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Correlating Innovation,
     Business Models,
 Development Plans &
     Private Financing

    GameON: Finance Conference
               Toronto, Canada

               October 28-29, 2008


                   Tom Sweeney
       sweeney@garagecanada.com
                    514-865-2323
Discussion Topics                Questions or discussion anytime, please!


• Revisiting Innovation
   • Why Value Leadership and New Market innovation are better plays
     for early stage companies (in Canada) than Sustaining and Low-End
• Business Models
   • The CEO’s #1 job is to actively manage reality
   • Read Confronting Reality by Larry Bossidy
• Business Plans & Pitches
   • Do plans with your team, not (just with) consultants
   • 20-minute rule for pitches and 2 minutes for micro-pitch
• Venture Economics & Development Plans
   • Not all companies are VC candidates
   • Use existing cash to achieve specific milestones that directly map to
     a financing timetable based on your realistic access to capital

                                                                               2
                                                         © 2008. Tom Sweeney
Revisiting Innovation

 Why IP is so important to
     building sustainable
             companies...
Customers Pay for Perceived Value
• For every product-market category, including video games,
  Customers decide based on a set of established “Value
  Metrics”, typically defined by the established players in that
  market
• Example:
   • Bubble gum: chewing quality, size of bubble, smell, brand, etc

• Pricing is a function of Perceived Value

                  Established
                 Customer Value
                   Metrics Set
                                  Perceived
                                    Value

                                                  Product - Market




                                                           Price
                                                           © 2008. Tom Sweeney   4
Value Innovation & IP’s Role
Companies that go from a startup to market leadership have typically
introduced one of four forms of Value Innovation.



                         Sustaining
                          Low-End
                      Value Leadership
                        New Market




                                                     © 2008. Tom Sweeney   5
Sustaining Innovation
Sustaining Innovation is when incremental improvements are made to one or
more components in the existing customer Value Mix. This is a tough space,
particularly for Canadian companies. The market is dominated by the
established companies.


   Customer Value
        Mix




                                                       Price



                                                         © 2008. Tom Sweeney   6
Low-End Innovation
Low End Innovation is when similar value can be sold at a dramatically lower
price that incumbents can’t or won’t easily match. This usually requires
either business model innovation or operational excellence to stay in
business. It’s also a tough space for Canadian startups. Think of IKEA and
Dell.


        Customer Value
             Mix




                                                        Price



                                                           © 2008. Tom Sweeney   7
Value Leadership Innovation
Value Leadership Innovation is when new IP with proper protection is
introduced to an established market and one or more new Value Metrics
becomes the dominant reason why customers choose that product. Why do
you use Google?


       Customer Value
            Mix
                  New IP
       New IP




                                                    Price



                                                      © 2008. Tom Sweeney   8
New Market Innovation
New Market Innovation is when a new product or service is introduced that
makes it easier or more convenient for people to do what they previously had
to go to experts to do for them. California and its ecosystem leads the world
in repeatedly doing this. Steve Jobs is the master.




       New
     Customer
     Value Mix
            New IP
   New IP




                          +
                                       New Product-Market




                                                    Price

                                                            © 2008. Tom Sweeney   9
Business Models


    What are they?
Business Models: Five People, Ten Definitions….

          “I can’t define it, but I know what it is when I see it.”
                                            US Supreme Court Justice, Potter Stewart



     “Hire the world’s best athletes as spokespeople. Buy an
   enormous amount of advertising to get every sporting goods
   store to carry your products. Make the product overseas for
            very little money. Charge very high prices.”
                                          Excerpt from Seth Godin’s, Bootstrapper’s Bible



     “An organized and rigorous way of looking at the health and
   profitability of your business now and in the future. [A business
     model] is a statement of the current reality and its likely – as
 opposed to hoped for – future direction. It is an early warning system
   for real-world changes that pose threats or provide glimpses of
  opportunities. The business model is a blueprint for taking action.”
                                         Larry Bossidy & Ram Charan, Confronting Reality

                                                               © 2008. Tom Sweeney         11
“Product-Marketing” is a Critical Concept that
Needs a Remarkable Hyphen

                              Bootstrapper’s Bible
                              • Great way to spend $5.00
                              • Lighter approach to business
                                models but lots of pointers for
                                bootstrapping!

                              Purple Cow
                              • If your product is not remarkable
                                in its (niche) market ……

                              Blue Ocean Strategy
                              • Deeper look at developing
                                compelling and sustainable
                                product-market positions


                                                 © 2008. Tom Sweeney
              12
Confronting Reality


                      • Provides a very detailed look
                        at how to develop your
                        business model, evaluate it
                        and constantly adapt it to
                        reality
                      • This book is the sequel to
                        Execution: The Discipline of
                        Getting Things Done
                        • Talks about actively managing
                          the reality of a business
                      • Both books are excellent


                                       © 2008. Tom Sweeney   13
Business Models Have Three Main Components



              External Realities                               Internal Activities
              Financial history of your                            Strategy
                        industry                                  Operations
            Overall business environment                            People
                   Customer base                                 Organization
                Root-cause analysis

                                        Financial Targets
                                         Operating margins
                                             Cash flow
                                          Capital intensity
                                          Revenue growth
                                        Return on investment


Source: Confronting Reality



                         Repeated Iteration and Actively Managing Reality
                          Produces Tested, Actionable Business Models
                                                                       © 2008. Tom Sweeney
                              14
The Truth About
Business Plans &
 Investor Pitches
  What purpose do they
             serve….?
The Truth About Business Plans

• The exercise to produce one is fundamentally important
• VCs can spot plans done by consultants a mile away
• Most companies spend too much time on generating a
  “complete” (long) document
   • Should be 12-15 pages that convey “deep and insightful” analysis
     based on “bottom-up” assumptions and a solid grasp of the business
     model

• VCs typically don’t read business plans to be able to say “no”
• Be ready with a clear and well thought-out summary
   • The first two or three paragraphs are critical

• Don’t assume investors have read anything you have sent
   • Plan on having 20 minutes to make your case with no more than 10-
     12 slides and around a 30-point font
                                                      © 2008. Tom Sweeney   16
Ten (+2) Slides, 20 Minutes, 30 Point Font
Obey the 10/20/30 rule. Stay high-level and hit the key points. Nobody writes a
cheque based on your presentation, but they do say “no”.
     1                 2                  3                4
            Title                                                Solution
                        Elevator Pitch         Problem
                                                                    &
                                                  &
         & Speaker           Company
                                                               Key Benefits
                                               Customer
           Intros            Overview

     5                 6                  7                8
                             Business                          Competition
                                               Marketing
         Underlying           Model                                &
                                                  &
           Magic
                                                               Advantages
                                                Sales

    9                  10                 11               12
                                                Status           Summary
          Team                                    &
                            Projections
                                                                 Why Us?
                                               Timeline


                                                               © 2008. Tom Sweeney   17
Venture Economics,
Development Plans and
          Use of Cash

     The core drivers of due
                diligence….
Venture capital is a specialized form of private equity, characterized
chiefly by high-risk investments in new or young companies

                                                                                               PRIVATE EQUITY

                                                                                      Venture Capital
                                                                                                                                         Mezzanine          Buyout
                                       Angels                           Early Stage                                 Later Stage
                                                                                                                                          Capital           Capital


                                                                                                             TSX       Public Equity Markets (TSX Venture, TSX, etc.)
                                                                                                         Ventures


                                                                                                                Preferred Shares
                                                                                                                   “C” Round
                                                                                                                 (>$15 million)
Value Creation and Paid-In Capital




                                                                                                                        5-7 Years




                                                                                          Preferred Shares
                                                                                             “B” Round
                                                                                            (>$5 million)

                                                                                                 3-4 Years
                                                               Preferred Shares
                                                                  “A” Round
                                                                 ($3-5 million)
                                     Convertible Debt or
                                      Common Shares                  2-3 Years
                                         (<$500 K)
                                             1 Year


                                       Angel          Seed   Start-Up            Early Stage                    Later Stage              Mezzanine         IPO


                                                                        Company Lifespan and Venture Capital Stage
                                                                                                                                               © 2008. Tom Sweeney
                                                                19
Business Models and Venture Financing

• VC must generate high internal rates of returns to their LPs
    • Portfolio theory: winners cover the losers
    • Early stage VCs target high multiples (10X +) and IRRs of >50%
• A company’s development plan and its internal “clock-speed” must be
  obsessed to use investment cash to achieve specific milestones on a
  competitive schedule

   What is a “4X Multiple” ?            What is “30% IRR”?
   • The increase in a VCs investment   • Considers how much was returned by a
     when there is a liquidity event      liquidity event and how long it took
     (M&A, IPO, MBO, RTO). “We              • Invested $1M and got $4M back in 3 years ~
     invested $1M and made $4M.”              59% IRR (great)
                                            • Invested $1M and got $4M back in 7 years ~
                                              19% IRR (weaker)


Silicon Valley’s Entrepreneurial “Clock Speed”
• The 10-year IRR for early-stage Silicon Valley VCs is 54.9%. The average in
   Canada for the same period is -3%
                                                                   © 2008. Tom Sweeney     20
Start-Up Business Model: Bootstrap With a Plan
to Achieve Specific & Important Milestones

                                                                                                           Receiver’s
                                                                                                                Wall
                                             First                        Closing
                                             Pitch                            ($$)


                                                   VC Due Diligence Process                   Director’s
                                                                                                   Wall


                                         Under-funded company
       Family &
                  Grants   SR&ED
       Angels

                                              Properly funded company

                            Bootstrap and Seed Syndicate



                                                                                                 6-12 months
                                                                            New Money
                                                        Due Diligence
                                       Traction
The Idea
                                                                            Deposited
                                                          Milestone
                                       Milestone



   Traction Milestone: achieve this key milestone before starting a financing round
                   (gives investor confidence you’ve done something “important” already)

           Due Diligence Milestone: achieve this second key milestone during financing
                           (tell VC about it in “First Pitch”, hit the milestone, tell VC you did it)

                                                                                        © 2008. Tom Sweeney
                             21
Financing Stages & Development
                                                                                             $4.0 on $8.0 million pre
Total Cash Paid-In to Company

                                                                                                 (two tranches)




                                                                                                                                              Acquisition
                                              $1.5 on $2.0 million pre
                                                  (two tranches)




                 Bootstrap
                                                                First Round VC                              Second Round VC
                                                                  (Series “A”)                                 (Series “B”)

                                Example
                                                                                             Shareholder Equity at Acquisition
                                •Bootstrap to achieve working prototype prior to “A” round
                                •Secure $1.5M participating preferred on $2.0M pre-money         33%                    38%      Common
                                •Achieve product and early revenue                                                               Series quot;Aquot;
                                •Secure $4M on $8M pre-money                                                                     Series quot;Bquot;
                                •“A” round VC participates in “B” round                                   29%

                                                                                                                 © 2008. Tom Sweeney             22
=XIRR is a Formula You Should Learn
    VCs want “C1” (their fully converted equity) to be large and “T5” (time to exit)
    to be as short as possible
                                                                          “B” Round
                                                                        Second Tranche

                                                                             B2
                                                         “B” Round
                                                        First Tranche
Cash Invested




                                                             B1




                                                                                                 Acquisition
                                      “A” Round
                                    Second Tranche
                 “A” Round
                                                                                         C1
                                          A2
                First Tranche

                    A1




                                                                                                   T5
Time                                                                         T4
                                         T2                  T3
                   T1


                            =XIRR((-A1,-A2,-B1,-B2,C1),(T1,T2,T3,T4,T5))
                                                                           © 2008. Tom Sweeney                 23
Excellent VC Deal Terms Reference Book




                                   © 2008. Tom Sweeney   24
Correlating Innovation,
  Business Models, &
   Development Plans
with Private Financing

    GameON: Finance Conference
               Toronto, Canada

               October 28-29, 2008


                   Tom Sweeney
       sweeney@garagecanada.com
                    514-865-2323

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Business Model Innovations (BMI)
 

Correlating Innovation, Business Models, Development Plans, Private Financing

  • 1. Correlating Innovation, Business Models, Development Plans & Private Financing GameON: Finance Conference Toronto, Canada October 28-29, 2008 Tom Sweeney sweeney@garagecanada.com 514-865-2323
  • 2. Discussion Topics Questions or discussion anytime, please! • Revisiting Innovation • Why Value Leadership and New Market innovation are better plays for early stage companies (in Canada) than Sustaining and Low-End • Business Models • The CEO’s #1 job is to actively manage reality • Read Confronting Reality by Larry Bossidy • Business Plans & Pitches • Do plans with your team, not (just with) consultants • 20-minute rule for pitches and 2 minutes for micro-pitch • Venture Economics & Development Plans • Not all companies are VC candidates • Use existing cash to achieve specific milestones that directly map to a financing timetable based on your realistic access to capital 2 © 2008. Tom Sweeney
  • 3. Revisiting Innovation Why IP is so important to building sustainable companies...
  • 4. Customers Pay for Perceived Value • For every product-market category, including video games, Customers decide based on a set of established “Value Metrics”, typically defined by the established players in that market • Example: • Bubble gum: chewing quality, size of bubble, smell, brand, etc • Pricing is a function of Perceived Value Established Customer Value Metrics Set Perceived Value Product - Market Price © 2008. Tom Sweeney 4
  • 5. Value Innovation & IP’s Role Companies that go from a startup to market leadership have typically introduced one of four forms of Value Innovation. Sustaining Low-End Value Leadership New Market © 2008. Tom Sweeney 5
  • 6. Sustaining Innovation Sustaining Innovation is when incremental improvements are made to one or more components in the existing customer Value Mix. This is a tough space, particularly for Canadian companies. The market is dominated by the established companies. Customer Value Mix Price © 2008. Tom Sweeney 6
  • 7. Low-End Innovation Low End Innovation is when similar value can be sold at a dramatically lower price that incumbents can’t or won’t easily match. This usually requires either business model innovation or operational excellence to stay in business. It’s also a tough space for Canadian startups. Think of IKEA and Dell. Customer Value Mix Price © 2008. Tom Sweeney 7
  • 8. Value Leadership Innovation Value Leadership Innovation is when new IP with proper protection is introduced to an established market and one or more new Value Metrics becomes the dominant reason why customers choose that product. Why do you use Google? Customer Value Mix New IP New IP Price © 2008. Tom Sweeney 8
  • 9. New Market Innovation New Market Innovation is when a new product or service is introduced that makes it easier or more convenient for people to do what they previously had to go to experts to do for them. California and its ecosystem leads the world in repeatedly doing this. Steve Jobs is the master. New Customer Value Mix New IP New IP + New Product-Market Price © 2008. Tom Sweeney 9
  • 10. Business Models What are they?
  • 11. Business Models: Five People, Ten Definitions…. “I can’t define it, but I know what it is when I see it.” US Supreme Court Justice, Potter Stewart “Hire the world’s best athletes as spokespeople. Buy an enormous amount of advertising to get every sporting goods store to carry your products. Make the product overseas for very little money. Charge very high prices.” Excerpt from Seth Godin’s, Bootstrapper’s Bible “An organized and rigorous way of looking at the health and profitability of your business now and in the future. [A business model] is a statement of the current reality and its likely – as opposed to hoped for – future direction. It is an early warning system for real-world changes that pose threats or provide glimpses of opportunities. The business model is a blueprint for taking action.” Larry Bossidy & Ram Charan, Confronting Reality © 2008. Tom Sweeney 11
  • 12. “Product-Marketing” is a Critical Concept that Needs a Remarkable Hyphen Bootstrapper’s Bible • Great way to spend $5.00 • Lighter approach to business models but lots of pointers for bootstrapping! Purple Cow • If your product is not remarkable in its (niche) market …… Blue Ocean Strategy • Deeper look at developing compelling and sustainable product-market positions © 2008. Tom Sweeney 12
  • 13. Confronting Reality • Provides a very detailed look at how to develop your business model, evaluate it and constantly adapt it to reality • This book is the sequel to Execution: The Discipline of Getting Things Done • Talks about actively managing the reality of a business • Both books are excellent © 2008. Tom Sweeney 13
  • 14. Business Models Have Three Main Components External Realities Internal Activities Financial history of your Strategy industry Operations Overall business environment People Customer base Organization Root-cause analysis Financial Targets Operating margins Cash flow Capital intensity Revenue growth Return on investment Source: Confronting Reality Repeated Iteration and Actively Managing Reality Produces Tested, Actionable Business Models © 2008. Tom Sweeney 14
  • 15. The Truth About Business Plans & Investor Pitches What purpose do they serve….?
  • 16. The Truth About Business Plans • The exercise to produce one is fundamentally important • VCs can spot plans done by consultants a mile away • Most companies spend too much time on generating a “complete” (long) document • Should be 12-15 pages that convey “deep and insightful” analysis based on “bottom-up” assumptions and a solid grasp of the business model • VCs typically don’t read business plans to be able to say “no” • Be ready with a clear and well thought-out summary • The first two or three paragraphs are critical • Don’t assume investors have read anything you have sent • Plan on having 20 minutes to make your case with no more than 10- 12 slides and around a 30-point font © 2008. Tom Sweeney 16
  • 17. Ten (+2) Slides, 20 Minutes, 30 Point Font Obey the 10/20/30 rule. Stay high-level and hit the key points. Nobody writes a cheque based on your presentation, but they do say “no”. 1 2 3 4 Title Solution Elevator Pitch Problem & & & Speaker Company Key Benefits Customer Intros Overview 5 6 7 8 Business Competition Marketing Underlying Model & & Magic Advantages Sales 9 10 11 12 Status Summary Team & Projections Why Us? Timeline © 2008. Tom Sweeney 17
  • 18. Venture Economics, Development Plans and Use of Cash The core drivers of due diligence….
  • 19. Venture capital is a specialized form of private equity, characterized chiefly by high-risk investments in new or young companies PRIVATE EQUITY Venture Capital Mezzanine Buyout Angels Early Stage Later Stage Capital Capital TSX Public Equity Markets (TSX Venture, TSX, etc.) Ventures Preferred Shares “C” Round (>$15 million) Value Creation and Paid-In Capital 5-7 Years Preferred Shares “B” Round (>$5 million) 3-4 Years Preferred Shares “A” Round ($3-5 million) Convertible Debt or Common Shares 2-3 Years (<$500 K) 1 Year Angel Seed Start-Up Early Stage Later Stage Mezzanine IPO Company Lifespan and Venture Capital Stage © 2008. Tom Sweeney 19
  • 20. Business Models and Venture Financing • VC must generate high internal rates of returns to their LPs • Portfolio theory: winners cover the losers • Early stage VCs target high multiples (10X +) and IRRs of >50% • A company’s development plan and its internal “clock-speed” must be obsessed to use investment cash to achieve specific milestones on a competitive schedule What is a “4X Multiple” ? What is “30% IRR”? • The increase in a VCs investment • Considers how much was returned by a when there is a liquidity event liquidity event and how long it took (M&A, IPO, MBO, RTO). “We • Invested $1M and got $4M back in 3 years ~ invested $1M and made $4M.” 59% IRR (great) • Invested $1M and got $4M back in 7 years ~ 19% IRR (weaker) Silicon Valley’s Entrepreneurial “Clock Speed” • The 10-year IRR for early-stage Silicon Valley VCs is 54.9%. The average in Canada for the same period is -3% © 2008. Tom Sweeney 20
  • 21. Start-Up Business Model: Bootstrap With a Plan to Achieve Specific & Important Milestones Receiver’s Wall First Closing Pitch ($$) VC Due Diligence Process Director’s Wall Under-funded company Family & Grants SR&ED Angels Properly funded company Bootstrap and Seed Syndicate 6-12 months New Money Due Diligence Traction The Idea Deposited Milestone Milestone Traction Milestone: achieve this key milestone before starting a financing round (gives investor confidence you’ve done something “important” already) Due Diligence Milestone: achieve this second key milestone during financing (tell VC about it in “First Pitch”, hit the milestone, tell VC you did it) © 2008. Tom Sweeney 21
  • 22. Financing Stages & Development $4.0 on $8.0 million pre Total Cash Paid-In to Company (two tranches) Acquisition $1.5 on $2.0 million pre (two tranches) Bootstrap First Round VC Second Round VC (Series “A”) (Series “B”) Example Shareholder Equity at Acquisition •Bootstrap to achieve working prototype prior to “A” round •Secure $1.5M participating preferred on $2.0M pre-money 33% 38% Common •Achieve product and early revenue Series quot;Aquot; •Secure $4M on $8M pre-money Series quot;Bquot; •“A” round VC participates in “B” round 29% © 2008. Tom Sweeney 22
  • 23. =XIRR is a Formula You Should Learn VCs want “C1” (their fully converted equity) to be large and “T5” (time to exit) to be as short as possible “B” Round Second Tranche B2 “B” Round First Tranche Cash Invested B1 Acquisition “A” Round Second Tranche “A” Round C1 A2 First Tranche A1 T5 Time T4 T2 T3 T1 =XIRR((-A1,-A2,-B1,-B2,C1),(T1,T2,T3,T4,T5)) © 2008. Tom Sweeney 23
  • 24. Excellent VC Deal Terms Reference Book © 2008. Tom Sweeney 24
  • 25. Correlating Innovation, Business Models, & Development Plans with Private Financing GameON: Finance Conference Toronto, Canada October 28-29, 2008 Tom Sweeney sweeney@garagecanada.com 514-865-2323