More Related Content Similar to COVID-19 Update (International): July 31, 2020 (13) More from Steve Shafer (20) COVID-19 Update (International): July 31, 20202. Italy
252,479
35,479
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Italy projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 247,158 (382) -- Deaths: 35,132 (3) -- Case Mortality: 14.2% -- Daily Change: +3.0% Cases, -6.2% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 2
3. Spain
325,653
28,752
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Spain projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
250
500
750
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 285,430 (2,789) -- Deaths: 28,752 (0) -- Case Mortality: 10.1% -- Daily Change: +6.3% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 3
4. Portugal
58,020
1,869
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Portugal projection as of 2020-07-31
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 50,868 (255) -- Deaths: 1,727 (2) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, -2.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 4
5. France
241,566
30,642
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
France projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 222,469 (1,392) -- Deaths: 30,241 (15) -- Case Mortality: 13.6% -- Daily Change: +2.7% Cases, -6.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 5
6. Germany
221,583
9,263
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Germany projection as of 2020-07-31
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 209,535 (989) -- Deaths: 9,144 (9) -- Case Mortality: 4.4% -- Daily Change: +5.1% Cases, +3.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 6
7. Switzerland
37,784
2,002
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Switzerland projection as of 2020-07-31
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,022 (220) -- Deaths: 1,980 (1) -- Case Mortality: 5.7% -- Daily Change: +5.0% Cases, +2.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 7
8. Austria
24,090
728
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Austria projection as of 2020-07-31
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 20,955 (105) -- Deaths: 718 (2) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: +1.0% Cases, +14.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 8
9. Sweden
87,412
6,131
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Sweden projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 80,100 (318) -- Deaths: 5,739 (9) -- Case Mortality: 7.2% -- Daily Change: -2.2% Cases, -3.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 9
10. Netherlands
57,881
6,212
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Netherlands projection as of 2020-07-31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 54,249 (354) -- Deaths: 6,178 (0) -- Case Mortality: 11.4% -- Daily Change: +6.4% Cases, +14.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 10
11. United Kingdom
321,740
48,305
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
United Kingdom projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 303,910 (847) -- Deaths: 46,084 (38) -- Case Mortality: 15.2% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, -0.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 11
12. Iceland
1,893
10
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iceland projection as of 2020-07-31
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,872 (11) -- Deaths: 10 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.5% -- Daily Change: +18.7% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 12
13. Canada
129,907
9,227
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Canada projection as of 2020-07-31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 117,677 (320) -- Deaths: 8,974 (12) -- Case Mortality: 7.6% -- Daily Change: +0.1% Cases, -0.3% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 13
14. Australia
29,295
479
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Australia projection as of 2020-07-31
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 16,903 (605) -- Deaths: 196 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: +4.5% Cases, +9.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 14
15. New Zealand
1,583
22
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Zealand projection as of 2020-07-31
0
20
40
60
80
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,560 (0) -- Deaths: 22 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -5.6% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 15
16. China
90,005
4,687
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
China projection as of 2020-07-31
0
2,000
4,000
0
100
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 87,489 (276) -- Deaths: 4,659 (1) -- Case Mortality: 5.3% -- Daily Change: +9.6% Cases, +6.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 16
17. Taiwan
485
7
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Taiwan projection as of 2020-07-31
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 467 (0) -- Deaths: 7 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +12.2% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 17
18. South Korea
15,627
325
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Korea projection as of 2020-07-31
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 14,305 (36) -- Deaths: 301 (1) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, -6.2% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 18
19. Singapore
60,393
29
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Singapore projection as of 2020-07-31
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 51,809 (278) -- Deaths: 27 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.1% -- Daily Change: +2.5% Cases, -27.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 19
20. Japan
57,028
1,039
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Japan projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,144 (1,762) -- Deaths: 1,007 (6) -- Case Mortality: 2.9% -- Daily Change: +7.7% Cases, +9.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 20
21. South Africa
685,594
25,027
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Africa projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 482,169 (11,046) -- Deaths: 7,812 (315) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, +3.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 21
22. Israel
132,389
905
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Israel projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
25
50
75
100
125
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 70,036 (1,737) -- Deaths: 500 (9) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: +1.3% Cases, +1.3% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 22
23. Turkey
255,177
6,296
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Turkey projection as of 2020-07-31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 229,891 (967) -- Deaths: 5,674 (15) -- Case Mortality: 2.5% -- Daily Change: +0.1% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 23
24. Iran
374,101
26,316
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iran projection as of 2020-07-31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 301,530 (2,621) -- Deaths: 16,569 (226) -- Case Mortality: 5.5% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 24
25. Iraq
209,702
9,869
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Iraq projection as of 2020-07-31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 121,263 (2,963) -- Deaths: 4,671 (68) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: +2.4% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 25
26. Egypt
114,780
7,170
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Egypt projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 93,757 (401) -- Deaths: 4,774 (46) -- Case Mortality: 5.1% -- Daily Change: -4.8% Cases, -2.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 26
27. Saudi Arabia
350,760
4,581
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Saudi Arabia projection as of 2020-07-31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 274,219 (1,629) -- Deaths: 2,842 (26) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -3.1% Cases, -2.3% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 27
28. Kuwait
86,639
567
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kuwait projection as of 2020-07-31
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 66,529 (626) -- Deaths: 445 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: +1.2% Cases, +2.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 28
29. United Arab Emirates
68,219
378
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
United Arab Emirates projection as of 2020-07-31
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 60,223 (302) -- Deaths: 349 (2) -- Case Mortality: 0.6% -- Daily Change: +1.5% Cases, +1.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 29
30. Oman
129,607
1,052
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Oman projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 79,159 (590) -- Deaths: 421 (9) -- Case Mortality: 0.5% -- Daily Change: -5.5% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 30
31. Qatar
94,772
222
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Qatar projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 110,460 (307) -- Deaths: 171 (2) -- Case Mortality: 0.2% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, -1.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 31
32. Bahrain
51,375
259
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Bahrain projection as of 2020-07-31
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 40,755 (444) -- Deaths: 146 (2) -- Case Mortality: 0.4% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, -2.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 32
33. Brazil
4,069,245
139,074
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Brazil projection as of 2020-07-31
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,610,102 (57,837) -- Deaths: 91,263 (1,129) -- Case Mortality: 3.5% -- Daily Change: +4.0% Cases, +0.1% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 33
34. Chile
416,893
17,404
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Chile projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
300
600
900
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 353,536 (1,961) -- Deaths: 9,377 (99) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -1.1% Cases, -9.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 34
35. Colombia
540,137
28,822
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colombia projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
250
500
750
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 276,055 (0) -- Deaths: 9,808 (354) -- Case Mortality: 3.6% -- Daily Change: -0.5% Cases, +3.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 35
36. Peru
531,600
49,094
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Peru projection as of 2020-07-31
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 400,683 (0) -- Deaths: 18,816 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.7% -- Daily Change: +0.4% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 36
37. Mexico
658,378
75,360
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mexico projection as of 2020-07-31
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 416,179 (7,730) -- Deaths: 46,000 (639) -- Case Mortality: 11.1% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, +0.1% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 37
38. Ukraine
97,921
2,374
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ukraine projection as of 2020-07-31
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 70,300 (1,222) -- Deaths: 1,697 (24) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +2.9% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 38
39. Russia
1,011,698
19,759
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Russia projection as of 2020-07-31
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 832,993 (5,484) -- Deaths: 13,778 (128) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -1.1% Cases, -0.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 39
40. India
3,502,992
78,545
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
India projection as of 2020-07-31
0
20,000
40,000
0
1,000
2,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,634,746 (52,783) -- Deaths: 35,718 (763) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: +3.0% Cases, +1.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 40
41. Pakistan
322,690
7,497
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pakistan projection as of 2020-07-31
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 277,402 (1,114) -- Deaths: 5,924 (32) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -4.7% Cases, -5.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 International: 41