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Broadband Quality Score
                                A global study of broadband quality
                                         September 2009


                                                                                         Sponsored by

Presentation_ID   © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential                  1
Background information
• Only a few years ago, the analysis of broadband diffusion focused on who had 
  an Internet connection and who did not. 
• As bandwidth intensive applications, such as video, became pervasive, the 
  broadband gap is being redefined as a quality divide. 
• Last year, Cisco sponsored the development of the Broadband Quality Score 
  ―an index that combines key performance parameters to measure the quality 
  of a broadband connection. 
• The research team found that broadband quality is linked to social and 
  economic benefits and that countries with high broadband quality have 
  broadband on their national agenda. 
• Investments in fibre and cable upgrades improve broadband quality.
• In 2009, we analysed approximately 24 million records sourced from actual 
  broadband speed tests from Speedtest.net (Ookla) for 66 countries during 
  May 2008 and May to July 2009
• Additional analysis in 2009 includes segmentation based on stage of economic 
  development; BQS for cities and the Broadband Quality Divide

                                                                              2
                                                       Sponsored by
What the study established in 2008
Changing quality requirements
 TWO WAVES OF BROADBAND SERVICES
                                                                          Visual networking
                        Social networking                                 HD video streaming
                        LD video streaming            Tomorrow
                                                                          Consumer telepresence
                        Basic video chatting                              Large file sharing
                        Small file sharing                                HD IPTV
                        SD IPTV

                                Today             Requirements
                                                  • Download 11.25Mbps
                                                  • Upload 5Mbps
                                                  • Latency 60ms 
 Broadband Quality




                        Requirements
                            Download 3.75 Mbps 
                            Upload 1 Mbps 
                            Latency 95ms



                     2000               2005       2010             2015

                                                                         Sponsored by
What the study established in 2008
Impact of Quality and Penetration
 MAIN FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH BROADBAND QUALITY AND PENETRATION


                                IMPACT ON
 DRIVING FACTORS                                              SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT
                                BROADBAND


 • Education                     HIGH                       • ICT Diffusion
 • Fibre and                     QUALITY                    • Knowledge 
   upgraded                                                   Economy
   cable                                                    • Web Usage*


 • GDP/Capita                  HIGH                          • Innovation
 • Technology                  PENETRATION                   • Labour Productivity
   Diversity                                                 • Competitiveness
 • PCs/Capita
                                                * based on limited sample of ComScore data




                                                               Sponsored by
Main broadband quality factors 
 KEY FACTORS IN DETERMINING BROADBAND EXPERIENCE




                                                   Sponsored by
Broadband Quality Score (BQS)
BQS THRESHOLD CALCULATION

•   BQS is calculated based on normalized values of:
    – Download and Upload throughput, and Latency
•   24 million records sourced from actual tests from Speedtest.net (Ookla) during May 
    2008 and May ‐ July 2009 
•   Weights assigned to each factor for today’s and tomorrow’s (3 to 5 years) applications.

    BQS (today) = 55% Download + 23% Upload + 22%Latency     
                   BQS threshold: 30
                     Download 3.75 Mbps 
                     Upload 1 Mbps 
                     Latency 95ms
    BQS (tmrw)  = 45% Download + 32% Upload + 23%Latency

                   BQS threshold: 50
                     Download 11.25Mbps
                     Upload 5Mbps 
                     Latency 60ms 

                                                                Sponsored by
Global overview for 2009
                     % of countries improved in 
                            performance
                           Improved       Not improved

             6.1%          6.1%                6.1%            15.2%


             93.9%         93.9%              93.9%            84.8%




             BQS         DOWNLOAD            UPLOAD            LATENCY


             BQS               Download               Upload           Latency
      2008                26                  3185              773                215
      2009                31                  4754             1308                170
     Delta              17%                   49%              69%               ‐21%

                                                         Sponsored by
Regional improvement of BQS




                              Sponsored by
BQS by countries 2008




Ready for    Comfortably enjoying  Meeting needs of today’s        Below today’s          Leapfrog 
tomorrow      today’s applications       applications          applications threshold    Opportunity 



                                                                          Sponsored by
BQS by countries 2009




 Ready for    Comfortably enjoying     Meeting needs of          Below today’s         Leapfrog 
 tomorrow      today’s applications   today’s applications   applications threshold   Opportunity 



                                                             Sponsored by
Top changes in BQS (2009‐2008)
      Rank Countries      2008 BQS 2009 BQS Delta BQS
         1 Korea              38.25    65.99       27.7
         2 Lithuania          35.15       54       19.3
         3 Bulgaria           31.01       49       17.5
         4 Sweden             41.15       57       15.6
         5 Latvia             36.29       48       11.8
         6 Romania            33.43    44.89       11.5
         7 Denmark            34.30    44.89       10.6
         8 Taiwan             23.93    34.43       10.5
         9 Kenya               4.57       13        8.5
        10 Netherlands        37.62    45.59        8.0
        11 Czech Republic     30.20       38        7.8
        12 United States      29.11       37        7.7
        13 Slovakia           30.10       37        7.3
        14 Iceland            25.14       32        7.0
        15 Hong Kong          26.81       33        6.6

                                               Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership ‐ Redefined 
 BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX

  100
                   QUALITY
                   LEADERS

       80


       60

                                 CATCH‐UP
 BQS




       40


       20
             LEAP‐FROG                            PENETRATION 
                                                    LEADERS
        0
            0%       20%       40%          60%      80%         100%
                 Penetration (% Households)


                                                                        Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership Top 20
          BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX (TOP‐20)
                                                                                    1.    S Korea
     100 =
     BQS actual
                                                                                    2.    Japan
                            QUALITY
     value 66
                            LEADERS                                                 3.    Hong Kong
                                                                                    4.    Sweden
                                                                                    5.    Switzerland
                                                                                    6.    Netherlands
                                                                                    7.    Singapore
                                                                                    8.    Luxembourg
                                                                                    9.    Denmark
                                               CATCH‐UP                             10.   Norway
                                                                                    11.   Malta
                                                                                    12.   Iceland
                                                                                    13.   Australia
                                                                                    14.   Lithuania
                                                                                    15.   United States
                                                                     PENETRATION    16.   Ireland
                                                                       LEADERS      17.   Canada
                                                                                    18.   France
                                                                                    19.   Estonia
N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100        20.   Belgium

                                                                                     Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership 21 ‐ 40
           BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX (TOP‐21‐40)
                                                                                    21.    Finland
                                                                                    22.    Slovenia
     100 =
                             QUALITY                                                23.    Taiwan
     BQS actual
     value 66                LEADERS
                                                                                    24.    Latvia
                                                                                    25.    United Kingdom
                                                                                    26.    Bahrain
          BQS (Normalized)




                                                                                    27.    Germany
                                                                                    28.    Cyprus
                                                                                    29.    Czech Republic
                                               CATCH‐UP                             30.    UAE
                                                                                    31.    Romania
                                                                                    32.    New Zealand
                                                                                    33.    Spain
                                                                                    34.    Bulgaria
                                                                                    35.    Qatar
                                                                                    36.    Austria
                                                                     PENETRATION 
                                                                       LEADERS      37.    Portugal
                                                                                    38.    Italy
                                                                                    39.    Greece
N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100
                                                                                    40.    Hungary

                                                                                    Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership 41 ‐ 66
           BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX (TOP‐41‐66)
                                                                               41.    Slovakia
                                                                               42.    Turkey
     100 =
     BQS actual
                                                                               43.    Russian Federation
     value 66                                                                  44.    Poland
                                                                               45.    Chile
                                                                               46.    Mexico
                                                                               47.    Argentina
          BQS (Normalized)




                                                                               48.    Malaysia
                                                                               49.    China
                                                                               50.    Costa Rica
                                                                               51.    Saudi Arabia
                                               CATCH‐UP                        52.    Ukraine
                                                                               53.    Brazil
                                                                               54.    Colombia
                                                                               55.    Tunisia
                                                                               56.    Philippines
                                                                               57.    Thailand
                                                                               58.    Vietnam
                                                                               59.    Morocco
                                                                               60.    Pakistan
                             LEAP‐FROG
                             LEAP‐                                             61.    South Africa
                                                                               62.    India
                                                                               63.    Indonesia
                                                                               64.    Egypt
                                                                               65.    Kenya
N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100   66.    Nigeria


                                                                                Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership Movers 2008 – 2009
      Innovation Economies
     100 =
     BQS actual             QUALITY
     value 66
                            LEADERS


                                                                                    S Korea        Ireland
         BQS (Normalized)




                                                                                    Sweden         Estonia

                                               CATCH‐UP                             Netherlands    Slovakia

                                                                                    Denmark        Taiwan

                                                                                    Norway         Czech Rep
                                                                     PENETRATION 
                                                                       LEADERS      USA


N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100


                                                                                    Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership Movers 2008 – 2009
      Efficiency Economies
     100 =
                             QUALITY
     BQS actual
     value 66                LEADERS
                                                                                    Lithuania      Bulgaria

                                                                                    Latvia         Chile
          BQS (Normalized)




                                                                                    Romania        Mexico
                                               CATCH‐UP
                                                                                    Turkey         Brazil

                                                                                    Hungary        Ukraine


                                                                     PENETRATION 
                                                                       LEADERS




N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100


                                                                                    Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership Movers 2008 – 2009
      Factor Economies 
     100 =
     BQS actual
     value 66
                                                                                  Qatar

                                                                                  Saudi Arabia
       BQS (Normalized)




                                                                                  Vietnam
                                               CATCH‐UP
                                                                                  Philippines

                                                                                  Nigeria


                          LEAP‐FROG
                          LEAP‐




N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100


                                                                               Sponsored by
0.0
                                                            10.0
                                                                   20.0
                                                                          30.0
                                                                                 40.0
                                                                                        50.0
                                                                                               60.0
                                                                                                      70.0
                                                                                                             80.0
                                                                                                                    90.0
                                      Yokohama
                                          Nagoya
                                          Kaunas
                                         Sapporo
                                            Seoul
                                           Malmo
                                            Osaka
                                          Wuhan
                                         Uppsala
                                             Sofia
                                      Rotterdam




                     tomorrow
                                              Riga




                     Ready for 
                                   Copenhagen
                                      Bucharest 
                                      Stockholm
                                           Vilnius
                                           Zurich
                                             Tokio
                                       Goteborg
                                           Kosice
                                              Koln
                                    Amsterdam
                                         Moscow
                                             Oulu
                                Saint Peterburg
                                        Taichung
                                         Chicago
                                       Den Haag
                                       New York
                                       Marseille
                                                                                                                       BQS by city (top 100)




                                         Geneve
                                       Bratislava
                                             Oslo 
                                        Ljubljana
                                        Hamburg
                                         Helsinki
                                           Lisbon
                                       Budapest
                                             Paris 
                                          Prague
                                          Bergen
                                        Tampere
                                       Frankfurt
                                            Porto



                      today´s applications
                                             Lyon
                     Comfortably enjoying   Berlin
                                       Vancuver
                                       Bruxelles
                                       Hangzhou
                                           Vienna
                                     Antwerpen
                                        Toulouse
                                            Bilbao
                                      Kaohsiung
                                            Taipei
                                         Houston
                                     Hong Kong
                                      Chongqing
Sponsored by


                                        Kowloon
                                            Espoo
                                           Tallinn
                                      Dongguan
                                                LA
                                          Athens
                                         Istanbul
                                        Reikjavik
                                      Singapore
                                     Thesaloníki
                                       Shenzhen
                   today’s 




                                    Birmingham
                applications




                                         Glasgow
                                        Adelaide
               Meeting needs of 
BQS by country outside major cities




 Ready for    Comfortably enjoying     Meeting needs of          Below today’s         Leapfrog 
 tomorrow      today’s applications   today’s applications   applications threshold   Opportunity 

                                                                                        20
                                                             Sponsored by
Digital Broadband Quality Divide




                                   Sponsored by
PRELIMINARY

Mobile Broadband Quality Divide




                                                          22
                                  Sponsored by
Broadband Leadership
By stage of economic development 




       INNOVATION           EFFICIENCY             FACTOR 
        ECONOMIES           ECONOMIES            ECONOMIES




                                  Sponsored by
Broadband Stakeholders
 HIGH‐LEVEL RECOMMENDATIONS TO KEY STAKEHOLDERS

Government, policy makers and regulators
• Set national broadband agenda with goals for availability,
  penetration and quality. Encourage private investment
Content producers, aggregators, and over-the-top players
• Provide content and applications that are quality-aware to ensure a
  consistent customer experience
Service Providers
• Build a broadband business model based on quality as the key
  differentiator
Equipment and device vendors
• Focus on simplicity, usability and interoperability
Consumers
• Keep home and personal devices up to date and conduct regular
  speed tests

                                                                        24
                                                  Sponsored by

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Global Broadband Quality Study

  • 1. Broadband Quality Score A global study of broadband quality September 2009 Sponsored by Presentation_ID © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 1
  • 2. Background information • Only a few years ago, the analysis of broadband diffusion focused on who had  an Internet connection and who did not.  • As bandwidth intensive applications, such as video, became pervasive, the  broadband gap is being redefined as a quality divide.  • Last year, Cisco sponsored the development of the Broadband Quality Score  ―an index that combines key performance parameters to measure the quality  of a broadband connection.  • The research team found that broadband quality is linked to social and  economic benefits and that countries with high broadband quality have  broadband on their national agenda.  • Investments in fibre and cable upgrades improve broadband quality. • In 2009, we analysed approximately 24 million records sourced from actual  broadband speed tests from Speedtest.net (Ookla) for 66 countries during  May 2008 and May to July 2009 • Additional analysis in 2009 includes segmentation based on stage of economic  development; BQS for cities and the Broadband Quality Divide 2 Sponsored by
  • 3. What the study established in 2008 Changing quality requirements TWO WAVES OF BROADBAND SERVICES Visual networking Social networking HD video streaming LD video streaming Tomorrow Consumer telepresence Basic video chatting Large file sharing Small file sharing HD IPTV SD IPTV Today Requirements • Download 11.25Mbps • Upload 5Mbps • Latency 60ms  Broadband Quality Requirements Download 3.75 Mbps  Upload 1 Mbps  Latency 95ms 2000 2005 2010 2015 Sponsored by
  • 4. What the study established in 2008 Impact of Quality and Penetration MAIN FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH BROADBAND QUALITY AND PENETRATION IMPACT ON DRIVING FACTORS SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT BROADBAND • Education HIGH • ICT Diffusion • Fibre and  QUALITY • Knowledge  upgraded  Economy cable  • Web Usage* • GDP/Capita HIGH • Innovation • Technology  PENETRATION • Labour Productivity Diversity • Competitiveness • PCs/Capita * based on limited sample of ComScore data Sponsored by
  • 6. Broadband Quality Score (BQS) BQS THRESHOLD CALCULATION • BQS is calculated based on normalized values of: – Download and Upload throughput, and Latency • 24 million records sourced from actual tests from Speedtest.net (Ookla) during May  2008 and May ‐ July 2009  • Weights assigned to each factor for today’s and tomorrow’s (3 to 5 years) applications. BQS (today) = 55% Download + 23% Upload + 22%Latency      BQS threshold: 30 Download 3.75 Mbps  Upload 1 Mbps  Latency 95ms BQS (tmrw)  = 45% Download + 32% Upload + 23%Latency BQS threshold: 50 Download 11.25Mbps Upload 5Mbps  Latency 60ms  Sponsored by
  • 7. Global overview for 2009 % of countries improved in  performance Improved Not improved 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.2% 93.9% 93.9% 93.9% 84.8% BQS DOWNLOAD UPLOAD LATENCY BQS Download Upload Latency 2008 26 3185 773 215 2009 31 4754 1308 170 Delta 17% 49% 69% ‐21% Sponsored by
  • 9. BQS by countries 2008 Ready for  Comfortably enjoying  Meeting needs of today’s  Below today’s  Leapfrog  tomorrow today’s applications applications applications threshold Opportunity  Sponsored by
  • 10. BQS by countries 2009 Ready for  Comfortably enjoying  Meeting needs of  Below today’s  Leapfrog  tomorrow today’s applications today’s applications applications threshold Opportunity  Sponsored by
  • 11. Top changes in BQS (2009‐2008) Rank Countries 2008 BQS 2009 BQS Delta BQS 1 Korea 38.25 65.99 27.7 2 Lithuania 35.15 54 19.3 3 Bulgaria 31.01 49 17.5 4 Sweden 41.15 57 15.6 5 Latvia 36.29 48 11.8 6 Romania 33.43 44.89 11.5 7 Denmark 34.30 44.89 10.6 8 Taiwan 23.93 34.43 10.5 9 Kenya 4.57 13 8.5 10 Netherlands 37.62 45.59 8.0 11 Czech Republic 30.20 38 7.8 12 United States 29.11 37 7.7 13 Slovakia 30.10 37 7.3 14 Iceland 25.14 32 7.0 15 Hong Kong 26.81 33 6.6 Sponsored by
  • 12. Broadband Leadership ‐ Redefined  BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX 100 QUALITY LEADERS 80 60 CATCH‐UP BQS 40 20 LEAP‐FROG PENETRATION  LEADERS 0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Penetration (% Households) Sponsored by
  • 13. Broadband Leadership Top 20 BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX (TOP‐20) 1. S Korea 100 = BQS actual 2. Japan QUALITY value 66 LEADERS 3. Hong Kong 4. Sweden 5. Switzerland 6. Netherlands 7. Singapore 8. Luxembourg 9. Denmark CATCH‐UP 10. Norway 11. Malta 12. Iceland 13. Australia 14. Lithuania 15. United States PENETRATION  16. Ireland LEADERS 17. Canada 18. France 19. Estonia N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100 20. Belgium Sponsored by
  • 14. Broadband Leadership 21 ‐ 40 BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX (TOP‐21‐40) 21.  Finland 22.  Slovenia 100 = QUALITY 23.  Taiwan BQS actual value 66 LEADERS 24.  Latvia 25.  United Kingdom 26.  Bahrain BQS (Normalized) 27.  Germany 28.  Cyprus 29.  Czech Republic CATCH‐UP 30.  UAE 31.  Romania 32.  New Zealand 33.  Spain 34.  Bulgaria 35.  Qatar 36.  Austria PENETRATION  LEADERS 37.  Portugal 38.  Italy 39.  Greece N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100 40.  Hungary Sponsored by
  • 15. Broadband Leadership 41 ‐ 66 BROADBAND LEADERSHIP MATRIX (TOP‐41‐66) 41.  Slovakia 42.  Turkey 100 = BQS actual 43.  Russian Federation value 66 44.  Poland 45.  Chile 46.  Mexico 47.  Argentina BQS (Normalized) 48.  Malaysia 49.  China 50.  Costa Rica 51.  Saudi Arabia CATCH‐UP 52.  Ukraine 53.  Brazil 54.  Colombia 55.  Tunisia 56.  Philippines 57.  Thailand 58.  Vietnam 59.  Morocco 60.  Pakistan LEAP‐FROG LEAP‐ 61.  South Africa 62.  India 63.  Indonesia 64.  Egypt 65.  Kenya N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100 66.  Nigeria Sponsored by
  • 16. Broadband Leadership Movers 2008 – 2009 Innovation Economies 100 = BQS actual QUALITY value 66 LEADERS S Korea Ireland BQS (Normalized) Sweden Estonia CATCH‐UP Netherlands Slovakia Denmark Taiwan Norway Czech Rep PENETRATION  LEADERS USA N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100 Sponsored by
  • 17. Broadband Leadership Movers 2008 – 2009 Efficiency Economies 100 = QUALITY BQS actual value 66 LEADERS Lithuania Bulgaria Latvia Chile BQS (Normalized) Romania Mexico CATCH‐UP Turkey Brazil Hungary Ukraine PENETRATION  LEADERS N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100 Sponsored by
  • 18. Broadband Leadership Movers 2008 – 2009 Factor Economies  100 = BQS actual value 66 Qatar Saudi Arabia BQS (Normalized) Vietnam CATCH‐UP Philippines Nigeria LEAP‐FROG LEAP‐ N.B. All BQS values have been normalised to a scale of 0 – 100 with 66 = 100 Sponsored by
  • 19. 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 Yokohama Nagoya Kaunas Sapporo Seoul Malmo Osaka Wuhan Uppsala Sofia Rotterdam tomorrow Riga Ready for  Copenhagen Bucharest  Stockholm Vilnius Zurich Tokio Goteborg Kosice Koln Amsterdam Moscow Oulu Saint Peterburg Taichung Chicago Den Haag New York Marseille BQS by city (top 100) Geneve Bratislava Oslo  Ljubljana Hamburg Helsinki Lisbon Budapest Paris  Prague Bergen Tampere Frankfurt Porto today´s applications Lyon Comfortably enjoying  Berlin Vancuver Bruxelles Hangzhou Vienna Antwerpen Toulouse Bilbao Kaohsiung Taipei Houston Hong Kong Chongqing Sponsored by Kowloon Espoo Tallinn Dongguan LA Athens Istanbul Reikjavik Singapore Thesaloníki Shenzhen today’s  Birmingham applications Glasgow Adelaide Meeting needs of 
  • 20. BQS by country outside major cities Ready for  Comfortably enjoying  Meeting needs of  Below today’s  Leapfrog  tomorrow today’s applications today’s applications applications threshold Opportunity  20 Sponsored by
  • 23. Broadband Leadership By stage of economic development  INNOVATION  EFFICIENCY  FACTOR  ECONOMIES ECONOMIES ECONOMIES Sponsored by
  • 24. Broadband Stakeholders HIGH‐LEVEL RECOMMENDATIONS TO KEY STAKEHOLDERS Government, policy makers and regulators • Set national broadband agenda with goals for availability, penetration and quality. Encourage private investment Content producers, aggregators, and over-the-top players • Provide content and applications that are quality-aware to ensure a consistent customer experience Service Providers • Build a broadband business model based on quality as the key differentiator Equipment and device vendors • Focus on simplicity, usability and interoperability Consumers • Keep home and personal devices up to date and conduct regular speed tests 24 Sponsored by