The document discusses several emerging trends across different areas that may shape the future over the next decade: 1. New types of diasporas are forming based on shared identities from climate change, migration, and virtual networks rather than geography. 2. New commons are emerging as shared resources managed from the bottom-up to create social and economic value through open platforms and identities. 3. Interconnected food webs and the disappearance of pollinators could reshape landscapes and human health as climate change threatens the global food supply. 4. The oceans will be a focus of development, with new industries, materials, and interventions needed to address issues like collapsing fisheries and climate change impacts.

1. how to use the 2008 Diasporas: Civil society: food: ecosystems: amplified individuals:
Map of the
the new emerging economies the evolution of civic infrastructure the flashpoint management in the context of life the extended human reality
As mobility and migration grow, the real emerging economies Civil society—the spaces and activities that exist between the As global climate change, population growth, and health and After a half century of scientific research—and in the face of As people extend their biological capacities with devices and
are the new diasporas of people who leverage shared identities world of governments and the marketplace—will undergo a safety issues threaten the global food supply, everything from growing ecosystem failures—eco-science will begin to redefine pharmaceuticals—and as their individual expressions are ampli-
Decade
to create new value and generate wealth. renaissance as new platforms for social connectedness and housing, fuel, and water to health and politics will be linked to the way individuals and institutions manage the complex fied in an extended digital world—human reality will be recast by
cooperation proliferate. food policies and practices. ecologies within which every human activity takes place. analytics and experience alike.
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There are lots of ways to talk about the future. Often
we speak of driving forces, signals of change, trends, or
disruptions. This year, we shift our language a bit. We
seek a more biological vocabulary of the future—for a
emerging
economy activist
Diasporas
“
The nation-state has grown ambivalent
about minorities at the same time that minorities ...
nutri-
segmentation
re-wilding
movement
It’s all gardening now.
–Daniel Janzen ” Social
the
simulated
self
tourists
future that depends more on our biological savvy. corporate increasingly see themselves as parts of software for
”
internal simulation sc
Diasporas .u
k
ien
Signals are the bridge. Cells, when they divide, light up Diasporas
powerful global majorities. ce m o rg
u seu m.
peopl e
03
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like signals. So think of the cells on our map as signals memory
20
–Arjun Appadurai disappearance
nie
Im enhancement
s,
that are fluorescing. The signals show where the activity ok
l
of ho
ff, S Bo zoonotic
pollinators ierr a Cl u b Green
is right now, today. But when we step back a bit, we can health interventions bias
filters
see that the cells are also signaling a larger pattern— New Diasporas urban
clusters of activity that add up to complex living systems. agri- farming water neuro-futures
diffusion virtual tourism woes collective
These systems are the critical structures, the focal points of global Traditionally defined by transliteracy Advances in neuroscience extend
Diasporas open sensemaking
economic geography, new diasporas human ability to think—including
for our strategy. leadership will emerge from identities
health transparent
children’s food thinking about the future
based on activities, events, health open krypto-
Such structures do not exist in isolation, of course. They and even digital platforms. climate commons Food webs local leadership numerites
are mapped on a grid. Just as an embryonic cell maps change diets
superhero cognitive
Diasporas Cascading disruptions of genetic fitness
its own poles—top and bottom, front and back—to build food
ids
its fate map, the cells of our future line up on a matrix of biometric foot- food webs will begin to green
retail
organizations happiness
methods &
regimes
Diasporas vertical printing restructure the landscapes
rows and columns. Think of the columns as the nascent media farming The organizational challenge measures
Diasporas ane Katrina’s
of food production—as well as
energy that will coalesce individual cells into an integrated rric Di human health and politics of the decade? How to supercharge
Hu a food
work by tapping emerging
ecology. Think of the rows as distinctly human lenses bio- health commons
sp
commons food superhero skills
ora
that help us see the ecology from different points of commons value Superhero
domestic next-
view: people, practices, and tools. chains
fair generation
genetic
Skills:
G lobal Seed trade
mobbability emergensight
rd Va foods
a
Working the Map: lb u ocean
dead influency longbroading
lt
identity
a
policy perpetual
Sv
zones ping quotient cooperation radar
pract ice s
commons
Foresight to Insight to Action ww
w.epodunk.co
m commons beta
systems multi-capitalism signal/noise
new commons protovation management
As always, our process starts with foresight that leads islamic With the growth of platforms for collapse mental
to insight, and ultimately, action. influence of health open authorship
emergent self-governance, a host gap
fisheries
of new commons point to new Skills that emerged as essential
learning
ww o the blue economy new competencies from the
• Focus on the clusters—the systems—to build commons forms of cultural and economic .n coastal
production.
w. s e e d v a u lt w g ecosystem In a golden age of oceanography,
2007 Ten-Year Forecast
foresight. Find two or three of the clusters of signals ww or
. b u y l o c a l. services the tools of science and politics
that have the greatest potential impact on your own methane
financial alike will be necessary to thwart the scares
organization, your industry, or your near-term projects. urban
commons
impacts of climate change and meet
Read the short descriptions on the back of the map. innovation human needs for fuel and food.
new
Then consider our Perspectives, or create your own. alternate standards
currencies From the spread of Islamic money infrastructure new renewable
Use different perspectives to challenge your assumptions financial practices to the use of commons commons ocean of
coastal performance
health to manage financial risk, energy
“
about where you and your organization are headed. zone
Valencia ST
Guerrero ST
innovations in finance will focus on materials cradle-to-
You can get more info on a box of
Dolores ST
Mission St
• Trace a path through the map to provoke Insight. social as well as economic goals. meme ht deep, deep cradle
inclusive INNOVATION: new
m
tp o human
crackers than you can on a piece of fish.
17th St
warfare :// p s. c ocean
”
e-waste
Sometimes the most important insights come from roj ec tc ro s design ENABLED! experiences
18th St 19th St
Dolores Park
drilling
20th St
seeing how several signals connect across the map. The solution? Get genetic Golden
20th St 21th St
With better-than-normal aspirations
22nd St
ol d
age of
21th St
Draw a line through the cells that seem most important,
Emo
23rd St
22nd St
health 24th St
–Kate Wing oceanography and technologies—and with the new
nN
23rd St
and tell that story to your colleagues. credits
24th St 25th St
economies of niche markets—the
tio
tia
health trading m
Cesar Chavez
urban
world of people with disabilities
n
r
is
• Rearrange the signals to uncover more insight. as wealth markets open-source ap
of Ch
Precita Park
pulse
pervasive is emerging as a hot zone of
S F, cre ate d by maps
This year’s Ten-Year Forecast makes it easy to work with warfare
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ergy Co eco-monitoring innovation for everyone.
a l En improved
Bernal Heights
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individual signals. Choose the signals that you think are rm
to ol s
ics’ Big he rs global
nam new As network-based strategies platforms T i eco- Widespread eco-monitoring could
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monitoring
on
g model are used to disrupt social, for
sciencemuseum.org.uk
San Francisco
n become the hot application for
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climate change
Emotion Map
ways to provide new focal points. Use the examples on
ea
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armies economic, and political systems, resilience
sto
readings
by Christian Nold
sms pervasive computing—but will
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new paths
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the TYF Signal Cards to go deeper into the signals, to rgo
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