scientific problems Inference Does C cause E? To what extent? Prediction What to expect if C does (not) cause E? Explanation How does C cause or prevent E? Control What factors to hold fixed to study the relation between C and E? Reasoning What considerations enter in establishing whether / how / to what extent C causes E?
  • 10. Inference, Prediction, Explanation, Control, Reasoning Causal Mosaic Metaphysics, Semantics, Epistemology, Methodology, Use Necessary and sufficient Levels Evidence Probabilistic causality Counterfact uals Manipulation Invariance Exogeneity Simpson’s Paradox Process Mechanism Information Dispositions Regularity Variation Action Inference Validity Truth
  • 11. Conceptual challenge has not changed in big data What is causality??
  • 12. Conceptual challenges in big data practices opportunities
  • 13. A “Bradford Hill strategy” We can claim that X causes Y when Data Technological equipment Algorithm design Background theory / knowledge Previous studies Measured / constructed variables Known / hypothesised mechanisms is/are such and such Viewpoints! Not criteria
  • 14. What opportunity is it?! Emphasise the role of the modeller / scientist / epidemiologist Understand causality primarily as an epistemic construct, based on evidence, data etc. Account for validity of causal results also in non- experimental contexts Allow for revision/update of results
  • 15. Any pay-off? Make viewpoints explicit without turning them into a rigid check-list We find causes in big data We resist scientism We skew technocracy We defend science
  • 16. Conceptual opportunities in big data practices Federica Russo Philosophy & ILLC | Amsterdam russofederica.wordpress.com | @federicarusso Thank you!

Editor's Notes

  1. In the programme: practical challenges Computational; Technological; Ethical Addressed in other talks