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Top 10 Celestial
  Events 2013


 Naked Eye from Mississauga
     (... And aided eye!)
TOP 10 LIST
A Personal LIST

based on:
•historic cloud cover,
•visual interest, and
•Rarity
#10 - Geminids
•   December 7-15
•   Night of 13th morning 14th
•   Jupiter / waxing gibbous Moon
•   can expect 20/h in the city (40/H Caledon)
#9 - PLANET DANCE
• MAY 22-30
• Mercury, Venus, Jupiter
• 7-9 pm on the western HORIZON AFTER
  SUNSET
#9 - PLANET DANCE
#8 - MOON-JUPITER
• Jan 21
• All night
• KEY:
  7 pm to
  midnight
#7 - COMET PANSTARRS
• March 5 (close to Earth)
• C/2011 L4 (PANSTARRS)
• Oct 2012 predicts
  may brighten to
  apparent
  magnitude -4
  (VENUS BRIGHT)
#7 - March 5 westward
#6 - CRESCENT MOON
• August 7
• 7° from the sun
• 7 days from
  the 7th month
• Maybe 7 minutes
  after sunset?
• Competition to
  see this event
#5 - PERSEIDS
•   August 5-17
•   Night of 11th, 12th morning 13th
•   NO MOON
•   can expect 30/h in the city (60/H Caledon)
•   comet Swift-Tuttle
•   5am Zenith NEAR radiant point
#5 - PERSEIDS
#4 - Mercury
• Feb 2 to 23
• Evening Views (6 pm)
• Telescopes should
  Reveal Phases
• 4.5” - 13.0”
  in size
Events #10-#4
Short events of a night or two
with
Moon & planets
Meteor Showers
Comet
... Drum roll please
#3 - AURORA BOREALIS
• SUN ENTERS SUNSPOT MAXIMUM for
  this 11 year cycle
• Although a LOWER maximum is expected
  than in other years a significant amount of
  flares should be expected
• The LATE summer atmosphere will be
  higher and offer a Better chance at seeing
#3 - AURORA BOREALIS
• 3 minutes in 3.5 seconds (FERGUS
  ONTARIO)
• Watch the university of Alaska forecast
• Plus space
  weather for
  solar
  activity
#2 - Saturn
• At Opposition Apr 28
• Apr May Jun offers great summer viewing
• 19” VISUAL
  diameter of
  the planet
• 40” Diameter
  INCLUDING
  the rings
#1




... Drum still rolling
#1 - COMET ISON
• Sungrazing
• C/2012 S1 ISON
• discovered
  21 Sep 2012
• Vitali Nevski
  Artyom Novichonok
• Could be a chunk of the Great Comet of
  1680
ISON Dates
•   August in Binoculars
•   1st OCT pass 0.072 AU BY MARS
•   Oct Nov Dec Jan naked Eye
•   28th Nov - nearest the sun
•   26th Dec - nearest The EARTH
•   Jan 14th-15th could have a new meteor
    shower on earth from the trail of this comet
ISON COMPARED TO OTHERS
  ’76 - WEST      ’96 - Hyakutake




’97 - HALE-BOPP     ’13 - ISON
1680-ISON Comparison
GREAT COMET 1680




                   ’13 - ISON
Comet Checklist
•Big enough to be seen at least 18
months from perihelion?                    √
•Is it a sungrazer?
                                           √
•Will it be within 0.5 AU of the EARTH?

•DOES IT follow a predicted light curve?   √
                                           TBD
Comparison
Comet              Magnitude   Coma         Tail         Closest Approach
Hyakutake (‘96)    0th         2 degrees    35 degrees   0.1 AU
Hale-Bopp (‘97)    2nd         2 degrees    45 degrees   1.3 AU

Swift-Tuttle (‘92) 5th         15 minutes   7 degrees    0.1 AU
Halley (‘86)       2nd         2 degrees    40 degrees   0.4 AU
Kohoutek (‘73)     1st         1 degree     25 degrees   0.4 AU




                           Prediction
Comet              Magnitude   Coma         Tail         Closest Approach
ISON (‘13)         -5th        3 degrees    80 degrees   0.4 AU
TOP 3
#3 - Aurora Borealis
•Several months of fun in the late summer and
early fall

#2 - Saturn
•Three months of bright displays with inclined rings
for best effect

#1 - COMET ISON
•Three to four months of naked eye observation in
fall and early winter
Calendar
January             August
•Jupiter/MOOn       •Crescent Moon
February            •Perseids
•Mercury            AUG + Sept & OCT
MARCH               •Aurora Borealis
•Comet Panstarrs    OCT + Nov + DEC
APR + MAY + JUN     •COMET ISON
•SATURN             December
MAY                 •GEMINIDS
•Planet Dance       •VENUS
“Comets are like cats: they have
tails, and they do precisely what they
                 want.”

         David H. Levy,
 Comets: Creators and Destroyers
Useful Links
• NASA meteor shower flux estimator
  http://leonid.arc.nasa.gov/estimator.html
• Northern Lights Aurora forecast
  http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/NorthA
  merica/
• Space Weather Information Monitor (SWIM)
  http://www.spacew.com/swim/

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Top celestial events of 2013

  • 1. Top 10 Celestial Events 2013 Naked Eye from Mississauga (... And aided eye!)
  • 2. TOP 10 LIST A Personal LIST based on: •historic cloud cover, •visual interest, and •Rarity
  • 3. #10 - Geminids • December 7-15 • Night of 13th morning 14th • Jupiter / waxing gibbous Moon • can expect 20/h in the city (40/H Caledon)
  • 4. #9 - PLANET DANCE • MAY 22-30 • Mercury, Venus, Jupiter • 7-9 pm on the western HORIZON AFTER SUNSET
  • 5. #9 - PLANET DANCE
  • 6. #8 - MOON-JUPITER • Jan 21 • All night • KEY: 7 pm to midnight
  • 7. #7 - COMET PANSTARRS • March 5 (close to Earth) • C/2011 L4 (PANSTARRS) • Oct 2012 predicts may brighten to apparent magnitude -4 (VENUS BRIGHT)
  • 8. #7 - March 5 westward
  • 9. #6 - CRESCENT MOON • August 7 • 7° from the sun • 7 days from the 7th month • Maybe 7 minutes after sunset? • Competition to see this event
  • 10. #5 - PERSEIDS • August 5-17 • Night of 11th, 12th morning 13th • NO MOON • can expect 30/h in the city (60/H Caledon) • comet Swift-Tuttle • 5am Zenith NEAR radiant point
  • 12. #4 - Mercury • Feb 2 to 23 • Evening Views (6 pm) • Telescopes should Reveal Phases • 4.5” - 13.0” in size
  • 13. Events #10-#4 Short events of a night or two with Moon & planets Meteor Showers Comet ... Drum roll please
  • 14. #3 - AURORA BOREALIS • SUN ENTERS SUNSPOT MAXIMUM for this 11 year cycle • Although a LOWER maximum is expected than in other years a significant amount of flares should be expected • The LATE summer atmosphere will be higher and offer a Better chance at seeing
  • 15. #3 - AURORA BOREALIS • 3 minutes in 3.5 seconds (FERGUS ONTARIO) • Watch the university of Alaska forecast • Plus space weather for solar activity
  • 16. #2 - Saturn • At Opposition Apr 28 • Apr May Jun offers great summer viewing • 19” VISUAL diameter of the planet • 40” Diameter INCLUDING the rings
  • 17. #1 ... Drum still rolling
  • 18. #1 - COMET ISON • Sungrazing • C/2012 S1 ISON • discovered 21 Sep 2012 • Vitali Nevski Artyom Novichonok • Could be a chunk of the Great Comet of 1680
  • 19. ISON Dates • August in Binoculars • 1st OCT pass 0.072 AU BY MARS • Oct Nov Dec Jan naked Eye • 28th Nov - nearest the sun • 26th Dec - nearest The EARTH • Jan 14th-15th could have a new meteor shower on earth from the trail of this comet
  • 20. ISON COMPARED TO OTHERS ’76 - WEST ’96 - Hyakutake ’97 - HALE-BOPP ’13 - ISON
  • 21. 1680-ISON Comparison GREAT COMET 1680 ’13 - ISON
  • 22. Comet Checklist •Big enough to be seen at least 18 months from perihelion? √ •Is it a sungrazer? √ •Will it be within 0.5 AU of the EARTH? •DOES IT follow a predicted light curve? √ TBD
  • 23. Comparison Comet Magnitude Coma Tail Closest Approach Hyakutake (‘96) 0th 2 degrees 35 degrees 0.1 AU Hale-Bopp (‘97) 2nd 2 degrees 45 degrees 1.3 AU Swift-Tuttle (‘92) 5th 15 minutes 7 degrees 0.1 AU Halley (‘86) 2nd 2 degrees 40 degrees 0.4 AU Kohoutek (‘73) 1st 1 degree 25 degrees 0.4 AU Prediction Comet Magnitude Coma Tail Closest Approach ISON (‘13) -5th 3 degrees 80 degrees 0.4 AU
  • 24. TOP 3 #3 - Aurora Borealis •Several months of fun in the late summer and early fall #2 - Saturn •Three months of bright displays with inclined rings for best effect #1 - COMET ISON •Three to four months of naked eye observation in fall and early winter
  • 25. Calendar January August •Jupiter/MOOn •Crescent Moon February •Perseids •Mercury AUG + Sept & OCT MARCH •Aurora Borealis •Comet Panstarrs OCT + Nov + DEC APR + MAY + JUN •COMET ISON •SATURN December MAY •GEMINIDS •Planet Dance •VENUS
  • 26. “Comets are like cats: they have tails, and they do precisely what they want.” David H. Levy, Comets: Creators and Destroyers
  • 27. Useful Links • NASA meteor shower flux estimator http://leonid.arc.nasa.gov/estimator.html • Northern Lights Aurora forecast http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/NorthA merica/ • Space Weather Information Monitor (SWIM) http://www.spacew.com/swim/

Editor's Notes

  1. I have seen the Geminids regularly and find them very impressive. I saw one when I was younger and I was hooked. So hooked I need to see more! I have luck with these. I can usually find a good clear night in December (nearly the longest nights of the year).
  2. Ever been to a star party with nothing to see? Here you have 3 objects of different sizes (and phases) moving around over a week – easy to plan an event knowing that there are more days following where weather might not be an issue. Early evening too, so no late nights.
  3. Interesting to see objects change their place in space over time, plus an opportunity to hone your photography skills – how do you get a bright moon and a dimmer planet in the same picture
  4. Although this is all very interesting and I’m hopeful that it will be an awesome comet. It’s two months away and it still isn’t visible to the naked eye or binoculars – and might be visible for one or two days at most when it nears the Sun.
  5. Although this is a very optimistic representation, there may be only a few days where we see it on the western horizon of the size of comet West.
  6. Hone your photography skills – figure out what you want to get in the shot? 8 pm on Wednesday August 7
  7. Sit outside, have a party
  8. Hone your skills for the Mercury transit in 2016
  9. Honing your site location choices, your photography skills
  10. I don’t want to be fooled by a comet, but I’d like to prepare for a spectacular event. What parameters mark a good commet?