The weekly newsletter provides a summary of the Indian equity market performance for the past week. Key points include: - The Nifty and Sensex indices gained marginally between 0.1-0.2% for the week. - The government announced a relief package for the debt-ridden power sector and stuck to its borrowing target. - Most Asian markets declined over the week while the US market closed its best third quarter since 2010. - On technical analysis, the Nifty is expected to consolidate but remain in a bull run, ranging between 5530-5880.

1. Weekly Newsletter
ly Newsletter-Equity
01-Oct
Oct-2012
EQUITY ANALYSIS - WEEKLY
WEEKL

2. Weekly Newsletter
Contents
Market Wrap
Market Performance
NSE Gainers
NSE Losers
Volume Toppers
World Indices
Indian Equity Market
Technical Analysis
Nifty Spot
Bank Nifty Future

3. MARKET WRAP
Nifty and Sensex gains marginally; up 0.2% to 0.1% this week.
U.S. Unemployment claims came at 359K; Pending home sales m/m at (-) 2.6%.
U.S. & Euro market were red; Asian markets too were in losses this week.
Indian equity indices managed to extend the current winning streak, belying
expectations of some softening, as FII inflows continued unabated. The Government too
carried forward its reforms agenda by announcing relief package for the debt-ridden
power sector; the rupee rose versus the US dollar to touch a five-month high, while the
stock indices hit 16-month highs. Technically Nifty this week may consolidate although it
is in bull run and may continue the bull run; Nifty this week may range 5530-5880.
India will borrow Rs 2 lakh crore through bonds in the second half of the current fiscal
year, in line with the budget estimate this year. Government has stuck to its FY13
market borrowing programme for second half of the ongoing fiscal year and ruled out
additional borrowings during the remainder of FY13. Economists are still skeptical that
the Government will be able to meet its fiscal deficit forecast of 5.1% of GDP for FY13.
Already, the Government's subsidy burden is running higher than budget estimates.
U.S markets closed its best third quarter since 2010 after a wave of central bank
actions sparked a dramatic reversal in equity markets, but signs of weakness in the
economy drove stocks lower , Traders expect October to give the markets a scare,
starting with news on the economy and jobs in the week ahead. Japanese
manufacturers released with the production data showed that companies expect output
to fall 2.9% in September before flattening in October.

4. MARKET PERFORMANCE
NSE GAINERS
COMPANY NAME CURRENT PREV. CLOSE(RS) CANG.(RS) CHAG.(%)
Pioneer Distilleries 38.70 27.10 11.60 42.80
Birla Corporation 282.45 210.25 72.20 34.34
ARSS Infra Project 60.00 45.15 14.85 32.89
Vardhman Polytex 82.20 62.30 19.90 31.94
Mukand Engineers 32.45 24.70 7.75 31.38
NSE LOSERS
COMPANY NAME CURRENT PREV. CLOSE(RS) CANG.(RS) CHAG.(%)
Kilitch Drugs(India) 41.50 70.90 -29.40 -41.47
20 Microns 111.40 136.50 -25.10 -18.39
MTNL 32.35 38.05 -5.70 -14.98
Tulip Telecom 45.60 53.25 -7.65 -14.37
Pan India Corp. 0.30 0.35 -0.05 -14.29
VOLUME TOPPERS
COMPANY NAME CURRENT PREV. CLOSE(RS) CHAG.(%) Volume in
(‘000s)
JP Associate 82.25 80.55 2.11 15926.45
Tata Motors 267.55 259.80 2.98 11540.21
Hindalco 120.70 116.50 3.61 10678.47
DLF 233.25 236.40 -1.33 9687.17
ITC 272.40 266.95 2.04 9445.97

5. SECTORIAL INDICES
Indices Country Date Index Net Change Change (%)
Hang Seng Hong Kong 28-Sep-2012 20840.38 105.44 0.51
Jakarta
Indonesia 28-Sep-2012 4262.56 17.94 0.42
Composite
Nikkei 225 Japan 28-Sep-2012 8870.16 -239.84 -2.63
KLSE
Malaysia 28-Sep-2012 1636.66 12.96 0.80
Composite
Seoul
South Korea 28-Sep-2012 1996.21 -6.16 -0.31
Composite
Strait Times Singapore 28-Sep-2012 3060.34 -17.89 -0.58
United
FTSE 100 28-Sep-2012 5742.07 -110.55 -1.89
Kingdom
United
Nasdaq 28-Sep-2012 3116.23 -63.73 -2.00
States
United
DJIA 28-Sep-2012 13437.13 -142.34 -1.05
States
United
S&P 500 28-Sep-2012 1440.67 -19.48 -1.33
States
INDIAN EQUITY MARKET
INDICES VALUE CHANGE % CHANGE
NIFTY 5703.30 12.15 0.21
BANK NIFTY 11513.75 118.35 1.04
SENSEX 18762.74 9.91 0.05

6. TECHNICAL VIEW
NIFTY
WEEKLY PIVOT
INDICES R4 R3 R2 R1 P S1 S2 S3 S4
NIFTY 5983 5886 5789 5746 5692 5649 5595 5498 5401
OUTLOOK
Trend: - Bullish
Resistance: - 5880 6080
0,
Support: - 5530, 5
5320
Strategy: - Buy on Dips
NIFTY WEEKLY

7. BANK NIFTY
WEEKLY PIVOT
SCRIPT R4 R3 R2 R1 P S1 S2 S3 S4
BANK NIFTY 12299 12026 11753 11633 11480 11360 11207 10934 10661
OUTLOOK
Trend: - Bullish
Resistance: - 1175 12200
50,
Support: - 11100, 10700
,
Strategy: - Buy on dips
BANK NIFTY WEEKLY

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