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IPCC WGI AR6 Progress
Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair WG I
Outreach Event on IPCC Activities and Findings
Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar, 30-31 May 2019
AR6 WGI Outline
Ch1: Framing, context, methods
Ch2: Changing state of the climate system
Ch3: Human influence on the climate system
Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks
Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers
Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity
Ch8: Water cycle changes
Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change
Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change
Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment
+ Regional Atlas
Large scale changes
Processes
Regional Focus
AR6 WGI Outline
Ch1: Framing, context, methods
Ch2: Changing state of the climate system
Ch3: Human influence on the climate system
Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks
Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers
Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity
Ch8: Water cycle changes
Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change
Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change
Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment
+ Regional Atlas
Link to WGIII
Link to WGII
AR5 WGI Outline
Ch1: Introduction
Ch2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface
Ch3: Observations: Ocean
Ch4: Observations: Cryosphere
Ch5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives
Ch6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles
Ch7: Clouds and Aerosols
Ch8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing
Ch9: Evaluation of Climate Models
Ch10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional
Ch11: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
Ch12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility
Ch13: Sea Level Change
Ch14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change
Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections
Observations
Processes
Models
Synthesis
Facilitator
BOG1.1 : Reference Period Ed Hawkins, Jan F
BOG1.2 : Large Scale Changes Peter Thorne, June Yi Lee
BOG1.3 : Model Issues Greg, Anne Marie Treguier
BOG1.4 : Uncertainties and feedbaks Noureddine Yassa, Kirsten Zickfeld
BOG1.5 : Regional issues Carolina, Sergio
BOG1.6 : Observations Panmao, Blair Trenwin
BOG1.7 : D&A Edvin Aldrian, Pandora Hope
BOG1.8 : Climate metrics incl. RF Jan F
BOG1.9 : Palo-information Dan / Maisa / Kim / Darrell
BOG2.1 : Etics, GST Burce and Malte
BOG2.2 : Risks Carolina
BOG2.3 : Scenarios Jan
Cross-cutting issues
LAM1
25-29 June
LAM2
7-12 January
LAM3
26-31 August
SPM approva
12-16 April
LAM4
1-6 June
2019
2020 2021
2018
FOD review SOD & SPM review
29/10-25/11 29/04-23/06 02/03-26/04 07/12-31/01
Literature submission cut off
31 December 2019
Internal review
Submit FOD to TSU
7 April 2019
Submit SOD to TSU
7January 2020
Submit FGD to TSU
18 October 2020
FOD comment responses to TSU 7
October 2019
SOD comment responses to TSU 27 July 2020
Literature acceptance cut off
30 September 2020
FGD SPM review
SPM:
Summary for
policymakers
TS:
Technical
Summary
Chapters
Supplemen
tary
Material
Annexes
The WGI AR6 Report
• Headline & supporting statements
• SPM Figures that integrate key messages
• Integrating figures
• Integrating across chapters
• Executive Summary (ES)
• Chapters: text; boxes; figures; X-chapter boxes ; case studies
• FAQs
• References
• Online supporting chapter material, not printed
• Also reviewed
• Glossary
• Lists of contributors and expert reviewers
• Acronyms
Technical
Annexes
• Methods and tech. information underlying ch. assessments
• Cross-cutting to multiple chapters
• Also reviewed
IPCC
IPCC
http://www.slideshare.net/ipcc-
media/presentations
https://www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva
Find us on:
Website: http://ipcc.ch/
IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int
IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int
@IPCC_CH
https://www.linkedin.com/company/ipcc
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ipccphoto/sets/
https://vimeo.com/ipcc
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
For more information:

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Updates on the preparations of Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment cycle

  • 1. http://bit.ly/ipcc_outreach_myanmar IPCC WGI AR6 Progress Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair WG I Outreach Event on IPCC Activities and Findings Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar, 30-31 May 2019
  • 2. AR6 WGI Outline Ch1: Framing, context, methods Ch2: Changing state of the climate system Ch3: Human influence on the climate system Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity Ch8: Water cycle changes Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment + Regional Atlas Large scale changes Processes Regional Focus
  • 3. AR6 WGI Outline Ch1: Framing, context, methods Ch2: Changing state of the climate system Ch3: Human influence on the climate system Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity Ch8: Water cycle changes Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment + Regional Atlas Link to WGIII Link to WGII
  • 4. AR5 WGI Outline Ch1: Introduction Ch2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Ch3: Observations: Ocean Ch4: Observations: Cryosphere Ch5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Ch6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Ch7: Clouds and Aerosols Ch8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Ch9: Evaluation of Climate Models Ch10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional Ch11: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability Ch12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Ch13: Sea Level Change Ch14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections Observations Processes Models Synthesis
  • 5. Facilitator BOG1.1 : Reference Period Ed Hawkins, Jan F BOG1.2 : Large Scale Changes Peter Thorne, June Yi Lee BOG1.3 : Model Issues Greg, Anne Marie Treguier BOG1.4 : Uncertainties and feedbaks Noureddine Yassa, Kirsten Zickfeld BOG1.5 : Regional issues Carolina, Sergio BOG1.6 : Observations Panmao, Blair Trenwin BOG1.7 : D&A Edvin Aldrian, Pandora Hope BOG1.8 : Climate metrics incl. RF Jan F BOG1.9 : Palo-information Dan / Maisa / Kim / Darrell BOG2.1 : Etics, GST Burce and Malte BOG2.2 : Risks Carolina BOG2.3 : Scenarios Jan Cross-cutting issues
  • 6. LAM1 25-29 June LAM2 7-12 January LAM3 26-31 August SPM approva 12-16 April LAM4 1-6 June 2019 2020 2021 2018 FOD review SOD & SPM review 29/10-25/11 29/04-23/06 02/03-26/04 07/12-31/01 Literature submission cut off 31 December 2019 Internal review Submit FOD to TSU 7 April 2019 Submit SOD to TSU 7January 2020 Submit FGD to TSU 18 October 2020 FOD comment responses to TSU 7 October 2019 SOD comment responses to TSU 27 July 2020 Literature acceptance cut off 30 September 2020 FGD SPM review SPM: Summary for policymakers TS: Technical Summary Chapters Supplemen tary Material Annexes The WGI AR6 Report • Headline & supporting statements • SPM Figures that integrate key messages • Integrating figures • Integrating across chapters • Executive Summary (ES) • Chapters: text; boxes; figures; X-chapter boxes ; case studies • FAQs • References • Online supporting chapter material, not printed • Also reviewed • Glossary • Lists of contributors and expert reviewers • Acronyms Technical Annexes • Methods and tech. information underlying ch. assessments • Cross-cutting to multiple chapters • Also reviewed
  • 7. IPCC IPCC http://www.slideshare.net/ipcc- media/presentations https://www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva Find us on: Website: http://ipcc.ch/ IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int @IPCC_CH https://www.linkedin.com/company/ipcc https://www.flickr.com/photos/ipccphoto/sets/ https://vimeo.com/ipcc THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! For more information: