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The Future of Arboviral Surveillance in
               Georgia




          Rosmarie Kelly - GDPH
What have we lost?
• Funding at the GDPH to support mosquito
  surveillance

• Funding for arboviral testing

• Basically, almost all the funding associated with
  arboviral surveillance in Georgia

• Current and future data
West Nile virus (WNV) activity reported to ArboNET, by state, United
                States, 2012 (as of October 2, 2012)
Before we give up
       completely...
1. What historic data are currently available?
2. What resources are still available?
3. How can these things be combined to
   provide at least some prediction of risk?
human    veterinary   mosquito   positive
                                  2001-2011
                                               cases     cases       pools       bird




Historic data                       total


                                    mean
                                               272


                                               24.7
                                                         1269


                                                         115.4
                                                                      311


                                                                      28.3
                                                                                1894


                                                                                172.2




There are mosquito data from 98 out of the 159
Georgia counties.

The GDA has provided data on livestock cases in 109
counties since 2001.

There are dead bird data from 151 counties.

The GDPH has collected human case data from 66
counties.
total
                     counties doing
year    WNV+ pools                  # positive counties   mosquitoes     % WNV+
                      surveillance
                                                          pools tested

2001        30             2                 1                597        5.03%

2002        91             11                6               4044        2.25%

2003       106             27                6               6206        1.71%

2004       126             60                7               10166       1.24%

2005        67             59                5               15263       0.44%

2006        81             26                5               4786        1.69%

2007        75             28                7               6513        1.15%

2008        51             28                5               6386        0.80%

2009        24             26                4               4447        0.54%

2010        99             22                5               5991        1.65%

2011       438             18                7               9584        4.57%

2012*      114             6                 5               4658        2.45%
Current resources

In Georgia, 6 counties and one city are doing surveillance
AND sending mosquito pools for testing

At least 4 counties have submitted mosquito surveillance
data to the GDPH, even though the mosquitoes are not
being tested for virus

GDA is still supplying test data from livestock (mostly
horses)

GDPH continues to collect human case data

Blood banks are sharing PVBD information
Counties in Georgia with WNV+
mosquitoes, birds, horses, or
human cases reported between
2001-2011. Counties with no
reported positives have done
little to no surveillance; WNV is
considered endemic in Georgia.
EEE is endemic
in south Georgia.
LAC is very
under-reported
  in Georgia.
Using the data - what are
   other states doing?
Massachusetts -
http://westnile.ashtonweb.com/index.asp


Predictions of risk are based on a number of different
factors including weather, current and past instances of
human or animal disease, mosquito habitat, recent
findings of virus in mosquitoes and estimates of
mosquito population levels.
California: http://westnile.ca.gov/



• CDPH has coordinated a statewide mosquito-borne encephalitis
  surveillance program since 1969 to detect western equine encephalitis
  (WEE), St. Louis encephalitis (SLE), and other viruses.

• In 2000, CDPH and other agencies expanded the program to enhance
  the state's ability to detect WNV.

• Reporting and testing of dead birds and tree squirrels were added to
  the existing California surveillance system, which includes encephalitis
  case detection, mosquito testing, and monitoring of sentinel chickens.
Dynamic Continuous-Area Space-Time (DYCAST) risk maps (top) and timeline
 (bottom) of West Nile virus epidemic in Sacramento County, California, 2005




                                                 http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/17/8/10-0411_article.htm
What sorts of data
 applications are
  being used in
    Georgia?


It varies widely from
  county to county.
DeKalb County,
     GA

  Mosquito
    Bird
Human cases
West Nile virus Action Plan
   The “Hot Zone”

In 2007, the treatment area
  was expanded based on
  high Culex numbers and
  increased WNv activity
outside of the historic areas.

Currently, we treat ~12,000
catch basins during a single
      treatment cycle.


     The expanded Hot Zone, 2007-present
How can we use our available data?

             Locally

            State-wide
In conclusion,

- The future of arboviral surveillance in Georgia is
 far from ensured

- It may take some creativity, but we do have
 enough existing and historic data to help make
 somewhat informed decisions

- Some counties are better off than others, but their
 data can be helpful to a wider area
Stay informed!



 Sign up to receive the arboviral summary and
notifications of positive mosquito pools, birds, or
      veterinary cases in your health district.
ANY QUESTIONS?

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The Future of Arboviral Surveillance in Georgia

  • 1. The Future of Arboviral Surveillance in Georgia Rosmarie Kelly - GDPH
  • 2.
  • 3. What have we lost? • Funding at the GDPH to support mosquito surveillance • Funding for arboviral testing • Basically, almost all the funding associated with arboviral surveillance in Georgia • Current and future data
  • 4. West Nile virus (WNV) activity reported to ArboNET, by state, United States, 2012 (as of October 2, 2012)
  • 5. Before we give up completely... 1. What historic data are currently available? 2. What resources are still available? 3. How can these things be combined to provide at least some prediction of risk?
  • 6. human veterinary mosquito positive 2001-2011 cases cases pools bird Historic data total mean 272 24.7 1269 115.4 311 28.3 1894 172.2 There are mosquito data from 98 out of the 159 Georgia counties. The GDA has provided data on livestock cases in 109 counties since 2001. There are dead bird data from 151 counties. The GDPH has collected human case data from 66 counties.
  • 7. total counties doing year WNV+ pools # positive counties mosquitoes % WNV+ surveillance pools tested 2001 30 2 1 597 5.03% 2002 91 11 6 4044 2.25% 2003 106 27 6 6206 1.71% 2004 126 60 7 10166 1.24% 2005 67 59 5 15263 0.44% 2006 81 26 5 4786 1.69% 2007 75 28 7 6513 1.15% 2008 51 28 5 6386 0.80% 2009 24 26 4 4447 0.54% 2010 99 22 5 5991 1.65% 2011 438 18 7 9584 4.57% 2012* 114 6 5 4658 2.45%
  • 8. Current resources In Georgia, 6 counties and one city are doing surveillance AND sending mosquito pools for testing At least 4 counties have submitted mosquito surveillance data to the GDPH, even though the mosquitoes are not being tested for virus GDA is still supplying test data from livestock (mostly horses) GDPH continues to collect human case data Blood banks are sharing PVBD information
  • 9. Counties in Georgia with WNV+ mosquitoes, birds, horses, or human cases reported between 2001-2011. Counties with no reported positives have done little to no surveillance; WNV is considered endemic in Georgia.
  • 10. EEE is endemic in south Georgia.
  • 12. Using the data - what are other states doing?
  • 13. Massachusetts - http://westnile.ashtonweb.com/index.asp Predictions of risk are based on a number of different factors including weather, current and past instances of human or animal disease, mosquito habitat, recent findings of virus in mosquitoes and estimates of mosquito population levels.
  • 14.
  • 15. California: http://westnile.ca.gov/ • CDPH has coordinated a statewide mosquito-borne encephalitis surveillance program since 1969 to detect western equine encephalitis (WEE), St. Louis encephalitis (SLE), and other viruses. • In 2000, CDPH and other agencies expanded the program to enhance the state's ability to detect WNV. • Reporting and testing of dead birds and tree squirrels were added to the existing California surveillance system, which includes encephalitis case detection, mosquito testing, and monitoring of sentinel chickens.
  • 16. Dynamic Continuous-Area Space-Time (DYCAST) risk maps (top) and timeline (bottom) of West Nile virus epidemic in Sacramento County, California, 2005 http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/17/8/10-0411_article.htm
  • 17. What sorts of data applications are being used in Georgia? It varies widely from county to county.
  • 18. DeKalb County, GA Mosquito Bird Human cases
  • 19. West Nile virus Action Plan The “Hot Zone” In 2007, the treatment area was expanded based on high Culex numbers and increased WNv activity outside of the historic areas. Currently, we treat ~12,000 catch basins during a single treatment cycle. The expanded Hot Zone, 2007-present
  • 20. How can we use our available data? Locally State-wide
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. In conclusion, - The future of arboviral surveillance in Georgia is far from ensured - It may take some creativity, but we do have enough existing and historic data to help make somewhat informed decisions - Some counties are better off than others, but their data can be helpful to a wider area
  • 27. Stay informed! Sign up to receive the arboviral summary and notifications of positive mosquito pools, birds, or veterinary cases in your health district.

Editor's Notes

  1. The original “Hot Zone” was expanded when WNV surfaced outside this area in 2007.