ABSTRACT: Behavioral finance is the study of the influence of psychology on the behavior of financial practitioners and the subsequent effect on markets. It is of interest because it helps explain why and how markets might be inefficient.
There is an abundant literature in finance on overconfidence, however there exists a different psychological trait well known to financial practitioners and psychologists. Which is optimism. This trait has received little attention. Our paper analyses the
consequences of optimism and pessimism on financial markets. We develop a general model of optimism/pessimism where M unrealistic informed traders and N realistic informed traders trade a risky asset with competitive market makers.
This are the slides for an introductory lecture on behavioural law and economics I gave as part of the economic analysis of law unit at the University of Bristol Law School in March 2017.
Israel reformed its intelligence community in the 1990s in response to changing threats from non-state actors. Reforms included adopting systemic thinking over inductive analysis, restructuring analysis units, and improving relationships between analysts and decision-makers. Systemic thinking looks at interactions between all variables and common patterns across a system. It helps analysts avoid mirror-imaging and develop more comprehensive assessments. Key reforms also focused on recruitment of creative thinkers and leadership training for analysts.
Corporate Social Responsibility or Corporate Shared Value? Perceptions of Fu...John North
Flawed as many of the existing economic and financial assumptions may be, a new system of capitalism such as proposed by Porter (2011) in his model of Corporate Shared Value (CSV) to replace the older model of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR), will only take root if both the hearts and minds of future generations of financial business leaders are convinced of their cogency and appropriateness. This paper reports the findings of an empirical study utilizing a Likert-type scale designed to measure CSV and CSR preferences among a sample of fourth year accountancy students.
Professor D. A. L Coldwell B.Sc.(Soc) (London), BA (Economics), MA. D.Litt et Phil (Unisa) FCIPD (London), is currently Head of the Division of Management and Human Resources Management at the School of Economic and Business Sciences at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg He has worked as a researcher for the CSIR and as a research consultant for the Chamber of Mines Research Organisation in Johannesburg. He has also served as a Visiting Professor at the Open University in Milton Keynes, London. Professor Coldwell has produced and acted as contributor to books and written numerous articles in national and international journals. He also sits on the editorial Boards of several national and international Management journals and is a NRF reviewer.
This document discusses approaches to causality in economics and econometrics. It distinguishes between associational models, which establish statistical associations, and causal models, which aim to establish causal relations. Causal models require both statistical information about dependencies from data as well as causal information about mechanisms. A causal interpretation depends on the validity of the entire model, including whether the posited mechanisms provide a good explanation for the observed statistical dependencies. The document advocates an evidential pluralism where multiple lines of evidence, including evidence of difference-making through statistical analysis and evidence of mechanisms, are needed to make valid causal claims.
PROBING THE WORLD OF PPP INCENTIVES 1252016Neil Boyle
This document provides an overview of the transaction cost economics (TCE) framework for analyzing public-private partnership (PPP) infrastructure projects. Some key points:
1) TCE represents the work of prominent economists and was developed by Oliver Williamson to better understand the organization of production compared to neoclassical economics. It focuses on contracts, transaction costs, and governance structures.
2) Applying TCE to PPPs, specialized or non-standard assets create complex incentives and "contract hazards" due to incomplete contracts and bilateral dependence between parties. Governance structures like long-term contracts and hierarchies arise to manage these issues.
3) For a successful PPP, credible commitments negotiated between public and private partners
This document provides an overview of the history and major works in the field of behavioural finance. It discusses early works from the late 19th/early 20th century exploring the psychology of markets. Major developments include prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky in the 1970s, which found people overweight small probabilities and are loss averse. Their work on heuristics and biases also showed how psychology influences judgments. Behavioural concepts like mental accounting and overreaction have since helped explain apparent market inefficiencies. The field continues to incorporate psychological findings to better understand financial decision making.
There is an abundant literature in finance on overconfidence, however there exists a different psychological trait well known to financial practitioners and psychologists. Which is optimism. This trait has received little attention. Our paper analyses the
consequences of optimism and pessimism on financial markets. We develop a general model of optimism/pessimism where M unrealistic informed traders and N realistic informed traders trade a risky asset with competitive market makers.
This are the slides for an introductory lecture on behavioural law and economics I gave as part of the economic analysis of law unit at the University of Bristol Law School in March 2017.
Israel reformed its intelligence community in the 1990s in response to changing threats from non-state actors. Reforms included adopting systemic thinking over inductive analysis, restructuring analysis units, and improving relationships between analysts and decision-makers. Systemic thinking looks at interactions between all variables and common patterns across a system. It helps analysts avoid mirror-imaging and develop more comprehensive assessments. Key reforms also focused on recruitment of creative thinkers and leadership training for analysts.
Corporate Social Responsibility or Corporate Shared Value? Perceptions of Fu...John North
Flawed as many of the existing economic and financial assumptions may be, a new system of capitalism such as proposed by Porter (2011) in his model of Corporate Shared Value (CSV) to replace the older model of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR), will only take root if both the hearts and minds of future generations of financial business leaders are convinced of their cogency and appropriateness. This paper reports the findings of an empirical study utilizing a Likert-type scale designed to measure CSV and CSR preferences among a sample of fourth year accountancy students.
Professor D. A. L Coldwell B.Sc.(Soc) (London), BA (Economics), MA. D.Litt et Phil (Unisa) FCIPD (London), is currently Head of the Division of Management and Human Resources Management at the School of Economic and Business Sciences at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg He has worked as a researcher for the CSIR and as a research consultant for the Chamber of Mines Research Organisation in Johannesburg. He has also served as a Visiting Professor at the Open University in Milton Keynes, London. Professor Coldwell has produced and acted as contributor to books and written numerous articles in national and international journals. He also sits on the editorial Boards of several national and international Management journals and is a NRF reviewer.
This document discusses approaches to causality in economics and econometrics. It distinguishes between associational models, which establish statistical associations, and causal models, which aim to establish causal relations. Causal models require both statistical information about dependencies from data as well as causal information about mechanisms. A causal interpretation depends on the validity of the entire model, including whether the posited mechanisms provide a good explanation for the observed statistical dependencies. The document advocates an evidential pluralism where multiple lines of evidence, including evidence of difference-making through statistical analysis and evidence of mechanisms, are needed to make valid causal claims.
PROBING THE WORLD OF PPP INCENTIVES 1252016Neil Boyle
This document provides an overview of the transaction cost economics (TCE) framework for analyzing public-private partnership (PPP) infrastructure projects. Some key points:
1) TCE represents the work of prominent economists and was developed by Oliver Williamson to better understand the organization of production compared to neoclassical economics. It focuses on contracts, transaction costs, and governance structures.
2) Applying TCE to PPPs, specialized or non-standard assets create complex incentives and "contract hazards" due to incomplete contracts and bilateral dependence between parties. Governance structures like long-term contracts and hierarchies arise to manage these issues.
3) For a successful PPP, credible commitments negotiated between public and private partners
This document provides an overview of the history and major works in the field of behavioural finance. It discusses early works from the late 19th/early 20th century exploring the psychology of markets. Major developments include prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky in the 1970s, which found people overweight small probabilities and are loss averse. Their work on heuristics and biases also showed how psychology influences judgments. Behavioural concepts like mental accounting and overreaction have since helped explain apparent market inefficiencies. The field continues to incorporate psychological findings to better understand financial decision making.
UNDERSTANDING DECISION/ GAME THEORY FOR BETTER RISK ASSESSMENT.Kaustav Lahiri
1) Decision theory is concerned with identifying values, uncertainties, and other factors relevant to a given decision in order to determine the optimal decision. It is closely related to game theory.
2) Normative decision theory aims to identify the best decision assuming perfect rationality, while descriptive decision theory describes actual decision-making behaviors under consistent rules.
3) Choices can involve certainty, uncertainty over time, interactions between decision makers, or complex situations. Different representations like extensive form, normal form, and characteristic function form are used to model different types of decisions.
Kahneman 2003 psychological perspective on economicsNelsio Abreu
1) The psychological assumptions of economics, such as rationality and selfishness, differ greatly from those of psychology. However, developments in behavioral economics have begun to incorporate more psychological assumptions.
2) Experiments on games like the ultimatum game show that people are not purely selfish but also care about fairness and reciprocity. New models incorporate motivations like fairness, trust, and willingness to punish unfairness.
3) While rationality was always an approximation, challenges from psychology have shown that preferences are often not stable and can be influenced by framing and reference points in violation of rationality assumptions. New models explore bounded rationality and specific contexts where rationality may break down.
Bridging the Gap between Psychology and Economics: The Role of Behavioral Fin...inventionjournals
This article is a descriptive presentation of how behavioral finance plays key role in providing insight into how individuals’ investment behavior typically deviates from traditional economic theories. The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and capital asset pricing model (CAPM) theories have gained prominence in modern finance platform. The adequacy of these popular, rational-based behavior theories has however, remained skeptical among many scholars including Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky, and Richard H. Thaler. While the EMH and CAPM theories have contributed significantly to the investment world, some scholars contend the theories fail to fully explain certain inconsistent behaviors exhibited in the investment world. Behavioral finance is a new theory that attempts to fill the void between psychology and economics by providing a better understanding of investor behavior through the theories of psychology. Investment decisions are impacted by an array of irrational behavioral biases. The article identifies some finance and economic theory anomalies such as the January effect, equity premium puzzle, and others, which shift away from the traditional economic theories. Understanding these anomalies not only would assist individuals have a sense of how investors generally behave in the investment arena but also would help in efficient capital allocation.
The portfolio choice in emergent markets a rational or a behavioral decisionAlexander Decker
This document summarizes a study that explores the relationship between rational mean-variance portfolio theory and behavioral portfolio theory from an investor's perspective. The study uses cognitive mapping interviews with 30 Tunisian investors to understand how they perceive key concepts from each theory. The cognitive maps are analyzed to identify interactions and "zones of communication" between concepts from the two theories. Preliminary results suggest investors use mean-variance concepts but are also influenced by behavioral biases and emotions. The study aims to provide a more realistic description of how investors make portfolio choices by combining elements of both rational and behavioral approaches.
11.the portfolio choice in emergent markets a rational or a behavioral decisionAlexander Decker
This document summarizes a study that explores the relationship between rational mean-variance portfolio theory and behavioral portfolio theory from an investor's perspective. The study uses cognitive mapping interviews with 30 Tunisian investors to understand how they perceive key concepts from each theory. The cognitive maps are analyzed to identify interactions between concepts and "zones of communication" between the two theories. Preliminary results suggest investors use mean-variance concepts but are also influenced by behavioral biases and emotions. The study aims to provide a more realistic description of how investors make portfolio choices by combining elements of both rational and behavioral approaches.
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges Kamaljit Singh
1. The document discusses recent trends in behavioural finance, including nudging policies like prize-linked savings accounts, mental accounting, cognitive biases, framing issues, anchoring, subconscious decision-making, and impact investing.
2. It also covers the risky shift effect, changes in sociological behavior, algorithmic trading, and the relationship between risk tolerance and risk perception.
3. Recent trends in behavioural finance examine how human psychology and social factors influence financial decision-making in areas like risk-taking, framing, memory biases, and subconscious preferences.
The document provides an introduction to behavioral finance, including:
1) Behavioral finance uses insights from psychology to understand puzzling stock market phenomena not explained by traditional finance which assumes rational markets and investors.
2) Some key objectives of behavioral finance are to review issues with standard finance, examine theories of both approaches, and identify investor personalities.
3) Major figures who helped develop behavioral finance include Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky who formulated prospect theory as an alternative to models assuming rational choices.
This is a Behavioral Finance Lesson material which delivered by me for PhD students of Faculty of Business Administration in Karvina, Silesian University.
Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky developed prospect theory in 1979 as a psychologically realistic alternative to expected utility theory to describe how people make choices involving risk. Prospect theory incorporates cognitive biases like loss aversion and probability weighting to account for behaviors that contradict economic models' assumptions. Kahneman later explored hedonic psychology and found people's remembered well-being differs from their actual experienced well-being over time. His work established the foundations for behavioral economics by revealing unconscious errors in human judgment.
Effect of Psychological Dispositions on Intuitive Forecasting: An Experiment...inventionjournals
International Journal of Business and Management Invention (IJBMI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Business and Management. IJBMI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Business and Management, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
6. business performance and indian school of business 60-68Alexander Decker
This document discusses how behavioral finance can help explain the global financial crisis. It summarizes research showing limits to rational arbitrage in financial markets and how investor psychology can lead to irrational behavior. Specifically, it draws on models of "information cascades" and "limits to arbitrage" to explain the housing bubble and subsequent crisis. The housing bubble was driven by extravagant expectations of endless price increases, fueled by easy credit standards and complex financial products. This psychology of optimism formed a feedback loop that further drove prices up. Limits to arbitrage meant deviations from fundamentals could persist. Overall, behavioral finance provides insight into the irrational decisions and market outcomes that precipitated the crisis.
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptxMubashirAli440246
The document discusses the key assumptions and models of traditional finance, and the emergence of behavioral finance as an alternative approach. Specifically, it notes that traditional finance is based on the assumptions that investors are rational and markets are efficient. However, behavioral finance challenges this by incorporating insights from psychology about how cognitive biases and emotions can influence actual investor behavior and decision-making in irrational ways. As a result, behavioral finance questions some of the predictions of models like the efficient market hypothesis.
Behavioral finance is the study of how psychology affects the behavior of investors and financial markets. It challenges the assumption of traditional finance that investors are always rational. Behavioral finance argues that investors are influenced by cognitive biases and emotions and do not always act rationally. Some of the major theories of behavioral finance include prospect theory, which shows how risk is viewed differently depending on whether the context is gains or losses, and anchoring bias, where investors rely too heavily on recent information. Behavioral finance aims to understand both how individual investors behave and how their aggregate behaviors impact market outcomes.
This document discusses several theories of stock market fluctuations:
1) The efficient market hypothesis which states prices reflect all known information and movements are due to new information.
2) The random walk hypothesis which claims fluctuations are totally random and unpredictable.
3) Behavioral economics perspectives which emphasize the role of human psychology in driving mass movements.
It also examines the work of Fama on market efficiency forms, Malkiel's refutation of fundamental and technical analysis, and Taleb's criticisms of attempts to explain movements with structured models. The document aims to statistically test and potentially refute these theories of market predictability.
This document discusses behavioral finance and how it differs from traditional finance. It provides 3 key points:
1) Behavioral finance analyzes how psychology and human behavior influence financial decisions and markets. It recognizes that investors are normal and make cognitive and emotional errors, not perfectly rational as traditional theory assumes.
2) Behavioral portfolio theory divides investments into mental accounts for different goals, like retirement or becoming wealthy. Investors have different risk attitudes for different goals.
3) The behavioral asset pricing model suggests stocks with desirable characteristics that investors prefer, like large stable companies, will have lower returns. Stocks investors dislike may have higher returns if sentiment rather than just risk drives prices.
This document discusses behavioral finance and how psychology influences investor behavior. It introduces several key concepts:
1) Behavioral finance augments standard finance by incorporating psychological factors into how investors make decisions. This helps explain apparent market inefficiencies.
2) Investors are "normal" rather than fully rational. They use mental accounting and make portfolio decisions based on goals rather than just risk and return.
3) Behavioral asset pricing models suggest stocks with desirable characteristics like large size and high growth have lower expected returns due to investor preferences, rather than just their risk level.
The document discusses the emergence of behavioral finance as an alternative to traditional finance models. Traditional finance assumes rational decision-making, while behavioral finance recognizes psychological and emotional factors that can lead to irrational behavior. Key differences include traditional finance assuming perfect processing of information versus behavioral finance recognizing cognitive biases. Additionally, traditional finance sees framing as inconsequential while behavioral finance finds perceptions influenced by framing. The document then examines specific cognitive biases like representativeness, overconfidence, anchoring, ambiguity aversion, and innumeracy that impact decisions. It also discusses the concepts of prospect theory and mental accounting in relation to framing dependence.
On the Use of the Causal Analysis in Small Type Fit Indices of Adult Mathemat...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Model evaluation is one of the most important aspects of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). Many model fit indices have been developed. It is not an exaggeration to say that nearly every publication using the SEM methodology has reported at least one fit index. Fit is the ability of a model to reproduce the data in the variance-covariance matrix form. A good fitting model is one that is reasonably consistent with the data and doesn’t require respecification and also its measurement model is required before estimating paths in a covariance structure model. A baseline model of four constructs together with a combination of none, one, two, three or four additional constructs was constructed with latent variables: educational performance, socioeconomic label, self concept and parental authority using dichotomous digits 0 or 1 for each additional construct. 16 progressively nested models were considered starting with baseline model using the mathematics adult learners data from the modeling sample and employing some small fit indexes which are commonly used (AIC, CAIC, RMR, SRMR, RMSEA, 2 / DF among others) [1] to test the fitness of the model. The measures of model fit based on results from analysis of the covariance structure model are presented.
The Sov’reign Shrine of Veiled Melancholy- The Shadow of Consumption on La Be...QUESTJOURNAL
This document summarizes a research paper about John Keats' poem "La Belle Dame Sans Merci" and how it reflects his struggle with tuberculosis. It provides historical context about tuberculosis in the early 19th century, when it was a major epidemic in Europe and seen as linked to creativity. It describes how Keats' life was affected by tuberculosis, with his mother and brother dying from it. Keats himself showed early symptoms of the disease in 1820. The paper analyzes how La Belle Dame Sans Merci can be seen as a representation of tuberculosis and Keats' preoccupation with mortality. It explores how themes of death and the briefness of life were central to Romantic poetry and sensibilities.
Recruitment Practices And Staff Performance In Public Universities: A Case St...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Recruitment, as a human resource management function, is one of the activities that impact most critically on the performance of any organization irrespective of its size and location. Public Universities, known to train professionals that exhibit transformative leadership and successfully run blue-chip companies have equally suffered from rampart industrial unrest and human resource malpractices across Kenya. Could it be a unique trend of organizational deviance that could be reflecting absence of a well executed staff recruitment practice? While it is understood and accepted that poor recruitment decisions continue to affect organizational performance and limit goal achievement, knowledge about this aspect in Public Universities remains scanty. The aim of this study was to address this gap by evaluating how recruitment practices affect performance of administrative staff in Public Universities using Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology, Kenya as a case reference. A cross-sectional survey design was employed while sampling strategy was a blend of multiphase, stratified and purposive sampling. A sample size of 124 out of 1150 comprised mainly of administrative staff was used and that a questionnaire was the principal tool of data collection. Results were analyzed using frequency tables, mean, standard deviation and simple linear regression. The study found that a recruitment policy existed at Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology, Kenya and that both external and internal recruitment practices were used to recruit employees at the University. However, it was noted that most of the university employees are recruited through media advert, internal advertisement, through transfers and promotions. The results of the regression indicated that recruitment practices are a significant predictor of employee performance, which was explained by 32% of variance and a moderate relationship captured by beta weight value of 0.57. On effectiveness of the recruitment policy, only 30% rated it as effective while 62% were indifferent and 8% rated it ineffective. The study concluded that although a significant relationship between recruitment practices and employee performance existed, it’s effectiveness and therefore positive impact on employee performance depended on employees’ positive perception and rating. It’s recommended that the Universities should avoid biasness in the recruitment process as this will negatively impact on employee performance.
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UNDERSTANDING DECISION/ GAME THEORY FOR BETTER RISK ASSESSMENT.Kaustav Lahiri
1) Decision theory is concerned with identifying values, uncertainties, and other factors relevant to a given decision in order to determine the optimal decision. It is closely related to game theory.
2) Normative decision theory aims to identify the best decision assuming perfect rationality, while descriptive decision theory describes actual decision-making behaviors under consistent rules.
3) Choices can involve certainty, uncertainty over time, interactions between decision makers, or complex situations. Different representations like extensive form, normal form, and characteristic function form are used to model different types of decisions.
Kahneman 2003 psychological perspective on economicsNelsio Abreu
1) The psychological assumptions of economics, such as rationality and selfishness, differ greatly from those of psychology. However, developments in behavioral economics have begun to incorporate more psychological assumptions.
2) Experiments on games like the ultimatum game show that people are not purely selfish but also care about fairness and reciprocity. New models incorporate motivations like fairness, trust, and willingness to punish unfairness.
3) While rationality was always an approximation, challenges from psychology have shown that preferences are often not stable and can be influenced by framing and reference points in violation of rationality assumptions. New models explore bounded rationality and specific contexts where rationality may break down.
Bridging the Gap between Psychology and Economics: The Role of Behavioral Fin...inventionjournals
This article is a descriptive presentation of how behavioral finance plays key role in providing insight into how individuals’ investment behavior typically deviates from traditional economic theories. The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and capital asset pricing model (CAPM) theories have gained prominence in modern finance platform. The adequacy of these popular, rational-based behavior theories has however, remained skeptical among many scholars including Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky, and Richard H. Thaler. While the EMH and CAPM theories have contributed significantly to the investment world, some scholars contend the theories fail to fully explain certain inconsistent behaviors exhibited in the investment world. Behavioral finance is a new theory that attempts to fill the void between psychology and economics by providing a better understanding of investor behavior through the theories of psychology. Investment decisions are impacted by an array of irrational behavioral biases. The article identifies some finance and economic theory anomalies such as the January effect, equity premium puzzle, and others, which shift away from the traditional economic theories. Understanding these anomalies not only would assist individuals have a sense of how investors generally behave in the investment arena but also would help in efficient capital allocation.
The portfolio choice in emergent markets a rational or a behavioral decisionAlexander Decker
This document summarizes a study that explores the relationship between rational mean-variance portfolio theory and behavioral portfolio theory from an investor's perspective. The study uses cognitive mapping interviews with 30 Tunisian investors to understand how they perceive key concepts from each theory. The cognitive maps are analyzed to identify interactions and "zones of communication" between concepts from the two theories. Preliminary results suggest investors use mean-variance concepts but are also influenced by behavioral biases and emotions. The study aims to provide a more realistic description of how investors make portfolio choices by combining elements of both rational and behavioral approaches.
11.the portfolio choice in emergent markets a rational or a behavioral decisionAlexander Decker
This document summarizes a study that explores the relationship between rational mean-variance portfolio theory and behavioral portfolio theory from an investor's perspective. The study uses cognitive mapping interviews with 30 Tunisian investors to understand how they perceive key concepts from each theory. The cognitive maps are analyzed to identify interactions between concepts and "zones of communication" between the two theories. Preliminary results suggest investors use mean-variance concepts but are also influenced by behavioral biases and emotions. The study aims to provide a more realistic description of how investors make portfolio choices by combining elements of both rational and behavioral approaches.
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges Kamaljit Singh
1. The document discusses recent trends in behavioural finance, including nudging policies like prize-linked savings accounts, mental accounting, cognitive biases, framing issues, anchoring, subconscious decision-making, and impact investing.
2. It also covers the risky shift effect, changes in sociological behavior, algorithmic trading, and the relationship between risk tolerance and risk perception.
3. Recent trends in behavioural finance examine how human psychology and social factors influence financial decision-making in areas like risk-taking, framing, memory biases, and subconscious preferences.
The document provides an introduction to behavioral finance, including:
1) Behavioral finance uses insights from psychology to understand puzzling stock market phenomena not explained by traditional finance which assumes rational markets and investors.
2) Some key objectives of behavioral finance are to review issues with standard finance, examine theories of both approaches, and identify investor personalities.
3) Major figures who helped develop behavioral finance include Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky who formulated prospect theory as an alternative to models assuming rational choices.
This is a Behavioral Finance Lesson material which delivered by me for PhD students of Faculty of Business Administration in Karvina, Silesian University.
Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky developed prospect theory in 1979 as a psychologically realistic alternative to expected utility theory to describe how people make choices involving risk. Prospect theory incorporates cognitive biases like loss aversion and probability weighting to account for behaviors that contradict economic models' assumptions. Kahneman later explored hedonic psychology and found people's remembered well-being differs from their actual experienced well-being over time. His work established the foundations for behavioral economics by revealing unconscious errors in human judgment.
Effect of Psychological Dispositions on Intuitive Forecasting: An Experiment...inventionjournals
International Journal of Business and Management Invention (IJBMI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Business and Management. IJBMI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Business and Management, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
6. business performance and indian school of business 60-68Alexander Decker
This document discusses how behavioral finance can help explain the global financial crisis. It summarizes research showing limits to rational arbitrage in financial markets and how investor psychology can lead to irrational behavior. Specifically, it draws on models of "information cascades" and "limits to arbitrage" to explain the housing bubble and subsequent crisis. The housing bubble was driven by extravagant expectations of endless price increases, fueled by easy credit standards and complex financial products. This psychology of optimism formed a feedback loop that further drove prices up. Limits to arbitrage meant deviations from fundamentals could persist. Overall, behavioral finance provides insight into the irrational decisions and market outcomes that precipitated the crisis.
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptxMubashirAli440246
The document discusses the key assumptions and models of traditional finance, and the emergence of behavioral finance as an alternative approach. Specifically, it notes that traditional finance is based on the assumptions that investors are rational and markets are efficient. However, behavioral finance challenges this by incorporating insights from psychology about how cognitive biases and emotions can influence actual investor behavior and decision-making in irrational ways. As a result, behavioral finance questions some of the predictions of models like the efficient market hypothesis.
Behavioral finance is the study of how psychology affects the behavior of investors and financial markets. It challenges the assumption of traditional finance that investors are always rational. Behavioral finance argues that investors are influenced by cognitive biases and emotions and do not always act rationally. Some of the major theories of behavioral finance include prospect theory, which shows how risk is viewed differently depending on whether the context is gains or losses, and anchoring bias, where investors rely too heavily on recent information. Behavioral finance aims to understand both how individual investors behave and how their aggregate behaviors impact market outcomes.
This document discusses several theories of stock market fluctuations:
1) The efficient market hypothesis which states prices reflect all known information and movements are due to new information.
2) The random walk hypothesis which claims fluctuations are totally random and unpredictable.
3) Behavioral economics perspectives which emphasize the role of human psychology in driving mass movements.
It also examines the work of Fama on market efficiency forms, Malkiel's refutation of fundamental and technical analysis, and Taleb's criticisms of attempts to explain movements with structured models. The document aims to statistically test and potentially refute these theories of market predictability.
This document discusses behavioral finance and how it differs from traditional finance. It provides 3 key points:
1) Behavioral finance analyzes how psychology and human behavior influence financial decisions and markets. It recognizes that investors are normal and make cognitive and emotional errors, not perfectly rational as traditional theory assumes.
2) Behavioral portfolio theory divides investments into mental accounts for different goals, like retirement or becoming wealthy. Investors have different risk attitudes for different goals.
3) The behavioral asset pricing model suggests stocks with desirable characteristics that investors prefer, like large stable companies, will have lower returns. Stocks investors dislike may have higher returns if sentiment rather than just risk drives prices.
This document discusses behavioral finance and how psychology influences investor behavior. It introduces several key concepts:
1) Behavioral finance augments standard finance by incorporating psychological factors into how investors make decisions. This helps explain apparent market inefficiencies.
2) Investors are "normal" rather than fully rational. They use mental accounting and make portfolio decisions based on goals rather than just risk and return.
3) Behavioral asset pricing models suggest stocks with desirable characteristics like large size and high growth have lower expected returns due to investor preferences, rather than just their risk level.
The document discusses the emergence of behavioral finance as an alternative to traditional finance models. Traditional finance assumes rational decision-making, while behavioral finance recognizes psychological and emotional factors that can lead to irrational behavior. Key differences include traditional finance assuming perfect processing of information versus behavioral finance recognizing cognitive biases. Additionally, traditional finance sees framing as inconsequential while behavioral finance finds perceptions influenced by framing. The document then examines specific cognitive biases like representativeness, overconfidence, anchoring, ambiguity aversion, and innumeracy that impact decisions. It also discusses the concepts of prospect theory and mental accounting in relation to framing dependence.
Similar to Why Behavioral Finance is Helpful for Investors to Decision Making Process? (19)
On the Use of the Causal Analysis in Small Type Fit Indices of Adult Mathemat...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Model evaluation is one of the most important aspects of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). Many model fit indices have been developed. It is not an exaggeration to say that nearly every publication using the SEM methodology has reported at least one fit index. Fit is the ability of a model to reproduce the data in the variance-covariance matrix form. A good fitting model is one that is reasonably consistent with the data and doesn’t require respecification and also its measurement model is required before estimating paths in a covariance structure model. A baseline model of four constructs together with a combination of none, one, two, three or four additional constructs was constructed with latent variables: educational performance, socioeconomic label, self concept and parental authority using dichotomous digits 0 or 1 for each additional construct. 16 progressively nested models were considered starting with baseline model using the mathematics adult learners data from the modeling sample and employing some small fit indexes which are commonly used (AIC, CAIC, RMR, SRMR, RMSEA, 2 / DF among others) [1] to test the fitness of the model. The measures of model fit based on results from analysis of the covariance structure model are presented.
The Sov’reign Shrine of Veiled Melancholy- The Shadow of Consumption on La Be...QUESTJOURNAL
This document summarizes a research paper about John Keats' poem "La Belle Dame Sans Merci" and how it reflects his struggle with tuberculosis. It provides historical context about tuberculosis in the early 19th century, when it was a major epidemic in Europe and seen as linked to creativity. It describes how Keats' life was affected by tuberculosis, with his mother and brother dying from it. Keats himself showed early symptoms of the disease in 1820. The paper analyzes how La Belle Dame Sans Merci can be seen as a representation of tuberculosis and Keats' preoccupation with mortality. It explores how themes of death and the briefness of life were central to Romantic poetry and sensibilities.
Recruitment Practices And Staff Performance In Public Universities: A Case St...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Recruitment, as a human resource management function, is one of the activities that impact most critically on the performance of any organization irrespective of its size and location. Public Universities, known to train professionals that exhibit transformative leadership and successfully run blue-chip companies have equally suffered from rampart industrial unrest and human resource malpractices across Kenya. Could it be a unique trend of organizational deviance that could be reflecting absence of a well executed staff recruitment practice? While it is understood and accepted that poor recruitment decisions continue to affect organizational performance and limit goal achievement, knowledge about this aspect in Public Universities remains scanty. The aim of this study was to address this gap by evaluating how recruitment practices affect performance of administrative staff in Public Universities using Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology, Kenya as a case reference. A cross-sectional survey design was employed while sampling strategy was a blend of multiphase, stratified and purposive sampling. A sample size of 124 out of 1150 comprised mainly of administrative staff was used and that a questionnaire was the principal tool of data collection. Results were analyzed using frequency tables, mean, standard deviation and simple linear regression. The study found that a recruitment policy existed at Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology, Kenya and that both external and internal recruitment practices were used to recruit employees at the University. However, it was noted that most of the university employees are recruited through media advert, internal advertisement, through transfers and promotions. The results of the regression indicated that recruitment practices are a significant predictor of employee performance, which was explained by 32% of variance and a moderate relationship captured by beta weight value of 0.57. On effectiveness of the recruitment policy, only 30% rated it as effective while 62% were indifferent and 8% rated it ineffective. The study concluded that although a significant relationship between recruitment practices and employee performance existed, it’s effectiveness and therefore positive impact on employee performance depended on employees’ positive perception and rating. It’s recommended that the Universities should avoid biasness in the recruitment process as this will negatively impact on employee performance.
Pesse Na Siri’ Budgetary System: A Historiography Study of Luwu Kingdom in Is...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: This study aimed to explore the budgetary system of pesse na siri’ at Luwu kingdom in the Islamic period of 1593 to 1945. Through the historiography method, it showed the base existence of the spiritual sense sensitivity, i.e., pesse (empathy) and siri’ (shame) and Islamic law in budgetary system. In the resources management, it was carried out in four stages, namely planning, implementation, reporting, and evaluation. Operationally, the pesse na siri’ budgetary system on the mobilization mechanism of resources or budget (balanca) through the top down system (i.e., known as balanca pole riwawo) and bottom up system (i.e., known as balanca pole riawa). The top down system was a mobilization resource form from agricultural products of the king’s land (i.e., known in Buginese language as Tanana datue) and the palace logistic. Meanwhile, the bottom up came from the resource offer–i.e., known as makkasiwiyang–mechanism, consisting of makkasiwiyang lili’ (the lower government level), makkasiwiyang ale (personal/individual), and makkasiwiyang reso (labor). One of the Islamic impacts in this system was to direct the budgetary system based on the Shari’a or Islamic law.
Fabrication of Complete Dentures for A Patient with Resorbed Mandibular Anter...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: The loose and unstable lower complete denture is one of the most common problems faced by denture patients with highly resorbed ridge. The management of such highly resorbed ridges has always posed a difficulty to the prosthodontist.Obtaining consistent mandibular denture stability has longbeen a challenge for dental profession. The simplest approach often is to extend the denture base adequately for proper use of all available tisues.To achieve this goal impression of the resorbed mandibular ridge is very important. The objective is to develop a physiologic impression with maximum support of both hard and soft tissues.In such cases, an innovative technique of impressionmaking by using a close fitting tray and anelastomeric impression material tomake a proper impression to achieve maximum retentionand stability.This article describes an impression technique used for highly resorbed mandibular ridge using an all green impression technique, to gain maximum retention andstability
Steganographic Technique Using Instant Messaging Conversation DynamicsQUESTJOURNAL
This document discusses a steganographic technique for hiding secret messages in instant messaging conversations. It proposes encoding messages in the time stamps of messages and the order they are sent. The technique was tested using a custom instant messaging web service. Tests showed it was possible to encode short messages in real conversations with minimal impact on conversation flow, but transmission speed was relatively slow, with a few hundred characters sent per hour. The technique allows for one-way or two-way hidden communications within a conversation.
Simple Obfuscation Tool for Software ProtectionQUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: This paper discusses the issue of source code obfuscation and also the creation of a tool for automatic obfuscation of source code written in C language. The result is a tool that performs both data flow and control flow obfuscation and allows the user to configure the applied transformation algorithm. For easier and better usability the tool provides a graphical user interface, which brings possibility to control and configure transformation process.
Block Hybrid Method for the Solution of General Second Order Ordinary Differe...QUESTJOURNAL
The document is a research paper that proposes a block hybrid method for solving general second order ordinary differential equations. It derives a 3rd order uniform block hybrid method based on Hermite polynomial basis functions. The method is obtained by interpolating and collocating a continuous formulation at certain points to form a system of equations. The method is then applied in block form as a simultaneous integrator. Two numerical examples are given to illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of the new method.
Modeling – Based Instructional Strategy for Enhancing Problem Solving Ability...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: The modeling-based instructional framework accommodates the physics modeling mechanism in which the learner apply the fundamental principles in physics and develop an idealized physics model of the real world situation by means of assumptions and approximations. The present study was intended to find out the effectiveness of Modeling-based instructional strategy for enhancing physics problem solving ability of students at secondary school level. The investigator adopted a quasi-experimental method with two group pretest post-test design for the study. The sample selected for the study consisted of 242 IX standard students from three different schools of Palakkad district. The tools used for collecting the data were the Problem Solving Ability Test in Physics, lesson designs based on Modeling-based instructional strategy and activity oriented method. The findings of the study concluded that the Modeling-based instructional strategy enhanced the problem solving ability of students of secondary school level. And also the strategy scaffolded the formation of mental models of problem representations with in the cognitive structure of the learner.
Exploring the Effectiveness of the Arabic LanguageTeaching Methods in Indones...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: The aim of this research work is to identify the effectiveness of the Arabic language teaching methods in Indonesia(National University of Malang for Sample)in terms of making use of Arabic as a medium of communication among the students in the light of the modern approaches in teaching and learning of Arabic language. This research is methodologically characterized as a descriptive, analytical, evaluative and field research work. In order to arrive at the purpose of this study, a questionnaire has been designed and carried out on a specimen from the teachers of the concerned university. Eventually, the study has arrived into a finding that the method used in the university is the Eclectic Method (i.e. Selective Method), except that translation is utilized extensively with it, and it might influentially cause the depreciation of the communication skill of the students, and the major intermediary language for the Arabic language teaching is the Indonesian language. However, its uncontrolled over-usage in the Arabic language teaching procedure may negatively cause the weakness of the students in the listening and speaking skills, since they could not get enough opportunity to practice them during language learning, in addition to the fact that the teachers might be employed as Arabic language teachers on the basis of their high conversance with the grammatical rules of Arabic language and not on their skills in the Arabic language communication medium.
The Teller & The Tales: A Study of The Novels of Amitav GhoshQUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: The paper re-visit the plot and setting of the novels of Amitav Ghosh. The paper has two parts – (i)The Teller & (ii) The Tales. In the first section the text tries to give a brief sketch of the life of Amitav Ghosh to chornicle the life of the visionary commentator of life and the social anthroplogist , the most prominent among the Indian writers of English. In the second part the theme and storyline of the novels were revisted along with characters and narrative technique. The first section has been introduced to give an overview of the prolificness of the author and the second part is the testimony of his logocentricism. The paper aims to present the plot and theme of all Ghosh’s novels
ABSTRACT: The purpose of Larkin as literary artist was to convey his ultimate message that man has to transcend the gross environment for the attainment for final goal. His poem opens with important question which prompt us to scrutinize ourselves. According to Philip Larkin “when you come to talk about once duty as writer then ones can say that his duty is to write for harmony”. In this paper there an urge in Larkin’s poem to attain transcendental knowledge by which everything is known. The meaningful change in environment through literature result from the development of qualities and attitude that foster constructive pattern of human interaction through literature. In an age of highly industrialized and mechanized structure of our society where we have 'given our hearts away a sordid boon' and where all spiritual values have been thrown overboard, the relevance of selecting this topic "Spiritual Quest in Philip Larkin" becomes important. In Larkin's poetry there is invariably, an element of spiritual crises, a note of subsequent struggle to step out of it. This inner conflict to proceed forward in the path of Divine realization lends magnificence to his poetic and spiritual personality.
The Influence of Religiosity on Marital Satisfaction and Stability AmongChris...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Various studies indicate that religious couples are more likely to enjoy stable and happy marriages. They are also less likely to experience conflict and violence, or to divorce perhaps because religion offers couples theologically grounded guidelines on how to handle marital conflicts when they arise. The present qualitative study was conducted using face to face interviews with nine participants in Kenya who had been identified as practicing Christians. The aim of the study was to explore how religiosity impacted the participant’s marital satisfaction. Results indicated that specific attributes related to religiosity like individual and partner prayer, reading the Bible, church attendance, impacted participants and their spouses lives positively and in turn their experiences in marriage. Engaging in religious practices was reported by the participants as eliciting qualities like perseverance, forgiveness and humility which in turn assisted them in keeping their marriages stable and thus resulting in marital satisfaction
The SA0 Group Reservoir ’S Compositive Evaluation In The Central Developing P...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Using the data from logging in a net of high density, the sand core from a airtight well, and the testing data for oil and gas , and then according to the experiment of exploitation, we studied the deposit visage in macroscopical way, the physical characteristics of the reservoir, and the partition of the oil and gas’s border. It is clear that the zero group of Sa’s oil floor is mainly deposit in the foreside of a delta under the background of lake incursion, and the ventro-delta express a character that there were some sandstones which was transited for two times. Make a certain that the oil and gas’s border of zero group in Sa is maybe 600m underground, and demarcated the maximal square is 26.8km2 about this reservoir, and tell us that it lies in the top of the anticline. Of course, this production can be used in the designing of the zero group of Sa’s exploitation
Down the Purgatory of Memories:The Pain of Remembering in M alayalam Naxal Ci...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT:Keralam, the southern most state in India is known for its cinema and politics. It is in Kerala that Communist Party came to power through Parliamentary election process for the first time in history. The political consciousness nurtured by the Communist movement found its reflections in Malayalam (language being spoken by the people of Keralam) Cinema as well. As a result films produced during the formative years of Malayalam Cinema were characterized by their political content. Having said this it should also be added that since those films are produced within the dominant production system with a view to garner profit they fail to politically stimulate the audience. But the situation had been changed after the Naxalite (radical left movement ideologically inclined to Maoism) uprising in 1969 during which both the feudal/bourgeois value orientations and the alleged degeneration of the Communist Party were challenged by the educated radical youths who fought for an immediate revolution. The state promptly intervened and contained Naxalite uprising with an iron fist. The repressive machinery of the state intervened whenever instances of resistance occurred. The Emergency declared in 1975 exposed the inhuman face of government that unleashed series of tortures against its citizens. The post -1980 political films, otherwise called as Naxalite films, try to recapture the tormenting experience of being political during the time of such mass oppression. Those movies resort to memory to expose the stark experience of the past.Remembering is a way of representing the past with all its nuances as it situates the remembering subject at close proximity with the past. At the same time Naxalite movies explored the possibility of forgetting also to unveil the subtle complexities of individual's relationship with the past. Here I consider two Malayalam films-AmmaAriyan(1986) directed by John Abraham and Margam (2003) directed by Rajeev Vijayaraghavan- to investigate how memory and oblivion are meticulously used by the filmic narratives to politicize a society already under the grip of political amnesia.
Professional Competences: An Integrative Approach for Defining The Training C...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: This paper offers an integrative proposal for Business Administrationcurricular programs. For that purpose, we have carried out a survey with teachers from upper Business Administration courses so as to select a group of key competences for the contemporary Administrator, which has allowed us to elaborate an integrative proposal of curricular program for the Business Administration scholars in Brazil. As a qualitative research, it consists of a multiple case study with empirical approach and a triangular analysis based on Moraes (2014).Its main objective has been to analyze the curricular programs from five higher education institutions in the state of Rio Grande do Sul and two other foreign institutions in South America. At first, we have asked ourselves the following question: How to adapt the Business Administration curricular program to the contemporary needs as far as the vocational training competences of Administrators are concerned?In order to answer it, we have analyzed the National Curriculum Guidelines (DCN) and the Political-Educational Projects of Business Administration Courses (PPC/CSA). After that, we have compared the Curricular Components (CC) of the Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) under analysis. After performing the triangular textual analysis of the DCN, PPC/CSA and CC of all HEIs under study, we have carried out a survey with 35 teachers from Business Administration upper courses through a computerized online questionnaire.We have sent a Survey Monkey link for a total of 40 teachers, however, only 35 answered it (87.5%); we have considered 100% valid answers. Previously, based on the doctrine of competences and curriculum according to the most renowned authors – suchas Vygostsky, Freire, Sacristán, Piaget, Saviani, Bloom, Libâneo (curriculum); Fleury & Fleury, Zarifian, Perrenoud, Lisboa (competences), among others – wehave concluded that implementing the integrative proposal will providemore well-prepared graduates from the Business Administration course right to the competitive and globalized labor market.
Resisting Total Marginality: Understanding African-American College Students’...QUESTJOURNAL
This document summarizes a research paper that explores how African American students attending predominantly white institutions (PWIs) develop their racial identity and achieve academic success despite facing marginalization. The paper examines how total marginality, defined as the cumulative dissonance Black students face on campus, impacts identity development and success. It reviews literature on racial identity and oppositional culture theories. The study was conducted through interviews at a Midwestern state university to understand how successful Black students resisted total marginality and developed their racial identity. The findings provide insight into how peer groups, environment, and embracing their racial identity can help Black students graduate from PWIs.
“To the Truthful Death, From the Shining Life” By Joe VargheseQUESTJOURNAL
1. The document contains 5 poems by Joe Varghese exploring themes of death, mortality, and the realization that death proves one's life was real.
2. The poems cover topics like capturing moments through photography, writing love letters to one's dead body, being inspired by a heavenly muse, being shaped by life experiences like failures and betrayals, and viewing one's grave as the greatest monument ever built.
3. Overall, the poems reflect on death as enlightening humans to the reality of their existence and that death is what proves a person was truly alive.
Alternative dispute resolution and civil litigation barriers to access to jus...QUESTJOURNAL
ABSTRACT: Civil law is the predominate system of law in the world. Civil law as a legal system is often compared with common law. The main difference that is usually drawn between the two system is that common law drawn abstract rules from specific cases, whereas civil law with abstract rules which judges must then apply to the various cases before them. Civil law has its roots in Roman law, Common law and the Enlightenment, alongside influence from other religious laws such as Islamic Law. The legal system in many civil law countries are based around one or several codes of law which set out the main principles that guide the law. On the other hand, Criminal Law as offences and prescribes punishment for them. It not only precludes or prevents crimes but also punish the offender. It is necessary for the maintenance of law, order and peace within state. In criminal cases, it is the state which initiates proceeding against the offender. Laws relating to the Civil Proceeding as the Code of Civil Procedure 1908; the Civil Courts Act 1887; the Suit Valuation Act 1887; the Limitation Act 1908; the Registration Act 1908; & the Specific Relief Act 1877.
Challenges to Traditional Gender Norms in Mary Wollstonecraft’s A Vindication...QUESTJOURNAL
Mary Wollstonecraft challenged traditional gender norms of the late 18th century in her work A Vindication of the Rights of Women. She argued that women deserved equal rights to education and independence as men, as they possessed the same rational capacities. Wollstonecraft criticized views that saw women's purpose as pleasing men and focused solely on domestic duties. She believed women should have the opportunity to develop their minds through education instead of being limited by their gender. Wollstonecraft's radical arguments for women's rights and education still resonate today in discussions of gender equality.
As 2023 proved, the next few years may be shaped by market volatility and artificial intelligence services such as OpenAI's ChatGPT and Perplexity.ai. Your brand will increasingly compete for attention with Google, Apple, OpenAI, and Amazon, and customers will expect a hyper-relevant and individualized experience from every business at any moment. New state-legislated data privacy laws and several FTC rules may challenge marketers to deliver contextually relevant customer experiences, much less reach unknown prospective buyers. Are you ready?Let's discuss the critical need for data governance and applied AI for your business rather than relying on public AI models. As AI permeates society and all industries, learn how to be future-ready, compliant, and confidentlyscaling growth.
Key Takeaways:
Primary Learning Objective
1: Grasp when artificial general intelligence (""AGI"") will arrive, and how your brand can navigate the consequences. Primary Learning Objective
2: Gain an accurate analysis of the continuously developing customer journey and business intelligence. Primary Learning Objective
3: Grow revenue at lower costs with more efficient marketing and business operations.
Top Strategies for Building High-Quality Backlinks in 2024 PPT.pdf1Solutions Pvt. Ltd.
As we move into 2024, the methods for building high-quality backlinks continue to evolve, demanding more sophisticated and strategic approaches. This presentation aims to explore the latest trends and proven strategies for acquiring high-quality backlinks that can elevate your SEO efforts.
Visit:- https://www.1solutions.biz/link-building-packages/
In this humorous and data-heavy Master Class, join us in a joyous celebration of life honoring the long list of SEO tactics and concepts we lost this year. Remember fondly the beautiful time you shared with defunct ideas like link building, keyword cannibalization, search volume as a value indicator, and even our most cherished of friends: the funnel. Make peace with their loss as you embrace a new paradigm for organic content: Pillar-Based Marketing. Along the way, discover that the results that old SEO and all its trappings brought you weren’t really very good at all, actually.
In this respectful and life-affirming service—erm, session—join Ryan Brock (Chief Solution Officer at DemandJump and author of Pillar-Based Marketing: A Data-Driven Methodology for SEO and Content that Actually Works) and leave with:
• Clear and compelling evidence that most legacy SEO metrics and tactics have slim to no impact on SEO outcomes
• A major mindset shift that eliminates most of the metrics and tactics associated with SEO in favor of a single metric that defines and drives organic ranking success
• Practical, step-by-step methodology for choosing SEO pillar topics and publishing content quickly that ranks fast
Unlock the secrets to creating a standout trade show booth with our comprehensive guide from Blue Atlas Marketing! This presentation is packed with essential tips and innovative strategies to ensure your booth attracts attention, engages visitors, and drives business success. Whether you're a seasoned exhibitor or a first-timer, these expert insights will help you maximize your impact and make a memorable impression in a crowded exhibition hall. Learn how to:
Design an eye-catching and inviting booth
Incorporate interactive elements that engage visitors
Use effective branding and visuals to reinforce your message
Plan your booth layout for maximum traffic flow
Implement technology to enhance the visitor experience
Create memorable experiences that leave a lasting impression
Transform your trade show presence with these proven tactics and ensure your booth stands out from the competition. Download the PDF now and start planning your next successful exhibit!
Empowering Influencers: The New Center of Brand-Consumer Dynamics
In the current market landscape, establishing genuine connections with consumers is crucial. This presentation, "Empowering Influencers: The New Center of Brand-Consumer Dynamics," explores how influencers have become pivotal in shaping brand-consumer relationships. We will examine the strategic use of influencers to create authentic, engaging narratives that resonate deeply with target audiences, driving success in the evolved purchase funnel.
Unlock the secrets to enhancing your digital presence with our masterclass on mastering online visibility. Learn actionable strategies to boost your brand, optimize your social media, and leverage SEO. Transform your online footprint into a powerful tool for growth and engagement.
Key Takeaways:
1. Effective techniques to increase your brand's visibility across various online platforms.
2. Strategies for optimizing social media profiles and content to maximize reach and engagement.
3. Insights into leveraging SEO best practices to improve search engine rankings and drive organic traffic.
From Hope to Despair The Top 10 Reasons Businesses Ditch SEO Tactics.pptxBoston SEO Services
From Hope to Despair: The Top 10 Reasons Businesses Ditch SEO Tactics
Are you tired of seeing your business's online visibility plummet from hope to despair? When it comes to SEO tactics, many businesses find themselves grappling with challenges that lead them to abandon their strategies altogether. In a digital landscape that's constantly evolving, staying on top of SEO best practices is crucial to maintaining a competitive edge.
In this blog, we delve deep into the top 10 reasons why businesses ditch SEO tactics, uncovering the pain points that may resonate with you:
1. Algorithm Changes: The ever-changing algorithms can leave businesses feeling like they're chasing a moving target. Search engines like Google frequently update their algorithms to improve user experience and provide more relevant search results. However, these updates can significantly impact your website's visibility and ranking if you're not prepared.
2. Lack of Results: Investing time and resources without seeing tangible results can be disheartening. The absence of immediate results often leads businesses to lose faith in their SEO strategies. It's important to remember that SEO is a long-term game that requires patience and consistent effort.
3. Technical Challenges: From site speed issues to complex metadata implementation, technical hurdles can be daunting. Overcoming these challenges is crucial for SEO success, as technical issues can hinder your website's performance and user experience.
4. Keyword Competition: Fierce competition for top keywords can make it hard to rank effectively. Businesses often struggle to find the right balance between targeting high-traffic keywords and finding less competitive, niche keywords that can still drive significant traffic.
5. Lack of Understanding of SEO Basics: Many businesses dive into the complex world of SEO without fully grasping the fundamental principles. This lack of understanding can lead to several issues:
Keyword Awareness: Failing to recognize the importance of keyword research and targeting the right keywords in content.
On-Page Optimization: Ignorance regarding crucial on-page elements such as meta tags, headers, and content structure.
Technical SEO Best Practices: Overlooking essential aspects like site speed, mobile responsiveness, and crawlability.
Backlinks: Not understanding the value of high-quality backlinks from reputable sources.
Analytics: Failing to track and analyze data prevents businesses from optimizing their SEO efforts effectively.
6. Unrealistic Expectations and Timeframe: Entrepreneurs often fall prey to the allure of quick fixes and overnight success. Unrealistic expectations can overshadow the reality of the time and effort needed to see tangible results in the highly competitive digital landscape. SEO is a long-term strategy, and setting realistic goals is crucial for success.
#SEO #DigitalMarketing #BusinessGrowth #OnlineVisibility #SEOChallenges #BostonSEO
Mastering Local SEO for Service Businesses in the AI Era"" is tailored specifically for local service providers like plumbers, dentists, and others seeking to dominate their local search landscape. This session delves into leveraging AI advancements to enhance your online visibility and search rankings through the Content Factory model, designed for creating high-impact, SEO-driven content. Discover the Dollar-a-Day advertising strategy, a cost-effective approach to boost your local SEO efforts and attract more customers with minimal investment. Gain practical insights on optimizing your online presence to meet the specific needs of local service seekers, ensuring your business not only appears but stands out in local searches. This concise, action-oriented workshop is your roadmap to navigating the complexities of digital marketing in the AI age, driving more leads, conversions, and ultimately, success for your local service business.
Key Takeaways:
Embrace AI for Local SEO: Learn to harness the power of AI technologies to optimize your website and content for local search. Understand the pivotal role AI plays in analyzing search trends and consumer behavior, enabling you to tailor your SEO strategies to meet the specific demands of your target local audience. Leverage the Content Factory Model: Discover the step-by-step process of creating SEO-optimized content at scale. This approach ensures a steady stream of high-quality content that engages local customers and boosts your search rankings. Get an action guide on implementing this model, complete with templates and scheduling strategies to maintain a consistent online presence. Maximize ROI with Dollar-a-Day Advertising: Dive into the cost-effective Dollar-a-Day advertising strategy that amplifies your visibility in local searches without breaking the bank. Learn how to strategically allocate your budget across platforms to target potential local customers effectively. The session includes an action guide on setting up, monitoring, and optimizing your ad campaigns to ensure maximum impact with minimal investment.
The digital marketing industry is changing faster than ever and those who don’t adapt with the times are losing market share. Where should marketers be focusing their efforts? What strategies are the experts seeing get the best results? Get up-to-speed with the latest industry insights, trends and predictions for the future in this panel discussion with some leading digital marketing experts.
Dive deep into the cutting-edge strategies we're employing to revolutionize our web presence in the age of AI-driven search. As Gen Z reshapes the digital realm, discover how we can bridge the generational divide. Unlock the synergistic power of PPC, social media, and SEO, driving unparalleled revenues for our projects.
In this humorous and data-heavy session, join us in a joyous celebration of life honoring the long list of SEO tactics and concepts we lost this year. Remember fondly the beautiful time you shared with defunct ideas like link building, keyword cannibalization, search volume as a value indicator, and even our most cherished of friends: the funnel. Make peace with their loss as you embrace a new paradigm for organic content: Pillar-Based Marketing. Along the way, discover that the results that old SEO and all its trappings brought you weren’t really very good at all, actually.
In this respectful and life-affirming service—erm, session—join Ryan Brock (Chief Solution Officer at DemandJump and author of Pillar-Based Marketing: A Data-Driven Methodology for SEO and Content that Actually Works) and leave with:
• Clear and compelling evidence that most legacy SEO metrics and tactics have slim to no impact on SEO outcomes
• A major mindset shift that eliminates most of the metrics and tactics associated with SEO in favor of a single metric that defines and drives organic ranking success
• Practical, step-by-step methodology for choosing SEO pillar topics and publishing content quickly that ranks fast
Conferences like DigiMarCon provide ample opportunities to improve our own marketing programs by learning from others. But just because everyone is jumping on board with the latest idea/tool/metric doesn’t mean it works – or does it? This session will examine the value of today’s hottest digital marketing topics – including AI, paid ads, and social metrics – and the truth about what these shiny objects might be distracting you from.
Key Takeaways:
- How NOT to shoot your digital program in the foot by using flashy but ineffective resources
- The best ways to think about AI in connection with digital marketing
- How to cut through self-serving marketing advice and engage in channels that truly grow your business
We’ve entered a new era in digital. Search and AI are colliding, in more ways than one. And they all have major implications for marketers.
• SEOs now use AI to optimize content.
• Google now uses AI to generate answers.
• Users are skipping search completely. They can now use AI to get answers. So AI has changed everything …or maybe not. Our audience hasn’t changed. Their information needs haven’t changed. Their perception of quality hasn’t changed. In reality, the most important things haven’t changed at all. In this session, you’ll learn the impact of AI. And you’ll learn ways that AI can make us better at the classic challenges: getting discovered, connecting through content and staying top of mind with the people who matter most. We’ll use timely tools to rebuild timeless foundations. We’ll do better basics, but with the most advanced techniques. Andy will share a set of frameworks, prompts and techniques for better digital basics, using the latest tools of today. And in the end, Andy will consider - in a brief glimpse - what might be the biggest change of all, and how to expand your footprint in the new digital landscape.
Key Takeaways:
How to use AI to optimize your content
How to find topics that algorithms love
How to get AI to mention your content and your brand
Mastering Local SEO for Service Businesses in the AI Era"" is tailored specifically for local service providers like plumbers, dentists, and others seeking to dominate their local search landscape. This session delves into leveraging AI advancements to enhance your online visibility and search rankings through the Content Factory model, designed for creating high-impact, SEO-driven content. Discover the Dollar-a-Day advertising strategy, a cost-effective approach to boost your local SEO efforts and attract more customers with minimal investment. Gain practical insights on optimizing your online presence to meet the specific needs of local service seekers, ensuring your business not only appears but stands out in local searches. This concise, action-oriented workshop is your roadmap to navigating the complexities of digital marketing in the AI age, driving more leads, conversions, and ultimately, success for your local service business.
Key Takeaways:
Embrace AI for Local SEO: Learn to harness the power of AI technologies to optimize your website and content for local search. Understand the pivotal role AI plays in analyzing search trends and consumer behavior, enabling you to tailor your SEO strategies to meet the specific demands of your target local audience. Leverage the Content Factory Model: Discover the step-by-step process of creating SEO-optimized content at scale. This approach ensures a steady stream of high-quality content that engages local customers and boosts your search rankings. Get an action guide on implementing this model, complete with templates and scheduling strategies to maintain a consistent online presence. Maximize ROI with Dollar-a-Day Advertising: Dive into the cost-effective Dollar-a-Day advertising strategy that amplifies your visibility in local searches without breaking the bank. Learn how to strategically allocate your budget across platforms to target potential local customers effectively. The session includes an action guide on setting up, monitoring, and optimizing your ad campaigns to ensure maximum impact with minimal investment.
2. Why Behavioral Finance Is Helpful For Investors To Decision Making Process?
*Corresponding Author: Md. Enamul Kabir 12 | Page
In another important paper Tversky and Kahneman (1981) introduced framing. They showed that the
psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the evaluation of probabilities and
outcomes produce predictable shifts of preference when the same problem is framed in different ways. Shiller
(1981) discovered that stock price volatility is far too high to be attributed to new information about future real
dividends. Kahneman, Slovic and Tversky (1982) edit Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases,
thirty five chapters which describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce. In 1985 Werner F.
M. De Bondt and Richard Thaler published `Does the stock market overreact? The Journal of Finance (De
Bondt and Thaler1985), effectively forming the start of what has become known as behavioral finance. They
discovered that people systematically over reacting to unexpected and dramatic news events results in
substantial weak-form inefficiencies in the stock market. This was both surprising and profound. Mental
accounting is the set of cognitive operations used by individuals and households to organizeevaluate and keeps
track of financial activities. Thaler (1985) developed a new model of consumer behavior involving mental
accounting. Tversky and Kahneman (1986) argue that, due to framing and prospecttheory, the rational theory of
choice does not provide an adequate foundation for a descriptive theory of decision making. Yaari (1987)
proposes a modification to expected utility theory and obtains a so-called `dual theory' of choice under risk. De
Bondt and Thaler (1987) report additional evidence that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Samuelson and
Zeckhauser (1988) perform a series of decision-making experiments and found evidence of status quo bias.
Poterba and Summers (1988) investigate transitory components in stock prices and found positive autocorrect.In
1974, two brilliant psychologists, Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, described three heuristics that are
employed when making judgments underuncertainty (Tversky and Kahneman 1974): representativeness When
people are asked to judge the probability that anobject or event A belongs to class or process B, probabilities are
evaluatedby the degree to which A is representative of B, that is, by the degree to which A resembles B.
availability. When people are asked to assess the frequency of a class or the probability of an event, they do so
by the ease with which instances oroccurrences can be brought to mind. Anchoring and adjustment In numerical
prediction, when a relevant value(an anchor) is available, people make estimates by starting from an initialvalue
(the anchor) that is adjusted to yield the final answer. The anchor may be suggested by the formulation of the
problem, or it may be the result of a partial computation. In either case, adjustments are typically
insufficient.The most cited paper ever to appear in Econometrics, the prestigious academic journal of
economics, was written by the two psychologists Kahnemanand Tversky (1979). They present a critique of
expected utility theory (Bernoulli1738; von Neumann and Morgenstern 1944; Bernoulli 1954) as a descriptive
model of decision making under risk and develop an alternative model, which they call prospect theory.
Kahneman and Tversky found empirically that people underweight outcomes that are merely probable in
comparison with outcomes that are obtained with certainty; also that people generally discard components that
are shared by all prospects under consideration. Under prospect theory,value is assigned to gains and losses
rather than to final assets; also probabilities are replaced by decision weights. The value function is defined on
deviations from a reference point and is normally concave for gains (implying risk aversion), commonly convex
for losses (risk seeking) and is generally steeper for losses than for gains (loss aversion) (see Figure 1). Decision
weightsare generally lower than the corresponding probabilities, except in the range oflow probabilities. The
theory| which they confirmed by experiment |predicts adistinctive four fold pattern of risk attitudes: risk
aversion for gains of moderate to high probability and losses of low probability, and risk seeking for gains oflow
probability and losses of moderate to high probability.Thaler (1980) argues that there are circumstances when
consumers act in amanner that is inconsistent with economic theory and he proposes that Kannemanand
Tversky's prospect theory be used as the basis for an alternativedescriptive theory. Topics discussed are: under
weighting of opportunity costs, failure to ignore sunk costs, search behaviour, choosing not to choose and regret,
and pre commitment and self-control. The paper introduced the notion of`mental accounting' (described
below).In another important paper Tversky and Kahneman (1981) introduced framing. They showed that the
psychological principles that govern the perception.This review of behavioral finance aims to focus on articles
with direct relevance to practitioners of investment management, corporate finance, or personal financial
planning. Given the size of the growing field of behavioral finance, the review is necessarily selective. As
Shefrin (2000, p. 3) points out, practitioners studying behavioral finance should learn to recognize their own
mistakes and those of others, understand those mistakes, and takesteps to avoid making them. The articles
discussed in this review should allow the practitioner to begin this journey. Traditional finance uses models, in
which the economic agents are assumed to be rational, which means they are efficient and unbiased processors
of relevant information and that their decisions are consistent with utility maximization. Barberis and Thaler
(2003, p. 1055) note that the benefit of this framework is that it is ―appealingly simple.‖ They also note that
―unfortunately, after years of effort, it has become clear that basic facts about the aggregate stock market, the
cross-section of average returns, and individual trading behavior are not easily understood in this
framework.‖Behavioral finance is based on the alternative notion that investors, or at least a significant minority
of them, are subject to behavioral biases that mean their financial decisions can be less than fully rational.
3. Why Behavioral Finance Is Helpful For Investors To Decision Making Process?
*Corresponding Author: Md. Enamul Kabir 13 | Page
Evidence of these biases has typically come from cognitive psychology literatureand has then been applied in a
financial context. Examples of biases include: Overconfidence and overoptimism—investors overestimate their
ability and the accuracy of the information they have & below more;
• Representativeness—investors assess situations based on superficial characteristics rather than underlying
probabilities.
• Conservatism—forecasters cling to prior beliefs in the face of new information.
• Availability bias—investors overstate the probabilities of recently observed or experienced events because
the memory is fresh.
• Frame dependence and anchoring—the form of presentation of information can affect the decision made.
• Mental accounting—individuals allocate wealth to separate mental compartments and ignore fungibility and
correlation effects.
• Regret aversion—individuals make decisions in a way that allows them to avoid feeling emotional pain in
the event of an adverse outcome.
Behavioral finance also challenges the use of conventional utility functions based on the idea of risk
aversion. For example, Kahneman and Tversky (1979) propose prospect theory as a descriptive theory of
decision making in risky situations. Outcomes are evaluated against a subjective reference point (e.g., the
purchase price of astock) and investors are loss averse, exhibiting risk-seeking behavior in the face of losses and
risk-averse behavior in the face of gains.
One aspect of the discussion about rational and irrational investors that is important to consider is the
extent to which professional traders and money managers are subject to the same behavioral biases that are more
commonly discussed in the context of individual (typically assumed uninformed) investors. A number of
articles—discussed here—consider this issue directly and find that professionals are far from immune to the
biases. A full description of these biases and the evidence for them is beyond the scope of this review. Readers
who would likea more detailed discussion should refer to Barberis and Thaler (2003) and Shefrin (2000).
Although the existence of behavioral biases among some investors is an essential component of behavioral
finance, a second essential strand relates to the limits to arbitrage. Traditional finance holds that if some
(irrational) investors misprice assets, the mispricing will be corrected by the trading actions of rational investors
(arbitrageurs) who spot the resulting profit opportunity, buy cheap assets, and sell expensive ones. Behavioral
finance theorycounters that mispricing may persist because arbitrage is risky and costly, which has the result of
limiting the arbitrageurs‘ demand for the fair-value restoring trades (Shleifer and Vishny 1997). The existing
academic literature has tended to develop behavioral finance against the ―foil‖ of traditional or rational finance.
But a number of authors (e.g., Statman 1999a; Thaler 1999) make the case for the ―end of behavioral finance,‖
arguing that because all financial theory requires some assumptions about investor behavior, researchers should
strive to make the best assumptions about behavior in all models rather than invent a subclassof models
featuring empirically observed behavior. Despite great strides in recent years, behavioral finance doesnot appear
to have reached the point of being considered in all models.
Investors seeking a more comprehensive introduction to the field are directed to the review articles by
Hirshleifer (2001) and Barberis and Thaler (2003) as well as to the relevant articles in the November/December
1999 issue of the Financial Analysts Journal. Shefrin‘s (2000) book Beyond Greed and Fear is also
recommended. In the following sections, we discuss key areas in the application of behavioral finance. We
discuss the limits to arbitrage and then proceed to discuss behavioral asset pricing theory, behavioral corporate
finance, and evidenceof individual investor behavior and behavioral portfolio theory. We also discuss briefly the
psychology of risk, ethics, and the emerging field of neuro economics.
The Limits to Arbitrage: A key argument in behavioral finance is that the existence of behavioral biases
among investors (noise traders) will affect asset prices and returns on a sustained basis only if limits to arbitrage
also exist that prevent rational investors from exploiting short-term mispricing‘s and, by doing so, returning
prices to equilibrium values. Evidence suggests that limits to arbitrage exist, for example, in the failure to
eliminate obvious and straight forward mispricing situations. Mitchell, Pulvino, and Stafford (2002) are able to
document 82 cases in which the market value of a company is less than the market value of the company‘s stake
in its subsidiary.
4. Why Behavioral Finance Is Helpful For Investors To Decision Making Process?
*Corresponding Author: Md. Enamul Kabir 14 | Page
These situations imply arbitrage opportunities leading to swift correction of the pricing anomaly, but
the authors find a degree of persistence that indicates barriers to arbitrage. Barberis and Thaler (2003) outline
the various issues that create limits to arbitrage. When the mispriced asset lacks a fairly priced close substitute,
arbitrageurs are faced with fundamental risk in that they are unable to effectively hedge their position in the
mispriced asset from adverse changes in fundamentals. Even if a close substitute isavailable, arbitrageurs face
noise trader risk. Because trading by uninformed investors may cause the mispricing to increase before it
corrects, the arbitrageur may be unable to maintain the position in the face of margin calls,especially when
trading with other people‘s capital, as in institutional investment management. Finally, other issue includes high
implementation costs for any arbitrage trade. At the extreme, taking a short position in an over priced security
may be impossible if, for example, stock lending is prohibited or no shares are available to borrow.
On the latter point, Lamont and Thaler (2003) review examples in which the market value of spinout
subsidiaries of tech companies exceeded that of the parent company that retained a majority stake in the spinout.
In these cases; short-selling of the spinout was difficult, expensive, or impossible, reducing or eliminating
the arbitrage opportunity.
Behavioral Asset Pricing:
Where as academics talk about asset pricing and about explaining the cross-section of stock returns, fo
rpractitioners, the same issues fall under the simpler heading of ―stock picking.‖ If behavioral biases among
investors cause mispricing of stocks in a predictable fashion, then active managers may have the scope to beat
the marketby using strategies based on these sources of mispricing.
Investor Sentiment:
One important issue is whether investor sentiment has the potential to affect stock returns, which is
considered self-evident by most practitioners. But traditional finance theory has little role for sentiment in asset
pricing. Recent behavioral literature (Baker and Wurgler 2006; Kumar and Lee 2006; Tetlock 2007) suggests
evidence of investor sentiment affecting stock returns. The effect is most pronounced for stocks that are difficult
to value and/or hard to arbitrage. This category includes small stocks, young stocks, unprofitable stocks, and
extreme growth stocks. When investor sentiment is high, subsequent returns for these types of stocks tend to be
relatively low, and vice versa.
Causes of swings in investor sentiment vary and, in some cases, can be quite trivial. Hirshleifer and
Shumway(2003) present evidence that daily returns across the world‘s markets are affected by the weather in
the city of the country‘s leading stock exchange. Unfortunately, a strategy to exploit this predictability in returns
involves quite frequent trading, and trading costs may well eliminate any available gains for most investors.
Kamstra, Kramer,and Levi (2003) provide similar evidence, showing that returns in various countries through
the year are related to hours of daylight—a result possibly driven by the occurrence of seasonal affective
disorder.The effect of sentiment is evident in various arenas. For example, Gemmill and Thomas (2002) show
thatnoise trader sentiment, as peroxide by retail investor fund flows, leads to fluctuations in the discount of
closed-endfunds. Of note, one measure of sentiment that does not predict returns is the current sentiment—
bullish or bearish—of investment news letter writers. Rather, recent past returns predict the sentiment of the
writers, which,in turn, has no correlation with future returns (Clarke and Statman 1998).
Under- and Over reaction. Another key area of behavioral research relates to the extent to which
investors under- or overreact to information in pricing securities. The available empirical evidence appears
tosuggest short-term (up to 12 months) return continuations, or momentum (e.g., Jegadeesh and Titman
1993),but longer term (three- to five-year) reversals (e.g., De Bondt and Thaler 1985; Lakonishok, Shleifer, and
Vishny1994). This evidence poses something of a challenge for behavioral researchers to come up with a theory
that explains initial under reaction but longer term over reaction and rebuts Fama‘s (1998) contention that a
market that over reacts about as much as it under reacts can be regarded as broadly efficient.Various behavioral
models have been developed to explain the empirical findings.
In Barberis, Shleifer, andVishny (1998), investors suffer conservatism bias and use the
representativeness heuristic. Conservatism means that individuals are slow to change their beliefs in the face of
new evidence and can explain why investors would fail to take full account of the implications of an earnings
surprise. The representativeness heuristic means that individuals assess the probability of an event or situation
based on superficial characteristics and similar experiences they have had rather than on the underlying
probabilities. This approach can mean that investors, seeing patterns in random data, could extra polate a
company‘s recent positive earnings announcements further into the futurethan is warranted, creating
overreaction.
5. Why Behavioral Finance Is Helpful For Investors To Decision Making Process?
*Corresponding Author: Md. Enamul Kabir 15 | Page
Daniel, Hirshleifer, and Subrahmanyam (1998) present a related model based on overconfidence and
biased self-attribution. Overconfidence leads investors to overweight their private information in assessing the
value ofsecurities, causing the stock price to overreact. When public information arrives, mispricing is only
partially corrected, giving rise to underreaction. Further more, biased self-attribution means that when public
information confirms theinitial private signal, investor confidence in the private signal rises, leading to the
potential for over reaction.
Behavioral Corporate Finance:
Behavioral finance also has applications in analysis of corporate finance decisions. As Baker, Ruback,
and Wurgler(2007) note, the extension of behavioral ideas to corporate finance has taken two distinct paths. The
first path,which takes the view that investors are less than fully rational, analyzes the corporate financing
decisions made by management in response to the behavior of investors—that is, the rational managers make
decisions in response to the mispricing of securities by behaviorally biased investors. The second path holds that
corporate managers can be subject to behavioral biases and that some of the corporate finance transactions they
undertake are the result of those biases. For example, managers may make certain decisions because they are
overconfident about their abilities or the prospects for their firm or because they are loss averse. Baker et al.
(2007) note that the second,―irrational managers,‖ path is somewhat less developed than the first path, which
focuses on managerial responsesto market mispricing.
Rational Managers and Irrational Investors: The rational managers/irrational investors school of
thought has its main implications in terms of corporate financial structure and the timing of securities issues. For
example, Baker and Wurgler (2000) find that the share of equity issues relative to total equity and debt issues is
high before periods of low equity market returns, suggesting that companies time their equity issues to take
advantage of positive investor sentiment and market mispricing. These results suggest also that corporate capital
structure often reflects the cumulative outcome of past attempts to time the equity market rather than some
target capital structure (Baker and Wurgler 2002). Baker and Wurgler (2004) argue that dividend policy may be
influenced by managers ―catering‖ to the demands of investors. According to the authors, managers rationally
cater to investor demand by paying dividends when investors put higher prices on payers and not paying when
investors prefer non payers. The authors show that the lagged dividend premium—the difference between the
average market-to-book ratio for dividend payers relative to the average for nonpayers—is positively related to
dividend initiations. The authors argue also that investors‘ time-varying demand for dividends is related to
sentiment. When the dividend premium is high, investors are seeking companies that exhibit characteristics of
safety, and when it is low, investors are seeking maximum capital growth. Shleifer and Vishny (2003) present a
model that seeks to explain merger and acquisition (M&A) deals in behavioral terms. In the model, stocks are
mispriced and management perceives and responds to the mispricing.The authors argue that M&A decisions and
decisions about methods of financing deals are driven by mis valuations of the participating companies; for
example, acquisitions will involve payment in stock when valuations are high.The model suggests that
acquisitions for stock are made by over valued companies and target companies tend to be less overv alued. The
model is able to explain many of the observed characteristics of the M&A market. Behavioral finance also has
implications for the market for IPOs. These offerings are widely documented as showing high first-day returns,
usually taken to imply that the issues are under priced at the offering price.
One puzzle is why issuers and pre-IPO shareholders are prepared to tolerate this ―money left on the
table‖ phenomenon.Loughran and Ritter (2002) propose a model based on prospect theory in which issuers are
likely to net the amount of money left on the table by an under priced offering together with the ―gain‖ in their
wealth that comes from the rise in the price of the shares that they retain in the company. The net amount will
often be a positive sum with the increase in value of the retained holdings exceeding the difference between the
offer price and the market price for the shares sold in the offering. Furthermore, the most underpriced offerings
tend to be those in whichthe offer price has been revised up in the face of strong demand from the price set out
in the prospectus. Therefore,the original pre-IPO shareholders can offset the loss of the underpricing with the
good news that their total wealth is higher than was previously expected. Ljungvist and Wilhelm (2005) provide
some support for this hypothesis in that issuers of under priced offerings often use the IPO underwriter for
subsequent equity issues, suggesting they are not unhappy with the service received.
The goal of any investment advisory service is to explore the best personal strategy for the client and to
review it on a regular basis. An investment strategy cannot be optimal unless it integrates the client‘s risk
ability, risk tolerance, and risk awareness.
Risk ability refers to the client‘s financial situation. What are the client‘s assets and income, spending patterns,
and earning sources? The client‘s risk ability limits the optimal portfolio if they cannot financially bear losses
beyond a certain amount. This circumstance must be accounted for. Risk tolerance indicates how much risk an
investor is emotionally willing to bear. The subjective assessment of the objective (measurable) risk of an
investment is determined by risk awareness.
6. Why Behavioral Finance Is Helpful For Investors To Decision Making Process?
*Corresponding Author: Md. Enamul Kabir 16 | Page
The client‘s risk awareness is often distorted and can change quickly. Due to the biases just mentioned,
among other factors, they are unable to identify the real risk and evaluate it properly. One example is hedge
funds, or collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), which became notorious during the financial crisis. Many
investors considered these investments evil, due in part to media coverage.
Despite its importance, subjective risk awareness is generally not given the attention it deserves, even
in the year 2015. The goal of investment advisory services should be to review the investor‘s risk awareness and
provide sufficient risk disclosure. Because we can assume that the client‘s risk awareness is distorted by many
biases and influenced by the media, it should not be a part of optimal portfolios. Reputable banks have a
research department that uses the best methods to adequately assess the current risks of asset classes. The
advisor must provide the client with this market view along with an explanation.
A structured advisory process can help investors explore their actual risk ability and risk appetite. We
also advise conducting a diagnostic test for behavioral biases and identifying the client‘s existing financial
knowledge. The test will identify four categories of investors, based on their investment approach and financial
knowledge. Does the client want to make his own investment decisions based on the investment advice
received, or is a discretionary mandate preferable? The investor type determined by the diagnostic test can help
answer this question.
Intuitive investors - Intuitive investors make emotional decisions. Without the right investment
strategy, they may be influenced too heavily by current market developments and lose sight of their investment
goals. Using a discretionary mandate can help intuitive investors to maintain a defined investment strategy.
Research studies show that the investment strategy is responsible for about 80% of investment gains.10
Otherwise, clients may make hasty purchases in a rush of euphoria when the markets are up (too expensive) and
sell off stock in a panic when the markets are down, which likely will erode at their assets over time.
Exploring investors - Exploring investors are very familiar with the financial market but make
emotional decisions. They have a good understanding of the opportunities and risks on the market. Although
they are sometimes dazzled by new, innovative financial products, they always bear the risks in mind. Despite
their vast financial knowledge, these investors sometimes abandon their predefined investment strategy for
emotional reasons. This is why their investments must be reviewed periodically.
Realistic investors - These investors are not swayed by emotions. However, they lack the financial
knowledge to assess risks and opportunities properly. Professional investment advice is recommended for
realistic investors. Such advice can help them make investment decisions and improve their financial
knowledge.
Strategic investors - Strategic investors have a good understanding of the financial markets, so they can
assess the risks and opportunities they are facing. They are not swayed by emotions and can make objective
decisions. Their strategic approach does not allow them to lose sight of their investment goals. They are
qualified to implement their investment strategy in conjunction with a non-discretionary mandate.
Next, based on the investors‘ background, a holistic investment strategy is developed, taking into
account the investor‘s assets, wealth building, obligations, and asset depletion. In particular, this proposal
focuses on personal liquidity management – in other words, coordinating income with financial obligations.
Traditional vs. Behavioral finance:
Over the past fifty years established finance theory has assumed that investors have little difficulty making
financial decisions and are well-informed,careful and consistent. The traditional theory holds that investors are
not confused by how information is presented to them and not swayed by their emotions.But clearly reality does
not match these assumptions. Behavioral finance has been growing over the lasttwenty years specifically
because of the observation that investors rarely behave according to the assumptions made in traditional finance
theory. Behavioral researchers have taken the view that finance theory should take account of observed human
behavior. They use research from psychology to develop an understanding of financial decision making and
create the discipline of behavioral finance. This guide summarizes the findings of these ground-breaking
financial theorists and researchers.
7. Why Behavioral Finance Is Helpful For Investors To Decision Making Process?
*Corresponding Author: Md. Enamul Kabir 17 | Page
How behavioral biases affect investment behavior:
Research in psychology has documented a range of decision-making behaviors called biases. These
biases can affect all types of decision-making, but have particular implications in relation to money and
investing. The biases relate to how we process information to reach decisions and the preferences. We have the
biases tend to sit deep within our psyche and may serve us well in certain circumstances. However, in
investment they may lead us to unhelpful or even hurtful decisions. As a fundamental part of human nature,
these biases affect all types of investors, both professional and private. However, if we understand them and
their effects, we may be able to reduce their influence and learn to work around them. A variety of documented
biases arise in particular circumstances, some of which contradict others. The following sections discuss the key
biases and their implications for investors and advisers.
The end of behavioral finance:
We expect behavioral finance to continue to grow inimportance. Commentators such as Richard
ThaylerThayler, 1999) have suggested that we will reach the‗end of behavioral finance‘ by which they mean the
ideas will become sufficiently established to become part of the mainstream. In essence, at some stage all
finance will be behavioral. At that point behavioral ideas will be well embedded in the financial planning
process.
Understanding our brains, one emerging strand of research is the field of Neuro economics. Medical
imaging technology now allows us to look at brain activity as decisions are being made. This helps us to
understand the nature and reasons for certain behavioral biases. A recent study demonstrated that individuals
with brain lesions that impaired emotional decision-making were more likely to behave as rational investors
than individuals with normal brains.14 Other imaging studies have confirmed that the rational parts of our brain
are in tension with the emotional or limbic sections of our brain. This line of enquiry offers the possibility of
understanding and improving decision making.
Better investing:
We hope this guide has provided you with a useful insight into the research on behavioral finance. As
humans, we are effective decision-makers, but with flaws that can cause problems in realms such as investing.
An understanding of the nature of these flaws can help us avoid these problems and invest better.14 Shiv,
Loewenstein, Bechara, Damasio and Damasio, 2005. ‗Investment Behavior and the Negative Side of Emotion‘
Psychological Science 16, 435-439.
• CONCLUSION
Traditional finance, based on the hypothesis of efficient markets and the optimization of statistical
figures such as means and variances, suggests that investing has a lot to do with mathematics. However,
behavioral finance has put the spotlight back on people. People make mistakes – even in investment decisions,
which results in inefficiencies at the market level. Based on behavioral finance, investment is 80% psychology.
In the meantime, behavioral finance has created methods that can help investors identify typical mistakes while
finding the right portfolio for them. The hope is that as many investors as possible will make use of this school
of thought and that the markets will become as efficient as traditional finance assumes. However, the saying
―There is no such thing as a free lunch‖ will always apply.
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