3. 668 J. Del Romero et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(10):666–672
Table 1
Characteristics of couples enrolled during 1989–2010 according to treatment of index case.
Antiretroviral treatmenta
Total No treatment Combined treatment p valueb
All 716 (100) 491 (100) 202 (100)
Male index case 585 (82) 394 (80) 171 (85) 0.2
History of injecting drug use in index case 516 (72) 372 (76) 126 (62) <0.001
Median (IQR) age (years) index cases (Women) 32 (27–36) 29 (25–33) 36 (33–41) <0.001
Median (IQR) age (years) index cases (Men) 32 (28–38) 30 (27–34) 38 (34–42) <0.001
Median (IQR) age (years) non-index cases (Women) 29 (25–35) 27 (23–32) 30 (27–35) <0.001
Median (IQR) age (years) non-index cases (Men) 33 (29–38) 31 (27–36) 32 (28–38) <0.001
Median (IQR) length of the relationship (years) 3.3 (0.9–7.9) 2.7 (0.8–7.4) 4.6 (1.9–10.1) <0.001
Median (IQR) known duration of HIV infection (months) 31 (3–105) 11 (1–43) 130 (60–190) <0.001
Detectable plasma HIV RNA in index casec
156 (52) 122 (93) 32 (21) 0.01
Median (IQR) plasma HIV RNA copies per ml in index casec
125 (ND–3376) 7303 (1392–28,916) ND <0.001
Median (IQR) CD4 cell count ×106
/L in index cased
505 (300–696) 542 (341–746) 500 (296–647) 0.4
Unprotected coital acts in past 6 months 383 (53) 280 (57) 93 (46) 0.01
Number of HCV+ index casese
334 (46.6) 188 (38.3) 125 (61.9) 0.01
Current sexually transmitted infection in either partner 57 (8) 35 (7) 21 (10) 0.2
Current bacterial vaginosis or candida vaginitis in the woman 100 (14) 72 (15) 16 (8) 0.02
HIV infection in sexual partner 49 (6.8) 47 (9.6) 0 <0.001
Figures are numbers (percentages) of participants unless stated otherwise.
IQR = interquartile range; ND = non-detectable plasma HIV RNA.
a
Couples with index case taking monotherapy or dual therapy are not shown (n = 23).
b
p values were obtained from Fisher’s exact test or Wilcoxon’s test.
c
Available for 302 patients.
d
Available for 640 patients.
e
21 HCV+ index cases were under monotherapy or dual therapy.
index case was determined by flow cytometry and plasma HIV
RNA by a branched DNA assay. The lower limit of detection was
500 copies/mL until 1999, and 50 copies/mL thereafter. Syphilis was
routinely evaluated by reaginic (RPR) and treponemic (ELISA and
TPPA or FTA-abs) tests. Others STIs were evaluated in men having
signs/symptoms or whose partners had been diagnosed with an STI.
Gynaecological examinations included STI screening in cervical and
vaginal exudates.
Statistical analysis
HIV prevalence at enrolment in sexual partners was observed
and a stratified analysis by selected characteristics of the couples
was performed to rule out the main potential confounding fac-
tors in the association between HIV prevalence in sexual partners
and treatment in index cases. In the follow-up analysis, we quan-
tified some characteristics of the couples, events occurring during
follow-up and the number of new HIV seroconversions. Moreover,
we estimated the incidence rate of seroconversion by couple-years
of follow-up and the probability of transmission per sexual risk
exposure between two successive visits among those receiving
HAART, mono/dual therapy with nucleoside analogue reverse-
transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) or without treatment. Index cases
who started or changed antiretroviral treatment between two
successive visits were classified in the less effective treatment cate-
gory. Genitourinary infections and other circumstances detected at
a visit were considered as covariates present during the whole time
period since the previous visit. Continuous variables were com-
pared with the Wilcoxon test, proportions with the Fisher’s exact
test and rates with exact methods. Interquartile ranges (IQR) for
medians, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for rates (assuming a Pois-
son distribution) and risks (assuming a binomial distribution) were
calculated.
Results
HIV prevalence at enrolment
Between 1989 and 2010, 716 heterosexual couples, in which
only one partner had previously received a diagnosis of HIV
infection, were recruited for this study. Characteristics of these
couples according to treatment of the index case (no treatment
or HAART) are showed in Table 1. In 585 (82%) couples the index
case was a man and in 516 (72%) the index case had a history
of injecting drug use (IDU). The median length of the relation-
ship was 3.3 years. In 491 (69%) couples the index case was not
taking any antiretroviral treatment: in 333 because antiretrovi-
ral drugs were not yet available, in 135 who did not meet the
criteria for treatment and in 23 who declined treatment. Among
the index cases receiving antiretroviral therapy, 23 were under
mono/dual therapy receiving only NRTIs and 202 were receiving
HAART. HIV viral load was detectable in 93% (122/131 with viral
load data) of the index cases who were not taking antiretrovi-
ral treatment compared to 21% (32/152 with viral load data) of
those undergoing HAART (p = 0.01). The median of VL in these last
couples was 1238 (IQR = 687–21,599). The proportion of couples
having unprotected sexual intercourses was lower among those
whose index case was taking HAART (93/202 (46%) vs 280/491
(57%), p = 0.01). Among the 32 couples with index cases under
HAART and detectable VL, only six reported unprotected sexual
practices. Index cases of these couples were less than one year
under HAART. Overall, 334 (46.6%) index cases were HCV+, most
of them (90.7%) ex-IDU. They represented 38.3% of the untreated
index cases and 61.9% of those under HAART (p < 0.001). Although
there was no significant difference in the proportion of current
STIs in either partners according to antiretroviral treatment of the
index case, the prevalence of bacterial vaginosis/candida vaginitis
was significantly higher among women in couples in which the
index case was not being treated (72/491 (15%) vs 16/202 (8%),
p = 0.02).
HIV prevalence in sexual partners was 6.8% (49/716) overall: 11%
(38/352) among those diagnosed in 1989–1996 and 3% (11/364)
in persons diagnosed in 1997–2010, when HAART was available
(p < 0.001). The prevalence of HIV infection was 9.6% (47/491)
in couples where the index cases were not taking antiretroviral
treatment and 8.7% (2/23) among partners of index cases taking
mono/dual therapy, but no HIV infection was detected in partners
of index cases taking HAART (0/202; p < 0.001) (Fig. 1). The strat-
ified analyses by selected characteristics of the couples shown in
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4. J. Del Romero et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(10):666–672 669
12
10
8
6
4
2
9.6
8.7
Follow-up n=469First visit n=716
0
Not ART
47/491
HAART
0/202
Mono/dual ART
2/23
0
%HIV+(non-indexpartners)
12
10
8
6
4
2 1.4
0 0
Not ART
5/359
886 couple-years.
13 000 unprotected coitus
57 natural pregnancies
75 couple-years.
1600 unprotected coitus
8 natural pregnancies
514 couple-years.
7600 unprotected coitus
85 natural pregnancies
HAART
0/199
Mono/dual
0/47
0
%HIV+(non-indexpartners)
Fig. 1. Study scheme of couples included in each analysis.
Table 2 excluded the main potential confounding factors for this
last association.
HIV seroconversions during follow-up
HIV transmission was evaluated in 469 couples who were
serodiscordant at recruitment and who had at least one follow-
up visit. About 20% of couples met criteria for censored follow-up:
five HIV seroconversions, 23 deaths of a partner, 46 ended rela-
tionships and 18 sexual partners who had sexual contacts with
another person. About 57% of the couples in follow-up did not
return for a check-up in 24 months, whereas 24% were still in
follow-up in December 2010. Characteristics of couples and events
occurring during follow-up according to antiretroviral treatment
are shown in Table 3. Median follow-up time was 2.2 years (IQR:
0.8–4.3), and 42% of couples were followed between two and
21 years. Median follow-up for couples with the index case under
HAART was also 2.2 years (IQR: 0.6–4.0). A total of 1475 couple-
years of follow-up were accrued. About 110,000 coital acts were
estimated (6.2 per month), of which 22,200 were risky sexual
Table 2
Prevalence of HIV infection at first visit among sexual partners, according to selected characteristics of the couples.
Population analyzed No antiretroviral treatment Combined antiretroviral treatment p value*
Variables Category Infected/analyzed HIV prevalence (%) Infected/analyzed HIV prevalence (%)
All index cases 47/491 10 0/202 0 <0.001
Index case male 40/394 10 0/171 0 <0.001
Index case female 7/97 7 0/31 0 0.2
Beginning of relationship
After HIV diagnosis in index
case
12/168 7 0/137 0 <0.001
Before HIV diagnosis in index
case
35/323 11 0/65 0 0.002
Time since beginning of
relationship (years)
<5 30/314 10 0/108 0 <0.001
≥5 17/177 10 0/94 0 0.003
Plasma HIV RNA in index case
Not detectable 0/9 0 0/164 0 1
Detectable 8/119 7 0/32 0 <0.001
Not available 39/360 11 0/7 0 1
CD4 cell count per 106
/L in
index case
≥200 21/365 6 0/182 0 <0.001
<200 11/60 18 0/15 0 <0.001
Not available 15/66 23 0/5 0 0.6
AIDS defining conditions in
index case
No 34/439 8 0/93 0 0.002
Yes 13/52 25 0/109 0 <0.001
Genitourinary infection in
either partner
No 36/389 9 0/167 0 <0.001
Yes 11/102 11 0/35 0 0.1
Period
1989–96 36/334 11 0/0 NA NA
1997–2010 (combined
treatment available)
11/157 7 0/202 0 <0.001
Figures are numbers and percentages.
NA = not available.
*
p values obtained from two-sided Fisher’s exact test comparing index cases who were not taking antiretroviral treatment and those undergoing HAART.
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5. 670 J. Del Romero et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(10):666–672
Table 3
Characteristics of the couples and events occurring during follow-up according to antiretroviral treatment of index case.
Antiretroviral treatment of index casea
All couples Without treatment Mono/dual therapy Combined treatment
All 469 359 47 199
Male index case (%) 385 (82) 298 (83) 33 (70) 160 (80)
Median (IQR) follow-up (years) 2.2 (0.8–4.3) 2.1 (0.8–4.3) 2.8 (1.1–4.8) 2.2 (0.6–4.0)
Couple-years 1475 886 75 514
Estimated number of coital acts 110,000 67,000 7000 36,000
Estimated number of risky sexual exposuresb
22,200 13,000 1600 7600
Couples with unprotected coital acts (%) 328 (70) 204 (57) 33 (70) 115 (58)
Couple-years with unprotected coital acts 858 464 32 362
Number of condom failures during intercourse 210 166 14 30
Plasma HIV RNA (undetectable/tested) (%) 177/247 (72) 52/201 (26) 6/17 (35) 119/128 (93)
Median (IQR) plasma HIV RNA copies per ml ND (ND–6900) 4069 (500–15,344) 5367 (ND–16,770) ND
Sexually transmitted infection in either partner 9 8 1 2
Women with bacterial vaginosis or candida
vaginitis
61 53 9 6
Number of seroconversions 5 5 0 0
Percentage of couples with seroconversion (95% CI) 1.1 (0.4–2.5) 1.4 (0.6–3.2) 0 (0–7.6) 0 (0–1.9)
Rate of seroconversion per 100 couple-years
(95% CI)
0.3 (0.1–0.8) 0.6 (0.2–1.3) 0 (0–4.9) 0 (0–0.7)
Percentage of seroconversion in couples with risky
sexual exposures (95% CI)
1.5 (0.7–3.5) 2.5 (1.1–5.6) 0 (0–10.4) 0 (0–3.2)
Transmission per 1000 risk exposures (95% CI) 0.2 (0.1–0.5) 0.4 (0.2–0.9) 0 (0–2.4) 0 (0–0.5)
Number of natural pregnancies 150 57 8 85
IQR = interquartile range; ND = not detectable; CI = confidence interval.
a
Each couple could have different therapeutic options during follow-up.
b
Includes coital acts without condom and condoms breaking or slipping during intercourse.
exposures (1.3 per month). During one or more follow-up periods,
70% of couples reported unprotected sexual contacts, and 210
condom failures were reported among couples who always used
condoms. There were about 13,000 sexual risk exposures (166
condom failures) in 886 couple-years when the index case was
not taking antiretroviral treatment, and the median HIV plasma
viral load was 4069 copies/mL (IQR: 500–15,344). Bacterial vagi-
nosis/candida vaginitis was detected in 15% of women in these
couples.
The index case was taking HAART in 199 couples during 514
couple-years, accruing over 7600 sexual risk exposures (30 condom
failures), and 93% (119/128) of index cases had undetectable plasma
HIV RNA. Bacterial vaginosis/candida vaginitis was diagnosed in 3%
of women in these couples. There were five HIV seroconversions of
sexual partners among 359 couples whose index case was not tak-
ing HAART, and no seroconversion among those whose index case
was taking it. The ratio of HIV transmission per 1000 risk exposures
was 0.4 for the couples with index cases without antiretroviral
treatment and zero for those receiving HAART. The percentage of
seroconversion among couples having risky sexual exposures was
2.5 (95% CI: 1.1–5.6) when the index case was not under antiretro-
viral treatment and zero (95% CI: 0–3.2) when he or she received
HAART (Table 3). There was, however, no significant difference
between the probability of transmission of index partner with and
without HAART (p = 0.17).
Characteristics of couples in which HIV transmission occurred
Overall, HIV transmission was detected in 54 couples; 49 of
these transmissions were identified at enrolment and five during
follow-up (Table 4). Two of the 54 index cases were being treated
with one antiretroviral drug, but none was receiving HAART. Three
couples (two at enrolment and one at follow-up) had not reported
any unprotected intercourse, and transmission was associated
with condom failure. None of them received antiretroviral post-
exposure prophylaxis. In 12 couples (22%) one or both partners
had genitourinary infections: in index cases the most frequent
were urethritis, syphilis, genital warts, vaginitis and genital her-
pes; in sexual partners cervicitis, it was genital warts and genital
herpes. Plasma HIV RNA was measured in nine transmitter part-
ners and all of them had a detectable concentration, ranging from
362 to 257,325 copies/mL. Three of the five transmissions dur-
ing follow-up occurred before the availability of VL. In the other
Table 4
Characteristics of 54 couples with diagnosis of HIV infection in the sexual partner.
N (%)
Median (IQR) age (years) for women 26 (21–31)
Median (IQR) age (years) for men 29 (24–33)
Median (IQR) time of relationship
(years)
4.8 (1.3–7.4)
Began relationship after HIV diagnosis
in index case
16 (30)
Median (IQR) time since HIV diagnosis
(months) in the index case
8 (1–51)
Index case male 46 (85)
Index case Injecting drug user 41 (76)
Median (IQR) last CD4 cell count
×106
/L (n = 36) in the index-partner
273 (133–464)
Median (IQR) last plasma HIV RNA
copies per ml (n = 9) in the
index-partner
30,210 (11,076–73,122)
Index case receiving monotherapy 2 (4)
Index case not receiving treatment 52 (96)
Coital acts without condom 51 (94)
Failure of condom during intercourse
as sole risk exposure
3 (5)
Genitourinary infection in either
partner
12 (22)
Pregnancy 5 (9)
Transmission detected during
combined antiretroviral treatment
period
13 (24)
Figures are numbers (percentages) of participants or median (interquartile range).
IQR = interquartile range.
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6. J. Del Romero et al. / Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2015;33(10):666–672 671
two transmissions the index cases had a viral load of 35,410 and
73,122 copies/mL, respectively.
Discussion
Our study revealed that no index case receiving HAART trans-
mitted the HIV infection to his or her heterosexual partner. No cases
of transmission were found either among the 202 couples ana-
lyzed at the first visit in which the index case was taking HAART, or
among the 199 that were followed during 514 couple-years. This
allows us to establish, with less than 5% error, that the probability of
HIV transmission among couples where the index case was under
HAART is lower than 1 in 2000 risk exposures, and the rate of sero-
conversion is less than 1 in 100 couple-years. Conversely, among
couples whose index case was not taking HAART, we detected
49 HIV infections at the first visit and five during follow-up. This
represents 2.5 HIV transmissions per 100 couples having risky sex-
ual exposures whose index case was not receiving treatment. The
Madrid cohort of heterosexual HIV serodiscordant couples is one of
the most representative cohorts of this type in developed countries.
Our previous study12 is the only one to report sexual HIV-1 trans-
mission stratified by antiretroviral treatment use in a high income
country.10 A prominent feature of the present study is the consid-
erably long follow-up, a median of 2.2 years (IQR: 0.8–4.3), higher
than that reported in other relevant studies.13,14 About 42% of our
couples were followed up between two and 21 years, and around
25% of those where the index case was under HAART were followed
for four or more years.
In our study, sexual behaviour data are collected in a detailed
and exhaustive way. This allowed us to estimate a very large num-
ber of risky sexual exposures (22,200) occurring in 70% of couples
during one or more follow-up. This high proportion of couples
having unprotected sex differs from the results reported in other
studies.13–15 Recently, preliminary results of the Partner Study pre-
sented in the CROI 2014 conference showed similar results to ours,
with an estimated total number of condomless vaginal sex acts
of 28,000 in 485 heterosexual couples with VL <200 copies/mL.16
A partial explanation for this difference could be that participants
in cohort studies probably exhibit greater behavioural similarities
to serodiscordant couples in the general population than to those
enrolled in clinical trials. Moreover, longer follow-up periods could
result in increased instances of unsafe sex. In addition, in 2002 a
counselling programme for HIV serodiscordant couples with repro-
ductive desire by natural means was launched in our clinic, and
in our study 18% of couples carried out at least one reproductive
attempt during the follow-up period, resulting in 150 pregnan-
cies, 85 of them in couples whose index case was under HAART.
Studies in heterosexual HIV serodiscordant couples with viral sup-
pression have reported, in all, a follow-up of 330 couple-years when
condoms were not being used.15 Our results, reporting 362 couple-
years not using condoms, attempt to help meet the need for studies
with longer follow-up.
One hundred and forty-one couples reported systematic use of
condoms and one accident (breakage or slippage) as the only risk
exposure. In three of these couples, two at recruitment and one at
follow-up, the index cases were not receiving antiretroviral treat-
ment and condom failure resulted in the transmission of HIV to
their sexual partners. In contrast, zero transmissions were found
in couples having risky sexual exposures when the index case was
taking HAART. Several meta-analyses of observational and cohort
studies have found that 100% condom use reduces HIV transmission
in heterosexual couples by about 80%.17 The HPTN 052 study has
reported a 96% reduction when the HIV-positive partner was taking
HAART.14 The studies conducted to date on heterosexual serodis-
cordant couples indicate that the small number of documented
HIV transmissions occurred from individuals who had recently
started therapy and in whom it is unlikely that undetectable viral
load was achieved.13,14,18 Our previous study,12 together with two
others,8,19 have been identified20 as the only ones in which full viral
suppression was confirmed in the index cases under HAART. Pooled
transmission rate for these studies was zero per 100 person-years
(95% CI: 0–0.05).
Couples in our study maintained a closed and stable relation-
ship for a median of 3.3 years, which justifies the relatively low
proportion of STIs at recruitment (8%). While no changes were
reported in other studies,14 STI incidence decreased considerably
during follow-up (2%), probably as a result of our testing and coun-
selling programme.11 STIs and other genitourinary infections can
increase the probability of HIV transmission.1,21–25 Indeed, among
couples in which STIs or genitourinary infections were diagnosed
in one or both members, 12 HIV transmissions occurred when the
index case was not treated. However, there was no HIV transmis-
sion when the index case was taking HAART. A high prevalence of
HCV+ was identified at enrolment in the index cases, something
related to the presence in our cohort of people with a history of
IDU.
Our study has several limitations. HIV plasma viral load was
only quantified in 9 of 54 couples in which a new HIV infection
was detected, because most of them were diagnosed before 1996
when viral load testing was not yet available. Data were insuffi-
cient to respond clearly to the question about the actual risk of HIV
transmission in the presence of STIs when HIV viral load is fully
suppressed by HAART. In HIV seroconcordant couples, we could
not assess whether viruses in both partners were genetically linked
because in most of the cases phylogenetic analysis was not avail-
able. The index cases without HAART, in general, had no indication
for treatment and had a relatively low VL; therefore, they are not
representative of all HIV infected population without HAART.
In conclusion, our results suggest that HAART is highly effective
to prevent the sexual HIV transmission in heterosexual serodiscor-
dant couples where the infected partners have sustained plasma
viral load suppression even when they practise unprotected sex.
Thus, although consistent condom use has a considerable pro-
tective effect in the population, the preventive impact of HAART
may be higher. In agreement with the latest WHO recommenda-
tions for treatment and prevention in serodiscordant couples,26
among other aspects such as the personalized preventive coun-
selling, antiretroviral therapy should be offered to the HIV positive
partner, regardless of his or her immune status, to reduce the like-
lihood of sexual HIV transmission.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interests.
Funding
This work was funded by the I Fellowship Programme, Gilead
Spain and the Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (grant
CSO2011-26245).
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