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WHEN PRODUCT
SUBSCRIPTIONS
MAKE SENSE
FACTS &
NUMBERS
Ewa Wysocka
CEO at tribe47
Founder at PortalYogi
Arkadiusz Wiśniewski
CEO at Sublime
tribe47 executes
growth
Sublime
{measures} growth
1. Facts & trends that will surprise you (or not!)
2. Metrics that will confuse you 😝
3. Pros & cons that will confuse you even more 😬
4. Common approaches & conclusions to give you relief 😸
Session agenda >>
WHY?
70% of organisations have
deployed subscription
services or are considering it
Source: Gartner
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Customers
do sign up
for product
subscriptions
Source: Statista
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
And it
grows!
Source: eMarketer
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
1. Is subscription a good choice for EVERY
ecommerce?
2. How to make subscription successful?
{KEY QUESTIONS ON OUR MINDS}
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
SOME
THEORY
FIRST
There are
3 types
of subscription
businesses
>> SUBSCRIPTIONS IN ECOMMERCE
PRODUCT
subscriptions
(BOX subscriptions)
Source: Deloitte
SERVICE
subscriptions
E-COMMERCE
subscriptions
Your KAYA
PsiBufet
MięsnaPaczka Allegro
Amazon
Empik
Wyborcza
PortalYogi
>> SUBSCRIPTIONS IN ECOMMERCE
Replenishment
subscriptions
Curation
subscriptions
And 2 types
of PRODUCT
subscription
businesses
Your KAYA
nikalab
BirchBox
StichFix
PsiBufet
MięsnaPaczka
… and two common business models
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Subscription only
≫ Mięsna Paczka
≫ PsiBufet
Hybrid
≫ Your KAYA
≫ nikalab
Source: Sublime
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
First famous product
subscription in ecommerce
On July 19, 2016 it was acquired by Unilever for $1 billion
PROS
& CONS
2 main reasons companies
love subscriptions
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Revenue stability
≫ retention rate 3-5x higher!
Higher CLV
≫ CLV 1.6 - 3.6x higher!
Source: Sublime
The main reason companies have
troubles with subscriptions
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Higher CAC
≫ 1-3x higher
Source: Sublime
However, CLV / CAC ratio
is still 2–3 times higher
for subscriptions than
for one-off purchases
More on CLV / CAC HERE
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
2 main reasons customers choose
subscriptions
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Financial incentive first!
Source: Deloitte
Convenience second
Typical price difference
between one-offs
& subscriptions
15% – 25%
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Source: Sublime
Make sure subscription
discount is higher than your
best promo!
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Main reasons why customers don’t
buy subscriptions:
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Prefer to pay as they go
Don’t see the value
They are occasional users
Source: McKinsey
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Can the subscription
payment method
(card–only) be an issue?
1. USA: 80%+
2. UK: 75%+
3. GERMANY: 55% +
4. POLAND: 25%
% of subscription-friendly payments
in ecommerce (digital wallet & card)
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Over 55% of online
payments are done
via BLIK & Bank Transfers
Your Persona perspective
will play a role here!
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
HOW TO
RETAIN IT
“only 20% [of subscription
businesses] will succeed
in increasing customer
retention.”
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Source: Gartner
Reasons customers cancel subscription
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Dissatisfaction with the product
Prefer to pay as they go
Don’t see the value
Lack of flexibility
Source: Delloite
“A successful subscription
business’s economic value
is a function of the strength
of the HABITS they create.”
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Not all subscription
businesses are linked
to existing, strong HABITS
– like shaving or using
tampons
How habits form:
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Trigger (which prompts customers to use the product)
Action (the habitual behavior)
Variable Reward (which satisfies users’ need for the service)
Investment (which makes the product more valuable to the user with use)
Source: Nir Eyal
3 reasons why subscriptions fail
according to Nir Eyal
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Too Many Steps to Psychological Relief
Not Offering Enough Novelty
Lack of Stored Value
Source: Nir Eyal
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Brands started
addressing it
WHAT’S
NEXT
Forecasts about subscription segments
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Segment to be
THE BIGGEST
Source: Kerney
Segment to grow
THE FASTEST
BEAUTY & PERSONAL
CARE
FOOD & SNACKS
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Subscription segments by customer
interest:
Source: Kerney
Go home with your own
conclusion today!
Other cool books on
subscription psychology
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Referred reports & Articles:
>> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
Deloitte
McKinsey
Kerney
Nir Eyal
THANK
YOU
>>

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Sublime x tribe47 | When product subscription makes sense – facts & numbers.pdf

  • 2. Ewa Wysocka CEO at tribe47 Founder at PortalYogi Arkadiusz Wiśniewski CEO at Sublime
  • 4. 1. Facts & trends that will surprise you (or not!) 2. Metrics that will confuse you 😝 3. Pros & cons that will confuse you even more 😬 4. Common approaches & conclusions to give you relief 😸 Session agenda >>
  • 6. 70% of organisations have deployed subscription services or are considering it Source: Gartner >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 7. Customers do sign up for product subscriptions Source: Statista >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 8. And it grows! Source: eMarketer >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 9. 1. Is subscription a good choice for EVERY ecommerce? 2. How to make subscription successful? {KEY QUESTIONS ON OUR MINDS} >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 11. There are 3 types of subscription businesses >> SUBSCRIPTIONS IN ECOMMERCE PRODUCT subscriptions (BOX subscriptions) Source: Deloitte SERVICE subscriptions E-COMMERCE subscriptions Your KAYA PsiBufet MięsnaPaczka Allegro Amazon Empik Wyborcza PortalYogi
  • 12. >> SUBSCRIPTIONS IN ECOMMERCE Replenishment subscriptions Curation subscriptions And 2 types of PRODUCT subscription businesses Your KAYA nikalab BirchBox StichFix PsiBufet MięsnaPaczka
  • 13. … and two common business models >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Subscription only ≫ Mięsna Paczka ≫ PsiBufet Hybrid ≫ Your KAYA ≫ nikalab Source: Sublime
  • 14. >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE First famous product subscription in ecommerce On July 19, 2016 it was acquired by Unilever for $1 billion
  • 16. 2 main reasons companies love subscriptions >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Revenue stability ≫ retention rate 3-5x higher! Higher CLV ≫ CLV 1.6 - 3.6x higher! Source: Sublime
  • 17. The main reason companies have troubles with subscriptions >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Higher CAC ≫ 1-3x higher Source: Sublime
  • 18. However, CLV / CAC ratio is still 2–3 times higher for subscriptions than for one-off purchases More on CLV / CAC HERE >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 19. 2 main reasons customers choose subscriptions >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Financial incentive first! Source: Deloitte Convenience second
  • 20. Typical price difference between one-offs & subscriptions 15% – 25% >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Source: Sublime
  • 21. Make sure subscription discount is higher than your best promo! >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 22. Main reasons why customers don’t buy subscriptions: >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Prefer to pay as they go Don’t see the value They are occasional users Source: McKinsey
  • 23. >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Can the subscription payment method (card–only) be an issue?
  • 24. 1. USA: 80%+ 2. UK: 75%+ 3. GERMANY: 55% + 4. POLAND: 25% % of subscription-friendly payments in ecommerce (digital wallet & card) >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Over 55% of online payments are done via BLIK & Bank Transfers
  • 25. Your Persona perspective will play a role here! >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 27. “only 20% [of subscription businesses] will succeed in increasing customer retention.” >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Source: Gartner
  • 28. Reasons customers cancel subscription >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Dissatisfaction with the product Prefer to pay as they go Don’t see the value Lack of flexibility Source: Delloite
  • 29. “A successful subscription business’s economic value is a function of the strength of the HABITS they create.” >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 30. >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Not all subscription businesses are linked to existing, strong HABITS – like shaving or using tampons
  • 31. How habits form: >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Trigger (which prompts customers to use the product) Action (the habitual behavior) Variable Reward (which satisfies users’ need for the service) Investment (which makes the product more valuable to the user with use) Source: Nir Eyal
  • 32. 3 reasons why subscriptions fail according to Nir Eyal >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Too Many Steps to Psychological Relief Not Offering Enough Novelty Lack of Stored Value Source: Nir Eyal
  • 33. >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Brands started addressing it
  • 35. Forecasts about subscription segments >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Segment to be THE BIGGEST Source: Kerney Segment to grow THE FASTEST BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE FOOD & SNACKS
  • 36. >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Subscription segments by customer interest: Source: Kerney
  • 37. Go home with your own conclusion today!
  • 38. Other cool books on subscription psychology >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE
  • 39. Referred reports & Articles: >> SUBSCRIPTION IN ECOMMERCE Deloitte McKinsey Kerney Nir Eyal