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Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68
www.elsevier.es/eimc
Review article
Can we rely on the antiretroviral treatment as the only means for
human immunodeficiency virusprevention? A Public Health
perspective
Antons Mozalevskisa,b,c,∗
, Sandra Manzanares-Layaa
, Patricia García de Olallaa,d
, Antonio Morenoa,d
,
Constanza Jacques-Avi˜nóa
, Joan A. Caylàa,d
a
Epidemiology Service, Public Health Agency of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
b
National Centre of Epidemiology, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
c
European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden
d
CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Barcelona, Spain
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 17 April 2014
Accepted 31 July 2014
Keywords:
Human immunodeficiency virus
Sexually transmitted infections
Antiretroviral treatment
Prevention
a b s t r a c t
The evidence that supports the preventive effect of combination antiretroviral treatment (cART) in HIV
sexual transmission suggested the so-called ‘treatment as prevention’ (TAP) strategy as a promising tool
for slowing down HIV transmission. As the messages and attitudes towards condom use in the context of
TAP appear to be somehow confusing, the aim here is to assess whether relying on cART alone to prevent
HIV transmission can currently be recommended from the Public Health perspective.
A review is made of the literature on the effects of TAP strategy on HIV transmission and the epidemi-
ology of other sexual transmitted infections (STIs) in the cART era, and recommendations from Public
Health institutions on the TAP as of February 2014. The evolution of HIV and other STIs in Barcelona from
2007 to 2012 has also been analysed.
Given that the widespread use of cART has coincided with an increasing incidence of HIV and other STIs,
mainly amongst men who have sex with men, a combination and diversified prevention methods should
always be considered and recommended in counselling. An informed decision on whether to stop using
condoms should only be made by partners within stable couples, and after receiving all the up-to-date
information regarding TAP.
From the public health perspective, primary prevention should be a priority; therefore relying on cART
alone is not a sufficient strategy to prevent new HIV and other STIs.
© 2014 Elsevier España, S.L.U. and Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología
Clínica. All rights reserved.
¿Podemos confiar en el tratamiento antirretroviral como único método para la
prevención del virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana? Una perspectiva de
Salud Pública
Palabras clave:
Virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana
Infecciones de transmisión sexual
Tratamiento antirretroviral
Prevención
r e s u m e n
La efectividad del tratamiento antirretroviral (TAR) combinado en la reducción de la transmisión del VIH
ha impulsado la estrategia «tratamiento como prevención» (TcP) como herramienta prometedora para
controlar la epidemia del VIH. Debido a que los mensajes y actitudes respecto al uso del preservativo
en el contexto del TcP pueden parecer confusos, en este trabajo se evaluó si usar únicamente TAR como
estrategia de prevención puede ser recomendado desde una perspectiva de Salud Pública.
Se hizo una revisión de la literatura sobre la efectividad del TAR en la transmisión del VIH y epi-
demiológica de otras infecciones de transmisión sexual (ITS). También se realizó una revisión de las
recomendaciones vigentes (febrero 2014) sobre TcP desde diferentes instituciones de Salud Pública.
Asimismo, se analizó la evolución del VIH y otras ITS en Barcelona durante el periodo 2007–2012.
∗ Corresponding author.
E-mail address: mozalevskis@gmail.com (A. Mozalevskis).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eimc.2014.07.014
0213-005X/© 2014 Elsevier España, S.L.U. and Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica. All rights reserved.
Document downloaded from http://www.elsevier.es, day 14/11/2015. This copy is for personal use. Any transmission of this document by any media or format is strictly prohibited.
e64 A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68
Dado que el amplio uso del TAR ha coincidido con un aumento en la incidencia del VIH y otras ITS, espe-
cialmente entre hombres que tienen sexo con hombres, en el consejo asistido se contempla la utilización
combinada de diferentes métodos de prevención. La decisión sobre el uso del preservativo se debe tomar
en el seno de las parejas estables serodiscordantes, con pleno conocimiento de los riesgos y limitaciones
del TAR cuando se utiliza como único medio de prevención. Desde la perspectiva de la Salud Pública, la
prevención primaria debe ser una prioridad. Confiar en el TAR solamente como una estrategia de preven-
ción de nuevas infecciones por el VIH y otras ITS no sería suficiente, ya que el éxito del TcP depende no
solo de diagnosticar y tratar adecuadamente, sino también de mantener conductas de sexo seguro para
evitar la transmisión de ITS, de realizar controles clínicos adecuados y de tener acceso continuado al TAR.
© 2014 Elsevier España, S.L.U. y Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica.
Todos los derechos reservados.
Background and rationale
Antiretroviral therapy in post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) and
in pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is effective,1 and a Cochrane
review of 25 clinical trials documented the benefits of the com-
bination antiretroviral treatment (cART) in limiting the risk of
mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection.2 These findings
have served as a basis for recommendations regarding prevention
of vertical HIV transmission and helped to formulate algorithms
for PEP protocols and approved PrEP use for certain high-risk
groups.3 An observational study published in 20104 and a clin-
ical trial5 demonstrated also the role of cART in the prevention
of HIV transmission from HIV-infected persons to their sexual
partners.
A mathematical model presented in 2006 predicted that pro-
viding cART to every HIV-positive person in the world would
stop the HIV epidemic within 50 years.6 Since then, extensive
efforts have been made in the province of British Columbia,
Canada, to support the test-and-treat strategy, including expanding
HIV testing by implementing the programme of routine test-
ing in emergency departments for individuals with no prior
risk factors or indications for HIV testing, and promoting ear-
lier access to cART. As a result, the proportion of HIV-infected
people with undetectable viral load increased and that has
been accompanied by substantial reduction in new diagnoses
of HIV in this province.7 Several attempts to analyse the cost-
effectiveness of the treatment as prevention (TAP) strategy strongly
indicated cost-saving effect of early initiation of cART over
time.8,9
However, other studies indicate that even in the communities
where a high proportion of HIV-infected persons receive cART and
have undetectable viral loads, the incidence of HIV is similar to
estimates reported from developed country settings in the pre-
cART era.10 Furthermore, the changing perception of the risk of
transmission from HIV-positive persons on cART may influence the
frequency of high-risk sexual behaviour.11
The aim of this paper is to assess whether relying on cART
alone is a sufficient strategy in preventing HIV in the community
and individual level, based in existing evidence and recommen-
dations from national and international public health institutions;
and reviewing the evolution of HIV and other STIs during the period
2007–2012 using surveillance data from a large city (Barcelona)
where cART is universally provided. For the literature review,
we searched PubMed electronic database for original articles and
reviews published in English and Spanish from 2008–2013 on
cART in the context of prevention of sexual HIV transmission,
challenges of HIV prevention strategies based on condom and
reemerging STI since the introduction of cART. As well, we have
identified important relevant publications published before 2008
using the snowball method by checking the references of selected
papers, and finally included most recent publications as of June
2014.
Impact of cART on sexual HIV transmission – current
evidence
The idea that cART might decrease the spread of the HIV infec-
tion by reducing the infectivity of treated HIV-positive persons has
been considered since the late 1990s. A clear association between
the plasma viral load and the risk of onwards transmission of
HIV was identified already in 2000, indicating that transmission
is rare among persons with less than 1500 copies of HIV-1 RNA per
millilitre.12
Several independent systematic reviews of the observational
studies and randomised control trials conducted among hetero-
sexual serodiscordant couples have been published recently. In
three studies where the virologic suppression by cART was docu-
mented, the rate of transmission was 0 per 100 person-years with
a 95% confidence interval (CI): 0 to 0.05.13 The Cochrane review in
201314 and the review conducted by Attia and colleagues in 2009
similarly suggested that the risk of sexual transmission for hetero-
sexual serodiscordant couples when the HIV-positive partner was
on suppressive treatment was minimal.15
The strongest evidence gained in a clinical trial regarding the
protective effect of the cART on HIV transmission in serodiscor-
dant couples came from the HPTN-052 study.5 It included 1763
serodiscordant couples divided into two groups based on the tim-
ing of the cART initiation: receiving cART either immediately (early
therapy) or after a decline in the CD4 count or the onset of HIV-
1-related symptoms (delayed therapy). Importantly, all couples
received counselling on every visit and were provided with free
condoms. Overall 39 HIV-1 transmissions were observed (incidence
rate: 1.2 per 100 person-years; CI: 0.9 to 1.7). Of these, 28 were viro-
logically linked to the infected partner (incidence rate: 0.9 per 100
person-years, CI: 0.6 to 1.3). Only one of the 28 linked transmissions
was reported in the early-therapy group (hazard ratio: 0.04; CI: 0.01
to 0.27; p < 0.001). Based on these findings, the authors concluded
that early initiation of cART reduced linked transmissions by 96%.
The only genetically confirmed transmission from an HIV-positive
participant on cART happened at the early stage of the treatment;
before achievement of an undetectable viral load.
Concerns have been raised about the external validity the
results of the HPTN-052 trial among those engaging in anal inter-
course, including MSM and transgendered persons (among its 1763
serodiscordant couples, only 37 were MSM) as the rate of trans-
mission per-act associated with anal intercourse in persons who
are not on suppressive cART is greater than the rate associated
with penile-vaginal intercourse.16 However, interim results of an
ongoing observational study among serodiscordant MSM couples,
presented in March 2014, suggested that cART may substantially
reduce the risk of HIV transmission also during anal sex.17
In the same time, many investigators have pointed on the fact
that still there is not enough scientific evidence to state that the
risk of the HIV transmission from the person on effective cART is
practically zero, because there is evidence that plasma viral load
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A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 e65
does not always correlate with the viral load in the semen and
genital fluids.18,19 Moreover, shedding of HIV viral particles in the
genital fluids has been repeatedly detected when the viral load is
undetectable in the plasma, though the transmission potential of
these particles remains unclear.20 Finally, there was at least one
case report of HIV sexual transmission from a person on treatment
with undetectable plasma viral load.21
Challenges of the HIV prevention strategies based on the
behavioural changes and condom use
Evidence from numerous studies22 documents the effectiveness
of condoms in preventing both HIV and other STIs and reducing the
spread of infections within populations. Still, the 2002 Cochrane
review indicated that real-life effectiveness of condom use to pre-
vent HIV transmission only reached 80% in self-reported consistent
condom users.23 This probably reflects the frequency of condom
failure or incorrect use and also possibly social desirability bias in
self-reporting.
Many researchers also noticed that since the advent of the cART
in the 1996, an increasing trend in the incidence of high risk sexual
behaviour, especially among MSM, both in USA and in Europe has
been observed. In the USA, self-reported unprotected anal sex at
least once in the past 12 months among MSM increased from 48%
in 2005 to 57% in 2011 (p < 0.001).24 Similar findings were reported
in France25 and Denmark.26 Data from behavioural surveillance in
Catalonia, Spain, suggest that the trend of the risk behaviours asso-
ciated with HIV transmission is increasing both among MSM27 and
among female sex workers.28
Several studies found that among MSM unprotected anal sex
was associated with drug abuse (particularly methamphetamine
and sildenafil (Viagra®)),29 lack of knowledge about HIV trans-
mission, low self-esteem, ‘condom fatigue,’ stigma or lack of
incorporation of the social norm of condom use.30–33 However,
other factors including ‘HIV optimism’34 and adoption of presumed
risk-reduction strategies, amongst them, engaging in unprotected
sex only with partners perceived to have the same HIV status
as one’s own (serosorting) or adapting sexual practices based
on knowledge or perceptions about one’s own and his partner’s
HIV status (seroadapting) also have contributed to the increase of
unsafe sexual behaviour.35
Re-emerging STIs in the era of cART
While cART may be effective in reducing the risk of HIV
transmission, several other STIs, including gonorrhoea, syphilis
remain common especially amongst MSM.36–40 In England in 2011,
reported rates of gonorrhoea among MSM increased by 61% while
syphilis increased by 28%.41 Some of the increase might be sec-
ondary to improved testing, but the increase in syphilis where there
have been no changes in testing practice suggests that the rises in
STIs are at least partly due to ongoing risky sexual behaviours.42
Similarly, increasing rates of self-reported STIs were observed
among female sex workers from 2005 to 2011, while HIV preva-
lence remained stable in the same population.28
Other diseases like viral hepatitis, whereas it is A, B or C, have
been observed to increase in MSM across Europe.43 Hepatitis C
is posing an important threat especially amongst HIV-positive
MSM, because its incidence is higher in this group than in HIV-
negative MSM.44 HIV-HCV co-infection worsens the evolution of
both diseases, with higher rates of fibrosis, chronic hepatitis and
hepatocellular carcinoma.45,46
Another disease that has increased among HIV-positive males
in the cART era is anal cancer, linked to human papilloma virus
(HPV) infection. Cases of cancer rates increased 5-fold when it was
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Cases/100.000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Gonorrhoea LGV
HIVSyphilis
Fig. 1. Annual overall incidence of newly diagnosed cases of gonorrhoea, syphilis,
LGV and HIV. Barcelona, 2007–2012.
compared to pre-cART era in the US. Longer duration of HIV infec-
tion is associated with higher rates of anal cancer, which could be
caused by a decrease in other death causes.47 Lymphogranuloma
venereum (LGV), once a rare STI in the European context, now is
considered an emerging STI in Europe and in North America, mostly
affecting HIV-infected MSM.48
Recent trends in the epidemiology of HIV and other STIs in
Barcelona
In 2007–2012, Barcelona faced increasing trend in the reported
incidence of syphilis, gonorrhoea, LGV and HIV (Fig. 1). During that
five-year period, the incidence of syphilis rose by 276%, the inci-
dence of gonorrhoea rose by 153% and the incidence of LGV rose
by 650%. The incidence of new HIV diagnoses rose by 63%, in spite
of high cART coverage in Catalonia – according to the 2011 report
from the PISCIS Cohort study, among people living with HIV (PLWH)
retained in care, 92.4% of eligible persons received cART and, among
them, 94.9% achieved undetectable viral load 6 months after start-
ing the cART. However, taking into account the number of PLWH
who are not aware of their diagnosis, and those who are not linked
to care, the proportion of PLWH who have achieved undetectable
viral load is estimated to be 48% of all HIV-infected people.49
The majority of the STIs cases were attributable to men 25–34
years of age and, among them, up to 80% of cases of syphilis and
HIV infection and, in 2011–2012, almost 100% of LGV cases were
MSM. The increase in the number of cases of HIV and other STIs was
mainly explained by MSM (Fig. 2), that is consistent with the results
of a study based on the data from the sentinel network of Spanish
STI clinics, where more than a half of gonorrhoea cases were diag-
nosed among MSM, and this was the only sub-population where
increasing trend of gonorrhoea was observed between 2006 and
2010.50 For comparison, the rates of new HIV cases on the national
level appeared to be slowly decreasing from 2010 to 2012 in all
transmission groups, still, with 51% of new HIV cases diagnosed
among MSM in 2012,51 and, to confirm whether the incidence is
truly decreasing among in group, further surveillance is needed,
taking into account that the number of cases among MSM has
increased by 35% in Barcelona during the same period of time.
The first outbreak of acute hepatitis C among HIV-infected
MSM occurring from 2003 to 2010 was reported by the team of
researchers from one of the Barcelona’s hospitals.52 On the com-
munity level, an ongoing hepatitis C outbreak was being under
investigation as of beginning of 2014. In 2011, of 70 reported
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e66 A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68
Males
MSM HIV MSM syphilis
HSM syphilis HSW syphilis
MSM LGVMSM gonorrhoea
HSM gonorrhoea HSW gonorrhoeaHSM HIV HSW HIV
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Females
320
300
280
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
320
300
280
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Cases
Cases
Fig. 2. Evolution of cases of HIV, gonorrhoea, syphilis and LGV by sex and transmission route (MSM–men who have sex with men; HSM–heterosexual men; HSW–heterosexual
women). Barcelona, 2007–2012.
cases of LGV all occurred among MSM, 94% of which also had HIV
infection.53
Our surveillance data also indicate that, in 2010–2012, a high
proportion of gonorrhoea and syphilis cases also had HIV infection
(16–17% and 31–33%, respectively). This, and also the fact that rel-
ative increase in the incidence of other STIs appears to be notably
higher than one of HIV (Fig. 1), indicate that also in Barcelona some
HIV-positive persons who are on cART might engage in high risk
sexual behaviour relying on protective effects of cART in terms
of sexual transmission of HIV. Still, other factors may play an
important role in the increase of STIs, including a developed enter-
tainment industry, which makes Barcelona one of the most popular
tourism and sex-tourism destinations in Europe, growing popu-
larity of smartphone based on-line dating applications for MSM
that promote a larger number of casual sexual partners,54 harmful
alcohol consumption patterns55 and increasing use of recreational
drugs during sex and partying among some parts of the MSMs
community.56
Public Health recommendations regarding the use of cART
in HIV prevention
We could not identify recommendations that supported the use
of cART alone to prevent new infections on the population level.
However, most guidelines advise suppressive cART as a means of
reducing the risk of sexual transmission of HIV among individual
serodiscordant couples.
In 2008 the Swiss Federal Commission for HIV/AIDS issued a
statement claiming that ‘an HIV-positive individual not suffering
from any other STIs and adhering to cART with a completely sup-
pressed viraemia does not transmit HIV sexually.’ This was valid
under specific conditions, namely: (a) the HIV-positive individual
fully complied with the cART therapy and was monitored by an
attending physician; (b) the viral load should be undetectable for
at least six months and (c) the HIV-positive individual did not have
any other STI. The authors made also clear that mutual agreement
was needed between serodiscordant partners.57
In January 2013, the British HIV Association and the Expert Advi-
sory Group on AIDS published their position statement on the use
of cART to reduce HIV transmission. It specified that the viral load
testing should be undertaken every 3–4 months and that none
of the partners should have an STI. It emphasised that no single
prevention method could completely prevent HIV transmission.58
The United States CDC in its ‘Guidance on ART and its Effect on
Sexual Transmission of HIV’ acknowledges the potential benefit of
cART on substantial reduction of the risk of sexual HIV transmis-
sion in serodiscordant couples. However, since HIV transmission
can still occur when the infected partner is on effective cART, in
February 2008 it reiterated its 2003 recommendations that sexu-
ally active people living with HIV should use condoms consistently
and correctly with all partners.59
In Spain, the latest recommendations of the National AIDS
Plan/GeSIDA (January 2014) advise earlier start of cART in
asymptomatic patients to reduce sexual transmission of HIV
in serodiscordant couples who wish to minimise the risk of
transmission.60
Similarly, the WHO guidelines recommend offering cART to the
HIV positive partner, regardless of his/her own immune status (CD4
count) to reduce the risk of HIV transmission. However, it stated
that whenever possible, cART should be used for HIV prevention
in combination with other proven methods of sexual risk reduc-
tion, including use of male or female condoms, partner number
reduction and male circumcision.61
Conclusions
The ability of suppressive cART to reduce the risk of sexual trans-
mission between individual serodiscordant couple is documented
in observational studies and in HPTN-052 trial, but available data do
not support zero risk of HIV transmission under cART.62 HIV inci-
dence depends not only on the per-act transmission risk reduction
by effective cART, but also of the strategic use of other preventive
measures.63 No single prevention method can be 100% effective and
combination prevention strategies, especially those that include
cART, targeted both on HIV-infected and HIV-non infected indi-
viduals should be always recommended and encouraged.64
On the individual level, in the context of counselling serodis-
cordant couples, full and evidence-based information regarding
the risk of HIV transmission and all available prevention measures
must be provided to both partners to let the couple make informed
decisions about whether to continue to use condoms or to rely on
protective effect of the suppressive cART only, including when there
is an intention to conceive naturally. The importance of adherence,
consistent use of protection measures outside the relationship and
regular STIs and viral load check-ups has to be stressed on every
visit.
On the community level, the benefits of the TAP strategy are still
debated.65 Growing rates of other STIs and emergence of new infec-
tions reported in the literature in the last decade, such as hepatitis C,
highlights the importance of primary prevention measures, such as
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A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 e67
condom use and behavioural change oriented interventions. More-
over, newly infected individuals not aware of their HIV status may
account for the majority of new infections,66 and increase in high-
risk sexual behaviour among undiagnosed individuals may offset
the benefits offered by enhanced testing and treatment.67 From
the public health perspective, avoiding new infections is a priority.
TAP strategy implies very high coverage with adequate treatment
and adherence levels, which apparently still is not feasible in many
settings, therefore relying on cART alone, unless combined with
frequent HIV testing alongside primary prevention programmes,68
is not sufficient strategy to avoid transmissions of HIV and other
STIs.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank Dr. Kenneth G. Castro, acting director
of the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention at the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) and Dr. Yvan Hutin, Chief EPIET coor-
dinator, ECDC, for revising this paper and helping to improve it.
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¿Tratamiento antirretroviral como prevencion?

  • 1. Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 www.elsevier.es/eimc Review article Can we rely on the antiretroviral treatment as the only means for human immunodeficiency virusprevention? A Public Health perspective Antons Mozalevskisa,b,c,∗ , Sandra Manzanares-Layaa , Patricia García de Olallaa,d , Antonio Morenoa,d , Constanza Jacques-Avi˜nóa , Joan A. Caylàa,d a Epidemiology Service, Public Health Agency of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain b National Centre of Epidemiology, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain c European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden d CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Barcelona, Spain a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 17 April 2014 Accepted 31 July 2014 Keywords: Human immunodeficiency virus Sexually transmitted infections Antiretroviral treatment Prevention a b s t r a c t The evidence that supports the preventive effect of combination antiretroviral treatment (cART) in HIV sexual transmission suggested the so-called ‘treatment as prevention’ (TAP) strategy as a promising tool for slowing down HIV transmission. As the messages and attitudes towards condom use in the context of TAP appear to be somehow confusing, the aim here is to assess whether relying on cART alone to prevent HIV transmission can currently be recommended from the Public Health perspective. A review is made of the literature on the effects of TAP strategy on HIV transmission and the epidemi- ology of other sexual transmitted infections (STIs) in the cART era, and recommendations from Public Health institutions on the TAP as of February 2014. The evolution of HIV and other STIs in Barcelona from 2007 to 2012 has also been analysed. Given that the widespread use of cART has coincided with an increasing incidence of HIV and other STIs, mainly amongst men who have sex with men, a combination and diversified prevention methods should always be considered and recommended in counselling. An informed decision on whether to stop using condoms should only be made by partners within stable couples, and after receiving all the up-to-date information regarding TAP. From the public health perspective, primary prevention should be a priority; therefore relying on cART alone is not a sufficient strategy to prevent new HIV and other STIs. © 2014 Elsevier España, S.L.U. and Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica. All rights reserved. ¿Podemos confiar en el tratamiento antirretroviral como único método para la prevención del virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana? Una perspectiva de Salud Pública Palabras clave: Virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana Infecciones de transmisión sexual Tratamiento antirretroviral Prevención r e s u m e n La efectividad del tratamiento antirretroviral (TAR) combinado en la reducción de la transmisión del VIH ha impulsado la estrategia «tratamiento como prevención» (TcP) como herramienta prometedora para controlar la epidemia del VIH. Debido a que los mensajes y actitudes respecto al uso del preservativo en el contexto del TcP pueden parecer confusos, en este trabajo se evaluó si usar únicamente TAR como estrategia de prevención puede ser recomendado desde una perspectiva de Salud Pública. Se hizo una revisión de la literatura sobre la efectividad del TAR en la transmisión del VIH y epi- demiológica de otras infecciones de transmisión sexual (ITS). También se realizó una revisión de las recomendaciones vigentes (febrero 2014) sobre TcP desde diferentes instituciones de Salud Pública. Asimismo, se analizó la evolución del VIH y otras ITS en Barcelona durante el periodo 2007–2012. ∗ Corresponding author. E-mail address: mozalevskis@gmail.com (A. Mozalevskis). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eimc.2014.07.014 0213-005X/© 2014 Elsevier España, S.L.U. and Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica. All rights reserved. Document downloaded from http://www.elsevier.es, day 14/11/2015. This copy is for personal use. Any transmission of this document by any media or format is strictly prohibited.
  • 2. e64 A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 Dado que el amplio uso del TAR ha coincidido con un aumento en la incidencia del VIH y otras ITS, espe- cialmente entre hombres que tienen sexo con hombres, en el consejo asistido se contempla la utilización combinada de diferentes métodos de prevención. La decisión sobre el uso del preservativo se debe tomar en el seno de las parejas estables serodiscordantes, con pleno conocimiento de los riesgos y limitaciones del TAR cuando se utiliza como único medio de prevención. Desde la perspectiva de la Salud Pública, la prevención primaria debe ser una prioridad. Confiar en el TAR solamente como una estrategia de preven- ción de nuevas infecciones por el VIH y otras ITS no sería suficiente, ya que el éxito del TcP depende no solo de diagnosticar y tratar adecuadamente, sino también de mantener conductas de sexo seguro para evitar la transmisión de ITS, de realizar controles clínicos adecuados y de tener acceso continuado al TAR. © 2014 Elsevier España, S.L.U. y Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica. Todos los derechos reservados. Background and rationale Antiretroviral therapy in post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) and in pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is effective,1 and a Cochrane review of 25 clinical trials documented the benefits of the com- bination antiretroviral treatment (cART) in limiting the risk of mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection.2 These findings have served as a basis for recommendations regarding prevention of vertical HIV transmission and helped to formulate algorithms for PEP protocols and approved PrEP use for certain high-risk groups.3 An observational study published in 20104 and a clin- ical trial5 demonstrated also the role of cART in the prevention of HIV transmission from HIV-infected persons to their sexual partners. A mathematical model presented in 2006 predicted that pro- viding cART to every HIV-positive person in the world would stop the HIV epidemic within 50 years.6 Since then, extensive efforts have been made in the province of British Columbia, Canada, to support the test-and-treat strategy, including expanding HIV testing by implementing the programme of routine test- ing in emergency departments for individuals with no prior risk factors or indications for HIV testing, and promoting ear- lier access to cART. As a result, the proportion of HIV-infected people with undetectable viral load increased and that has been accompanied by substantial reduction in new diagnoses of HIV in this province.7 Several attempts to analyse the cost- effectiveness of the treatment as prevention (TAP) strategy strongly indicated cost-saving effect of early initiation of cART over time.8,9 However, other studies indicate that even in the communities where a high proportion of HIV-infected persons receive cART and have undetectable viral loads, the incidence of HIV is similar to estimates reported from developed country settings in the pre- cART era.10 Furthermore, the changing perception of the risk of transmission from HIV-positive persons on cART may influence the frequency of high-risk sexual behaviour.11 The aim of this paper is to assess whether relying on cART alone is a sufficient strategy in preventing HIV in the community and individual level, based in existing evidence and recommen- dations from national and international public health institutions; and reviewing the evolution of HIV and other STIs during the period 2007–2012 using surveillance data from a large city (Barcelona) where cART is universally provided. For the literature review, we searched PubMed electronic database for original articles and reviews published in English and Spanish from 2008–2013 on cART in the context of prevention of sexual HIV transmission, challenges of HIV prevention strategies based on condom and reemerging STI since the introduction of cART. As well, we have identified important relevant publications published before 2008 using the snowball method by checking the references of selected papers, and finally included most recent publications as of June 2014. Impact of cART on sexual HIV transmission – current evidence The idea that cART might decrease the spread of the HIV infec- tion by reducing the infectivity of treated HIV-positive persons has been considered since the late 1990s. A clear association between the plasma viral load and the risk of onwards transmission of HIV was identified already in 2000, indicating that transmission is rare among persons with less than 1500 copies of HIV-1 RNA per millilitre.12 Several independent systematic reviews of the observational studies and randomised control trials conducted among hetero- sexual serodiscordant couples have been published recently. In three studies where the virologic suppression by cART was docu- mented, the rate of transmission was 0 per 100 person-years with a 95% confidence interval (CI): 0 to 0.05.13 The Cochrane review in 201314 and the review conducted by Attia and colleagues in 2009 similarly suggested that the risk of sexual transmission for hetero- sexual serodiscordant couples when the HIV-positive partner was on suppressive treatment was minimal.15 The strongest evidence gained in a clinical trial regarding the protective effect of the cART on HIV transmission in serodiscor- dant couples came from the HPTN-052 study.5 It included 1763 serodiscordant couples divided into two groups based on the tim- ing of the cART initiation: receiving cART either immediately (early therapy) or after a decline in the CD4 count or the onset of HIV- 1-related symptoms (delayed therapy). Importantly, all couples received counselling on every visit and were provided with free condoms. Overall 39 HIV-1 transmissions were observed (incidence rate: 1.2 per 100 person-years; CI: 0.9 to 1.7). Of these, 28 were viro- logically linked to the infected partner (incidence rate: 0.9 per 100 person-years, CI: 0.6 to 1.3). Only one of the 28 linked transmissions was reported in the early-therapy group (hazard ratio: 0.04; CI: 0.01 to 0.27; p < 0.001). Based on these findings, the authors concluded that early initiation of cART reduced linked transmissions by 96%. The only genetically confirmed transmission from an HIV-positive participant on cART happened at the early stage of the treatment; before achievement of an undetectable viral load. Concerns have been raised about the external validity the results of the HPTN-052 trial among those engaging in anal inter- course, including MSM and transgendered persons (among its 1763 serodiscordant couples, only 37 were MSM) as the rate of trans- mission per-act associated with anal intercourse in persons who are not on suppressive cART is greater than the rate associated with penile-vaginal intercourse.16 However, interim results of an ongoing observational study among serodiscordant MSM couples, presented in March 2014, suggested that cART may substantially reduce the risk of HIV transmission also during anal sex.17 In the same time, many investigators have pointed on the fact that still there is not enough scientific evidence to state that the risk of the HIV transmission from the person on effective cART is practically zero, because there is evidence that plasma viral load Document downloaded from http://www.elsevier.es, day 14/11/2015. This copy is for personal use. 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  • 3. A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 e65 does not always correlate with the viral load in the semen and genital fluids.18,19 Moreover, shedding of HIV viral particles in the genital fluids has been repeatedly detected when the viral load is undetectable in the plasma, though the transmission potential of these particles remains unclear.20 Finally, there was at least one case report of HIV sexual transmission from a person on treatment with undetectable plasma viral load.21 Challenges of the HIV prevention strategies based on the behavioural changes and condom use Evidence from numerous studies22 documents the effectiveness of condoms in preventing both HIV and other STIs and reducing the spread of infections within populations. Still, the 2002 Cochrane review indicated that real-life effectiveness of condom use to pre- vent HIV transmission only reached 80% in self-reported consistent condom users.23 This probably reflects the frequency of condom failure or incorrect use and also possibly social desirability bias in self-reporting. Many researchers also noticed that since the advent of the cART in the 1996, an increasing trend in the incidence of high risk sexual behaviour, especially among MSM, both in USA and in Europe has been observed. In the USA, self-reported unprotected anal sex at least once in the past 12 months among MSM increased from 48% in 2005 to 57% in 2011 (p < 0.001).24 Similar findings were reported in France25 and Denmark.26 Data from behavioural surveillance in Catalonia, Spain, suggest that the trend of the risk behaviours asso- ciated with HIV transmission is increasing both among MSM27 and among female sex workers.28 Several studies found that among MSM unprotected anal sex was associated with drug abuse (particularly methamphetamine and sildenafil (Viagra®)),29 lack of knowledge about HIV trans- mission, low self-esteem, ‘condom fatigue,’ stigma or lack of incorporation of the social norm of condom use.30–33 However, other factors including ‘HIV optimism’34 and adoption of presumed risk-reduction strategies, amongst them, engaging in unprotected sex only with partners perceived to have the same HIV status as one’s own (serosorting) or adapting sexual practices based on knowledge or perceptions about one’s own and his partner’s HIV status (seroadapting) also have contributed to the increase of unsafe sexual behaviour.35 Re-emerging STIs in the era of cART While cART may be effective in reducing the risk of HIV transmission, several other STIs, including gonorrhoea, syphilis remain common especially amongst MSM.36–40 In England in 2011, reported rates of gonorrhoea among MSM increased by 61% while syphilis increased by 28%.41 Some of the increase might be sec- ondary to improved testing, but the increase in syphilis where there have been no changes in testing practice suggests that the rises in STIs are at least partly due to ongoing risky sexual behaviours.42 Similarly, increasing rates of self-reported STIs were observed among female sex workers from 2005 to 2011, while HIV preva- lence remained stable in the same population.28 Other diseases like viral hepatitis, whereas it is A, B or C, have been observed to increase in MSM across Europe.43 Hepatitis C is posing an important threat especially amongst HIV-positive MSM, because its incidence is higher in this group than in HIV- negative MSM.44 HIV-HCV co-infection worsens the evolution of both diseases, with higher rates of fibrosis, chronic hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma.45,46 Another disease that has increased among HIV-positive males in the cART era is anal cancer, linked to human papilloma virus (HPV) infection. Cases of cancer rates increased 5-fold when it was 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Cases/100.000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Gonorrhoea LGV HIVSyphilis Fig. 1. Annual overall incidence of newly diagnosed cases of gonorrhoea, syphilis, LGV and HIV. Barcelona, 2007–2012. compared to pre-cART era in the US. Longer duration of HIV infec- tion is associated with higher rates of anal cancer, which could be caused by a decrease in other death causes.47 Lymphogranuloma venereum (LGV), once a rare STI in the European context, now is considered an emerging STI in Europe and in North America, mostly affecting HIV-infected MSM.48 Recent trends in the epidemiology of HIV and other STIs in Barcelona In 2007–2012, Barcelona faced increasing trend in the reported incidence of syphilis, gonorrhoea, LGV and HIV (Fig. 1). During that five-year period, the incidence of syphilis rose by 276%, the inci- dence of gonorrhoea rose by 153% and the incidence of LGV rose by 650%. The incidence of new HIV diagnoses rose by 63%, in spite of high cART coverage in Catalonia – according to the 2011 report from the PISCIS Cohort study, among people living with HIV (PLWH) retained in care, 92.4% of eligible persons received cART and, among them, 94.9% achieved undetectable viral load 6 months after start- ing the cART. However, taking into account the number of PLWH who are not aware of their diagnosis, and those who are not linked to care, the proportion of PLWH who have achieved undetectable viral load is estimated to be 48% of all HIV-infected people.49 The majority of the STIs cases were attributable to men 25–34 years of age and, among them, up to 80% of cases of syphilis and HIV infection and, in 2011–2012, almost 100% of LGV cases were MSM. The increase in the number of cases of HIV and other STIs was mainly explained by MSM (Fig. 2), that is consistent with the results of a study based on the data from the sentinel network of Spanish STI clinics, where more than a half of gonorrhoea cases were diag- nosed among MSM, and this was the only sub-population where increasing trend of gonorrhoea was observed between 2006 and 2010.50 For comparison, the rates of new HIV cases on the national level appeared to be slowly decreasing from 2010 to 2012 in all transmission groups, still, with 51% of new HIV cases diagnosed among MSM in 2012,51 and, to confirm whether the incidence is truly decreasing among in group, further surveillance is needed, taking into account that the number of cases among MSM has increased by 35% in Barcelona during the same period of time. The first outbreak of acute hepatitis C among HIV-infected MSM occurring from 2003 to 2010 was reported by the team of researchers from one of the Barcelona’s hospitals.52 On the com- munity level, an ongoing hepatitis C outbreak was being under investigation as of beginning of 2014. In 2011, of 70 reported Document downloaded from http://www.elsevier.es, day 14/11/2015. This copy is for personal use. Any transmission of this document by any media or format is strictly prohibited.
  • 4. e66 A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 Males MSM HIV MSM syphilis HSM syphilis HSW syphilis MSM LGVMSM gonorrhoea HSM gonorrhoea HSW gonorrhoeaHSM HIV HSW HIV 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Females 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Cases Cases Fig. 2. Evolution of cases of HIV, gonorrhoea, syphilis and LGV by sex and transmission route (MSM–men who have sex with men; HSM–heterosexual men; HSW–heterosexual women). Barcelona, 2007–2012. cases of LGV all occurred among MSM, 94% of which also had HIV infection.53 Our surveillance data also indicate that, in 2010–2012, a high proportion of gonorrhoea and syphilis cases also had HIV infection (16–17% and 31–33%, respectively). This, and also the fact that rel- ative increase in the incidence of other STIs appears to be notably higher than one of HIV (Fig. 1), indicate that also in Barcelona some HIV-positive persons who are on cART might engage in high risk sexual behaviour relying on protective effects of cART in terms of sexual transmission of HIV. Still, other factors may play an important role in the increase of STIs, including a developed enter- tainment industry, which makes Barcelona one of the most popular tourism and sex-tourism destinations in Europe, growing popu- larity of smartphone based on-line dating applications for MSM that promote a larger number of casual sexual partners,54 harmful alcohol consumption patterns55 and increasing use of recreational drugs during sex and partying among some parts of the MSMs community.56 Public Health recommendations regarding the use of cART in HIV prevention We could not identify recommendations that supported the use of cART alone to prevent new infections on the population level. However, most guidelines advise suppressive cART as a means of reducing the risk of sexual transmission of HIV among individual serodiscordant couples. In 2008 the Swiss Federal Commission for HIV/AIDS issued a statement claiming that ‘an HIV-positive individual not suffering from any other STIs and adhering to cART with a completely sup- pressed viraemia does not transmit HIV sexually.’ This was valid under specific conditions, namely: (a) the HIV-positive individual fully complied with the cART therapy and was monitored by an attending physician; (b) the viral load should be undetectable for at least six months and (c) the HIV-positive individual did not have any other STI. The authors made also clear that mutual agreement was needed between serodiscordant partners.57 In January 2013, the British HIV Association and the Expert Advi- sory Group on AIDS published their position statement on the use of cART to reduce HIV transmission. It specified that the viral load testing should be undertaken every 3–4 months and that none of the partners should have an STI. It emphasised that no single prevention method could completely prevent HIV transmission.58 The United States CDC in its ‘Guidance on ART and its Effect on Sexual Transmission of HIV’ acknowledges the potential benefit of cART on substantial reduction of the risk of sexual HIV transmis- sion in serodiscordant couples. However, since HIV transmission can still occur when the infected partner is on effective cART, in February 2008 it reiterated its 2003 recommendations that sexu- ally active people living with HIV should use condoms consistently and correctly with all partners.59 In Spain, the latest recommendations of the National AIDS Plan/GeSIDA (January 2014) advise earlier start of cART in asymptomatic patients to reduce sexual transmission of HIV in serodiscordant couples who wish to minimise the risk of transmission.60 Similarly, the WHO guidelines recommend offering cART to the HIV positive partner, regardless of his/her own immune status (CD4 count) to reduce the risk of HIV transmission. However, it stated that whenever possible, cART should be used for HIV prevention in combination with other proven methods of sexual risk reduc- tion, including use of male or female condoms, partner number reduction and male circumcision.61 Conclusions The ability of suppressive cART to reduce the risk of sexual trans- mission between individual serodiscordant couple is documented in observational studies and in HPTN-052 trial, but available data do not support zero risk of HIV transmission under cART.62 HIV inci- dence depends not only on the per-act transmission risk reduction by effective cART, but also of the strategic use of other preventive measures.63 No single prevention method can be 100% effective and combination prevention strategies, especially those that include cART, targeted both on HIV-infected and HIV-non infected indi- viduals should be always recommended and encouraged.64 On the individual level, in the context of counselling serodis- cordant couples, full and evidence-based information regarding the risk of HIV transmission and all available prevention measures must be provided to both partners to let the couple make informed decisions about whether to continue to use condoms or to rely on protective effect of the suppressive cART only, including when there is an intention to conceive naturally. The importance of adherence, consistent use of protection measures outside the relationship and regular STIs and viral load check-ups has to be stressed on every visit. On the community level, the benefits of the TAP strategy are still debated.65 Growing rates of other STIs and emergence of new infec- tions reported in the literature in the last decade, such as hepatitis C, highlights the importance of primary prevention measures, such as Document downloaded from http://www.elsevier.es, day 14/11/2015. This copy is for personal use. Any transmission of this document by any media or format is strictly prohibited.
  • 5. A. Mozalevskis et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(9):e63–e68 e67 condom use and behavioural change oriented interventions. More- over, newly infected individuals not aware of their HIV status may account for the majority of new infections,66 and increase in high- risk sexual behaviour among undiagnosed individuals may offset the benefits offered by enhanced testing and treatment.67 From the public health perspective, avoiding new infections is a priority. TAP strategy implies very high coverage with adequate treatment and adherence levels, which apparently still is not feasible in many settings, therefore relying on cART alone, unless combined with frequent HIV testing alongside primary prevention programmes,68 is not sufficient strategy to avoid transmissions of HIV and other STIs. Conflict of interest The authors declare no conflict of interest. Acknowledgments We would like to thank Dr. Kenneth G. Castro, acting director of the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and Dr. Yvan Hutin, Chief EPIET coor- dinator, ECDC, for revising this paper and helping to improve it. References 1. Grant RM, Lama JR, Anderson PL, McMahan V, Liu AY, Vargas L, et al. Preexposure chemoprophylaxis for HIV prevention in men who have sex with men. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:2587–99. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21091279 2. Siegfried N, van der Merwe L, Brocklehurst P, Sint TT. Antiretrovirals for reducing the risk of mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2011. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21735394 3. WHO. Guidance on oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for serodiscordant cou- ples, men and transgender women who have sex with men at high risk of HIV: recommendations for use in the context of demonstration projects. Geneva July 2012. 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