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Why Africa stands to benefit the most
from energy storage
Mikhail Nikomarov
Director
Bushveld Energy
Johannesburg, South Africa
Forecasts call for advanced / fixed energy
storage systems(ESS) to grow globally
SOURCE: Navigant Research
Forecast installation of “Advanced” ESS by region
Coverage
for ESS in
Africa is
limited
Africa may benefit the most from energy
storage, compared to other regions
The objective is to highlight the “Big 5” advantages Africa offers
for energy storage adoption over other regions:
1. Excellent solar radiation;
2. 600+ million people that need round-the-clock access;
3. Easier project implementation;
4. High reliance on costly diesel;
5. “Savvy” energy consumers, open to new solutions.
Together these present a unique and significant opportunity for
energy storage on the content
1
2
3
4
5
Source: Bushveld Energy
1. Great solar irradiation
SOURCE: SolarGis: 2015 GeoModel Solar
Africa has the world’s best solar radiation
As a result, Africa is an ideal fit for solar + storage solutions
2. 600+ million people that need round-
the-clock access to electricity
African electrification rates
< 20% connected
20–34% connected
35–49% connected
> 50% connected
% of population connected to a grid
SOURCE: World Energy Outlook, 2011 Electricity Access Database, © OECD/IEA 2013
Greater opportunity to
“leapfrog” with help of new
technologies
• Low legacy Tx & Dx
• Increased challenges for
power line easements
• Increasing urbanisation
makes T&D less attractive
long term
• Energy independence will
require decentralisation
3. Easier and faster project delivery
SOURCE: Risk, innovation, electricity infrastructure and construction cost overruns: Testing six hypotheses,” Benjamin K.
Sovacool, Alex Gilber, Daniel Nugent, September 2014
Smaller projects overrun less
Mean size (MW); Cost of installed technology (per kW); Cost overrun (USD mil)
• ESS projects
are small to
medium sized
• ESS use of
containerised
systems for
large sites
further
reduces site-
related risks
Additional benefits include less opportunity for “fund
diversion” and a lower need for high skilled labour
4. High reliance on costly diesel
Diesel and HFO1
reliance is high
outside of
Northern Africa
and South Africa
due to
• Low grid
penetration
beyond urban
centers
• Intermittency of
grid power,
where there is
grid
As a result, many Africans and Africa-based
companies pay more for electricity than their
global counterparts
0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6
US- ind. peak
US- res. peak
Eskom- peaking
Germany- ind. peak
Germany- res. peak
Mali- off-grid mine
Tanesco- EPP cost
DRC- off-grid mine
Chad- off-grid
Electricity cost to customer2
USD / kWh, 2014-2015
1 Heavy Fuel Oil; 2 Energy charge only
Source: Bushveld Energy analysis
Africa
Not Africa
5. African consumes are “energy
consumption savvy,” lending well to
adopting energy storage quicker
Source: Bushveld Energy
Existing understanding of how to manage own
energy needs / “fend for oneself”
Higher relative energy costs provide higher
incentive to reduce / optimize costs (esp. highly
variable costs)
More creativity and open-mindedness to
experiment with new solutions
The benefits do come with challenges,
however, that are solvable
Distributed projects are inevitably smaller projects
– Tougher to raise funding finance
– Opportunity for utilities and smaller investors
54 countries implies many different standards,
regulations and markets
– Greater advantage to local companies and agencies
– Opportunity for leadership from NEPAD and the regional
power pools
Tariffs, duties, delivery costs, etc. drive up costs for
everyone. Decision makers need to pick among
often counter-acting priorities
– Lower electricity costs
– Faster power sector expansion
– Local manufacturing and job creation
NOT EXHAUSTIVE
1. Financing
2. Standard-
isation
3. Local
content
Source: Bushveld Energy

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Why Africa stands to benefit the most from energy storage

  • 1. Why Africa stands to benefit the most from energy storage Mikhail Nikomarov Director Bushveld Energy Johannesburg, South Africa
  • 2. Forecasts call for advanced / fixed energy storage systems(ESS) to grow globally SOURCE: Navigant Research Forecast installation of “Advanced” ESS by region Coverage for ESS in Africa is limited
  • 3. Africa may benefit the most from energy storage, compared to other regions The objective is to highlight the “Big 5” advantages Africa offers for energy storage adoption over other regions: 1. Excellent solar radiation; 2. 600+ million people that need round-the-clock access; 3. Easier project implementation; 4. High reliance on costly diesel; 5. “Savvy” energy consumers, open to new solutions. Together these present a unique and significant opportunity for energy storage on the content 1 2 3 4 5 Source: Bushveld Energy
  • 4. 1. Great solar irradiation SOURCE: SolarGis: 2015 GeoModel Solar Africa has the world’s best solar radiation As a result, Africa is an ideal fit for solar + storage solutions
  • 5. 2. 600+ million people that need round- the-clock access to electricity African electrification rates < 20% connected 20–34% connected 35–49% connected > 50% connected % of population connected to a grid SOURCE: World Energy Outlook, 2011 Electricity Access Database, © OECD/IEA 2013 Greater opportunity to “leapfrog” with help of new technologies • Low legacy Tx & Dx • Increased challenges for power line easements • Increasing urbanisation makes T&D less attractive long term • Energy independence will require decentralisation
  • 6. 3. Easier and faster project delivery SOURCE: Risk, innovation, electricity infrastructure and construction cost overruns: Testing six hypotheses,” Benjamin K. Sovacool, Alex Gilber, Daniel Nugent, September 2014 Smaller projects overrun less Mean size (MW); Cost of installed technology (per kW); Cost overrun (USD mil) • ESS projects are small to medium sized • ESS use of containerised systems for large sites further reduces site- related risks Additional benefits include less opportunity for “fund diversion” and a lower need for high skilled labour
  • 7. 4. High reliance on costly diesel Diesel and HFO1 reliance is high outside of Northern Africa and South Africa due to • Low grid penetration beyond urban centers • Intermittency of grid power, where there is grid As a result, many Africans and Africa-based companies pay more for electricity than their global counterparts 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 US- ind. peak US- res. peak Eskom- peaking Germany- ind. peak Germany- res. peak Mali- off-grid mine Tanesco- EPP cost DRC- off-grid mine Chad- off-grid Electricity cost to customer2 USD / kWh, 2014-2015 1 Heavy Fuel Oil; 2 Energy charge only Source: Bushveld Energy analysis Africa Not Africa
  • 8. 5. African consumes are “energy consumption savvy,” lending well to adopting energy storage quicker Source: Bushveld Energy Existing understanding of how to manage own energy needs / “fend for oneself” Higher relative energy costs provide higher incentive to reduce / optimize costs (esp. highly variable costs) More creativity and open-mindedness to experiment with new solutions
  • 9. The benefits do come with challenges, however, that are solvable Distributed projects are inevitably smaller projects – Tougher to raise funding finance – Opportunity for utilities and smaller investors 54 countries implies many different standards, regulations and markets – Greater advantage to local companies and agencies – Opportunity for leadership from NEPAD and the regional power pools Tariffs, duties, delivery costs, etc. drive up costs for everyone. Decision makers need to pick among often counter-acting priorities – Lower electricity costs – Faster power sector expansion – Local manufacturing and job creation NOT EXHAUSTIVE 1. Financing 2. Standard- isation 3. Local content Source: Bushveld Energy