The solution to Brazil's problems will only happen if there is the development of a genuine political, economic and social pact through which the consensus of the Policy Society is possible among Political Society (state) the Civil Society. Only then it would be possible to celebrate the true social peace and avoid civil war. It is, however, a difficult building to be held in Brazil today on the radicalization that is the political process in the country. The development of a genuine political, economic and social pact with civil society participation is the key to solve the political, economic and social problems of Brazil due the Brazilian government's inability and general political institutions to offer effective responses to overcoming the economic crisis in the Brazilian nation and eradicate the rampant corruption in all branches of government.
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The conciliation alternatives in the brazilian political crisis
1. 1
THE CONCILIATION ALTERNATIVES IN THE BRAZILIAN POLITICAL
CRISIS
Fernando Alcoforado *
There is an expression that is used in aviation that is the "point of no return" which refers
to the remaining fuel in the aircraft that is sufficient to achieve the target and is
insufficient to return safely to the starting point. Applied to the current Brazilian politics,
the Dilma Rousseff government faces not only the problem of the "point of no return", that
is, the inability to recover the lost governability, but also with the "point of no arrival at
destination" due the inability to complete its mandate, that is, to reach the desired
destination in 2018. The Dilma Roussefff government would be compared to an aircraft
that does not escape from an impending disaster because they could not return to the
starting point or reach the destination. In other words, the Dilma Rousseff government
finished, it came to an end.
Brazil already hasn´t more government because Dilma Rousseff became a decorative
figure in the Presidency of Republic. Dilma Rousseff takes only formally the office of
president of Republic. In practice, she cannot no longer exercise any power since she lost
the authority to govern. It came into being in Brazil a vacuum of power in the Presidency
of Republic, to the point that today we can say that does not exist a president to exercise
the government. Even the political groups, including the PT (Workers Party), on which
Dilma Rousseff exercised his authority no longer has any influence. Today, Dilma
Rousseff is an unburied corpse awaiting burial.
Severe political and economic crisis in Brazil may result three scenarios: 1) the
conciliation at the top with the rise to power of Michel Temer resulting of impeachment of
Dilma Rousseff; 2) conciliation at the top with the cassation of the plate Dilma Rousseff /
Michel Temer by the TSE (Top electoral court) and the occupation of the Presidency by
the President of the House of Representatives (Eduardo Cunha) who would call new
presidential elections within 90 days; and 3) the political, economic and social pact outside
the rules imposed by the Constitution of 1988. It should be noted that the conciliation at
the top represent a political pact with the participation only of parliamentarians and the
exclusion of sectors of civil society, ie the population as always occurred throughout the
history of Brazil. In turn, the political, economic and social pact outside the rules imposed
by the 1988 Constitution would mean non-compliance to the constitutional rules and
active participation of civil society in finding solutions to the country's problems.
The solution to Brazil's problems will only happen if there is the development of a genuine
political, economic and social pact through which the consensus of the Policy Society is
possible among Political Society (state) the Civil Society. Only then it would be possible
to celebrate the true social peace and avoid civil war. It is, however, a difficult building to
be held in Brazil today on the radicalization that is the political process in the country. The
development of a genuine political, economic and social pact with civil society
participation is the key to solve the political, economic and social problems of Brazil due
the Brazilian government's inability and general political institutions to offer effective
responses to overcoming the economic crisis in the Brazilian nation and eradicate the
rampant corruption in all branches of government.
2. 2
It was a political, economic and social pact, the Moncloa Pact, that Spain was able to
establish the foundations of democratic political coexistence between the supporters of the
Franco regime and anti-Francoist after the dictatorship of General Francisco Franco. The
Moncloa Pact, signed on 25 October 1977 by political parties, trade unions and
businessmen, made possible to avoid the confrontation between the supporters of former
dictator Francisco Franco and their opponents. The pact name refers to the Palacio de la
Moncloa, seat of the Spanish government in Madrid, where it was signed. The political
articulation involved the King Juan Carlos who was the guarantor of the return of
democracy in Spain. The Moncloa Pact had three major goals: political, most importantly,
economic and social. For weeks, in the negotiating table, the different representatives of
the society discussed ways to ensure democracy in Spain, avoid the return of
authoritarianism and sanitize the national economy.
The Moncloa political pact consisted of establishing the rights and duties of citizens,
political institutions of the new regime and relationship rules between all of them.
Moncloa economic pact consisted in the establishment of measures for the improvement
of the national economy. Both pacts should be the basis for the social pact to be signed by
all the forces committed to the transition project. The political, economic and social pacts
of Moncloa are the result of an unstable political situation that led to an economic crisis to
be faced on the basis of an agreement of the vast majority of political and social class. The
Moncloa Pact can be considered an example of political, economic and social pact that
avoided political conflagration in Spain after the Franco dictatorship that could serve as a
basis for concluding similar pact in Brazil.
Next day 13/03, there will be great manifestation of the political forces who want the
removal of Dilma Rousseff of power and the arrest of former President Lula. It is
important to note that is not enough to fight only for these two purposes. We must
vehemently to oppose against conciliation at the top with the rise to power of Michel
Temer resulting of impeachment of Dilma Rousseff or cassation of the plate Dilma
Rousseff / Michel Temer by the TSE and the occupation of the Presidency of Republic by
the President of the House of Representatives Eduardo Cunha who would call new
presidential elections within 90 days. It is an imperative demand that civil society also
participate in the process of defining the future direction of Brazil, through a political,
economic and social pact, with organizations that lead the demonstrations against the
Dilma Rousseff government and PT (Workers Party). The future direction of the country
should not be traced only, so, by parliamentarians with the STF (Supreme Court) holder.
The construction of a new political, economic and social pact in which are laid the
foundations for a new coexistence among sectors of Brazilian civil society and it with the
state is possible only with the establishment of a provisional government to replace Dilma
Rousseff composed of respectable public figures accepted by all participants of the pact
political forces that would have the mandate to convene a new constituent assembly to
reorganize the national life, seek the country's consensus in resolving the economic and
social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in Brazil and perform new general
elections in the country.
* Fernando Alcoforado, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and consultant
in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is the author of
Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova (Des)ordem Mundial
(Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2000), Os
3. 3
condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado. Universidade de Barcelona,
http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era
Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of the Economic and Social
Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG,
Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora,
Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e combate ao aquecimento global
(Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011), Os Fatores Condicionantes do
Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012) and Energia no Mundo e no Brasil-
Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2015).