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Action Group SPADIS
Smart Water Prices and Drought Insurance
to cope with scarcity and droughts
Tackling water scarcity –
the critical role of economic incentives
Carlos M. Gómez
mario.gomez@uah.es
What drives water scarcity?
It never rains please everyone
Nature is the usual suspect!!
Yet Nature is not the one to be blamed
Where are investment incentives
for agricultural development
higher?
Here?
Or there?
0
5,000
10,000
EurosPerYearperhectare
Financial Returns: Rainfed vs Irrigated Agriculture
Source: Ministerio de Medio Ambiente (2008) Los Usos del Agua en la Economía Española. Informe Integrado de los
Usos del Agua.
Water is different ……
……………. and makes the difference
http://www.wri.org/our-work/project/aqueduct
Irrigated agriculture & water
stress
Scarcity is after all an incentive driven problem...
[like fishing where there is no fish]
When water is scarce,
incentives for investment are high....
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
HydropowerCapacity(FromInstalledInfrastructures)GW
HydropowerCappacity(Fromwateravailability)GWh
1940
1.3 GW
2015
17.8 GW
75 years of hydropower
development in Spain1940
1.3 GW
2015
17.8 GW
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
HydropowerCapacity(FromInstalledInfrastructures)GW
HydropowerCappacity(Fromwateravailability)GWh
Producible Potencia Instalada Hidroel. A 31 de dic
1940
34,620 GWh
2015
18,430GWh
…. But incentives for water conservation and policy
coordination are missing
When water is scarce:
INCENTIVES push to go further
with supply measures
When water is scarce:
Public interventions are more successful in increasing
water demand than supply
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Millioncubicmetres
When water is scarce
incentives are high to find new
and “non-conventional” water
sources
Euro cents/cubic metres
275 million cubic metres
already available at a cost
between 0.5 and 1.2 €/m3 in
the Segura River Basin
The Inverse supplyCurve of Reused and desalinatedWater in the Segura
River Basin.
Source: EPIWater Project
Nevertheless, when water is scarce……..
going further in depleting groundwater may
seem more appealing
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 20 40 60 80 100
Volume(hm3)
Eurocents/m3
Renewable
GW supply
Around 275 million cubic meters of
non-renewable water are pumped
out from groundwater sources at a
cost between 0.2 and 1 €/m3 in the
Segura River Basin
When water is scarce,
aquifer depletion can go ahead while
abundant and available sources of water
may remain unused
Water scarcity is after all a
governance failure
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
€/m3
Million of Cubic Meters
The supply curve of the Segura River Basin (SE Spain) – In a “normal” hydrological year
When water is scarce……….
We must look after the water portfolio
Transferred water
politically costly
and uncertain
Freshwater
financially cheap
when available
Groundwater
Reliable now but
Increasingly scarce
Desalinated water
abundant but
financially expensive
Reused water
Not abundant but
reliable
And rewire incentives for the long term
Give water security a price
To restore incentives for innovation along the
water cycle
And build water security:
Now: making long term investments affordable.
Tomorrow: recovering natural capital
In the long term: targeting the best water portfolio
Source: EPI Water project
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Eurocents/m3
Volume (hm3)
Water demand, non-renewable groundwater
Desalinated water supply, total costs
Desalinated water supply, only variable costs
Desalinated water supply
An overprice of 5-10 eurocents on drinking water would be enough to guarantee full water security for
non agricultural uses and to make desalinated water affordable on a regular basis for irrigation
Non-renewable groundwater demand
Source: EPI Water project
Mother Nature
knows best
But not about everything
Aquifers are not good as
income security providers….
Banks may do better
WTP for income insurance, selected agricultural districts in theTRB and SRB
When water is scarce people is willing to pay for
income Security
Source: EPI Water project
Not and easy task... ...but a feasible one
Institutional inertia
Technology lock in
Political will..
Coordination…
……
Better not to wait until the next
drought to promote change
“The definition of
insanity is doing
something over
and over again and
expecting a
different result”
Albert Einstein?
Ben Franklin?
MarkTwain?
Thanks for your attention

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Tackling water scarcity - the critical role of economic incentives

  • 1. Action Group SPADIS Smart Water Prices and Drought Insurance to cope with scarcity and droughts Tackling water scarcity – the critical role of economic incentives Carlos M. Gómez mario.gomez@uah.es
  • 2. What drives water scarcity? It never rains please everyone Nature is the usual suspect!!
  • 3. Yet Nature is not the one to be blamed Where are investment incentives for agricultural development higher? Here? Or there?
  • 4. 0 5,000 10,000 EurosPerYearperhectare Financial Returns: Rainfed vs Irrigated Agriculture Source: Ministerio de Medio Ambiente (2008) Los Usos del Agua en la Economía Española. Informe Integrado de los Usos del Agua. Water is different …… ……………. and makes the difference
  • 5. http://www.wri.org/our-work/project/aqueduct Irrigated agriculture & water stress Scarcity is after all an incentive driven problem... [like fishing where there is no fish]
  • 6. When water is scarce, incentives for investment are high.... 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 HydropowerCapacity(FromInstalledInfrastructures)GW HydropowerCappacity(Fromwateravailability)GWh 1940 1.3 GW 2015 17.8 GW 75 years of hydropower development in Spain1940 1.3 GW 2015 17.8 GW
  • 7. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 HydropowerCapacity(FromInstalledInfrastructures)GW HydropowerCappacity(Fromwateravailability)GWh Producible Potencia Instalada Hidroel. A 31 de dic 1940 34,620 GWh 2015 18,430GWh …. But incentives for water conservation and policy coordination are missing
  • 8. When water is scarce: INCENTIVES push to go further with supply measures
  • 9. When water is scarce: Public interventions are more successful in increasing water demand than supply
  • 10. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Millioncubicmetres When water is scarce incentives are high to find new and “non-conventional” water sources Euro cents/cubic metres 275 million cubic metres already available at a cost between 0.5 and 1.2 €/m3 in the Segura River Basin The Inverse supplyCurve of Reused and desalinatedWater in the Segura River Basin. Source: EPIWater Project
  • 11. Nevertheless, when water is scarce…….. going further in depleting groundwater may seem more appealing 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 20 40 60 80 100 Volume(hm3) Eurocents/m3 Renewable GW supply Around 275 million cubic meters of non-renewable water are pumped out from groundwater sources at a cost between 0.2 and 1 €/m3 in the Segura River Basin
  • 12. When water is scarce, aquifer depletion can go ahead while abundant and available sources of water may remain unused
  • 13. Water scarcity is after all a governance failure
  • 14. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 €/m3 Million of Cubic Meters The supply curve of the Segura River Basin (SE Spain) – In a “normal” hydrological year When water is scarce………. We must look after the water portfolio Transferred water politically costly and uncertain Freshwater financially cheap when available Groundwater Reliable now but Increasingly scarce Desalinated water abundant but financially expensive Reused water Not abundant but reliable And rewire incentives for the long term
  • 15. Give water security a price To restore incentives for innovation along the water cycle And build water security: Now: making long term investments affordable. Tomorrow: recovering natural capital In the long term: targeting the best water portfolio Source: EPI Water project
  • 16. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Eurocents/m3 Volume (hm3) Water demand, non-renewable groundwater Desalinated water supply, total costs Desalinated water supply, only variable costs Desalinated water supply An overprice of 5-10 eurocents on drinking water would be enough to guarantee full water security for non agricultural uses and to make desalinated water affordable on a regular basis for irrigation Non-renewable groundwater demand Source: EPI Water project
  • 17. Mother Nature knows best But not about everything Aquifers are not good as income security providers…. Banks may do better
  • 18. WTP for income insurance, selected agricultural districts in theTRB and SRB When water is scarce people is willing to pay for income Security Source: EPI Water project
  • 19. Not and easy task... ...but a feasible one Institutional inertia Technology lock in Political will.. Coordination… …… Better not to wait until the next drought to promote change
  • 20. “The definition of insanity is doing something over and over again and expecting a different result” Albert Einstein? Ben Franklin? MarkTwain?
  • 21. Thanks for your attention

Editor's Notes

  1. The first suspicious: Nature (It never rains to everyone’s taste.) The Population Institute estimates that 1.8bn people will be living in water-scarce regions. According to The Times of India, 22 out of 32 major Indian cities already deal with daily water shortages. 748M people globally still have no access to clean, safe water. At the same time agricultural water use alone is expected to increase by at least 19% by 2050.
  2. THE WATER PORTFOLIO INCLUDES (Financially) Cheap sources are scarce and unreliable (Financially) Expensive sources are abundant and safe. In the middle there are reliable but increasingly scarce and uncontrolled resources (underground) and reliable but limited (regenerated). And is current management is wrong Because: it would compromise the financial viability of the whole supply systems It pushes forward the unsustainable use of freshwater sources. It does contribute to increase insecurity in the long term. The SRB has pioneered the use of non-conventional water sources (desalination and wastewater) Desalination plants have the capacity to supply 388 hm3/year (20.4% of the water demand) However, they only supply 7.7%. This is explained by the comparatively higher prices of non-conventional water They are a last resort resource during droughts During normal hydrological years, non-conventional resources remain unused Keeping desalination plants idle makes them unsustainable in the medium/long term due to the high maintenance costs Simultaneously, conventional water resources are being overexploited and in some cases depleted This EPI wants to make non-conventional water prices affordable with the following objectives: In the short run, reduce the price of water security In the medium run, replace conventional sources with non-conventional sources to recover overexploited aquifers In the long run, increase water security To guarantee the existence of buffer stocks and to allow for the recovery of depleted aquifers as well as to reduce water demand on a current basis. Make non-conventional water affordable on a regular basis to In the short run, make long term investments affordable. In the medium run, replenish and recover overexploited aquifers In the long run, increase water security