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Transformation of the Newspaper Business
                   and
          Its Research Impacts




                   Chris Cowan
            Vice President, Publishing
Transformation of Newspapers


   The Dance of Shiva
   Newspapers’ Dilemma
   The Nature of Change for News
   Impact on Research
Global Perspective

   Print Newspapers thriving in Developing world
      Latin America; India; Asia – strong circulation growth
      But this will change
   In Developed Nations, Newspapers are under siege
   Will examine U.S. Newspapers
History of Weathering Storms


   Radio
   Television
   Direct Mail
   Cable Television



 But the Internet is different.
Newspapers Today
Future Direction is Clear
Newspaper Advertising Revenues: 2000-2010
$B’s

  $60,000

  $50,000

  $40,000

  $30,000
                                             Print Ad $
  $20,000                                    Online Ad $

  $10,000

      $0

                                      Newspaper Assoc. of
                                      America, March, 2011
Reactions to Reality
  2008-2010
   13,500 Newsroom Jobs eliminated
   43% Ad Revenue decline
   17% Circulation Revenue decline
   Nearly 100 newspapers shut down the presses
   Reduced number of days of print product
   Reduce geographic distribution, offer eEdition
   Reduce physical size of papers, switch to tabloids

     Cutting expenses to keep profitable – not a long term
      winning strategy.
     Shifting to digital business. But late to the game. Wrong
      skill sets.
The Conundrum




  information wants to be free




- Stewart Brand, 1984 First International Hackers
   Conference
The Conundrum


On the one hand information wants to be expensive,
  because it's so valuable. The right information in the
  right place just changes your life. On the other hand,
  information wants to be free, because the cost of getting
  it out is getting lower and lower all the time. So you have
  these two fighting against each other.

- Stewart Brand, 1984 First International Hackers
   Conference
Online Competitors Replacing Newspapers

     Bloomberg, AOL Patch, Politico, Huffington Post, Slate
     Search engines news – Google, Yahoo
     Cable News online
     Facebook, Twitter
     Purely online news: GlobalPost; MinnPost; Texas Tribune
     Anyone with a keyboard and internet access
Newspaper Digital Business
     Reliance on advertising – early and ongoing debate
     “Trading Dollars for Dimes”
     Smaller, local newspapers are the most threatened. Don’t
      have the resources to adapt

     Experimentation will continue
     Pay walls emerging and will prevail. 150 today.
     Subscription models (Wall St. Jnl., Financial Times)
     Freemium – some free, then pay
     Print and Online subscriptions combined
     Develop multiple revenue streams (coupons, eEditions,
      eBooks)
     Ultimately, the daily print newspaper is not a sustainable
      business. The end-user market requires the industry to
      change.
Impacts on Journalism
     Cacophony of Digital Noise, Editorial Voice lost in the mix
     Web 2.0 – Social Media – User involvement
     Citizen Journalism
     Video, multimedia
     News shifting to mobile, rapidly.

     Reporters specialize in topics and facilitate communities
      (Journalist need thicker skins – equal footing with end users)
     Hyper-local capture unique local strength
     National, International news deemphasized
     Advertising integrated everywhere

     Journalism becomes a state of mind. Physical newsroom
      disappears.
Impacts on Research
     Digital News will be recognized and utilized as discreet
      units of information. Print version constrained the true
      value content.
     News is instantaneous
     More “news” content will be available. Web > Print
     Quality of news content will vary widely.
     Highly end-user centric. Accessed and used when, where,
      and how the end-user wants.
     Research will rapidly migrate to mobile devices.
     Analytic tools will become required.
        Data & text mining, Visualization, Sentiment Analysis
         Relational and Geographic Analysis, Timelines
        Sharing and Collaboration, Research Workflow

     Historical News will expand
Longer term Impacts

     Newspapers were intended to be consumed and discarded.
      Archives and libraries utilized microfilm to preserve the
      historical record. Migrated to digital historical products for
      greater accessibility and discovery.

     Publishers are NOT saving their editorial web archive
     Loss of historical web archive

     Constantly changing presentation of news creates issues
      for Copyright. LoC has not made determination of what
      constitutes copyright for web news.
Advice to Libraries

     Be relevant by adapting to the changing news landscape.
     Content is still King. Make sure researchers have access to
      the content they need.
     Tools will be essential for news research. Embrace them.
     Prepare for and adopt Mobile as a mantra and behavior.
Hartford Courant, Nov. 10, 1930




                                                                                                  New York Times, April 24, 1920
Washington Post, Nov. 6, 1896




                                                          Chicago Tribune, July 24, 1900


                                Atlanta Constitution, July 6, 1890    Guardian, Nov. 12, 1959


                                                             Los Angeles Times, Nov. 16, 1966

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Transformation of the Newspaper Business, by Chris Cowan

  • 1. Transformation of the Newspaper Business and Its Research Impacts Chris Cowan Vice President, Publishing
  • 2. Transformation of Newspapers  The Dance of Shiva  Newspapers’ Dilemma  The Nature of Change for News  Impact on Research
  • 3. Global Perspective  Print Newspapers thriving in Developing world  Latin America; India; Asia – strong circulation growth  But this will change  In Developed Nations, Newspapers are under siege  Will examine U.S. Newspapers
  • 4. History of Weathering Storms  Radio  Television  Direct Mail  Cable Television  But the Internet is different.
  • 7. Newspaper Advertising Revenues: 2000-2010 $B’s $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 Print Ad $ $20,000 Online Ad $ $10,000 $0 Newspaper Assoc. of America, March, 2011
  • 8. Reactions to Reality 2008-2010  13,500 Newsroom Jobs eliminated  43% Ad Revenue decline  17% Circulation Revenue decline  Nearly 100 newspapers shut down the presses  Reduced number of days of print product  Reduce geographic distribution, offer eEdition  Reduce physical size of papers, switch to tabloids  Cutting expenses to keep profitable – not a long term winning strategy.  Shifting to digital business. But late to the game. Wrong skill sets.
  • 9. The Conundrum information wants to be free - Stewart Brand, 1984 First International Hackers Conference
  • 10. The Conundrum On the one hand information wants to be expensive, because it's so valuable. The right information in the right place just changes your life. On the other hand, information wants to be free, because the cost of getting it out is getting lower and lower all the time. So you have these two fighting against each other. - Stewart Brand, 1984 First International Hackers Conference
  • 11. Online Competitors Replacing Newspapers  Bloomberg, AOL Patch, Politico, Huffington Post, Slate  Search engines news – Google, Yahoo  Cable News online  Facebook, Twitter  Purely online news: GlobalPost; MinnPost; Texas Tribune  Anyone with a keyboard and internet access
  • 12. Newspaper Digital Business  Reliance on advertising – early and ongoing debate  “Trading Dollars for Dimes”  Smaller, local newspapers are the most threatened. Don’t have the resources to adapt  Experimentation will continue  Pay walls emerging and will prevail. 150 today.  Subscription models (Wall St. Jnl., Financial Times)  Freemium – some free, then pay  Print and Online subscriptions combined  Develop multiple revenue streams (coupons, eEditions, eBooks)  Ultimately, the daily print newspaper is not a sustainable business. The end-user market requires the industry to change.
  • 13. Impacts on Journalism  Cacophony of Digital Noise, Editorial Voice lost in the mix  Web 2.0 – Social Media – User involvement  Citizen Journalism  Video, multimedia  News shifting to mobile, rapidly.  Reporters specialize in topics and facilitate communities (Journalist need thicker skins – equal footing with end users)  Hyper-local capture unique local strength  National, International news deemphasized  Advertising integrated everywhere  Journalism becomes a state of mind. Physical newsroom disappears.
  • 14. Impacts on Research  Digital News will be recognized and utilized as discreet units of information. Print version constrained the true value content.  News is instantaneous  More “news” content will be available. Web > Print  Quality of news content will vary widely.  Highly end-user centric. Accessed and used when, where, and how the end-user wants.  Research will rapidly migrate to mobile devices.  Analytic tools will become required.  Data & text mining, Visualization, Sentiment Analysis Relational and Geographic Analysis, Timelines  Sharing and Collaboration, Research Workflow  Historical News will expand
  • 15. Longer term Impacts  Newspapers were intended to be consumed and discarded. Archives and libraries utilized microfilm to preserve the historical record. Migrated to digital historical products for greater accessibility and discovery.  Publishers are NOT saving their editorial web archive  Loss of historical web archive  Constantly changing presentation of news creates issues for Copyright. LoC has not made determination of what constitutes copyright for web news.
  • 16. Advice to Libraries  Be relevant by adapting to the changing news landscape.  Content is still King. Make sure researchers have access to the content they need.  Tools will be essential for news research. Embrace them.  Prepare for and adopt Mobile as a mantra and behavior.
  • 17. Hartford Courant, Nov. 10, 1930 New York Times, April 24, 1920 Washington Post, Nov. 6, 1896 Chicago Tribune, July 24, 1900 Atlanta Constitution, July 6, 1890 Guardian, Nov. 12, 1959 Los Angeles Times, Nov. 16, 1966