Pathways to Success: Post-Secondary
Education as an Economic Necessity
The “New New West”




Prepared by Scott McAlpine, President
November 8, 2012
Key Messages


      1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled
         population to remain internationally competitive
      2. New Westminster is an education destination
      3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver
      4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better
         serve the needs of BC




14/11/2012                                                       2
A Call to Action for Post-Secondary Education


             Demographic                  Economic Challenge
              Challenge                     (International
                                              Knowledge
         (Aging Population                Economy and Low
         and Low Growth)                     Productivity)


                             Education
                             and Skills
                             Challenge

14/11/2012                                                     3
People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People,
      Ontario Projections




             Source: R. Miner, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People

14/11/2012                                                                4
BC’s Aging Population




11/14/2012                     5
Dependency Ratios, BC - Projected to 2036
(Ratio of out of Labour Force to in Labour Force)
0.8



0.7



0.6



0.5


                                                                  Youth Dependency
0.4
                                                                  Elderly Dependency
                                                                  Total Dependency
0.3



0.2



0.1



 0
  1970      1980     1990      2000   2010   2020   2030   2040



         Source: Data from BC Stats
BC’s Population Change

                Components of BC Population Change to 2036 - Thousands
   60


   50


   40


   30
                                                                         Natural Increase
   20                                                                    Net Interprovincail
                                                                         Net International
   10


    0
         1972
         1974
         1976
         1978
         1980
         1982
         1984
         1986
         1988
         1990
         1992
         1994
         1996
         1998
         2000
         2002
         2004
         2006
         2008
         2010
         2012
         2014
         2016
         2018
         2020
         2022
         2024
         2026
         2028
         2030
         2032
         2034
         Year




   -10


   -20




         Source: Data from BC Stats
BC Labour Force Demand by Skill Level –
      Total Job Openings 2010-2020




             Source: Government of BC, Skills for Growth

14/11/2012                                                 8
BC 10 Year Labour Force Demand Versus
      Current Supply by Educational Attainment
      (Percent of Population Age 15+)




             Source: HRDC and Government of BC, Skills for Growth

14/11/2012                                                          9
Credentials Granted by Fiscal Year:
      Mainland Southwest Excluding JIBC




             Source: Data from BC Advanced Education

14/11/2012                                             10
Jobs of Tomorrow are Not the Jobs of Today

      Tomorrow’s Jobs:
       25% of Job Classifications are NEW every 25 years
       Existing Jobs Re-Invented Every 15 Years

      The Educational Challenge:
       Need to Educate and Train for Skills, Adaptation, and
        Innovation
       Requires Critical Thinking, Teamwork, Literacy and
        Numeracy Skills



14/11/2012                                                      11
Doing and Discovery: About Douglas

      Douglas is the college of
      doing and discovery.
      We encourage academic
      exploration to help students
      discover what they love to do.
      We emphasize hands-on
      learning and applying
      knowledge to real-world
      situations.




14/11/2012                                 12
About Douglas

             We believe our foundations of doing and discovery
             come together in dialogue.

             We embrace the use of open dialogue to help our
             students develop the skills needed by today’s global
             citizens and leaders. Both inside and outside the
             classroom, our students are immersed in a culture of
             ideas, innovation and critical thought.




14/11/2012                                                          13
More opportunities for students



      •      Nine degree programs (and growing)
      •      Six post-degree programs (and growing)
      •      Over 30 career programs (and growing)
      •      Easy transfer to and from other universities and colleges




14/11/2012                                                               14
Douglas College Domestic FTE Growth:
      Actual to 2011, Projected to 2015


       9,500



       9,000



       8,500



       8,000



       7,500



       7,000



       6,500



       6,000
               2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015



14/11/2012                                                                                                              15
Our vision for 2015
    Douglas College is the largest and most progressive baccalaureate
    degree-granting College in British Columbia
    Goals:
    • Seamless Learner Pathways
    • Superior Teaching Quality
    • Internationalization
    • Experiential Learning
    • Student and Employee Engagement
    • Social Responsibility, Environmental Stewardship, Financial
      Accountability




14/11/2012                                                              16
Some Quick Douglas College Facts

       Douglas is larger than any other Non-Trades College in BC
        and is larger than any Teaching University except
        Kwantlen
       Douglas employs 1739 people (FT and PT) and is the
        second largest employer in New Westminster
       Douglas College’s annual regional economic contribution
        is over $225 million
       Douglas attracts approximately 1100 International
        Students
       New Westminster is an Education Destination


14/11/2012                                                          17
Key Messages

      1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled
         population to remain internationally competitive
      2. New Westminster is an education destination
      3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver
      4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better
         serve the needs of BC




14/11/2012                                                       18
Strategic planning – Vision 2015
www.douglascollege.ca/about/presidents-office/strategic-planning
Academic Preparedness of Grade 12 Graduates of
      2009/10 (STP Data)


                                            Douglas Region                        BC


      No Academic GPA*                                                      47%                               52%


      Admissible to RU (GPA >                                               39%                               34%
      75%)



      6 Year High School                              New Westminster 74                                      80%
      Graduation Rate                                           Burnaby 81
                                            Maple Ridge – Pitt Meadows 78
                                                              Coquitlam 89


      * English 12 plus the student's other three best academic (provincially examinable) Grade 12 courses.
      If students did not take at least three academic Grade 12 courses, no Academic GPA is calculated.
14/11/2012                                                                                                          20
Douglas College Share of Graduating Students by
      Regional School District
    District       Year      Douglas Share   N of Students   Douglas Share
                             Immediate       (Immediate)     All Grads
                             Transition
    Burnaby        2001/02   14              146             8
                   2009/10   13              151             8
    Coquitlam      2001/02   33              426             17
                   2009/10   30              393             15
    New            2001/02   34              61              15
    Westminster
                   2009/10   36              90              19
    Maple Ridge-   2001/02   25              81              9
    Pitt Meadows
                   2009/10   20              71              6
    Surrey         2001/02   6               102             3
                   2009/10   6               142             3
14/11/2012                                                                   21
Strategic planning – Vision 2015
www.douglascollege.ca/about/presidents-office/strategic-planning

The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

  • 1.
    Pathways to Success:Post-Secondary Education as an Economic Necessity The “New New West” Prepared by Scott McAlpine, President November 8, 2012
  • 2.
    Key Messages 1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled population to remain internationally competitive 2. New Westminster is an education destination 3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver 4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better serve the needs of BC 14/11/2012 2
  • 3.
    A Call toAction for Post-Secondary Education Demographic Economic Challenge Challenge (International Knowledge (Aging Population Economy and Low and Low Growth) Productivity) Education and Skills Challenge 14/11/2012 3
  • 4.
    People Without Jobs,Jobs Without People, Ontario Projections Source: R. Miner, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People 14/11/2012 4
  • 5.
  • 6.
    Dependency Ratios, BC- Projected to 2036 (Ratio of out of Labour Force to in Labour Force) 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 Youth Dependency 0.4 Elderly Dependency Total Dependency 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Source: Data from BC Stats
  • 7.
    BC’s Population Change Components of BC Population Change to 2036 - Thousands 60 50 40 30 Natural Increase 20 Net Interprovincail Net International 10 0 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 Year -10 -20 Source: Data from BC Stats
  • 8.
    BC Labour ForceDemand by Skill Level – Total Job Openings 2010-2020 Source: Government of BC, Skills for Growth 14/11/2012 8
  • 9.
    BC 10 YearLabour Force Demand Versus Current Supply by Educational Attainment (Percent of Population Age 15+) Source: HRDC and Government of BC, Skills for Growth 14/11/2012 9
  • 10.
    Credentials Granted byFiscal Year: Mainland Southwest Excluding JIBC Source: Data from BC Advanced Education 14/11/2012 10
  • 11.
    Jobs of Tomorroware Not the Jobs of Today Tomorrow’s Jobs:  25% of Job Classifications are NEW every 25 years  Existing Jobs Re-Invented Every 15 Years The Educational Challenge:  Need to Educate and Train for Skills, Adaptation, and Innovation  Requires Critical Thinking, Teamwork, Literacy and Numeracy Skills 14/11/2012 11
  • 12.
    Doing and Discovery:About Douglas Douglas is the college of doing and discovery. We encourage academic exploration to help students discover what they love to do. We emphasize hands-on learning and applying knowledge to real-world situations. 14/11/2012 12
  • 13.
    About Douglas We believe our foundations of doing and discovery come together in dialogue. We embrace the use of open dialogue to help our students develop the skills needed by today’s global citizens and leaders. Both inside and outside the classroom, our students are immersed in a culture of ideas, innovation and critical thought. 14/11/2012 13
  • 14.
    More opportunities forstudents • Nine degree programs (and growing) • Six post-degree programs (and growing) • Over 30 career programs (and growing) • Easy transfer to and from other universities and colleges 14/11/2012 14
  • 15.
    Douglas College DomesticFTE Growth: Actual to 2011, Projected to 2015 9,500 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 14/11/2012 15
  • 16.
    Our vision for2015 Douglas College is the largest and most progressive baccalaureate degree-granting College in British Columbia Goals: • Seamless Learner Pathways • Superior Teaching Quality • Internationalization • Experiential Learning • Student and Employee Engagement • Social Responsibility, Environmental Stewardship, Financial Accountability 14/11/2012 16
  • 17.
    Some Quick DouglasCollege Facts  Douglas is larger than any other Non-Trades College in BC and is larger than any Teaching University except Kwantlen  Douglas employs 1739 people (FT and PT) and is the second largest employer in New Westminster  Douglas College’s annual regional economic contribution is over $225 million  Douglas attracts approximately 1100 International Students  New Westminster is an Education Destination 14/11/2012 17
  • 18.
    Key Messages 1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled population to remain internationally competitive 2. New Westminster is an education destination 3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver 4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better serve the needs of BC 14/11/2012 18
  • 19.
    Strategic planning –Vision 2015 www.douglascollege.ca/about/presidents-office/strategic-planning
  • 20.
    Academic Preparedness ofGrade 12 Graduates of 2009/10 (STP Data) Douglas Region BC No Academic GPA* 47% 52% Admissible to RU (GPA > 39% 34% 75%) 6 Year High School New Westminster 74 80% Graduation Rate Burnaby 81 Maple Ridge – Pitt Meadows 78 Coquitlam 89 * English 12 plus the student's other three best academic (provincially examinable) Grade 12 courses. If students did not take at least three academic Grade 12 courses, no Academic GPA is calculated. 14/11/2012 20
  • 21.
    Douglas College Shareof Graduating Students by Regional School District District Year Douglas Share N of Students Douglas Share Immediate (Immediate) All Grads Transition Burnaby 2001/02 14 146 8 2009/10 13 151 8 Coquitlam 2001/02 33 426 17 2009/10 30 393 15 New 2001/02 34 61 15 Westminster 2009/10 36 90 19 Maple Ridge- 2001/02 25 81 9 Pitt Meadows 2009/10 20 71 6 Surrey 2001/02 6 102 3 2009/10 6 142 3 14/11/2012 21
  • 22.
    Strategic planning –Vision 2015 www.douglascollege.ca/about/presidents-office/strategic-planning