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Planning for Arkansas’s
Future Water Needs
2
Water Needs will
be forecasted to
the Year 2050
Final Plan
Rulemaking
Nov 2014
• Demand – how much water is
needed and where
• Supply – how much water is
available and where
• Gaps – the difference
between demand and supply
• Issues and
Recommendations –
challenges and solutions
Process
Future meetings
 Mt. Ida – October 8, 2013
 Fayetteville – October 8, 2013
 Harrison – October 9, 2013
 Texarkana – October 10, 2013
 Monticello – October 11, 2013
 North Little Rock – Full workgroup October 22,
2013
Water Use and Demand Forecasting
Major Water Use Sectors
 Municipal/Public and Self-Supplied
 Agriculture – Crop, Livestock, Aquaculture,
Duck Hunting and Habitat Maintenance
 Industrial - including Mining and Shale Gas
 Thermoelectric Energy
 Navigation
How Much Water do we use Today and
How Much will we Need by 2050?
Visit the ANRC Water Plan website for additional details
ARWaterPlan.Arkansas.Gov 4
Water Demand Forecasting
 Data is best available information
 Driver x Water use factor
 Current water use is then increased or decreased
based on a rate of change of the “driver”
 Source
5
Statewide Water Forecast – All Demand Sectors
Total statewide water use forecasted to increase 13%
6
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050
MillionGallonsperDay(MGD)
Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario
Crop Irrigation
Livestock
Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance
Aquaculture
Shale Gas
Thermoelectric
Self-Supplied Commercial
Industrial
Self-Supplied Domestic
Municipal
Statewide Water Forecast - Excluding Irrigation
Statewide increase of 10% for all non-irrigation sectors
7
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050
MillionGallonsperDay(MGD)
Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario
(Excluding Irrigation Demands)
Livestock
Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance
Aquaculture
Shale Gas
Thermoelectric
Self-Supplied Commercial
Industrial
Self-Supplied Domestic
Municipal
9
County Population Projections: Arkansas
Institute for Economic Advancement
Water for Irrigation
Ground-
water
84%
Surface
Water, 16
%
Alluvial
96.1%
Sparta, 1.
2%
Other, 2.
6%
13
How “gap analysis” works
14
Supply Availability Meeting
 Presentations on surface water
supply, groundwater supply, water
quality, and fish and wildlife flows
 Review and discuss draft water supply
availability results.
 Laman Library, North Little Rock 1-5 PM
October 22
15
16
Regionally Based Issues and
Recommendations
• This is where water issues will be identified
and solutions proposed
• We will continue the very successful work
group format
• Recruiting from each planning region
Thank you!
 Website and e-mail signup
www.arwaterplan.arkansas.gov
 Twitter
@ArkWaterPlan
 E-mail
arkansaswater@cdmsmth.com
 Point of contact
Edward Swaim, Arkansas Natural Resources Commission
101 East Capitol Avenue, Suite 350
Little Rock, Arkansas 72201
501-682-3979
edward.swaim@arkansas.gov

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Natural Resources Commission - Arkansas Water Plan Update October 2013 Publci Meetings

  • 2. 2 Water Needs will be forecasted to the Year 2050 Final Plan Rulemaking Nov 2014 • Demand – how much water is needed and where • Supply – how much water is available and where • Gaps – the difference between demand and supply • Issues and Recommendations – challenges and solutions Process
  • 3. Future meetings  Mt. Ida – October 8, 2013  Fayetteville – October 8, 2013  Harrison – October 9, 2013  Texarkana – October 10, 2013  Monticello – October 11, 2013  North Little Rock – Full workgroup October 22, 2013
  • 4. Water Use and Demand Forecasting Major Water Use Sectors  Municipal/Public and Self-Supplied  Agriculture – Crop, Livestock, Aquaculture, Duck Hunting and Habitat Maintenance  Industrial - including Mining and Shale Gas  Thermoelectric Energy  Navigation How Much Water do we use Today and How Much will we Need by 2050? Visit the ANRC Water Plan website for additional details ARWaterPlan.Arkansas.Gov 4
  • 5. Water Demand Forecasting  Data is best available information  Driver x Water use factor  Current water use is then increased or decreased based on a rate of change of the “driver”  Source 5
  • 6. Statewide Water Forecast – All Demand Sectors Total statewide water use forecasted to increase 13% 6 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050 MillionGallonsperDay(MGD) Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario Crop Irrigation Livestock Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance Aquaculture Shale Gas Thermoelectric Self-Supplied Commercial Industrial Self-Supplied Domestic Municipal
  • 7. Statewide Water Forecast - Excluding Irrigation Statewide increase of 10% for all non-irrigation sectors 7 - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050 MillionGallonsperDay(MGD) Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario (Excluding Irrigation Demands) Livestock Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance Aquaculture Shale Gas Thermoelectric Self-Supplied Commercial Industrial Self-Supplied Domestic Municipal
  • 8. 9
  • 9. County Population Projections: Arkansas Institute for Economic Advancement
  • 10. Water for Irrigation Ground- water 84% Surface Water, 16 % Alluvial 96.1% Sparta, 1. 2% Other, 2. 6%
  • 11. 13
  • 13. Supply Availability Meeting  Presentations on surface water supply, groundwater supply, water quality, and fish and wildlife flows  Review and discuss draft water supply availability results.  Laman Library, North Little Rock 1-5 PM October 22 15
  • 14. 16 Regionally Based Issues and Recommendations • This is where water issues will be identified and solutions proposed • We will continue the very successful work group format • Recruiting from each planning region
  • 15. Thank you!  Website and e-mail signup www.arwaterplan.arkansas.gov  Twitter @ArkWaterPlan  E-mail arkansaswater@cdmsmth.com  Point of contact Edward Swaim, Arkansas Natural Resources Commission 101 East Capitol Avenue, Suite 350 Little Rock, Arkansas 72201 501-682-3979 edward.swaim@arkansas.gov

Editor's Notes

  1. All sectors10% Increase from Base Year to 2050