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Gram Wealth THE IFA’s 
LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE 
DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI 
wealthgram@gscgi.ch 
www.gscgi.ch 
Vol. III 
N°32 - Septembre 2014 
INVESTING IN RUSSIA: 
BUY THE CANNONS 
Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch 
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Gram Wealth THE IFA’s 
LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI 
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wealthgram@gscgi.ch • www.gscgi.ch 
Vol. III - N° 32 - Septembre 2014 
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Using imagination to smothen regional hostilities... Sourajit Aiyer 
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GramGram Wealth THE IFA’s 
LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI 
Regional hostilities are common-place, but examples of once-foes 
building bridges also abound once the incentives for peace 
were created. Such incentives have often been of “economic-nature”. 
There is nothing more effective than the benefits of 
economics and commerce to overcome ideological and trust 
hurdles. What else can explain the proximity between USA-China 
or Saudi Arabia-USA, if not mutual economic benefits? 
Asia itself is no stranger to bickering neighbors, be it the Koreas, 
Israel-Palestine, China-Japan or closer home in South Asia like 
India-Pakistan. The South Asian neighbors have had their spats 
on various issues, with relations often turning confrontational. 
Amongst the various issues, a thorny one last year had been of 
border skirmishes along the Indo-Pak line in the states of Jammu 
and Kashmir/Azad Kashmir. Border skirmishes have occurred 
in the past as well, led by elements who seem bent on creating a 
climate of hostility despite the best efforts of the governments 
and civil societies. So, is there any way to create an economics-led 
solution that can create a sort of incentive to maintain peace 
in that region? 
Let us recall the major issues which each of them are facing in 
their respective countries, and target one which is common to 
both. Energy shortage is the first that comes to mind. Pakistan 
and India are both reeling under severe energy shortages and 
this is an issue of national debate. Both rely substantially on 
imported fuels for electricity generation, and prices of fuels like 
coal, oil or natural gas are not becoming much cheaper in a hurry. 
Neither are both countries cash-rich by any means. Hence, there 
is a practical limitation to the increased amounts each can pay 
for higher imported quantities. But both do need to produce 
more electricity in order to overcome this chronic challenge. In 
such an environment, renewable energy using solar resources can 
provide some relief, however small it might be. 
A proposal to transform the entire stretch of border area (along 
the border line itself, plus an additional 50 kilometers stretch on 
either sides beyond the no-man’s land) into a landmark renewable 
energy project is the objective of this article. This means placing 
thousands of solar-energy panels side-by-side along this stretch 
which can use solar resource for electricity generation for the 
ultimate benefit of people on both sides. 
So what is the rationale behind this outlandish idea? First is 
undoubtedly to address the energy shortage issue, even if the 
wealthgram@gscgi.ch • www.gscgi.ch 
Vol. III - N° 32 - Septembre 2014 
13 
L’AVIS DE L’ANALYSTE 
Using imagination to smoothen regional hostilities… 
benefit from renewable electricity production is on a small-scale as 
compared to fossil-fuel based power plants. Secondly, the revenue 
ensuing from this project (i.e. sale of electricity by the government 
to its people) might help the governments’ public finances to some 
extent, an area on worry in both countries. Third, both countries 
are paying enough for imported fuel. In contrast, the cost of 
renewable energy comes down over the long-term once the price 
of solar panels is recovered, since the raw material (sunlight) is 
free. Moreover, the altitude and low-pollution in a region like 
Jammu and Kashmir/Azad Kashmir means that the intensity of 
sunlight is much more, and sunlight absorption would be higher 
where it is more intense and bright. Next, the technology is 
already available within the countries. So, there is no question of 
paying for expensive imported technology, apart from paying for 
the imported solar panel films itself. There are several renewable 
energy companies in India engaged in solar technology and 
setting-up of solar power infrastructure, and I am sure Pakistan 
has similar enterprises as well. Most importantly, the strategic 
nature of the project’s benefits might ensure any entity on either 
side do not resort to skirmishes in the border area. Any border 
violence will only damage the solar panels and disrupt the 
production process. Given that electricity is a sensitive national 
issue, any damage to these vital assets would only reduce public 
popularity of the entities involved in the skirmish within its own 
population, something nobody wants. Of course, it is possible 
that any instigator, after causing destruction to panels on his own 
side, might point fingers at the other side in order to pass the 
blame and win sympathy points. This is where the government’s 
ability to put in place an internal monitoring process on its own 
people coming in proximity to the “solar-zone” holds key, not 
to mention involving multiple layers for monitoring. Multiple 
layers mean more personnel, which increases the chances of 
irregularity getting leaked. 
Given that electricity shortage is a national issue, a project like 
this might help resolve some of the energy deficit, even if it is 
on a smaller-scale. Global armament manufacturing companies 
might dislike this, since continuance of hostilities is of vital 
importance for their vast sales and earnings. But, it is time India 
and Pakistan think constructively about their own benefits, rather 
than benefitting other countries by continuing their hostilities. 
Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch 
• 
Sourajit AIYER 
sourajitaiyer@gmail.com 
____________ 
The author works with a leading capital markets company in India. 
Views expressed are entirely personal and do not represent those of any entity.
GramGram Wealth THE IFA’s 
LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI 
20 
wealthgram@gscgi.ch • www.gscgi.ch 
Vol. III - N° 32 - Septembre 2014 
LE SPONSOR DE SEPTEMBRE 2014 
banquemorval — www.morval.ch — Partenaire du GSCGI 
Information contained herein is based on articles obtained from the authors, recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources, believed to be reliable. However, such informa-tion 
has not been verified by us, and we do not make any representation as to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. 
Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch 
• 
More than a banking relationship

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Sourajit Aiyer - GSCGI WealthGram, Switzerland - Using Imagination To Smoothen Regional Hostilities - Sep 2014

  • 1. Gram Wealth THE IFA’s LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI wealthgram@gscgi.ch www.gscgi.ch Vol. III N°32 - Septembre 2014 INVESTING IN RUSSIA: BUY THE CANNONS Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch •
  • 2. Gram Wealth THE IFA’s LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI 3 4-5 6-7 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 19 20 Editeur: G S C G I Secrétariat Général: 3, Rue du Vieux-Collège Case Postale 3255 CH - 1211 Genève 3 Tél. +41 (0) 22 317 11 22 secretariat@gscgi.ch wealthgram@gscgi.ch • www.gscgi.ch Vol. III - N° 32 - Septembre 2014 Editorial Sponsor de Septembre 2014 Les Membres du GSCGI Placements & Techniques de Gestion Juristes & Fiscalistes L’Avis de l’Analyste In Globo La Réunion Mensuelle du GSCGI Book Review Clin d’Oeil à l’Histoire Calendrier Réunions Mensuelles La Parole est à Vous Sponsor de Septembre 2014 2 SOMMAIRE Financiarisation et Impasse Économique Pierre Christodoulidis, Membre du Conseil Investing in Russia: Buy the Cannons Anton Khmelnitski, Banque Morval, Membre Partenaire du GSCGI FECIF informs... News Flash 65 & 63/2014 ...by Cattaneo & Zanetto CIFA informs... TRUSTING N°7 & Forum 2015 L’or retrouve une place dans une allocation d’actifs diversifiée Philippe Rezzonico, Blue Lakes Advisors, Membre du GSCGI LSFin-LEFin: quels changements pour les gérants de fortune indépendants? Me S. Hodara El Bez & Me C. Peregrina — www.altenburger.ch Le cycle prèsidentiel va-t-il perdre son influence? BEST Using imagination to smothen regional hostilities... Sourajit Aiyer various ...by Pierre Cristodoulidis & Cosima F. Barone / Academy & Finance conference Summer recess... featured SFOA & Virtual FinFair EarthArt: Colors of the Earth, by Bernhard Edmaier L’impôt sur les successions. Une fausse..., par P.Bessard & V.Curzon U.S. Gross Federal Debt at 102% of annual GDP Cosima F. Barone - FINARC SA - www.finarc.ch Banque MORVAL — www.morval.ch Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch • 8-9 18 Zürich: sekretariat@svuf.ch c/o Findling Grey AG - Tél. +41 (0) 43 819 4243 Bimenzältenstrasse 32 / Postfach 2255 CH - 8060 Zürich-Flughafen Lugano: segreteria@gscgi.ch c/o Camplani & Partners SA - Tél. +41 (0) 91 921 1414 Viale S. Franscini 16, CH - 6900 Lugano Advisory Committee Director, Maquette & Réalisation: Cosima F. Barone www.finarc.ch c.barone@finarc.ch
  • 3. GramGram Wealth THE IFA’s LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI Regional hostilities are common-place, but examples of once-foes building bridges also abound once the incentives for peace were created. Such incentives have often been of “economic-nature”. There is nothing more effective than the benefits of economics and commerce to overcome ideological and trust hurdles. What else can explain the proximity between USA-China or Saudi Arabia-USA, if not mutual economic benefits? Asia itself is no stranger to bickering neighbors, be it the Koreas, Israel-Palestine, China-Japan or closer home in South Asia like India-Pakistan. The South Asian neighbors have had their spats on various issues, with relations often turning confrontational. Amongst the various issues, a thorny one last year had been of border skirmishes along the Indo-Pak line in the states of Jammu and Kashmir/Azad Kashmir. Border skirmishes have occurred in the past as well, led by elements who seem bent on creating a climate of hostility despite the best efforts of the governments and civil societies. So, is there any way to create an economics-led solution that can create a sort of incentive to maintain peace in that region? Let us recall the major issues which each of them are facing in their respective countries, and target one which is common to both. Energy shortage is the first that comes to mind. Pakistan and India are both reeling under severe energy shortages and this is an issue of national debate. Both rely substantially on imported fuels for electricity generation, and prices of fuels like coal, oil or natural gas are not becoming much cheaper in a hurry. Neither are both countries cash-rich by any means. Hence, there is a practical limitation to the increased amounts each can pay for higher imported quantities. But both do need to produce more electricity in order to overcome this chronic challenge. In such an environment, renewable energy using solar resources can provide some relief, however small it might be. A proposal to transform the entire stretch of border area (along the border line itself, plus an additional 50 kilometers stretch on either sides beyond the no-man’s land) into a landmark renewable energy project is the objective of this article. This means placing thousands of solar-energy panels side-by-side along this stretch which can use solar resource for electricity generation for the ultimate benefit of people on both sides. So what is the rationale behind this outlandish idea? First is undoubtedly to address the energy shortage issue, even if the wealthgram@gscgi.ch • www.gscgi.ch Vol. III - N° 32 - Septembre 2014 13 L’AVIS DE L’ANALYSTE Using imagination to smoothen regional hostilities… benefit from renewable electricity production is on a small-scale as compared to fossil-fuel based power plants. Secondly, the revenue ensuing from this project (i.e. sale of electricity by the government to its people) might help the governments’ public finances to some extent, an area on worry in both countries. Third, both countries are paying enough for imported fuel. In contrast, the cost of renewable energy comes down over the long-term once the price of solar panels is recovered, since the raw material (sunlight) is free. Moreover, the altitude and low-pollution in a region like Jammu and Kashmir/Azad Kashmir means that the intensity of sunlight is much more, and sunlight absorption would be higher where it is more intense and bright. Next, the technology is already available within the countries. So, there is no question of paying for expensive imported technology, apart from paying for the imported solar panel films itself. There are several renewable energy companies in India engaged in solar technology and setting-up of solar power infrastructure, and I am sure Pakistan has similar enterprises as well. Most importantly, the strategic nature of the project’s benefits might ensure any entity on either side do not resort to skirmishes in the border area. Any border violence will only damage the solar panels and disrupt the production process. Given that electricity is a sensitive national issue, any damage to these vital assets would only reduce public popularity of the entities involved in the skirmish within its own population, something nobody wants. Of course, it is possible that any instigator, after causing destruction to panels on his own side, might point fingers at the other side in order to pass the blame and win sympathy points. This is where the government’s ability to put in place an internal monitoring process on its own people coming in proximity to the “solar-zone” holds key, not to mention involving multiple layers for monitoring. Multiple layers mean more personnel, which increases the chances of irregularity getting leaked. Given that electricity shortage is a national issue, a project like this might help resolve some of the energy deficit, even if it is on a smaller-scale. Global armament manufacturing companies might dislike this, since continuance of hostilities is of vital importance for their vast sales and earnings. But, it is time India and Pakistan think constructively about their own benefits, rather than benefitting other countries by continuing their hostilities. Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch • Sourajit AIYER sourajitaiyer@gmail.com ____________ The author works with a leading capital markets company in India. Views expressed are entirely personal and do not represent those of any entity.
  • 4. GramGram Wealth THE IFA’s LA TRIBUNE MENSUELLE DES MEMBRES DU GSCGI 20 wealthgram@gscgi.ch • www.gscgi.ch Vol. III - N° 32 - Septembre 2014 LE SPONSOR DE SEPTEMBRE 2014 banquemorval — www.morval.ch — Partenaire du GSCGI Information contained herein is based on articles obtained from the authors, recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources, believed to be reliable. However, such informa-tion has not been verified by us, and we do not make any representation as to its accuracy or completeness. Any statement nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. Groupement Suisse des Conseils en Gestion Indépendants www.gscgi.ch • More than a banking relationship