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Special Report on Climate Change and Land
www.ipcc.ch/report/SRCCL
Agricultural landscape between Ankara and Hattusha, Anatolia, Turkey (40°00' N – 33°35’ E)
©Yann Arthus-Bertrand | www.yannarthusbertrand.org | www.goodplanet.org
1
Louis Verchot
International Center Tropical Agriculture
Madrid, 5 December 2019
The Land–Climate Interface
2 2
Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and
non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
Direct Anthropogenic Indirect
Gas Units
Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use
(AFOLU)
Non-AFOLU
anthropogenic
GHG
emissions6
Total net
anthropogenic
emissions (AFOLU +
non-AFOLU) by gas
AFOLU as a % of
total net
anthropogenic
emissions, by
gas
Natural response of
land to human-
induced
environmental
change7
Net land –
atmosphere
flux from all
lands
Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU
FOLU Agriculture Total
A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G
CO2
2
Gt CO2 y-1
5.2 ± 2.6 No data11
5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7
CH4
3,8
Mt CH4 y-1
19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109
Gt CO2e y-1
0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44%
N2O3,8
Mt N2O y-1
0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7
Gt CO2e y-1
0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81%
Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1
5.8 ± 2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0 ± 2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23%
3 3
Direct Anthropogenic Indirect
Gas Units
Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use
(AFOLU)
Non-AFOLU
anthropogenic
GHG
emissions6
Total net
anthropogenic
emissions (AFOLU +
non-AFOLU) by gas
AFOLU as a % of
total net
anthropogenic
emissions, by
gas
Natural response of
land to human-
induced
environmental
change7
Net land –
atmosphere
flux from all
lands
Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU
FOLU Agriculture Total
A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G
CO2
2
Gt CO2 y-1
5.2 ± 2.6 No data11
5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7
CH4
3,8
Mt CH4 y-1
19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109
Gt CO2e y-1
0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44%
N2O3,8
Mt N2O y-1
0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7
Gt CO2e y-1
0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81%
Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1
5.8±2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0±2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23%
Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and
non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
4 4
Direct Anthropogenic Indirect
Gas Units
Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use
(AFOLU)
Non-AFOLU
anthropogenic
GHG
emissions6
Total net
anthropogenic
emissions (AFOLU +
non-AFOLU) by gas
AFOLU as a % of
total net
anthropogenic
emissions, by
gas
Natural response of
land to human-
induced
environmental
change7
Net land –
atmosphere
flux from all
lands
Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU
FOLU Agriculture Total
A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G
CO2
2
Gt CO2 y-1
5.2 ± 2.6 No data11
5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7
CH4
3,8
Mt CH4 y-1
19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109
Gt CO2e y-1
0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44%
N2O3,8
Mt N2O y-1
0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7
Gt CO2e y-1
0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81%
Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1
5.8 ± 2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0 ± 2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23%
Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and
non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
5 5
Direct Anthropogenic Indirect
Gas Units
Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use
(AFOLU)
Non-AFOLU
anthropogenic
GHG
emissions6
Total net
anthropogenic
emissions (AFOLU +
non-AFOLU) by gas
AFOLU as a % of
total net
anthropogenic
emissions, by
gas
Natural response of
land to human-
induced
environmental
change7
Net land –
atmosphere
flux from all
lands
Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU
FOLU Agriculture Total
A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G
CO2
2
Gt CO2 y-1
5.2± 2.6 No data11
5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7
CH4
3,8
Mt CH4 y-1
19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109
Gt CO2e y-1
0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44%
N2O3,8
Mt N2O y-1
0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7
Gt CO2e y-1
0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81%
Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1
5.8 ± 2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0 ± 2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23%
Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to
Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and
non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
6
Methane accumulation in the atmosphere has increased over time, but
with a pause between 1999 and 2006
13
C-CH4
(‰)
-47.5
-47.4
-47.3
-47.2
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
CH4
(ppbv)
1650
1700
1750
1800
1850
1900
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
77 7
Agriculture is responsible for 44%
of global methane emissions
8 8
N2O continues to increase almost linearly
Year
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
N2O(ppbv)
300
305
310
315
320
325
330
335
99 9
Agriculture is responsible for 81%
of nitrous oxide emissions
10 10
Land use change decreases N2O fluxes in unfertilized situations
and increases emissions in fertilized systems
Time since conversion (years)
0 10 20 30 40
N2O(kgNha
-1
y
-1
)
0
2
4
6
8
10
Forest
Low cover forest
Fertilized
Unfertilized
0 10 20 30 40
0
2
4
6
Croplands Pastures
11
Changes in mean annual
surface air temperature (°C)
in response to idealised
large scale deforestation
(circles) or forestation
(crosses), estimated from a
range of studies
Temperature changes
resulting from biophysical
processes : albedo
evapotranspiration, and
roughness.
12
FOR MORE INFORMATION:
Website: http://ipcc.ch
IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int
IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int
WG III TSU: tsu@ipcc-wg3.ac.uk
PRESENTER NAME
Affiliation
Email address
Social media handle
12

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The land-climate interface

  • 1. 1 Special Report on Climate Change and Land www.ipcc.ch/report/SRCCL Agricultural landscape between Ankara and Hattusha, Anatolia, Turkey (40°00' N – 33°35’ E) ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand | www.yannarthusbertrand.org | www.goodplanet.org 1 Louis Verchot International Center Tropical Agriculture Madrid, 5 December 2019 The Land–Climate Interface
  • 2. 2 2 Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and non-AFOLU (Panel 1) Direct Anthropogenic Indirect Gas Units Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) Non-AFOLU anthropogenic GHG emissions6 Total net anthropogenic emissions (AFOLU + non-AFOLU) by gas AFOLU as a % of total net anthropogenic emissions, by gas Natural response of land to human- induced environmental change7 Net land – atmosphere flux from all lands Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU FOLU Agriculture Total A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G CO2 2 Gt CO2 y-1 5.2 ± 2.6 No data11 5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7 CH4 3,8 Mt CH4 y-1 19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109 Gt CO2e y-1 0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44% N2O3,8 Mt N2O y-1 0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7 Gt CO2e y-1 0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81% Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1 5.8 ± 2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0 ± 2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23%
  • 3. 3 3 Direct Anthropogenic Indirect Gas Units Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) Non-AFOLU anthropogenic GHG emissions6 Total net anthropogenic emissions (AFOLU + non-AFOLU) by gas AFOLU as a % of total net anthropogenic emissions, by gas Natural response of land to human- induced environmental change7 Net land – atmosphere flux from all lands Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU FOLU Agriculture Total A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G CO2 2 Gt CO2 y-1 5.2 ± 2.6 No data11 5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7 CH4 3,8 Mt CH4 y-1 19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109 Gt CO2e y-1 0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44% N2O3,8 Mt N2O y-1 0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7 Gt CO2e y-1 0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81% Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1 5.8±2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0±2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23% Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
  • 4. 4 4 Direct Anthropogenic Indirect Gas Units Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) Non-AFOLU anthropogenic GHG emissions6 Total net anthropogenic emissions (AFOLU + non-AFOLU) by gas AFOLU as a % of total net anthropogenic emissions, by gas Natural response of land to human- induced environmental change7 Net land – atmosphere flux from all lands Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU FOLU Agriculture Total A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G CO2 2 Gt CO2 y-1 5.2 ± 2.6 No data11 5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7 CH4 3,8 Mt CH4 y-1 19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109 Gt CO2e y-1 0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44% N2O3,8 Mt N2O y-1 0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7 Gt CO2e y-1 0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81% Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1 5.8 ± 2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0 ± 2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23% Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
  • 5. 5 5 Direct Anthropogenic Indirect Gas Units Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) Non-AFOLU anthropogenic GHG emissions6 Total net anthropogenic emissions (AFOLU + non-AFOLU) by gas AFOLU as a % of total net anthropogenic emissions, by gas Natural response of land to human- induced environmental change7 Net land – atmosphere flux from all lands Panel 1: Contribution of AFOLU FOLU Agriculture Total A B C = A + B D E = C + D F = (C/E) *100 G A + G CO2 2 Gt CO2 y-1 5.2± 2.6 No data11 5.2 ± 2.6 33.9 ± 1.8 39.1 ± 3.2 13% -11.2 ± 2.6 -6.0 ± 3.7 CH4 3,8 Mt CH4 y-1 19.2 ± 5.8 141.6 ± 42.5 160.8 ± 43 201.3 ± 100.6 362 ± 109 Gt CO2e y-1 0.5 ± 0.2 4.0 ± 1.2 4.5 ± 1.2 5.6 ± 2.8 10.1 ± 3.1 44% N2O3,8 Mt N2O y-1 0.3 ± 0.1 8.3 ± 2.5 8.7 ± 2.5 2.0 ± 1.0 10.6 ± 2.7 Gt CO2e y-1 0.09 ± 0.03 2.2 ± 0.7 2.3 ± 0.7 0.5 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.7 81% Total (GHG) Gt CO2e y-1 5.8 ± 2.6 6.2 ± 1.4 12.0 ± 2.9 40.0 ± 3.4 52.0 ± 4.5 23% Table SPM1. Net anthropogenic emissions due to Agriculture, Forestry, and other Land Use (AFOLU) and non-AFOLU (Panel 1)
  • 6. 6 Methane accumulation in the atmosphere has increased over time, but with a pause between 1999 and 2006 13 C-CH4 (‰) -47.5 -47.4 -47.3 -47.2 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 CH4 (ppbv) 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
  • 7. 77 7 Agriculture is responsible for 44% of global methane emissions
  • 8. 8 8 N2O continues to increase almost linearly Year 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 N2O(ppbv) 300 305 310 315 320 325 330 335
  • 9. 99 9 Agriculture is responsible for 81% of nitrous oxide emissions
  • 10. 10 10 Land use change decreases N2O fluxes in unfertilized situations and increases emissions in fertilized systems Time since conversion (years) 0 10 20 30 40 N2O(kgNha -1 y -1 ) 0 2 4 6 8 10 Forest Low cover forest Fertilized Unfertilized 0 10 20 30 40 0 2 4 6 Croplands Pastures
  • 11. 11 Changes in mean annual surface air temperature (°C) in response to idealised large scale deforestation (circles) or forestation (crosses), estimated from a range of studies Temperature changes resulting from biophysical processes : albedo evapotranspiration, and roughness.
  • 12. 12 FOR MORE INFORMATION: Website: http://ipcc.ch IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int WG III TSU: tsu@ipcc-wg3.ac.uk PRESENTER NAME Affiliation Email address Social media handle 12

Editor's Notes

  1. What is this? This slide library provides a range of slides relating to presenting the SRCCL report. It is separated into sections in order to make access to each area more simple. The ‘introduction to report’ section provides a range of slides relating to background on the report, how it was created, the people involved etc. The ‘chapter X’ sections contain slides and figures that relate to the chapter/subject. The ‘all figures’ section contains all figures from the report on separate slides – you just need to insert them into your presentation. The ‘Subject’ sections contain slides that are more relevant to a particular subject area or audience, e.g. biodiversity, policy etc. How to use this presentation: This presentation is suitable for talks over 45 mins. For talks under 45 mins, please see the shortened version. Each section of the report is introduced with a high-level message. There are 4 in total for 4 sections. Figures have been included at the end of the presentation for presenter use. The slide notes are for supporting statements when delivering slides and include further contents from the report. The presenter can decide which to include based on their audience and area of specialty. In bold are the sections of each slide. E.g. Headline refers to the title of the slide. Numbered bullet points, e.g. 2. refer to the corresponding bullet point on the slide. Italicized text provides suggestions for where to include SPM figures or which audience particular statements are suitable for. Regarding the design/template To add a new slide, click new slide and choose one from the template. The slides are color coded (green, yellow, pink, light blue, dark blue). Slide numbers will be added automatically if you add a new slide this way. Notes For further supporting statements and figures, please see the Technical Summary or report chapters.