Faced with the possibility of permanence of the disastrous Dilma Rousseff government in power and, taking into account that the country moves swiftly to the economic collapse of serious political and social consequences, the trend was the emergence of a political and institutional crisis that can put in order day the return of the military to power for maintaining the ruling order. It will be impossible, an unpopular government like that of Dilma Rousseff maintain order in a context of mass unemployment, growing indebtedness of the population and bankruptcies of companies as is already happening. The current economic situation is unsustainable. This is the big risk of permanence of Dilma Rousseff government in power. All those fighting for the current government stay in power would be contributing thus to the occurrence of this scenario considering that all government action is geared towards keeping the bankrupt neoliberal economic model and not to propose new directions for the national economy.
It seems that if Dilma Rousseff is not destituted of power through impeachment by the responsibility of crime described lines ago, Brazil can be the stage of upheaval with the confrontation between the overwhelming majority of the Brazilian people that want their deposition and the supporters of Government of unpredictable consequences. One must consider the lessons of history that teach us that the social upheaval can lead to the establishment of dictatorships. This is the risk that threatens the Brazilian society. Does Brazil face the possibility of a tragic future economic and political? This scenario depends on the outcome that may occur with respect to the impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff.
It will be inevitable the impeachment of Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff not only due to fiscal responsibility crimes that she has committed, but also by all the devastating work on the Brazilian economy that she and Lula held that and Lula held it in 13 years of PT governments. The balance of 13 years of PT governments indicates the lack of commitment of both governments to the great struggles of the Brazilian people carried on the past 50 years, a historical inconsistency traitor. This inconsistency has occurred, especially in the economic and moral planes. Inconsistency in the economic sphere is manifested in the fact that both governments have given continuity to the neoliberal and anti-national policy of the Fernando Collor, Itamar Franco and Fernando Henrique Cardoso following what established the Washington Consensus in the 1990s. On the moral sphere, it was institutionalized systemic corruption in the PT governments that contributed to pushing Petrobras and the country to bankruptcy.
How dilma rousseff can conquer governability to keep in powerFernando Alcoforado
Governability express the possibility of the government of a nation hold public policies resulting from the convergence of multiple instances of the national state with each other and this with the civil society organizations. Within the national state has observed the growth of opposition to the Dilma Rousseff government in parliament that swells with the resistance against their recessive and anti-social economic policy, as well as its bad relationship with supporters sectors related to its support base in Congress. Under the Civil Society already observed opposition movements to the government's economic policy by sectors linked to labor unions and the middle class that also react against the administrative debacle, ethical and moral of those in power. The opposition to the Dilma Rousseff government and the PT (Worker Party) is growing to the point that some sectors of civil society propose the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff and other even military intervention.
President Lula said in his inaugural speech in 2003 he won the election because hope (of the people) won fear (of change). However, when taking office, President Lula and his team have shown that the fear of facing the real causes of national problems overlapped on the hope of the people to carry out the changes required to promote economic and social progress of Brazil because it kept neoliberal economic policy of the Fernando Henrique Cardoso government.
Instead of mobilizing civil society to together with the government to develop and implement a national development plan capable of breaking the barriers to economic and social progress of Brazil that correspond to the true interests of the majority of the Brazilian people, governments of PT (Worker Party) of Lula and Dilma Rousseff decided to maintain the neoliberal economic model opened in the Fernando Collor government which resulted in increased dependence of the country on foreign capital and low economic growth.
Urges the construction of a new alternative of political power in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The lack of political conditions to make economic changes that meet the interests of the nation and ensure the governance of the current power holders is committed because the government Dilma Rousseff has shown not have political force, does not have enough power and have no leadership to propose the nation a national development project that contributes to reverse the current situation. Time works against the government Dilma Rousseff whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population. All this set of factors can contribute to growth the movement for impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. Given this perspective, the Brazilian nation have to build a new alternative power with the creation of a new party that is the antithesis of the parties that held power after the military regime and demonstrate they are unable to promote economic and social development of country for the benefit of the vast majority of its population, and many of them are complicit with systemic corruption that advances in all instances of national power.
The future trajectory of Brazil is of growing political instability because the Brazilian economic crisis has structural roots, it is systemic and the Dilma Rousseff government does not meet policy and managerial competence to overcome it. The Brazilian government's inability manifests itself not only in solving today's problems, but above all for jeopardizing the future of the nation. Time conspires against the Dilma Rousseff government whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population as has been found in recent surveys where only 7% of the population approves of his government. The Brazilian population is against the Dilma Rousseff government what is seen as responsible for corruption at Petrobras and also for their economic decisions in the post-election period contrary to the interests of the people (increase in taxes, temporary blocking spending, more expensive energy with cutting subsidies for the electricity sector and changes in the rules of social benefits).
It seems that if Dilma Rousseff is not destituted of power through impeachment by the responsibility of crime described lines ago, Brazil can be the stage of upheaval with the confrontation between the overwhelming majority of the Brazilian people that want their deposition and the supporters of Government of unpredictable consequences. One must consider the lessons of history that teach us that the social upheaval can lead to the establishment of dictatorships. This is the risk that threatens the Brazilian society. Does Brazil face the possibility of a tragic future economic and political? This scenario depends on the outcome that may occur with respect to the impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff.
It will be inevitable the impeachment of Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff not only due to fiscal responsibility crimes that she has committed, but also by all the devastating work on the Brazilian economy that she and Lula held that and Lula held it in 13 years of PT governments. The balance of 13 years of PT governments indicates the lack of commitment of both governments to the great struggles of the Brazilian people carried on the past 50 years, a historical inconsistency traitor. This inconsistency has occurred, especially in the economic and moral planes. Inconsistency in the economic sphere is manifested in the fact that both governments have given continuity to the neoliberal and anti-national policy of the Fernando Collor, Itamar Franco and Fernando Henrique Cardoso following what established the Washington Consensus in the 1990s. On the moral sphere, it was institutionalized systemic corruption in the PT governments that contributed to pushing Petrobras and the country to bankruptcy.
How dilma rousseff can conquer governability to keep in powerFernando Alcoforado
Governability express the possibility of the government of a nation hold public policies resulting from the convergence of multiple instances of the national state with each other and this with the civil society organizations. Within the national state has observed the growth of opposition to the Dilma Rousseff government in parliament that swells with the resistance against their recessive and anti-social economic policy, as well as its bad relationship with supporters sectors related to its support base in Congress. Under the Civil Society already observed opposition movements to the government's economic policy by sectors linked to labor unions and the middle class that also react against the administrative debacle, ethical and moral of those in power. The opposition to the Dilma Rousseff government and the PT (Worker Party) is growing to the point that some sectors of civil society propose the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff and other even military intervention.
President Lula said in his inaugural speech in 2003 he won the election because hope (of the people) won fear (of change). However, when taking office, President Lula and his team have shown that the fear of facing the real causes of national problems overlapped on the hope of the people to carry out the changes required to promote economic and social progress of Brazil because it kept neoliberal economic policy of the Fernando Henrique Cardoso government.
Instead of mobilizing civil society to together with the government to develop and implement a national development plan capable of breaking the barriers to economic and social progress of Brazil that correspond to the true interests of the majority of the Brazilian people, governments of PT (Worker Party) of Lula and Dilma Rousseff decided to maintain the neoliberal economic model opened in the Fernando Collor government which resulted in increased dependence of the country on foreign capital and low economic growth.
Urges the construction of a new alternative of political power in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The lack of political conditions to make economic changes that meet the interests of the nation and ensure the governance of the current power holders is committed because the government Dilma Rousseff has shown not have political force, does not have enough power and have no leadership to propose the nation a national development project that contributes to reverse the current situation. Time works against the government Dilma Rousseff whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population. All this set of factors can contribute to growth the movement for impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. Given this perspective, the Brazilian nation have to build a new alternative power with the creation of a new party that is the antithesis of the parties that held power after the military regime and demonstrate they are unable to promote economic and social development of country for the benefit of the vast majority of its population, and many of them are complicit with systemic corruption that advances in all instances of national power.
The future trajectory of Brazil is of growing political instability because the Brazilian economic crisis has structural roots, it is systemic and the Dilma Rousseff government does not meet policy and managerial competence to overcome it. The Brazilian government's inability manifests itself not only in solving today's problems, but above all for jeopardizing the future of the nation. Time conspires against the Dilma Rousseff government whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population as has been found in recent surveys where only 7% of the population approves of his government. The Brazilian population is against the Dilma Rousseff government what is seen as responsible for corruption at Petrobras and also for their economic decisions in the post-election period contrary to the interests of the people (increase in taxes, temporary blocking spending, more expensive energy with cutting subsidies for the electricity sector and changes in the rules of social benefits).
Brazil's future depends on a new constituent and retaking of developmentFernando Alcoforado
The path that can lead to economic and social progress in Brazil requires the overcoming of political and economic crises that threaten the future of the country. Overcoming the political crisis requires the convening of an Exclusive National Constituent Assembly to reorder the national life before the bankruptcy of political system in force in Brazil. Overcoming the economic crisis requires the restructuring of the Brazilian economy on new foundations radically different from the current model.
The disastrous Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer governments contributed to Brazil's present lower GDP (Gross Domestic Product) than in 2010 and made the economy of 12 states of the federation plus the Federal District (DF) back to the baseline of the beginning of the decade (2010).
Political scenarios of brazil after dilma rousseff governmentFernando Alcoforado
Before the deep economic crisis that leads to Brazil's economy to stagflation, the policy and managerial inability of the federal government to manage the destinies of the nation and the widespread corruption that dominates the country is being put on the agenda the possibility of impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff's. Currently, there is a national clamor for the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency either through impeachment or a military intervention.
How to strengthen the movement by impeachment of dilma rousseff in brazilFernando Alcoforado
It is evident the growing deterioration of social movements in favor of impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff. This deterioration would be motivated by the political difficulties of carrying out impeachment in Congress and legal barriers within the Supreme Court. There is evidence that it is not enough conduct street movements as a strategy to pressure the National Congress and the Supreme Court seeking the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. This strategy has to be coupled with actions that lead to extensive occupation of public buildings and the convening of a general strike throughout the country to demand the resignation or impeachment of Dilma Rousseff as president of the Republic.
Brazil is facing a political-institutional problem difficult to solve because the ruler (Dilma Rousseff) cannot rule as before and who is ruled (most of the population) does not accept being ruled as before. The worsening economic situation in Brazil and the inability of Dilma Rousseff government to overcome the crisis and to govern in harmony with the will of the majority of the population makes this situation is brought to a gigantic impasse between the state and civil society that will only be ultimately resolved with a military intervention as proposed by some or impeachment or resignation of Dilma Rousseff.
Dilma rousseff government is factor of political and institutional instabilit...Fernando Alcoforado
The governability of a country is only achieved when the government has the support of the vast majority of the population and its different social classes, in addition to having parliamentary majority to implement its policies. To have governance, the government must meet the demands of different social classes to get the support of civil society and should have the support of political parties in Parliament for the approval of their legislative proposals. In short, governance relates to government policy capacity to decide, enabling the execution of public policies. Dilma Rousseff does not meet any of these conditions to govern the Brazilian nation.
power in Brazil to replace the disastrous Dilma Rousseff government presenting numerous weaknesses, very few strengths and very many threats to its success.It seems that Michel Temer will not have enough time to reverse the economic collapse of Brazil. Considering the Michel Temer inability to resolve the economic crisis and Dilma Rousseff incapacity to achieve this goal if she comes back to power after no impeachment in the Senate may emerge a scenario of uncontrollable political, economic and social chaos in Brazil. This scenario should be characterized by a permanent state of violence in the social environment in the country. To build social peace in Brazil will need to call new elections or a Constituent Assembly Exclusive to reorder the national life, seek the country's consensus in resolving the economic and social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in Brazil and hold new general elections in the country.
Lula was never a practitioner of ethics either as a trade unionist or as a militant politician, since, as a trade unionist, he was in the service of the military regime to combat the communists and laborers who dominated the trade union movement and, in creating the PT, barred Brizola's pretensions to winning the presidency of the Republic. When he seized power in 2003 he made spurious alliances with the scum of Brazilian politics, he doubled the dictates of capital, especially the capital, and dismantled the social movements that became the maneuvering mass of his government. In addition, she helped lead the country into bankruptcy with the maintenance of the neoliberal economic model and the choice of the incompetent Dilma Rousseff to succeed him, in addition to forming a gang that assaulted the public coffers. Lula's destiny is the trash of history.
Unfortunately, either with the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff or not, Brazil's future is threatened because neither Dilma Rousseff nor Michel Temer will be able to avoid the collapse of the economic system and the political and institutional system of Brazil. Avoid the collapse of the economic system and the political and institutional system in Brazil would be the preconditions for the retaking of Brazil's development in the future that only a new government elected in 2018 with support of the population would be able to accomplish.
The dilma rousseff government and banks united against brazilian peopleFernando Alcoforado
Dilma Rousseff government is committed towards making the fiscal adjustment he proposes be taken forward to ensure the realization of the so-called primary surplus that does not represent nothing less than the payment guarantee by the federal government's of debt service public that benefits mainly the financial system, particularly banks. To achieve this goal, the Brazilian government presented the proposal to cut more than R$ 70 billion in its spending, including social programs. An economy of this magnitude will aggravate the recession that hit Brazil at the time and that will lead to GDP decline of 1.2% in 2016. The proposal of Dilma Rousseff government contains an "evil package" against the workers and the Brazilian people in general by restricting the granting of unemployment insurance, the salary bonus and pension for death and disease and a "goodness package" for the benefit of the financial sector with the guarantee of payment of the public debt and of the employer sector in general with exemptions.
Signs of economic, political and social ruination are already present in Brazil indicating the strong possibility of the country to be convulsed in 2016 by the confrontation between the political forces interested in the removal of Dilma Rousseff of power and those who fight for their stay in the Presidencyof the Republic. It seems that in 2016, Brazil will be politically convulsed with the confrontation between supporters and opponents of the current government. This may cause them to also street clashes that may require the intervention of the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order. In other words, whether to dismiss or stay in power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil will be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences.
Brazil is living decisive moments in its history. It is necessary to change the failed political-institutional system, the inefficient and in ineffective system of public administration and the failed neoliberal economic system to promote Brazil's journey towards economic and social progress. The future of Brazil is in the hands of the Brazilian people.
William Shakespeare, English poet and playwright, considered the greatest writer in the English language and the most influential playwright in the world, is author in his theatrical play King Lear of the phrase "What a terrible this time where idiots drive unseeing”. This phrase applies perfectly to Brazil of the contemporary era in which we find the existence of idiots, ie rulers devoid of intelligence and common sense in the nation's command driving unseeing, that is, the incompetent members of government structure that already are leading the country to bankruptcy.
The harmful effects of neoliberalism about brazil and how to overcome themFernando Alcoforado
The practice has demonstrated the impracticability of the neoliberal economic model in Brazil inaugurated by President Fernando Collor in 1990 and maintained by Presidents Itamar Franco, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Lula and Dilma Rousseff. Low economic growth in Brazil and the disproportionate rise in federal debt during the Cardoso, Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments demonstrate the infeasibility of the neoliberal model implemented in the country. Not only FHC left a compromising economic legacy of Brazil's development. Lula and Rousseff are also responsible for this situation because they were not able to adopt an economic model that would contribute to the effectiveness of economic and social progress in Brazil.As far as the Cardoso government, Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments maintained the neoliberal model that helped to cause real havoc in the Brazilian economy from 2002 to 2014 set in: 1) the meager economic growth and runaway inflation; 2) the bottlenecks on the economic and social infrastructure; 3) the de-industrialization of the Brazilian economy; 4) the explosion of internal and external debt, the denationalization of the Brazilian economy and the deepening financial crisis in the public sector; 5) the failure of government social policy and the elimination of regional inequalities; 6) the worsening state of the environment; and 7) the resumption of privatization policy.
The governability of a country is only achieved when the government has a parliamentary majority to implement its policies and has the support of the vast majority of the population and the various social classes. Dilma Rousseff government seems no longer have the necessary conditions to rule Brazil, not only because they do not have the support of the parliamentary majority in Congress, but also because no longer have the nation's most support that enabled her win the last presidential elections.
Brazil facing internal economic problems and the ruin of the world economyFernando Alcoforado
Brazil faces two major obstacles to its development: 1) the neoliberalism that has been devastating the country since 1990; and 2) the process of ruining the world economy. The economic model. It is urgent that the Brazilian State take the reins of the national economy by abandoning the failed neoliberal economic model to reactivate the Brazilian economy and full employment. Brazil should fight in international fora for the establishment of a stable international financial system not subordinated to financial capital and the establishment of a democratic world government that, in addition to promoting economic ordering on a world scale, should create the conditions to meet the great challenges of the world. humanity in the 21st century.
Nas eleições presidenciais norte-americanas se confrontam Hillary Clinton que defende a globalização e a manutenção do equilíbrio de poder entre as grandes potências no plano internacional e Donald Trump que se opõe à globalização e busca a retomada da hegemonia mundial pelos Estados Unidos. Donald Trump, que representa uma reação visando reverter o declínio mundial dos Estados Unidos, mostra um comportamento político marcado pela preocupação obsessiva contra o declínio econômico, a humilhação e a vitimização do país e na defesa do culto compensatório da unidade e energia nacional, na qual buscaria através da violência redentora e sem controles éticos ou legais objetivos de expansão externa. A atuação de Trump poderia levar ao risco de instabilidade internacional e, consequentemente, de conflagração mundial.
A Agência Internacional de Energia (AIE) advertiu que "o mundo se encaminhará para um futuro energético insustentável" se os governos não adotarem "medidas urgentes" para otimizar os recursos disponíveis (Ver o artigo AIE: mundo se encaminha para futuro energético insustentável publicado no website <http: />). Para otimizar os recursos energéticos disponíveis no planeta, é preciso dar início à terceira revolução energética que deve se traduzir na implantação de um sistema de energia sustentável em escala planetária. Em um sistema de energia sustentável, a produção mundial de petróleo deveria ser reduzida à metade e a de carvão de 90%, enquanto a de fontes de energia renováveis (solar, eólica, biomassa, maremotriz, geotérmica, hidrogênio, etc.) deveria crescer quase 4 vezes até 2030. No ano 2030, as energias renováveis deveriam ser da ordem de 70% da produção total de energia do planeta.
Brazil's future depends on a new constituent and retaking of developmentFernando Alcoforado
The path that can lead to economic and social progress in Brazil requires the overcoming of political and economic crises that threaten the future of the country. Overcoming the political crisis requires the convening of an Exclusive National Constituent Assembly to reorder the national life before the bankruptcy of political system in force in Brazil. Overcoming the economic crisis requires the restructuring of the Brazilian economy on new foundations radically different from the current model.
The disastrous Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer governments contributed to Brazil's present lower GDP (Gross Domestic Product) than in 2010 and made the economy of 12 states of the federation plus the Federal District (DF) back to the baseline of the beginning of the decade (2010).
Political scenarios of brazil after dilma rousseff governmentFernando Alcoforado
Before the deep economic crisis that leads to Brazil's economy to stagflation, the policy and managerial inability of the federal government to manage the destinies of the nation and the widespread corruption that dominates the country is being put on the agenda the possibility of impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff's. Currently, there is a national clamor for the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency either through impeachment or a military intervention.
How to strengthen the movement by impeachment of dilma rousseff in brazilFernando Alcoforado
It is evident the growing deterioration of social movements in favor of impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff. This deterioration would be motivated by the political difficulties of carrying out impeachment in Congress and legal barriers within the Supreme Court. There is evidence that it is not enough conduct street movements as a strategy to pressure the National Congress and the Supreme Court seeking the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. This strategy has to be coupled with actions that lead to extensive occupation of public buildings and the convening of a general strike throughout the country to demand the resignation or impeachment of Dilma Rousseff as president of the Republic.
Brazil is facing a political-institutional problem difficult to solve because the ruler (Dilma Rousseff) cannot rule as before and who is ruled (most of the population) does not accept being ruled as before. The worsening economic situation in Brazil and the inability of Dilma Rousseff government to overcome the crisis and to govern in harmony with the will of the majority of the population makes this situation is brought to a gigantic impasse between the state and civil society that will only be ultimately resolved with a military intervention as proposed by some or impeachment or resignation of Dilma Rousseff.
Dilma rousseff government is factor of political and institutional instabilit...Fernando Alcoforado
The governability of a country is only achieved when the government has the support of the vast majority of the population and its different social classes, in addition to having parliamentary majority to implement its policies. To have governance, the government must meet the demands of different social classes to get the support of civil society and should have the support of political parties in Parliament for the approval of their legislative proposals. In short, governance relates to government policy capacity to decide, enabling the execution of public policies. Dilma Rousseff does not meet any of these conditions to govern the Brazilian nation.
power in Brazil to replace the disastrous Dilma Rousseff government presenting numerous weaknesses, very few strengths and very many threats to its success.It seems that Michel Temer will not have enough time to reverse the economic collapse of Brazil. Considering the Michel Temer inability to resolve the economic crisis and Dilma Rousseff incapacity to achieve this goal if she comes back to power after no impeachment in the Senate may emerge a scenario of uncontrollable political, economic and social chaos in Brazil. This scenario should be characterized by a permanent state of violence in the social environment in the country. To build social peace in Brazil will need to call new elections or a Constituent Assembly Exclusive to reorder the national life, seek the country's consensus in resolving the economic and social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in Brazil and hold new general elections in the country.
Lula was never a practitioner of ethics either as a trade unionist or as a militant politician, since, as a trade unionist, he was in the service of the military regime to combat the communists and laborers who dominated the trade union movement and, in creating the PT, barred Brizola's pretensions to winning the presidency of the Republic. When he seized power in 2003 he made spurious alliances with the scum of Brazilian politics, he doubled the dictates of capital, especially the capital, and dismantled the social movements that became the maneuvering mass of his government. In addition, she helped lead the country into bankruptcy with the maintenance of the neoliberal economic model and the choice of the incompetent Dilma Rousseff to succeed him, in addition to forming a gang that assaulted the public coffers. Lula's destiny is the trash of history.
Unfortunately, either with the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff or not, Brazil's future is threatened because neither Dilma Rousseff nor Michel Temer will be able to avoid the collapse of the economic system and the political and institutional system of Brazil. Avoid the collapse of the economic system and the political and institutional system in Brazil would be the preconditions for the retaking of Brazil's development in the future that only a new government elected in 2018 with support of the population would be able to accomplish.
The dilma rousseff government and banks united against brazilian peopleFernando Alcoforado
Dilma Rousseff government is committed towards making the fiscal adjustment he proposes be taken forward to ensure the realization of the so-called primary surplus that does not represent nothing less than the payment guarantee by the federal government's of debt service public that benefits mainly the financial system, particularly banks. To achieve this goal, the Brazilian government presented the proposal to cut more than R$ 70 billion in its spending, including social programs. An economy of this magnitude will aggravate the recession that hit Brazil at the time and that will lead to GDP decline of 1.2% in 2016. The proposal of Dilma Rousseff government contains an "evil package" against the workers and the Brazilian people in general by restricting the granting of unemployment insurance, the salary bonus and pension for death and disease and a "goodness package" for the benefit of the financial sector with the guarantee of payment of the public debt and of the employer sector in general with exemptions.
Signs of economic, political and social ruination are already present in Brazil indicating the strong possibility of the country to be convulsed in 2016 by the confrontation between the political forces interested in the removal of Dilma Rousseff of power and those who fight for their stay in the Presidencyof the Republic. It seems that in 2016, Brazil will be politically convulsed with the confrontation between supporters and opponents of the current government. This may cause them to also street clashes that may require the intervention of the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order. In other words, whether to dismiss or stay in power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil will be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences.
Brazil is living decisive moments in its history. It is necessary to change the failed political-institutional system, the inefficient and in ineffective system of public administration and the failed neoliberal economic system to promote Brazil's journey towards economic and social progress. The future of Brazil is in the hands of the Brazilian people.
William Shakespeare, English poet and playwright, considered the greatest writer in the English language and the most influential playwright in the world, is author in his theatrical play King Lear of the phrase "What a terrible this time where idiots drive unseeing”. This phrase applies perfectly to Brazil of the contemporary era in which we find the existence of idiots, ie rulers devoid of intelligence and common sense in the nation's command driving unseeing, that is, the incompetent members of government structure that already are leading the country to bankruptcy.
The harmful effects of neoliberalism about brazil and how to overcome themFernando Alcoforado
The practice has demonstrated the impracticability of the neoliberal economic model in Brazil inaugurated by President Fernando Collor in 1990 and maintained by Presidents Itamar Franco, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Lula and Dilma Rousseff. Low economic growth in Brazil and the disproportionate rise in federal debt during the Cardoso, Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments demonstrate the infeasibility of the neoliberal model implemented in the country. Not only FHC left a compromising economic legacy of Brazil's development. Lula and Rousseff are also responsible for this situation because they were not able to adopt an economic model that would contribute to the effectiveness of economic and social progress in Brazil.As far as the Cardoso government, Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments maintained the neoliberal model that helped to cause real havoc in the Brazilian economy from 2002 to 2014 set in: 1) the meager economic growth and runaway inflation; 2) the bottlenecks on the economic and social infrastructure; 3) the de-industrialization of the Brazilian economy; 4) the explosion of internal and external debt, the denationalization of the Brazilian economy and the deepening financial crisis in the public sector; 5) the failure of government social policy and the elimination of regional inequalities; 6) the worsening state of the environment; and 7) the resumption of privatization policy.
The governability of a country is only achieved when the government has a parliamentary majority to implement its policies and has the support of the vast majority of the population and the various social classes. Dilma Rousseff government seems no longer have the necessary conditions to rule Brazil, not only because they do not have the support of the parliamentary majority in Congress, but also because no longer have the nation's most support that enabled her win the last presidential elections.
Brazil facing internal economic problems and the ruin of the world economyFernando Alcoforado
Brazil faces two major obstacles to its development: 1) the neoliberalism that has been devastating the country since 1990; and 2) the process of ruining the world economy. The economic model. It is urgent that the Brazilian State take the reins of the national economy by abandoning the failed neoliberal economic model to reactivate the Brazilian economy and full employment. Brazil should fight in international fora for the establishment of a stable international financial system not subordinated to financial capital and the establishment of a democratic world government that, in addition to promoting economic ordering on a world scale, should create the conditions to meet the great challenges of the world. humanity in the 21st century.
Nas eleições presidenciais norte-americanas se confrontam Hillary Clinton que defende a globalização e a manutenção do equilíbrio de poder entre as grandes potências no plano internacional e Donald Trump que se opõe à globalização e busca a retomada da hegemonia mundial pelos Estados Unidos. Donald Trump, que representa uma reação visando reverter o declínio mundial dos Estados Unidos, mostra um comportamento político marcado pela preocupação obsessiva contra o declínio econômico, a humilhação e a vitimização do país e na defesa do culto compensatório da unidade e energia nacional, na qual buscaria através da violência redentora e sem controles éticos ou legais objetivos de expansão externa. A atuação de Trump poderia levar ao risco de instabilidade internacional e, consequentemente, de conflagração mundial.
A Agência Internacional de Energia (AIE) advertiu que "o mundo se encaminhará para um futuro energético insustentável" se os governos não adotarem "medidas urgentes" para otimizar os recursos disponíveis (Ver o artigo AIE: mundo se encaminha para futuro energético insustentável publicado no website <http: />). Para otimizar os recursos energéticos disponíveis no planeta, é preciso dar início à terceira revolução energética que deve se traduzir na implantação de um sistema de energia sustentável em escala planetária. Em um sistema de energia sustentável, a produção mundial de petróleo deveria ser reduzida à metade e a de carvão de 90%, enquanto a de fontes de energia renováveis (solar, eólica, biomassa, maremotriz, geotérmica, hidrogênio, etc.) deveria crescer quase 4 vezes até 2030. No ano 2030, as energias renováveis deveriam ser da ordem de 70% da produção total de energia do planeta.
The siege of lava jato operation to heads of gang who robbed petrobrasFernando Alcoforado
The federal police sparked the 14th stage of the investigation to the fulfillment of eight preventive arrest warrants, four temporary detention, nine forceful and 38 search and seizure, in São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais and Rio Grande do Sul. Search and seizure warrants were met at the headquarters of the contractors Odebrecht and Andrade Gutierrez and the home of its executives. The prisoners were sent to the Superintendency of the Federal Police in Curitiba, Paraná, where they will be available to the Court. With the arrest of top leaders of the business front that looked about 6 billion reais of Petrobras safes, Operation Lava Jet lack only reach the highest echelons of national politics involved in this mega corruption that shakes the foundations of the Brazilian Republic.
Como superar os atuais problemas econômicos e político institucionais do brasilFernando Alcoforado
Diante da incapacidade do governo federal solucionar as crises econômica e político-institucional e manter a ordem política e social, o Presidente Michel Temer deveria convocar uma Assembleia Nacional Constituinte Exclusiva para reordenar a vida nacional. A convocação de uma nova Constituinte seria imperiosa para fazer frente à falência da democracia representativa no Brasil e por seu intermédio promover a reestruturação da economia nacional e a reforma do Estado e da Administração Pública do Brasil.
Every society consists of political, economic, social and environmental systems. Stable societies are those in which each of these systems operates articulately with others, while societies characterized by instability are those where there is dissonance between the political, economic, social and environmental systems. It should be noted that the political, social and environmental systems depend on performance of the evolution of the economic system. Brazil is an excellent example of unstable society because it simultaneously presents deep crisis in the economic, political, social and environmental systems associated with the existence of a government as Dilma Rousseff that lacks the capacity to exercise good governance in order to overcome these crises and promote the retake of development. Brazil, as an economic, political, social and environmental organization is disintegrating whose signals are evident in all parts of the country. The stay in power of Dilma Rousseff government makes Brazil is led to bankruptcy and social upheaval.
Various types of terrorism in the world and how to defeat themFernando Alcoforado
The economic, financial, ecological, social and political global crises, the development of current criminal activities such as trafficking in drugs and arms and terrorist advance show that they are insoluble without the existence of a world government. One must understand that the problems affecting the world economy and the global environment and contribute to the advancement of terrorism can only be resolved with the existence of a truly democratic world government representative of all the peoples of the world. International law cannot be applied and respected in the absence of a world government that is accepted by all countries and ensure their governance.
A dívida pública poderá levar o brasil ao colapso econômicoFernando Alcoforado
A destinação da maior parte dos recursos orçamentários do governo federal (45%) para o pagamento dos juros e amortização da dívida pública interna é insustentável a médio e longo prazo porque o Brasil não disporia dos recursos públicos necessários para investir em infraestrutura econômica e social e transferir recursos para a previdência social e para os estados e municípios. Além da dívida pública interna que compromete o futuro do País, a dívida externa no montante de US$ 523,7 bilhões em junho de 2016 que supera os US$ 379 bilhões das reservas do país aumenta ainda mais a vulnerabilidade econômica do Brasil. Levando em conta o risco que o Brasil poderá enfrentar no futuro de “explosão” das dívidas interna e externa, urge a realização de uma auditoria das dívidas e sua renegociação no sentido de alongá-la no tempo para reduzir os encargos do País com o pagamento do serviço dessas dívidas. Sem a adoção desta política, o governo brasileiro terá que fazer a reforma da previdência em prejuízo da população brasileira e privatizar o patrimônio público como está sendo preconizado pelo governo Michel Temer.
Brazil will not overcome current crisis without the refoundation of the republicFernando Alcoforado
The gravity of the current political situation of Brazil is demanding the re-founding of the Republic that is, at present, a mere piece of fiction. The political crisis that shakes Brazil result basically of the failure of the political model adopted in the Constituent Assembly of 1988. The failure of the political model in Brazil is set on the fact of presidentialism in force since 1889 to be generator of political and institutional crises such as those already occurred in the past which resulted in impeachments and coups d´état. In addition, the country's political system is contaminated by corruption as evidenced by the processes of the "Mensalão" that investigated crime of vote-buying of lawmakers by the Brazilian government. Representative democracy in Brazil also expresses clear signs of exhaustion to discourage popular participation in government decisions, reducing political activity to mere electoral processes that are periodically repeated in which the people elect their representatives who, with few exceptions, after elections come to defend the interests of economic groups in opposition to the interests of those who elected them.
How to prevent humanitarian debacle in the contemporary worldFernando Alcoforado
One observer aware of what happens in the world realizes that we live in a process of unprecedented economic, political and social breakdown in human history whose product has been widespread violence in all parts of the Earth. The main responsible of all this are, on the one hand, the chaotic capitalist economic system and on the other, the ungovernable international system. From its origins in the sixteenth century as a mode of production, capitalism has been characterized by barbarism which means savagery, cruelty, inhumanity, incivility. Massacres, genocides and multiple forms of human degradation characterize capitalism in its historical development. In turn, the international system has not prevented wars between great powers and imperialist action practiced by them for centuries against the peripheral capitalist countries even less establish world peace.
The ranking of universities worldwide conducted by THE (Times Higher Education) evaluates the performance of college students and the academic production in the fields of engineering and technology, arts and humanities, life sciences, health, physical and social sciences and considers it research, knowledge transfer and international perspective, beyond the learning environment. The THE shows that the United States continue to dominate the world rankings in higher education. The best university in the world, Caltech, is American. In addition, 77 of the top 200 in the world are in US soil. Paradoxically, the pre-university education in the United States is weak as evidenced by the ranking of Pisa (Programme for International Student Assessment) which seeks to measure the knowledge and skills in reading, mathematics and science students 15 years of age both countries industrialized OECD and partner countries. The Pisa ranking shows that the United States stood at 36 in mathematics, 24 in reading and 28 in Science (See the website <http: />). Most likely, one of the causes of the fragility of high school in the United States lies in the fact their teachers have low salaries relative to other professions, there is no career path and have low autonomy at work.
A transição do capitalismo para a sociedade pós capitalistaFernando Alcoforado
Todos nós temos a tendência de imaginar que a sociedade na qual vivemos perdurará para sempre, esquecendo-se ou desconhecendo que já houve outros sistemas econômicos que surgiram e desapareceram, como é o caso do escravismo durante a Antiguidade na Grécia e no Império Romano e do feudalismo durante a Idade Média na Europa. Diferentemente da passagem do escravismo para o feudalismo que se caracterizou pela derrubada violenta do Império Romano pelos escravos e povos bárbaros espoliados, a passagem do feudalismo para o capitalismo se realizou praticamente sem violência à exceção da França com a Revolução Francesa em 1789. Por que o capitalismo não teria o mesmo destino do escravismo e do feudalismo? Da mesma forma que o escravismo e o feudalismo tiveram um início e um fim, o capitalismo que teve seu início no século 12 na Europa seguirá a mesma trajetória culminando com seu fim em meados do século 21. Diante da perspectiva de colapso do sistema capitalista mundial em meados do século 21, torna-se um imperativo a invenção de novos modelos de sociedade em escala planetária e nacional que sejam capazes de racionalizar o processo de crescimento e desenvolvimento econômico e social para assegurar o progresso econômico e social em benefício das populações de todos os países do mundo.
Tudo leva a crer que se Dilma Rousseff não for destituída do poder através de impeachment pelo crime de responsabilidade descrito linhas atrás, o Brasil poderá ser palco de convulsão social com o confronto entre a esmagadora maioria do povo brasileiro que deseja sua deposição e os partidários do governo de consequências imprevisíveis. É preciso considerar as lições da história que nos ensina que a convulsão social pode levar à instauração de ditaduras. Este é o risco que ameaça a sociedade brasileira. O Brasil se defronta com a possibilidade de um trágico futuro econômico e político? Este cenário depende do desfecho que venha a ocorrer com relação ao impeachment da presidente Dilma Rousseff.
Science and contribution of mathematics in its developmentFernando Alcoforado
Mathematics is the science of logical reasoning that has its development linked to research, interest in discovering the new and investigate highly complex situations. The escalation of Mathematics began in ancient times when it was aroused the interest by the calculations and numbers according to the need of man to relate the natural events to their daily lives. Today, Mathematics is the most important science of the modern world because it is present in all scientific areas.
Controlar o sistema financeiro para evitar a débâcle econômica no brasilFernando Alcoforado
Qualquer pessoa entendida em economia sabe que em um quadro de estagnação econômica que afeta o Brasil no momento, o crescimento econômico só se realiza desde que o governo eleve seus gastos para compensar a queda do consumo e do investimento. Quem formulou este ensinamento foi o grande economista John Maynard Keynes em meados do século XX. A tese defendida pelo governo Michel Temer de que precisa primeiro reduzir o gasto do governo para depois promover o crescimento econômico é totalmente irracional sob a ótica Keynesiana. Além disso, faz chantagem com a população ao afirmar que a alternativa é o corte de gastos do governo ou o aumento de impostos. Trata-se de um fato lamentável o governo Michel Temer pretender solucionar a crise econômica do Brasil que se agrava a cada dia com a adoção do ajuste fiscal que reduz o gasto público e tende a aprofundar o processo de estagnação econômica do País.
One fact is clear: society lives, more than ever, under the auspices under the auspices and domains of science and technology. Advertising that makes about science and technology is so intense that a significant portion of people believe that they only bring only benefits to society. For man, the technology makes life easier, cleaner and longer. Man cultivates a growing dependency in relation to science and technology in contemporary era. It is a usual behavior of much of society considers science and technology as liberators of humanity of labor burdens and threats posed by the forces of nature. Adding to all this, there is a widespread view that scientific and technological progress brings not only the advancement of knowledge, but also as a real improvement, inexorable and effective in all aspects of human life. Science is not only seen as liberating, but also as dehumanizing and enslaving of human life. Uncontrolled growth of technology has contributed to destroy the vital sources of our humanity to create a culture without a moral basis. The technology has shaped our lives because we are at the mercy of interconnected systems, which is serious because we are submissive to his authority, shaping us in its functioning. The omnipresence of technology in today's world, coupled with its increased complexity, gives rise to a very problematic situation.
O rompimento das barragens da Samarco em Mariana, Minas Gerais ocorrido recentemente que provocou a morte de dezenas de pessoas e fez com que a lama tóxica provocasse danos irreparáveis na fauna e flora atingindo o Rio Doce ao longo de todo o seu curso até o mar atravessando zonas protegidas de floresta de Mata Atlântica, além de provocar um efeito catastrófico imediato no abastecimento público de água de várias cidades no curso do Rio Doce demonstra a necessidade imperiosa de que haja planos de prevenção, de precaução e de gestão de riscos, além da intensificação da fiscalização.
Pec 241 do governo michel temer ameaça o futuro do brasilFernando Alcoforado
O esgotamento do modelo de crescimento econômico baseado no aumento do consumo das famílias e do exponencial crescimento do endividamento público resultante do gasto público excessivo adotado pelos governos Lula e Dilma Rousseff fizeram com que a economia brasileira fosse levada à bancarrota em 2016 com o desequilíbrio nas contas públicas, a falência de empresas e o desemprego em massa. Diante da queda do consumo das famílias e do investimento privado e público na economia brasileira, a política econômica que deveria ser adotada para reverter a queda no crescimento econômico e promover sua retomada requereria a solução keynesiana que contemplaria o aumento do gasto público a curto prazo para compensar a queda no consumo e no investimento ao contrário do que preconiza a PEC 241-2016. Ao invés de adotar uma política econômica baseada no modelo desenvolvimentista keynesiano, o governo Michel Temer pretende adotar uma política econômica monetarista procurando limitar o gasto do governo com sua Proposta de Emenda à Constituição (PEC 241-2016) enviada ao Congresso Nacional que tende a aprofundar a estagnação econômica existente no Brasil.
Brazil 2015: A Perfect Storm Derails President Rousseff's AgendaMSL
After only three months in office, President Dilma Rousseff’s approval rating fell from 46% in October to just 12% at the end of March, according to national polls conducted by Ibope. The reasons for the decrease are due to a so-called “perfect storm” – a combination of an economic crisis and political mistakes that fueled the mobilization of various sectors of society in large demonstrations in the main cities of Brazil, demanding anti-corruption measures and impeachment of the President.
In this report, we analyze the factors that led to this situation and share an outlook for 2015. For more information connect with MSLGROUP's Latin America contact: Josh Shapiro josh.shapiro@mslgroup.com or share your feedback with us on twitter @msl_group.
The gigantic political impasse of brazil and its future scenariosFernando Alcoforado
Brazil's political impasse at the moment will only be effectively resolved with the convening of a new Constituent Assembly to order the national life on a new basis. Only then can cause the current economic crisis can be resolved and are avoided corruption scandals that continuously succeed in modern times involving all branches of government in Brazil and more recently Petrobras. Only then can cope with the failure of representative democracy in the country that shows clear signs of exhaustion not only by corruption scandals in the powers of the Republic, but especially to discourage popular participation, reducing political activity the electoral processes that are repeated periodically in which the people elect their representatives which, with few exceptions, after the elections come to defend interests of economic groups in opposition to the interests of those who elected them.
Costs of stay in power of current rulers in brazil and the benefits of their ...Fernando Alcoforado
Currently, there is a national outcry by the remoteness of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency either through impeachment, resignation or through military intervention. To be impeachment is necessary that the head of the executive branch commits a violation, such as abuse of power, responsibility for crime, common crime and violation of the Constitution or lost the confidence of the nation and for reasons of state. If it´s not possible to fit Dilma Rousseff in crime of abuse of power, crime of responsibility and common crime, there is only the loss of confidence of the nation by the fact that she practiced electoral larceny or be reasons of state to avoid economic and social disaster that would result for their hold on power.
Brazil faces threats regarding its future originated from the neoliberal economic policy of the Michel Temer government and the disastrous action of corrupt parliamentarians who seek impunity for the crimes of corruption they perpetrate. The Michel Temer government deepens the neoliberal model in Brazil with its criminal policies of fiscal adjustment to ensure the primary surplus that benefits the financial system by setting the “ceiling” for public spending for 20 years, social security reform that, in practice, will do with which workers pay to have a retirement that they will not enjoy in life, a labor reform that contemplates the flexibilization of the labor laws that will benefit the bosses to the detriment of the workers and, finally, the privatization of the state companies and of the public service in general which benefits, above all, foreign capital. In turn, corrupt parliamentarians entrenched in the National Congress seek to adopt legislative measures to counteract the consequences of “Lava Jato” Operation that could lead to the loss of elective terms and imprisonment.
Crisis of governability and governance threaten the legitimacy of dilma rouss...Fernando Alcoforado
The crisis of governance in Brazil today is materialized in practice with the sharp decrease in the confidence indexes of the Brazilian population in public institutions and in street demonstrations against the poor quality of public services in general. At federal level, government disarticulation with its support base, its disagreement with the social movements and the economic agents and the errors of economic policy which further aggravated the crisis that befalls the Brazilian economy complement this picture of a government, such as of Dilma Rousseff, that cannot operate competently political and administrative action in order to produce satisfactory results for the benefit of the vast majority of the population. When there is the growth of social demands projected on protests coinciding with the collapse of the capacity of governments to develop appropriate responses, governance crises tend to turn into a crisis of governability. This is the case of Brazil due to the inability of the federal government and state and local governments in general to give answers to social demands in the short term.
The failure of the political and economic systems of brazilFernando Alcoforado
The Brazilian people need to understand that small changes or simple reforms are not enough in political institutions and existing legislations and in fiscal adjustments like PEC 241/55 of the Michel Temer government to overcome the current economic crisis because the Brazilian crisis is structural. It is fundamentally urgent to overcome the gigantic economic crisis, the deep political crisis, the management crisis of the public administration and the moral and ethical crisis that threaten Brazil's future. It must be understood that all these crises are interconnected and that none of them will be overcome in isolation without overcoming the others. The first of the crises to be overcome is the political crisis in the face of the absence of governability of President Michel Temer with the convening of a new National Constituent Assembly to reorder the national life in new bases aimed at overcoming the economic crises, of management of public administration and ethical and moral.
With the arrival of the PT to the federal government, with Lula and then with Dilma Rousseff, the past twelve years, Machiavellianism was elevated to the extreme with the rigging of the Brazilian government, whose ministries and public enterprises were taken by assault which came to be allotted to the parties that support the government. Each party receives a share of the administration, including ministries, state enterprises and other public bodies, which are to be managed as if they were properties of these parties and their bosses and can freely appoint his nominees, regardless of whether they have technical, ethical or moral qualifications well to manage public affairs. It should be noted that this practice was not started by the governments of the PT, but was "improved" in the past 12 years overwhelmingly as evidenced in the process of "mensalão" which investigated the buying of votes of legislators in Congress and in Operation “Lava Jato” of Federal Police that is investigating the assault carried out against Petrobras.
Numerous scandals occurred during the eight years of the Lula government and the four years of Dilma Rousseff government, when several ministers and members of the second tier were accused of corruption and eventually left their positions, which were passed on to other indicated by the same parties and the spree with public money continued with impunity. The greatest symbol of corruption during the Lula government was the "mensalão", which first took some important policy to prison, though with extremely soft feathers, compared to those received by operators without parliamentary mandate, as Marcos Valerio. With the termination of the purchase of the Pasadena refinery in the United States by Petrobras, which resulted in a loss of more than one billion dollars, the largest business deal coming to the public, it was thought that the matter was finished. Another complaint came to public as the overpricing of the construction of the Abreu e Lima refinery in Pernambuco. To complete the ethical and moral collapse of PT governments, the Brazilian people became aware that we are facing the biggest scandal and robbery ever recorded in the history of Brazil, since the proclamation of the Republic, with the arrests of Youssef money changer and Petrobras's former director, Paulo Roberto Costa. Petrobras had been victimized at R$ 88 billion by the collusion of the PT and allied parties, contractors and oil executives.
The progressive forces of the nation that wish to end corruption, the resumption of economic growth, the development of Brazil on a new basis and the defense of national sovereignty should unite with efforts to choose a candidate for the presidency of the Republic committed to the proposals presented in this article and defeat the retrograde forces that wish to maintain the status quo. It is urgent, therefore, to launch a candidate for the presidency of the Republic who undertakes to break with neoliberalism and put into practice the strategies suggested in this article.
Throughout the world, the reversion of fortune suffered by the Brazilian economy since reaching its zenith as recently as 2010 has confounded shrewd commentators, seasoned analysts and market players alike. As 2015 unfolded,
ominous projections ("An Economy on the Brink", "Brazil's Economy Falters" "Worse May Be To Come") were no less widespread than expressions of bewilderment ("Whatever Happened to Brazil", "Brazilian Waxing and Waning",
"Brazil's Scandalous Boom to Bust Story"), and, more recently, of alarm ("Goldman Sachs Says Brazil Has Plunged Into ‘An Outright Depression’") concerning the fate of the South American BRIC country.
Despite profuse official protestations to the contrary, however, Brazil's afflictions
turn out to be of its own making, as it so often proves to be the case. Looking at
the set of clearly laid-out policy choices made by the Brazilian government – and
the almost as clearly spelled-out political objectives underlying them – should
provide enough explanatory evidence to sort out this cautionary tale for
developing countries everywhere.
The dismantling of political and legal super structure in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The Brazilian nation is facing the impasse of having to live with a solution that means to maintain in power until the presidential elections of 2018 the kleptocracy that governs Brazil. This solution is unacceptable to all Brazilians who want Brazil to go through the path of economic, social, political and moral progress. This solution would aggravate further the gigantic economic crisis that has affected Brazil since 2014.
Controlling the financial system to prevent economic debacle in brazilFernando Alcoforado
Anyone who understand economics knows that in the economic stagnation that affect Brazil at the time, economic growth is only achieved since the government raise its spending to offset the fall in consumption and investment. Who formulated this teaching was the great economist John Maynard Keynes in the mid-twentieth century. The argument put forward by the government that first need to reduce government spending and then to promote economic growth is totally irrational from the Keynesian perspective. In addition, the Michel Temer government is blackmailing with the population to say that the alternative is cutting government spending or tax increases. It is an unfortunate fact the Michel Temer government want to solve the economic crisis in Brazil that worsens every day with the adoption of fiscal adjustment that reduces public spending and tends to deepen the process of economic stagnation in the country.
Brazil is clearly in a recession that was engendered by a series of economic policy mistakes made by the neoliberal governments that followed from 1990 up to the present moment, and also by the passive attitude of the incompetent Michel Temer government that does not adopt any effective measure that is Capable of avoiding Brazil's journey towards economic depression.
In the current stage of development of capitalism in Brazil, governance is only ensured if its rulers ensure the continuity of the process of capitalist accumulation for the benefit of the bourgeoisie and if increasing income redistribution in favor of classes subaltern (petty bourgeoisie, urban and rural proletariat and lumpen proletariat). For these reasons, the ungovernability, which is the domain of disorder is inevitable in Dilma Rousseff government because she will not be able to ensure continuity of the process of capitalist accumulation and redistribution of income in favor of the lower classes. The ungovernability tends to generate political and institutional instability with unpredictable consequences in a divided country like Brazil. This is the price that the Brazilian people decided to pay electing Dilma Rousseff as president of Republic.
Similar to Stunt of dilma roussef government with conservatives sectors from brazil to prevent its dismissal of power (18)
Este artigo tem por objetivo demonstrar que o povo brasileiro vive o inferno representado pelas catástrofes políticas, econômicas, sociais e ambientais que estão conduzindo o País a um desastre humanitário sem precedentes em sua história de gigantescas proporções. A catástrofe política no Brasil poderá ocorrer com o fim do processo democrático resultante da escalada do fascismo na sociedade pela ação do presidente Jair Bolsonaro que busca colocar em prática sua proposta de governo tipicamente fascista baseada no culto explícito da ordem, na violência de Estado, em práticas autoritárias de governo, no desprezo social por grupos vulneráveis e fragilizados e no anticomunismo. Soma-se à catástrofe política, a catástrofe econômica caracterizada pela estagnação da economia brasileira que amarga uma recessão em 2020 agravada pela pandemia do novo coronavirus porque o PIB caiu 4,1% em relação ao de 2019, a menor taxa da série histórica, iniciada em 1996, bem como com a taxa de desemprego em patamar recorde de 14,8 milhões de pessoas em busca de emprego no País. A catástrofe social se manifesta no fato de o governo Bolsonaro nada fazer para reduzir as taxas de desemprego reativando a economia, atuar em prejuízo dos interesses dos trabalhadores promovendo medidas contra os direitos sociais da população e contribuir para o número elevado de infectados e mortos pelo coronavirus no Brasil ao sabotar o combate ao vírus. Finalmente, a catástrofe ambiental se manifesta no fato de o governo Bolsonaro contribuir para a inação de órgãos governamentais responsáveis pela fiscalização contra as agressões ao meio ambiente, abrir caminho para atividades de mineração, agricultura, pecuária e madeireira na Floresta Amazônica e afastar o Brasil do Acordo do Clima de Paris.
Cet article vise à démontrer que le peuple brésilien vit l'enfer représenté par les catastrophes politiques, économiques, sociales et environnementales qui conduisent le pays à une catastrophe humanitaire sans précédent dans son histoire aux proportions gigantesques. La catastrophe politique au Brésil pourrait survenir avec la fin du processus démocratique résultant de l'escalade du fascisme dans la société par l'action du président Jair Bolsonaro, qui cherche à mettre en pratique sa proposition de gouvernement typiquement fasciste. fondée sur le culte explicite de l'ordre, la violence d'État, les pratiques gouvernementales autoritaires, le mépris social pour les groupes vulnérables et fragiles et l'anticommunisme. Outre la catastrophe politique, la catastrophe économique caractérisée par la stagnation de l'économie brésilienne après une récession en 2020, aggravée par la nouvelle pandémie de coronavirus, car le PIB a baissé de 4,1% par rapport à 2019, le taux le plus bas du série historique, commencée en 1996, ainsi qu'avec le taux de chômage à un niveau record de 14,8 millions de personnes à la recherche d'un emploi dans le pays.La catastrophe sociale se manifeste par le fait que le gouvernement Bolsonaro ne fait rien pour réduire les taux de chômage en réactivant la économique, agissant au détriment des intérêts des travailleurs, promouvant des mesures contre les droits sociaux de la population et contribuant au nombre élevé de personnes infectées et tuées par le coronavirus au Brésil en sabotant la lutte contre le virus. Enfin, la catastrophe environnementale se manifeste par le fait que le gouvernement Bolsonaro contribue à l'inaction des agences gouvernementales chargées de surveiller les agressions contre l'environnement, ouvrant la voie aux activités minières, agricoles, d'élevage et d'exploitation forestière dans la forêt amazonienne et retirant le Brésil de l'Accord de Paris sur le climat.
Cet article a pour objectif de présenter et d'analyser le rapport du Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat (GIEC), agence liée à l'ONU, rendu public le 9 août 2021 à travers lequel il montre l'ensemble des connaissances acquises depuis la publication de son précédent rapport en 2014 sur le climat de la planète Terre. 234 auteurs de 66 pays ont examiné plus de 14 000 études scientifiques et leur travail a été reçu avec plus de 78 000 commentaires et observations de chercheurs et d'experts qui travaillant pour les 195 gouvernements auxquels ce travail est destiné. Ce rapport révèle une connaissance approfondie du climat passé, présent et futur de la Terre. Le résumé de ce rapport est à lire dans l'article Selon le GIEC, le changement climatique est irréversible, mais peut encore être corrigé disponible sur le site <https://www.sciencesetavenir.fr/nature-environnement/climat/selon-le-giec-le-changement-climatique-s-accelere-est-irreversible-mais-peut-etre-corrige_156431>. Alors que peut-on faire pour éviter cette catastrophe climatique ? La solution est de réduire de moitié les émissions mondiales de gaz à effet de serre d'ici 2030 et de zéro émission nette d'ici le milieu de ce siècle pour arrêter et éventuellement inverser la hausse des températures. La réduction à zéro des émissions nettes consiste à réduire autant que possible les émissions de gaz à effet de serre en utilisant les technologies propres et les énergies renouvelables, ainsi que comme capter et stocker le carbone, ou l'absorber en plantant des arbres. Très probablement, le monde ne réussira pas à empêcher d'autres changements climatiques en raison de l'absence d'un système de gouvernance mondiale capable d'empêcher l'augmentation du réchauffement climatique et le changement climatique catastrophique résultant de l'impuissance de l'ONU.
AQUECIMENTO GLOBAL, MUDANÇA CLIMÁTICA GLOBAL E SEUS IMPACTOS SOBRE A SAÚDE HU...Fernando Alcoforado
Este artigo tem por objetivo apresentar os impactos do aquecimento global e da consequente mudança climática sobre a saúde humana e as soluções que permitam evitar suas maléficas consequências contra a humanidade. Para alcançar este objetivo, é necessário promover uma transformação profunda da sociedade atual que tem sido extremamente destruidora das condições de vida do planeta. Diante disso, é imprescindível que seja edificada uma sociedade sustentável substituindo o atual modelo econômico dominante em todo o mundo por outro que leve em conta o homem integrado com o meio ambiente, com a natureza, ou seja, o modelo de desenvolvimento sustentável. Foi analisado o Acordo de Paris com base na COP 21 organizada pela ONU através do qual 195 países e a União Europeia definiram como a humanidade lutará contra o aquecimento global nas próximas décadas, bem como foi analisada literatura relacionada com o aquecimento global e a mudança climática para extrair as conclusões que apontam como substituir o modelo de desenvolvimento atual pelo modelo de desenvolvimento sustentável.
GLOBAL WARMING, GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS IMPACTS ON HUMAN HEALTHFernando Alcoforado
This article aims to present the impacts of global warming and the consequent global climate change on human health and the solutions to avoid its harmful consequences against humanity. In order to achieve this goal, it is necessary to promote a profound transformation of current society, which has been extremely destructive of the planet's living conditions. Therefore, it is essential to build a sustainable society, replacing the current dominant economic model throughout the world with one that takes into account man integrated with the environment, with nature, that is, the model of sustainable development. The Paris Agreement was analyzed based on the COP 21 organized by the UN through which 195 countries and the European Union defined how humanity will fight global warming in the coming decades, as well as was analyzed literature related to global warming and climate change to extract the conclusions that point out how to replace the current development model with the sustainable development model.
LE RÉCHAUFFEMENT CLIMATIQUE, LE CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE MONDIAL ET SES IMPACTS ...Fernando Alcoforado
Cet article a pour objectif de présenter les impacts du réchauffement climatique et du changement climatique qui en découle sur la santé humaine et les solutions pour éviter ses conséquences néfastes contre l'humanité. Pour atteindre cet objectif, il est nécessaire de promouvoir une transformation profonde de la société d'aujourd'hui qui a été extrêmement destructrice des conditions de vie sur la planète. Il est donc essentiel de construire une société durable, en remplaçant le modèle économique actuel dominant à travers le monde par un autre qui prenne en compte l'homme intégré à l'environnement, à la nature, c'est-à-dire le modèle de développement durable. L'Accord de Paris a été analysé sur la base de la COP 21 organisée par l'ONU à travers laquelle 195 pays et l'Union européenne ont défini comment l'humanité luttera contre le réchauffement climatique dans les prochaines décennies, ainsi que a été analysée la littérature liée au réchauffement climatique et au changement climatique pour extraire les conclusions qui indiquent comment remplacer le modèle de développement actuel par le modèle de développement durable.
Cet article a trois objectifs : 1) démontrer qu'il y a un changement drastique du climat de la Terre grâce au réchauffement climatique, qui contribue à la survenue d'inondations dans les villes aux effets de plus en plus catastrophiques ; 2) proposer des mesures pour lutter contre le changement climatique mondial ; et 3) proposer des mesures pour préparer les villes à faire face à des événements météorologiques extrêmes. Récemment, des inondations se sont produites qui exposent la vulnérabilité des villes d'Europe et de Chine aux conditions météorologiques les plus extrêmes. Après les inondations qui ont fait des morts en Allemagne, en Belgique et en Chine, le message a été renforcé que des changements importants sont nécessaires pour préparer les villes à faire face à des événements similaires à l'avenir. Les gouvernements doivent admettre que les infrastructures qu'ils ont construites dans le passé pour les villes, même à une époque plus récente, sont vulnérables à ces phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes. Pour faire face aux inondations qui deviendront de plus en plus fréquentes, les gouvernements doivent agir simultanément dans trois directions : la première est de lutter contre le changement climatique mondial ; le second est de préparer les villes à faire face à des événements météorologiques extrêmes et le troisième est de mettre en œuvre une société durable aux niveaux national et mondial.
This article has three objectives: 1) to demonstrate that there is a drastic change in the Earth's climate thanks to global warming, which is contributing to the occurrence of floods in cities that are increasingly catastrophic in their effects; 2) propose measures to combat global climate change; and 3) propose measures to prepare cities to face extreme weather events. Recently, floods have occurred that expose the vulnerability of cities in Europe and China to the most extreme weather. After the floods that killed people in Germany, Belgium and China, the message was reinforced that significant changes are needed to prepare cities to face similar events in the future. Governments need to admit that the infrastructure they built in the past for cities, even in more recent times, is vulnerable to these extreme weather events. To deal with the floods that will become more and more frequent, governments need to act simultaneously in three directions: the first is to combat global climate change; the second is to prepare cities to face extreme weather events and the third is to implement a sustainable society at the national and global levels.
Este artigo tem três objetivos: 1) demonstrar que está havendo uma mudança drástica no clima da Terra graças ao aquecimento global que está contribuindo para a ocorrência de inundações nas cidades que se repetem de forma cada vez mais catastrófica em seus efeitos; 2) propor medidas para combater a mudança climática global; e, 3) propor medidas visando preparar as cidades para enfrentar eventos climáticos extremos. Recentemente, ocorreram enchentes que expõem a vulnerabilidade das cidades da Europa e da China ao clima mais extremo. Depois das enchentes que mataram pessoas na Alemanha, Bélgica e China foi reforçada a mensagem de que são necessárias mudanças significativas para preparar as cidades para enfrentar eventos similares no futuro. Os governos precisam admitir que a infraestrutura que construíram no passado para as cidades, mesmo em tempos mais recentes, é vulnerável a esses eventos de clima extremo. Para lidar com as inundações que serão cada vez mais frequentes, os governos precisam agir simultaneamente em três direções: a primeira consiste em combater a mudança climática global; a segunda consiste em preparar as cidades para enfrentar eventos extremos no clima e a terceira consiste em implantar uma sociedade sustentável nas esferas nacional e global.
CIVILIZAÇÃO OU BARBÁRIE SÃO AS ESCOLHAS DO POVO BRASILEIRO NAS ELEIÇÕES DE 2022 Fernando Alcoforado
Este artigo tem por objetivo demonstrar que as eleições de 2022 são decisivas para o futuro do Brasil porque que o povo brasileiro terá que decidir entre os valores da civilização e da democracia ou os da barbárie e do fascismo defendidos pelos candidatos à Presidência da República. É preciso observar que a Civilização é considerada o estágio mais avançado que uma sociedade humana pode alcançar do ponto de vista político, econômico, social, cultural, científico e tecnológico. O contrário de civilização é a Barbárie que é a condição daquilo que é selvagem, cruel, desumano e grosseiro, ou seja, quem ou o que é tido como bárbaro que atenta contra o progresso político, econômico, social, cultural, científico e tecnológico. A barbárie sempre se caracterizou ao longo da história da humanidade por grupos que usam a força e a crueldade para alcançar seus objetivos.
CIVILISATION OU BARBARIE SONT LES CHOIX DU PEUPLE BRÉSILIEN AUX ÉLECTIONS DE ...Fernando Alcoforado
Cet article vise à démontrer que les élections de 2022 sont décisives pour l'avenir du Brésil car le peuple brésilien devra trancher entre les valeurs de civilisation et de démocratie ou celles de barbarie et de fascisme défendues par les candidats à la Présidence de la République. Il convient de noter que la civilisation est considérée comme le stade le plus avancé qu'une société humaine puisse atteindre d'un point de vue politique, économique, social, culturel, scientifique et technologique. Le contraire de la civilisation est la barbarie, qui est la condition de ce qui est sauvage, cruel, inhumain et grossier, c'est-à-dire qui ou ce qui est considéré comme barbare qui attaque le progrès politique, économique, social, culturel, scientifique et technologique. La barbarie a toujours été caractérisée tout au long de l'histoire de l'humanité par des groupes qui utilisent la force et la cruauté pour atteindre leurs objectifs.
CIVILIZATION OR BARBARISM ARE THE CHOICES OF THE BRAZILIAN PEOPLE IN THE 2022...Fernando Alcoforado
This article aims to demonstrate that the 2022 elections are decisive for the future of Brazil because the Brazilian people will have to decide between the values of civilization and democracy or those of barbarism and fascism defended by candidates for the Presidency of the Republic. It should be noted that Civilization is considered the most advanced stage that a human society can reach from a political, economic, social, cultural, scientific and technological point of view. The opposite of civilization is Barbarism, which is the condition of what is savage, cruel, inhuman and coarse, that is, who or what is considered barbaric that attacks political, economic, social, cultural, scientific and technological progress. Barbarism has always been characterized throughout human history by groups that use force and cruelty to achieve their goals.
COMO EVITAR A PREVISÃO DE STEPHEN HAWKING DE QUE A HUMANIDADE SÓ TEM MAIS 100...Fernando Alcoforado
Este artigo tem por objetivo apresentar o que foi dito pelo falecido cientista Stephen Hawking que afirmou em 2018 que a espécie humana poderia ser levada à extinção em 100 anos e que, devido a isto, forçaria os seres humanos a saírem da Terra, bem como demonstrar que as ameaças de extinção da espécie humana citadas por Hawking podem ser enfrentadas sem que haja a necessidade de fuga de seres humanos da Terra.
COMMENT ÉVITER LA PRÉVISION DE STEPHEN HAWKING QUE L'HUMANITÉ N'A QUE 100 ANS...Fernando Alcoforado
Cet article vise à présenter ce qu'a dit le regretté scientifique Stephen Hawking qui a déclaré en 2018 que l'espèce humaine pourrait être amenée à l'extinction dans 100 ans et que, de ce fait, il forcerait les êtres humains à quitter la Terre, ainsi que démontrer que les menaces d'extinction de l'espèce humaine citées par Hawking peuvent être affrontées sans que les êtres humains aient besoin de s'échapper de la Terre.
Today the French Revolution is commemorated, which was a dividing mark in the history of humanity, starting the contemporary age. It was such an important event that its ideals influenced many movements around the world.
On commémore aujourd'hui la Révolution française, qui a marqué l'histoire de l'humanité en commençant l'ère contemporaine. C'était un événement si important que ses idéaux ont influencé de nombreux mouvements à travers le monde.
Hoje é comemorada a Revolução Francesa que foi um marco divisório da história da humanidade dando início à idade contemporânea. Foi um acontecimento tão importante que seus ideais influenciaram vários movimentos ao redor do mundo.
O TARIFAÇO DE ENERGIA É SINAL DE INCOMPETÊNCIA DO GOVERNO FEDERAL NO PLANEJAM...Fernando Alcoforado
É bastante evidente o descalabro do setor elétrico do Brasil. O planejamento eficaz do setor elétrico é aquele que deve ser desenvolvido com vários anos de antecedência e baseado em estudos técnicos e econômicos. A gestão competente tem que ser baseada no planejamento de longo prazo e com visão sistêmica que está faltando ao governo Bolsonaro. Sem a cultura do planejamento e a não utilização de profissionais competentes nas ações do governo federal, o resultado só poderia ser o que vem se registrando no setor elétrico que está ameaçado de “apagões” e de racionamento de energia elétrica.
LES RÉVOLUTIONS SOCIALES, LEURS FACTEURS DÉCLENCHEURS ET LE BRÉSIL ACTUELFernando Alcoforado
Cet article vise à analyser les facteurs déclencheurs des révolutions sociales qui se sont produites tout au long de l'histoire de l'humanité et à évaluer la possibilité de leur occurrence dans le Brésil contemporain.
SOCIAL REVOLUTIONS, THEIR TRIGGERS FACTORS AND CURRENT BRAZILFernando Alcoforado
This article aims to analyze the triggering factors of social revolutions that have occurred throughout human history and assess the possibility of their occurrence in contemporary Brazil.
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
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‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
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Stunt of dilma roussef government with conservatives sectors from brazil to prevent its dismissal of power
1. 1
STUNT OF DILMA ROUSSEF GOVERNMENT WITH CONSERVATIVES
SECTORS FROM BRAZIL TO PREVENT ITS DISMISSAL OF POWER
Fernando Alcoforado *
Stunt of Dilma Rousseff government with conservative sectors of Brazil is underway to
prevent their removal from power through impeachment for having practiced fiscal
responsibility crime and have used resources of corruption in Petrobras in her re-
election campaign in 2014. To help to prevent the impeachment, the Dilma Rousseff
government triggered several initiatives being the first of them the cooptation of
President of the Senate, Renan Calheiros, and the second, the isolation and
neutralization of the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Eduardo Cunha, who
threatened to put on vote the impeachment of the President Dilma Rousseff. In addition,
there was the cooptation of STF (Federal Court of Justice) ministers at a dinner with
Dilma Roussef that produced a result favorable to her as the decision of the trial of
fiscal responsibility crime to be decided by Congress and not by the House of
Representatives as provided for Constitution.
The decision of the Supreme Court, which prevented the fiscal responsibility crime to
be judged by the House of Representatives which has in Eduardo Cunha, its president,
outspoken government opponent, but deliberate in joint session of the House of
Representatives and the Senate, favors the possibility of no impeachment of Dilma
Rousseff. Most likely the dining of STF ministers with Dilma Rousseff last week
contributed to this outcome, and could help exonerate her in the TSE to use funds
derived from corruption in Petrobras in his election campaign. It is thus reinforced the
scenario for the continuity of Dilma Rousseff government in power regardless of
mobilizing nearly 1 million Brazilians on 16/08 demanding his resignation or
impeachment.
It should be noted that the cooptation of Senator Renan Calheiros was evident when he
proposed "Agenda Brazil" which is a destruction program of social achievements
because it undertakes in retirement, promises to consecrate the wild outsourcing, favors
rural sector, jeopardizes the environment, threat servants' income, among others. It was
also admitted even begin privatization of SUS (Health Unic System). It is a real social
disaster. "Agenda Brazil", embraced by Dilma Rousseff comes simultaneously to the
movement of his government towards the big capital. To what is already known,
multiplied meetings of government emissaries with heads of major banks, big business
tycoons and telecommunications to obtain the necessary support to the government
Dilma Rousseff. As a result of these meetings, governance with Dilma Rousseff came to
be defended by the president of Bradesco bank, the vice president of Rede Globo of
communications, representatives of Fiesp (Federation of Industries of the State of São
Paulo) and FIRJAN (Federation of Industries of Rio de Janeiro) and as many plutocrats.
To save himself, Dilma Rousseff and the PT is definitely delivered to the right.
Because Renan Calheiros and the sectors of big business advocate maintaining Dilma
Rousseff in power? Certainly spurious agreements should have been concluded to save
Renan Calheiros to be included as corrupt in process of Operação Lava Jato that leads
with corruption in Petrobras, forgive or alleviate the payment of high debts of Rede
Globo towards the tax authorities, increasing banks' earnings of facilities and large
companies. Renan Calheiros, for example, has been benefited because it was not
included as corrupt in process of Operação Lava Jato reported in Operation Lava jet by
the Attorney General of the Republic but yes Eduardo Cunha, opening thus the
2. 2
possibility of removing the latter from the presidency of the House of Representatives.
This "Big Deal" between the Dilma Roussef government, Renan Calheiros and big
business was complemented in the day (18/08) with the manifesto, stimulated by Dilma
Rousseff government officials, of organizations like the Order of Lawyers of Brazil
(OAB ) and the National Confederation of Industry (CNI), Agriculture and Livestock
(CNA) and Transport (CNT), which were against the impeachment of President Dilma
Rousseff and in favor of a pact of governability seeking the support of eight other
entities.
All this stunt to avoid the dismissal of Dilma Rousseff of power is an antithesis of the
will of the vast majority of the Brazilian people advocating the resignation or
impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. This spurious stunt of Dilma Rousseff government to
remain in power against the will of the vast majority of the nation continues the harmful
action of PT governments of Lula and Dilma Rousseff that in addition to devastate the
Brazilian economy set up in meager economic growth, uncontrolled inflation in the last
four years, the existing bottlenecks in economic and social infrastructure, the de-
industrialization of the Brazilian economy, the explosion of public debt and the
denationalization of the Brazilian economy, the Dilma Rousseff government decided to
adopt in its second government policy that has a recessive that is translating in the
stagnation of the economy, the enormous increase in public debt, the imbalance in the
external accounts and also in mass unemployment. PT government from Lula to Dilma
Rousseff, supposedly leftist, betrayed the trust of his constituents who wanted to carry
out a government for the people and not for the magnates of capital as they have done
since 2002.
Faced with the possibility of permanence of the disastrous Dilma Rousseff government
in power and, taking into account that the country moves swiftly to the economic
collapse of serious political and social consequences, the trend was the emergence of a
political and institutional crisis that can put in order day the return of the military to
power for maintaining the ruling order. It will be impossible, an unpopular government
like that of Dilma Rousseff maintain order in a context of mass unemployment, growing
indebtedness of the population and bankruptcies of companies as is already happening.
The current economic situation is unsustainable. This is the big risk of permanence of
Dilma Rousseff government in power. All those fighting for the current government
stay in power would be contributing thus to the occurrence of this scenario considering
that all government action is geared towards keeping the bankrupt neoliberal economic
model and not to propose new directions for the national economy. The attempt to keep
the bankrupt neoliberal model in place through fiscal adjustment implemented by the
federal government will further deepen the current economic stagnation and lead the
national economy to disaster. To reverse this situation, the current government would
have to adopt a new developmental national model of selective opening of the Brazilian
economy to promote Brazil's development on a new basis and stop the ongoing
economic stagnation.
The developmental model of selective national openness of the Brazilian economy
should consider the following: 1) Replacement of floating exchange rates in effect by
fixed exchange rates to avoid the dizzying rise in current dollars; 2) Control the inflow
and outflow of capital, particularly speculative to prevent capital flight; 3)
Nationalization of banks to ensure liquidity to citizens and businesses; 4) Selective
Imports of raw materials and essential commodities from overseas to reduce
expenditures in currency of the country; 5) Market reserve in areas considered strategic
3. 3
for national development; and, 6) Renationalization of privatized state enterprises
considered strategic to national development. The national development project would
cause Brazil to take on the direction of its destination, unlike the neoliberal model in
place that makes the future of the country to be dictated by market forces all of them
committed to national and international financial capital.
This action should be preceded by the following measures: 1) Renegotiation with
creditors of public debt in order to reduce the burden of paying the debt with your
stretching in time and also of public expenditure to the minimum necessary so that the
Brazilian government has enough savings to invest in the expansion of the Brazilian
economy avoiding stagnation; 2) Renegotiation with creditors of public debt in order to
reduce the burden of payment for 1/3 or ¼ of the federal budget; and, 3) Drastic
reduction of public expenses reducing the number of ministries from 39 to 15 or 20 and
the elimination or reduction to a minimum of commissioned positions that are about 22
thousand. An extremely fragile government as the Dilma Rousseff will not be able to
put into practice a new development model in Brazil. Unfortunately, we are facing a
catastrophic scenario that will affect the lives of citizens, families and businesses.
*Fernando Alcoforado, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and
consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is
the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova
(Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado.
Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e
Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX
e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of
the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller
Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe
Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e
combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011),
Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012) and
Energia no Mundo e no Brasil- Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV,
Curitiba, 2015).