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American Journal of Epidemiology
Copyright © 2001 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health
All rights reserved
604
Vol. 153, No. 6
Printed in U.S.A.
Medically Unexplained Syndromes in British Gulf Veterans Reid et al.
Multiple Chemical Sensitivity and Chronic Fatigue Syndrome in British Gulf
War Veterans
Steven Reid,1
Matthew Hotopf,1
Lisa Hull,2
Khalida Ismail,1
Catherine Unwin,2
and Simon Wessely1
The objective of this study was to measure the prevalence of multiple chemical sensitivity (MCS) and chronic
fatigue syndrome (CFS) in British Gulf War veterans and to investigate their association with reported exposures
and psychologic morbidity. In 1997–1998, the authors undertook a cross-sectional survey of three cohorts of
British military personnel comprising Gulf veterans (n = 3,531), those who had served in Bosnia (n = 2,050), and
those serving during the Gulf War but not deployed there (Era cohort, n = 2,614). MCS and CFS were defined
according to operational criteria. The prevalence of MCS in the Gulf, Bosnia, and Era cohorts was 1.3%, 0.3%,
and 0.2%, respectively. For CFS, the prevalence was 2.1% (Gulf cohort), 0.7% (Bosnia cohort), and 1.8% (Era
cohort). In Gulf veterans, MCS was strongly associated with exposure to pesticides (adjusted odds ratio = 12.3,
95% confidence interval: 5.1, 30.0). Both syndromes were associated with high levels of psychologic morbidity.
These findings suggest that CFS and MCS account for some of the medically unexplained illnesses reported by
veterans after deployment to the Gulf. MCS was particularly associated with Gulf deployment and self-reported
exposure to pesticides, findings that merit further exploration given the controversial status of this diagnosis and
the potential for recall bias in a questionnaire survey. Am J Epidemiol 2001;153:604–9.
fatigue syndrome, chronic; multiple chemical sensitivity; occupational exposure; Persian Gulf syndrome
Received for publication February 3, 2000, and accepted for pub-
lication June 22, 2000.
Abbreviations: CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention;
CFS, chronic fatigue syndrome; MCS, multiple chemical sensitivity.
1
Guy’s King’s and St.Thomas’ School of Medicine and Institute of
Psychiatry, London, United Kingdom.
2
Gulf War Illness Research Unit, Guy’s King’s and St. Thomas’
School of Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Reprint requests to Dr. Steven Reid, Academic Department of
Psychological Medicine, Guy’s King’s and St. Thomas’ School of
Medicine and Institute of Psychiatry, 103 Denmark Hill, London,
United Kingdom SE5 8AZ.
Since the end of the Gulf War, many veterans have
developed illnesses that they have attributed to their mili-
tary service. Of particular concern is the possibility that
exposure to biological, chemical, or other environmental
hazards may be responsible. While it is now clear that Gulf
veterans report higher rates of symptoms than do service
personnel who were not deployed in the Gulf (1–6), the
existence of a specific “Gulf War syndrome” has not been
conclusively demonstrated (1, 2, 4). At the same time,
there have been numerous anecdotal reports of veterans
presenting with medically unexplained, multisymptom
conditions, such as chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) and
multiple chemical sensitivity (MCS).
MCS is characterized by the reporting of a wide variety of
symptoms that are attributed to chemical exposure or sensi-
tivity in the absence of accompanying physical signs or bio-
medical test abnormalities (7). Despite a lack of convincing
evidence, abnormalities of the central nervous system or
immune dysfunction have been implicated in its etiology.
The status of MCS is viewed with scepticism by many, and
several authoritative reports have questioned its validity
(8–10) . MCS has yet to make a significant impact in the
United Kingdom. This is in sharp contrast to the situation in
the United States, Canada, and Germany. Even though the
diagnosis remains highly controversial in professional cir-
cles in these countries, it is in widespread use. A recent epi-
demiologic study reported that 6 percent of a surveyed
population had been given a diagnosis of MCS by their
physician (11).
In this paper, we report the prevalence of MCS and CFS,
according to operational criteria, in the British Gulf War vet-
eran population. The relations between these diagnoses and
various exposures are explored, as are their associations
with psychologic morbidity.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
The sample was obtained from a cross-sectional postal sur-
vey, conducted in 1997–1998, comparing three cohorts of
British military personnel: veterans deployed to the Gulf War,
veterans who served in the first four regiments deployed to
the Bosnia conflict, and veterans in active service on January
1, 1991, but not deployed to the Gulf War (Era cohort).
Respondents who had served in both the Gulf War and the
Bosnia conflict were defined as veterans of the Gulf War and
included in that cohort. Details of stratification, methods of
selection, and tracing are described in an earlier paper (3).
After three mailings, the overall response rate was 65.1 per-
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Medically Unexplained Syndromes in British Gulf Veterans 605
Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001
cent (8,195/12,592), rising to 70.0 percent (n ϭ 3,531/5,046)
for those serving in the Gulf. In addition to demographic
details and exposure history (29 items), the questionnaire con-
tained several measures of current health status, including a
checklist of 50 symptoms (12) and 39 medical disorders, the
General Health Questionnaire (13) (a measure of psychiatric
morbidity), a fatigue questionnaire (14), the Short Form-36
(SF-36, a health status questionnaire) (15), and an approxi-
mation of posttraumatic stress disorder, which we refer to as
posttraumatic stress reaction (16). Included in the list of med-
ical disorders were questions asking whether, after active ser-
vice, participants had suffered from 1) CFS (myalgic
encephalomyelitis) or 2) MCS/environmental illness.
To estimate prevalence numbers, the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) diagnosis of CFS (17) was
derived from a combination of “caseness” according to the
fatigue questionnaire and the SF-36 measure of functional
disability. This method of case identification has been used
in previous population studies of CFS (18). For MCS,
cases were defined by the operational criteria used by
Simon et al. (19) in a case-control study of the illness.
These criteria require that symptoms are reported in at
least three organ systems, including the central nervous
system, for a duration of 3 months or more and that there
is reported sensitivity to four or more substances from a
list of 14, including fresh paint, hair spray, and solvent
fumes. The present questionnaire included 11 substances
derived from a shortened measure of symptoms of possible
chemical sensitivity (20).
Data were analyzed using STATA (version 5.0) (21). The
prevalence of both illnesses was calculated for the three
cohorts—Gulf War, Bosnia, and Era. For the Gulf War
cohort, veterans fulfilling the criteria for CFS and MCS
(cases) were compared with those self-reporting the diagno-
sis. Proportions of exposures and health outcomes were
compared in those defined as cases, using odds ratios and 95
percent confidence intervals. Logistic regression analysis
was used to control for potential confounders.
RESULTS
Both CFS and MCS were more frequent in the Gulf
cohort (tables 1 and 2), although the prevalence of CFS in
the Era cohort was not significantly different from that in the
Gulf War cohort.
Further analyses were restricted to the Gulf War veterans.
Demographic characteristics of the veterans who fulfilled
the criteria for CFS and MCS are shown in table 3. For CFS,
cases did not differ from noncases in terms of gender or age
or by primary duty. However, non-White veterans were
more likely to be cases, as were those who were separated,
divorced, or widowed and those with lower educational
attainment. Current unemployment, being discharged from
the service, and being of nonofficer rank were also associ-
ated with being a case. For MCS, educational attainment
was the only demographic characteristic for which there was
a significant association, with those achieving a lower edu-
cational attainment more likely to be cases. Again, current
unemployment and being discharged from the service were
also associated with the diagnosis.
For veterans who fulfilled case definitions, seven of the
76 CFS cases (9.6 percent) also met the criteria for MCS.
Conversely, seven of 46 (15.2 percent) MCS cases met the
criteria for CFS. Of the 113 who self-reported CFS, 12
(10.6 percent) fulfilled operational criteria for CFS.
Twelve (16.4 percent) of the 73 operationally defined
cases of CFS also self-reported the diagnosis. Of the 27
who self-reported MCS, eight (29.6 percent) fulfilled oper-
ational criteria of MCS. Eight (17.4 percent) of the 46
operationally defined cases of MCS also self-reported the
diagnosis. We compared self-reported diagnoses with
caseness ascertained by operational criteria using kappa
TABLE 1. Prevalence of medically unexplained syndromes by deployment, British military personnel,
1997–1998
Chronic fatigue syndrome
Multiple chemical sensitivity
Frequency
(%)
Gulf
(n = 3,531)
Frequency
(%)
Frequency
(%)
2.1
1.3
* CI, confidence interval.
Bosnia
(n = 2,050)
95% CI* 95% CI95% CI
Era
(n = 2,614)
1.6, 2.6
1.0, 1.7
0.7
0.3
0.4, 1.2
0.1, 0.6
1.3, 2.4
0.1, 0.4
1.8
0.2
TABLE 2. Comparison of medically unexplained syndrome prevalences, British military personnel, 1997–1998
Chronic fatigue syndrome
Multiple chemical sensitivity
Unadjusted
OR*
Gulf vs. Bosnia
Adjusted
OR†
Unadjusted
OR
3.1
4.5
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
† Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employment status on follow-up.
95% CI* 95% CI95% CI
Gulf vs. Era
1.7, 5.4
1.9, 10.5
2.3
4.5
1.2, 4.3
1.7, 11.8
0.8, 1.7
2.7, 17.4
1.2
6.9
Adjusted
OR†
95% CI
0.8, 1.8
2.8, 18.2
1.2
7.2
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Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001
statistics. For CFS, agreement was 0.11 (p < 0.001), and
for MCS, it was 0.21 (p < 0.001), indicating levels of
agreement little above chance.
For exposures, we found that being a CFS case was most
strongly associated with combat-related injury (table 4).
There was also an association with exposure to the explo-
sion of SCUD missiles, nearby artillery, chemical alarms,
witnessing a person’s death, maimed soldiers, and the burn-
ing of rubbish/feces. For MCS (table 5), cases were more
likely to be associated with the majority of exposures listed.
The strength of association with exposures was generally
greater, and this was markedly the case for exposure to pes-
ticides used either personally or on clothing/bedding. On
stratifying for belief in the presence of MCS (self-report),
the association with pesticides remained significant (p ϭ
0.014). Both diagnoses were associated with the psycho-
logic health outcomes (tables 6 and 7). Approaching 100
percent of subjects with CFS or MCS were cases on the
General Health Questionnaire. MCS had a particularly
strong association with posttraumatic stress reaction.
TABLE 3. Characteristics of Gulf veterans with medically unexplained syndromes, British military personnel, 1997–1998
Gender
Male
Female
Age (years)
<25
25–29
30–34
35–39
≥40
Ethnicity
White
Non-White
Marital status
Married or living with partner
Never married
Separated, divorced, or widowed
Education†
Below “O” level
“O” level
“A” level
Currently employed
Yes
No
Currently serving in the military
Yes
No
Rank
Officer
Other ranks
Duty in Gulf
Combat
Signals
Medical
Logistics
Staff
Other
No. (% with
CFS)
CFS*
OR*
No. (% with
MCS)
3,295 (2.1)
236 (2.1)
4 (0.0)
986 (2.1)
1,080 (2.1)
707 (1.4)
754 (2.5)
3,480 (2.0)
41 (7.3)
2,627 (1.7)
565 (2.3)
317 (4.7)
645 (3.6)
2,051 (1.5)
730 (1.4)
3,289 (1.3)
174 (16.1)
1,966 (1.1)
1,551 (3.2)
449 (0.2)
1,551 (2.3)
685 (2.0)
235 (2.6)
383 (1.6)
874 (2.8)
112 (0.0)
741 (1.1)
* CFS, chronic fatigue syndrome; MCS, multiple chemical sensitivity; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
† “O” level, examinations usually taken at age 16 years and required before “A” level; “A” level, examinations usually taken at age 18 years
and required for entry into a university.
OR95% CI*
MCS*
1.0
1.0
1.0
0.7
1.2
3.9
1.0
1.4
2.8
2.7
1.1
1.0
14.8
3.1
10.7
1.0
1.3
0.8
1.4
0.5
0.4, 2.6
0.6, 1.8
0.3, 1.4
0.6, 2.2
1.2, 13.0
0.7, 2.5
1.6, 5.2
1.3, 5.6
0.5, 2.2
8.8, 24.9
1.8, 5.2
1.5, 77.6
0.5, 3.3
0.3, 2.0
0.7, 2.6
0.2, 1.2
1.3
1.0
1.1
0.8
1.4
1.0
0.7
1.7
3.1
1.8
1.0
11.4
6.2
3.2
1.0
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.3
3,295 (1.3)
236 (1.7)
4 (0.0)
986 (1.2)
1,080 (1.3)
707 (1.0)
754 (1.7)
3,480 (1.3)
41 (0.0)
2,627 (1.3)
565 (0.9)
317 (2.2)
645 (2.5)
2,051 (1.1)
730 (0.8)
3,289 (0.9)
174 (9.2)
1,966 (0.4)
1,551 (2.4)
449 (0.4)
3,079 (1.4)
685 (2.0)
235 (0.8)
383 (1.3)
874 (1.1)
112 (0.0)
741 (0.7)
95% CI
0.5, 3.8
0.5, 2.3
0.3, 2.1
0.7, 3.1
0.3, 1.8
0.8, 3.9
1.2, 7.9
0.5, 3.2
6.1, 21.4
2.9, 13.2
0.8, 13.4
0.1, 1.8
0.2, 1.8
0.2, 1.2
0.1, 0.9
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TABLE 4. Association between reported exposures and chronic fatigue syndrome in Gulf veterans,
British military personnel, 1997–1998
Diesel or petrochemical fumes
NBC* suits
Pyridostigmine bromide
Exhaust from heaters
Smoke from oil fires
Hear chemical alarms
Personal pesticides
Local food
Burning rubbish/feces
Diesel on skin
Dismembered bodies
Other paints or solvents
Dead animals
POWs*
Maimed soldiers
Pesticides on clothing
Chemical/nerve gas attack
Mustard gas
Combat-related injury
Witness anyone dying
SCUD missile explosion
Small-arms fire
Artillery close by
Chronic
fatigue syndrome
Unadjusted
OR*
95% CI*
1.2
1.6
1.6
1.3
0.9
2.6
1.2
0.8
2.1
2.1
1.9
1.3
1.2
1.3
2.1
1.4
1.7
2.5
6.1
2.3
2.2
1.3
1.8
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; NBC, nuclear, biologic, and chemical warfare; POW, prisoner of war.
† Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employment status on follow-up.
Adjusted
OR†
95% CI
0.6, 2.3
0.8, 3.2
0.8, 3.2
0.7, 2.3
0.5, 1.4
1.3, 5.0
0.7, 2.1
0.5, 1.4
1.2, 3.7
1.2, 3.6
1.1, 3.4
0.8, 2.2
0.8, 2.0
0.8, 2.1
1.3, 3.5
0.9, 2.2
0.9, 3.4
0.9, 7.1
3.6, 10.3
1.4, 3.6
1.4, 3.6
0.8, 2.1
1.2, 2.9
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.1
2.5
1.0
0.9
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.3
1.4
2.0
1.2
1.5
1.4
4.1
2.2
2.6
1.3
2.4
0.6, 3.0
0.6, 3.4
0.7, 3.4
0.7, 2.6
0.6, 2.0
1.2, 5.3
0.6, 1.8
0.5, 1.6
1.0, 3.4
1.0, 3.5
0.8, 3.0
0.8, 2.5
0.7, 2.2
0.8, 2.5
1.2, 3.6
0.7, 2.0
0.7, 3.1
0.4, 4.6
2.2, 7.7
1.3, 3.8
1.5, 4.6
0.8, 2.3
1.4, 4.1
TABLE 5. Association between reported exposures and multiple chemical sensitivity in Gulf veterans,
British military personnel, 1997–1998
Diesel or petrochemical fumes
NBC* suits
Pyridostigmine bromide
Exhaust from heaters
Smoke from oil fires
Hear chemical alarms
Personal pesticides
Local food
Burning rubbish/feces
Diesel on skin
Dismembered bodies
Other paints or solvents
Dead animals
POWs*
Maimed soldiers
Pesticides on clothing
Chemical/nerve gas attack
Mustard gas
Combat-related injury
Witness anyone dying
SCUD missile explosion
Small-arms fire
Artillery close by
Multiple
chemical sensitivity
Unadjusted
OR*
95% CI*
1.8
3.3
1.5
2.0
4.3
2.7
10.6
0.8
5.8
1.7
4.5
2.2
2.4
4.3
3.8
11.3
3.8
4.2
3.4
2.3
1.8
2.1
2.8
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; NBC, nuclear, biologic, and chemical warfare; POW, prisoner of war.
† Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employment status on follow-up.
Adjusted
OR†
95% CI
0.7, 4.6
1.0, 10.6
0.6, 3.5
0.9, 4.8
1.6, 12.2
1.2, 6.5
2.6, 43.9
0.4, 1.6
2.1, 16.2
0.9, 3.2
1.8, 11.4
1.1, 4.4
1.2, 4.6
2.0, 9.3
1.9, 7.8
4.8, 27.0
1.9, 7.6
1.4, 12.0
1.6, 7.0
1.3, 4.1
1.0, 3.4
1.2, 3.7
1.5, 5.0
2.2
2.8
1.6
2.8
4.6
2.5
10.9
0.9
5.8
1.7
4.2
2.4
3.0
4.0
3.2
12.3
3.2
2.5
2.2
2.2
1.6
2.1
2.7
0.8, 5.9
0.8, 9.2
0.6, 4.0
1.1, 7.5
1.6, 13.3
1.0, 5.9
2.6, 45.8
0.5, 1.7
2.0, 16.7
0.8, 3.6
1.6, 11.0
1.1, 5.1
1.5, 6.1
1.8, 8.9
1.6, 6.5
5.1, 30.0
1.5, 6.7
0.8, 7.9
1.0, 4.9
1.2, 4.2
0.8, 3.0
1.1, 3.9
1.4, 5.0
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DISCUSSION
This paper reports the first operationally defined preva-
lence numbers for CFS (0.7–2.1 percent) and MCS (0.2–1.3
percent) in an epidemiologic survey of British military per-
sonnel. Gulf War veterans were at high risk of both disor-
ders, although the prevalence of CFS in Gulf War veterans
was greater than that in the Bosnia cohort but not in the Era
cohort.
The limitations of a postal questionnaire survey in this
population are discussed in detail in our earlier paper (3). All
of the responses were questionnaire based and relied upon
self-report, with case definitions being derived from them.
The use of MCS as a diagnosis remains the subject of
debate, and as such, there is no generally accepted case def-
inition (7). Nevertheless, this presentation of multiple unex-
plained symptoms does merit investigation, and our use of
operational criteria, while not conferring validity, allows
group comparisons to be made. The small number of cases
of CFS and, particularly, MCS increased the potential for
type 2 errors; however, the strengths of this study include
the high response rate, the use of two control groups, and the
large population-based samples.
Very high levels of psychiatric comorbidity were demon-
strated in both disorders. Given the results of previous work
(19, 22), this is not surprising, although the near-universality
of morbidity as measured by the General Health Question-
naire is a notable finding.
As one would expect, subjects with MCS were more
likely to report exposures during their deployment than were
other veterans. CFS was significantly associated with fewer
exposures. The exposures reported cover a broad range—
dead bodies, maimed soldiers, burning rubbish, etc.
However, a striking finding was that of the strong associa-
tion (12-fold increase in risk) between MCS and pesticides
(in the form of creams, sprays, flea collars, or contaminated
bedding and clothing). There was no similar association
with CFS. Pesticide exposure is widely considered to be a
precipitant of MCS, although conclusive evidence for this is
lacking (7). The use of pesticides has also been implicated
as a potential cause of chronic ill health in Gulf War veter-
ans (23). The cross-sectional nature of this study, as well as
the difficulties of verification of reported exposure, prevents
conclusions from being drawn about causality. In addition,
other chemical exposures—contact with diesel, paints, sol-
vents, or toxic gases—did not show a similar degree of asso-
ciation. Theories about MCS would suggest that these
should be similarly associated with symptoms, but media
coverage in the United Kingdom has been largely confined
to the pesticide question, suggesting that recall bias may be
relevant, regardless of whether the subjects have given their
symptoms the MCS label.
CFS and MCS have been investigated by questionnaire
survey in previous studies of Gulf War veterans (1, 5, 24). In
our systematic, epidemiologic study (3), 3.2 percent of Gulf
War veterans believed or had been told that they had CFS,
with 0.8 percent reporting MCS. The Iowa Persian Gulf
Study Group (5) found that from 1 percent (regular military)
to 2.9 percent (reservist) of Gulf War veterans reported
symptoms of chronic fatigue as opposed to 0.2–1.1 percent
in non-Gulf War veterans. Five percent of Gulf War veterans
(2 percent of non-Gulf War veterans) reported symptoms of
chemical sensitivity in the study by Fukuda et al. (1). They
also interviewed a sample of the Gulf War veterans and,
using the CDC criteria for CFS (17), estimated a prevalence
of 5 percent. Kipen et al. (24) reported on 1,161 members of
the Veteran Affairs’ Gulf Registry who responded to a ques-
tionnaire survey. Sixteen percent of the veterans reported
symptoms of CFS, as defined by the CDC, and 13 percent
reported symptoms of MCS. That our study has found a con-
siderably lower prevalence of both conditions may reflect
the role of selection bias in the sample of Kipen et al. (24),
with registry examination being voluntary. Although our
prevalence number is lower than that reported by Fukuda et
al. (1) in Gulf War veterans, it is higher than many of the
estimates made in civilian population studies (25). CFS was
predicted by lower educational attainment, nonofficer rank
(indicators of socioeconomic status), and non-White ethnic-
ity, findings that are supported by previous work (26). This
adds to the evidence that the apparent excess of White mid-
dle classes reported from every specialist clinic to date is
due to referral/selection bias and is not a true risk factor. An
association with female gender is a consistent finding in
CFS. The lack of association in this study may be explained
by the small number of women in the sample. It has been
suggested that CFS may be more common among health
professionals, but we found no association with those whose
primary duty was in the medical services. For MCS, there
was an association with lower educational attainment and
with military rank, although this did not reach statistical sig-
nificance. The lack of association with sociodemographic
characteristics corresponds to the population-based survey
TABLE 6. Odds ratios for health outcomes in chronic fatigue
syndrome, British military personnel, 1997–1998
GHQ*
PTSR*
Unadjusted
OR*
No. with
CFS*
(% cases)
95% CI*
72 (93.1)
73 (50.7)
* CFS, chronic fatigue syndrome; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval;
GHQ, General Health Questionnaire; PTSR, postraumatic stress reaction.
† Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employ-
ment status on follow-up.
Adjusted
OR†
95% CI
21.6
7.3
8.7, 53.8
4.6, 1.7
6.4, 66.9
2.6, 7.9
20.7
4.5
TABLE 7. Odds ratios for health outcomes in multiple
chemical sensitivity, British military personnel, 1997–1998
GHQ*
PTSR*
Unadjusted
OR*
No. with
MCS*
(% cases)
95% CI*
45 (95.6)
46 (73.9)
* MCS, multiple chemical sensitivity; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence inter-
val; GHQ, General Health Questionnaire; PTSR, postraumatic stress reaction.
† Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employ-
ment status on follow-up.
Adjusted
OR†
95% CI
34.1
20.2
8.2, 141.0
10.4, 39.2
5.8, 102.2
7.2, 26.6
24.4
14.6
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Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001
by Kreutzer et al. (11). This contrasts with clinic-based stud-
ies that again report that above-average education and high
socioeconomic status are hallmarks of this illness (27).
Indeed, the peculiar socioeconomic distribution of MCS in
specialist clinics, which is the reverse of that expected if
MCS is an occupational disease, may again be a product of
selection bias.
Overlap between the two conditions was less frequent than
was observed by others (28). Even more striking was the
marked discrepancy between self-defined report of suffering
from either MCS or CFS and fulfilling operational criteria. As
has been previously argued (29), operational definitions and
self-reported diagnoses are two almost entirely different enti-
ties. This has implications for future epidemiologic studies in
which diagnoses are made by self-report.
In conclusion, the results of this study indicate that symp-
toms attributed to CFS and MCS may account for some of the
medically unexplained illnesses reported by British veterans
after deployment to the Gulf. The prevalence of CFS in Gulf
War veteran populations is higher than that in civilian popu-
lation-based studies. However, the prevalence in the Era
cohort is also relatively high. This raises the question that
CFS may be associated with military service, although
another explanation is that the increased prevalence is a result
of the social class distribution in that population. Unlike CFS,
MCS appears to be particularly associated with service in the
Gulf. MCS has not previously been reported in a British pop-
ulation study, yet it appears that this pattern of symptoms is
present although not attracting that particular label. The rela-
tion between MCS and pesticide exposure deserves further
exploration, particularly in light of the controversy surround-
ing the etiology and status of this syndrome.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Supported by the US Department of Defense.
The authors thank the United Kingdom Ministry of Defence
for assistance in identifying and tracing the participants.
The views expressed here are the authors’ and not those
of any US government organization.
REFERENCES
1. Fukuda K, Nisenbaum R, Stewart G, et al. Chronic multi-
symptom illness affecting air force veterans of the Gulf War.
JAMA 1998;280:981–8.
2. Haley RW, Kurt TL, Hom J. Is there a Gulf War syndrome?
JAMA 1997;277:215–22.
3. Unwin C, Blatchley N, Coker W, et al. Health of UK servicemen
who served in Persian Gulf War. Lancet 1999;353:169–78.
4. Ismail K, Everitt B, Blatchley N, et al. Is there a Gulf War syn-
drome? Lancet 1999;353:179–82.
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health status among Gulf War veterans. JAMA 1997;277:
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6. Coker WJ, Bhatt BM, Blatchley NF, et al. Clinical findings for
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Board of Directors. Idiopathic environmental intolerances. J
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11. Kreutzer R, Neutra RR, Lashuay N. Prevalence of people
reporting sensitivities to chemicals in a population-based sur-
vey. Am J Epidemiol 1999;150:1–12.
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Symptom Checklist (HSCL): a self-report symptom inventory.
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Care 1992;30:473–83.
16. Keane TM, Caddell JM, Taylor KL. Mississippi Scale for
Combat-related Posttraumatic Stress Disorder: three studies in
reliability and validity. J Consult Clin Psychol 1988;56:85–90.
17. Fukuda K, Straus S, Hickie I, et al. The chronic fatigue syn-
drome: a comprehensive approach to its definition and study.
Ann Intern Med 1994;121:953–9.
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toms, somatic symptoms, and psychiatric disorder in chronic
fatigue and chronic fatigue syndrome: a prospective study in
the primary care setting. Am J Psychiatry 1996;153:1050–9.
19. Simon GE, Daniell W, Stockbridge H, et al. Immunologic,
psychological, and neuropsychological factors in multiple
chemical sensitivity. Ann Intern Med 1993;119:97–103.
20. Kipen H, Hallman W, Kelly-McNeil K, et al. Measuring
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21. StataCorp. Stata statistical software: release 5.0. (5). College
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somatization to the concept of chronic fatigue syndrome. In:
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Marcel Dekker, 1994:329–449.
23. Haley RW, Kurt TL. Self-reported exposure to neurotoxic chem-
ical combinations in the Gulf War. JAMA 1997;277:231–7.
24. Kipen HM, Hallman W, Kang H, et al. Prevalence of chronic
fatigue and chemical sensitivities in Gulf Registry veterans.
Arch Environ Health 1999;54:313–17.
25. Hotopf M. Epidemiology of fatigue and chronic fatigue syn-
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chronic fatigue in San Francisco. Am J Med 1998;105:83S–90S.
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ture. Environ Health Perspect 1997;105 (Suppl. 2):409–15.
28. Buchwald D, Garrity D. Comparison of patients with CFS,
FMS and multiple chemical sensitivity. Arch Intern Med 1994;
154:2049–53.
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Multiple Chemical Sensitivity & Chronic Fatigue Syndrome in British Gulf War Veterans

  • 1. American Journal of Epidemiology Copyright © 2001 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health All rights reserved 604 Vol. 153, No. 6 Printed in U.S.A. Medically Unexplained Syndromes in British Gulf Veterans Reid et al. Multiple Chemical Sensitivity and Chronic Fatigue Syndrome in British Gulf War Veterans Steven Reid,1 Matthew Hotopf,1 Lisa Hull,2 Khalida Ismail,1 Catherine Unwin,2 and Simon Wessely1 The objective of this study was to measure the prevalence of multiple chemical sensitivity (MCS) and chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) in British Gulf War veterans and to investigate their association with reported exposures and psychologic morbidity. In 1997–1998, the authors undertook a cross-sectional survey of three cohorts of British military personnel comprising Gulf veterans (n = 3,531), those who had served in Bosnia (n = 2,050), and those serving during the Gulf War but not deployed there (Era cohort, n = 2,614). MCS and CFS were defined according to operational criteria. The prevalence of MCS in the Gulf, Bosnia, and Era cohorts was 1.3%, 0.3%, and 0.2%, respectively. For CFS, the prevalence was 2.1% (Gulf cohort), 0.7% (Bosnia cohort), and 1.8% (Era cohort). In Gulf veterans, MCS was strongly associated with exposure to pesticides (adjusted odds ratio = 12.3, 95% confidence interval: 5.1, 30.0). Both syndromes were associated with high levels of psychologic morbidity. These findings suggest that CFS and MCS account for some of the medically unexplained illnesses reported by veterans after deployment to the Gulf. MCS was particularly associated with Gulf deployment and self-reported exposure to pesticides, findings that merit further exploration given the controversial status of this diagnosis and the potential for recall bias in a questionnaire survey. Am J Epidemiol 2001;153:604–9. fatigue syndrome, chronic; multiple chemical sensitivity; occupational exposure; Persian Gulf syndrome Received for publication February 3, 2000, and accepted for pub- lication June 22, 2000. Abbreviations: CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; CFS, chronic fatigue syndrome; MCS, multiple chemical sensitivity. 1 Guy’s King’s and St.Thomas’ School of Medicine and Institute of Psychiatry, London, United Kingdom. 2 Gulf War Illness Research Unit, Guy’s King’s and St. Thomas’ School of Medicine, London, United Kingdom. Reprint requests to Dr. Steven Reid, Academic Department of Psychological Medicine, Guy’s King’s and St. Thomas’ School of Medicine and Institute of Psychiatry, 103 Denmark Hill, London, United Kingdom SE5 8AZ. Since the end of the Gulf War, many veterans have developed illnesses that they have attributed to their mili- tary service. Of particular concern is the possibility that exposure to biological, chemical, or other environmental hazards may be responsible. While it is now clear that Gulf veterans report higher rates of symptoms than do service personnel who were not deployed in the Gulf (1–6), the existence of a specific “Gulf War syndrome” has not been conclusively demonstrated (1, 2, 4). At the same time, there have been numerous anecdotal reports of veterans presenting with medically unexplained, multisymptom conditions, such as chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) and multiple chemical sensitivity (MCS). MCS is characterized by the reporting of a wide variety of symptoms that are attributed to chemical exposure or sensi- tivity in the absence of accompanying physical signs or bio- medical test abnormalities (7). Despite a lack of convincing evidence, abnormalities of the central nervous system or immune dysfunction have been implicated in its etiology. The status of MCS is viewed with scepticism by many, and several authoritative reports have questioned its validity (8–10) . MCS has yet to make a significant impact in the United Kingdom. This is in sharp contrast to the situation in the United States, Canada, and Germany. Even though the diagnosis remains highly controversial in professional cir- cles in these countries, it is in widespread use. A recent epi- demiologic study reported that 6 percent of a surveyed population had been given a diagnosis of MCS by their physician (11). In this paper, we report the prevalence of MCS and CFS, according to operational criteria, in the British Gulf War vet- eran population. The relations between these diagnoses and various exposures are explored, as are their associations with psychologic morbidity. MATERIALS AND METHODS The sample was obtained from a cross-sectional postal sur- vey, conducted in 1997–1998, comparing three cohorts of British military personnel: veterans deployed to the Gulf War, veterans who served in the first four regiments deployed to the Bosnia conflict, and veterans in active service on January 1, 1991, but not deployed to the Gulf War (Era cohort). Respondents who had served in both the Gulf War and the Bosnia conflict were defined as veterans of the Gulf War and included in that cohort. Details of stratification, methods of selection, and tracing are described in an earlier paper (3). After three mailings, the overall response rate was 65.1 per- byguestonFebruary5,2015http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/Downloadedfrom
  • 2. Medically Unexplained Syndromes in British Gulf Veterans 605 Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001 cent (8,195/12,592), rising to 70.0 percent (n ϭ 3,531/5,046) for those serving in the Gulf. In addition to demographic details and exposure history (29 items), the questionnaire con- tained several measures of current health status, including a checklist of 50 symptoms (12) and 39 medical disorders, the General Health Questionnaire (13) (a measure of psychiatric morbidity), a fatigue questionnaire (14), the Short Form-36 (SF-36, a health status questionnaire) (15), and an approxi- mation of posttraumatic stress disorder, which we refer to as posttraumatic stress reaction (16). Included in the list of med- ical disorders were questions asking whether, after active ser- vice, participants had suffered from 1) CFS (myalgic encephalomyelitis) or 2) MCS/environmental illness. To estimate prevalence numbers, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) diagnosis of CFS (17) was derived from a combination of “caseness” according to the fatigue questionnaire and the SF-36 measure of functional disability. This method of case identification has been used in previous population studies of CFS (18). For MCS, cases were defined by the operational criteria used by Simon et al. (19) in a case-control study of the illness. These criteria require that symptoms are reported in at least three organ systems, including the central nervous system, for a duration of 3 months or more and that there is reported sensitivity to four or more substances from a list of 14, including fresh paint, hair spray, and solvent fumes. The present questionnaire included 11 substances derived from a shortened measure of symptoms of possible chemical sensitivity (20). Data were analyzed using STATA (version 5.0) (21). The prevalence of both illnesses was calculated for the three cohorts—Gulf War, Bosnia, and Era. For the Gulf War cohort, veterans fulfilling the criteria for CFS and MCS (cases) were compared with those self-reporting the diagno- sis. Proportions of exposures and health outcomes were compared in those defined as cases, using odds ratios and 95 percent confidence intervals. Logistic regression analysis was used to control for potential confounders. RESULTS Both CFS and MCS were more frequent in the Gulf cohort (tables 1 and 2), although the prevalence of CFS in the Era cohort was not significantly different from that in the Gulf War cohort. Further analyses were restricted to the Gulf War veterans. Demographic characteristics of the veterans who fulfilled the criteria for CFS and MCS are shown in table 3. For CFS, cases did not differ from noncases in terms of gender or age or by primary duty. However, non-White veterans were more likely to be cases, as were those who were separated, divorced, or widowed and those with lower educational attainment. Current unemployment, being discharged from the service, and being of nonofficer rank were also associ- ated with being a case. For MCS, educational attainment was the only demographic characteristic for which there was a significant association, with those achieving a lower edu- cational attainment more likely to be cases. Again, current unemployment and being discharged from the service were also associated with the diagnosis. For veterans who fulfilled case definitions, seven of the 76 CFS cases (9.6 percent) also met the criteria for MCS. Conversely, seven of 46 (15.2 percent) MCS cases met the criteria for CFS. Of the 113 who self-reported CFS, 12 (10.6 percent) fulfilled operational criteria for CFS. Twelve (16.4 percent) of the 73 operationally defined cases of CFS also self-reported the diagnosis. Of the 27 who self-reported MCS, eight (29.6 percent) fulfilled oper- ational criteria of MCS. Eight (17.4 percent) of the 46 operationally defined cases of MCS also self-reported the diagnosis. We compared self-reported diagnoses with caseness ascertained by operational criteria using kappa TABLE 1. Prevalence of medically unexplained syndromes by deployment, British military personnel, 1997–1998 Chronic fatigue syndrome Multiple chemical sensitivity Frequency (%) Gulf (n = 3,531) Frequency (%) Frequency (%) 2.1 1.3 * CI, confidence interval. Bosnia (n = 2,050) 95% CI* 95% CI95% CI Era (n = 2,614) 1.6, 2.6 1.0, 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.4, 1.2 0.1, 0.6 1.3, 2.4 0.1, 0.4 1.8 0.2 TABLE 2. Comparison of medically unexplained syndrome prevalences, British military personnel, 1997–1998 Chronic fatigue syndrome Multiple chemical sensitivity Unadjusted OR* Gulf vs. Bosnia Adjusted OR† Unadjusted OR 3.1 4.5 * OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. † Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employment status on follow-up. 95% CI* 95% CI95% CI Gulf vs. Era 1.7, 5.4 1.9, 10.5 2.3 4.5 1.2, 4.3 1.7, 11.8 0.8, 1.7 2.7, 17.4 1.2 6.9 Adjusted OR† 95% CI 0.8, 1.8 2.8, 18.2 1.2 7.2 byguestonFebruary5,2015http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/Downloadedfrom
  • 3. 606 Reid et al. Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001 statistics. For CFS, agreement was 0.11 (p < 0.001), and for MCS, it was 0.21 (p < 0.001), indicating levels of agreement little above chance. For exposures, we found that being a CFS case was most strongly associated with combat-related injury (table 4). There was also an association with exposure to the explo- sion of SCUD missiles, nearby artillery, chemical alarms, witnessing a person’s death, maimed soldiers, and the burn- ing of rubbish/feces. For MCS (table 5), cases were more likely to be associated with the majority of exposures listed. The strength of association with exposures was generally greater, and this was markedly the case for exposure to pes- ticides used either personally or on clothing/bedding. On stratifying for belief in the presence of MCS (self-report), the association with pesticides remained significant (p ϭ 0.014). Both diagnoses were associated with the psycho- logic health outcomes (tables 6 and 7). Approaching 100 percent of subjects with CFS or MCS were cases on the General Health Questionnaire. MCS had a particularly strong association with posttraumatic stress reaction. TABLE 3. Characteristics of Gulf veterans with medically unexplained syndromes, British military personnel, 1997–1998 Gender Male Female Age (years) <25 25–29 30–34 35–39 ≥40 Ethnicity White Non-White Marital status Married or living with partner Never married Separated, divorced, or widowed Education† Below “O” level “O” level “A” level Currently employed Yes No Currently serving in the military Yes No Rank Officer Other ranks Duty in Gulf Combat Signals Medical Logistics Staff Other No. (% with CFS) CFS* OR* No. (% with MCS) 3,295 (2.1) 236 (2.1) 4 (0.0) 986 (2.1) 1,080 (2.1) 707 (1.4) 754 (2.5) 3,480 (2.0) 41 (7.3) 2,627 (1.7) 565 (2.3) 317 (4.7) 645 (3.6) 2,051 (1.5) 730 (1.4) 3,289 (1.3) 174 (16.1) 1,966 (1.1) 1,551 (3.2) 449 (0.2) 1,551 (2.3) 685 (2.0) 235 (2.6) 383 (1.6) 874 (2.8) 112 (0.0) 741 (1.1) * CFS, chronic fatigue syndrome; MCS, multiple chemical sensitivity; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. † “O” level, examinations usually taken at age 16 years and required before “A” level; “A” level, examinations usually taken at age 18 years and required for entry into a university. OR95% CI* MCS* 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.2 3.9 1.0 1.4 2.8 2.7 1.1 1.0 14.8 3.1 10.7 1.0 1.3 0.8 1.4 0.5 0.4, 2.6 0.6, 1.8 0.3, 1.4 0.6, 2.2 1.2, 13.0 0.7, 2.5 1.6, 5.2 1.3, 5.6 0.5, 2.2 8.8, 24.9 1.8, 5.2 1.5, 77.6 0.5, 3.3 0.3, 2.0 0.7, 2.6 0.2, 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.7 1.7 3.1 1.8 1.0 11.4 6.2 3.2 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 3,295 (1.3) 236 (1.7) 4 (0.0) 986 (1.2) 1,080 (1.3) 707 (1.0) 754 (1.7) 3,480 (1.3) 41 (0.0) 2,627 (1.3) 565 (0.9) 317 (2.2) 645 (2.5) 2,051 (1.1) 730 (0.8) 3,289 (0.9) 174 (9.2) 1,966 (0.4) 1,551 (2.4) 449 (0.4) 3,079 (1.4) 685 (2.0) 235 (0.8) 383 (1.3) 874 (1.1) 112 (0.0) 741 (0.7) 95% CI 0.5, 3.8 0.5, 2.3 0.3, 2.1 0.7, 3.1 0.3, 1.8 0.8, 3.9 1.2, 7.9 0.5, 3.2 6.1, 21.4 2.9, 13.2 0.8, 13.4 0.1, 1.8 0.2, 1.8 0.2, 1.2 0.1, 0.9 byguestonFebruary5,2015http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/Downloadedfrom
  • 4. Medically Unexplained Syndromes in British Gulf Veterans 607 Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001 TABLE 4. Association between reported exposures and chronic fatigue syndrome in Gulf veterans, British military personnel, 1997–1998 Diesel or petrochemical fumes NBC* suits Pyridostigmine bromide Exhaust from heaters Smoke from oil fires Hear chemical alarms Personal pesticides Local food Burning rubbish/feces Diesel on skin Dismembered bodies Other paints or solvents Dead animals POWs* Maimed soldiers Pesticides on clothing Chemical/nerve gas attack Mustard gas Combat-related injury Witness anyone dying SCUD missile explosion Small-arms fire Artillery close by Chronic fatigue syndrome Unadjusted OR* 95% CI* 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.9 2.6 1.2 0.8 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.3 2.1 1.4 1.7 2.5 6.1 2.3 2.2 1.3 1.8 * OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; NBC, nuclear, biologic, and chemical warfare; POW, prisoner of war. † Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employment status on follow-up. Adjusted OR† 95% CI 0.6, 2.3 0.8, 3.2 0.8, 3.2 0.7, 2.3 0.5, 1.4 1.3, 5.0 0.7, 2.1 0.5, 1.4 1.2, 3.7 1.2, 3.6 1.1, 3.4 0.8, 2.2 0.8, 2.0 0.8, 2.1 1.3, 3.5 0.9, 2.2 0.9, 3.4 0.9, 7.1 3.6, 10.3 1.4, 3.6 1.4, 3.6 0.8, 2.1 1.2, 2.9 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.1 2.5 1.0 0.9 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.4 2.0 1.2 1.5 1.4 4.1 2.2 2.6 1.3 2.4 0.6, 3.0 0.6, 3.4 0.7, 3.4 0.7, 2.6 0.6, 2.0 1.2, 5.3 0.6, 1.8 0.5, 1.6 1.0, 3.4 1.0, 3.5 0.8, 3.0 0.8, 2.5 0.7, 2.2 0.8, 2.5 1.2, 3.6 0.7, 2.0 0.7, 3.1 0.4, 4.6 2.2, 7.7 1.3, 3.8 1.5, 4.6 0.8, 2.3 1.4, 4.1 TABLE 5. Association between reported exposures and multiple chemical sensitivity in Gulf veterans, British military personnel, 1997–1998 Diesel or petrochemical fumes NBC* suits Pyridostigmine bromide Exhaust from heaters Smoke from oil fires Hear chemical alarms Personal pesticides Local food Burning rubbish/feces Diesel on skin Dismembered bodies Other paints or solvents Dead animals POWs* Maimed soldiers Pesticides on clothing Chemical/nerve gas attack Mustard gas Combat-related injury Witness anyone dying SCUD missile explosion Small-arms fire Artillery close by Multiple chemical sensitivity Unadjusted OR* 95% CI* 1.8 3.3 1.5 2.0 4.3 2.7 10.6 0.8 5.8 1.7 4.5 2.2 2.4 4.3 3.8 11.3 3.8 4.2 3.4 2.3 1.8 2.1 2.8 * OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; NBC, nuclear, biologic, and chemical warfare; POW, prisoner of war. † Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employment status on follow-up. Adjusted OR† 95% CI 0.7, 4.6 1.0, 10.6 0.6, 3.5 0.9, 4.8 1.6, 12.2 1.2, 6.5 2.6, 43.9 0.4, 1.6 2.1, 16.2 0.9, 3.2 1.8, 11.4 1.1, 4.4 1.2, 4.6 2.0, 9.3 1.9, 7.8 4.8, 27.0 1.9, 7.6 1.4, 12.0 1.6, 7.0 1.3, 4.1 1.0, 3.4 1.2, 3.7 1.5, 5.0 2.2 2.8 1.6 2.8 4.6 2.5 10.9 0.9 5.8 1.7 4.2 2.4 3.0 4.0 3.2 12.3 3.2 2.5 2.2 2.2 1.6 2.1 2.7 0.8, 5.9 0.8, 9.2 0.6, 4.0 1.1, 7.5 1.6, 13.3 1.0, 5.9 2.6, 45.8 0.5, 1.7 2.0, 16.7 0.8, 3.6 1.6, 11.0 1.1, 5.1 1.5, 6.1 1.8, 8.9 1.6, 6.5 5.1, 30.0 1.5, 6.7 0.8, 7.9 1.0, 4.9 1.2, 4.2 0.8, 3.0 1.1, 3.9 1.4, 5.0 byguestonFebruary5,2015http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/Downloadedfrom
  • 5. 608 Reid et al. Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001 DISCUSSION This paper reports the first operationally defined preva- lence numbers for CFS (0.7–2.1 percent) and MCS (0.2–1.3 percent) in an epidemiologic survey of British military per- sonnel. Gulf War veterans were at high risk of both disor- ders, although the prevalence of CFS in Gulf War veterans was greater than that in the Bosnia cohort but not in the Era cohort. The limitations of a postal questionnaire survey in this population are discussed in detail in our earlier paper (3). All of the responses were questionnaire based and relied upon self-report, with case definitions being derived from them. The use of MCS as a diagnosis remains the subject of debate, and as such, there is no generally accepted case def- inition (7). Nevertheless, this presentation of multiple unex- plained symptoms does merit investigation, and our use of operational criteria, while not conferring validity, allows group comparisons to be made. The small number of cases of CFS and, particularly, MCS increased the potential for type 2 errors; however, the strengths of this study include the high response rate, the use of two control groups, and the large population-based samples. Very high levels of psychiatric comorbidity were demon- strated in both disorders. Given the results of previous work (19, 22), this is not surprising, although the near-universality of morbidity as measured by the General Health Question- naire is a notable finding. As one would expect, subjects with MCS were more likely to report exposures during their deployment than were other veterans. CFS was significantly associated with fewer exposures. The exposures reported cover a broad range— dead bodies, maimed soldiers, burning rubbish, etc. However, a striking finding was that of the strong associa- tion (12-fold increase in risk) between MCS and pesticides (in the form of creams, sprays, flea collars, or contaminated bedding and clothing). There was no similar association with CFS. Pesticide exposure is widely considered to be a precipitant of MCS, although conclusive evidence for this is lacking (7). The use of pesticides has also been implicated as a potential cause of chronic ill health in Gulf War veter- ans (23). The cross-sectional nature of this study, as well as the difficulties of verification of reported exposure, prevents conclusions from being drawn about causality. In addition, other chemical exposures—contact with diesel, paints, sol- vents, or toxic gases—did not show a similar degree of asso- ciation. Theories about MCS would suggest that these should be similarly associated with symptoms, but media coverage in the United Kingdom has been largely confined to the pesticide question, suggesting that recall bias may be relevant, regardless of whether the subjects have given their symptoms the MCS label. CFS and MCS have been investigated by questionnaire survey in previous studies of Gulf War veterans (1, 5, 24). In our systematic, epidemiologic study (3), 3.2 percent of Gulf War veterans believed or had been told that they had CFS, with 0.8 percent reporting MCS. The Iowa Persian Gulf Study Group (5) found that from 1 percent (regular military) to 2.9 percent (reservist) of Gulf War veterans reported symptoms of chronic fatigue as opposed to 0.2–1.1 percent in non-Gulf War veterans. Five percent of Gulf War veterans (2 percent of non-Gulf War veterans) reported symptoms of chemical sensitivity in the study by Fukuda et al. (1). They also interviewed a sample of the Gulf War veterans and, using the CDC criteria for CFS (17), estimated a prevalence of 5 percent. Kipen et al. (24) reported on 1,161 members of the Veteran Affairs’ Gulf Registry who responded to a ques- tionnaire survey. Sixteen percent of the veterans reported symptoms of CFS, as defined by the CDC, and 13 percent reported symptoms of MCS. That our study has found a con- siderably lower prevalence of both conditions may reflect the role of selection bias in the sample of Kipen et al. (24), with registry examination being voluntary. Although our prevalence number is lower than that reported by Fukuda et al. (1) in Gulf War veterans, it is higher than many of the estimates made in civilian population studies (25). CFS was predicted by lower educational attainment, nonofficer rank (indicators of socioeconomic status), and non-White ethnic- ity, findings that are supported by previous work (26). This adds to the evidence that the apparent excess of White mid- dle classes reported from every specialist clinic to date is due to referral/selection bias and is not a true risk factor. An association with female gender is a consistent finding in CFS. The lack of association in this study may be explained by the small number of women in the sample. It has been suggested that CFS may be more common among health professionals, but we found no association with those whose primary duty was in the medical services. For MCS, there was an association with lower educational attainment and with military rank, although this did not reach statistical sig- nificance. The lack of association with sociodemographic characteristics corresponds to the population-based survey TABLE 6. Odds ratios for health outcomes in chronic fatigue syndrome, British military personnel, 1997–1998 GHQ* PTSR* Unadjusted OR* No. with CFS* (% cases) 95% CI* 72 (93.1) 73 (50.7) * CFS, chronic fatigue syndrome; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; GHQ, General Health Questionnaire; PTSR, postraumatic stress reaction. † Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employ- ment status on follow-up. Adjusted OR† 95% CI 21.6 7.3 8.7, 53.8 4.6, 1.7 6.4, 66.9 2.6, 7.9 20.7 4.5 TABLE 7. Odds ratios for health outcomes in multiple chemical sensitivity, British military personnel, 1997–1998 GHQ* PTSR* Unadjusted OR* No. with MCS* (% cases) 95% CI* 45 (95.6) 46 (73.9) * MCS, multiple chemical sensitivity; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence inter- val; GHQ, General Health Questionnaire; PTSR, postraumatic stress reaction. † Controlled for gender, age, marital status, education, rank, and employ- ment status on follow-up. Adjusted OR† 95% CI 34.1 20.2 8.2, 141.0 10.4, 39.2 5.8, 102.2 7.2, 26.6 24.4 14.6 byguestonFebruary5,2015http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/Downloadedfrom
  • 6. Medically Unexplained Syndromes in British Gulf Veterans 609 Am J Epidemiol Vol. 153, No. 6, 2001 by Kreutzer et al. (11). This contrasts with clinic-based stud- ies that again report that above-average education and high socioeconomic status are hallmarks of this illness (27). Indeed, the peculiar socioeconomic distribution of MCS in specialist clinics, which is the reverse of that expected if MCS is an occupational disease, may again be a product of selection bias. Overlap between the two conditions was less frequent than was observed by others (28). Even more striking was the marked discrepancy between self-defined report of suffering from either MCS or CFS and fulfilling operational criteria. As has been previously argued (29), operational definitions and self-reported diagnoses are two almost entirely different enti- ties. This has implications for future epidemiologic studies in which diagnoses are made by self-report. In conclusion, the results of this study indicate that symp- toms attributed to CFS and MCS may account for some of the medically unexplained illnesses reported by British veterans after deployment to the Gulf. The prevalence of CFS in Gulf War veteran populations is higher than that in civilian popu- lation-based studies. However, the prevalence in the Era cohort is also relatively high. This raises the question that CFS may be associated with military service, although another explanation is that the increased prevalence is a result of the social class distribution in that population. Unlike CFS, MCS appears to be particularly associated with service in the Gulf. MCS has not previously been reported in a British pop- ulation study, yet it appears that this pattern of symptoms is present although not attracting that particular label. The rela- tion between MCS and pesticide exposure deserves further exploration, particularly in light of the controversy surround- ing the etiology and status of this syndrome. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Supported by the US Department of Defense. The authors thank the United Kingdom Ministry of Defence for assistance in identifying and tracing the participants. The views expressed here are the authors’ and not those of any US government organization. REFERENCES 1. Fukuda K, Nisenbaum R, Stewart G, et al. Chronic multi- symptom illness affecting air force veterans of the Gulf War. JAMA 1998;280:981–8. 2. Haley RW, Kurt TL, Hom J. Is there a Gulf War syndrome? JAMA 1997;277:215–22. 3. Unwin C, Blatchley N, Coker W, et al. Health of UK servicemen who served in Persian Gulf War. Lancet 1999;353:169–78. 4. Ismail K, Everitt B, Blatchley N, et al. Is there a Gulf War syn- drome? Lancet 1999;353:179–82. 5. The Iowan Persian Gulf Study Group. 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