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Achieving SDG 16 in
Melanesia
Creating Political & Parliamentary Stability
Tess Newton Cain – TNC Pacific Consulting
(In)stability in Melanesia – trends
WHAT DO WE ALREADY KNOW?
 Examples/manifestations/symptoms
 Underlying causes
 Attempts to solve the problem
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
Examples/manifestations/sympto
ms
 Numerous governments during parliament term
 (Over) use of motions of no confidence
 Floor crossing (grasshoppers)
 Fracturing of parties
 Court cases
 Stop-start policy development/implementation
 Cost to national budgets
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
…but not
 Failure to hold elections
 Rejection of democratic
ideals and practices
 Coalition governments
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
Underlying causes
 Pre-eminence of clientilism rather than policy-driven
politics
 Lack of policy divergence among political parties
 Lack of incentives for political leaders to move on
 The influence deficit
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
How to prevent/counter
instability
 Manipulate constitution/legislation (e.g. to limit the use of
motions of no confidence)
 Manipulate parliamentary practice (e.g. reduce sitting times)
 Maintain a strong rule of law & observance of the separation
of powers
 Strengthen bureaucracy to support ‘policy stability’ even
where political instability persists.
 Seize the political moment – if people ‘vote for change’ then
take the opportunity to deliver it
 Political will, including the will to forego security of tenure
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
Limitations of external (donor)
interventions
 Variable track record of investment in political economy
analysis
 Low appetite for risk makes it hard to work with
political parties but these are likely to be the engines of
reform
 Lack of ability to be nimble and responsive so ‘political
moments’ can be missed
 Nationalist agendas and suspicion of ‘outsider’
influences
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
Learning from each other
“… we’ll have to register political parties
so that those political parties will be able
to declare any gifts they receive during
election so that things are transparent
and accountable.” ~ Solomon Islands
“I think it’s a question of balance. We
should be able to remove any government
that’s become unpopular. We should not
entrench a government in office just
because they want to be in office.” ~
Papua New Guinea
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
‘Institutions’
Decision-makers
The whole community
TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
Photo credit: Vanuatu Daily Post

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UNDP SDG16 June2016

  • 1. Achieving SDG 16 in Melanesia Creating Political & Parliamentary Stability Tess Newton Cain – TNC Pacific Consulting
  • 2. (In)stability in Melanesia – trends WHAT DO WE ALREADY KNOW?  Examples/manifestations/symptoms  Underlying causes  Attempts to solve the problem TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 3. Examples/manifestations/sympto ms  Numerous governments during parliament term  (Over) use of motions of no confidence  Floor crossing (grasshoppers)  Fracturing of parties  Court cases  Stop-start policy development/implementation  Cost to national budgets TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 4. …but not  Failure to hold elections  Rejection of democratic ideals and practices  Coalition governments TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 5. Underlying causes  Pre-eminence of clientilism rather than policy-driven politics  Lack of policy divergence among political parties  Lack of incentives for political leaders to move on  The influence deficit TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 6. How to prevent/counter instability  Manipulate constitution/legislation (e.g. to limit the use of motions of no confidence)  Manipulate parliamentary practice (e.g. reduce sitting times)  Maintain a strong rule of law & observance of the separation of powers  Strengthen bureaucracy to support ‘policy stability’ even where political instability persists.  Seize the political moment – if people ‘vote for change’ then take the opportunity to deliver it  Political will, including the will to forego security of tenure TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 7. TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 8. Limitations of external (donor) interventions  Variable track record of investment in political economy analysis  Low appetite for risk makes it hard to work with political parties but these are likely to be the engines of reform  Lack of ability to be nimble and responsive so ‘political moments’ can be missed  Nationalist agendas and suspicion of ‘outsider’ influences TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 9. Learning from each other “… we’ll have to register political parties so that those political parties will be able to declare any gifts they receive during election so that things are transparent and accountable.” ~ Solomon Islands “I think it’s a question of balance. We should be able to remove any government that’s become unpopular. We should not entrench a government in office just because they want to be in office.” ~ Papua New Guinea TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com
  • 10. TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com ‘Institutions’ Decision-makers The whole community
  • 11. TNC Pacific Consulting ~ www.tncpac.com Photo credit: Vanuatu Daily Post