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Using volunteered weather
observations to explore
urban and regional
weather patterns in the
Netherlands
Irene Garcia-Marti
Marijn de Haij
Jan-Willem Noteboom
Gerard van der Schrier
Cees de Valk
AGU Fall Meeting 2019
IN22A - Making Data Usable and Accessible:
Gaining Insight from Citizen Science Applications
10th December 2019
› Weather observations are
crucial!
› Spatial sparsity is a
challenge for high-res
weather forecasts
› Increasing number of
weather-related citizen
science projects
– WOW, Wunderground,
Netatmo, Meteoclimatic
Motivation
2
1st September 2019: 1,400 million observations and 17K stations worldwide
› 2015: KNMI partner of WOW
› Contributors: 400+ CWS
› Data NL+BE: 3.7M obs/month
› Devices: semi-professional
– Manufacturers: Davis, Oregon
scientific, Ventus, Alecto…
– Expected “reasonable” quality of
the observations
WOW-NL
4
Province of Utrecht
94 CWS
› Quality not only related to
device:
– Good with respect to what? What
variables are (not) properly
monitored?
– Local processes: radiation,
shadowing, siting
› Classical challenges of citizen
science data:
– Gaps in data
– Noisy observations
WOW-NL
5
WOW-NL
6
› Quality not only related to
device:
– Good with respect to what? What
variables are (not) properly
monitored?
– Local processes: radiation,
shadowing, siting
› Classical challenges of citizen
science data:
– Discretization
– Scale of the phenomena
7
What is the quality of WOW-NL?
R2 correlation between citizen and official weather stations
8
What is the quality of WOW-NL?
Preprocessing
WOW json csv
11.6M
observations
65 features
SVF
Feature engineering
Quality control
› Based on (Napoly, 2018)
› Variable: temperature
– Feasible to implement on
WOW-NL
– Levels have been
compacted
– Each of the 11.6M
observations is labeled with
a quality level
M0: incorrect metadata
M1: insufficient Z-score
(presence outliers)
M2: insufficient day/mon
coverage
M3: insufficient (Pearson)
correlation
M4: OK
(Napoly et al., 2018)
Development and Application of a Statistically-Based
Quality Control for Crowdsourced Air Temperature Data
Frontiers in Earth Science
Overview of the quality of WOW-NL
(Each square represents 10K observations)
M0: incorrect metadata
(not shown)
M1: insufficient Z-score
(presence outliers)
M2: insufficient day/mon
coverage
M3: insufficient (Pearson)
correlation
M4: OK
› Heat wave 27-07-2018
› Methodology:
– Kriging interpolation:
▪ WOW-NL observations per hour
▪ Calibrated for this day
▪ No external drift
– Visual comparison with
HARMONIE
▪ Regional numerical model
▪ Provides forecast up to 48h in
advance
Exploring regional
temperature
12
› Results:
– WOW-NL captures the daily
temperature cycle
– Spatial patterns are different:
▪ Radiation: proximity to buildings
▪ Cooling: shadowing of trees
▪ Meaning:
• Predicted weather in the
column different to what
happens at ground level
• More work to reduce this gap
Exploring regional
temperature
13
› If good enough:
– Open the door for new research:
▪ Fine-grained interpolated layers
▪ Nowcasting / hi-res weather
▪ Crowdsourced NWP
– Governance level:
▪ Lower cost for administration
▪ Better weather forecast for
underrepresented areas
▪ Bottom-up initiatives might work in
developing regions
Why the quality of citizen
science weather data is
important?
14
Imperfect data, but volume is difficult to ignore
Big data problem!
We are here
Questions? ☺
garciamarti@knmi.nl
Thanks!
15

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Using volunteered weather observations to explore urban and regional patterns in the Netherlands

  • 1. Using volunteered weather observations to explore urban and regional weather patterns in the Netherlands Irene Garcia-Marti Marijn de Haij Jan-Willem Noteboom Gerard van der Schrier Cees de Valk AGU Fall Meeting 2019 IN22A - Making Data Usable and Accessible: Gaining Insight from Citizen Science Applications 10th December 2019
  • 2. › Weather observations are crucial! › Spatial sparsity is a challenge for high-res weather forecasts › Increasing number of weather-related citizen science projects – WOW, Wunderground, Netatmo, Meteoclimatic Motivation 2
  • 3. 1st September 2019: 1,400 million observations and 17K stations worldwide
  • 4. › 2015: KNMI partner of WOW › Contributors: 400+ CWS › Data NL+BE: 3.7M obs/month › Devices: semi-professional – Manufacturers: Davis, Oregon scientific, Ventus, Alecto… – Expected “reasonable” quality of the observations WOW-NL 4 Province of Utrecht 94 CWS
  • 5. › Quality not only related to device: – Good with respect to what? What variables are (not) properly monitored? – Local processes: radiation, shadowing, siting › Classical challenges of citizen science data: – Gaps in data – Noisy observations WOW-NL 5
  • 6. WOW-NL 6 › Quality not only related to device: – Good with respect to what? What variables are (not) properly monitored? – Local processes: radiation, shadowing, siting › Classical challenges of citizen science data: – Discretization – Scale of the phenomena
  • 7. 7 What is the quality of WOW-NL? R2 correlation between citizen and official weather stations
  • 8. 8 What is the quality of WOW-NL?
  • 9. Preprocessing WOW json csv 11.6M observations 65 features SVF Feature engineering
  • 10. Quality control › Based on (Napoly, 2018) › Variable: temperature – Feasible to implement on WOW-NL – Levels have been compacted – Each of the 11.6M observations is labeled with a quality level M0: incorrect metadata M1: insufficient Z-score (presence outliers) M2: insufficient day/mon coverage M3: insufficient (Pearson) correlation M4: OK (Napoly et al., 2018) Development and Application of a Statistically-Based Quality Control for Crowdsourced Air Temperature Data Frontiers in Earth Science
  • 11. Overview of the quality of WOW-NL (Each square represents 10K observations) M0: incorrect metadata (not shown) M1: insufficient Z-score (presence outliers) M2: insufficient day/mon coverage M3: insufficient (Pearson) correlation M4: OK
  • 12. › Heat wave 27-07-2018 › Methodology: – Kriging interpolation: ▪ WOW-NL observations per hour ▪ Calibrated for this day ▪ No external drift – Visual comparison with HARMONIE ▪ Regional numerical model ▪ Provides forecast up to 48h in advance Exploring regional temperature 12
  • 13. › Results: – WOW-NL captures the daily temperature cycle – Spatial patterns are different: ▪ Radiation: proximity to buildings ▪ Cooling: shadowing of trees ▪ Meaning: • Predicted weather in the column different to what happens at ground level • More work to reduce this gap Exploring regional temperature 13
  • 14. › If good enough: – Open the door for new research: ▪ Fine-grained interpolated layers ▪ Nowcasting / hi-res weather ▪ Crowdsourced NWP – Governance level: ▪ Lower cost for administration ▪ Better weather forecast for underrepresented areas ▪ Bottom-up initiatives might work in developing regions Why the quality of citizen science weather data is important? 14 Imperfect data, but volume is difficult to ignore Big data problem! We are here