The document discusses using structured decision making to address challenges in coastal conservation from climate change uncertainties. It introduces structured decision making as a formal, logical method using quantitative tools to identify optimal choices for achieving objectives. As an example, it outlines a case study applying structured decision making to conserve tidal marshes in the San Francisco Bay in light of sea level rise uncertainties through 2050. Key steps analyzed include defining objectives and alternatives, assessing consequences, considering tradeoffs, and identifying initial optimal solutions.
Climate change presents both specific and generic challenges for marine biodiversity and fisheries. A portfolio approach is needed to manage these challenges as the issues have multiple drivers and require multifaceted solutions. Information related to climate change impacts must also be addressed synergistically. Quality climate change science is important to inform policy in this confused policy area. Both attribution of impacts and understanding variability, extremes, interactions and feedbacks are major scientific challenges.
Community engagement on adaptation to sea level changeNeil Dufty
A change in mean sea levels will require new ways to estimate flood risk, and ways
to mitigate this risk. This paper looks at the process of developing Adaptation Plans,
which are suburb specific studies on the risks and options for potential sea level rise,
and the key component of successful adaptation planning, community engagement.
Many coastal decision makers are actively assessing options to manage coastal
flood risk that incorporates rising sea levels. These adaptation options are broadly
grouped into three categories - protect, accommodate or retreat and each option has
its costs and benefits. The mix of options chosen largely depends on the attitudes
and perspectives of the community at risk - without their support, decisions within a
democratic political system are unlikely to be successful.
This paper reports the findings of a large survey and series of workshops of ‘at risk’
residents within Lake Macquarie Local Government Area. The survey helped gauge
their preferences for management options and decision-making considerations.
Following on from this survey is the current work on community engagement as part
of developing Adaptation Plans. This engagement is using an innovative
collaborative approach to engaging the community on sea level rise and adaptation
that focuses on building the capacity of Council and the community to work together
to find a solution that sticks.
The usefulness of this research is to increase understanding on the key concerns of
community to coastal adaptation, and more effective collaborative engagement on a
topic that is often controversial. As a result, this work aims to develop management
strategies that are more appealing to those at risk and the wider community.
The Practice and Potential of Ecosystem-Based Management
Applying lessons from land use and coastal management in Maine hosted by Wells National Estuarine Research Reserve,
Maine Coastal Program, Maine Sea Grant,the University of New England, and the Ecosystem-based Management Tools Network
The document outlines ACCION, a 3-year project funded by the US State Department to strengthen collaboration around glaciers and water resources in South America. It will train local scientists, educate graduate students, and conduct outreach. Key activities include regional workshops on climate modeling, glacier monitoring, hydrology, and synthesis. Working groups at this workshop will coordinate efforts, identify synergies and avoid duplication between ongoing projects in glacier monitoring, climate scenarios, and water/outreach. The goals are to build local capacity and inform policy through science-stakeholder collaboration in Colombia, Ecuador, Chile and Peru.
Martijn van Staveren "Feeling blue get green"Arjen Zegwaard
This presentation discusses the greening of flood management strategies by considering ecological principles and using the environment as a basis for solutions. It provides a framework that describes this greening trend occurring at international, national, and local levels. The main research question asks what key factors drive this greening of strategies. The presentation seeks feedback on the extent this trend is occurring in Bangladesh and requests examples where the ecosystem is used to develop flood management strategies.
This document discusses research on flood resilience in urban areas under climate change and urban growth. It focuses on Dhaka, Bangladesh as a case study. Key points:
- Cities are increasingly vulnerable to flooding due to climate change, urbanization, and population growth. Dhaka in particular faces these challenges.
- The research aims to assess flood risk management strategies and their effectiveness over time under changing conditions. It will apply and expand the "adaptation tipping point" method.
- Current challenges in Dhaka include uncertainty around urban growth and climate impacts, lack of data, and financial/capacity constraints to adaptation. The document outlines research questions and objectives to address these gaps.
UCSB has made commitments to sustainability through signing the Talloires Declaration in the 1990s, having sustainability as a theme in its 2007-2025 strategic plan, and registering with AASHE's STARS program. It supports sustainability initiatives through a Chancellor's Sustainability Committee, sustainability-focused research, courses, and degree programs. Sustainability is also addressed through general education requirements, a PhD emphasis, internship programs, and appointments of Sustainability Champions to conduct research and mentor students.
Mahmuda Mutahara "towards preachin what is practiced?"Arjen Zegwaard
This document summarizes a PhD research project on strengthening community resilience to flooding in rural Bangladesh. The project will identify community perceptions of flooding and how water management has impacted livelihoods. It will compare community views to water management practices in Bangladesh and the Dutch delta. An indicator framework will be developed to assess resilience at the community level. The research will develop a multi-actor learning approach to enhance resilience through knowledge sharing with the community. Data collection methods will include interviews, surveys, and participatory activities with communities in flood-prone areas of Bangladesh.
Climate change presents both specific and generic challenges for marine biodiversity and fisheries. A portfolio approach is needed to manage these challenges as the issues have multiple drivers and require multifaceted solutions. Information related to climate change impacts must also be addressed synergistically. Quality climate change science is important to inform policy in this confused policy area. Both attribution of impacts and understanding variability, extremes, interactions and feedbacks are major scientific challenges.
Community engagement on adaptation to sea level changeNeil Dufty
A change in mean sea levels will require new ways to estimate flood risk, and ways
to mitigate this risk. This paper looks at the process of developing Adaptation Plans,
which are suburb specific studies on the risks and options for potential sea level rise,
and the key component of successful adaptation planning, community engagement.
Many coastal decision makers are actively assessing options to manage coastal
flood risk that incorporates rising sea levels. These adaptation options are broadly
grouped into three categories - protect, accommodate or retreat and each option has
its costs and benefits. The mix of options chosen largely depends on the attitudes
and perspectives of the community at risk - without their support, decisions within a
democratic political system are unlikely to be successful.
This paper reports the findings of a large survey and series of workshops of ‘at risk’
residents within Lake Macquarie Local Government Area. The survey helped gauge
their preferences for management options and decision-making considerations.
Following on from this survey is the current work on community engagement as part
of developing Adaptation Plans. This engagement is using an innovative
collaborative approach to engaging the community on sea level rise and adaptation
that focuses on building the capacity of Council and the community to work together
to find a solution that sticks.
The usefulness of this research is to increase understanding on the key concerns of
community to coastal adaptation, and more effective collaborative engagement on a
topic that is often controversial. As a result, this work aims to develop management
strategies that are more appealing to those at risk and the wider community.
The Practice and Potential of Ecosystem-Based Management
Applying lessons from land use and coastal management in Maine hosted by Wells National Estuarine Research Reserve,
Maine Coastal Program, Maine Sea Grant,the University of New England, and the Ecosystem-based Management Tools Network
The document outlines ACCION, a 3-year project funded by the US State Department to strengthen collaboration around glaciers and water resources in South America. It will train local scientists, educate graduate students, and conduct outreach. Key activities include regional workshops on climate modeling, glacier monitoring, hydrology, and synthesis. Working groups at this workshop will coordinate efforts, identify synergies and avoid duplication between ongoing projects in glacier monitoring, climate scenarios, and water/outreach. The goals are to build local capacity and inform policy through science-stakeholder collaboration in Colombia, Ecuador, Chile and Peru.
Martijn van Staveren "Feeling blue get green"Arjen Zegwaard
This presentation discusses the greening of flood management strategies by considering ecological principles and using the environment as a basis for solutions. It provides a framework that describes this greening trend occurring at international, national, and local levels. The main research question asks what key factors drive this greening of strategies. The presentation seeks feedback on the extent this trend is occurring in Bangladesh and requests examples where the ecosystem is used to develop flood management strategies.
This document discusses research on flood resilience in urban areas under climate change and urban growth. It focuses on Dhaka, Bangladesh as a case study. Key points:
- Cities are increasingly vulnerable to flooding due to climate change, urbanization, and population growth. Dhaka in particular faces these challenges.
- The research aims to assess flood risk management strategies and their effectiveness over time under changing conditions. It will apply and expand the "adaptation tipping point" method.
- Current challenges in Dhaka include uncertainty around urban growth and climate impacts, lack of data, and financial/capacity constraints to adaptation. The document outlines research questions and objectives to address these gaps.
UCSB has made commitments to sustainability through signing the Talloires Declaration in the 1990s, having sustainability as a theme in its 2007-2025 strategic plan, and registering with AASHE's STARS program. It supports sustainability initiatives through a Chancellor's Sustainability Committee, sustainability-focused research, courses, and degree programs. Sustainability is also addressed through general education requirements, a PhD emphasis, internship programs, and appointments of Sustainability Champions to conduct research and mentor students.
Mahmuda Mutahara "towards preachin what is practiced?"Arjen Zegwaard
This document summarizes a PhD research project on strengthening community resilience to flooding in rural Bangladesh. The project will identify community perceptions of flooding and how water management has impacted livelihoods. It will compare community views to water management practices in Bangladesh and the Dutch delta. An indicator framework will be developed to assess resilience at the community level. The research will develop a multi-actor learning approach to enhance resilience through knowledge sharing with the community. Data collection methods will include interviews, surveys, and participatory activities with communities in flood-prone areas of Bangladesh.
This document discusses the need for state wildlife agencies to develop performance measures to evaluate the effectiveness of conservation activities described in State Wildlife Action Plans. It recommends a step-by-step process for developing these measures, beginning with identifying conservation targets, developing conceptual models of relationships between targets and activities, selecting potential indicators, establishing monitoring programs, implementing activities and measuring indicators, and using the results to adapt activities. Simple conceptual models and coarse-filter landscape metrics are suggested as initial approaches, with refinement over time. Developing reliable species-level measures for all species will require significant new resources.
08.00hs - 08.45hs - Can we Menage for Resilienceslides-mci
This document discusses restoration ecology as a relatively new but globally important science. It notes several global initiatives and goals to restore degraded land, including restoring 150 million hectares by 2020 under the Bonn Challenge. The document examines key questions in the field, such as how to define and measure restoration success, the variability and risk involved in restoration outcomes, and how restoration science can better guide policy and expectations. It analyzes several studies on biodiversity outcomes of restoration and references debates around benchmarking restoration projects against reference sites.
Concept and Process Design for Participatory Regional Vulnerability Assessments: Lessons Learnt from Analysing Model Projects. Presented by Wolfgang Lexer at the "Perth II: Global Change and the World's Mountains" conference in Perth, Scotland in September 2010.
This document provides an introduction to the "Communities and Institutions for Flood Resilience" program, which aims to enhance knowledge and capacity for flood risk management in the Bangladeshi and Dutch deltas through comparative research. The program objectives are to assess flood risk reduction strategies in both deltas, contribute to poverty reduction by strengthening institutional and community flood resilience, and promote mutual learning. Four PhD projects will analyze flood risk and vulnerability reduction strategies in each delta. The program will define and operationalize resilience, facilitate knowledge exchange between the two deltas, and arrive at collective understandings among stakeholders.
This recovery strategy document outlines the protection and recovery plan for Victorin's Gentian, a threatened plant species in Canada. Key points:
- Victorin's Gentian is an annual or biennial herb found along the St. Lawrence River estuary in Quebec, with an estimated population of 1,700-6,000 individuals across 45 occurrences.
- The main threat is habitat loss from shoreline development and infrastructure. Other threats include trampling, invasive species, mowing, and overabundant animal populations.
- The recovery objectives are to maintain and potentially increase the population size and occupancy of Victorin's Gentian within 14 priority occurrences in the short-term, and throughout its range in Canada in
This document discusses the critical connection between water security and ecosystem services. It begins by introducing the concepts of sustainable development, ecosystem services, and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. It then explores the ecosystem approach to water resources management and the role of freshwater resources in supporting human activities and ecosystem functions. The document presents several case studies that demonstrate lessons learned about habitat rehabilitation, pollution control, environmental flows, stakeholder involvement, and integrated watershed management in achieving both water security and sustainable ecosystem services. It concludes by recommending various response options to promote the management of balanced ecosystem services and water security.
The document is the Global Waste Management Outlook (GWMO), which provides a comprehensive assessment of global waste management. It was developed by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) in collaboration with the International Solid Waste Association (ISWA). The GWMO analyzes trends in waste generation and management, evaluates governance and financing mechanisms, and provides policy recommendations. It finds that environmentally sound waste management is essential for sustainable development. As populations and economies grow, proper waste management will be needed to reduce impacts on the environment and human health. The GWMO recommends moving from a waste management approach to one that treats waste as a resource, using a circular economy model.
Presentation from the 2015 Connecticut Land Conservation Conference by Maria Janowiak. Climate change creates substantial uncertainty about the future, but it is certain that there will be substantial effects on natural ecosystems. This session will help to begin a discussion of how climate change information can be integrated
into conservation activities in Connecticut, with an emphasis on terrestrial ecosystems and land management.
Through a workshop with land trusts and conservation organizations, we discussed key climate change impacts and ways to enhance the ability of ecosystems to cope with changing conditions.
Research article coral restoration – a systematic review ofaryan532920
Asexual
Fragmentation,
fragmentation,
fragmentation,
fragmentation
fragmentation
The process of breaking coral colonies into smaller pieces to induce
growth and propagation of new colonies. Fragments are attached to the
reef substrate.
Transplantation
Transplantation
The process of removing intact sections of coral colonies and attaching
them to the reef substrate.
Transplanting, coral
translocation
Coral gardening
Coral gardening
A combination of fragmentation and transplantation where coral
fragments or colonies are grown in a nursery before being outplanted
onto degraded reef areas.
Nursery culture, coral
Recent presentation on assessing how U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hurricane Sandy Resilience projects will improve community and ecosystem resilience to sea level rise, storm events and other threats. Presentation highlights development of ecological and socio-economic metrics and provides project examples, marsh restoration, beach restoration, living shorelines and aquatic connectivity (dam removal) of metrics being used to evaluate project performance.
This document discusses climate change adaptation in Nova Scotia's coastal zone. It notes that the effects of climate change have become increasingly apparent, with an increase in the frequency and intensity of storms leading to coastal erosion, flooding and saltwater intrusion. There are challenges to adapting to climate change in Nova Scotia due to a complicated governance environment and lack of strategy implementation. The document recommends updating Nova Scotia's Climate Change Action Plan, creating a Coastal Strategy, and using tools like coastal vulnerability assessments to effectively address climate change impacts in the coastal zone through adaptation strategies.
The document provides an overview of the Graham Sustainability Institute, its mission to enhance sustainability through research and education, and its work on integrated assessments and the Planet Blue Ambassadors program. It describes the Water Levels Integrated Assessment, which examines options for adapting to changing Great Lakes water levels, and the multi-phase planning process. It also summarizes the Planet Blue Ambassadors program, which engages the University of Michigan community in sustainability efforts through training and pledges.
This document discusses establishing a Resilience Topic Working Group within the Challenge Program on Water and Food to advance understanding and application of resilience thinking. It provides examples of resilience research topics and outlines potential core themes the group could address, including linked social-ecological systems, regime shifts, disturbances and shocks, and operationalizing adaptive management. The document also proposes an initial workplan for the group to develop a position paper, establish the group, synthesize past work, participate in forums, and facilitate learning across projects.
This document analyzes trends in ecological footprints in the Mediterranean region. It is a collaboration between Global Footprint Network, WWF Mediterranean, UNESCO Venice, Plan Bleu, and others. The document finds that the ecological footprints of Mediterranean nations now exceed the region's biocapacity by over 150%. Addressing ecological deficits and reducing fossil fuel dependence will help countries combat climate change and become more economically resilient by managing biocapacity and reducing demand on natural resources. Taking action now will be less costly than waiting, as countries can build economies that work with nature instead of against it.
The document discusses how rainwater harvesting can support both ecosystem services and human well-being by increasing water availability through collection and storage of rainfall. It notes that rainfall and water are fundamental to terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems and determine their productivity, while also meeting increasing human demands. The document explores how rainwater harvesting may help address challenges of managing water resources and ecosystems under climate change and development pressures.
This document provides a recovery strategy for the Least Bittern in Canada as required by the Species at Risk Act. The Least Bittern is designated as Threatened and breeds in freshwater and brackish marshes throughout southern Canada. The primary threats are wetland loss and degradation as well as impaired water quality. The strategy identifies 115 areas of critical habitat and population/distribution objectives to maintain and potentially increase the current size and range. Key activities are outlined to identify additional habitat needs and threats. One or more action plans will be developed by 2019 to guide recovery efforts.
This document lists iconic album cover art photos from various artists' albums, including Elton John from his 2001 album Songs From The West Coast, Shakira from her 2001 album Laundry Service, Michael Jackson from his iconic 1983 album Thriller, and others such as Shakespeare's Sister, Radiohead, OK Go, The Cure, Blink 182, The Verve, and Foo Fighters.
The document summarizes a stochastic population viability analysis for rare large-bodied woodpecker species conducted to determine the implications for the endangered Ivory-billed Woodpecker. The study developed a population model to predict extinction rates under varying scenarios of demographic rates, population size, environmental stochasticity, and Allee effects. The results showed that maintaining intermediate or high survival and fecundity rates could allow populations as small as 5 individuals to persist, even with environmental variation and Allee effects, implying rare woodpecker species may have survived in small numbers until modern times given sufficient habitat quality.
This document discusses the need for state wildlife agencies to develop performance measures to evaluate the effectiveness of conservation activities described in State Wildlife Action Plans. It recommends a step-by-step process for developing these measures, beginning with identifying conservation targets, developing conceptual models of relationships between targets and activities, selecting potential indicators, establishing monitoring programs, implementing activities and measuring indicators, and using the results to adapt activities. Simple conceptual models and coarse-filter landscape metrics are suggested as initial approaches, with refinement over time. Developing reliable species-level measures for all species will require significant new resources.
08.00hs - 08.45hs - Can we Menage for Resilienceslides-mci
This document discusses restoration ecology as a relatively new but globally important science. It notes several global initiatives and goals to restore degraded land, including restoring 150 million hectares by 2020 under the Bonn Challenge. The document examines key questions in the field, such as how to define and measure restoration success, the variability and risk involved in restoration outcomes, and how restoration science can better guide policy and expectations. It analyzes several studies on biodiversity outcomes of restoration and references debates around benchmarking restoration projects against reference sites.
Concept and Process Design for Participatory Regional Vulnerability Assessments: Lessons Learnt from Analysing Model Projects. Presented by Wolfgang Lexer at the "Perth II: Global Change and the World's Mountains" conference in Perth, Scotland in September 2010.
This document provides an introduction to the "Communities and Institutions for Flood Resilience" program, which aims to enhance knowledge and capacity for flood risk management in the Bangladeshi and Dutch deltas through comparative research. The program objectives are to assess flood risk reduction strategies in both deltas, contribute to poverty reduction by strengthening institutional and community flood resilience, and promote mutual learning. Four PhD projects will analyze flood risk and vulnerability reduction strategies in each delta. The program will define and operationalize resilience, facilitate knowledge exchange between the two deltas, and arrive at collective understandings among stakeholders.
This recovery strategy document outlines the protection and recovery plan for Victorin's Gentian, a threatened plant species in Canada. Key points:
- Victorin's Gentian is an annual or biennial herb found along the St. Lawrence River estuary in Quebec, with an estimated population of 1,700-6,000 individuals across 45 occurrences.
- The main threat is habitat loss from shoreline development and infrastructure. Other threats include trampling, invasive species, mowing, and overabundant animal populations.
- The recovery objectives are to maintain and potentially increase the population size and occupancy of Victorin's Gentian within 14 priority occurrences in the short-term, and throughout its range in Canada in
This document discusses the critical connection between water security and ecosystem services. It begins by introducing the concepts of sustainable development, ecosystem services, and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. It then explores the ecosystem approach to water resources management and the role of freshwater resources in supporting human activities and ecosystem functions. The document presents several case studies that demonstrate lessons learned about habitat rehabilitation, pollution control, environmental flows, stakeholder involvement, and integrated watershed management in achieving both water security and sustainable ecosystem services. It concludes by recommending various response options to promote the management of balanced ecosystem services and water security.
The document is the Global Waste Management Outlook (GWMO), which provides a comprehensive assessment of global waste management. It was developed by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) in collaboration with the International Solid Waste Association (ISWA). The GWMO analyzes trends in waste generation and management, evaluates governance and financing mechanisms, and provides policy recommendations. It finds that environmentally sound waste management is essential for sustainable development. As populations and economies grow, proper waste management will be needed to reduce impacts on the environment and human health. The GWMO recommends moving from a waste management approach to one that treats waste as a resource, using a circular economy model.
Presentation from the 2015 Connecticut Land Conservation Conference by Maria Janowiak. Climate change creates substantial uncertainty about the future, but it is certain that there will be substantial effects on natural ecosystems. This session will help to begin a discussion of how climate change information can be integrated
into conservation activities in Connecticut, with an emphasis on terrestrial ecosystems and land management.
Through a workshop with land trusts and conservation organizations, we discussed key climate change impacts and ways to enhance the ability of ecosystems to cope with changing conditions.
Research article coral restoration – a systematic review ofaryan532920
Asexual
Fragmentation,
fragmentation,
fragmentation,
fragmentation
fragmentation
The process of breaking coral colonies into smaller pieces to induce
growth and propagation of new colonies. Fragments are attached to the
reef substrate.
Transplantation
Transplantation
The process of removing intact sections of coral colonies and attaching
them to the reef substrate.
Transplanting, coral
translocation
Coral gardening
Coral gardening
A combination of fragmentation and transplantation where coral
fragments or colonies are grown in a nursery before being outplanted
onto degraded reef areas.
Nursery culture, coral
Recent presentation on assessing how U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Hurricane Sandy Resilience projects will improve community and ecosystem resilience to sea level rise, storm events and other threats. Presentation highlights development of ecological and socio-economic metrics and provides project examples, marsh restoration, beach restoration, living shorelines and aquatic connectivity (dam removal) of metrics being used to evaluate project performance.
This document discusses climate change adaptation in Nova Scotia's coastal zone. It notes that the effects of climate change have become increasingly apparent, with an increase in the frequency and intensity of storms leading to coastal erosion, flooding and saltwater intrusion. There are challenges to adapting to climate change in Nova Scotia due to a complicated governance environment and lack of strategy implementation. The document recommends updating Nova Scotia's Climate Change Action Plan, creating a Coastal Strategy, and using tools like coastal vulnerability assessments to effectively address climate change impacts in the coastal zone through adaptation strategies.
The document provides an overview of the Graham Sustainability Institute, its mission to enhance sustainability through research and education, and its work on integrated assessments and the Planet Blue Ambassadors program. It describes the Water Levels Integrated Assessment, which examines options for adapting to changing Great Lakes water levels, and the multi-phase planning process. It also summarizes the Planet Blue Ambassadors program, which engages the University of Michigan community in sustainability efforts through training and pledges.
This document discusses establishing a Resilience Topic Working Group within the Challenge Program on Water and Food to advance understanding and application of resilience thinking. It provides examples of resilience research topics and outlines potential core themes the group could address, including linked social-ecological systems, regime shifts, disturbances and shocks, and operationalizing adaptive management. The document also proposes an initial workplan for the group to develop a position paper, establish the group, synthesize past work, participate in forums, and facilitate learning across projects.
This document analyzes trends in ecological footprints in the Mediterranean region. It is a collaboration between Global Footprint Network, WWF Mediterranean, UNESCO Venice, Plan Bleu, and others. The document finds that the ecological footprints of Mediterranean nations now exceed the region's biocapacity by over 150%. Addressing ecological deficits and reducing fossil fuel dependence will help countries combat climate change and become more economically resilient by managing biocapacity and reducing demand on natural resources. Taking action now will be less costly than waiting, as countries can build economies that work with nature instead of against it.
The document discusses how rainwater harvesting can support both ecosystem services and human well-being by increasing water availability through collection and storage of rainfall. It notes that rainfall and water are fundamental to terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems and determine their productivity, while also meeting increasing human demands. The document explores how rainwater harvesting may help address challenges of managing water resources and ecosystems under climate change and development pressures.
This document provides a recovery strategy for the Least Bittern in Canada as required by the Species at Risk Act. The Least Bittern is designated as Threatened and breeds in freshwater and brackish marshes throughout southern Canada. The primary threats are wetland loss and degradation as well as impaired water quality. The strategy identifies 115 areas of critical habitat and population/distribution objectives to maintain and potentially increase the current size and range. Key activities are outlined to identify additional habitat needs and threats. One or more action plans will be developed by 2019 to guide recovery efforts.
This document lists iconic album cover art photos from various artists' albums, including Elton John from his 2001 album Songs From The West Coast, Shakira from her 2001 album Laundry Service, Michael Jackson from his iconic 1983 album Thriller, and others such as Shakespeare's Sister, Radiohead, OK Go, The Cure, Blink 182, The Verve, and Foo Fighters.
The document summarizes a stochastic population viability analysis for rare large-bodied woodpecker species conducted to determine the implications for the endangered Ivory-billed Woodpecker. The study developed a population model to predict extinction rates under varying scenarios of demographic rates, population size, environmental stochasticity, and Allee effects. The results showed that maintaining intermediate or high survival and fecundity rates could allow populations as small as 5 individuals to persist, even with environmental variation and Allee effects, implying rare woodpecker species may have survived in small numbers until modern times given sufficient habitat quality.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The District Disability Inclusion Forum seeks to create a space for people with disabilities in the Upper East region of Ghana to engage with local authorities and build a strong movement to promote inclusive programming. They pledge that Africa's disabled population will not be forgotten and call on authorities and citizens to support their initiative by giving a voice to disabled people, changing attitudes, and removing barriers they face so as to create a more just society.
This document summarizes the representative's accomplishments in their most recent position with the Shire G.I. Business Unit. It provides quarterly and yearly sales growth numbers for various cities and regions in several states from 2007 to 2009, showing consistent double-digit growth above national averages. It also lists the representative's high rankings, being ranked 11th out of 122 representatives in the country in 2007 and 7th in 2008.
El documento habla sobre un maestro que enseñó a sus alumnos a volar con alas de pájaro y les dio la libertad de soñar. Aunque el maestro ya no está, sus alumnos siempre lo recordarán por las lecciones que les enseñó sobre la libertad y los sueños.
The establishing shot shows the band performing to establish they will legitimately portray the music. Subsequent shots focus on the female protagonist to portray her as innocent and set the late 1800s time period. Shots of the singer acting out lyrics and close ups of his emotive face emphasize that the song is personal to him. The last shot shows him walking away from the protagonist as the narrative comes to an end.
This document summarizes IBM's announcement of a major commitment to advance Apache Spark. It discusses IBM's investments in Spark capabilities, including log processing, graph analytics, stream processing, machine learning, and unified data access. Key reasons for interest in Spark include its performance (up to 100x faster than Hadoop for some tasks), productivity gains, ability to leverage existing Hadoop investments, and continuous community improvements. The document also provides an overview of Spark's architecture, programming model using resilient distributed datasets (RDDs), and common use cases like interactive querying, batch processing, analytics, and stream processing.
Webinar 3rd feb 2014 with core team sfb cads finalBrady Mattsson
This document provides an orientation for the core team of the San Francisco Bay Climate Adaptation Decision Support project. It introduces the leadership team and core advisory team. The motivation for the project is to identify optimal, actionable conservation and climate adaptation strategies for SF Bay in the face of climate change impacts and uncertainty. The approach will use structured decision making to engage partners, reframe the decision problem, and develop decision support tools. A series of workshops and webinars are planned to complete the tools and recommend strategies across subregions through 2050-2100.
Galvanise NYC - Scaling R with Hadoop & Spark. V1.0vithakur
The document discusses scaling R using Hadoop and Spark. It provides an overview of IBM's approach to big data, which leverages open source technologies like Hadoop, Spark, and R. It then summarizes IBM's investments in Spark and the Open Data Platform initiative. The rest of the document focuses on describing Big R, IBM's tool for scaling R to big data using Hadoop. Big R allows users to run R scripts on large datasets in Hadoop and provides functions for machine learning algorithms and accessing Hadoop data from within R.
This document discusses priorities for conserving Maine's landscape in the face of climate change. It identifies 213 Species of Greatest Conservation Need and 21 key habitat types. The Maine Wildlife Action Plan evaluates species' and habitats' vulnerability to climate change impacts like changing exposure and sensitivity. Strategic conservation planning is critical to build landscape resilience and "save the stage" for species as their suitable habitats shift with climate change. Focusing on habitat connectivity, water resources, and diverse upland areas can help landscapes adapt.
This document summarizes a workshop on ecosystem-based disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation. The workshop brought together key researchers, policymakers, and practitioners to discuss evidence and economics of ecosystem approaches as well as decision-making tools. Presentations were given on case studies of ecosystem-based projects in India and Indonesia. Discussions focused on how to improve valuation of ecosystem services, operationalize ecosystem approaches, and communicate information to policymakers and communities. The workshop aimed to improve understanding and tools to demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of ecosystem-based approaches.
Overview of Climate Change Adaptation Concepts presented at the 2018 Michigan Wetlands Association "Adapting Wetlands to Climate Change" workshop, hosted by NIACS.
Pathways for Coastal Adaptation in Metro Vancouver, Alexandra Heather RUTLEDGEGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The document summarizes recent developments on the Severn Estuary Flood Risk Strategy. It discusses maintaining momentum on the strategy, providing more detail on maps, and expectations for when actions will be taken. It also covers general points from the consultation process, including contentious subjects around realigning defenses and creating inter-tidal habitat. The work has prompted engagement with MPs and looking closer at habitat losses from flood defenses.
This document summarizes a presentation on climate change adaptation planning and Massachusetts policy updates. It discusses the impacts of climate change on natural resources, human health, infrastructure, and the economy in the Northeast US. Adaptation means increasing community resiliency by reducing vulnerability. The presentation covers landscape-level planning, improving infrastructure resiliency, sustainable building practices, and Massachusetts legislation on comprehensive adaptation planning and funding support for these efforts.
Here are some potential adaptation tactics:
- Plant drought- and heat-tolerant native tree species to facilitate transitions in forest composition
- Maintain riparian buffer zones to help moderate water temperature increases and protect water quality
- Implement controlled burns or thinning to reduce wildfire risk and encourage resilience to drought
- Monitor wildlife and plant species for changes in distribution or health and adjust conservation efforts
- Protect microclimates and refugia that could support species survival under changing conditions
The tactics aim to both facilitate ecosystem adjustments to changes while also supporting existing stewardship objectives like species protection, water quality, and reduced fire risk. Monitoring is key to evaluating the effectiveness of actions over time.
Michigan State University's Institute for Public Policy and Social Research hosts an annual spring public policy forum series. This April's Public Policy Forum focused on the Great Lakes.
Petes 2014 science integration into us climate and ocean policy discussionLoretta Roberson
This document discusses science integration into US climate and ocean policy. It outlines several key US policy initiatives that aim to manage impacts of climate change and ocean acidification such as the National Climate Assessment. Examples of how scientific information has been incorporated into policies and planning are provided, including through climate assessments, early-warning systems, and long-term planning like marine protected areas. Opportunities for advancing partnerships between scientists and decision-makers are explored, such as collaborating on research and ensuring scientific findings are disseminated in usable formats.
Integrating Climate Change and Forest AdaptationMaria Janowiak
Presentation to University of Maine Climate Change Institute, April 2018.
Abstract: More and more information is becoming available about how forests and other
ecosystems may change in response to a warmer and changing climate, but it can be
challenging to integrate this information into real-world management plans and
activities. This seminar will discuss adaptation as a growing field of science and
applications of adaptation approaches, highlighting the USDA Climate Adaptation
Workbook (adaptationworkbook.org/), with on-the-ground examples like the Adaptive
Silviculture for Climate Change (forestadaptation.org/ascc) national experiment.
Who are you trying to influence with your adaptation research? How to reach them and create some genuinely useful, usable information? This lecture was held in the researcher training sessions which are part of the Adapting to Climate Change in China II project. http://www.ccadaptation.org.cn/
Presentation by Maria Janowiak of the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science at the New England Society of American Foresters 2015 Winter Meeting.
Watersheds Forum: Challenges and Points of Influencetlclapp2
This document summarizes challenges facing community watersheds in West Kootenay, BC. There is no single decision-making body, and the regulatory system prioritizes resource development over protection. Stakeholders express frustration over lack of enforcement, difficulty participating in decisions, and renewed resource development pressures. Potential opportunities under new water legislation are noted, but challenges of implementing cooperative watershed governance and strengthening protections for community watersheds remain.
On November 10, 2010 the Bay Area Open Space Council convened a workshop at the Gordon & Betty Moore Foundation to discuss climate change and its impacts on land conservation.
Read more about the event here: http://openspacecouncil.org/blog/by-guest-blogger-kelly-cash-on-the-morning-of-the-day-that-the-san-francisco-giants-would-win-the-world-series-in-the-evenin/
See photos from the event here: https://www.flickr.com/photos/openspacecouncil/sets/72157625226473375/
This document summarizes the scientific evidence on ecosystem-based adaptation (EBA). It presents six major ways that forests and trees can help human adaptation to climate change: 1) provision of products, 2) support of agriculture, 3) management of watersheds, 4) protection of coasts, 5) regulation of cities, and 6) influence on regional climate. The document discusses opportunities and challenges of EBA, including its consideration in national climate adaptation policies and programs. It analyzes examples and case studies of EBA interventions while also acknowledging knowledge gaps and uncertainties regarding some ecosystem services.
This document discusses different techniques for coastal management, including both "hard" and "soft" engineering approaches. Hard engineering techniques use artificial structures like sea walls to control erosion, but they can interfere with coastal processes and problems can be transferred elsewhere. Soft engineering tries to fit with the natural environment and have lower maintenance costs, making them preferred currently. Specific techniques mentioned include sea walls, groynes, rip rap, and beach nourishment. Managed retreat is discussed as allowing land to return to the sea to create natural habitats, though it has costs and changes the coastal landscape. The objectives are to understand advantages and disadvantages of different coastal management techniques and how they affect the coastal environment.
This document discusses the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife's (WDFW) approach to addressing climate change. WDFW has established strategic goals to drive conservation at broad scales in response to climate change, provide education to employees and the public, and build new partnerships. WDFW has conducted climate vulnerability assessments of fish, wildlife and their habitats to inform their work. WDFW is also working to integrate climate adaptation into core work such as species management and recovery planning. Lessons learned include identifying climate sensitive decisions first, asking how climate change may impact decisions, and presenting climate data in the context of other stressors. Successful adaptation involves enhancing existing conservation efforts.
Similar to Webinar 1 sdm_overview_final_2013_9_9 (20)
10. What is Structured Decision Making?
Utilizes decision analysis & toolkit
Useful for collaborative problem solving
Iterative framework, values focused
Identify & resolve impediments to decision
11. Hammond et al. 2002. Smart choices:
a practical guide to making better
life decisions. [BOOK]
Problem
Objectives
Alternatives
Consequences
Trade-offs
`
Decide & take
action
Runge et al. 2011. An overview of
structured decision making, revised
edition. [ONLINE VIDEOS]
Conroy & Peterson 2013. Decision
Making in Natural Resource
Management: A Structured, Adaptive
Approach. [BOOK]
13. Rapid Prototyping
Real
World
Abstraction
of the problem
(Decision framework)
Problem framing
Information Model
Analysis
Reality Check
Revise & Repeat
Figure by J.F. Cochrane & A.M. Starfield
14. When Structured Decision Making?
Objectives may be initially unclear
Underlying science may be quite uncertain
Wide range of conservation problems
Forest stand rotation scheduling
Recovery plan for endangered species
Conservation strategy for an ecoregion
Continental harvest plans for waterfowl
15. Outline
Existing challenges & approaches
Introduce another way forward
Illustrative example
Problem definition in focus
16. Tidal marsh conservation in the face of climate change: San
Francisco Bay case study
Mattsson, B., J. Takekawa, K. Thorne , D. Crouse J. Cummings, G. Block, V.
Bloom, M. Gerhart, S. Goldbeck, J. O’Halloran, B. Huning, N. Peterson, C.
Sloop, M. Stewart, K. Taylor, and L. Valoppi
17. Decision Question
To conserve SFB tidal marshes in light of
uncertainty about future climate change, what
are the smartest courses of action?
18. Who are the Decision-makers?
Policy – USFWS, USACE, Bay Conservation and Development
Commission, SFB Regional Water Quality Control Board, EPA
Planning – SFB Joint Venture, State Coastal Conservancy
Land Management – FWS Refuges, DFG Wildlife Areas, NPS, East Bay
Regional Parks
No single, individual decision-maker for SFB tidal marsh
restoration, management, and protection.
SFB Joint Venture -- platform for coordination
19. What Is the Primary Objective?
Perpetuate tidal marsh ecosystem functions,
services, and human benefits by maximizing
resilience of the system.
Ecosystem functions – interactions of biota with the environment (nesting
habitat, food webs)
Ecosystem services – indirect benefits to society from healthy ecosystems
(water quality, carbon sequestration)
Human benefits – direct benefits to interest groups (fishing, recreation)
Resilience – capacity of ecosystem to respond to disturbance
20. A. Marsh migration (3a,3b,11,12,19) – upslope movement
B. Climate restoration (4,6,7,8,13,21) – engineer and manage
marshes considering SLR and extreme events
C. Wildlife enhancement (16,17,18) – add habitat features, captive
rearing, translocation
D. Outreach (20) – education, involvement
Group Alternatives (n=22) into Categories
21. Alternative Allocations & SLR (2010-2050)
0
20
40
60
80
100
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
%Allocation
Year
Status Quo
Marsh Migration Climate Restoration
Wildlife Static Restoration (Action 22)
Sea-Level
28. Next Steps
Engage broader set of stakeholders & scientists
Revisit model structure & inputs
Consider additional focal species & tidal zones
Address finer, actionable spatial resolution
Expand response horizon to year 2100
Dynamic optimization or heuristics to find smartest
spatiotemporal actions (e.g. Wilson et al 2011)
Crucial uncertainties reducible via adaptive management
30. Outline
Existing challenges & approaches
Introduce another way forward
Illustrative example
Problem definition in focus
31. Defining Problems is Not Natural
When faced with a challenging situation,
tendency is: “what should I do?”
32. Problem Definition is Essential
…castles made of sand slip into the sea,
eventually – J. Hendrix
33. Decision: Defined
1. An outcome of a cognitive process leading to selection
of a course of action* among several alternatives
2. An irrevocable expenditure* of resources
*Note:
No action is a decision
Priority list is NOT
34. Turning a Problem into a Decision
Problem: “Bird species native to Hawaiian islands
cannot disperse and risk extinction from sea level
rise, invasive species, and hurricanes”
Decision Statement: “How should we implement a
management program to maximize the likelihood
that native bird species persist on Hawaiian
Islands?”
35. Identifying a Suitable Decision
Has the decision already been made?
Decision support needed?
Who are the decision makers and
stakeholders?
Authority & resources to implement?
Open to SDM?
36. What is the Decision?
Type: Allocation of resources? Choosing among
options? Series of linked choices?
Frequency, timing, spatial scope?
Constraints? Legal, regulatory, other? Dissolvable?
Key sources of uncertainty?
37. Collaborative Decision Making: Roles
Coordinators: champion SDM process/implementation
Coaches: neutral, SDM experts
Stakeholders: can influence or are influenced by decision
Technical advisors: modelers, analysts, biologists, etc.
(Facilitators: neutral, maintain team cohesiveness)
39. Building Capacity for Decision Analysis
National Conservation Training Center (USA)
http://nctc.fws.gov/courses/SDM/home.html
Adaptive Management Conference Series (USA)
NERP Environmental Decisions hub (Australia)
www.nerpdecisions.edu.au/
Others?
42. Qualitative vs. Quantitative Analysis
Qualitative only Plus Quantitative
Cost/time investment Lower Higher
Transparency
Risk of litigation
Lower Higher
Higher Lower
Capacity to learn Lower Higher
$ Translocation &
habitat
LADU persist
Kaho’olawe
approval
Sea-level rise Catastrophes
$ Translocation &
habitat
LADU persist
Kaho’olawe
approval
Sea-level rise Catastrophes
Max potential…
43. SFB Potential
Inundation
Current conditions: 310 km2
vulnerable to 100-yr floods,
most behind levees
50-cm SLR: 372 km2 or 20%
increase by 2053 or 40 yrs
150-cm SLR: 495 km2 or 60%
increase by 2105 or 100 yrs
with much uncertainty about
the rate
(Knowles 2010, SFEWS)
44. Giselle Block, FWS R8 I&M
Valary Bloom, FWS R8 Recovery Branch
Debby Crouse, Apprentice Coach, FWS Endangered Spp.
Jonathan Cummings, Apprentice Coach, Univ. Vermont
Matt Gerhart, State Coastal Conservancy
Steve Goldbeck, Bay Conservation & Development Commission
Jaime O’Halloran, U. S. Army Corp of Engineers
Beth Huning, SFB Joint Venture
Brady Mattsson, Coach, USGS Western Ecological Research Center
Nadine Peterson, State Coastal Conservancy
Christina Sloop, SFB Joint Venture
Mendel Stewart, FWS – SFB National Wildlife Refuges
John Takekawa, Coordinator, USGS Western Ecological Research Center
Karen Taylor, Co-coordinator, CA Dept. of Fish & Game
Karen Thorne, Coordinator, USGS Western Ecological Research Center
Laura Valoppi, South Bay Salt Ponds Restoration Project
Workshop Participants
47. 1. Do nothing – walk away
2. Status quo -- keep existing strategy with its nominal climate adaptation
3. Acquire upslope habitat for marsh migration from undeveloped lands
4. Engineering solutions for future restorations
5. Retrofit ongoing or post-construction restoration sites
6. Design marshes with flexibility to facilitate future SLR adaptation
7. Manage with conservation reserves or easements versus fee title
8. Remove development to facilitate marsh expansion
9. Captive breeding program for T&E
10. Create artificial habitat elements and structures for T&E
11. Develop community outreach, education, and involvement
Outside-the-Box Actions
• Build a water control structure at the Golden Gate to stop the tide
• Mendel’s bucket brigade – each person scoops 2.5 million buckets and dumps
them inland to lower sea level – problem solved!
Alternative Actions (n=22)
Editor's Notes
Some of you may be wondering why we really need a more structured approach to decision making for natural resources.Well, the reason for this is that it is often difficult to make a decision that will lead to some management goal, especially when there’s a need to integrate across institutions, agencies, and scales – both spatial and temporal.This is not all that surprising when recognizing the many psychological traps such as overly discounting future returns and moving to action without knowing the aims of our actions. So, what we need to improve our decision making is a transparent, structured approach. In other words, to take the stuff that’s in our head and put it on paper so that we can logically work through the steps toward our decisions. This transparency is especially important when decisions are in the public eye, which has become very evident in the wake of the recent GC oil spill.
Some of you are probably familiar with SDM. This is a general approach that is based on the field of decision analysis, which has its roots in…. I want to acknowledge some of my mentors… who have developed a series of courses and workshops at NCTC, where I’ve had the opportunity to help facilitate SDM workshops and to teach SDM and AM to natural resource professionals. Many of you have probably heard of adaptive management, which is a special case of SDM where we have multiple linked decisions along with monitoring to reduce structural uncertainty. Today, I’ll introduce SDM in its most general sense, and it is meant to be inclusive of other formal, logical approaches that aim toward achieving management objectives._______________The term decision analysis was coined in 1964 by Ronald A. Howard[1], who since then, as a professor at Stanford University, has been instrumental in developing much of the practice and professional application of DA.
Applies to wide range of problemsCan integrate disciplines & scalesIncreases stakeholder involvement & buy-inSupports learning & improvement"a formalization of common sense for decision problems which are too complex for informal use of common sense“ -- Keeney 1982__________Before describing the framework of SDM, I wanted to give a brief overview of the range of problems we may encounter in NRM and that the approach to a problem depends on whether the objectives and underlying science can be bounded and agreed upon. Highly contentious management problems, such as those that involve control of mammalian predators, may have obscured objectives and disputes about the underlying science that would require conflict resolution or joint fact finding. Less contentious problems, however, would be more suited for SDM. Also, note that adaptive management is actually a special case of SDM, where we have multiple, linked decisions along with monitoring to reduce structural uncertainty. For my talk today, I’ll introduce SDM in its broadest sense and provide applications from my own experience.
*** Make fun of the acronym, but say that this is a useful heuristic –
Adaptive management is where we really begin to incorporate the scientific method in NRM, and this is a focus of my research program that explicitly incorporates learning-based quantitative models for improving management decisions.
***2-day workshop, importance of providing structure to be filled in later through iterative loops through PrOACT. Problem framing: important to ID an actual decision where manager needs assistanceThis concept of developing a coarse framework before filling in the detailed models is often referred to as rapid prototyping. So, we often need multiple iterations through the PrOACT loop until we have a structure that provides a confident management recommendation.
…is now being applied in a range of natural resource problems, including reserve design, sustainable harvest planning, resource allocation. A great strength of this approach is that it integrates ecological and human dimensions of natural resource management problems.
There is a wide range of tools available to examine tradeoffs in a decision problem. I have experience applying a number of these approaches, but for this problem I chose Simple Multiattribute Rating Technique, which is commonly applied for solving deterministic problems with multiple objectives.Credit: MCR
Adaptive management is where we really begin to incorporate the scientific method in NRM, and this is a focus of my research program that explicitly incorporates learning-based quantitative models for improving management decisions.
*** Emphasize that I have participated in all of these and am involved with pushing this forward*** Mention that some of the background material for talk is drawn from the SDM course
*** replace scores with weights before averaging across stakeholdersThe first step in the SMART approach is to assign weights to the fundamental objectives. As only a subset of the stakeholders were available during the workshop, we used role playing to assign some of the weights. Let’s look at a couple examples. Private landowners have a slight preference for recovery over cost effectiveness followed by social acceptance, whereas DOD has a relatively strong weight placed on recovery relative to cost & social acceptance – this reflects their legal mandate to protect endangered species through habitat mgmt.
Transparency may be actually higher for qualitative vs. quantitative decision-making. Some quantitative approaches are black-boxy and non-transparent. Maybe a 5th line regarding uncertainty – linked to learning.If there is lots of uncertainty, easier to represent the system qualitatively.Two extreme approaches: purely quantitative would be doing the entire decision analysis in your head – whether explicitly going through the decision analysis or not. Purely quantitative would be writing out every step of the decision analysis so that anyone could retrace your steps. An intermediate option would be writing out a subset of the steps, but doing the rest in your head – a common example would be that you write out the management problem, objectives, and alternatives, then do the rest in your head without any explicit models or means to choose an alternative management strategy.