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BASIC
INCOME
FOR ALL
Why UBI is Necessary Now and How to Get There
SPEAKER: SCOTT SANTENS
UNCONDITIONAL
No work requirements.
Money is provided independent of
employment status.
PERIODIC
Money is provided on a regular
dependable basis, be it hourly, daily,
weekly, monthly, etc.
UNIVERSAL
Everyone get it.
Money is provided independent of
income status.
INDIVIDUAL
Money is provided to each individual
within a household, not the head of the
household.
BASIC INCOME IS MONEY THAT IS:
HISTORY OF UBI
- THOMAS MORE, UTOPIA (1516)
"NO PENALTY ON EARTH WILL STOP
PEOPLE FROM STEALING, IF IT IS
THEIR ONLY WAY OF GETTING FOOD.
It would be far more to the point to provide everyone with some means of livelihood."
HISTORY OF UBI
- THOMAS PAINE (1796)
"POVERTY IS A THING CREATED BY THAT WHICH
IS CALLED CIVILIZED LIFE. IT EXISTS NOT IN THE
NATURAL STATE... It is a position not to be controverted, that the earth, in its natural uncultivated state, was, and ever would have continued to be, the COMMON PROPERTY OF THE HUMAN RACE. In that state every man would have been born to property."
UBI: OBSERVATIONS FROM ALASKA
FT WORK
No net increase or
decrease in full-time
employment
PT WORK
17% increase in
part-time
employment
BABY HEALTH
Babies born with
healthier birth
weights due to
better maternal
nutrition
OBESITY
An additional
$1,000 at birth
means a child is
4.5% less likely to
become obese
INFLATION
After 1982, CPI
growth flipped from
being higher to
lower than the US
as a whole
@scottsantens
PIECES OF THE UBI PUZZLE
• Alaska's annual Permanent Fund Dividend (1982-)
• The American Income Maintenance Experiments (1968-76)
• Canada's Mincome in Dauphin, Manitoba (1974-79)​
• Universal Basic Income pilots in Namibia and India (2008-9, 2011-12)​
• Finland's basic income experiment (2017-18)
• GiveDirectly's ongoing 12-year UBI experiment in Kenya (2016-)
• Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians casino dividends in North Carolina (1997-)
• Iran's Fuel Subsidy Reform Cash Grant (2011-16)
• Macau's Wealth Partaking Scheme (2008-)
• Stockton, CA and 60+ other UBI pilots in cities across the US (2019-)
• South Korea's Youth Dividend (2016-)
• Studies of all conditional and unconditional cash transfer programs
• COVID-19 economic responses around the world
@scottsanten
OBSERVED EFFECTS OF UBI
• ​No significant reduction in labor supply (38 studies meta-analysis)
• Increased self-employment (301%) and part-time employment (17%)
• Slight decrease in alcohol and tobacco use (31 studies meta-analysis)​
• New mothers extend their maternity leaves​
• Birth weights improve due to better maternal nutrition​
• Graduation rates and educational outcomes improve
• Hospitalization rates decline (8.5%)​
• Crime goes down (15%–42%) especially illegal hunting (95%)​
• Domestic violence decreases (30%–51%)
• Trust increases (13% in politicians | 6% in other people)
• Home ownership rates increase (17%–26%)​
• Food security increases as does consumption of fresh fruits and vegetables
• Improved cognitive functioning (43%) and personality traits (31%)​
• Savings go up, debts go down​
@scottsanten
JOKE
- ANONYMOUS ENGINEER
BEFORE STUDYING ENGINEERING, IF
SOMEONE ASKED ME WHAT 1+1 IS, I
WOULD HAVE SAID "2." NOW, I'D SAY
"I'M PRETTY SURE IT'S 2, BUT WE'D
BETTER MAKE IT 3 JUST TO BE SAFE."
Americans needed to line up during a pandemic by the
thousands in their cars to obtain free food despite the
existence of fully stocked grocery stores
US FOOD BANK LINES IN 2020
ONE-THIRD OF ALL AMERICANS LOST
INCOME AND GOT NO
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE
INCOME AT ALL BECAUSE THEY
REMAINED EMPLOYED OR QUIT.
TWO-THIRDS OF ALL AMERICANS
WHO LOST INCOME DID NOT
RECEIVE ANY UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE INCOME AT ALL
BECAUSE THEY REMAINED
EMPLOYED OR QUIT.
THE STIMULUS CHECKS REACHED
MOST PEOPLE WHO LOST INCOME.
@ScottSantens
THERE IS A BIG DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN SOMEONE GETTING
HELP THEY DON’T NEED, AND
SOMEONE NEEDING HELP THEY
DON’T GET.
THE FORMER CAN BE
CONSIDERED WASTEFUL, BUT
THE LATTER CAN PROVE FATAL.
IT’S ALWAYS BETTER TO GET AND
NOT NEED, THAN NEED AND NOT
GET.
NOT UBI UBI
Reaches 2 out of 3 people in poverty, lasts 3
months, can only be used on approved foods
SNAP
Reaches 1 out of 5 people in poverty,
temporary, varies widely by state
TANF
Reaches 1 out of 5 people with a disability and
usually takes 2 years to begin getting
DISABILITY
UNEMPLOYMENT
Reaches 1 out of 4 unemployed people and
stops with paid work
Reaches 3 out of 3 people in poverty, never
expires, can be used on anything
UBI
Reaches 5 out of 5 people in poverty,
permanent, equal for all
UBI
Reaches 5 out of 5 people with a disability and
automatically begins at birth
UBI
UBI
Reaches 4 out of 4 unemployed people and
continues with work of any kind
HOW HAVE PARENTS USED THE CTC?
ParentsTogether
Action
(August
2021)
BASIC INCOME IS
ABOUT RESILIENCE
AND ADAPTATION.
PREVENTION VS TREATMENT
- BENJAMIN FRANKLIN
"AN OUNCE OF
PREVENTION IS WORTH
A POUND OF CURE."
Blue = $1,000/mo UBI
White = Individual income percentiles
Purple = Taxes
UNCONDITIONAL
BASIC INCOME
EVERYONE RECEIVES THE
SAME INCOME FLOOR AND
EVERYONE PAYS TAXES
BASED ON THEIR INCOME
AND/OR CONSUMPTION
@ScottSantens
10% 25% Median 75% 90% 99%
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
WE ARE
ALL
EQUALLY
WORTHY
OF
EXISTING
THANK YOU
scottsantens.com
WEBSITE
@ScottSantens
TWITTER
scott@scottsantens.com
EMAIL ADDRESS

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Unconditional Basic Income For All: A Review of the Evidence for UBI

  • 1. BASIC INCOME FOR ALL Why UBI is Necessary Now and How to Get There SPEAKER: SCOTT SANTENS
  • 2. UNCONDITIONAL No work requirements. Money is provided independent of employment status. PERIODIC Money is provided on a regular dependable basis, be it hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, etc. UNIVERSAL Everyone get it. Money is provided independent of income status. INDIVIDUAL Money is provided to each individual within a household, not the head of the household. BASIC INCOME IS MONEY THAT IS:
  • 3. HISTORY OF UBI - THOMAS MORE, UTOPIA (1516) "NO PENALTY ON EARTH WILL STOP PEOPLE FROM STEALING, IF IT IS THEIR ONLY WAY OF GETTING FOOD. It would be far more to the point to provide everyone with some means of livelihood."
  • 4. HISTORY OF UBI - THOMAS PAINE (1796) "POVERTY IS A THING CREATED BY THAT WHICH IS CALLED CIVILIZED LIFE. IT EXISTS NOT IN THE NATURAL STATE... It is a position not to be controverted, that the earth, in its natural uncultivated state, was, and ever would have continued to be, the COMMON PROPERTY OF THE HUMAN RACE. In that state every man would have been born to property."
  • 5. UBI: OBSERVATIONS FROM ALASKA FT WORK No net increase or decrease in full-time employment PT WORK 17% increase in part-time employment BABY HEALTH Babies born with healthier birth weights due to better maternal nutrition OBESITY An additional $1,000 at birth means a child is 4.5% less likely to become obese INFLATION After 1982, CPI growth flipped from being higher to lower than the US as a whole @scottsantens
  • 6. PIECES OF THE UBI PUZZLE • Alaska's annual Permanent Fund Dividend (1982-) • The American Income Maintenance Experiments (1968-76) • Canada's Mincome in Dauphin, Manitoba (1974-79)​ • Universal Basic Income pilots in Namibia and India (2008-9, 2011-12)​ • Finland's basic income experiment (2017-18) • GiveDirectly's ongoing 12-year UBI experiment in Kenya (2016-) • Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians casino dividends in North Carolina (1997-) • Iran's Fuel Subsidy Reform Cash Grant (2011-16) • Macau's Wealth Partaking Scheme (2008-) • Stockton, CA and 60+ other UBI pilots in cities across the US (2019-) • South Korea's Youth Dividend (2016-) • Studies of all conditional and unconditional cash transfer programs • COVID-19 economic responses around the world @scottsanten
  • 7. OBSERVED EFFECTS OF UBI • ​No significant reduction in labor supply (38 studies meta-analysis) • Increased self-employment (301%) and part-time employment (17%) • Slight decrease in alcohol and tobacco use (31 studies meta-analysis)​ • New mothers extend their maternity leaves​ • Birth weights improve due to better maternal nutrition​ • Graduation rates and educational outcomes improve • Hospitalization rates decline (8.5%)​ • Crime goes down (15%–42%) especially illegal hunting (95%)​ • Domestic violence decreases (30%–51%) • Trust increases (13% in politicians | 6% in other people) • Home ownership rates increase (17%–26%)​ • Food security increases as does consumption of fresh fruits and vegetables • Improved cognitive functioning (43%) and personality traits (31%)​ • Savings go up, debts go down​ @scottsanten
  • 8. JOKE - ANONYMOUS ENGINEER BEFORE STUDYING ENGINEERING, IF SOMEONE ASKED ME WHAT 1+1 IS, I WOULD HAVE SAID "2." NOW, I'D SAY "I'M PRETTY SURE IT'S 2, BUT WE'D BETTER MAKE IT 3 JUST TO BE SAFE."
  • 9.
  • 10. Americans needed to line up during a pandemic by the thousands in their cars to obtain free food despite the existence of fully stocked grocery stores US FOOD BANK LINES IN 2020
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. ONE-THIRD OF ALL AMERICANS LOST INCOME AND GOT NO UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE INCOME AT ALL BECAUSE THEY REMAINED EMPLOYED OR QUIT. TWO-THIRDS OF ALL AMERICANS WHO LOST INCOME DID NOT RECEIVE ANY UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE INCOME AT ALL BECAUSE THEY REMAINED EMPLOYED OR QUIT. THE STIMULUS CHECKS REACHED MOST PEOPLE WHO LOST INCOME.
  • 14. @ScottSantens THERE IS A BIG DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SOMEONE GETTING HELP THEY DON’T NEED, AND SOMEONE NEEDING HELP THEY DON’T GET. THE FORMER CAN BE CONSIDERED WASTEFUL, BUT THE LATTER CAN PROVE FATAL. IT’S ALWAYS BETTER TO GET AND NOT NEED, THAN NEED AND NOT GET.
  • 15. NOT UBI UBI Reaches 2 out of 3 people in poverty, lasts 3 months, can only be used on approved foods SNAP Reaches 1 out of 5 people in poverty, temporary, varies widely by state TANF Reaches 1 out of 5 people with a disability and usually takes 2 years to begin getting DISABILITY UNEMPLOYMENT Reaches 1 out of 4 unemployed people and stops with paid work Reaches 3 out of 3 people in poverty, never expires, can be used on anything UBI Reaches 5 out of 5 people in poverty, permanent, equal for all UBI Reaches 5 out of 5 people with a disability and automatically begins at birth UBI UBI Reaches 4 out of 4 unemployed people and continues with work of any kind
  • 16. HOW HAVE PARENTS USED THE CTC? ParentsTogether Action (August 2021)
  • 17. BASIC INCOME IS ABOUT RESILIENCE AND ADAPTATION.
  • 18. PREVENTION VS TREATMENT - BENJAMIN FRANKLIN "AN OUNCE OF PREVENTION IS WORTH A POUND OF CURE."
  • 19. Blue = $1,000/mo UBI White = Individual income percentiles Purple = Taxes UNCONDITIONAL BASIC INCOME EVERYONE RECEIVES THE SAME INCOME FLOOR AND EVERYONE PAYS TAXES BASED ON THEIR INCOME AND/OR CONSUMPTION @ScottSantens 10% 25% Median 75% 90% 99% 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0