- Russia's economy has been hit hard by Western sanctions over Ukraine and falling oil prices, entering recession.
- Russia is making efforts to rebalance its economic relations by intensifying ties with Asia, Turkey, and Latin America to diversify its trade partnerships and markets.
- This presents opportunities for Singapore companies to engage more with Russia and be part of Russia's efforts to court new trade partners from Asia and beyond its traditional Western focus. The report analyzes Russia's political and economic developments and identifies sectors of opportunity for Singapore firms.
The document provides an economic overview and outlook for Ukraine in 2017. It summarizes that the Ukrainian economy has stabilized over the past year and entered 2017 poised for accelerated growth, supported by recovery in domestic demand and consumption. Inflation is projected to remain in the low double digits through 2017, fueled by utility tariff increases. External accounts will remain challenging due to imports outpacing exports, but the IMF program is on track and sovereign borrowings are expected to cover any current account deficit. Overall, the economy is projected to see GDP growth of 2.8% in 2017 on strengthening domestic demand.
Highlights:
* GDP growth at 2.6% in 2015
* Current account posted improvement
* Unemployment continues to decrease, but at a slower pace
In Focus:
Zero-based approach to government budgeting, Baiba Traidase
Macroeconomic Developments Report, December 2017Latvijas Banka
The document provides an overview of macroeconomic developments in December 2017, including:
- External demand continued to grow, supported by robust global demand and growth among Latvia's main trade partners, though UK demand weakened due to Brexit uncertainties.
- The ECB maintained interest rates and asset purchase programs as inflation remained below target. Financial conditions remained accommodative globally.
- Latvia saw strong economic growth in 2017, driven by external demand, private consumption, and recovering investment inflows. Wage growth outpaced productivity, however, weakening competitiveness.
1) The Latvian economy experienced a temporary slowdown in the first quarter of 2016, with GDP growth of 1.3% year-on-year but a decline of 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, driven by a large drop in construction output.
2) Exports declined in the first quarter, driven by decreases in machinery, electrical equipment, and re-exports, while import volumes also fell.
3) Retail trade growth was supported by rising incomes in 2015 but may slow in 2016 as wage growth moderates and the contribution from lower fuel prices diminishes. Income levels, lending, demographics, and consumer habits are more important determinants of retail trade in the long run than
Macroeconomic Developments Report. June 2016Latvijas Banka
This document provides a macroeconomic developments report for June 2016. It summarizes key developments in the external sector and exports, monetary policy and financial markets, domestic demand, aggregate supply, costs and prices, and the balance of payments for Latvia. It also includes forecasts for Latvia's GDP growth and inflation for 2016. Some of the main points covered include weaker-than-expected global economic growth in 2015, accommodative monetary policy decisions by the ECB, private consumption as the main driver of GDP growth in Latvia, and a revised downward GDP growth forecast for Latvia of approximately 2.0% in 2016.
"Highlights":
* Energy prices keep annual inflation below zero
* Manufacturing growth regains momentum
* Latvia's exports: a zigzag path maintained
"In Focus":
* Latvia's exports to euro area: developments after joining, autore: Daina Pelēce
The Latvian economy experienced slower GDP growth of 1% in 2016 due to delayed absorption of EU funds, but fundamentals remain robust. While industrial production and exports exceeded records, the labor market continued improving. The 2016 slowdown was temporary and GDP growth is expected to rebound in 2017. To accelerate convergence with Western Europe, the focus should shift to supply-side reforms in public institutions, education, and healthcare to strengthen potential GDP growth.
Macroeconomic Developments Report, June 2017Latvijas Banka
Based on data from Latvijas Banka, Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia, Ministry of Finance, and Financial and Capital Market Commission, this publication assesses developments of the external sector and exports, financial market, domestic demand and supply, prices and costs, and balance of payments, and provides forecasts for the economic development and inflation. The publication is available only in electronic form.
The document provides an economic overview and outlook for Ukraine in 2017. It summarizes that the Ukrainian economy has stabilized over the past year and entered 2017 poised for accelerated growth, supported by recovery in domestic demand and consumption. Inflation is projected to remain in the low double digits through 2017, fueled by utility tariff increases. External accounts will remain challenging due to imports outpacing exports, but the IMF program is on track and sovereign borrowings are expected to cover any current account deficit. Overall, the economy is projected to see GDP growth of 2.8% in 2017 on strengthening domestic demand.
Highlights:
* GDP growth at 2.6% in 2015
* Current account posted improvement
* Unemployment continues to decrease, but at a slower pace
In Focus:
Zero-based approach to government budgeting, Baiba Traidase
Macroeconomic Developments Report, December 2017Latvijas Banka
The document provides an overview of macroeconomic developments in December 2017, including:
- External demand continued to grow, supported by robust global demand and growth among Latvia's main trade partners, though UK demand weakened due to Brexit uncertainties.
- The ECB maintained interest rates and asset purchase programs as inflation remained below target. Financial conditions remained accommodative globally.
- Latvia saw strong economic growth in 2017, driven by external demand, private consumption, and recovering investment inflows. Wage growth outpaced productivity, however, weakening competitiveness.
1) The Latvian economy experienced a temporary slowdown in the first quarter of 2016, with GDP growth of 1.3% year-on-year but a decline of 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, driven by a large drop in construction output.
2) Exports declined in the first quarter, driven by decreases in machinery, electrical equipment, and re-exports, while import volumes also fell.
3) Retail trade growth was supported by rising incomes in 2015 but may slow in 2016 as wage growth moderates and the contribution from lower fuel prices diminishes. Income levels, lending, demographics, and consumer habits are more important determinants of retail trade in the long run than
Macroeconomic Developments Report. June 2016Latvijas Banka
This document provides a macroeconomic developments report for June 2016. It summarizes key developments in the external sector and exports, monetary policy and financial markets, domestic demand, aggregate supply, costs and prices, and the balance of payments for Latvia. It also includes forecasts for Latvia's GDP growth and inflation for 2016. Some of the main points covered include weaker-than-expected global economic growth in 2015, accommodative monetary policy decisions by the ECB, private consumption as the main driver of GDP growth in Latvia, and a revised downward GDP growth forecast for Latvia of approximately 2.0% in 2016.
"Highlights":
* Energy prices keep annual inflation below zero
* Manufacturing growth regains momentum
* Latvia's exports: a zigzag path maintained
"In Focus":
* Latvia's exports to euro area: developments after joining, autore: Daina Pelēce
The Latvian economy experienced slower GDP growth of 1% in 2016 due to delayed absorption of EU funds, but fundamentals remain robust. While industrial production and exports exceeded records, the labor market continued improving. The 2016 slowdown was temporary and GDP growth is expected to rebound in 2017. To accelerate convergence with Western Europe, the focus should shift to supply-side reforms in public institutions, education, and healthcare to strengthen potential GDP growth.
Macroeconomic Developments Report, June 2017Latvijas Banka
Based on data from Latvijas Banka, Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia, Ministry of Finance, and Financial and Capital Market Commission, this publication assesses developments of the external sector and exports, financial market, domestic demand and supply, prices and costs, and balance of payments, and provides forecasts for the economic development and inflation. The publication is available only in electronic form.
Cover Story China Running out of Breath
Outlook Crude Oil
Stats India Trade Deficit FY-2014
Emerging Country Russia
In Focus Land Acquisition Bill- A Snapshot
Russia has a population of 143.4 million and its capital is Moscow. The economy relies heavily on natural resources like oil, gas, and minerals. GDP was $3.38 trillion in 2013, with GDP growth of 1.8% in early 2013. The monetary and fiscal policies have helped achieve low inflation in recent years. Foreign investment remains low due to instability and an underdeveloped banking system, though mergers and acquisitions have increased. Natural resources, especially oil and gas, dominate exports and the strategic sectors of the economy.
Russia has a population of over 142 million people and an economy that has grown in recent decades but still relies heavily on oil and gas exports. Key facts about Russia include its large size and population, a GDP of $2.1 trillion making it the 9th largest economy globally, and membership in international organizations like the WTO and CIS. Moscow is the capital and largest city with over 11 million residents while other major cities include St. Petersburg.
Latvijas Bankas "Monthly Newsletter", 10/2016Latvijas Banka
"Highlights":
* Substantial increase in high technology sectors
* Inflation is rising, but to a large extent owing to last year's developments
* External trade in August testifies to the power of Latvian cereal exports
"In Focus":
* #reformasLV or why Latvijas Banka cares about education and healthcare?, autors: Oļegs Krasnopjorovs
From ELANA Trading: Macroeconomic and Market Outlook 2015 „Bulgaria: Back on ...ELANA Group
This research report offers a thorough view on the major macroeconomic trends in Bulgaria, looking also into all internal and external factors such as crisis in Russia and Ukraine, as well as Greece turmoil. The outlook includes a snapshot of the Bulgarian stock market and its movers & shakers as well as ELANA Trading analysts top picks.
Some analysts points:
- We are cautious for 2015, but looking for a GDP growth pick up in 2016.
- Factors to watch during in 2015 would be the first decisive moves for reforms of the new coalition government, Greece and the crisis in Ukraine.
- The recent capital market decline provides good buying opportunities in various sectors as banks and financial services, electrical equipment, pharmaceuticals, etc.
- Upcoming IT IPO to boost market vitality.
- The Baltic Sea region experienced a steep economic decline in 2009, with GDP falling 5.9%. Growth is expected to return in 2010 and 2011 at rates of 2.6% and 3.1% respectively.
- The recovery is dependent on continued growth in emerging markets, which are currently the main drivers of the global economy. Risks to the outlook include turbulence in financial markets and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis potentially slowing demand.
- Structural reforms are still needed across the region to strengthen competitiveness and ensure sustainable long-term growth as countries deal with the effects of the crisis.
"Highlights":
* Healthy growth, but caution warranted
* Inflation growth decelerating
* Recovery of imports increased current account deficit
"In Focus":
* Does the financing from the EU structural funds improve the competitiveness of Latvian businesses?, autors: Oļegs Krasnopjorovs
The MNI Russia Consumer Indicator rose 2.0 points in July to 91.1 after hitting a record low in May, but remains below year-ago levels. Consumers felt better about current finances but were downbeat on the future economy. High inflation remains a key concern despite a slight easing in expectations. Tighter monetary policy and new sanctions will likely weaken growth and sentiment going forward.
Russia's Lost Decade? Challenges to Growth, Recipes for AccelerationAndrey Shapenko
The Russian economy today is going through a critical stage. The growth model, which catapulted the country into the world’s top ten economies’ list has been exhausted and most experts believe that Russia is facing a long period of low or no growth. While the world is moving forward, Russia’s standing still. Hovering anxiously in one place means its economy is becoming smaller and is further increasing its competitive gap.
The ailing economy is often blamed on the falling oil prices combined with the economic sanctions that were imposed on Russia in 2014. However, the array of challenges that the economy is facing today is much broader than that, and the recession in Russia has deeper roots.
This report represents an attempt to discuss those roots and to summarize economic agenda that the country's leadership will face on the way to restart growth, amid the 2018 presidential elections. This agenda will define economic and fiscal policy over the next 5-10 years, and thus will impact anyone who is doing business or going to invest in the country.
The document is a monthly business report from MNI Indicators on business sentiment in Russia. Some key points:
- The MNI Russia Business Indicator rose in July to the highest level in three months, though it remains below levels at the start of 2014 due to economic weakness and geopolitical tensions from Russia's actions in Ukraine.
- Production conditions for large Russian companies slumped to a seven-month low in July, while new orders and export orders improved for the second straight month.
- Companies have been reducing inventories but the pace of decline has slowed, with the inventories indicator just below neutral levels. Input prices declined for the fourth month in a row.
- Access to credit
After two years of recession, Russia's economy is projected to return to growth in 2017 as higher wages boost consumption and lower interest rates support investment. However, structural issues continue to hinder diversification, and the recovery remains dependent on stable oil prices. Fiscal and monetary policy should be further eased to support the recovery, though fiscal space is limited without economic reforms. The strength of the recovery will be constrained by a lack of structural reforms and poor business climate inhibiting diversification from oil.
The document summarizes recent economic developments in Russia. It notes that while external factors like rising oil prices and capital inflows have provided some relief, domestic vulnerabilities remain. The economy contracted sharply in 2009 but the rate of contraction slowed in the third quarter. Expansionary fiscal and monetary policies are mitigating the downturn but risks remain from growing deficits, weak corporate balance sheets, unemployment, and an still recovering banking sector. Growth is forecast to recover to 4.3% in 2010 but the medium term outlook is muted without reforms to address financial imbalances and boost productivity and competition. Domestic demand from households and businesses remains weak.
SapForex24 recommend Accurate Forex Trading Signals for International Market. So catch out our FOREX and COMEX signal.
Read More:- http://www.sapforex24.com/
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
"Highlights":
* Manufacturing growth supported by nearly all sectors
* Exports regain pace
* Inflation boosted by global food prices growth while oil prices decrease
"In Focus":
* Comparison of the Baltic States' exports, author Daina Pelēce
The efforts to stabilize the Moldovan economy after the crisis of 1998 have been largely successful. The country avoided international default as current account position radically improved, cooperation with international financial institutions was re-established and a significant primary fiscal surplus was achieved. As a result, the exchange rate was stabilised and inflation substantially reduced. Moreover, several important structural reforms were implemented and privatisation of key-industries pursued with much more determination than previously. However, only economic growth would bring real solutions to the persistent problems of external and internal imbalances of the Moldovan economy and would allow the country to face its heavy debt burden in the future. Unfortunately, prospects for sustainable growth remain weak, as the most important issues that constrain private entrepreneurship and investments have not been effectively tackled. These issues include: lack of territorial integrity, ineffective legal system, widespread corruption and rent seeking. It is unlikely that these problems can be solved until the Moldovan parliament assumes full ownership of reform process.
Authored by: Larisa Lubarova, Oleg Petrushin, Artur Radziwill
Published in 2000
"Highlights":
* 2016 passed in expactations of investment and in the environment of weak external demand
* Wages grew at a slower rate last year
* Current account recorded a surplus of 369.5 million euro or 1.6% of GDP in 2016
"In Focus":
* Foreign direct investment globally and in Latvia, autore: Santa Bērziņa
Highlights:
Annual inflation stands positive
Manufacturing growth has become stronger
Government debt servicing costs have been reduced
"In Focus":
What are the different effects of oil price developments on Latvia's inflation? autori: Oļegs Tkčevs and Andrejs Bessonovs
Slight optimism outshines numerous challenges
As 2016 rolls to a close, the Ukrainian economy is finding stronger footing. The pace of recovery remains slow, but it looks sustainable and the chances of a meaningful acceleration in 2017 are high. Inflation is still in the high single digits, but a hike in regulated utility tariffs should boost it to near the NBU’s 12% target by year-end. The FX market is nearly balanced and the NBU is taking advantage of slight surpluses to replenish reserves. Ukraine’s external accounts look reasonably strong but they still pose a risk to the economy; any external shock could trigger market jitters. Smooth relations with the IMF and other IFIs remain a key precondition for the recovery of investor and domestic consumer confidence.
Highlights:
- Current account reflects the recovering investment activity
- Annual inflation continues hovering around 3%
- GDP growth exceeds expectations and leads to revised forecasts
In Focus:
- Latvia 2017: Back to growth and structural reforms, by Mārtiņš Grāvītis
The document discusses approaches to IT projects, comparing predictive/planned approaches to more adaptive agile approaches. It notes that while predictive approaches aim to control costs and risks through prediction, it is difficult to truly predict chaos. Agile approaches prioritize working software, customer collaboration, and response to change over strict planning. The document advocates adopting agile principles like iterative development, daily standups, and user stories to help deliver more value. It argues IT projects should focus on innovation rather than just servicing and put more energy into delivering solutions rather than attempting to control unpredictable outcomes.
El documento habla sobre el primer y segundo nivel de educación inicial. Menciona a Megan Woodbury, Anna Teixidó y Cairol como parte del programa de educación inicial.
Cover Story China Running out of Breath
Outlook Crude Oil
Stats India Trade Deficit FY-2014
Emerging Country Russia
In Focus Land Acquisition Bill- A Snapshot
Russia has a population of 143.4 million and its capital is Moscow. The economy relies heavily on natural resources like oil, gas, and minerals. GDP was $3.38 trillion in 2013, with GDP growth of 1.8% in early 2013. The monetary and fiscal policies have helped achieve low inflation in recent years. Foreign investment remains low due to instability and an underdeveloped banking system, though mergers and acquisitions have increased. Natural resources, especially oil and gas, dominate exports and the strategic sectors of the economy.
Russia has a population of over 142 million people and an economy that has grown in recent decades but still relies heavily on oil and gas exports. Key facts about Russia include its large size and population, a GDP of $2.1 trillion making it the 9th largest economy globally, and membership in international organizations like the WTO and CIS. Moscow is the capital and largest city with over 11 million residents while other major cities include St. Petersburg.
Latvijas Bankas "Monthly Newsletter", 10/2016Latvijas Banka
"Highlights":
* Substantial increase in high technology sectors
* Inflation is rising, but to a large extent owing to last year's developments
* External trade in August testifies to the power of Latvian cereal exports
"In Focus":
* #reformasLV or why Latvijas Banka cares about education and healthcare?, autors: Oļegs Krasnopjorovs
From ELANA Trading: Macroeconomic and Market Outlook 2015 „Bulgaria: Back on ...ELANA Group
This research report offers a thorough view on the major macroeconomic trends in Bulgaria, looking also into all internal and external factors such as crisis in Russia and Ukraine, as well as Greece turmoil. The outlook includes a snapshot of the Bulgarian stock market and its movers & shakers as well as ELANA Trading analysts top picks.
Some analysts points:
- We are cautious for 2015, but looking for a GDP growth pick up in 2016.
- Factors to watch during in 2015 would be the first decisive moves for reforms of the new coalition government, Greece and the crisis in Ukraine.
- The recent capital market decline provides good buying opportunities in various sectors as banks and financial services, electrical equipment, pharmaceuticals, etc.
- Upcoming IT IPO to boost market vitality.
- The Baltic Sea region experienced a steep economic decline in 2009, with GDP falling 5.9%. Growth is expected to return in 2010 and 2011 at rates of 2.6% and 3.1% respectively.
- The recovery is dependent on continued growth in emerging markets, which are currently the main drivers of the global economy. Risks to the outlook include turbulence in financial markets and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis potentially slowing demand.
- Structural reforms are still needed across the region to strengthen competitiveness and ensure sustainable long-term growth as countries deal with the effects of the crisis.
"Highlights":
* Healthy growth, but caution warranted
* Inflation growth decelerating
* Recovery of imports increased current account deficit
"In Focus":
* Does the financing from the EU structural funds improve the competitiveness of Latvian businesses?, autors: Oļegs Krasnopjorovs
The MNI Russia Consumer Indicator rose 2.0 points in July to 91.1 after hitting a record low in May, but remains below year-ago levels. Consumers felt better about current finances but were downbeat on the future economy. High inflation remains a key concern despite a slight easing in expectations. Tighter monetary policy and new sanctions will likely weaken growth and sentiment going forward.
Russia's Lost Decade? Challenges to Growth, Recipes for AccelerationAndrey Shapenko
The Russian economy today is going through a critical stage. The growth model, which catapulted the country into the world’s top ten economies’ list has been exhausted and most experts believe that Russia is facing a long period of low or no growth. While the world is moving forward, Russia’s standing still. Hovering anxiously in one place means its economy is becoming smaller and is further increasing its competitive gap.
The ailing economy is often blamed on the falling oil prices combined with the economic sanctions that were imposed on Russia in 2014. However, the array of challenges that the economy is facing today is much broader than that, and the recession in Russia has deeper roots.
This report represents an attempt to discuss those roots and to summarize economic agenda that the country's leadership will face on the way to restart growth, amid the 2018 presidential elections. This agenda will define economic and fiscal policy over the next 5-10 years, and thus will impact anyone who is doing business or going to invest in the country.
The document is a monthly business report from MNI Indicators on business sentiment in Russia. Some key points:
- The MNI Russia Business Indicator rose in July to the highest level in three months, though it remains below levels at the start of 2014 due to economic weakness and geopolitical tensions from Russia's actions in Ukraine.
- Production conditions for large Russian companies slumped to a seven-month low in July, while new orders and export orders improved for the second straight month.
- Companies have been reducing inventories but the pace of decline has slowed, with the inventories indicator just below neutral levels. Input prices declined for the fourth month in a row.
- Access to credit
After two years of recession, Russia's economy is projected to return to growth in 2017 as higher wages boost consumption and lower interest rates support investment. However, structural issues continue to hinder diversification, and the recovery remains dependent on stable oil prices. Fiscal and monetary policy should be further eased to support the recovery, though fiscal space is limited without economic reforms. The strength of the recovery will be constrained by a lack of structural reforms and poor business climate inhibiting diversification from oil.
The document summarizes recent economic developments in Russia. It notes that while external factors like rising oil prices and capital inflows have provided some relief, domestic vulnerabilities remain. The economy contracted sharply in 2009 but the rate of contraction slowed in the third quarter. Expansionary fiscal and monetary policies are mitigating the downturn but risks remain from growing deficits, weak corporate balance sheets, unemployment, and an still recovering banking sector. Growth is forecast to recover to 4.3% in 2010 but the medium term outlook is muted without reforms to address financial imbalances and boost productivity and competition. Domestic demand from households and businesses remains weak.
SapForex24 recommend Accurate Forex Trading Signals for International Market. So catch out our FOREX and COMEX signal.
Read More:- http://www.sapforex24.com/
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
"Highlights":
* Manufacturing growth supported by nearly all sectors
* Exports regain pace
* Inflation boosted by global food prices growth while oil prices decrease
"In Focus":
* Comparison of the Baltic States' exports, author Daina Pelēce
The efforts to stabilize the Moldovan economy after the crisis of 1998 have been largely successful. The country avoided international default as current account position radically improved, cooperation with international financial institutions was re-established and a significant primary fiscal surplus was achieved. As a result, the exchange rate was stabilised and inflation substantially reduced. Moreover, several important structural reforms were implemented and privatisation of key-industries pursued with much more determination than previously. However, only economic growth would bring real solutions to the persistent problems of external and internal imbalances of the Moldovan economy and would allow the country to face its heavy debt burden in the future. Unfortunately, prospects for sustainable growth remain weak, as the most important issues that constrain private entrepreneurship and investments have not been effectively tackled. These issues include: lack of territorial integrity, ineffective legal system, widespread corruption and rent seeking. It is unlikely that these problems can be solved until the Moldovan parliament assumes full ownership of reform process.
Authored by: Larisa Lubarova, Oleg Petrushin, Artur Radziwill
Published in 2000
"Highlights":
* 2016 passed in expactations of investment and in the environment of weak external demand
* Wages grew at a slower rate last year
* Current account recorded a surplus of 369.5 million euro or 1.6% of GDP in 2016
"In Focus":
* Foreign direct investment globally and in Latvia, autore: Santa Bērziņa
Highlights:
Annual inflation stands positive
Manufacturing growth has become stronger
Government debt servicing costs have been reduced
"In Focus":
What are the different effects of oil price developments on Latvia's inflation? autori: Oļegs Tkčevs and Andrejs Bessonovs
Slight optimism outshines numerous challenges
As 2016 rolls to a close, the Ukrainian economy is finding stronger footing. The pace of recovery remains slow, but it looks sustainable and the chances of a meaningful acceleration in 2017 are high. Inflation is still in the high single digits, but a hike in regulated utility tariffs should boost it to near the NBU’s 12% target by year-end. The FX market is nearly balanced and the NBU is taking advantage of slight surpluses to replenish reserves. Ukraine’s external accounts look reasonably strong but they still pose a risk to the economy; any external shock could trigger market jitters. Smooth relations with the IMF and other IFIs remain a key precondition for the recovery of investor and domestic consumer confidence.
Highlights:
- Current account reflects the recovering investment activity
- Annual inflation continues hovering around 3%
- GDP growth exceeds expectations and leads to revised forecasts
In Focus:
- Latvia 2017: Back to growth and structural reforms, by Mārtiņš Grāvītis
The document discusses approaches to IT projects, comparing predictive/planned approaches to more adaptive agile approaches. It notes that while predictive approaches aim to control costs and risks through prediction, it is difficult to truly predict chaos. Agile approaches prioritize working software, customer collaboration, and response to change over strict planning. The document advocates adopting agile principles like iterative development, daily standups, and user stories to help deliver more value. It argues IT projects should focus on innovation rather than just servicing and put more energy into delivering solutions rather than attempting to control unpredictable outcomes.
El documento habla sobre el primer y segundo nivel de educación inicial. Menciona a Megan Woodbury, Anna Teixidó y Cairol como parte del programa de educación inicial.
The document discusses taking a creative and pragmatic approach to software design. It recommends making solutions small and modular rather than overengineered. Developers should work together toward the shared goal and keep code clean and tidy rather than striving for perfection. Choosing the right tools and level of detail is important, as is not being afraid to ask for help. Vision and a clear effort level are the main prerequisites for a good project.
What things to do when you’re bored at homeScoopify
It’s so many times when we are not able to understand how to get rid of the boredom we are experiencing. Here is some ideas you can try to get out of boredom.
Corporate Social Responsibility in the GCC-2Memosh Khawaja
1) The document discusses corporate social responsibility (CSR) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region and whether CSR is undertaken voluntarily or forced upon corporations.
2) It notes that governments in the GCC are putting pressure on companies through policies around price controls, localization of hiring nationals, and wage protections which squeeze corporate margins.
3) To remain viable long-term in this environment, the document argues that CSR must be at the heart of business strategy, including investing in education and fair compensation as well as reducing environmental impact and waste.
This exhibit summarizes 29 Vermont working women created by Vermont Works for Women to celebrate their 25th anniversary. It features photographs and audio interviews of the women. The interviews were conducted by young women from across Vermont and archived by the Vermont Folklife Center. The exhibit honors the women for their passion and dedication in their work. It aims to inspire young people to make informed career choices.
Prudent CAS Ltd is a registered investment company that offers various financial services including mutual funds, equities, insurance, and fixed income products. It operates through multiple subsidiary companies from over 40 branches across 7 states in India. The document discusses Prudent's products and services, tools and reports available to partners through their online Partner Desk portal, and the benefits of partnering with Prudent.
Singapore is well positioned to partner with companies looking to tap into Asian growth. It has a strategic location in Southeast Asia and trade agreements that provide access to many Asian markets. Over half of Singapore's overseas investments are in Asia, making it a top investor in countries like China and India. Singapore companies use business parks and industrial zones in Asia as platforms to expand regionally. Partnering with Singapore allows firms to leverage its expertise and networks to succeed in Asian markets.
Energia is a remote monitoring system for photovoltaic plants that uses Microthings Cloud Server to provide access to key performance data like power generation, equipment status, and profits from any location via mobile or online. The system offers centralized management of multiple plants, professional analysis tools to optimize performance, and 24/7 monitoring to understand plant operations. Energia provides a smart and full solution for solar applications of all sizes from residential to large power stations.
Hi Friends,this presentation prepared by one of the LIC Official and this about the LIC's New Plan Jeevan Labh.Its pure traditional and non market linked plan,which provide good returns as well as Insurance Cover for life,which protect your family to unexpected financial crisis.Hope you like this presentation.For more details visit here : www.thepolicykart.com or call us :- 9711346765/7319758961 or mail us at :-info@thepolicykart.com
Savings and Investment
01. Savings Bank Account
02. Bank Fixed Deposit
03. Company Deposits
04. Bank Recurring Deposit
05. Post Office Recurring Deposit
06. Post Office Term Deposit
07. Public Provident Fund
08. National Savings Certificate
09. Kisan Vikas Patra
10. Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana
11. Senior Citizen Savings Scheme
12. Post Office Monthly Income Scheme
13. RBI Savings Bond
14. Capital Gain Tax Exemption Bond or 54 EC Bonds
15. Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme
16. Inflation Indexed Bonds
17. Mutual Funds
18. Stocks and Equity
19. National Pension System
20. Unit Linked Insurance Plans Protection
21. Health Insurance
22. Life Insurance
23. Annuity
Income Tax
24. Income Tax Planning
25. Tax Planning Strategies
2016 China – Russia Business Seminar. New Opportunities & New ChallengesPwC Russia
19 января 2016 года PwC провела семинар «Россия-Китай 2016. Взгляд в будущее», на котором мы рассмотрели все грани развития российского рынка для китайских инвесторов, обсудили изменения в таможенном регулировании, проанализировали антикризисное управление для инвесторов Китая и на практике разобрали законодательные изменения.
"Macroeconomic Developments Report", March 2014Latvijas Banka
The document provides an executive summary of Latvia's Macroeconomic Developments Report for March 2014. Some key points:
- Latvia's exports weakened at the end of 2013 due to high base effects and seasonal factors, but competitiveness remained high. The current account deficit decreased to 0.8% of GDP.
- Latvia's major trade partners' growth forecasts were revised, with significant downgrades for Russia and Ukraine due to political instability. Euro area GDP growth was stronger than expected.
- As of January 2014, Latvijas Banka became a full member of the Eurosystem, implementing the euro area's single monetary policy. Loans in Latvia continued declining in December and January.
- Latvia had among
Macroeconomic Developments Report. June 2014Latvijas Banka
The document provides an overview of recent macroeconomic developments and forecasts for Latvia and its major trade partners. Some key points:
- The IMF revised down GDP growth forecasts for 2014 globally and for Russia, Finland, Lithuania and Estonia. Forecasts were upgraded for other countries except the US.
- Eurozone recovery is ongoing but constrained by high unemployment and debt. German growth is slowing. Estonian GDP fell in Q1 due to weak demand from Finland and Russia. Lithuanian growth relied on domestic demand.
- Latvian exports rebounded in early 2014 after declining previously, though confidence is falling due to Russian-Ukrainian tensions. Inflation and growth forecasts for Latvia were revised down for 2014.
"Macroeconomic Developments Report", January 2014Latvijas Banka
The document provides an overview of macroeconomic developments in Latvia and its major trade partners. Some key points:
- The IMF revised downwards GDP growth forecasts for many countries, particularly Russia, Estonia, and Finland. However, forecasts for the Eurozone were unchanged.
- In Q3 2013, exports and imports of Latvian goods contracted year-over-year due to weakening external demand and a strong base effect from previous years. Nevertheless, Latvia continued to expand its export market shares.
- In response to low inflation, the ECB and Latvijas Banka both unexpectedly lowered interest rates in November. Credit growth remained subdued as banks retained excess liquidity.
Paper on Emerging Economies by Abhishek PandeAbhishek Pande
1. The document discusses financial reforms in emerging Asian economies. It analyzes policies around fiscal consolidation, sustainable growth, and increased economic cooperation within Asia.
2. Key points include the importance of resolving policy uncertainty in advanced economies to support Asian growth, deeper fiscal and financial integration in Europe, and opportunities for greater trade and financial integration within Asia.
3. The paper recommends setting up financial oversight agencies in emerging Asian nations to coordinate regulation and support sustainable development goals in the region.
EasyBusiness expresses gratitude to international organizations for their support in 2015. The annual report discusses Ukraine's poor economic conditions, including high inflation, large foreign debt, and declining GDP. Deregulation is presented as the key to improving business conditions and stimulating economic growth by reducing bureaucracy and excessive regulation. International ratings place Ukraine low on ease of doing business and economic freedom. The report aims to increase transparency around EasyBusiness' deregulation initiatives and reform efforts.
Despite a slowing global recovery, growth is projected to be 3.3% in 2014 and 3.8% in 2015. Advanced economies are expected to see faster growth led by the US, while the eurozone recovery remains weak. Emerging markets face more divergence, with steady growth in Asia but slower growth in Latin America, Russia, and the Middle East. Short-term risks include worsening geopolitical tensions and reversals in financial markets.
Policy And Politics International Perspective Paper, H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Carnegie Mellon University, Spring 2006:
The Soviet economy and society declined in the following decades until General Secretary Mikhail GORBACHEV (1985-91) introduced glasnost (openness) and perestroika (restructuring) in an effort to renovate Communism, but his initiatives unintentionally released forces that by December 1991 splintered the USSR into Russia and 14 other independent republics. Since then, Russia has struggled in its efforts to construct a democratic political system and market economy to replace the strict social, political, and economic controls of the Communist period. While some progress has been made on the economic front, recent years have seen a recentralization of power under Vladimir PUTIN and the erosion of emerging democratic institutions.
The document provides an overview of recent economic and business news from around the world. It discusses the weak global economic growth outlook according to the IMF, with risks shifting to emerging markets. It also summarizes that China's economic growth was the slowest in 25 years at 6.9% in 2015. Additionally, it covers topics such as the lifting of economic sanctions on Iran and the falling oil prices to oversupply. Global foreign direct investment reached an eight-year high of $1.7 trillion in 2015 according to UNCTAD.
Macroeconomic Developments Report. June 2018Latvijas Banka
Based on data from Latvijas Banka, Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia, Ministry of Finance, and Financial and Capital Market Commission, this publication assesses developments of the external sector and exports, financial market, domestic demand and supply, prices and costs, and balance of payments, and provides forecasts for the economic development and inflation. The publication is available only in electronic form.
Main Streets Across the World 2015-2016David Bourla
In this report, we track over 500 of the top retail streets around the globe to bring you a ranking of the most expensive retail locations in the world, one per country using their prime rental value.
Russia is rebalancing its economic focus towards Asia in response to sanctions and lower oil prices. This presents opportunities for Singapore companies to enter new markets in Russia and capture rising trade flows between Russia and Asia. Specific opportunities include providing oilfield services and equipment to Russian energy companies, as well as manufacturing in Russia to access the domestic market. While perceptions of risk remain, Russia has shown resilience in managing its economy through the downturn.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
ASEAN is set to become the fourth largest economy globally by mid-century due to strong economic growth driven by a young population and expanding workforce. This will create a large new middle class and drive demand for energy, steel, and other commodities. Key opportunities for ASEAN include growing oil and gas imports and exports, rapidly increasing LNG demand that may establish the region as a trading hub, and doubling steel consumption. However, ASEAN also faces challenges meeting rising electricity needs and attracting sufficient investment for infrastructure development.
The MNI Russia Consumer Indicator fell to a new low in May amid rising concerns about household finances, spending on big ticket items, and long-term business conditions. Consumer confidence declined across all income groups, though higher income households were less affected. Consumers expressed growing worries about current economic conditions and the future path of inflation, interest rates, and employment prospects. Spending indicators such as durable buying conditions and car purchases also fell as consumers grew more cautious.
Macroeconomic Developments Report. December 2015Latvijas Banka
Based on data from tLatvijas Banka, Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia, Ministry of Finance, and Financial and Capital Market Commission, this publication assesses developments of the external sector and exports, financial market, domestic demand and supply, prices and costs, and balance of payments, and provides forecasts for the economic development and inflation.
The document provides an overview and outlook of the Singapore residential property market in 2015. It finds that the market will likely remain weak in 2015, with private home prices expected to soften by 4-6% and HDB resale prices by 6-8%, due to three main factors: 1) the government is unlikely to ease property cooling measures as the market correction has not been significant enough; 2) there remains weak demand and massive upcoming supply, which could increase vacancy rates above 10%; and 3) the threat of rising interest rates from an expected US rate hike makes mortgages more expensive and lowers rental returns. The outlook paints a bleak picture for the residential market in 2015.
Macroeconomic Developments Report. December 2014Latvijas Banka
The document summarizes macroeconomic developments in December 2014. It reports that growth was weak in many of Latvia's major trade partners in late 2014. The IMF lowered GDP growth projections for the Eurozone, Germany, Sweden, Estonia and Lithuania for 2014 and 2015. Latvia's exports to Russia declined in the first nine months of 2014, though exports to other countries increased. The ECB lowered interest rates and implemented new bond purchase programs to stimulate lending and the Eurozone economy. Latvian lending continued a slow downward trend in late 2014 despite ECB actions. Inflation in Latvia remained low at 0.5% in October 2014.
Similar to Vol25_Russia_rebalances_its_economic_focus (20)
1. INTERNATIONAL ENTERPRISE SINGAPORE
Russia rebalances
its economic focus:
Opportunities and strategies
to enter the market
Vol. 25_Oct 2015
IE Insights
After a decade of political stability and economic prosperity in the 2000s, Russia’s
economy has been hit hard by Western sanctions against its foreign policy over
Ukraine and tumbling oil prices. The rouble has depreciated by half in the past
12 months and Russia is in recession, following two consecutive quarters
of negative growth. Russia’s new foreign economic policy is clear: Russia
will continue to do business with the West while concurrently courting
investors from Asia, Turkey and Latin America.
While oil prices remain low and Russia’s near term economic condition
will be uncertain, IE Singapore takes a long term view of the
country’s prospects. This insight paper examines Russia’s recent
economic developments, identifies niche opportunities, and lays
out considerations for Singapore companies seeking to enter the
Russian market.
By Gwyneth TAN, LEE Li Jen
Europe Group
enquiry@iesingapore.gov.sg
2. 2
03
Summary
04
Recent political and economic
developments
• Introduction
• Russia’s response to sanctions
and recession
• Holding under pressure
• Russia turns towards Asia for new
trade flows
12
Current sectoral opportunities in Russia
• Provision of oilfield service, equipment,
machinery and parts
• Potential food trade as Singapore is
unaffected by Russia’s import ban
• Development of new urban and
industrial zones
20
Market entry strategies and dealing
with business dynamics in Russia
• Build strong relationships with
business partners
• Offer differentiated products and services
• Invest in ground due diligence and
hire capable Russian interlocutors
• Safeguard profits through payment
protections
22
Conclusion
23
Annexes
Contents
Disclaimer
While every effort is made to ensure that the information in this document is accurate, the information is
provided by IE Singapore to you without any representation or warranty. Any reliance on the information in this
document is at your own risk. IE Singapore does not accept any liability for any errors, omissions or misleading
information. IE Singapore and its employees shall not be held responsible for any consequence arising from
your reliance on any information provided by us. You are advised to consult your own professional advisors.
3. 3
Summary
// Russia’s foreign economic partners have predominantly been Western nations,
particularly continental Europe. In 2014, Russia was hit hard by the combined effects of
sanctions and drastic plunge in global oil prices. These events proved that Russia would
be vulnerable if it depended on one regional bloc for economic development. Russia
is now making a concerted effort to rebalance its economic relations with the West
by intensifying its ties with Asia, Turkey and Latin America. Russia’s trade with Asia is
historically concentrated within China, Korea and Japan, while trade with the rest of
Asia is nascent. Russian companies today are new to the Southeast Asian marketplace,
and most are still uninformed about Singapore and the growth potentials of Southeast
Asia. This presents significant room for growing Russia’s trade with Singapore, and
attracting Russian companies to base their businesses in Singapore for growing new
markets in Asia.
// Many foreign companies from non-traditional trading partners of Russia are intensifying
business development in Russia, including China, Korea, Turkey and Latin America. This
is where Singapore companies interested in the Russian market can take opportunistic
steps to deepen traction with Russia.
// IE Singapore has identified opportunities for Singapore companies in the spheres of
oil and gas, supply of staple food, and urban development. To capture these, we are
assisting Singapore companies to seek and cultivate good Russian partners.
// This insight paper presents a Singapore perspective on political and economic
developments, key observations and opportunities, and recommends practical steps for
dealing with the unique dynamics of the Russian business environment.
4. 4
Recent political and
economic developments
Russia, the 6th largest country by GDP in PPP terms1
,
is one of the world’s leading producers of oil and natural gas,
and a top exporter of metals such as steel and aluminium.
Annex A provides a snapshot of Russia and its key
economic indicators.
1 “Report for Selected Country Groups and Subjects (2014 PPP valuation of country GDP)”, IMF, retrieved April 8, 2015
2 “World Bank Revises Its Growth Projections for Russia for 2015 and 2016”, published 1 June 2015
In 2014, the US and EU imposed sanctions and trade controls in response to Russian
foreign policy positions in Crimea and Ukraine. Annex B summarises these sanctions.
Initial Western sanctions, which banned travel visas and froze assets of individuals known
to be in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s inner circle and key officials in the government,
had negligible economic effects. Instead, it incited a broad-based patriotic fervour within
Russia. The final rounds of sanctions, however, struck with real impact. They targeted
Russia’s key supports of economic growth: reliance on Western financing, technology
and know-how transfer from Western companies in defence, energy and dual-use
technology sectors.
Russia barely had time to react before global oil prices plunged, further stressing its
currency and balance of payments. By the end of 2014, foreign direct investments
had fallen to US$23.6 billion, more than half below its historical annual average of over
US$50 billion. Full year growth for 2014 was 0.6% for Russia, the lowest since the 2009
recession. Figure 1 shows Russia’s GDP growth over the past 10 years. Interest rates has
fallen from a historic high of 17% in December 2014 to 11.5% in June 2015, but are still
relatively high by global standards.
In June 2015, the World Bank updated its economic outlook for Russia to reflect a
stabilisation of global oil prices. Real GDP was projected to contract by 2.7% in 2015,
before turning positive to reach 0.7% in 2016 and 2.5% in 2017. Consumption and
investment activity were projected to increase from 2017 onwards2
.
5. 5
Recent political
and economic
developments
Russia’s response to sanctions and recession
Russia’s recession deepened in the second quarter of 2015, declining 4.6% year-on-year in
June, from a 2.2% year-on-year fall recorded in the first quarter. Nevertheless, the Central
Bank managed to avoid the need for capital controls, and the government has put in place
several measures as detailed in Annex C. These include:
// Immediate measures: A RUB 2.4 trillion anti-crisis plan was approved on 27 January
2015, out of which 65% was earmarked for recapitalising the banking sector, 13.9%
for supporting real enterprises in systemic industries and agriculture which together
account for over 70% of the national GDP, 12.9% for social support and 7% in budget
loans to regional governments. Concurrently, a 10% budget cut was implemented
across all areas except in defence, agriculture and external debt servicing.
Figure 1: GDP Growth, 2003 – 2014, percent3
12
8
4
0
-4
-8
-12
Q1 03 Q1 04 Q1 05 Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 08 Q1 09 Q1 10 Q1 11 Q1 12 Q1 13 Q1 014 Q3 14
3 Forecast Summary, The Economist Intelligence Unit, 2015
OECD oil-exporters
OECD
Other Emerging
Russia
EU Emerging
Other Emerging
6. 66
// Near to mid-term economic development programmes: Russia stepped up the
pace of import substitution, and hi-tech transformation of its capital intensive heavy
industries and manufacturing in sectors which complement Russia’s comparative
advantages, improve national security and transport infrastructure. On 31 March 2015,
the Russian government announced an updated import substitution plan, intensifying
efforts to attract high value-add or hi-tech investments to build up its own independent
domestic capabilities and to reduce imports by 2020 for six key sectors: oil and gas
equipment, services and solutions by 16.1%; equipment for food industry by 53.1%;
agricultural and forestry equipment by 55.9%; light industry by 33.5%; metalworking
machines and tools by 28.9%; cables, energy and electrical engineering equipment by
34.5%. This programme will cost at least RUB 2.5 trillion (US$ 50 billion) and will be
partially funded by private companies.
// Longer term economic initiatives: Historically and especially since the collapse of
USSR in 1991, Russia’s external trade and economic interests have been dominated by
Europe. However, the deep impact of the 2014 EU sanctions has shown Russia the
vulnerabilities of overdependence on one economic bloc. Ground observations indicate
that while Russia still welcomes large Western multinationals, it is actively rebalancing
its economic focus. Going forward, Russia will take definitive steps to refresh its
relations with non-Western nations and regions, particularly China and Asia, including
Singapore, to diversify its overseas markets and access to economic resources.
This change in Russian perception of the world opens up a window for Singapore
companies to secure long-term traction into the Russian market. Meanwhile, bargain
hunting and in-market operations by China, Korea, Japan and Western businesses
had stepped up to take advantage of reduced asset prices and operational costs. The
Russian marketplace can be expected to become more crowded with more diverse
competitors in the future.
Holding under pressure
Economic reforms in Russia had been an ongoing process. Annex D provides a
comparison with past Russian economic crisis in 1998 and 2009. Russia had since been
working to improve its business environment for several years. By 2014, the World Bank
announced that Russia had advanced 49 places in three short years from 111st in
2013 to 62nd position in its 2015 Ease of Doing Business index. This made Russia the
fastest improver in its peer group. Some of the reforms implemented include making it
easier to start a business by eliminating the requirement to deposit charter capital before
company registration, and simplifying property registration procedures. Companies also
do not need to notify authorities before opening a bank account, speeding up the overall
business formation process. These regulatory simplification ranked Russia today above
Vietnam (78th place), China (90th place), Indonesia (114th place), Brazil (120th place), India
(142nd place), Myanmar (177th place) in ease of doing business4
.
Recent political
and economic
developments
4 World Bank 2015 Ease of Doing Business Index
7. 7
Recent political
and economic
developments
In addition, Russian corporate tax rate has been steadily decreasing from 43% in 2001, to
20% today, ahead of the 25% of Myanmar, Vietnam, Indonesia and China, and the 34% of
Brazil and India, making Russian corporate tax the lowest of all BRIC and emerging ASEAN
economies5
. To promote dynamic industry development across industries and regions,
various forms of incentives are available and profit tax rates can be reduced to as low as
0% in certain sectors like medical, R&D, high-technology activities and agricultural goods
producers. Investments in regions like the Russian Far East can enjoy reduced profit tax
rate of 0% for the first five years and 10% for the next five years6
.
In the last decade, Russia’s key economic reform programmes of import substitution
and modernisation of key industrial and manufacturing sectors with capital and labour
intensive heavy models have produced upward trends. According to Russian Federal
Statistic Service:
// Industrial production index rose more than 50% from 2000 to 2012
// Total structure of exports diversified more than 50% from 2000 to 2013, with marked
increase in diversification in non-energy exports
// Non O&G exports grew 250% from 2000 to 2013, from US$50.4 billion to
US$176 billion (Figure 2)
// Within imports, there is a clear growth over the same period of machinery and
equipment needed for domestic industrialisation.
5 KPMG
6 http://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ru/Documents/tax/tax_incentives_in_russia_2014.pdf
Figure 2: Non-oil & gas exports, growth 2000 – 2013, US$ billion
Source:
Rosstat, The Central Bank
of Russia
2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
100
0
200
Metals, precious metals and metalware
Chemical products, rubber
Food and agriculture
Machinery, transport
Minerals
Arms
Wood, pulp and paper product
Others
Textile goods
Tanning materials, furs??
8. 8
As shown in Figure 3, Russia entered 2015 with over US$385.5 billion in international
reserves and foreign exchange liquidity, double that of Germany’s and nearly triple that of
the US’s. With reference to Figure 4, Russia’s external debt stood at US$680.86 billion,
less than one-fifth of Germany’s and 25 times less than the US’s. As oil prices in 2015 are
expected to remain half of 2009 levels, Russia has prudently tightened its Federal budget
spending for 2015 and is in the process of revising its national budget to reflect a more
realistic oil price, trimming budget expenditure towards 2017 to cap at RUB 15 trillion.
Foreign investors are still entering the market in niche growth sectors, with examples
provided in Figure 5. Thus it appears that the potential of the Russian marketplace for
foreign investors remains.
Singapore’s stock of Direct Investment Abroad in Russia was S$42 million as at end-2013.
Singapore investments in Russia, while small in total, are individually significant with good
growth potential. For example, Changi Airports International maintains a joint venture with
Russian business conglomerates Basic Element and Sberbank to develop and operate
airports in the Krasnodar Region.
7 IMF
Recent political
and economic
developments
9. 9
Figure 3: International reserves and foreign currency liquidity of December 20147
Figure 4: Comparing Russia’s total external debt to developed nations as of 20148
8 IMF
Recent political
and economic
developments
China
Japan
Saudi Arabia
Switzerland
Russian Federation
Korea, Republic of
Brazil
Hong Kong, SAR
India
Singapore
Mexico
Germany
Thailand
United Kingdom
United States
Turkey
indonesia
Canada
Australia
Spain
South Africa
Austria
Greece
Ireland
United States
China
France
Germany
Japan
Australia
Russia
Canada
0 1000
4500 9000 13500 18000
2000
Value in US$ billion
Value in US$ billion
3000 4000
3899.29
17,171.10
8,955.00
5,378.45
3,589.98
2,997.0
1,461.42
680.86
548.47
1260.55
732.35
545.4
385.5
363.59
362.55
328.51
320.65
256.86
195.68
192.73
157.11
135.59
132.22
127.31
111.86
74.7
53.89
50.35
49.1
24.94
6.21
1.79
10. 10
Recent political
and economic
developments
10
Figure 5: Highlights of new investment projects into Russia from September 2014
to March 20159
9 Information compiled from http://sdelanounas.ru/
2014 2015
September January
// Agriculture
Thai company CPF (Charoen Pokphand Foods)
launched a new stage of the industrial pig-breeding
farm in Moscow Region at a total investment of
US$27 million.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/53258/
// Hi-tech components
American conglomerate Emerson Group expanded its
production of various hi-tech sensors (pressure, tem-
perature, etc.) in Chelyabinsk Region (in the Urals).
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/57290/
October February
// Mining machinery
German company Becker Mining Systems co-
invested with Russian coal extraction giant SUEK in a
joint production facility for high-voltage commutation
machines used in mining.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/55824/
// Automotive
Germany company Schaeffler opened a new
production plant for automotive components in
Ulyanovsk Region (European Russia) at a price of
US$35 million.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/53721/
// Pharmaceutical
Israeli pharmaceutical company Teva Group opened
a new production facility in Yaroslavl Region (next
to Moscow Region) at a total investment of US$45
million.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/54031/
// Automotive
Swedish company Bulten and Russian company
GAZ (car producer) opened a new joint facility for
production of fastening equipment at an investment
of US$10 million.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/54294/
// Construction
French company Saint-Gobain launched its eight
production plant for construction materials in Moscow
Region at an investment of US$9 million.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/58132/
Mass market personal care
Swedish cosmetics company Oriflame inaugurated its
production facility in Noginsk, Moscow Region. Total
investments were US$165 million.
http://investors.oriflame.com/index.php?p=press&
December March
// Automotive
American company Ford Sollers through its Russian
joint venture invested US$ 400 million to expand
its existing plant in the Republic of Tatarstan with a
new production facility to produce mass-market cars.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/55653/
// Real estate
Vietnamese investment company Incentra invested
about US$ 250 million in a new multifunctional center
in Moscow comprising office space, hotel, hypermar-
kets and malls.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/56111/
// Hi tech components
Japanese conglomerate Furukawa group through its
American subsidiary opened a fibre optic cable pro-
duction plant in Voronezh Region (European Russia) at
a total investment of US$160 million.
http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/60225/
11. 1111
Russia turns towards Asia for new trade flows
Prior to 2014, China’s economic growth attracted the attention of Russian companies
across broad sectors, mostly in resource and energy sectors. At the beginning of 2014,
Russia’s total trade with Asia reached US$144.4 billion, catching up to second place
behind Russia’s trade with Europe and the UK which stood at US$318.2 billion. However,
over 75% (or US$110.8 billion) of Russia’s Asian trade is concentrated in the North
Asian markets of China, Japan and Korea, while only 11% (or US$15.8 billion) of trade is
conducted with Southeast Asia. As such, Russia’s trade flow with Southeast Asia is still
nascent which spells a high potential for growth.
Bilateral trade agreements serve to promote cross-border trade and investment between
countries. Russia and Singapore’s Double Taxation Agreement was ratified in 2009,
resulting in lower withholding tax rates imposed on dividends, interest and royalties. Tax
credit is also available for residents earning foreign sourced income10
. This contributed to
the healthy growth of bilateral trade in the past 6 years. Between 2008 and 2014, trade
between Russia and Singapore grew at a compound annual growth rate of 19.0%, from
S$3.8 billion to S$10.8 billion. Today, Russia is our 21st largest trading partner worldwide.
In 2H2014, Russian Federal Statistics Service recorded a jump of 152.2% in Singapore
and Russia’s trade turnover, ranking Singapore as Russia’s fastest growing foreign trade
partner overall for that period. Singapore’s main exports to Russia were in electrical
circuits, machinery parts, and cocoa butter fat and cocoa oil, while imports from Russia are
dominated by crude oil, nickel and copper.
Since 2014, Russian conglomerates that want to tap markets outside Russia, have found
Singapore’s competitive and efficient financial ecosystem to be a vibrant business hub.
For example, Russia’s largest gas company, Gazprom, and second largest oil company,
Lukoil, have operations in Singapore while notable IT and retail companies Acronis and
Sportmaster have chosen to situate their regional office here. This presents an opportunity
for Singapore companies to partner Russian conglomerates to create new business and
trade flows in the Asia Pacific region.
Recent political
and economic
developments
10 https://www.iras.gov.sg/irashome/News-and-Events/Newsroom/Media-Releases-and-Speeches/Media-Releases/2009/
Singapore-Russia-Avoidance-of-Double-Taxation-Agreement-Ratified/
12. 12
Current sectoral
opportunities in Russia
Provision of oilfield service, equipment, machinery and parts
Based on published information, the EU and US sanctions on Russia’s energy sector are
crafted very specifically to prohibit EU or US entities from very specific activities against
“Designated Parties”:
// Transacting or dealing in new debt (>30 days (EU), >90 days (US)), or equity
instruments for the following Russian energy companies:
1. Rosneft
2. Gazprom (US sanctions only)
3. Gazprom Neft
4. Transneft
5. Novatek (US sanctions only)
// Supplying goods, services and technology* to conduct well testing and deep-water
(>150 m), Arctic offshore and shale projects to major Russian oil E&P companies:
1. Gazprom
2. Gazpromneft
3. Lukoil
4. Rosneft
5. Surgutneftgaz
The specific carve-outs in the sanctions rules appear to leave only onshore, shallow water
and conventional exploration and production activities available for EU and US entities.
However, non-sanctioned oil and gas services and supply companies are not restricted
from participating in the entire Russia’s oil and gas sector. Interested companies are
advised to conduct proper due diligence before engaging in transactions or procurement
activities. Law firms with a specialised sanctions team will be able to offer their
professional services to Singapore companies.
At current estimates, Russia’s total oilfield services market is worth more than US$20.4
billion in 2015, about 16.8 percent of the world’s oil field services market which is believed
to be about US$ 149 million, as shown in Figure 6.
13. 13
Figure 6: Russia’s oilfield services market (2007 – 2015F)11
Furthermore, in March 2015, Russia’s new daily record of oil production was 10.7 million
barrels, ranking Russia as the world’s third biggest oil producer after US and Saudi Arabia
and the second largest energy producing state in the world after US. Figures 7 and 8
compare Russia’s oil production against the other two top oil-producing nations.
Figure 7: World’s largest oil producers12
11 “Russian State and prospects of Russian Oil & Gas Market”, Deloitte, October 2014.
12 Rosstat, BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015, US Energy Information Administration
30
14
25
12
20
10
15
8
10
6
5
4
0
2
2007
1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F
Enchanced oil recovery
Geophysics
Well maintenance
Drilling
Total
Value in US$ billion
Mb/d
United States
Saudi Arabia
Russia
14. 14
As about 50% of Russia’s Federal budget revenues is derived directly from hydrocarbon
production, the Russian government aims to maintain oil production at current levels
for the foreseeable future. This assures a positive near to long term outlook for Russia’s
oilfield services sector.
Currently, Russia’s oilfield service sector enjoys two immediate drivers of growth:
// Rising depletion rates of onshore oil wells spells accelerated well stimulation
in the next three years: Onshore oilfields form the bulk of Russia’s oilfield services
sector. Continued stimulation have deepened wells by 10% since 2007 at higher rate of
cost increase by 15%. Experts assess this trend to continue through to 2018.
// Requirements for exploration and production of tight resources in deep water,
Arctic and shale reserves: The EU and US sanctions have barred Russian oil
companies from directly purchasing Western equipment and services for drilling,
well testing, logging and completion services for these areas, creating an immediate
demand for alternative suppliers.
While recent geopolitical tensions and sanctions have reduced foreign investments in
Russia, the country remains an important market for international oilfield services firms
such as Schlumberger, Haliburton and Weatherford. This is due to Russia’s sizable oil and
gas reserves. By the end of 2014, Russia possesses almost 103.2 thousand million barrels
of proved oil reserves equal to 6.1% of the world’s total proven oil reserves.
Under the import substitution plan, all energy sectors are slated to receive support from
a state budget pool of RUB235 billion (US$4.19 billion) to localise foreign production with
private co-investments. In the meantime, Russia is allowing the substitution of Western
equipment with the Asian equivalents until domestic production can close the gap.
Foreign companies are invited to partner with Russian companies to localise production,
and will be incentivised with state support.
Current sectoral
opportunities
in Russia
Figure 8: 2008-2014 estimated US, Russia and Saudi Arabia oil and gas production13
13 Russian Federal Statistics Service, BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015, US Energy Information Administration
Quadrillion
British thermal units
Million barrels per day
of oil equivalent
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
UnitedStates
UnitedStates
UnitedStates
UnitedStates
UnitedStates
UnitedStates
UnitedStates
Russia
Russia
Russia
Russia
Russia
Russia
Russia
SaudiArabia
SaudiArabia
SaudiArabia
SaudiArabia
SaudiArabia
SaudiArabia
SaudiArabia
Natural gas
Petroleum
15. 15
Chicken
$246
Million
United States
Fish
$1,100
Million
Norway
Pork
$449
Million
Switzerland
Pork & Pig fat
$1,645 Million
European Union
Meat
$287
Million
Australia
Fruit
$34
Million
United States
Fish
$83
Million
United States
Nuts
$172
Million
United States
Milk yogurt
& cream
$246
Million
European Union
Prepared
Food
$84
Million
United States
Eggs
$151
Million
European Union
Beef
$147
Million
European Union
Cheese
$1,314
Million
European Union
Pig offal
$166
Million
European Union
Butter
$192
Million
European Union
Current sectoral
opportunities
in Russia
Potential food trade as Singapore is unaffected by Russia’s import ban
In response to the Western sanctions, Russia imposed an import ban on food items
(Figure 9) originating from the EU, US, Norway, Canada, Australia and Japan for 12 months
from August 2014. In August 2015, Montenegro, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Albania and
Ukraine were added to Russia’s list. These bans were announced to stay in place until
2016. The banned food items are mostly staples in the Russian diet which are slated
for future domestic production as part of the import substitution drive. However, raising
domestic production will take several years before current demand gaps can be met,
and with a population of 143 million, the Russian food market has considerable scope
for growth. Companies whose product origins are not subject to Russian sanctions14
therefore enjoy an immediate window of opportunity to export these food items to Russia
as first steps towards penetrating this market, with the potential for eventually localising
production to reap greater economies of scale.
Figure 9: Russia’s Food Imports15
14 “Russia: Russia threatens to ban Serbian fruits”, Black Sea Agro, 8 April 2015 (http://bs-agro.com/index.php/57518-
russia-russia-threatens-to-ban-serbian-fruits). The critical learning point for Singapore exporters is to ensure that the
origin of the exports must not be any of the Russian sanctioned countries, i.e. the EU, Norway, the US, Canada,
Australia, Japan, Montenegro, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Albania and Ukraine.
15 http://capreform.eu/russian-food-sanctions-against-the-eu/
15
16. 1616
Keeping in mind that Russia’s food import and retail industries are highly complex and
price sensitive, the rate of success for first time exporters increases where export
offerings match the most immediate import demand as follows:
Figure 9: Russia’s food shortage as at end 201416
Current sectoral
opportunities
in Russia
Staple food item Shortage (tonnes)
Fruits and nuts 1,599,570
Vegetables 914,730
Fish and seafood 457,190
Pork (fresh, chilled and frozen) 450,790
Milk and dairy products 428,790
Poultry 338,730
Beef (fresh, chilled and frozen) 59,050
16 Federal Custom Service, RBC magazine
17. 1717
Current sectoral
opportunities
in Russia
To enter the Russian market, companies are advised to invest resources to establish a
representative office in Russia. In addition, they will need to work closely with Russian
importers and distributors, to clear the rigorous certification requirements by Russia’s
Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance, especially for fresh meat,
fish and dairy products. Companies can also attend promotional food events and trade
shows in Russia to market their products and blend it to match local tastes, such as World
Food Moscow, Prod Expo and Moscow Halal Food.
Companies will also need to pay attention to export logistics. Thus far, the sea route is still
the most cost efficient mode of delivery from Singapore to Russia. This may take up to 50
days. While most exports enter Russia through St Petersburg, they can also enter Russia
via the Baltic ports and then be shipped by truck or rail to St Petersburg or Moscow.
As such, exporters need to ensure proper delivery of their perishable goods under
temperature-controlled supply chains and factor in these necessary costs.
In all these endeavours, IE Singapore has available assistance schemes for setting up of
representative offices overseas, and our Moscow Overseas Centre is able to facilitate
business matching meetings with reputable importers and supermarket chains.
Aspiring exporters can be inspired by the example of a Singapore brand that has
successfully penetrated into the Russian market through exports. Singapore company Teh
Yih Jia’s export success was developed over the years by working closely with reliable
distributors such as Australia Trade House. Today, Teh Yih Jia’s Spring Home brand of
frozen dim sum is now available in most major Moscow supermarkets.
Companies with in-market ambitions can glean valuable learning points from the examples
of Food Empire and Olam International Ltd.
Food Empire directly entered Russia in 2006 by setting up a 7,800 square metre
production plant in Moscow Region to have a first mover advantage in 3-in-1 instant
coffee in Russia. By producing locally and supply directly to the market, Food Empire
reaped substantial cost savings over the years by doing away with costs of exporting
and reducing transport costs. Being present in the market enabled Food Empire to build
up deep market expertise and react quickly to consumer and price trends . Today, Food
Empire’s MacCoffee range of 3-in-1 coffee products is a household name in Russia.
Olam International Ltd first tapped on Russia’s enormous potentials in upstream grain
production in 2009 by setting up grain procurement, trading and export offices in Moscow
and Krasnodar Region. By 2012, Olam had built up market strength and familiarity to
diversify into upstream dairy farming as a new income stream. Through persistence, and
the agility granted by being present in-market, Olam today is the largest single owner and
operator of dairy farms on the European continent. Olam is Russia’s third largest grain
exporter in 2014, and well positioned to take advantage of Russia’s impending import
substitution programmes.
18. 18
Current sectoral
opportunities
in Russia
Development of new urban and industrial zones to spur
domestic production
In recent years, special economic zones (SEZs) in Russia had become a strong economic
development strategy amongst Russian regions, with technology parks being the most
popular strategy. With the advent of sanctions, SEZs development in Russia rose in
national priority as a means of stimulating domestic production to build up domestic
capabilities for producing oil and gas equipment, services and solutions, equipment for
food industry, agricultural and forestry equipment, light industry, metalworking machines
and tool, and cables, energy and electrical engineering equipment. At least RUB 2.5 trillion
(US$ 50 billion) is required by this programme and is to be partially funded by private
investments. As such, other than clear opportunities for Singapore masterplanners, there
is also a good pipeline of potential downstream opportunities for Singapore SEZ builders
and operators in creating SEZs in Russia.
As not all sites in Russia are ready for foreign participation, IE Singapore has identified two
strategic areas whose framework for building SEZs are at a more advanced level
of development:
Decentralisation of Moscow City: To date, the area most ready for interests by
Singapore companies is in Moscow City itself. Long infamous for its traffic jams, Moscow
City suffers from an overburdened city infrastructure mostly due to the daily commute
by Russians staying in the Moscow region moving into the city centre for work, as
well as inward migration of regional Russians in search of higher paying jobs and work
opportunities. Figure 11 provides a comparison of Moscow and Moscow Region.
In 2014, Moscow City Government announced an ambitious decentralisation plan aimed
at creating new spaces for work, leisure and business. A total of 192 new transportation
hubs will be constructed, to connect to the outskirts by 61km of new subway lines and
200km of new railway lines. In addition, 1,480km2 of territory adjacent to Moscow City
is slated to be developed into new business, industrial, residential and entertainment
districts. The addition of this new territory will increase Moscow City’s total geographical
area by 59% from 2,511km2 to 3,991km2. Coined “New Moscow”, the additional new
territory alone is twice the size of Singapore.
19. 19
Current sectoral
opportunities
in Russia
Figure 11: The Moscow Transport Hub is the largest transport hub in Russia
17 http://www.ffue.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/Moscow_130829_Presentation-Transport-Council-PPT.pdf
Development of the Russian Far East territories: At 6.2 million km2
, the Russian Far
East covers over one-third of Russia, yet is driven by a mere population of 6.3 million.
Measuring 3,645km, the border between Russia Far East and China is Russia’s second
longest international border, making the Russian Far East a strategically important
hinterland for Russia. From 2013 onwards, Russia made a concerted effort to develop its
Far East regions, through SEZs called Advanced Development Territories (ADTs). A new
Federal law on ADTs was signed on 29 December 2014 and took effect in March 2015.
The first sites identified are in the most-populated regions of Primorsky, Khabarovsk
and Kamchatka. To support the development of ADTs, a Federal investment fund and
manpower agency are concurrently being set up.
Singapore’s strength in development of urban and industrial zones lies in our proven
ability to bring solutions and execute the entire value chain from master planning to
management and operations. For example, Jurong Consultants masterplanned Russia’s
Special Economic Zone in Pskov and was responsible for developing and managing the
SEZ. RSP Architects Planners & Engineers Company was chosen to design the concept
masterplan of Innopolis, a new smart city in Tatarstan. Singapore companies possess a
range of diverse urban and industrial capabilities ranging from power generation, waste
and water treatment, metro and city rail design and operation, to traffic control and
management, and airports.
Moscow
11,6 7,2
1090 (-2600 with
annexed territories)
370017
395
303
379
14,800
2700
312
506
Population
Millions of people
Area
Square km
Motorway length
Km
Railway length
Km
Number of registered
cars per 1000 people
Units
Number of main transport stations
(railway and subway)
Units
Moscow region
46,000
20. 20
Market entry strategies
and dealing with business
dynamics in Russia
Build strong relationships with business partners
Relationships with business partners are paramount. This ranks as the top success factor
for doing business in Russia. The Russian marketplace has historically been dominated by
large and complex Russian and Western entities with hard-forged relationships between
them. With the recent economic strain, Russia is actively seeking new business partners.
Aspiring foreign newcomers can expect a relatively shorter relationship building process
with the Russian entities and can enjoy long term loyalties if successful.
Russia today boasts a pool of sharp entrepreneurs who are known for their pragmatism,
business-mindedness and ability to move with speed and agility. Singapore companies
should not be afraid to engage these businessmen with deep networks within the country
and in the region.
Singapore newcomers can emulate successful foreigners who commonly invest in setting
up local offices to cultivate business friendships and connections. Companies may tap on
IE Singapore’s Global Company Partnership scheme18
that provides financial support for
market entry costs, when expanding into new overseas markets.
Offer differentiated products and services
Russians today have not altered their expectations of quality and prefer original equipment
manufacturers. This is because demand gaps in Russia has historically been filled by
Western multinational brands such as Siemens, Sollers, Renault, Proctor & Gamble, Exxon
and Caterpillar. To a smaller extent, this also includes Asian brands such as Mitsubishi
and Samsung. Singapore companies interested in the market will therefore need to offer
products of comparable quality and originality at competitive prices.
Winning in the Russian market takes more than good
strategies. Singapore companies interested in the long-term
returns of the Russian market may take into account some
unique considerations listed below.
18 Qualifying criteria includes: (i) Global HQ anchored in Singapore; (ii) A annual sales turnover of at least S$500,000
per annum based on the most recent audited report, (iii) A minimum paid-up capital of S$50,000. For more details,
please visit http://www.iesingapore.gov.sg/assistance/global-company-partnership
21. 21
Invest in ground due diligence and hire capable Russian interlocutors
Singapore companies need to note that Russia has no equivalent of Singapore’s Bizfile.
The practice of buying database information on a Russian legal entity is usually costly
and unreliable. Business rules, although increasingly streamlined and simplified, are also
subject to Russia’s unique interpretation and approach versus Western-style systems.
Desktop research about the Russian marketplace mostly does not give an accurate
picture. Therefore, on-the-ground business development and due diligence are highly
necessary. Newcomers must be prepared for a gestation period of 12-36 months
for business development in Russia, and patiently resolve the challenges of market
familiarisation, identifying competitors, and cultivating potential partners. Experienced
foreigners commonly set up marketing offices for a period of time during which they
employ staff on the ground to physically examine potential partners, such as making cold
calls, securing contacts and arranging meetings, and networking at industry events.
The vast differences of Russian cultures, languages and mentality, from Singapore, have
caused many instances where misunderstandings occurred even when both parties are
using English. Compounding the problem are the differences in operating environments
and distorted media information. Hiring an experienced Russian interlocutor conversant
with the customs and norms of the target sector will help avoid such misunderstandings.
Safeguard profits through payment protections
Financial sanctions have put Singapore exporters at greater credit risks such as payment
delays or default. One of the ways of addressing this risk that has been employed by
foreign exporters includes trading on full/partial pre-payment arrangements on individual
shipments through direct bank transfers or Letters of Credit. There are also cases where
buyers negotiate for longer payment terms. Aspiring exporters will therefore need to
conduct proper market due diligence and negotiations with buyers to determine the most
appropriate payment terms. This will help avoid potential disputes that can damage the
hard-won relationships.
22. 22
Conclusion
In the medium term, Russia will maintain diverse economic ties with the world, instead of
being overly reliant on one regional bloc for economic development. The much-reported
Russian pivot to Asia does not mean that Western investors have left the marketplace.
Russia and its key economic partners are more likely to have a longer term relationships.
Over time, the Russian marketplace is likely to become more, not less, diverse and
competitive, offering Russian customers a wider choice of price points and quality levels.
For now, Russia’s intensified spotlight on Asia gives Singapore companies a concrete
opportunity to proactively promote its value propositions. This window will not last as
other non-traditional competitors will step in while Western businesses continued to stay
invested. Singapore companies will need to act fast, adopt a strategic long-term view and
commit resources to learn the subtle market complexities and succeed in Russia.
The Russian economy is expected to contract further in 2015
as the country adjusts to new dynamics of lower oil prices.
However, in the long term, Russia’s large resource base and
highly specialised technical talent pool will provide a stable
foundation for developing future foreign investment and
export growth. The new immediate potentials will come in
the sectors of provision of oilfield services and equipment,
export of food products and the development of new urban
and industrial zones. Companies are welcome to attend high-
level forums such as the Russia Singapore Business Forum19
,
organised by IE Singapore, to keep abreast of the latest
developments in the market, and at the same time connect
with the top minds and managements of business owners.
19 Please refer to https://www.rsbf.org.sg/ for more details
23. Annex A
Snapshot of Russia20
20 http://www.un.org/depts/Cartographic/map/profile/russia.pdf
Chelyabinsk
Yekaterinburg
Omsk
Novosibirsk
Moscow
Saint Petersburg
Nizhny
Novgorod
Kazan
Rostov-on-Don Samara
23
Khabarovsk
Vladivostok
24. 24
21 http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/, last accessed 22 July 2015
22 EIU Country Fact Sheet. All information reflects 2014 data unless specified.
Official Name Russian Federation
Capital Moscow
Major Cities (population in million) Moscow (11.6), St Petersburg (4.7), Novosibirsk
(1.4), Nizhny Novgorod (1.3), Yekaterinburg (1.3)
Number of regions 83 + 2 (Sevastopol and Crimea)
Population 143.8 million
Area 17,098,242 km2
(Crimea not included)
President Vladimir Putin
Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev
Currency Russian Rouble
1 US$ = 56.04 RUB21
1 SG$ = 41.84 RUB
Benchmark interest rate (Jun 2015) 11.5%
ECONOMIC INDICATORS22
GDP (market exchange rate) 0.6%
Inflation 7.8%
Unemployment Rate 5.2%
Total Exports US$520.3 billion
Top Exports Oil, fuel & gas (70.3%), Metals (11.1%),
Chemicals (6.0%), Machinery & Equipment
(4.5%)
Top Export Partners Netherlands (14.7%), China (6.8%), Germany
(6.7%), Italy (6.2%)
Total Imports US$323.9 billion
Top Imports Machinery & Equipment (48.1%), Chemicals
(14.8%), Food & Agricultural Products (13.9%),
Metals (7.1%)
Top Import Partners China (16.3%), Germany (12.1%), US (4.9%),
Belarus (4.2%)
25. 25
Annex B
Sanctions Summary23
23 Linklaters, November 2014
Diplomatic measures
Asset freezes
and visa bans1
Restrictions for Crimea
and Sevastopol2
Economic sanctions3
Suspension by European Investment Bank of signature of new
financing operations
No Russian participation in G8 in Sochi and suspension of
negotiations over Russia joining the OECD and International
Energy Agency
Suspension of bilateral talks with Russia on visa matters and the
New (EU/Russia) Agreement
Prohibition on financing of,
making certain investments
in and participation in
companies or projects
relating to such
infrastructure projects or
exploitation and provision
of technical assistance or
brokerage services relating
thereto
Prohibition on selling,
supplying, transferring, or
exporting key equipment and
technology relating to such
infrastructure projects or
exploitation to any person or
for use in Crimea or
Sevastopol and financing or
financial assistance as well as
insurance and reinsurance
relating thereto
Prohibition to sell, supply,
transfer or export certain
specific dual use goods and
technology to certain specific
natural or legal persons,
entities or bodies in Russia,
including restrictions on
the provision of technical
assistance, brokering
services, financing or
financial assistance relating
to these goods and
technologies
Prohibition to sell, supply,
transfer or export dual use
goods and technology to
any natural or legal person,
entity or body in Russia or for
use in Russia, if those items
are or may be intended,
for military use or for a
military end-user, including
restrictions on the provision
of technical assistance,
brokering services, financing
or financial assistance
relating to these goods and
technologies
Authorisation by competent
authorities in Member States
Presumption of denial if
products are destined for
deep water and Arctic oil
exploration and production
and shale oil projects in
Russia
Prohibition to provide the
following associated services
necessary for deep water oil
and Arctic oil exploration
and production, or shale oil
projects in Russia: (i) drilling,
(ii) well testing, (iii) logging
and completion services and
(iv) supply of specialised
floating vessels
Prohibition on import into the EU of goods originating in Crimea
or Sevastopol and financing or financial assistance as well as
insurance and reinsurance related to the import
Restrictions regarding (i) the creation, acquisition or development
of infrastructure in the transport, telecommunications and energy
sectors and (ii) the exploitation of oil, gas and mineral resources in
Crimea or Sevastopol
Prohibition to participate in activities the object or effect of which
is to circumvent the prohibitions
Persons actively supporting or benefitting from Russia-decision
makers responsible for the annexation of Crimea or the
destabilisation of Eastern Ukraine
Persons and entities responsible for (or associated with those
who are responsible) actively supporting or implementing, actions
or policies which undermine or threaten the Ukrainian territorial
integrity, sovereignty and independence, or stability or security in
Ukraine, or which obstruct the work of international organisations
in Ukraine
Legal persons, entities or bodies in Crimea or Sevastopol whose
ownership has been transferred contrary to Ukrainian law or have
benefitted from such transfer
Individuals or entities conducting transactions with the separatist
groups in the Donbass region of Ukraine
Prohibition to buy or sell, providing investment services for or
assistance in the issuance of or otherwise deal with transferable
securities and money market instruments by, subject to certain
exceptions, (i) certain state-owned Russian banks, (ii) legal
persons, entities or bodies established in Russia predominantly
engaged and with major activities in the conception, production,
sales or export of military equipment or services and (iii)
certain subsidiaries of the aforementioned banks and persons and
those acting on their behalf or under their control; and prohibition
to make or be part of any arrangement to make new loans or
credit to aforementioned banks and legal persons, subject to
certain exceptions
Prohibition on import and export of arms and related materials
from/to Russia and restrictions on the provision of technical
assistance, brokering services, financing or financial assistance
related to these materials
Restrictions on the sale, supply, transfer and export of dual use
goods and technology subject to certain exceptions
Restrictions on sale, supply, transfer or export of technologies
suited to the oil industry for use in deep water oil or Arctic oil
exploration and production or shale oil projects in Russia or for
use in Russia subject to certain exceptions
Prohibition to participate in activities the object or effect of which
is to circumvent the prohibitions
EU
sanctions
26. 26
Sanctions Summary23
Travel bans and asset
freezes on specially
designated nationals4
Sectorial sanctions
Export restrictions5
Individuals barred
from Russia
Import restrictions of goods
in agricultural sector
Russian officials and companies deemed to be responsible for,
amongst others, (i) undermining sovereignty or territorial integrity
of Ukraine or (ii) misappropriating state assets of Ukraine,
or deemed to be responsible for or complicit in “significant
corruption”
Licensing requirement for certain goods, software and data for use in
exploration for or production of oil or gas in deepwater, Arctic offshore
or shale projects in Russia or when unclear if used in such projects
Presumption of denial for all items requiring an export license where
there is potential for use for exploration or production from deepwater,
Arctic offshore or shale projects in Russia that have the potential to
produce oil
Prohibition to transact in, provide financing for or otherwise deal
in new debt with maturity over 30 days or new equity for certain
financial services sector entities6
Prohibition to transact in, provide financing for or otherwise deal
in new debt with maturity over 90 days for certain entities in the
Russian energy sector7
Prohibition to transact in, provide financing for or otherwise deal
in new debt with maturity over 30 days for certain entities in the
Russian defense and related materiel sector8
Prohibition on the provision, exportation, or reexportation of
goods, services (except for financial services) or technology in
support of explorationor production for deepwater, Arctic offshore
or shale projects (i) that have the potential to produce oil in the
Russian Federation or its maritime area and (ii) that involve named
entities9
Certain US and EU officials
US
sanctions
Russian
sanctions Ban on Ukrainian fruit juice and fruit and vegetables from Poland
Limitation on import of certain food products from US, EU, Norway,
Australia and Canada
The European Union and the United States introduced sanctions against Russia in March. The European
Union escalated the sanctions regime at the end of July, which in turn led to a Russian blockade of food
imports from countries imposing sanctions on it, and to even further sanctions in mid-September.
This overview briefly summarises the sanctions imposed by the European Union, the United States and
Russia (as at 15 September); the sanctions imposed by Australia, Canada and Switzerland are not included
in this summary. To support you further, our internal experts can advise on the latest developments, the key
legal implications and related consequences for the current restrictions in every jurisdiction.
Notes pertaining to the sanctions overview.
1 Council Regulation (EU) No 269/2014 of 17 March 2014, Council Implementing Regulation (EU) No 810/2014 of
25 July 2014, Council Implementing Regulation (EU) No 826/2014 of 30 July 2014, Council Regulation (EU) No
959/2014 of 8 September 2014 and Council Implementing Regulation (EU) No 961/2014 of 8 September 2014
2 Council Regulation (EU) No 692/2014 of 23 June 2014 and Council Regulation (EU) No 825/2014 of 30 July 2014
3 Council Decision 2014/512/CFSP of 31 July 2014, Council Regulation (EU) No 833/2014 of 31 July 2014 and
Council Regulation (EU) No 960/2014 of 8 September 2014
4 Executive Order No. 13660 of 6 March 2014, Executive Order No. 13661 of 16 March 2014, Executive Order
No. 13662 of 20 March 2014, OFAC Ukraine Related Sanctions Regulations (31 CFR pt. 589), Support for the
Sovereignty, Integrity, Democracy, and Economic Stability of Ukraine Act of 2014, Pub. L. No. 113-95, 128 Stat.
1088
5 Russian Oil Industry Sanctions and Addition of Person to the Entity List, 79 Fed. Reg. 45,675 (Aug. 6, 2014) (to be
codified at 15 CFR pts. 732, 738, 740, 742, 744, 746 and 774)
6 OFAC Directive 1 (as amended) under Executive Order 13662
7 OFAC Directive 2 (as amended) under Executive Order 13662
8. OFAC Directive 3 under Executive Order 13662
9. OFAC Directive 4 under Executive Order 13662
27. 27
Annex C
Russia’s Jan 2015 anti-crisis plan24
On 27 January 2015, Kremlin adopted an anti-crisis plan with the goal to ensure
sustainable economic development and social stability in an unfavourable global
economic and political environment. It announced that in 2015–2016, steps will
be taken to advance structural changes in the Russian economy, provide support
to systemic entities and the labour market, lower inflation, and help vulnerable
households adjust to price increases. To achieve the objectives of positive growth
and sustainable medium-term macroeconomic development the following measures
are planned:
// Provide support for import substitution and non-mineral exports.
// Support small and medium enterprises by lowering financing and
administrative costs.
// Create opportunities for raising financial resources at reasonable cost
in key economic sectors.
// Compensate vulnerable households (e.g., pensioners,) for the costs of inflation.
// Cushion the impact on the labour market (e.g. provide training and increase
public works).
// Optimize budget expenditures.
// Enhance banking sector stability and create a mechanism for reorganizing
systemic companies.
The government aims to achieve a balanced budget in the medium term and
intends to cut budget expenditures by 5% in real terms in the next three years.
In 2015, the plan is to cut 10% of spending across all categories except military,
agriculture, and external debt-servicing. The Ministry of Finance currently plans to
use the Reserve Fund to optimise federal budget spending. It is expected that about
RUB1.4 trillion of the anti-crisis plan will be financed this year, of which up to RUB972
billion will be financed from the federal budget and RUB550 billion with the National
Welfare Fund (known domestically as “NWF”).
It is estimated that the plan will cost RUB2.4 trillion, of which 67% is earmarked
for bank recapitalisation, which will operate through three channels:
(1) Treasury bonds worth RUB1 trillion had already been transferred to the Deposit
Insurance Agency in December 2014. In February 2015 the government approved
a list of 27 banks eligible for recapitalization. Banks to be recapitalized are
expected to increase mortgage loans, loans to small and medium enterprises, and
loans to key economy sectors by 1% per month and increase their own capital by
at least half of the amount received from the Deposit Insurance Agency.
24 World Bank - Russia Economic Report 33: The Dawn of a New Economic Era?
28. 28
(2) The NWF will finance a second channel, investing RUB250 billion in subordinated
deposits and bonds of the systemic banks that have capital of RUB100 billion
(US$1.6 billion). The interest rate should at least cover the CPI inflation rate. On
1 October 2014, nine banks had already met the criteria. Banks that receive these
deposits are expected to finance government-approved investment projects.
(3) Another RUB300 billion will be channelled through the NWF to Vnesheconombank
to provide credit to the real sector.
About 13.9% of the anti-crisis plan (RUB320 billion) will go to direct support
of real sectors: RUB200 billion in state guarantees for systemic companies,
RUB50 billion for support of agricultural enterprises, and RUB10 billion for the
transport utilisation programmes. The government approved a list of 199 systemic
enterprises eligible for state guarantees, among them all major Russian companies.
Companies on the list produce 70% of GDP of Russia. These steps mainly address
the development of sustainable enterprises given lower domestic demand, an
unfavourable global environment, and high credit costs. Some administrative
measures are expected to smooth state procurement, which was hit by the exchange
rate crisis.
Another 12.9% (RUB296 billion) is earmarked for social support, including
pension indexation higher than the federal budget law envisaged, RUB52.2 billion for
easing the labour market, RUB30 billion for payments for registered unemployed, and
RUB16 billion for additional medical support.
About 7.0% (RUB160 billion) will be transferred to the regions through
budget loans.
29. 29
Annex D
A comparison of past Russian economic crisis25
25 Frontier Strategy Group, Quarterly Market Review_Russia Q2 2015
// Russians have significant experience dealing with economic crises; however, the
current situation is different from both 1998 and 2009, and requires and adapted
response
// The permanent lesson of Russian crises is that companies that take a long-term
view and remain committed to the market despite short-term performance
problems tend to perform better than competitors. This remains true today, and
companies should determine if their businesses are ready to commit to Russia
in the face of what is likely to be a prolonged economic crisis, followed by a
lackluster recovery
1998 2009 2015f
Cause of the
crisis
Unsustainable public sector
debt, default on government
obligations
Global financial crisis + oil price
crash cause contraction in
lending and external demand
Structural slowdown + oil price
crash + crisis of confidence
cause capital outflows
Currency Substantial currency devaluation Central bank defends the
currency, preventing a sharp
devaluation
Central bank allows currency to
depreciate sharply
Government
response
Institute business-friendly
reforms; reform government
finances
Enact large stimulus; bail out
companies; protect social
spending
Bail out the banking system;
promote import substitution; cut
government spending
Consumer
demand
Contraction followed by swift
recovery
Real wages continue to grow,
but unemployment rises quickly
Unemployment is low, but real
wages contract sharply
Business
demand
Ineffective enterprises cease
operations or are acquired by
investors
High levels of forex debt weigh
on industrial enterprises,
causing bankruptcies
Ineffective enterprises go
bankrupt or are acquired
Recovery
curve
Growth resumes within
two years on the back of
reforms, rising oil prices,
competitiveness gains, and
higher capacity utilisation
Growth returns within a year,
as capacity utilisation increases,
oil prices rebound, and public
spending supports consumer
spending power
Global demand and oil prices
unlikely to rebound, structural
inefficiencies will depress
growth even in favorable external
environment, foreign policy hurts
FDI
Business
strategies
Invest in cheap assets and a
build a local presence to capture
recovery in demand
Scale back costs, but maintain
a presence in the market to
capture recovery spending, and
buy local assets/compaines at a
premium
Improve efficiency through
localisation and restructuring to
ensure profitability even with
low revenue growth
30. International Enterprise Singapore
International Enterprise (IE) Singapore is the government
agency driving Singapore’s external economy. We spearhead
the overseas growth of Singapore-based companies and promote
international trade. Our vision is a thriving business hub in
Singapore with Globally Competitive Companies (GCCs)
and leading international traders.
Trade has always been the backbone of Singapore’s
economy. In addition to promoting export of goods and services,
IE Singapore also attracts global commodities traders to establish
their global or Asian home base in Singapore. Today, Singapore is
a thriving trading hub with a complete ecosystem for the energy,
agri-commodities and metals & minerals trading clusters.
GCCs are a critical growth engine for the next phase of Singapore’s
development. GCCs compete on the global stage against the very
best in their industries. They contribute to Singapore’s economic
resilience, develop Singaporeans into global business leaders and
strengthen the Singapore brand. Through our Global Company
Partnership, we work with Singapore-based companies in their
various stages of growth towards being globally competitive.
We customise total solutions in capability building, market access
and financing for these companies as they internationalise.
Our global network of overseas centres in over 35 locations
provides the necessary connections in many developed and
emerging markets. In Americas, we are present in four locations
namely São Paulo, Los Angeles, Mexico City and New York.
Visit www.iesingapore.com for more information.
31. 31
Frankfurt
International Enterprise Singapore
Singapore Centre
Bleichstr. 45
60313 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
T +49 69 920 7350
F +49 69 920 73522
Istanbul
International Enterprise Singapore
Levent Loft Residence
Büyükdere Cad. No. 201
D. 13 Levent
stanbul 34394
Türkiye
T +90 212 281 2015
Our Offices in Europe
Our Past Issues
// Vol.1_Jul 2012 China’s Twin Paradigm Shifts - Beacons in a Sea of Change
// Vol.2_Jul 2012 Myanmar: Opportunities in Asia’s Last Frontier Economy
// Vol.3_Sep 2012 Thailand: Resilience and Economic Revival
// Vol.4_Oct 2012 A Win-Wind Situation: Opportunities in the European Offshore Wind Industry
// Vol.5_Nov 2012 Indonesia: Partnering the Private Sector for Growth
// Vol.6_Jan 2013 Malaysia: State of Transformation
// Vol.7_Mar 2013 Forging Ahead in China: A Survey of Singapore Companies
// Vol.8_Apr 2013 Japan: Opportunities Amid Change and Recovery
// Vol.9_Jun 2013 Central China: A Growth Story
// Vol.10_Sep 2013 Driving Singapore’s External Economy Beyond 30 Years
// Vol.11_Sep 2013 Vietnam: Prospects Amidst Challenges
// Vol.12_Oct 2013 Brazil: Beyond the World Cup and Olympics
// Vol.13_Nov 2013 Indonesia’s Consumer Sector: Tapping the Consumer Dollar in Food and Retail
// Vol.14_Jan 2014 Myanmar: Navigating the Risks and Opportunities
// Vol.15_Feb 2014 China’s Third Plenum: Decisive Shifts towards a Market-Oriented Economy and People-Centric Urbanisation
// Vol.16_Oct 2014 Mexico: The Aztec Tiger
// Vol.17_Oct 2014 Recipe for Success in the London Food Services Market
// Vol.18_Oct 2014 Making Inroads: Capturing Intrastructure Opportunities in Asia
// Vol.19_Nov 2014 The Philippines: A New Awakening
// Vol.20_Nov 2014 Turkey: Stepping into A New Era
// Vol.21_Apr 2015 Indonesia’s New Administration: Infrastructure and Manufacturing Opportunities
// Vol.22_May 2015 ASEAN Economic Community: Opportunities through Economic Integration in Southeast Asia
// Vol.23_Jun 2015 M&A Opportunities: Guide to Successful M&A in Germany
// Vol.24_Sep 2015 Thailand: Opportunities Amidst Changes
Scan for past
issues of
IE Insights
London
International Enterprise Singapore
Singapore Centre
Grand Buildings
1-3 Strand
London WC2N 5HR
United Kingdom
T +44 (0) 207 484 2730
F +44 (0) 207 839 6162
Moscow
International Enterprise Singapore
c/o Embassy of the Republic of Singapore
- Russian Federation (Moscow)
Per Kamennaya Sloboda 5
121099 Moscow
Russian Federation
T +7 495 974 1523
F +7 495 974 1334
32. V1/Oct2015
This brochure is printed using
soy ink on recycled paper.
International Enterprise Singapore
230 Victoria Street #10-00
Bugis Junction Office Tower
Singapore 188024
1800-IESPORE (1800-4377673) local toll-free
T +65 6337 6628
F +65 6337 6898
www.iesingapore.com
Our Global Network
Abu Dhabi
Accra
Bangkok
Beijing
Chengdu
Chennai
Chongqing
Dalian
Doha
Dubai
Frankfurt
Guangzhou
Hanoi
Ho Chi Minh City
Istanbul
Jakarta
Jeddah
Johannesburg
Kuala Lumpur
London
Los Angeles
Manila
Mexico City
Moscow
Mumbai
New Delhi
New York
Qingdao
Riyadh
São Paulo
Seoul
Shanghai
Surabaya
Sydney
Taipei
Tokyo
Wuhan
Xi’an
Yangon