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Final Snow Survey Location:
Phillips Station near Echo Summit,
Water Supply Conditions
Water Planning Committee
May 22, 2014
Presented by: Lesley Dobalian
Water Resources Specialist
2
“Year’s Final Snow Survey Comes Up Dry”
DWR May 1, 2014 Press Release
Manual and electronic readings
recorded statewide snowpack’s
water content at a mere 18% of
average
3
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
150%
175%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
173%
53%
60% 65%
91%
146%
62%
59%
35%
Average Water Year Statewide Runoff
Percent of Average (Water Year: Oct 1 – Sept 30)
*May 1, 2014 forecasted water year runoff
4
MWD 2014 Water Supply and Demand Balance
Water Balance Acre-Feet
Total Supplies 858,000
Colorado River 755,000
State Water Project 103,000
Estimated Member Agency Demands 1,922,000
New Water Balance -1,064,000
 Excludes Water Authority Colorado River Transfers
 Negative balance made up through storage and other supplies
 Actual balance may change as year progresses
Source: MWD May 12, 2014 Water Surplus and Drought Management Plan Report
5
Source: MWD May 12, 2014 Water Planning and Stewardship Committee
 Due to reduced storage reserves, MWD may need to implement its
Water Supply Allocation Plan in 2015 if conditions continue to be dry
6
Fiscal Year Potable Water Use in
Water Authority Service Area
20,000
40,000
60,000
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Acre-Feet
Water Use FY13 (AF) Water Use FY14 (AF)
July – April of FY 2014 is 3% more than in FY 2013
Warmer Nov – Apr in FY 2014
7
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Average Daily Maximum Temperature at
Lindbergh Field - Departure from Normal (˚F)
Hotter
Cooler
Ave Daily Max Temp:
FY 2014: January – April was 4.2˚F warmer than normal
8
Temperature Outlook
June – August 2014
Summer Outlook
“Chance of El Niño increases during the remainder of
the year, exceeding 65% by summer.” May 12, 2014
Climate Prediction Center

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Water Supply Conditions, May 22, 2014

  • 1. Final Snow Survey Location: Phillips Station near Echo Summit, Water Supply Conditions Water Planning Committee May 22, 2014 Presented by: Lesley Dobalian Water Resources Specialist
  • 2. 2 “Year’s Final Snow Survey Comes Up Dry” DWR May 1, 2014 Press Release Manual and electronic readings recorded statewide snowpack’s water content at a mere 18% of average
  • 3. 3 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 173% 53% 60% 65% 91% 146% 62% 59% 35% Average Water Year Statewide Runoff Percent of Average (Water Year: Oct 1 – Sept 30) *May 1, 2014 forecasted water year runoff
  • 4. 4 MWD 2014 Water Supply and Demand Balance Water Balance Acre-Feet Total Supplies 858,000 Colorado River 755,000 State Water Project 103,000 Estimated Member Agency Demands 1,922,000 New Water Balance -1,064,000  Excludes Water Authority Colorado River Transfers  Negative balance made up through storage and other supplies  Actual balance may change as year progresses Source: MWD May 12, 2014 Water Surplus and Drought Management Plan Report
  • 5. 5 Source: MWD May 12, 2014 Water Planning and Stewardship Committee  Due to reduced storage reserves, MWD may need to implement its Water Supply Allocation Plan in 2015 if conditions continue to be dry
  • 6. 6 Fiscal Year Potable Water Use in Water Authority Service Area 20,000 40,000 60,000 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Acre-Feet Water Use FY13 (AF) Water Use FY14 (AF) July – April of FY 2014 is 3% more than in FY 2013 Warmer Nov – Apr in FY 2014
  • 7. 7 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Average Daily Maximum Temperature at Lindbergh Field - Departure from Normal (˚F) Hotter Cooler Ave Daily Max Temp: FY 2014: January – April was 4.2˚F warmer than normal
  • 8. 8 Temperature Outlook June – August 2014 Summer Outlook “Chance of El Niño increases during the remainder of the year, exceeding 65% by summer.” May 12, 2014 Climate Prediction Center