This document summarizes a project on telecommunication customer churn prediction. It includes the following key points:
1. The objective is to predict customer churn using a classification model and customer data with 19 features for 3,333 customers.
2. Exploratory data analysis was performed including outlier analysis, correlation analysis, and data balancing.
3. Models tested include logistic regression, artificial neural network, random forest, decision tree, KNN, SVM, and gradient boosting.
4. The best performing model was random forest with 95% accuracy on the test data. This model was selected for deployment using Streamlit.
As part of our team's enrollment for Data Science Super Specialization course under UpX Academy, we submitted many projects for our final assessments, one of them was Telecom Churn Analysis Model.
The input data was provided by UpX academy and language we used is R. As part of the project, our main objective was :-
-> To predict Customer Churn.
-> To Highlight the main variables/factors influencing Customer Churn.
-> To Use various ML algorithms to build prediction models, evaluate the accuracy and performance of these models.
-> Finding out the best model for our business case & providing executive Summary.
To address the mentioned business problem, we tried to follow a thorough approach. We did a detailed level Exploratory Data Analysis which consists of various Box Plots, Bar Plots etc..
Further we tried our best to build as many Classification models possible which fits our business case (Logistic Regression/kNN/Decision Trees/Random Forest/SVM) and also tried to touch Cox Hazard Survival analysis Model. Later for every model we tried to boost their performances by applying various performance tuning techniques.
As we all are still into our learning mode w.r.t these concepts & starting new, please feel free to provide feedback on our work. Any suggestions are most welcome... :)
Thanks!!
Slides from the presentation of this NYC meetup : http://www.meetup.com/Data-Modeling/events/224554990/
I talked about how to model churn before even thinking about the machine learning model.
The importance of this type of research in the telecom market is to help companies make more profit.
It has become known that predicting churn is one of the most important sources of income to Telecom companies.
Hence, this research aimed to build a system that predicts the churn of customers i telecom company.
These prediction models need to achieve high AUC values. To test and train the model, the sample data is divided into 70% for training and 30% for testing.
I have done this analysis using SAS on a dataset with 5000 records. I have used CART and Logistic regression to build a predictive model to identify customers which are likely to shift to competitors network.
As part of our team's enrollment for Data Science Super Specialization course under UpX Academy, we submitted many projects for our final assessments, one of them was Telecom Churn Analysis Model.
The input data was provided by UpX academy and language we used is R. As part of the project, our main objective was :-
-> To predict Customer Churn.
-> To Highlight the main variables/factors influencing Customer Churn.
-> To Use various ML algorithms to build prediction models, evaluate the accuracy and performance of these models.
-> Finding out the best model for our business case & providing executive Summary.
To address the mentioned business problem, we tried to follow a thorough approach. We did a detailed level Exploratory Data Analysis which consists of various Box Plots, Bar Plots etc..
Further we tried our best to build as many Classification models possible which fits our business case (Logistic Regression/kNN/Decision Trees/Random Forest/SVM) and also tried to touch Cox Hazard Survival analysis Model. Later for every model we tried to boost their performances by applying various performance tuning techniques.
As we all are still into our learning mode w.r.t these concepts & starting new, please feel free to provide feedback on our work. Any suggestions are most welcome... :)
Thanks!!
Slides from the presentation of this NYC meetup : http://www.meetup.com/Data-Modeling/events/224554990/
I talked about how to model churn before even thinking about the machine learning model.
The importance of this type of research in the telecom market is to help companies make more profit.
It has become known that predicting churn is one of the most important sources of income to Telecom companies.
Hence, this research aimed to build a system that predicts the churn of customers i telecom company.
These prediction models need to achieve high AUC values. To test and train the model, the sample data is divided into 70% for training and 30% for testing.
I have done this analysis using SAS on a dataset with 5000 records. I have used CART and Logistic regression to build a predictive model to identify customers which are likely to shift to competitors network.
BigData Republic teamed up with VodafoneZiggo and hosted an meetup on churn prediction.
Telecom companies like VodafoneZiggo have long benefited from the fine art/science of predicting churn. Currently, in the booming age of subscription based business models (e.g. Netflix, Spotify, HelloFresh), the importance of predicting churn has become widespread. During this event, VodafoneZiggo shared some of its wisdom with the public, after which BDR Data Scientist Tom de Ruijter presented an overview of the modeling tools at hand, both classical, as well as novel approaches. Finally, the participants engaged in a hands-on session showcasing the implementation of different approaches.
PART 1 — Churn Prediction in Practice by Florian Maas
At VodafoneZiggo we are incredibly excited about Advanced Analytics and the enormous potential for progress and innovation. In our state of the art open source platform we store the tremendous amount of data that is generated every single second in our mobile and fixed networks. This means that we have a vast body of rich information, which if unlocked, can lead to something very special. As a company with a primarily subscription-based service model, churn plays a vital role in the daily business. Not only is the churn rate a good indicator of customer (dis)satisfaction, it is also one out of two factors that determines the steady-state level of active customers. During this talk, we will show how data science provides added value in the process of churn prevention at VodafoneZiggo. We will talk about the data and the modeling approach we use, and the pitfalls and shortcomings that we have encountered while building the model. We will also briefly discuss potential improvements to the current approach, which brings us to talk #2.
PART 2 — The Churn Prediction Toolbox by Tom de Ruijter
The second talk will show you the fine intricacies of predicting churn through different approaches. We’ll start off with an overview of different modeling strategies for describing the problem of churn, both in terms of a classification problem as well as a regression problem. Secondly, Tom will give you insights in how you evaluate a churn model in a way such that business stakeholders know how to act upon the model results. Finally, we’ll work towards the hands-on session demonstrating different model approaches for churn prediction, ranging from classical time series prediction to recurrent neural networks.
Customer churn prediction for telecom data set.Kuldeep Mahani
Customer churn prediction and relevant recommendations as per DSN telecom data analysis. Random forest and logistic regression were applied to predict customer churn.
Correspondence analysis (CA) or reciprocal averaging is a multivariate statistical technique proposed by Hirschfeld and later developed by Jean-Paul Benzécri. It is conceptually similar to principal component analysis, but applies to categorical rather than continuous data. In a similar manner to principal component analysis, it provides a means of displaying or summarising a set of data in two-dimensional graphical form.
Customer Churn is a burning problem for Telecom companies. In this project, we simulate one such case of customer churn where we work on a data of postpaid customers with a contract. The data has information about the customer usage behavior, contract details and the payment details. The data also indicates which were the customers who canceled their service. Based on this past data, we need to build a model which can predict whether a customer will cancel their service in the future or not.
Regression Analysis and model comparison on the Boston Housing DataShivaram Prakash
Creation of regression models to predict the median housing price using the Boston Housing dataset. Models used: Generalized linear model, generalized additive model, artificial neural networks, regression tree
Customer churn classification using machine learning techniquesSindhujanDhayalan
Advanced data mining project on classifying customer churn by
using machine learning algorithms such as random forest,
C5.0, Decision tree, KNN, ANN, and SVM. CRISP-DM approach was followed for developing the project. Accuracy rate, Error rate, Precision, Recall, F1 and ROC curve was generated using R programming and the efficient model was found comparing these values.
BigData Republic teamed up with VodafoneZiggo and hosted an meetup on churn prediction.
Telecom companies like VodafoneZiggo have long benefited from the fine art/science of predicting churn. Currently, in the booming age of subscription based business models (e.g. Netflix, Spotify, HelloFresh), the importance of predicting churn has become widespread. During this event, VodafoneZiggo shared some of its wisdom with the public, after which BDR Data Scientist Tom de Ruijter presented an overview of the modeling tools at hand, both classical, as well as novel approaches. Finally, the participants engaged in a hands-on session showcasing the implementation of different approaches.
PART 1 — Churn Prediction in Practice by Florian Maas
At VodafoneZiggo we are incredibly excited about Advanced Analytics and the enormous potential for progress and innovation. In our state of the art open source platform we store the tremendous amount of data that is generated every single second in our mobile and fixed networks. This means that we have a vast body of rich information, which if unlocked, can lead to something very special. As a company with a primarily subscription-based service model, churn plays a vital role in the daily business. Not only is the churn rate a good indicator of customer (dis)satisfaction, it is also one out of two factors that determines the steady-state level of active customers. During this talk, we will show how data science provides added value in the process of churn prevention at VodafoneZiggo. We will talk about the data and the modeling approach we use, and the pitfalls and shortcomings that we have encountered while building the model. We will also briefly discuss potential improvements to the current approach, which brings us to talk #2.
PART 2 — The Churn Prediction Toolbox by Tom de Ruijter
The second talk will show you the fine intricacies of predicting churn through different approaches. We’ll start off with an overview of different modeling strategies for describing the problem of churn, both in terms of a classification problem as well as a regression problem. Secondly, Tom will give you insights in how you evaluate a churn model in a way such that business stakeholders know how to act upon the model results. Finally, we’ll work towards the hands-on session demonstrating different model approaches for churn prediction, ranging from classical time series prediction to recurrent neural networks.
Customer churn prediction for telecom data set.Kuldeep Mahani
Customer churn prediction and relevant recommendations as per DSN telecom data analysis. Random forest and logistic regression were applied to predict customer churn.
Correspondence analysis (CA) or reciprocal averaging is a multivariate statistical technique proposed by Hirschfeld and later developed by Jean-Paul Benzécri. It is conceptually similar to principal component analysis, but applies to categorical rather than continuous data. In a similar manner to principal component analysis, it provides a means of displaying or summarising a set of data in two-dimensional graphical form.
Customer Churn is a burning problem for Telecom companies. In this project, we simulate one such case of customer churn where we work on a data of postpaid customers with a contract. The data has information about the customer usage behavior, contract details and the payment details. The data also indicates which were the customers who canceled their service. Based on this past data, we need to build a model which can predict whether a customer will cancel their service in the future or not.
Regression Analysis and model comparison on the Boston Housing DataShivaram Prakash
Creation of regression models to predict the median housing price using the Boston Housing dataset. Models used: Generalized linear model, generalized additive model, artificial neural networks, regression tree
Customer churn classification using machine learning techniquesSindhujanDhayalan
Advanced data mining project on classifying customer churn by
using machine learning algorithms such as random forest,
C5.0, Decision tree, KNN, ANN, and SVM. CRISP-DM approach was followed for developing the project. Accuracy rate, Error rate, Precision, Recall, F1 and ROC curve was generated using R programming and the efficient model was found comparing these values.
Data Mining on Customer Churn ClassificationKaushik Rajan
Implemented multiple classifiers to classify if a customer will leave or stay with the company based on multiple independent variables.
Tools used:
> RStudio for Exploratory data analysis, Data Pre-processing and building the models
> Tableau and RStudio for Visualization
> LATEX for documentation
Machine learning models used:
> Random Forest
> C5.0
> Decision tree
> Neural Network
> K-Nearest Neighbour
> Naive Bayes
> Support Vector Machine
Methodology: CRISP-DM
Predict Backorder on a supply chain data for an OrganizationPiyush Srivastava
Performed cleaning and founded the important variables and created a best model using different classification techniques (Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Decision tree, KNN, Neural Network, Support Vector Machine) to predict the back-order for an organization using the best modelling and technique approach.
Predicting churn with filter-based techniques and deep learningIJECEIAES
Customer churn prediction is of utmost importance in the telecommunications industry. Retaining customers through effective churn prevention strategies proves to be more cost-efficient. In this study, attribute selection analysis and deep learning are integrated to develop a customer churn prediction model to improve performance while reducing feature dimensions. The study includes the analysis of customer data attributes, exploratory data analysis, and data preprocessing for data quality enhancement. Next, significant features are selected using two attribute selection techniques, which are chi-square and analysis of variance (ANOVA). The selected features are fed into an artificial neural network (ANN) model for analysis and prediction. To enhance prediction performance and stability, a learning rate scheduler is deployed. Implementing the learning rate scheduler in the model can help prevent overfitting and enhance convergence speed. By dynamically adjusting the learning rate during the training process, the scheduler ensures that the model optimally adapts to the data while avoiding overfitting. The proposed model is evaluated using the Cell2Cell telecom database, and the results demonstrate that the proposed model exhibits a promising performance, showcasing its potential as an effective churn prediction solution in the telecommunications industry.
Data modeling with a focus on spam detection using K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) ...Alia Gismatullina
Project Insights:
- The Challenge: Connect5G was grappling with customer dissatisfaction due to a surge in spam messages. Our objective was to create an efficient, automated system to differentiate between spam and legitimate messages, thus preserving the integrity of customer experience.
- Approach Taken: We embarked on this project with a twofold strategy:
- Data Preparation: Undertook extensive data cleaning, exploration, and tokenization to prepare a rich dataset of spam and genuine messages for modeling.
- Modeling Techniques: Utilized K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) for its simplicity and effectiveness, alongside Decision Trees for their structured decision-making capability. The dataset's imbalance was addressed using SMOTE to enhance the model's predictive accuracy.
Findings: Our models demonstrated significant capabilities in spam detection, with SMOTE greatly improving balance and accuracy. The Decision Tree, when combined with SMOTE, emerged as a particularly effective tool due to its rapid prediction times, crucial for real-time applications.
Delve into the realm of predictive modeling for loan approval. Learn how data science is revolutionizing the lending industry, making the loan approval process faster, more accurate, and fairer. Discover the key factors that influence loan decisions and how predictive modelling is shaping the future of lending. visit https://bostoninstituteofanalytics.org/data-science-and-artificial-intelligence/ for more data science insights
Analysis of Common Supervised Learning Algorithms Through Applicationaciijournal
Supervised learning is a branch of machine learning wherein the machine is equipped with labelled data which it uses to create sophisticated models that can predict the labels of related unlabelled data. the literature on the field offers a wide spectrum of algorithms and applications. however, there is limited research available to compare the algorithms making it difficult for beginners to choose the most efficient algorithm and tune it for their application.
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Supervised learning is a branch of machine learning wherein the machine is equipped with labelled data
which it uses to create sophisticated models that can predict the labels of related unlabelled data.the
literature on the field offers a wide spectrum of algorithms and applications.however, there is limited
research available to compare the algorithms making it difficult for beginners to choose the most efficient
algorithm and tune it for their application.
This research aims to analyse the performance of common supervised learning algorithms when applied to
sample datasets along with the effect of hyper-parameter tuning.for the research, each algorithm is applied
to the datasets and the validation curves (for the hyper-parameters) and learning curves are analysed to
understand the sensitivity and performance of the algorithms.the research can guide new researchers
aiming to apply supervised learning algorithm to better understand, compare and select the appropriate
algorithm for their application. Additionally, they can also tune the hyper-parameters for improved
efficiency and create ensemble of algorithms for enhancing accuracy.
Dive deep into the world of insurance churn prediction with this captivating data analysis project presented by Boston Institute of Analytics. Our talented students embark on a journey to unravel the mysteries behind customer churn in the insurance industry, leveraging advanced data analysis techniques to forecast and anticipate customer behavior. From analyzing historical data and customer demographics to identifying predictive indicators and developing churn prediction models, this project offers a comprehensive exploration of the factors influencing insurance churn dynamics. Gain valuable insights and actionable recommendations derived from rigorous data analysis, presented in an engaging and informative format. Don't miss this opportunity to delve into the fascinating realm of data analysis and unlock new perspectives on insurance churn prediction. Explore the project now and embark on a journey of discovery with Boston Institute of Analytics. To learn more about our data science and artificial intelligence programs, visit https://bostoninstituteofanalytics.org/data-science-and-artificial-intelligence/.
# Internet Security: Safeguarding Your Digital World
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### Key Components of Internet Security
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2. **Integrity**: Protecting information from being altered or tampered with by unauthorized parties.
3. **Availability**: Ensuring that authorized users have reliable access to information and resources when needed.
## Common Internet Security Threats
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### Malware
Malware, or malicious software, is designed to harm, exploit, or otherwise compromise a device, network, or service. Common types of malware include:
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- **Trojan Horses**: Malicious software disguised as legitimate software.
- **Ransomware**: Malware that encrypts a user's files and demands a ransom for the decryption key.
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### Phishing
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### Man-in-the-Middle (MitM) Attacks
MitM attacks occur when an attacker intercepts and potentially alters communication between two parties without their knowledge. This can lead to the unauthorized acquisition of sensitive information.
### Denial-of-Service (DoS) and Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) Attacks
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TELECOMMUNICATION (2).pptx
1. TELECOMMUNICATION
CHURN
PREDICTION
Team Members :
1. Mr. Hareesh KC
2. Mr. Basavaraj Patil
3. Mr. Stalin A
4. Mr. Subash S
5. Mr. Sai Charan Teja
6. Mr. Manpreet Banja
Mentor Name : Mr.Varun Vennelaganti
Date : 29-04-2022
2. BUSINESS
PROBLEMS Customer churn is a big problem for
telecommunication companies. Indeed, their
annual churn rates are usually higher than 10%.
For that reason, they develop strategies to keep
as many clients as possible.
3. BUSINESS
OBJECTIVE
This is a classification project since the
variable to be predicted is binary (churn or
loyal customer). The Objective here is to
Predict churn probability, conditioned on the
customer features.
5. The data file telecommunications_churn.csv contains a
total of 19 features for 3333 customers. Each row
corresponds to a client of a telecommunications company
for whom it has been collected information about the type
of plan they have contracted, the minutes they have talked,
or the charge they pay every month.
6. The Data set contains 3333 Rows and 19 Columns
There are no Missing Values or Duplicate Records
7. Exploratory Data Analysis(EDA)
The Data types were all
Numerical , so we didn’t
have to convert .
Outliers Perform Important
Role , So we did not Remove
outliers.
8. EDA VISUALIZATIONS
Churn % is 14.5% ,
Whereas Non-Churn % is
85.5% Correlation Between the independent Variables
14. ANN MODEL
Accuracy for Artificial Neural Network Model is 89%
All the predicted values are matching.
15. Random Forest
Accuracy for Random forest is 93%
For test data 93% and train data 92%
So we can say there is no Overfitting or Underfitting
16. DECISION TREE
Accuracy of Decision tree Classifier is 100% for
training data and 93% for testing data.
Here the training data is dominating the testing
data so we can say that the model is overfitting.
17. KNN MODEL
Accuracy for KNN model is 99% for the training
data and 95% for the testing data.
The best value of K is 2 as predicted by the Graph.
18. SVM MODEL
Accuracy for SVM Model is 84% for the training
data and 85% for the testing data.
The model is balanced.
19. Gradient Boosting
Accuracy for Gradient Boosting Model is 100% for the
training data and 97% for the testing data.
20. When Choosing the Best Model, “RANDOM FOREST” is the Best Model with 95% Accuracy.
21. After the Model building and Evaluation
process, we have deployed the code using
“Streamlit”.
We have selected the best model and used in our
deployment
phase.