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This document discusses quantitative legal prediction and metrics that matter for law departments. It covers prediction being harder than backward-looking measures but implicit prediction occurring all the time. Two key ideas about prediction are the inverse problem of inducing a plausible model from existing data and validating it, and system dynamics viewing legal systems as complex/predictable versus chaotic. Concrete applications proposed are predicting case outcomes, better pricing with forensics, second generation predictive coding, mapping deal drafting to outcomes, and truly measuring attorney quality and performance.

















































