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The impact of microfinance on
  education in sub-Saharan
 Africa: A partnership project
with the Institute of Education
INSTITUTE OF EDUCATION SYMPOSIUM ON EDUCATION AND
           DEVELOPMENT, 14 December 2011




                                                    Source: Per Herbertsson
   Carina van Rooyen, Ruth Stewart
           and Thea de Wet
From http://www.developmenthorizons.com/2011_03_01_archive.html
                                                           2
Increase
                             income
 Access to      Invest in                Lift out of
microfinance   the future                 poverty
                             Increase
                            education,
                              health,
                               etc.              3
Especially
Invest in the   if available   Improvement
   future       to women        in education
                                               4
DFID-funded systematic review
Review question
     given


                             Paper or
                             plastic?
Peer-reviewed published protocol




                                   6
Extensive searching &
 2-staged screening
              6 000
         Microfinance
              336
               69
              35


                      Comparative
Sub-Saharan           evaluations
Africa                of the impact
                      on the poor




              15
                                      7
Coding




         8
From http://www.zazzle.co.uk/worlds_bestest_appraiser_tshirt-235669736717655238
                                                                                  9
    Quality appraisal
                        From http://runningagile.com/category/esther-derby/
From http://www.verylol.com/extraction-1241/
Data extraction




                                                                 10
Synthesis




            11
development




               From http://copyprints.blogspot.com/
Causal chain




                                                 12
Peer-reviewed
  published
   report

Available at
http://www.dfid.gov.
uk/r4d/PDF/Outputs/
SystematicReviews/M
icroFinance_FOR+WE
B%5B1%5D.pdf
                       13
From http://www.verylol.com/for-small-cars-1231/
                                              14
Details of our 15 included
  studies
• 4 RCTs
  2 quasi-experimental studies
  9 with/without studies
• 11 = microcredit, 2 = savings, 2
  = combined credit & savings
• Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Malawi,
  Madagascar, Rwanda, South




                                     Source: Per Herbertsson
  Africa, Tanzania (Zanzibar),
  Uganda & Zimbabwe
• Rural & urban initiatives
Scope of the evidence-base
                 RCTs   Quasi-exp   With/without

Micro-savings     2         -            -
Micro-credit      2        1             8
Micro-credit &    -        1             1
savings




                                                   16
Hierarchy of evidence?
Findings – how does microfinance
      impact on education?
      Credit             Combined          Savings
                     credit and savings
   MAYBE                   NO                YES
 gender difference      negative (1)      positive (1)
                        no effect (1)
   positive (2)
    mixed (2)
   negative (1)
   no effect (1)




                                                         18
Specific
    paper
   findings




* High quality studies   19
Photo from http://vishwasaha.wordpress.com/category/yoga/
  There is some evidence for positive impacts but
 worryingly there is also evidence that microfinance
does harm by negatively impacting on the education
         of clients’ children, especially girls  20
Savings provision to AIDS-orphaned
young people in Uganda has been
shown to increase their intention to




                                               Photo by Martin Godwin, http://www.guardian.co.uk/katine/katine-chronicles-
attend secondary schooling, & their
certainty that these plans will come to
fruition. These young people also did
significantly better in Uganda’s
Primary Leaving Examinations than
control group (Ssewamala et al 2010)




                                                                                  blog/2010/aug/19/katine-finance-saving
                                          21
Evidence for micro-credit’s impact on
  household’s expenditure on education is
                 contradictory:
 (1) two studies show increased household’s
       expenditure on children’s education;
      (2) two studies find no such effect;
(3) one study finds mixed results with varied
          positive & negative impacts on
     expenditure on education depending on
                    the region
                                                22
On school attendance two studies found
 reduced attendance amongst micro-credit
                  clients
Data from Malawi shows that micro-credit significantly
decreases primary school attendance amongst
borrowers’ children
   Noteworthy gendered impact: repetition of primary grades in
   young boys & delayed or lack of enrolment for young girls

In Uganda (high quality study) client households were
significantly more likely to have been unable to pay
school charges for one or more household members for
at least one term during previous two years, hence
children had to drop out of school                    23
But micro-credit does not appear to increase
child labour, so we presume children are not
being taken out of school to work, but because
clients have difficulties paying school expenses




                                                   24
From http://indieintertube.tv/static/episode-length-how-long-should-you-go/#axzz1gSMCYo00
Length of time within
micro-credit programme
decreases children’s
enrolment
• Gendered impact: in
  Zimbabwe on-going
  borrowing reduced
  children’s enrolment in
  school; proportion of
  household’s girls aged 6 to
  16 in school decreasing
  more for continuing
  clients than for departing
  clients & non-clients         25
26
“Credit is like a
 fire: it is useful to
 cook your sadza
 but if you are
 careless, it will
 burn your hut.”


                         27
Figure from http://www.deathandtaxesmag.com/156359/can-microfinance-
                                                     save-the-world/
Causal pathway analysis




                               Source: Per Herbertsson
                          29
What we now think is happening
                                  Use other MFI
                                                                                                                                            Social cohesion

        Use same
          MFI                                                        Micro-credit                               Micro-savings
                                                                                                                                               Women’s
                                                                                                                                             empowerment
                                                                                    Given to individuals or groups
                            Able to repay loan
Default on loan,                                          Able to
                            and avoid increase
 lose collateral                                           save                                                                                Long-term
                                  in debt
and/or forced to                                                                      Spend money differently                                   benefits
  borrow more




                                                                           1.
         Actual decreased                         Actual increased     Invest in
             income                                   income          immediate               2. Consumptive                 3.
                                                                        future:                spending with           Invest in long-
                                                                                                  scope for             term future:         4. Consumptive
                                                                      a. Business                                                            spending (non-
                                                                                                productivity:
                                                                     b. Productive                                      a. Children’s          productive):
         Determined by external                                          assets                  a. Add on               education
                factors:                                                                          housing                                   Assets which do
                                                                       c. Adult                                         b. Children’s       not retain value
          Entrepreneurial ability                                     education               b. Assets which            health and
                                                                     d. Workers’                retain value              nutrition
            Appropriateness of
            business in context                                       health &
                                                                      nutrition
         Competition from other
              MFI clients                     Scope for increased
                                              income via business
            Gender and power                                                                                                 FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY
                                                or employment               Improved capabilities
                relations                                                                                                      Inability to repay loan
                                                                       Better able to deal with shocks

                                                                                                                                                     30
What we now think is happening
                                  Use other MFI
                                                                                                                                            Social cohesion

        Use same
          MFI                                                        Micro-credit                               Micro-savings
                                                                                                                                               Women’s
                                                                                                                                             empowerment
                                                                                    Given to individuals or groups
                            Able to repay loan
Default on loan,                                          Able to
                            and avoid increase
 lose collateral                                           save                                                                                Long-term
                                  in debt
and/or forced to                                                                      Spend money differently                                   benefits
  borrow more




                                                                           1.
         Actual decreased                         Actual increased     Invest in
             income                                   income          immediate               2. Consumptive                 3.
                                                                        future:                spending with           Invest in long-
                                                                                                  scope for             term future:         4. Consumptive
                                                                      a. Business                                                            spending (non-
                                                                                                productivity:
                                                                     b. Productive                                      a. Children’s          productive):
         Determined by external                                          assets                  a. Add on               education
                factors:                                                                          housing                                   Assets which do
                                                                       c. Adult                                         b. Children’s       not retain value
          Entrepreneurial ability                                     education               b. Assets which            health and
                                                                     d. Workers’                retain value              nutrition
            Appropriateness of
            business in context                                       health &
                                                                      nutrition
         Competition from other
              MFI clients                     Scope for increased
                                              income via business
            Gender and power                                                                                                 FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY
                                                or employment               Improved capabilities
                relations                                                                                                      Inability to repay loan
                                                                       Better able to deal with shocks

                                                                                                                                                     31
What we now think is happening


                                               Social cohesion


Micro-credit                   Micro-savings
                                                 Women’s
                                               empowerment
        Given to individuals or groups



          Spend money differently




                                                          32
What we now think is happening
                                  Use other MFI
                                                                                                                                            Social cohesion

        Use same
          MFI                                                        Micro-credit                               Micro-savings
                                                                                                                                               Women’s
                                                                                                                                             empowerment
                                                                                    Given to individuals or groups
                            Able to repay loan
Default on loan,                                          Able to
                            and avoid increase
 lose collateral                                           save                                                                                Long-term
                                  in debt
and/or forced to                                                                      Spend money differently                                   benefits
  borrow more




                                                                           1.
         Actual decreased                         Actual increased     Invest in
             income                                   income          immediate               2. Consumptive                 3.
                                                                        future:                spending with           Invest in long-
                                                                                                  scope for             term future:         4. Consumptive
                                                                      a. Business                                                            spending (non-
                                                                                                productivity:
                                                                     b. Productive                                      a. Children’s          productive):
         Determined by external                                          assets                  a. Add on               education
                factors:                                                                          housing                                   Assets which do
                                                                       c. Adult                                         b. Children’s       not retain value
          Entrepreneurial ability                                     education               b. Assets which            health and
                                                                     d. Workers’                retain value              nutrition
            Appropriateness of
            business in context                                       health &
                                                                      nutrition
         Competition from other
              MFI clients                     Scope for increased
                                              income via business
            Gender and power                                                                                                 FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY
                                                or employment               Improved capabilities
                relations                                                                                                      Inability to repay loan
                                                                       Better able to deal with shocks

                                                                                                                                                     33
Given to individuals or groups

                                                                     Long-term
                    Spend money differently                           benefits



          1.
      Invest in
     immediate             2. Consumptive            3.
       future:              spending with      Invest in long-
                               scope for        term future:       4. Consumptive
     a. Business
                             productivity:                         spending (non-
    b. Productive                               a. Children’s        productive):
        assets               a. Add on           education
                              housing                              Assets which do
       c. Adult                                 b. Children’s      not retain value
      education            b. Assets which       health and
     d. Workers’             retain value         nutrition
       health &
       nutrition
d
s
                                                    FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY
          Improved capabilities
                                                      Inability to repay loan
      Better able to deal with shocks
                                                                                 34
What we now think is happening
                                  Use other MFI
                                                                                                                                            Social cohesion

        Use same
          MFI                                                        Micro-credit                               Micro-savings
                                                                                                                                               Women’s
                                                                                                                                             empowerment
                                                                                    Given to individuals or groups
                            Able to repay loan
Default on loan,                                          Able to
                            and avoid increase
 lose collateral                                           save                                                                                Long-term
                                  in debt
and/or forced to                                                                      Spend money differently                                   benefits
  borrow more




                                                                           1.
         Actual decreased                         Actual increased     Invest in
             income                                   income          immediate               2. Consumptive                 3.
                                                                        future:                spending with           Invest in long-
                                                                                                  scope for             term future:         4. Consumptive
                                                                      a. Business                                                            spending (non-
                                                                                                productivity:
                                                                     b. Productive                                      a. Children’s          productive):
         Determined by external                                          assets                  a. Add on               education
                factors:                                                                          housing                                   Assets which do
                                                                       c. Adult                                         b. Children’s       not retain value
          Entrepreneurial ability                                     education               b. Assets which            health and
                                                                     d. Workers’                retain value              nutrition
            Appropriateness of
            business in context                                       health &
                                                                      nutrition
         Competition from other
              MFI clients                     Scope for increased
                                              income via business
            Gender and power                                                                                                 FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY
                                                or employment               Improved capabilities
                relations                                                                                                      Inability to repay loan
                                                                       Better able to deal with shocks

                                                                                                                                                     35
Able to repay                           Given to indiv
Default on loan,                              Able to
 lose collateral         loan and avoid
                                               save
and/or forced to        increase in debt                             Spend mon
  borrow more

                                                                1.
        Actual decreased               Actual increased     Invest in
                                                           immediate           Co
            income                         income                                s
                                                             future:
                                                                                w
                                                           a. Business
                                                          b. Productive        pro
       Determined by external
                                                              assets
              factors:                                                          a
                                                             c. Adult
        Entrepreneurial ability                             education
         Appropriateness of                                                     b
                                                           d. Workers’
         business in context                                                   wh
                                                             health &
                                           Scope for
          Competition from                                  nutrition
                                      increased income
          other MFI clients
                                        via business or
         Gender and power                                      Improved capabi
                                         employment
              relations                                   Better able to deal wi

                                                                          36
Use other MFI


      Use same
        MFI
                                                      Micro-                           Mic
                                                      credit                           sav

                                                             Given to individuals or groups
 Default on            Able to repay
  loan, lose                              Able to
                      loan and avoid
  collateral                               save
                     increase in debt
and/or forced                                                 Spend money differently
  to borrow
    more




           Actual
                                   Actual increased      1.
         decreased                                                          2. 37
                                       income         Invest in
          income                                                        Consumptiv
What we now think is happening
                                  Use other MFI
                                                                                                                                            Social cohesion

        Use same
          MFI                                                        Micro-credit                               Micro-savings
                                                                                                                                               Women’s
                                                                                                                                             empowerment
                                                                                    Given to individuals or groups
                            Able to repay loan
Default on loan,                                          Able to
                            and avoid increase
 lose collateral                                           save                                                                                Long-term
                                  in debt
and/or forced to                                                                      Spend money differently                                   benefits
  borrow more




                                                                           1.
         Actual decreased                         Actual increased     Invest in
             income                                   income          immediate               2. Consumptive                 3.
                                                                        future:                spending with           Invest in long-
                                                                                                  scope for             term future:         4. Consumptive
                                                                      a. Business                                                            spending (non-
                                                                                                productivity:
                                                                     b. Productive                                      a. Children’s          productive):
         Determined by external                                          assets                  a. Add on               education
                factors:                                                                          housing                                   Assets which do
                                                                       c. Adult                                         b. Children’s       not retain value
          Entrepreneurial ability                                     education               b. Assets which            health and
                                                                     d. Workers’                retain value              nutrition
            Appropriateness of
            business in context                                       health &
                                                                      nutrition
         Competition from other
              MFI clients                     Scope for increased
                                              income via business
            Gender and power                                                                                                 FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY
                                                or employment               Improved capabilities
                relations                                                                                                      Inability to repay loan
                                                                       Better able to deal with shocks

                                                                                                                                                     38
Some of our recommendations
              Microfinance not to be
              promoted as means of
            improving education in SSA

             Microcredit rolled out with
            caution & focussed carefully
              on those most likely to
                       benefit

             The rhetoric to be scaled
                back & wild claims
                    challenged
More (especially on micro-savings) and
better impact evaluations of microfinance




                                                 From http://www.verylol.com/wash-when-dirty-1218/
  Ongoing discussion of how to deliver
   pragmatic systematic reviews for
      international development
                                            41
Your thoughts?
Contact us:
cvanrooyen@uj.ac.za




                                          Source: Per Herbertsson
r.stewart@ioe.ac.uk
Presentation online at
http://www.slideshare.net/carinavr   43
Acknowledgements

   Photos acknowledged on slides




The impact of microfinance on education in SSA by
  Van Rooyen C et al is licensed under a Creative
 Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike
              3.0 Unported License

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Impact of microfinance on education in sub-Saharan Africa

  • 1. The impact of microfinance on education in sub-Saharan Africa: A partnership project with the Institute of Education INSTITUTE OF EDUCATION SYMPOSIUM ON EDUCATION AND DEVELOPMENT, 14 December 2011 Source: Per Herbertsson Carina van Rooyen, Ruth Stewart and Thea de Wet
  • 3. Increase income Access to Invest in Lift out of microfinance the future poverty Increase education, health, etc. 3
  • 4. Especially Invest in the if available Improvement future to women in education 4
  • 5. DFID-funded systematic review Review question given Paper or plastic?
  • 7. Extensive searching & 2-staged screening 6 000 Microfinance 336 69 35 Comparative Sub-Saharan evaluations Africa of the impact on the poor 15 7
  • 8. Coding 8
  • 9. From http://www.zazzle.co.uk/worlds_bestest_appraiser_tshirt-235669736717655238 9 Quality appraisal From http://runningagile.com/category/esther-derby/
  • 11. Synthesis 11
  • 12. development From http://copyprints.blogspot.com/ Causal chain 12
  • 13. Peer-reviewed published report Available at http://www.dfid.gov. uk/r4d/PDF/Outputs/ SystematicReviews/M icroFinance_FOR+WE B%5B1%5D.pdf 13
  • 15. Details of our 15 included studies • 4 RCTs 2 quasi-experimental studies 9 with/without studies • 11 = microcredit, 2 = savings, 2 = combined credit & savings • Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Madagascar, Rwanda, South Source: Per Herbertsson Africa, Tanzania (Zanzibar), Uganda & Zimbabwe • Rural & urban initiatives
  • 16. Scope of the evidence-base RCTs Quasi-exp With/without Micro-savings 2 - - Micro-credit 2 1 8 Micro-credit & - 1 1 savings 16
  • 18. Findings – how does microfinance impact on education? Credit Combined Savings credit and savings MAYBE NO YES gender difference negative (1) positive (1) no effect (1) positive (2) mixed (2) negative (1) no effect (1) 18
  • 19. Specific paper findings * High quality studies 19
  • 20. Photo from http://vishwasaha.wordpress.com/category/yoga/ There is some evidence for positive impacts but worryingly there is also evidence that microfinance does harm by negatively impacting on the education of clients’ children, especially girls 20
  • 21. Savings provision to AIDS-orphaned young people in Uganda has been shown to increase their intention to Photo by Martin Godwin, http://www.guardian.co.uk/katine/katine-chronicles- attend secondary schooling, & their certainty that these plans will come to fruition. These young people also did significantly better in Uganda’s Primary Leaving Examinations than control group (Ssewamala et al 2010) blog/2010/aug/19/katine-finance-saving 21
  • 22. Evidence for micro-credit’s impact on household’s expenditure on education is contradictory: (1) two studies show increased household’s expenditure on children’s education; (2) two studies find no such effect; (3) one study finds mixed results with varied positive & negative impacts on expenditure on education depending on the region 22
  • 23. On school attendance two studies found reduced attendance amongst micro-credit clients Data from Malawi shows that micro-credit significantly decreases primary school attendance amongst borrowers’ children Noteworthy gendered impact: repetition of primary grades in young boys & delayed or lack of enrolment for young girls In Uganda (high quality study) client households were significantly more likely to have been unable to pay school charges for one or more household members for at least one term during previous two years, hence children had to drop out of school 23
  • 24. But micro-credit does not appear to increase child labour, so we presume children are not being taken out of school to work, but because clients have difficulties paying school expenses 24
  • 25. From http://indieintertube.tv/static/episode-length-how-long-should-you-go/#axzz1gSMCYo00 Length of time within micro-credit programme decreases children’s enrolment • Gendered impact: in Zimbabwe on-going borrowing reduced children’s enrolment in school; proportion of household’s girls aged 6 to 16 in school decreasing more for continuing clients than for departing clients & non-clients 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27. “Credit is like a fire: it is useful to cook your sadza but if you are careless, it will burn your hut.” 27
  • 29. Causal pathway analysis Source: Per Herbertsson 29
  • 30. What we now think is happening Use other MFI Social cohesion Use same MFI Micro-credit Micro-savings Women’s empowerment Given to individuals or groups Able to repay loan Default on loan, Able to and avoid increase lose collateral save Long-term in debt and/or forced to Spend money differently benefits borrow more 1. Actual decreased Actual increased Invest in income income immediate 2. Consumptive 3. future: spending with Invest in long- scope for term future: 4. Consumptive a. Business spending (non- productivity: b. Productive a. Children’s productive): Determined by external assets a. Add on education factors: housing Assets which do c. Adult b. Children’s not retain value Entrepreneurial ability education b. Assets which health and d. Workers’ retain value nutrition Appropriateness of business in context health & nutrition Competition from other MFI clients Scope for increased income via business Gender and power FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY or employment Improved capabilities relations Inability to repay loan Better able to deal with shocks 30
  • 31. What we now think is happening Use other MFI Social cohesion Use same MFI Micro-credit Micro-savings Women’s empowerment Given to individuals or groups Able to repay loan Default on loan, Able to and avoid increase lose collateral save Long-term in debt and/or forced to Spend money differently benefits borrow more 1. Actual decreased Actual increased Invest in income income immediate 2. Consumptive 3. future: spending with Invest in long- scope for term future: 4. Consumptive a. Business spending (non- productivity: b. Productive a. Children’s productive): Determined by external assets a. Add on education factors: housing Assets which do c. Adult b. Children’s not retain value Entrepreneurial ability education b. Assets which health and d. Workers’ retain value nutrition Appropriateness of business in context health & nutrition Competition from other MFI clients Scope for increased income via business Gender and power FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY or employment Improved capabilities relations Inability to repay loan Better able to deal with shocks 31
  • 32. What we now think is happening Social cohesion Micro-credit Micro-savings Women’s empowerment Given to individuals or groups Spend money differently 32
  • 33. What we now think is happening Use other MFI Social cohesion Use same MFI Micro-credit Micro-savings Women’s empowerment Given to individuals or groups Able to repay loan Default on loan, Able to and avoid increase lose collateral save Long-term in debt and/or forced to Spend money differently benefits borrow more 1. Actual decreased Actual increased Invest in income income immediate 2. Consumptive 3. future: spending with Invest in long- scope for term future: 4. Consumptive a. Business spending (non- productivity: b. Productive a. Children’s productive): Determined by external assets a. Add on education factors: housing Assets which do c. Adult b. Children’s not retain value Entrepreneurial ability education b. Assets which health and d. Workers’ retain value nutrition Appropriateness of business in context health & nutrition Competition from other MFI clients Scope for increased income via business Gender and power FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY or employment Improved capabilities relations Inability to repay loan Better able to deal with shocks 33
  • 34. Given to individuals or groups Long-term Spend money differently benefits 1. Invest in immediate 2. Consumptive 3. future: spending with Invest in long- scope for term future: 4. Consumptive a. Business productivity: spending (non- b. Productive a. Children’s productive): assets a. Add on education housing Assets which do c. Adult b. Children’s not retain value education b. Assets which health and d. Workers’ retain value nutrition health & nutrition d s FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY Improved capabilities Inability to repay loan Better able to deal with shocks 34
  • 35. What we now think is happening Use other MFI Social cohesion Use same MFI Micro-credit Micro-savings Women’s empowerment Given to individuals or groups Able to repay loan Default on loan, Able to and avoid increase lose collateral save Long-term in debt and/or forced to Spend money differently benefits borrow more 1. Actual decreased Actual increased Invest in income income immediate 2. Consumptive 3. future: spending with Invest in long- scope for term future: 4. Consumptive a. Business spending (non- productivity: b. Productive a. Children’s productive): Determined by external assets a. Add on education factors: housing Assets which do c. Adult b. Children’s not retain value Entrepreneurial ability education b. Assets which health and d. Workers’ retain value nutrition Appropriateness of business in context health & nutrition Competition from other MFI clients Scope for increased income via business Gender and power FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY or employment Improved capabilities relations Inability to repay loan Better able to deal with shocks 35
  • 36. Able to repay Given to indiv Default on loan, Able to lose collateral loan and avoid save and/or forced to increase in debt Spend mon borrow more 1. Actual decreased Actual increased Invest in immediate Co income income s future: w a. Business b. Productive pro Determined by external assets factors: a c. Adult Entrepreneurial ability education Appropriateness of b d. Workers’ business in context wh health & Scope for Competition from nutrition increased income other MFI clients via business or Gender and power Improved capabi employment relations Better able to deal wi 36
  • 37. Use other MFI Use same MFI Micro- Mic credit sav Given to individuals or groups Default on Able to repay loan, lose Able to loan and avoid collateral save increase in debt and/or forced Spend money differently to borrow more Actual Actual increased 1. decreased 2. 37 income Invest in income Consumptiv
  • 38. What we now think is happening Use other MFI Social cohesion Use same MFI Micro-credit Micro-savings Women’s empowerment Given to individuals or groups Able to repay loan Default on loan, Able to and avoid increase lose collateral save Long-term in debt and/or forced to Spend money differently benefits borrow more 1. Actual decreased Actual increased Invest in income income immediate 2. Consumptive 3. future: spending with Invest in long- scope for term future: 4. Consumptive a. Business spending (non- productivity: b. Productive a. Children’s productive): Determined by external assets a. Add on education factors: housing Assets which do c. Adult b. Children’s not retain value Entrepreneurial ability education b. Assets which health and d. Workers’ retain value nutrition Appropriateness of business in context health & nutrition Competition from other MFI clients Scope for increased income via business Gender and power FOR CREDIT CLIENTS ONLY or employment Improved capabilities relations Inability to repay loan Better able to deal with shocks 38
  • 39.
  • 40. Some of our recommendations Microfinance not to be promoted as means of improving education in SSA Microcredit rolled out with caution & focussed carefully on those most likely to benefit The rhetoric to be scaled back & wild claims challenged
  • 41. More (especially on micro-savings) and better impact evaluations of microfinance From http://www.verylol.com/wash-when-dirty-1218/ Ongoing discussion of how to deliver pragmatic systematic reviews for international development 41
  • 43. Contact us: cvanrooyen@uj.ac.za Source: Per Herbertsson r.stewart@ioe.ac.uk Presentation online at http://www.slideshare.net/carinavr 43
  • 44. Acknowledgements Photos acknowledged on slides The impact of microfinance on education in SSA by Van Rooyen C et al is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License

Editor's Notes

  1. Photo of Africa from
  2. Searched in three specialist systematic review libraries, 18 electronic online databases, the websites of 24 organisations and an online directory of books. We also contacted 23 key organisations and individuals requesting relevant evidence, conducted citation searches for two key publications and searched the reference lists of initially included papers.Searches provided over 6 000 hits; reduced to 383 ‘probably relevant’ reports based on their abstracts. Full texts sought & 336 were collected & screened for second time. Identified 69 studies on SSA which evaluate impact of microcredit and/or micro-savings on poor. Then down to 35 which had comparison group.Explicit & justified criteria for inclusion or exclusion of any study.
  3. Add pick from EPPI Reviewer 4
  4. Had 35 studies when started; ended with 15 included studies of high and medium quality (20 excluded either dueto poor reporting, poor methodology or both).
  5. According to income outcomes, other wealth indicators, and other outcomes for the poor.
  6. Analysed data using two approaches: identification of whether micro-credit or micro-savings were having positive, negative, varied or no effects on the lives of poor people; and narrative synthesis of qualitative findings.
  7. Expect questions re selection/placement biases in the 9 simple comparison studies.Details of the included studies 35 studies which compare the impact of having a loan or a savings account with not having either. 11 studies were medium quality and 4 high quality. These 15 studies were considered ‘good enough’ quality and included in the in-depth review.
  8. 3ie’s quality standards for inclusion in its impact evaluation database: “Quality evaluations employ either experimental or quasi-experimental approaches.”EPPI-Centre is one of specialist methodology centres around the world exploring and extending SR methods to consider other types of evidence to address complex questions, interventions and outcomes.
  9. 9 studies dealt with impact on MF on education outcomes of the poor. Over simplified: Actually some studies include both credit and savings (lost subtlety) Different levels of impacts – on households, business and individual
  10. As early as the 1960s, when inaugurated the credit union movement to provide loans to the poor in Zimbabwe, he acknowledged “Credit is like a fire: it is useful to cook your sadza but if you are careless, it will burn your hut.” (Brother Waddelove in Raftopolous & Lacoste 2001:35).
  11. Reminder of conditions of micro-credit – high interest rates and frequent repayments = need to make a profit and quicklyRe micro-savings – encouraged to save, but often at a cost (fees to withdraw money)
  12. Could also add behaviour to purple box as an external factor shaping outcomes
  13. “I think an honest appraisal of the current state of the evidence is that we simply do not know whether microcredit raises incomes and consumption. If the case for microfinance depended on whether it was lifting people out of poverty, then the appropriate response right now would probably be to declare a moratorium on support for microfinance until further research clarifies this question more.” ~ Rosenburg 2009 on CGAP website