2. 2
Water Needs will
be forecasted to
the Year 2050
Final Plan
Rulemaking
Nov 2014
• Demand – how much water is
needed and where
• Supply – how much water is
available and where
• Gaps – the difference
between demand and supply
• Issues and
Recommendations –
challenges and solutions
Process
3. Future meetings
Mt. Ida – October 8, 2013
Fayetteville – October 8, 2013
Harrison – October 9, 2013
Texarkana – October 10, 2013
Monticello – October 11, 2013
North Little Rock – Full workgroup October 22,
2013
4. Water Use and Demand Forecasting
Major Water Use Sectors
Municipal/Public and Self-Supplied
Agriculture – Crop, Livestock, Aquaculture,
Duck Hunting and Habitat Maintenance
Industrial - including Mining and Shale Gas
Thermoelectric Energy
Navigation
How Much Water do we use Today and
How Much will we Need by 2050?
Visit the ANRC Water Plan website for additional details
ARWaterPlan.Arkansas.Gov 4
5. Water Demand Forecasting
Data is best available information
Driver x Water use factor
Current water use is then increased or decreased
based on a rate of change of the “driver”
Source
5
6. Statewide Water Forecast – All Demand Sectors
Total statewide water use forecasted to increase 13%
6
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050
MillionGallonsperDay(MGD)
Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario
Crop Irrigation
Livestock
Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance
Aquaculture
Shale Gas
Thermoelectric
Self-Supplied Commercial
Industrial
Self-Supplied Domestic
Municipal
7. Statewide Water Forecast - Excluding Irrigation
Statewide increase of 10% for all non-irrigation sectors
7
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050
MillionGallonsperDay(MGD)
Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario
(Excluding Irrigation Demands)
Livestock
Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance
Aquaculture
Shale Gas
Thermoelectric
Self-Supplied Commercial
Industrial
Self-Supplied Domestic
Municipal
13. Supply Availability Meeting
Presentations on surface water
supply, groundwater supply, water
quality, and fish and wildlife flows
Review and discuss draft water supply
availability results.
Laman Library, North Little Rock 1-5 PM
October 22
15
14. 16
Regionally Based Issues and
Recommendations
• This is where water issues will be identified
and solutions proposed
• We will continue the very successful work
group format
• Recruiting from each planning region
15. Thank you!
Website and e-mail signup
www.arwaterplan.arkansas.gov
Twitter
@ArkWaterPlan
E-mail
arkansaswater@cdmsmth.com
Point of contact
Edward Swaim, Arkansas Natural Resources Commission
101 East Capitol Avenue, Suite 350
Little Rock, Arkansas 72201
501-682-3979
edward.swaim@arkansas.gov