Just as the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency of Republicl and Lula arrest for corruption may increase political violence in Brazil, the same can happen with the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power. In other words, either with dismissal or stay in power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil may be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences. To prevent Brazil to be brought to social upheaval would require the establishment of a provisional government composed of respectable public figures uncompromised of political forces in confrontation that would have the mandate to convene a new constituent assembly to reorganize the national life, seek consensus country in the solution of economic and social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in Brazil and hold new general elections in the country. This would be the way to avoid a fratricidal struggle or a civil war in Brazil. If not is formed a provisional government composed of respectable public figures uncompromised of political forces in confrontation able to order the national life, there will only be one outcome to the institutional impasse in which lives the Brazilian nation that is the intervention of the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order.

1. 1
THE SERPENT (PIT VIPER) LULA AND THE FUTURE OF BRAZIL
Fernando Alcoforado *
After a hearing of coercion by the Federal Police yesterday (04.03.2016) at Congonhas
airport, the former president Lula, speaking, compared him to a serpent pit viper when he
said that they wanted to kill the pit viper, but not done right because they did not hit on the
head. According to Lula, "hit the tail because the pit viper is alive". This Lula identity with
the serpent pit viper reminds of the Ingmar Bergman movie "Serpent's Egg" (1977) that is
the best cinematic reproduction of the rise of Nazism in Germany. In this film, Ingmar
Bergman portrays German society on the brink of economic and political chaos. Often the
serpent's egg was used as a metaphor to express the finding of evil in the incubation
process. In it, the serpent's egg, in its development, one can follow the slow and inexorable
evolution of the monster that was created in Germany in the 1930s, Nazism.
In the film, Nazism was still incubating in the egg. Later, the serpent materialized in
Nazism under the direction of Hitler whose evil consequences are known to all who know
the history of humanity in the twentieth century. In the case of contemporary Brazil, the
serpent's egg can be identified with Lula serpent pit viper that is alive, and monster
derived from it, lulopetismo which means the blind fanaticism of the PT under Lula's
leadership. The egg of the serpent in Brazil nurtured the lulopetismo serpent, Lula himself,
who, in his speech yesterday, threatened to burn the country. The violent demonstrations
in several cities in Brazil yesterday (03/04/2016) and 02/17/2016 in the Barra Funda
Forum in São Paulo, where there have been confrontation among lulopetismo supporters
and their opponents, are a sample of the situation that we will experience in Brazil with
increasing of political violence between supporters of the PT and its opponents, especially
if occur the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the presidency and Lula is arrested for
corruption.
The possibility of violence arising from lulopetismo fans results of despair that dominates
PT and its allies over the possibility of being dismounted their participation on power with
the deposition of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency of Republic and the impracticability of
Lula's candidacy to this position in 2018 with his likely arrest due to corruption to be
proven by Lava Jato Operation that investigate corruption at Petrobras and other
government agencies. The economic, social and political environments in disintegration in
Brazil propitiate the advancement of political violence. The signs of disintegration are
evident in all parts of the country. The neoliberal economic model failed. Moreover, all the
political and administrative system of the country is contaminated by corruption and the
presidency of Republic is characterized by incompetence and incapacity to Dilma
Rousseff and her ministers to promote the retake of economic growth in Brazil.
The failure of the Brazilian government and political institutions in general to provide
effective responses to overcoming the economic crisis in which the Brazilian nation debate
and eradicate unbridled corruption in all branches of government today contributes to
increasing political violence in Brazil. No quick solution to these problems, the country
may become disorganized and convulsed as happened in 1930 when there was the coup
d´état that led to the overthrow of the Washington Luis government and of the Old
Republic and, in 1964, when there was the overthrow of the João Goulart government and
the implantation of the military dictatorship from 1964 to 1985. The solution of economic,
political and institutional problems of the country cannot be postponed for 2018, how they

2. 2
intend to those in power and its allies. The greater the delay in solving these problems will
be the greater chance of political violence become more virulent.
The stagnation of the Brazilian economy in addition to widespread corporate bankruptcy
and mass unemployment also occurs government revenues fall at all levels which implies
no public resources for investment in sufficient quantity to invest in economic and social
infrastructure, as well as to meet their most basic needs as are already occurring in all parts
of the country. All this contributes to it magnifies the gap between the Brazilian
government and civil society and so, in 2016 , Brazil is politically convulsed with the
confrontation between supporters and opponents of the current government. The
continuity of the situation currently experienced by Brazil is therefore unsustainable
paving the way for a catastrophic time in the country.
Just as the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency of Republicl and Lula arrest for
corruption may increase political violence in Brazil, the same can happen with the
permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power. In other words, either with dismissal or stay in
power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil may be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable
consequences. To prevent Brazil to be brought to social upheaval would require the
establishment of a provisional government composed of respectable public figures
uncompromised of political forces in confrontation that would have the mandate to
convene a new constituent assembly to reorganize the national life, seek consensus
country in the solution of economic and social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in
Brazil and hold new general elections in the country. This would be the way to avoid a
fratricidal struggle or a civil war in Brazil.
If not is formed a provisional government composed of respectable public figures
uncompromised of political forces in confrontation able to order the national life, there
will only be one outcome to the institutional impasse in which lives the Brazilian nation
that is the intervention of the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order. In
these circumstances, the military could also play the role of provisional government that
would have the mandate to convene a new constituent assembly to reorganize the national
life, seek the country's consensus in resolving the economic and social crisis, prevent the
escalation of violence in Brazil and hold new general elections in the country. But the
military can be perpetuated in power as happened in 1964. This is the risk that society and
Brazilian democracy would suffer. Therefore, a provisional government under the
command of the armed forces would be the most likely scenario for the future of Brazil.
It seems to be inevitable intervention of the armed forces in the Brazilian political scene
before the flagrant demoralization of the country's political institutions whose main
leaders of the National and large number of parliamentarians Congress respond to
corruption cases and the absence of parties and respectable leaders in Brazil able to rise
above the political forces in confrontation and reorder the national life.
* Fernando Alcoforado, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and consultant
in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is the author of
Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova (Des)ordem Mundial
(Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2000), Os
condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado. Universidade de Barcelona,
http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era

3. 3
Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of the Economic and Social
Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG,
Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora,
Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e combate ao aquecimento global
(Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011), Os Fatores Condicionantes do
Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012) and Energia no Mundo e no Brasil-
Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2015).