The election of Donald Trump surprised markets as his policies are uncertain. If his policies result in protectionism, high debt, and slow growth, it could negatively impact investors. However, if his policies boost growth, demand, and trade, it could positively impact investors. The document reviews past decades to understand which Trump's term may resemble in order to guide investment decisions. It remains unclear how his specific policies may impact the economy and markets in the coming years.
Lack of Inventory Plagues Market - Real Estate Report August/SeptemberAMSI, San Francisco
The Real Estate Report August/September, local market trends San Francisco: "Lack of Inventory Plagues Market" by AMSI's Real Estate Broker Robb Fleischer
Over the past thirty years the neutral real interest rate across developed economies has declined substantially. Evidence suggests that secular rather than transitory factors are driving its decline. A lower neutral interest rate implies that the cumulative amount of tightening required for monetary policy to become neutral is much smaller than previously thought.
Lack of Inventory Plagues Market - Real Estate Report August/SeptemberAMSI, San Francisco
The Real Estate Report August/September, local market trends San Francisco: "Lack of Inventory Plagues Market" by AMSI's Real Estate Broker Robb Fleischer
Over the past thirty years the neutral real interest rate across developed economies has declined substantially. Evidence suggests that secular rather than transitory factors are driving its decline. A lower neutral interest rate implies that the cumulative amount of tightening required for monetary policy to become neutral is much smaller than previously thought.
on night finally came after a tumultuous year of Hillary
Clinton and Donald Trump battling, and Americans have
voted for Donald Trump to be the 45th president of the United
States. With a business mogul in the White House comes
questions about how markets will react and what changes
individuals can expect in their day-to-day financial lives, if his
policies are enacted.
Personal Capital developed this report to assess the shortand
long-term market and personal finance implications of a
Trump presidency. This report includes an analysis of Trump’s
policies on taxes, Social Security, education and health care to
help investors understand how their money may be affected,
with actionable advice on how to plan accordingly.
The bottom line: Investors should not let short-term
political gyrations drive their long-ter
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes monthly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentum, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Case-Shiller Report Slowing Price Increases - Real Estate Report October/Nove...AMSI, San Francisco
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes montly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentums, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Prices Reach All-Time Highs, Again - Real Estate Report July/AugustAMSI, San Francisco
The Real Estate Report July/August, local market trends San Francisco: "Prices Reach All-Time Highs, Again" by AMSI's Real Estate Broker Robb Fleischer
Quantitative Easing and Mortgage Rates - Real Estate Report November/DecemberAMSI, San Francisco
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes monthly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentum, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Annie Williams Market Trends Nov-Dec 2014Jon Weaver
The Federal Reserve has ended quantitative easing, again. What does that mean for mortgage rates? For the moment, nothing. The Fed isn’t expected to raise short term interest rates until the middle of next year.
Also, the Fed has a very limited ability to affect long-term interest rates.
Degroof Petercam Asset Management's chief economist and asset allocator look into whether the reflation trade is for real and inflation is back in the cards.
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016Annie Williams
It looks like the market is moderating after the frenzy of last year. The sales price to list price ratio for homes, which is a good indicator of demand, while still over 100%, has gone from being over 110% for most of last year to under 110% for most of this year.
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - September 2020Jon Weaver
Home Sales Continue to Surge, Prices Rise
Sales of single-family, re-sale homes jumped in August, rising 27.4% year-over-year. They were up 1.9% from July. There were 214 homes sold in San Francisco last month. The average since 2000 is 214. Year-to-date, home sales are down 18.8%. Condo sales are down 26%.
The Global Risk Nexus: Economics, Politics, Policy & Markets - MSCI Instituti...Jay Pelosky
I use the Global Risk Nexus framework to develop original insights into the investment landscape. Given where we are calendar wise the Politics and Policy sections are definitely worth a look.
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes monthly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentum, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Olivier Desbarres - Hawkish Pendulum May Have Swung Too FarOlivier Desbarres
I have long argued that the risk of a collapse in global economic growth and inflation was over-stated and more recently that major central banks had likely reached an important inflexion point.
A global recession and global deflation have seemingly been averted and central bank policy rate cuts and extensions of quantitative easing programs have become rarer occurrences.
Donald Trump’s election has turbo-charged expectations that reflationary US-centric policies will drive global, and in particular US growth and inflation in 2017, that the Fed’s hiking cycle will step up a gear and that US yields and equities and the dollar will climb further, heaping pressure on emerging economies and asset prices.
But analysts and markets may now be getting ahead of themselves.
My core reasoning is that US inflation may not rise as fast expected, due to lags in the implementation of Trump’s planned fiscal policy loosening and immigration curbs, residual slack in the US labour market and disinflationary impact of higher US yields and a stronger dollar.
As a result, the FOMC, which will see important personnel changes in early 2017, may argue that the market has already done some its work and not be as hawkish as expected.
In this scenario, US short-end rates could lose ground while long-end rates continue to push higher, resulting in a steepening of a still not very steep US rates curve.
One corollary is that factors which have wakened the euro may lose traction as 2017 progresses.
on night finally came after a tumultuous year of Hillary
Clinton and Donald Trump battling, and Americans have
voted for Donald Trump to be the 45th president of the United
States. With a business mogul in the White House comes
questions about how markets will react and what changes
individuals can expect in their day-to-day financial lives, if his
policies are enacted.
Personal Capital developed this report to assess the shortand
long-term market and personal finance implications of a
Trump presidency. This report includes an analysis of Trump’s
policies on taxes, Social Security, education and health care to
help investors understand how their money may be affected,
with actionable advice on how to plan accordingly.
The bottom line: Investors should not let short-term
political gyrations drive their long-ter
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes monthly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentum, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Case-Shiller Report Slowing Price Increases - Real Estate Report October/Nove...AMSI, San Francisco
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes montly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentums, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Prices Reach All-Time Highs, Again - Real Estate Report July/AugustAMSI, San Francisco
The Real Estate Report July/August, local market trends San Francisco: "Prices Reach All-Time Highs, Again" by AMSI's Real Estate Broker Robb Fleischer
Quantitative Easing and Mortgage Rates - Real Estate Report November/DecemberAMSI, San Francisco
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes monthly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentum, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Annie Williams Market Trends Nov-Dec 2014Jon Weaver
The Federal Reserve has ended quantitative easing, again. What does that mean for mortgage rates? For the moment, nothing. The Fed isn’t expected to raise short term interest rates until the middle of next year.
Also, the Fed has a very limited ability to affect long-term interest rates.
Degroof Petercam Asset Management's chief economist and asset allocator look into whether the reflation trade is for real and inflation is back in the cards.
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016Annie Williams
It looks like the market is moderating after the frenzy of last year. The sales price to list price ratio for homes, which is a good indicator of demand, while still over 100%, has gone from being over 110% for most of last year to under 110% for most of this year.
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - September 2020Jon Weaver
Home Sales Continue to Surge, Prices Rise
Sales of single-family, re-sale homes jumped in August, rising 27.4% year-over-year. They were up 1.9% from July. There were 214 homes sold in San Francisco last month. The average since 2000 is 214. Year-to-date, home sales are down 18.8%. Condo sales are down 26%.
The Global Risk Nexus: Economics, Politics, Policy & Markets - MSCI Instituti...Jay Pelosky
I use the Global Risk Nexus framework to develop original insights into the investment landscape. Given where we are calendar wise the Politics and Policy sections are definitely worth a look.
The Robb Fleischer’s Real Estate Report – Local Market Trends San Francisco includes monthly updates regarding mortgage rates, market statistics, sales momentum, pricing momentum, trends at a glance, foreclosure statistics and more.
Olivier Desbarres - Hawkish Pendulum May Have Swung Too FarOlivier Desbarres
I have long argued that the risk of a collapse in global economic growth and inflation was over-stated and more recently that major central banks had likely reached an important inflexion point.
A global recession and global deflation have seemingly been averted and central bank policy rate cuts and extensions of quantitative easing programs have become rarer occurrences.
Donald Trump’s election has turbo-charged expectations that reflationary US-centric policies will drive global, and in particular US growth and inflation in 2017, that the Fed’s hiking cycle will step up a gear and that US yields and equities and the dollar will climb further, heaping pressure on emerging economies and asset prices.
But analysts and markets may now be getting ahead of themselves.
My core reasoning is that US inflation may not rise as fast expected, due to lags in the implementation of Trump’s planned fiscal policy loosening and immigration curbs, residual slack in the US labour market and disinflationary impact of higher US yields and a stronger dollar.
As a result, the FOMC, which will see important personnel changes in early 2017, may argue that the market has already done some its work and not be as hawkish as expected.
In this scenario, US short-end rates could lose ground while long-end rates continue to push higher, resulting in a steepening of a still not very steep US rates curve.
One corollary is that factors which have wakened the euro may lose traction as 2017 progresses.
SandPointe
Investment Perspective
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Roger E. Brinner, PhD
Chief Market Strategist and Co-founding Partner
September 2014
If U.S. politics do not derail the recovery, pent-up demand can drive faster economic growth. Fixed-income outflows appear likely to continue, pushing rates higher.
The Macroeconomic Consequences of Mr. Trump’s Economic PoliciesSusana Gallardo
This paper assesses the macroeconomic consequences of presidential candidate Donald
Trump’s proposed economic policies. These include his policies on taxes and government
spending, immigration, and international trade. A similar analysis of candidate Hillary
Clinton’s proposed economic policies will be forthcoming
Higher growth, higher risk, slightly higher returns
We expect a lack of investment opportunities to remain an enduring challenge for
investors in 2017. We think this despite the fact that economic growth will likely pick
up in 2017 vs the somewhat disappointing performance in 2016. Indeed, over the
past several months, the growth rate of global GDP already appears to be realizing at
the top of the 3%-3½% range that has prevailed throughout the past five years. The
main reason is the swing in the financial conditions impulse from sharply negative to
modestly positive, both in the US and in parts of the emerging world. And the fiscal
stimulus that will likely be enacted by the new Trump administration, and in other
advanced economies, will only reinforce the inflation pressures already in place. With
output and employment already close to potential, the rising inflation pressure
strengthens our conviction that the Federal Reserve will likely raise the funds rate in
December and again three more times during 2017 (“A catalyst for tighter Fed
policy“, Global Economics Analyst, 16 Nov 2016).
Stronger cyclical growth in the US will probably not do much for asset markets
except help shift the narrative from ‘low-flation’ and monetary accommodation to
reflation and rising rates. But this will not change the fact that the trend growth rate
of GDP appears to have fallen for both advanced and emerging economies during
the post-crisis period. Meanwhile, valuation levels for equities and especially bonds
remain highly elevated by historical standards, so expected returns appear to be low
across most asset classes. In fixed income, yield is scarce, and in equities, growth is
scarce. So investors have been pushed into less familiar strategies, such as equity
investors reaching for yield in high-dividend, low-vol stocks, or bond investors lining
up to own the growth risk inherent in the long-duration bonds of tech companies.
Monthly Market Perspective - January 2017Mark Biegel
Below please find a link to our monthly market perspective piece for January. This month, with the transition in Washington upon us, we reflect on what impact prior presidential cycles had on markets, and assess how this one may turn out.
Below please find a link to our monthly market perspective piece for December. This month we examine the impacts of the rapidly changing low interest rate environment.
Similar to The Trump Era, Implications for Investors (20)
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APPDOT TECH
You can't sell your pi coins in the pi network app. because it is not listed yet on any exchange.
The only way you can sell is by trading your pi coins with an investor (a person looking forward to hold massive amounts of pi coins before mainnet launch) .
You don't need to meet the investor directly all the trades are done with a pi vendor/merchant (a person that buys the pi coins from miners and resell it to investors)
I Will leave The telegram contact of my personal pi vendor, if you are finding a legitimate one.
@Pi_vendor_247
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how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusDanay Escanaverino
Unlock the potential of Latino Buying Power with this in-depth SlideShare presentation. Explore how the Latino consumer market is transforming the American economy, driven by their significant buying power, entrepreneurial contributions, and growing influence across various sectors.
**Key Sections Covered:**
1. **Economic Impact:** Understand the profound economic impact of Latino consumers on the U.S. economy. Discover how their increasing purchasing power is fueling growth in key industries and contributing to national economic prosperity.
2. **Buying Power:** Dive into detailed analyses of Latino buying power, including its growth trends, key drivers, and projections for the future. Learn how this influential group’s spending habits are shaping market dynamics and creating opportunities for businesses.
3. **Entrepreneurial Contributions:** Explore the entrepreneurial spirit within the Latino community. Examine how Latino-owned businesses are thriving and contributing to job creation, innovation, and economic diversification.
4. **Workforce Statistics:** Gain insights into the role of Latino workers in the American labor market. Review statistics on employment rates, occupational distribution, and the economic contributions of Latino professionals across various industries.
5. **Media Consumption:** Understand the media consumption habits of Latino audiences. Discover their preferences for digital platforms, television, radio, and social media. Learn how these consumption patterns are influencing advertising strategies and media content.
6. **Education:** Examine the educational achievements and challenges within the Latino community. Review statistics on enrollment, graduation rates, and fields of study. Understand the implications of education on economic mobility and workforce readiness.
7. **Home Ownership:** Explore trends in Latino home ownership. Understand the factors driving home buying decisions, the challenges faced by Latino homeowners, and the impact of home ownership on community stability and economic growth.
This SlideShare provides valuable insights for marketers, business owners, policymakers, and anyone interested in the economic influence of the Latino community. By understanding the various facets of Latino buying power, you can effectively engage with this dynamic and growing market segment.
Equip yourself with the knowledge to leverage Latino buying power, tap into their entrepreneurial spirit, and connect with their unique cultural and consumer preferences. Drive your business success by embracing the economic potential of Latino consumers.
**Keywords:** Latino buying power, economic impact, entrepreneurial contributions, workforce statistics, media consumption, education, home ownership, Latino market, Hispanic buying power, Latino purchasing power.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
Resume
• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
The Trump Era, Implications for Investors
1. 1
The Trump Era Arrives-What Are the Implications for Investors?
The surprise election (to many) of Donald Trump as US president has shaken markets because investors are
uncertain of his administration’s policies and how they might affect them. Markets had mostly priced in the
election of his Democratic opponent with economic policies that were broadly a continuation of previous
policies.
If the Trump administration’s policies result in protectionism, continued slow growth, higher US government
debt, higher inflation and rising bond yields then the impact of his administration’s economic policies will
probably be a negative for investors. However, if the new administration’s policies help create stronger US
growth, rising aggregate demand, moderate inflation and better terms of global trade for the US then it is likely
to be positive for investors. While it is too soon to arrive at conclusions useful in making major investment
decisions, we looked at historic asset class performance by decade and combined those returns into a balanced
portfolio composed of 50% stocks, 40% government bonds and 10% US Treasury bills. First, we review the major
macro-economic themes of the past 9 decades:
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
Great
Depression.
Protectionist
Period
WWII-Wage
& Price
Controls
Post War
Recovery.
Marshall
Plan
Stimulus
Post War
Boom.
Rising
productivity
Post Gold
Standard
Inflation.
Wage &
Price
Controls
Volker
Inflation
Fight. Japan
is the
“China” of
the Decade.
Reagan Era
The Great
Moderation.
Globalization
Period.
China Opens
Its Economy
Tech and
Housing
Bubbles
Collapse.
Global
Financial
Crisis
Post
Global
Financial
Crisis
Recovery
Next, we show how major asset classes performed in those environments. As a mental exercise we ask ourselves
which of these periods might the next four-to-eight years look most like?
Nominal Returns by Asset Class Each Decade
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s Average
US Stocks -2% 8% 19% 8% 6% 16% 18% 0% 13% 9%
US Government Bonds 4% 2% 1% 2% 5% 11% 6% 5% 3% 4%
Commodities -2% 8% 2% 4% 21% 10% 4% 6% -10% 5%
US Treasury Bills 1% 0% 2% 4% 6% 9% 5% 3% 0% 3%
US CPI -2% 5% 2% 3% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3%
50/40/10 Allocation 1% 5% 10% 5% 6% 13% 12% 2% 7% 7%
Data sources: Bridgewater Associates and Morningstar/Ibbotson SBBI data. 2010s period is 2010 to the end of 2015.
Since policy decisions can impact investing environments for many years after their adoption, gaining an
understanding of what the new administration’s policies might be and assessing their potential impact are useful
steps before making major investment changes. At this point we believe there may be significant policy changes
from those of the past 25 years given what the president-elect had promised during his campaign. The specifics
of those policies are mostly unknown right now so we are limited in working this exercise.
We use the matrix on page two in making tactical allocation decisions in our global asset allocation strategies
based on starting valuations and our expectations for economic growth and inflation over a one-to-three year