UTC Telecom 2000 Conference—Phoenix, Arizona
June 26, 2000Fred A. Joyce
Why Utilities Should NOT Get into the Telecom Business
In recent yea
rs, much ha
s been written a
nd discussed a
bout the bra
ve new world
of telecommunica
tions, a
nd the significa
nt opportunities a
va
ila
ble to utilities in
entering this highly competitive a
nd complex a
rena
. Wha
t ha
s not been a
s widely
publicized a
re the downsides fa
cing utilities in entering the telecom business.
It a
ll sounded a
nd a
ppea
red like such a
n excellent revenue opportunity for the
utility to become a
 telecommunica
tions ca
rrier. La
ter, a
fter millions were
invested, sta
ff wa
s hired a
nd tra
ined, a
n extensive fiber optic network wa
s
deployed, however the expected revenue strea
m never rea
lly ma
teria
lized.
What went wrong with their telephony business plan?
Did the utility have the in-house telecom carrier expertise necessary to become a
common carrier?
Did others, including high paid consultants (not JTG), over-value the utility rights-
of-way, or other assets such as existing fiber, conduit or duct space?
Were the projected revenues from telecom far too optimistic?
Ma
ny utilities ha
ve a
ttempted, a
nd fa
iled in their a
ttempts to become competitive
telecom ca
rriers. We ha
ve purposely omitted the na
mes of the va
rious utility
enterprises, a
nd ca
rriers in order to protect the innocent, a
nd potentia
l future
consulting enga
gements for JTG.
Our resea
rch indica
tes tha
t a
 rela
tively sma
ll number of electric utilities ha
ve
moved beyond providing pole, or tower spa
ce to other ca
rriers, including CLEC,
a
nd IXCs for the deployment of fiber networks. Ma
ny utilities ha
ve become
telecom "la
ndlords" working with va
rious ca
rriers to develop "win-win" da
rk fiber
a
greements, fiber swa
ps, a
nd revenue sha
ring a
rra
ngements.
Further, others ha
ve utilized utility a
ssets such a
s power poles a
nd towers for the
deployment of wireless infra
structure for cellula
r a
nd PCS a
ntenna
s in excha
nge
for significa
nt monthly rent for these cell sites.
The ma
jority of utility telecom involvement ha
s been in the "la
ndlord" a
rena
, for
the lea
se of towers, poles, ducts, etc. for the deployment of fiber optic networks
by other ca
rriers. In ma
ny ca
ses these a
greements a
re considered a
 "win-win"
situa
tion with the utility ga
ining both revenue a
nd fiber, plus the ca
rrier obta
ins a

low cost a
lterna
tive to direct bury, or directiona
l boring under roa
ds, or other
pubic rights-of-wa
y.
In our 1995 pa
per a
nd speech to the UTC, we discussed "Moving Beyond the
Pole Attachment Agreement." Toda
y, five (5) yea
rs la
ter our perspective ha
s
evolved, just a
s the utility-telecom ca
rrier ma
rketpla
ce la
ndsca
pe ha
s a
lso
tra
nsitioned, a
nd perha
ps ma
tured over the yea
rs.
We've a
ll listened to, a
nd investiga
ted powerful presenta
tions over the pa
st
deca
de or so, from va
rious big telecom equipment vendors, a
nd the over priced,
but genera
lly well respected consulting compa
nies, seeking revenue from deep
pocketed utilities, just like yours. They wa
nt to "a
dvise" or "sell you" their product
a
nd consulting services so tha
t your utility ca
n enter the sometimes cutthroa
t,
a
nd super competitive world of loca
l, a
nd/or long-ha
ul telecommunica
tions.
Since 1990 (or so) there ha
s been a
n a
bunda
nce of discourse in the electric
power a
nd utility a
rena
 in genera
l a
bout diversifica
tion, a
nd moving into new
revenue genera
ting opportunities. However, wha
t we ha
ve found is tha
t ma
ny
times, utilities ha
ve been ill prepa
red to enter the highly competitive world of
telecommunica
tions, a
s a
 ca
rrier.
With very few, but nota
ble exceptions, utilities ha
ve experienced significa
nt
difficulties, not to mention hea
vy fina
ncia
l ra
mifica
tions in their effort to reinvent
themselves a
s telecom service providers. Some ha
ve been successful, but
significa
ntly more utilities ha
ve fa
iled in their a
ttempts to become telecom
ca
rriers, competing with the existing a
nd thoroughly entrenched pla
yers such a
s
the ILECs, CLECs, IXCs, a
nd the ISPs.
So when we sa
y "entering the telecom business" we a
re indica
ting a
 non-pa
ssive
or non-la
ndlord a
pproa
ch, such a
s a
ctua
lly setting up a
n unregula
ted telecom
subsidia
ry, providing provisioned loca
l a
nd long dista
nce telephony services, in
direct competition with the incumbent loca
l excha
nge ca
rriers, such a
s US West
here in Arizona
. These utility enterprises a
lso compete with the CLECs, a
nd
oftentimes the IXCs, a
nd even the Ca
ble TV fra
nchisee.
These competitors of the former loca
l phone monopoly (ILEC), a
re now referred
to a
s CLECs. Currently these competitive loca
l ca
rriers represent just 5-6% of the
$100+ billion loca
l telecom ma
rketpla
ce (loca
l a
nd LD voice da
ta
, ISP, video,
DSL, etc.). These nimble a
nd a
ggressive pla
yers such a
s Nextlink, ICG, ELI,
KMC, a
nd Intermedia
 ha
ve more tha
n likely a
ttempted to develop pole
a
tta
chment, or duct spa
ce lea
se a
greements with utilities just like yours. Now,
they could become your worst nightma
re a
s you a
ttempt to compete with them in
your loca
l telephony ma
rketpla
ce.
Further, to the best of our knowledge, none of the current CLECs have reached
profitability, or break even on their extremely capital intensive, infrastructure
based business. Only MFS and TCG, both of which were acquired several years
ago by WorldCom and AT&T, managed to obtain profitability or break even. And
these early local competition pioneers from the mid to late 1980s also had
attracted the best talent in the telecom industry, including guys like me.
Today, in many markets such as San Francisco or Boston, hundreds of CLEC
are registered with the State Public Utility Commission to provide local telecom
services. This situation further complicates the marketplace for new entrants, as
you will be required to sort out and identify all the potential competitive threats,
including the big cable TV MSOs, such as AT&T, who are retrofitting old (TCI)
coaxial infrastructure and building fiber to the neighborhoods. Then we have the
cable TV "over builders" such as Wide Open West (WOW) based in Denver, who
are competing against the existing cable companies such as Adelphia and Time
Warner.
The landscape for local telephony services has become increasingly complex
and difficult to follow, let alone enter as a participant. However, we are not saying
that it can't be done. We are indicating that entering the telecom carrier
marketplace as a carrier is extremely risky, and wrought with potential pitfalls that
should be studied, and thoroughly analyzed before even considering a telecom
carrier play.
Arguments Against Utilities Entering the Telecom Carrier Arena
In the course of developing this paper and speech for the UTC Telecom 2000,
we discussed our topic with many utility executives seeking specific examples of
various utilities entering the telecom business, and then failing.
So why did they fail?
Most of the examples sited by our sources indicated that the business plan(s)
were indeed flawed, and not well conceived. Market research was oftentimes
based on "we believe there is a market." Or, "we feel that providing telecom
services to our community would be beneficial."
True, but can you generate enough revenue to cover the cost of the new telecom
infrastructure? Is this utility telecom venture an economic development tool, or a
real business, which will become self sufficient in a reasonable period of time,
like 3-5 years.
One example was of a very small rural cooperative electric utility that was
desirous to bring in high speed telecom services to this relatively remote western
plains community. The network was built with miles of new fiber optic cable along
rural highways and roads. So far so good, right? But then they realized that they
had neglected to contact many end-customers, and "sell" these services to the
local schools, libraries, hospitals, and government facilities.
Clearly a market assessment was not formulated, or their perspective of the
market was based on the view from 10,000 feet, and not based on a ground level
view which the CLECs generally pursue prior to network design and deployment.
Now, the projected telephony venture revenue numbers are skewed, and
significantly more fiber will be required to provide connectivity to all these
additional key locations.
Other small town examples include cities that have built what we refer to as
"island networks." These are local community based networks which link schools,
and government locations, but are not connected to the outside world via long-
haul IXC fiber. Great local connectivity, but as far as providing connectivity to the
Internet, or the nationwide long distance backbone, this town was, for the most
part still "off-net." I assume that the locals realized that building a fiber ring
around town would be beneficial, but what about the "back-haul" to the nearest
major market for connectivity to the rest of the world?
Most importantly, utilities have worked in a virtual monopoly environment for the
last 100 years or more. Things are changing now, but the telecom business is
extremely different, and has become super competitive since the divestiture of
AT&T and the Bell System in 1984, and the Telecom Act of 1996.
Massive amounts of capital have poured into this brave new world of telecom,
and continue to do so today. Mergers and acquisitions make it extremely difficult
to stay on top of the numerous players. And we should expect this situation to
continue, as the USA leads the rest of the world in the deregulated telecom
market for advanced services.
So what's a utility to do?
We recommend that you thoroughly research the market you are considering to
attack. Do the required homework, including market research and assessments.
Utilize highly qualified, experienced outside telecom consultants. Obtain market
and competitive intelligence on your existing and potential competitors. Leave no
stone unturned before deploying any resources for a telecom venture.
Hire the best possible people for the new unregulated subsidiary, and think exit
strategy. Who can we sell this enterprise to in 3-5 years? What will be the long
term benefits of this type of high risk venture? Is it worth the potential downside
of going it alone, or are there partnership, or joint venture opportunities
available?
Better yet, stick with the "landlord" option, and work with all the existing and
future potential carriers entering the local market you continue to serve. Be
creative in your approach, and avoid the pitfalls of overvaluing the asset, and
missing the window of opportunity, as many utilities continue to do.
Overall, the future looks very bright for the creative and progressive utilities, and
somewhat bleak for those who neglect the critical homework, such as market
assessments, and competitive intelligence.
Better yet, stick with the "landlord" option, and work with all the existing and
future potential carriers entering the local market you continue to serve. Be
creative in your approach, and avoid the pitfalls of overvaluing the asset, and
missing the window of opportunity, as many utilities continue to do.
Overall, the future looks very bright for the creative and progressive utilities, and
somewhat bleak for those who neglect the critical homework, such as market
assessments, and competitive intelligence.

UTCTelecomSpeach2000

  • 1.
    UTC Telecom 2000Conference—Phoenix, Arizona
June 26, 2000Fred A. Joyce Why Utilities Should NOT Get into the Telecom Business In recent yea
rs, much ha
s been written a
nd discussed a
bout the bra
ve new world of telecommunica
tions, a
nd the significa
nt opportunities a
va
ila
ble to utilities in entering this highly competitive a
nd complex a
rena
. Wha
t ha
s not been a
s widely publicized a
re the downsides fa
cing utilities in entering the telecom business. It a
ll sounded a
nd a
ppea
red like such a
n excellent revenue opportunity for the utility to become a
 telecommunica
tions ca
rrier. La
ter, a
fter millions were invested, sta
ff wa
s hired a
nd tra
ined, a
n extensive fiber optic network wa
s deployed, however the expected revenue strea
m never rea
lly ma
teria
lized. What went wrong with their telephony business plan? Did the utility have the in-house telecom carrier expertise necessary to become a common carrier? Did others, including high paid consultants (not JTG), over-value the utility rights- of-way, or other assets such as existing fiber, conduit or duct space? Were the projected revenues from telecom far too optimistic? Ma
ny utilities ha
ve a
ttempted, a
nd fa
iled in their a
ttempts to become competitive telecom ca
rriers. We ha
ve purposely omitted the na
mes of the va
rious utility enterprises, a
nd ca
rriers in order to protect the innocent, a
nd potentia
l future consulting enga
gements for JTG. Our resea
rch indica
tes tha
t a
 rela
tively sma
ll number of electric utilities ha
ve moved beyond providing pole, or tower spa
ce to other ca
rriers, including CLEC, a
nd IXCs for the deployment of fiber networks. Ma
ny utilities ha
ve become telecom "la
ndlords" working with va
rious ca
rriers to develop "win-win" da
rk fiber a
greements, fiber swa
ps, a
nd revenue sha
ring a
rra
ngements. Further, others ha
ve utilized utility a
ssets such a
s power poles a
nd towers for the deployment of wireless infra
structure for cellula
r a
nd PCS a
ntenna
s in excha
nge for significa
nt monthly rent for these cell sites. The ma
jority of utility telecom involvement ha
s been in the "la
ndlord" a
rena
, for the lea
se of towers, poles, ducts, etc. for the deployment of fiber optic networks by other ca
rriers. In ma
ny ca
ses these a
greements a
re considered a
 "win-win" situa
tion with the utility ga
ining both revenue a
nd fiber, plus the ca
rrier obta
ins a

  • 2.
    low cost a
lterna
tiveto direct bury, or directiona
l boring under roa
ds, or other pubic rights-of-wa
y. In our 1995 pa
per a
nd speech to the UTC, we discussed "Moving Beyond the Pole Attachment Agreement." Toda
y, five (5) yea
rs la
ter our perspective ha
s evolved, just a
s the utility-telecom ca
rrier ma
rketpla
ce la
ndsca
pe ha
s a
lso tra
nsitioned, a
nd perha
ps ma
tured over the yea
rs. We've a
ll listened to, a
nd investiga
ted powerful presenta
tions over the pa
st deca
de or so, from va
rious big telecom equipment vendors, a
nd the over priced, but genera
lly well respected consulting compa
nies, seeking revenue from deep pocketed utilities, just like yours. They wa
nt to "a
dvise" or "sell you" their product a
nd consulting services so tha
t your utility ca
n enter the sometimes cutthroa
t, a
nd super competitive world of loca
l, a
nd/or long-ha
ul telecommunica
tions. Since 1990 (or so) there ha
s been a
n a
bunda
nce of discourse in the electric power a
nd utility a
rena
 in genera
l a
bout diversifica
tion, a
nd moving into new revenue genera
ting opportunities. However, wha
t we ha
ve found is tha
t ma
ny times, utilities ha
ve been ill prepa
red to enter the highly competitive world of telecommunica
tions, a
s a
 ca
rrier. With very few, but nota
ble exceptions, utilities ha
ve experienced significa
nt difficulties, not to mention hea
vy fina
ncia
l ra
mifica
tions in their effort to reinvent themselves a
s telecom service providers. Some ha
ve been successful, but significa
ntly more utilities ha
ve fa
iled in their a
ttempts to become telecom ca
rriers, competing with the existing a
nd thoroughly entrenched pla
yers such a
s the ILECs, CLECs, IXCs, a
nd the ISPs. So when we sa
y "entering the telecom business" we a
re indica
ting a
 non-pa
ssive or non-la
ndlord a
pproa
ch, such a
s a
ctua
lly setting up a
n unregula
ted telecom subsidia
ry, providing provisioned loca
l a
nd long dista
nce telephony services, in direct competition with the incumbent loca
l excha
nge ca
rriers, such a
s US West here in Arizona
. These utility enterprises a
lso compete with the CLECs, a
nd oftentimes the IXCs, a
nd even the Ca
ble TV fra
nchisee. These competitors of the former loca
l phone monopoly (ILEC), a
re now referred to a
s CLECs. Currently these competitive loca
l ca
rriers represent just 5-6% of the $100+ billion loca
l telecom ma
rketpla
ce (loca
l a
nd LD voice da
ta
, ISP, video, DSL, etc.). These nimble a
nd a
ggressive pla
yers such a
s Nextlink, ICG, ELI, KMC, a
nd Intermedia
 ha
ve more tha
n likely a
ttempted to develop pole a
tta
chment, or duct spa
ce lea
se a
greements with utilities just like yours. Now, they could become your worst nightma
re a
s you a
ttempt to compete with them in your loca
l telephony ma
rketpla
ce.
  • 3.
    Further, to thebest of our knowledge, none of the current CLECs have reached profitability, or break even on their extremely capital intensive, infrastructure based business. Only MFS and TCG, both of which were acquired several years ago by WorldCom and AT&T, managed to obtain profitability or break even. And these early local competition pioneers from the mid to late 1980s also had attracted the best talent in the telecom industry, including guys like me. Today, in many markets such as San Francisco or Boston, hundreds of CLEC are registered with the State Public Utility Commission to provide local telecom services. This situation further complicates the marketplace for new entrants, as you will be required to sort out and identify all the potential competitive threats, including the big cable TV MSOs, such as AT&T, who are retrofitting old (TCI) coaxial infrastructure and building fiber to the neighborhoods. Then we have the cable TV "over builders" such as Wide Open West (WOW) based in Denver, who are competing against the existing cable companies such as Adelphia and Time Warner. The landscape for local telephony services has become increasingly complex and difficult to follow, let alone enter as a participant. However, we are not saying that it can't be done. We are indicating that entering the telecom carrier marketplace as a carrier is extremely risky, and wrought with potential pitfalls that should be studied, and thoroughly analyzed before even considering a telecom carrier play. Arguments Against Utilities Entering the Telecom Carrier Arena In the course of developing this paper and speech for the UTC Telecom 2000, we discussed our topic with many utility executives seeking specific examples of various utilities entering the telecom business, and then failing. So why did they fail? Most of the examples sited by our sources indicated that the business plan(s) were indeed flawed, and not well conceived. Market research was oftentimes based on "we believe there is a market." Or, "we feel that providing telecom services to our community would be beneficial." True, but can you generate enough revenue to cover the cost of the new telecom infrastructure? Is this utility telecom venture an economic development tool, or a real business, which will become self sufficient in a reasonable period of time, like 3-5 years. One example was of a very small rural cooperative electric utility that was desirous to bring in high speed telecom services to this relatively remote western plains community. The network was built with miles of new fiber optic cable along
  • 4.
    rural highways androads. So far so good, right? But then they realized that they had neglected to contact many end-customers, and "sell" these services to the local schools, libraries, hospitals, and government facilities. Clearly a market assessment was not formulated, or their perspective of the market was based on the view from 10,000 feet, and not based on a ground level view which the CLECs generally pursue prior to network design and deployment. Now, the projected telephony venture revenue numbers are skewed, and significantly more fiber will be required to provide connectivity to all these additional key locations. Other small town examples include cities that have built what we refer to as "island networks." These are local community based networks which link schools, and government locations, but are not connected to the outside world via long- haul IXC fiber. Great local connectivity, but as far as providing connectivity to the Internet, or the nationwide long distance backbone, this town was, for the most part still "off-net." I assume that the locals realized that building a fiber ring around town would be beneficial, but what about the "back-haul" to the nearest major market for connectivity to the rest of the world? Most importantly, utilities have worked in a virtual monopoly environment for the last 100 years or more. Things are changing now, but the telecom business is extremely different, and has become super competitive since the divestiture of AT&T and the Bell System in 1984, and the Telecom Act of 1996. Massive amounts of capital have poured into this brave new world of telecom, and continue to do so today. Mergers and acquisitions make it extremely difficult to stay on top of the numerous players. And we should expect this situation to continue, as the USA leads the rest of the world in the deregulated telecom market for advanced services. So what's a utility to do? We recommend that you thoroughly research the market you are considering to attack. Do the required homework, including market research and assessments. Utilize highly qualified, experienced outside telecom consultants. Obtain market and competitive intelligence on your existing and potential competitors. Leave no stone unturned before deploying any resources for a telecom venture. Hire the best possible people for the new unregulated subsidiary, and think exit strategy. Who can we sell this enterprise to in 3-5 years? What will be the long term benefits of this type of high risk venture? Is it worth the potential downside of going it alone, or are there partnership, or joint venture opportunities available?
  • 5.
    Better yet, stickwith the "landlord" option, and work with all the existing and future potential carriers entering the local market you continue to serve. Be creative in your approach, and avoid the pitfalls of overvaluing the asset, and missing the window of opportunity, as many utilities continue to do. Overall, the future looks very bright for the creative and progressive utilities, and somewhat bleak for those who neglect the critical homework, such as market assessments, and competitive intelligence.
  • 6.
    Better yet, stickwith the "landlord" option, and work with all the existing and future potential carriers entering the local market you continue to serve. Be creative in your approach, and avoid the pitfalls of overvaluing the asset, and missing the window of opportunity, as many utilities continue to do. Overall, the future looks very bright for the creative and progressive utilities, and somewhat bleak for those who neglect the critical homework, such as market assessments, and competitive intelligence.