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Dr Simon Duffy
UBI and Homelessness
Exploring the possibility of a quasi-UBI pilot in Manchester
Questions
1. What is UBI?
2. Is UBI economically feasible?
3. Is UBI politically possible?
4. Can UBI reduce homelessness?
5. What we can do now?
UBI is our generation’s NHS
1. What is UBI?
What Universal Basic Income (UBI) means
Simon’s (reasonably) standard definition
1. The community ensures everybody gets enough money to live on
2. By giving every single individual enough money to live on (sufficiency)
3. Universal means you get it even if you’re in a family (no dependency)
4. Universal means you get it whatever your lifestyle (no conditionality)
5. Universal means you get it whatever your income (no means-testing)
6. We pay for it by paying taxes on our income (et al.)
7. And we give people with higher needs extra income (UBI+)
UBI doesn’t make people lazy
Economic security is good for us
• UBI improves the incentive to work (by reducing taxes to normal levels)
• UBI improves mental health and educational attainment
• People continue to seek paid work (or go and learn things instead)
• People with secure incomes (e.g. rich and pensioners) don’t stop working
• UBI takes away risk of losing benefits from trying to work or volunteering
• UBI doesn’t stop us educating, training and supporting each other
• UBI does remove sanctions, create economic security and reduce poverty
The conditions for wellbeing
• We flourish when we can each
express our individual gifts in
community with others.
• Wellbeing requires resources,
opportunities and relationships.
• The conditions for our collective
wellbeing flows from our collective
commitment to justice.
Keys to Citizenship
UBI is redistribution done right
2. Is UBI economically feasible?
Why UBI is affordable
The redistributional logic of UBI
• If we pay for UBI though income tax then UBI redistributes resources from people
above the mean income to people below the mean income. In the UK that means taking
money away from the richest 20% and redistributing it to the poorest 80%.
• In fact it is equivalent to all of us receiving a fair share of the nation’s GDP, by all paying
into the pot a fair share of our income in taxes. Currently the mean per capita income is
(at least) £29,600, and 25% of that is £7,400 (although the full picture is more complex
if we adjust for age and ability).
• This is NOT government spending and it doesn’t stop us paying for public services.
• Equality is generally good for the health of the economy.
• It is affordable if we choose it - and there are good reasons to choose it.
Poverty is a political choice
3. Is UBI politically feasible?
Welfare is political, not economic
Perhaps the conditions for change are emerging
• Welfare state born in Germany under Bismark as an effort to protect the state
from growing demands for an economic revolution, but this model did not provide
the protections necessary to defend people’s economic security in 1930s.
• More ambitious welfare states emerge post-WWII around the world, but still based
on patriarchal and industrial assumptions.
• In 1970 Nixon nearly introduces radical UBI reforms, but this marks the high-water
mark for universality and economic security. Ideology shifts across the Western
world as the threat of community revolution recedes. Privatisation of resources,
government and media locks in neoliberal agenda.
Changing times
Some signs of hope
• The (neo)liberal counter-revolution may be running out of intellectual steam and
political support. Greed is no longer looking so good.
• Economic growth is undermined by inequality and instead indebtedness and
precarity have grown. 50 years of evidence that inequality doesn’t help.
• Governments are flirting with the economic justice (Scotland, Wales, S Korea,
Spain and Mayors across the USA). There is growing support for UBI within the
UK political system.
• Citizens are starting to get organised to campaign for it. UBI polls really well.
Cash helps
4. Can UBI reduce homelessness?
Some pilots and research
• City of London: 2010
• University of Notre Dame Study: 2016
• New Leaf, Vancouver: 2018
• Miracle Messages, San Fransisco: 2020
• University of Illinois: 2022
• Santa Clara County, California: 2023
• City of Denver: 2023
UBI for the homeless
City of London Personal Budget Project started in 2009
University Notre Dame Study analysing impact of cash help for homelessness
New Leaf Project in Vancouver which ran from 2018
Miracle Money in San Fransisco running from 2020
Santa Clara government programme for homeless teenagers starting in 2023
University of Illinois project starting in 2023
Major city-wide programme to test use of cash for homeless people in Denver starting in 2023
Cash is not The Answer, but it helps
• Cash does more than pay for
housing costs
• It also helps create trust, slack,
relationships, cognitive capacity
and pride
• But beware the neoliberal framing
(e.g. The Economist). UBI is not
an excuse to abandon or blame
people.
Some lessons
Power is citizen action
5. What can we do now?
Some things to consider
• We may not be able to amend the DWP from Manchester, but maybe we can use
budgets, grants or other cash transfers outside their influence.
• We may not be able to get money from Whitehall, but maybe we can we raise the
money from Mancunians, from foundations or from existing budgets.
• We maybe not able to fund a major RCT, but maybe we can work in partnership with
universities or the existing UBI research community.
• We maybe not able to do any new work, but maybe we can encourage new thinking
by using existing data or tracking current practices.
• We may see little hope from the current political establishment, but maybe we need
to think about creating hope through new alliances.
Blattman C (2014) Let Them Eat Cash: New York: New York Times
Bregman R (2017) Utopia for Realists. London: Bloomsbury
CBS Bay Area (2022) Homeless high school seniors in Santa Clara County to receive monthly guaranteed income in pilot program. CBS Bay Area:
18th August 2022
Duffy S (2017) The Politics of Poverty. Sheffield: Centre for Welfare Reform
Economist (2012) Cutting Out the Middle Men. London: The Economist
Foundations for Social Change (2021). Taking Bold Action on Homelessness. Foundations for Social Change
Hough J & Rice B (2010) Providing Personalised Support to Rough Sleepers. York: JRF
Khandaker T (2017) It is stressful to be poor, and that stress can keep people in poverty: a growing body of research shows that poverty can impair
a person’s cognitive functioning. Brooklyn: Vice
Murray J (2020) ’Our generation's NHS': support grows for universal basic income. The Guardian: 10th August 2020
Peters A (2022) What happened after these unhoused people got monthly $500 checks? Two-thirds have homes. Fast Company: 2nd February
2022
Royston S (2017) Broken Benefits: what’s gone wrong with welfare reform. Bristol: Policy Press
Schram SF (1995) Words of Welfare: the poverty of social science and the social science of poverty. Minneapolis: MUP
Shultz D (2016) A bit of cash can keep someone off the streets for 2 years or more. Science: 11th August 2016
Simmons E (2022) University of Illinois researchers piloting monthly income program for 10 homeless families. The News Gazette: 14th November
2022
Standing G (2017) The Corruption of Capitalism: why rentiers thrive and work does not pay. London: Biteback
Toomer L (2023) No-strings-attached cash assistance goes to hundreds of Denver residents. Colorado Newsline: 24th January 2023

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UBI and Homelessness

  • 1. Dr Simon Duffy UBI and Homelessness Exploring the possibility of a quasi-UBI pilot in Manchester
  • 2. Questions 1. What is UBI? 2. Is UBI economically feasible? 3. Is UBI politically possible? 4. Can UBI reduce homelessness? 5. What we can do now?
  • 3. UBI is our generation’s NHS 1. What is UBI?
  • 4. What Universal Basic Income (UBI) means Simon’s (reasonably) standard definition 1. The community ensures everybody gets enough money to live on 2. By giving every single individual enough money to live on (sufficiency) 3. Universal means you get it even if you’re in a family (no dependency) 4. Universal means you get it whatever your lifestyle (no conditionality) 5. Universal means you get it whatever your income (no means-testing) 6. We pay for it by paying taxes on our income (et al.) 7. And we give people with higher needs extra income (UBI+)
  • 5. UBI doesn’t make people lazy Economic security is good for us • UBI improves the incentive to work (by reducing taxes to normal levels) • UBI improves mental health and educational attainment • People continue to seek paid work (or go and learn things instead) • People with secure incomes (e.g. rich and pensioners) don’t stop working • UBI takes away risk of losing benefits from trying to work or volunteering • UBI doesn’t stop us educating, training and supporting each other • UBI does remove sanctions, create economic security and reduce poverty
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  • 7. The conditions for wellbeing • We flourish when we can each express our individual gifts in community with others. • Wellbeing requires resources, opportunities and relationships. • The conditions for our collective wellbeing flows from our collective commitment to justice. Keys to Citizenship
  • 8. UBI is redistribution done right 2. Is UBI economically feasible?
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  • 14. Why UBI is affordable The redistributional logic of UBI • If we pay for UBI though income tax then UBI redistributes resources from people above the mean income to people below the mean income. In the UK that means taking money away from the richest 20% and redistributing it to the poorest 80%. • In fact it is equivalent to all of us receiving a fair share of the nation’s GDP, by all paying into the pot a fair share of our income in taxes. Currently the mean per capita income is (at least) £29,600, and 25% of that is £7,400 (although the full picture is more complex if we adjust for age and ability). • This is NOT government spending and it doesn’t stop us paying for public services. • Equality is generally good for the health of the economy. • It is affordable if we choose it - and there are good reasons to choose it.
  • 15. Poverty is a political choice 3. Is UBI politically feasible?
  • 16. Welfare is political, not economic Perhaps the conditions for change are emerging • Welfare state born in Germany under Bismark as an effort to protect the state from growing demands for an economic revolution, but this model did not provide the protections necessary to defend people’s economic security in 1930s. • More ambitious welfare states emerge post-WWII around the world, but still based on patriarchal and industrial assumptions. • In 1970 Nixon nearly introduces radical UBI reforms, but this marks the high-water mark for universality and economic security. Ideology shifts across the Western world as the threat of community revolution recedes. Privatisation of resources, government and media locks in neoliberal agenda.
  • 17. Changing times Some signs of hope • The (neo)liberal counter-revolution may be running out of intellectual steam and political support. Greed is no longer looking so good. • Economic growth is undermined by inequality and instead indebtedness and precarity have grown. 50 years of evidence that inequality doesn’t help. • Governments are flirting with the economic justice (Scotland, Wales, S Korea, Spain and Mayors across the USA). There is growing support for UBI within the UK political system. • Citizens are starting to get organised to campaign for it. UBI polls really well.
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  • 20. Cash helps 4. Can UBI reduce homelessness?
  • 21. Some pilots and research • City of London: 2010 • University of Notre Dame Study: 2016 • New Leaf, Vancouver: 2018 • Miracle Messages, San Fransisco: 2020 • University of Illinois: 2022 • Santa Clara County, California: 2023 • City of Denver: 2023 UBI for the homeless
  • 22. City of London Personal Budget Project started in 2009
  • 23. University Notre Dame Study analysing impact of cash help for homelessness
  • 24. New Leaf Project in Vancouver which ran from 2018
  • 25. Miracle Money in San Fransisco running from 2020
  • 26. Santa Clara government programme for homeless teenagers starting in 2023
  • 27. University of Illinois project starting in 2023
  • 28. Major city-wide programme to test use of cash for homeless people in Denver starting in 2023
  • 29. Cash is not The Answer, but it helps • Cash does more than pay for housing costs • It also helps create trust, slack, relationships, cognitive capacity and pride • But beware the neoliberal framing (e.g. The Economist). UBI is not an excuse to abandon or blame people. Some lessons
  • 30. Power is citizen action 5. What can we do now?
  • 31. Some things to consider • We may not be able to amend the DWP from Manchester, but maybe we can use budgets, grants or other cash transfers outside their influence. • We may not be able to get money from Whitehall, but maybe we can we raise the money from Mancunians, from foundations or from existing budgets. • We maybe not able to fund a major RCT, but maybe we can work in partnership with universities or the existing UBI research community. • We maybe not able to do any new work, but maybe we can encourage new thinking by using existing data or tracking current practices. • We may see little hope from the current political establishment, but maybe we need to think about creating hope through new alliances.
  • 32. Blattman C (2014) Let Them Eat Cash: New York: New York Times Bregman R (2017) Utopia for Realists. London: Bloomsbury CBS Bay Area (2022) Homeless high school seniors in Santa Clara County to receive monthly guaranteed income in pilot program. CBS Bay Area: 18th August 2022 Duffy S (2017) The Politics of Poverty. Sheffield: Centre for Welfare Reform Economist (2012) Cutting Out the Middle Men. London: The Economist Foundations for Social Change (2021). Taking Bold Action on Homelessness. Foundations for Social Change Hough J & Rice B (2010) Providing Personalised Support to Rough Sleepers. York: JRF Khandaker T (2017) It is stressful to be poor, and that stress can keep people in poverty: a growing body of research shows that poverty can impair a person’s cognitive functioning. Brooklyn: Vice Murray J (2020) ’Our generation's NHS': support grows for universal basic income. The Guardian: 10th August 2020 Peters A (2022) What happened after these unhoused people got monthly $500 checks? Two-thirds have homes. Fast Company: 2nd February 2022 Royston S (2017) Broken Benefits: what’s gone wrong with welfare reform. Bristol: Policy Press Schram SF (1995) Words of Welfare: the poverty of social science and the social science of poverty. Minneapolis: MUP Shultz D (2016) A bit of cash can keep someone off the streets for 2 years or more. Science: 11th August 2016 Simmons E (2022) University of Illinois researchers piloting monthly income program for 10 homeless families. The News Gazette: 14th November 2022 Standing G (2017) The Corruption of Capitalism: why rentiers thrive and work does not pay. London: Biteback Toomer L (2023) No-strings-attached cash assistance goes to hundreds of Denver residents. Colorado Newsline: 24th January 2023