Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Ā
Truro Breakfast briefing - 5th February 2019
1. Business and share valuations ā methodologies,
terminologies and practical tips
Breakfast Briefings ā Winter 2018/2019 Welcome: Richard Wadman, PKF Francis Clark
5 February 2019
3. pkf-francisclark.co.uk
ā¢ An overview of how we value
companies, shares and businesses
ā¢ Jargon busting ā what they are and
how we calculate them:
ā¢ The 'P/E' ratio
ā¢ 'Normalised working capital'
ā¢ 'Minority discounts'
ā¢ 'Discount rates' for net present values
ā¢ How can you enhance your
businessā value prior to investment or
sale?
What - Valuations
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ā¢ Multi-use:
ā¢ Business transactions
ā¢ Investments
ā¢ Share incentives, including EMI
ā¢ Matrimonial
ā¢ Dispute
ā¢ IHT, CGT
ā¢ Area of expertise.
ā¢ c 150 valuations in last 6 years
ā¢ Instigate and maintain PERDa
Why - Valuations
6. February 2019
Business and share valuations
Ed Marffy ā Francis Clark
Henry Maples ā Murrell Associates
7. Introduction (and caveat)
ā¢ Valuation of shares in private companies is not an exact
science
ā¢ Our indication is therefore purely our opinion
ā¢ Others may place a different value on the shares (especially
if they are buying / selling)
Ultimately a company is worth what someone will pay for it
8. Methodologies
Net Asset Value (Asset based value)1
2
3 Net Present Value (Discounted free cash flow)
Comparative Earnings (P/E ratio)
9. Net Asset Value
Method
Assets
ā
Liabilities
=
Equity value
Considerations
Appropriate for
1
ā¢ Investment companies
ā¢ Companies ceasing to trade
ā¢ When other methods result in
negative/low values
ā¢ Revaluating assets / liabilities
ā¢ No value for goodwill
ā¢ āWind up costsā: Redundancy,
liquidator
10. Multiple (PER): 7.4
www.perda.net
Comparative Earnings
Method
āMaintainable earningsā
X
Price to Earnings Ratio
=
Enterprise value
Adjustments:
ā¢ Average over 3-4 years
ā¢ Remove exceptional costs / income
ā¢ Normalising directors remuneration
ā¢ Replace depreciation with CAPEX
+ Non trade assets
+ Cash
ā Debt
+/ā NWC adjustment
=
Equity value
2
11. Net present value
Method
What is the value today?
= Discount rate
Y 1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5+
3
+ Non trade assets
+ Cash
ā Debt
+/ā NWC adjustment
=
Equity value
Discounted future cash flows
=
Enterprise value
+
Terminal value
13. Transfers of individual shareholdings
Application of āvaluationā provisions in shareholdersā agreement/articles of association
ā¢ Voluntary/compulsory transfer provisions
ā¢ Growth share schemes / share option schemes
ā¢ Share transfer restrictions
Henry Maples
Partner
Murrell Associates LLP
henry.maples@murrellassociates.co.uk
15. Discounted Future Dividends
ā¢ Very similar to net present
value method for companies
Y 1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5+
Use if:
ā¢ Historic dividend income
stream relevant to a minority
shareholder
ā¢ Planned dividend income
stream
ā¢ Discount rate is key
16. 74%
26%
Pro-rated & minority discounted
āThe valuation must reflect the
extent to which a potential
buyer of the asset can control,
influence and derive enjoyment
from the asset.ā
HMRC Share and Asset division guidance
Shareholding Discount Note
>75% Nil Special resolution
50.1% to 75% 10% Ordinary resolution
50% 15%
25% to 49.9% 30%-50% Block special resolution
10% to 25% 50%-65% Demand audit
<10% 70%-80%
Total company value Ā£500k
Pro-rate 26% Ā£130k
Minority discount at 50% (Ā£65k)
Minority Value Ā£65k
17. Company / business sale events
Protecting value
ā¢ Split exchange and completion
ā¢ Warranties and indemnities
ā¢ Completion accounts v locked box mechanisms (share deals)
ā¢ Deferred and earn out consideration
ā Covenant strength
ā Calculation process and governance controls
Henry Maples
Partner
Murrell Associates LLP
henry.maples@murrellassociates.co.uk
18. Negotiating value / key issues
ā¢ Price Earnings Ratio
ā¢ Discount rate
ā¢ Normalised working capital adjustment
A
B
C
19. Multiple (PER)
www.perda.net
Comparative Earnings
Method
āMaintainable earningsā
Price to Earnings Ratio
Enterprise value
X
=
Adjustments:
ā¢ Average over 3-4 years
ā¢ Remove exceptional costs / income
ā¢ Normalising directors remuneration
ā¢ Replace depreciation with CAPEX
+ Non trade assets
+ Cash
ā Debt
+/ā NWC adjustment
=
Equity value
20. Factors influencing PER
Company
ā¢ Size of the company
ā¢ Dependency on owners
ā¢ Customer concentration
ā¢ Supplier concentration
ā¢ Current trading / future prospects
ā¢ Volatility in trading results
ā¢ Onerous contracts
ā¢ Protection (intellectual property)
Market
ā¢ General trends
ā¢ Competitors
ā¢ Barriers to entry
ā¢ Types of customer (one off / re-
occurring)
A
PER used = PERDa value adjusted for company / market factors
21. Discount rate: Net present value
Method
Discounted future cash flows
+
Calculate āterminal valueā
=
Enterprise value
What is the value today?
= Discount rate
Y 1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5+
+ Non trade assets
+ Cash
ā Debt
+/ā NWC adjustment
=
Equity value
23. Discount rate: Weighed Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Stage of
development
Overview Typical
target rates
of return
Seed Idea/product concept deverlopment stage 50-70%
Start up Prototyping and early customer sales 40-60%
Growth Expansion and market development 35-50%
Mature Proven model and management pre trade sale/IPO 25-35%
Source: Aswath Damodaran, New York University
B
Private equity targeted returns
Capital Cost
Equity Dividends / growth
Debt Interest
Total Weighted average
Ā£m Cost (%) Ā£m
1 35% 0.35
2 10% 0.1
3 0.45
Example āMatureā Company
15%
Discount rate
24. Discount rate: Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)B
Discount rate = Rf + ļ¢(Rm- Rf)
Discount rate = 14.44%
Risk free
rate
Yield on a 10 year
UK government bond
1.14%
Market
premium
Average UK equity
risk premium
6.65%
Beta (Asset
sensitivity to market)
Derive from listed
industry comparators
2
+ x
25. Net working capital: Net present value
Method
Discounted future cash flows
+
Calculate āterminal valueā
=
Enterprise value
What is the value today?
= Discount rate
Y 1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5+
+ Non trade assets
+ Cash
ā Debt
+/ā NWC adjustment
=
Equity value
26. Net working capital adjustment
What is working capital?
ā¢ Buy raw materials, on credit, from Farmer for Ā£40
ā¢ Sell the product to Tesco for Ā£45
ā¢ Make Ā£5 profit
Balance sheet
Debtor (Tesco) Ā£45
Creditor (Farmer) (Ā£40)
Working capital Ā£5
Key issues
ā¢ What is included in
working capital?
ā¢ Strip out exceptional
figures
C
ā¢ Your Ā£5 of profit is āstuckā in the company until the
debtor and creditor are paid.
ā¢ The Company needs a certain level of capital in it
that is āworkingā.
27. Net working capital adjustment
ā¢ Debtors collected quickly
ā¢ Creditors paid later
ā¢ Working capital has
effectively been converted
in to cash
ā¢ Difference ~ Ā£150k
Total company value Ā£800k
Normalise working capital (Ā£150k)
Adjusted value Ā£650k
C
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Debtors 500 550 530 502 500 520 510 520 505 485 450 420
Creditors (300) (370) (340) (350) (320) (370) (370) (320) (340) (340) (380) (400)
Working capital 200 180 190 152 180 150 140 200 165 145 70 20
28. Nextā¦
Q&A and/ or discussion
ā¢ With opportunity for Q&A for presenters
Future breakfasts ā 1st Tuesday of the month
ā¢ Pre-year end tax planning for individuals and investors
ā¢ CIOSIF update
ā¢ āEquity for tech businessesā
ā¢ Recruiting and keeping key staff
Other dates for the diary
ā¢ Finance in Cornwall ā 25th June 2019 (with British Business Bank,
Cornwall Lenders Forum, Plymouth University and Invest in Cornwall?)
And do not forget our blog, which contains details of new funds/ sources of
SME funding that come to our attention, and our Finance in Cornwall
factsheet.
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